Arizona D’Backs vs. LA Dodgers Free Pick & Preview – September 7, 2016

Posted 1 year ago in Featured, Featured MLB Free Picks, Previews

When: Wednesday, September 07 – 10:10 PM EST
Where: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California
Odds: D’Backs +132, Dodgers -142
Over/Under: 8

A matchup of teams at the opposite ends of the NL West standings continues at Dodger Stadium Wednesday when the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Los Angeles Dodgers will play the last game of a three game set. The Dodgers have won four straight and have scored at least five runs in each contest during their winning streak, including Tuesday’s 5-2 triumph. The Diamondbacks finished with four hits in Monday’s loss but they’ve been swinging fairly hot bats lately despite that toothless performance.

About the Arizona Diamondbacks (58-80)

Arizona hands the ball to left-hander Robbie Ray (7-12, 4.46 ERA) who is 1-1 with a 1.89 ERA and a 1.158 WHIP over 19 innings in three starts at Dodger Stadium and 3-2 with a 1.95 ERA in six career starts against the Dodgers overall. Ray escaped with a no-decision at Colorado on Friday despite surrendering six runs (five earned) and eight hits in 4 1/3 innings. He has otherwise pitched well lately, allowing fewer than three runs in each of his previous four turns.

Chris Owings is riding a five-game hitting streak during which he is 11-for-19 and has scored a run in five straight contests and seven of his last eight.

About the Los Angeles Dodgers (78-60)

Los Angeles hands the ball to Brock Stewart (0-2, 7.94), a 24 year old rookie who will make his fifth appearance in the Major Leagues. Stewart was hit hard in his first two turns, surrendering a total of 14 runs and 18 hits over nine innings, before allowing six baserunners — but only one run — during a three-frame relief stint. He held the Cubs scoreless over five innings in his last start on August 28.

Justin Turner, Josh Reddick and Andrew Toles each notched two hits and an RBI in last night’s contest.

Trends

  • Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
  • Diamondbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 games following a loss.
  • Diamondbacks are 1-5 in Rays last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Diamondbacks are 2-10 in Rays last 12 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
  • Dodgers are 20-6 in their last 26 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Dodgers are 15-6 in their last 21 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 8-1 in Diamondbacks last 9 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 road games.
  • Over is 12-3-2 in Diamondbacks last 17 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 8-2 in Diamondbacks last 10 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game
  • Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 6-2 in Dodgers last 8 games following a win.
  • Over is 7-3-2 in Dodgers last 12 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 8-3-1 in Dodgers last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Diamondbacks are 15-38 in the last 53 meetings.
  • Diamondbacks are 5-21 in the last 26 meetings in Los Angeles.

Conclusion

The Dodgers enter Wednesday with a four-game lead over San Francisco for first place in the National League West while the Diamondbacks’ best hopes for the season’s last month is to hold off the Padres and avoid the cellar of the NL West. Motivational advantage Dodgers, but can they be trusted at this price with a rookie on the mound?

Take Diamondbacks ML (+132) and Over 8 Runs

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