Army vs Navy Free Pick 12/10/16 – Expert Analysis by Scott Spreitzer
The Army Black Knights will visit Army Midshipmen for their annual rivalry game on Saturday December 10, 2016. Navy opened as a 8.5-point favorite at market-setting bookmakers like 5Dimes and Pinnacle, but is now asked to cover only 4.5 points. Let’s take a look at professional handicapper Scott Spreitzer‘s take on the game.
Scott Spreitzer’s Army vs Navy Free Pick 12/10/16
I’m laying the points with Navy on Saturday.
Army began the season with three straight wins, but won just three of their final eight with two wins coming against Lafayette and Morgan State. In fact, take those two out-manned programs out of the mix and Army was not only 1-5 to close the season, but failed to score more than 21 points in any of the other six games. The offense averaged only 318 yards on 4.79 yards per play in the six outings. Meanwhile, the defense was been riddled for 510 yards rushing on 5.4 yards per carry in two games prior to Morgan State.
We went against Navy last time out and cashed when Temple put the screws to the Middies, but we believe they own the matchups to continue their domination in this series. Navy enters on a 13-5 ATS run as a favorite and 7-0 ATS when laying 3 1/2 to 10 points over the last couple of seasons.
Navy’s laying the least amount of points to Army since 2005 and lost ATS the last two meetings as favorites of 21 1/2 and 16 1/2 points, winning outright, but falling short of big spreads. This year’s number is much more doable as adjustments have been made due to Navy’s QB injuries. We’ll take advantage of the adjustment, laying the points with Navy on Saturday.
Thanks & GL!