Atlanta Falcons vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Free Pick
Play on: OVER
I’m expecting a shootout in Baltimore Sunday between the Ravens and Falcons. Baltimore comes in with the 8th ranked offense in the league (389.8 ypg) and Atlanta has the 3rd ranked offense (410.0 ypg). Defensively the Falcons are not good. They have allowed 98 points over their last 3 games and are giving up 31.7 ppg on the road. The key here is that this is a good matchup for Atlanta’s offense. The Ravens are 28th in the league against the pass (270.5 ypg) and have struggled to put pressure on the quarterback and are dealing with a number of injuries along the defensive front. Atlanta should be able to score 24+ to easily push this game over the mark.
System – OVER is 111-56 (67%) over the last 5 seasons when you have a team outscoring opponents by 4+ ppg (Ravens) after a game where they allowed 3 points or less in the 1st half. BET THE OVER 50!
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