Published November 5, 2014.
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Wednesday’s Free NBA Pick —-San Antonio Spurs -7.5—
The Spurs have had to sit an wait for 4 days since losing on the road against the Suns last Friday. I look for San Antonio to be all business at home against the Hawks. Not to take anything away from Atlanta, who is a better team than they get credit for, but they are no match for a motivated Spurs squad. The Hawks are also not a great road team. They already lost at Toronto by 7-points and their only win has come at home against a depleted Pacers team. I also think we are getting some value here due to the Spurs not covering in each of their first two games. Keep in mind that San Antonio was a 5-point road favorite at Atlanta and a 12-point home favorite against the Hawks last year.
Key Trends – Atlanta is 3-14 ATS in their last 17 off a game where they won outright and failed to cover the spread and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 vs the Western Conference. San Antonio is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games and 23-12 in their last 35 against the Eastern Conference. BET THE SPURS -7.5!
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