Boston Celtics vs. Philadelphia 76ers NBA Free Pick
Play On: Over 206 points.
I think we are seeing some nice value here on the total in this matchup. Philadelphia is playing much better since their 90-101 loss at home to Boston back on Nov. 19. They just put 115 points in near upset win at home over Memphis. Aiding the 76ers offense will be a Celtics defense that is allowing 108.5 ppg on the road, where they are also allowing teams to shoot 48% from the field. Boston comes in having scored just 87 and 95 points in their last two games, but that was against the Hornets and Knicks, who both rank in the bottom 5 in pace. Adding to this is the fact that Philadelphia’s last two games have also come against teams ranked in the bottom 5 in pace in Memphis and Brooklyn. The Celtics are tied with Golden State at the top in pace at 100.4 and the 76ers are 3rd at 99.2. Both teams are going to be eager to run and with both coming off at least a full day of rest, I expect to see a lot of scoring tonight. Keep in mind that in each of the previous 3 games prior to that earlier contest this season, these two teams had combined for at least 213 points.
Key Trends – OVER is 27-13 in Celtics last 40 games after going UNDER in 2 or more consecutive games and 33-19 in the 76ers last 52 home games after 2 or more consecutive losses. BET THE OVER 206!