Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels Free Pick – July 28, 2016
When: Thursday, July 28 – 10:05 PM EST
Where: Angel Stadium of Anaheim, Anaheim, California
Odds: Red Sox -165 / Angels +155
The Boston Red Sox will take on the Los Angeles Angels in the opener of a four game series at Angel Stadium of Anaheim Thursday night.
Los Angeles’ Mike Trout is mired in an eight-game homerless drought but Albert Pujols collected his 28th RBI of the month when the Halos failed to complete the sweep of the defending World Series champs Kansas City on Wednesday. The Red Sox have are off three home losses against Detroit and this contest will mark their first contest on an 11-game road trip.
About the Boston Red Sox (55-44)
David Price (9-7, 4.51 ERA) will toe the rubber for the Red Sox. Price is 5-5 with a 3.59 ERA in 12 career starts against the Angels but he’s still still searching for ways to regain the form that enticed the Red Sox into giving the 30-year-old a seven-year, $217 million contract. Price gave up five runs and 11 hits in 5 2/3 innings against Minnesota his last time out.
Hanley Ramirez has recorded five homers and 12 RBIs over his last seven games and Boston has hit a Major Leagues-best .302 so far in July.
About the Los Angeles Angels (45-56)
Jered Weaver (8-8, 5.32 ERA) will toe the slab for the Halos. He’s 4-6 with a 4.16 ERA in 16 career starts against the Red Sox and Big Papi is 12-for-37 with three three homers off the right-hander. Weaver’s biggest problem this has been the home run ball as he has served up 23 homers, fifth most among American League pitchers, in 19 starts.
The Halos’ hitters have combined for a .297 batting average this month, only the Red Sox have been better.
Under is 8-1 in Red Sox last 9 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Red Sox last 7 Thursday games.
Over is 4-1-1 in Red Sox last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 2-0-3 in Weavers last 5 starts overall.
Under is 9-2-1 in Weavers last 12 Thursday starts.
Head To Head
Under is 5-1-1 in Weavers last 7 home starts vs. Red Sox.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 7-3-1 in Weavers last 11 starts vs. Red Sox.
The Pick: Over 8.5 Runs
Two teams with plenty of power in their lineups and neither Weaver or Price have been convincing lately.