Ben Burns – Sports Handicapper
As a true professional in his field, Ben Burns Sports Handicapper is widely recognized as being “at the top of his field.” Burns reached adulthood as the Internet was first beginning to explode, just as the first offshore sportsbooks were springing up. By that time he’d already spent thousands of hours learning and studying stats, something he’s taking full advantage of nowadays.
Ever adapting, Burns is just as likely to take points as he is to lay them. Over the years, he’s played more “unders” than “overs” but that doesn’t mean that he won’t pull the trigger on an “over” when the time is right to do so. While many handicappers shy away from playing MLB/NHL favorites on the money-line, Ben has proven that one can be highly successful by doing so. For him, it’s all about value. If he can get a team at -130 that he likes and that believes should be -160, than that’s a play.
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|Twins vs Astros||Astros -139||Premium||4-10||Win||100||Show|
|White Sox vs Orioles||Orioles +1½ -132||Premium||1-9||Win||100||Show|
|Diamondbacks vs Pirates||Pirates -116||Premium||2-1||Loss||-116||Show|
|Magic vs Raptors||OVER 205½ -110||Premium||96-115||Win||100||Show|
|Golden Knights vs Sharks||Sharks -116||Top Premium||4-5||Win||100||Show|
PICKS IN PROGRESS
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. The Pirates lost yesterday, costing me a perfect 5-0 card. I expect them to bounce back today though. With a 2-0 record and 0.53 ERA, Lyles is in exceptional form. Last time out, he blanked the Giants for six innings. On the other hand, Kelly lasted just 3 2/3 innings last time out, giving up three runs on six hits. Frankly, he was lucky to only allow that many, as he also walked seven batters. Thats never a good sign. In two road starts, he's got a 5.58 ERA and a horrible 2.068 WHIP. Even after losing the first two in the series, the Pirates are still 81-55 (+9.3) the past 2+ seasons, as favorites of -110 or greater. I feel that the price could easily be higher, given the form of the starters, and I expect the Pirates to improve on those numbers today. Payback time!
I'm playing on Seattle/San Diego UNDER the total. While yesterday's game snuck over the number, I'm expecting a well-pitched affair this afternoon. Paddack had a 2.10 ERA in the minors last season. This spring, he had a 1.76 ERA through five starts, the final one coming against the Mariners. Through four big league starts, Paddack has a stellar 2.25 ERA and 0.800 WHIP. At home, his WHIP dips to a miniscule 0.636. King Felix has also enjoyed success here at Petco. In fact, he's 5-1 with a dominant 1.63 ERA in eight starts here. In his last four starts against the Padres, he's allowed 1, 1, 1 and 2 earned runs. His lone 2018 start against SD resulted in a 2-1 final. Yesterday notwithstanding, the UNDER has been money here this season. Look for the final combined score to stay beneath the number.
I'm playing on COLORADO. The Nationals took yesterday's game but I fully expect the Rockies to bounce right back this afternoon. If you've ever had an infected tooth, you know it can cause a lot of pain. Getting rid of it feels great. Marquez was dealing with an infected tooth last time out - but still battled - and has since gotten it pulled. He's got a superb 2.25 ERA and 0.969 WHIP on the season. On the other hand, Sanchez has an ugly 4.91 ERA and 1.545 WHIP on the season. Over the past 2+ seasons, the Rockies are a stellar 79-48 (+8.7) as home favorites of -110 or greater. Pitching matchup in their favor, expect them to improve on those stats this afternoon.
I'm playing on Utah/Houston OVER the total. The Jazz stayed alive last game, sending the series back to Houston. The Rockets scored at will in the first two games here, putting up 118 and 122 points. While the last game stayed below the number, the OVER is still 3-1 the past four times that the Jazz were facing elimination. During that span, the OVER is also 2-0 when Utah was off a win of 15 or more points, when listed as a home underdog. Meanwhile, the Rockets have seen the OVER go 7-2 when playing with revenge from a loss where they were listed as a road favorite. Expect plenty of points, the final combined score finishing above the relatively low number.
I'm playing on Carolina/Washington UNDER the total. While the last two games have found their way above the number, I'm expecting goals to be at a premium for Game 7. Even factoring in the last two games, the UNDER is 22-11-1 when the Canes faced a divisional opponent while the Caps have seen the UNDER go 20-14 in their divisional games. Prior to the last two, the scores were 2-1 and 5-0. The last six times that the Caps were in a Game 7, every one of them finished with five or fewer combined goals. The scores were 4-0, 2-0, 2-1, 5-0, 2-1 and 2-1. We have to go back much further (2009 Conf. semis) to find that the last time that the Canes played a Game 7. That one also finished below 5.5, a final score of 3-2, in OT. Look for more of the same Wednesday night.
In "Outliers," Malcolm Gladwell asks the question: "What makes high achievers different?" Gladwell suggests that those at the top of their field have a number of similarities - that their upbringing (culture, family, what generation they came from, experiences) had much to do with their success.
As a professional sports handicapper, Ben Burns is widely recognized as being "at the top of his field." A look at Ben's upbringing shows that he fits Gladwell's model to a tee.
Exposed to the world of point spreads early and often as a child, Burns reached adulthood as the Internet was first beginning to explode, just as the first offshore sportsbooks were springing up. By that time he'd already spent thousands of hours learning and studying stats.
From an early age it became apparent to family and friends that Ben wasn't a "typical" fan. At age 11, he was mentioned in a major newspaper (Toronto Star) for correctly predicting a high profile trade before the Major League Baseball trading deadline. (Winner of the contest got tickets to the All Star game.)
Ben's father and uncles were always involved in a weekly NFL (ATS) pool. Some of Ben's earliest memories included that pool and his fascination with it. As soon as he was allowed to play, Ben demonstrated an uncanny ability to surprise the adults. Around this time, one of his uncles moved his casino business to the Caribbean. This was the environment which he came from.
The caption underneath Ben's high-school graduation photo references Ben's love for betting on football. That's because he was famous throughout his school for annually winning the local football contest, along with the $1700 per year which was awarded to the champ.
Coming of age right as the first sports books were coming online, Ben was fortunate to enjoy some success with his some of his early online sports betting endeavors. He did so well that the first shop he ever played at ended up refusing to take his hockey bets.
Also, in the very early days of the Internet, Ben won an NBA playoff contest, put on by a company which was called NSS.net. The contest victory awarded him a trip for two to Las Vegas, $1000 cash, a limo at his disposal, free shows, hotel and live sports odds for a year. Not a bad prize for a kid in his early 20s. However, the bigger prize was that Ben was exposed to the world of "professional sports handicapping." Inspired by his personal success and encouraged by his peers, Ben first made his picks available to the public in 1998.
Achievements in Handicapping/Sports
Top Ranked NFL Handicapper
From the years of 1998-2007, Ben's selections were independently documented at one of the Internet's earliest and most respected sports monitors, Big Guy Sports. During that time, Ben earned literally dozens of documented Top 3 finishes in football, basketball, baseball AND hockey, including numerous #1 titles. Competing against a field of 150 of the biggest names in the industry, he ranked as the #1 NFL handicapper in the existence of that sports monitor, in their All-Time rankings. No competing handicapping service ever came close to matching his NFL record. In fact, Ben also ranked as the #1 combined NFL/NCAA football handicapper.
10 Straight Super Bowl Winners
A big part of the reason for Ben's #1 NFL titles was his annual success in the playoffs. He fared particularly well with his Super Bowl selections. In fact, from 1999-2007, he released 10 Super Bowl picks (3 Sides, 7 totals) and went a perfect 10-0. (All selections independently documented.) In the middle of that 10-0 streak, in the 2002-2003 season, Ben won with both the Bucs and the "over" the year that they beat the Raiders. That win was particularly sweet as he predicted that Tampa would win the Super Bowl in a number of national magazines, prior to the season even starting.
Ben got pretty seriously into the DFS world in 2014 and 2015. Recently, he was featured as "The High Roller" in the 2015 documentary, "Living the Fantasy." A regular fixture at Fan Duel and Draft Kings live championship events, Burns has taken down 6-figure scores in football, basketball AND baseball. While many of the other prominent DFS players come from a poker background, two decades as a sports handicapper provide a unique perspective.
Biggest Win of 2016
The year has just begun but Ben has already enjoyed some notable wins. His "Bowl Game of the Year," which happened to be a total (WVU/ASU "over") saw the teams combine for 85 points and 1196 total yards, all of them in regulation. Closing out the campaign with wins on Clemson AND the "over" in the championship game was also rewarding.
Systems Used For Handicapping
Bruce Lee noted: "Man, the living creature, the creating individual, is always more important than any established style of system." Lee was known to talk about being shapeless, formless (like water) and ready to adapt to any situation. Likewise, Burns doesn't rely on any one particular methodology. Rather, he combines fundamental, technical and situational techniques, making use of any and all data, which he deems relevant to the situation.
Ben does tend to pay particular attention to the 'situational' side of things. Among numerous other factors, this includes trying to determine when (and why) a team will be extra motivated ("pumped up") to play its best and also when a team may be ripe for a "letdown." Burns has a contrarian nature and this trait is often revealed in his selections.
Ever adapting, Burns is just as likely to take points as he is to lay them. Over the years, he's played more "unders" than "overs" but that doesn't mean that he won't pull the trigger on an "over" when the time is right to do so. While many handicappers shy away from playing MLB/NHL favorites on the money-line, Ben has proven that one can be highly successful by doing so. For him, it’s all about value. If he can get a team at -130 that he likes and that believes should be -160, than that's a play.
Rating and Titles of Plays
Ben uses a scale of 5-10 to show his level of confidence with each play. Plays may include "titles" in order to give users a better idea of what to expect. Some of those titles include:
Personal Favorite - Strongest favorite (or pick'em game) in that sport for the day.
Best Bet - Strongest underdog (or pick'em game) in that sport for the day, occasionally can be a total.
Blue Chip Total - Strongest rated total in that sport/category for the day.
Main Event - Big play which is featured on national television.
Game Of The Week/Month/Year - Top rated side or total for that particular week/month/year.