Published June 17, 2016.
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When: Friday, June 17 – 7:10 PM EST
Where: Marlins Park, Miami, Florida
Odds: Rockies +105/Marlins-115
Over/Under: 7.5 Runs
Marlins southpaw Adam Conley is having a rough time over the past month. He’s winless with a 5.27 ERA in his last 5 starts and opponents have hit .308 against him during this stretch. Conley has walked 13 in the 27 and 1/3 innings spanning this rough 5-start stretch.
The Miami left-hander will be facing a Rockies team that will be stepping into the batters box with plenty of confidence in this one.
Colorado has won 8 of their last 10 games and averaged 6.2 runs per game during this stretch. Even though the Rockies Jon Gray has been pitching well, the Marlins have averaged 5.7 runs per game in their last 9 games and Miami has averaged 10.8 hits per game during this solid stretch at the plate.
The over is 8-4 in the Marlins last 12 games. Miami is 22-12 this season when off of a loss. Also, after an off day, the Marlins have gone 23-14 to the over the past three seasons combined.
The Rockies are 7-4 to the over this season as a road dog in a price range of +100 to +125.
With this line moving down from an 8 to a 7.5 as of early Friday morning, I’ll gladly grab the additional line value with the over in this match-up.
Consider a small play on the OVER in Miami tonight as it is my free pick for Friday.
Best of luck, The Bulldog
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The Pick: Over 7.5 Runs
