Cowboys vs. Redskins Expert Free Pick – September 18
Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Redskins
1:00 PM ET, Sunday, September 18, 2016
FedEx Field, Landover, Maryland
Spread: DAL +3 / WAS -3
One thing that every average Joe does after Week 1 of the NFL, either looking at things from a fans perspective or a pointspread perspective, is overreact to what they saw in Week 1, and conclude that team A or team B is done for the year, they are gonna stink it up, and surely cannot cover a spread against anyone good.
For example Arizona was as high as a 10 point favorite last week against the Pats, with no Brady, no Gronk and no starting left tackle, and yet they lose straight up to the Pats, so they must not be as good as advertised. Well, slow your roll and take a deep breath, all teams have 15 games left and nothing is decided and some surprising results in Week 2 await you.
That said, lets look at the Washington Redskins, who looked like a dog turd in a watermelon patch on Monday Night Football, as the Steelers and Big Big put on a clinic and beat them like a drum. Looks like the Kurt Cousins singing was a bust, and the Skins are headed down the river after a woeful performance. Have no illusions, the NFC East title at seasons end will go through Washington.
Dallas was busy last Sunday, doing what Dallas does best, making bonehead plays, not using the clock wisely in a tight game, late in the game, and Jason Garrett looking like a deer in the headlights as a coach with a game on the line. Same Ol Dallas, who are now 1-12 straight up their last 13 games without Tony Romo, and 10-24 their last 34 games without Romo overall. That last win without Romo was in Washington last year!
Oddsmakers have decided that Washington is not even worth of a 3 point home field advantage on Sunday and I think that is a huge mistake. Even on a short week, I have the Skins rated higher than Dallas in my power ratings, and I will add a full 3 points to home field, as you have a rookie QB and a rookie RB making their first road start in the NFL at a divisional opponent. That is no easy chore, and they are catching a Skins team in a very foul mood, and it will be a packed house with Dallas in town.
Last week Dallas’s superstar WR Bryant has 1 catch for 8 yards, they did not distribute the ball all that well, and their vertical passing game was suspect at best. The offense is still pedestrian for Dak Prescott, who is a good QB but raw, and quite frankly he played better than expected last week in my opinion in spite of a limited playbook. That said the Redskins at home is not Vandy on the road in the SEC, and Washington has not forgotten that Dallas beat them last year at home without Romo, and they are looking for some payback and to avoid an 0-2 start, as returning divisional champs and a playoff team last year.
Oddsmakers know the public loves to bet Dallas and yet you do not have to even lay a field goal with America’s team, the line is less than 3, and that is easy money against a team who looked unprepared on MNF, and this should be a no sweat Winner for young QB Prescott and company. I beg to differ and I say Washington gets it done by a TD here.
Tony George‘s Pick: Redskins -2.5 (Washington 28 – Dallas 23)
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