Cubs vs. Indians Free Picks 11/01/16 – World Series Game 6
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Indians World Series Game 6 free picks and predictions
The Cleveland Indians get another chance to close out the season and earn their first World Series title since 1948 home at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio, Thursday night. The Chicago Cubs will be looking to stay alive to fight another day just like they did with a 3-2 victory home at Wrigley on Sunday. They’re still trailing the Tribe 3-2 in the series and no team has wiped out a 3-1 deficit in the World Series since the Kansas City Royals did it to St. Louis Cardinals in 1985. Chicago now needs to win back-to-back games on the road to secure the title, and if you are to believe the sharp bettors they’ll survive at least one more game.
The Cubs opened as a -135 favorite but are now in the -145 to -155 range across the online sports books and the big Vegas shops. That is despite nearly 60 percent of the tickets coming in on Cleveland who you can get at +145 if you shop around. The total is holding steady at the opening number of seven runs for now, but that might change with close to two thirds of the public wagers backing the over.
The Cubs came from behind to beat the Tribe in Game 5, the first game this postseason that Cleveland lost when leading at any point. By winning Game 5, the Cubs triggered the return of Kyle Schwarber to their lineup as the designated hitter in Cleveland, so it’s not all doom and gloom despite closing out the series on the road.
Jake Arrieta (1-1, 3.78 ERA) will take the mound for the Cubs here in Game 6. Arrieta took a no-hitter into the sixth inning in Game 2 at Cleveland and fanned six hitters in 5 2/3 innings and 98 pitches as he ended up with the win, his first of the postseason. The 30 year old right-hander was 11-3 in 15 road starts during the regular season, but his 3.59 ERA was almost a full run higher than his ERA home at Wrigley.
The Indians counter with right-hander Josh Tomlin (2-0, 1.76), who blanked the Cubs for 4 2/3 innings in a 1-0 win in Game 3. Cleveland manager Terry Francona yanked him at the first sign of trouble despite the humble pitch count of just 58 pitches, and it payed off as the Indians went on to win 1-0. Tomlin will start with three days’ rest for just the second time in his MLB career, but Cleveland’s bullpen has been excellent in the postseason and it should be good to go again after Monday’s off-day.
Indians shortstop Francisco Lindor is batting .421 in the World Series, but he was 0-for-3 against Arrieta in Game 2.
Our Prediction: Cleveland Indians ML (+145)
The price is right to back the Tribe here. Jake Arrieta was dominant in the early goings of the season but regressed in the later stages. Tomlin is no ace, but he can put in a shift and then hand over the ball to an extremely solid pen, led by Andrew Miller.