Dallas Mavericks vs. New York Knicks NBA Free Pick
Play On: New York Knicks +7.5.
While the Knicks are just 1-11 over their last 12 games, they have covered the spread in each of their last 2 and 5 of 7 overall. In their last three home games they have lost by 5-points to to the Raptors, 4-points to the Trail Blazers and 3-points to the Cavaliers. Adding to this is the fact that New York hasn’t lost at home by more than 7-points since a 15-point loss to Washington back in the 4th game of the season on Nov. 4. I think this line has been inflated, due to the perception that Dallas is going to bounce back off that ugly home loss to the Warriors. However, the Mavericks could be without one of their key players here in Chandler Parsons, who is a game-time decision with a back injury.
Key Trends – Dallas is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games against a team that’s won fewer than 40% of their home games and just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100+ in their last game. New York is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games versus a team with a winning percent above 60% and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs a team with a winning road record. BET THE KNICKS +7.5!