Detroit Pistons vs. Milwaukee Bucks NBA Free Pick
Detroit Pistons +3
The Key: The Pistons won the season’s first meeting 98-93 at home. It was their second consecutive win over the Bucks and fifth in six games (the lone loss came by only three points). While some will be looking to play the revenge angle with Milwaukee, there is plenty of evidence saying that’s the wrong move. Milwaukee is on a 25-43 ATS slide at home when seeking revenge for a loss of three points or less. In addition, when the line is +3 to -3, you want to fade home teams that are looking for revenge for a loss to an opponent if that opponent checks in off a road loss. Doing so has produced a 129-78 ATS mark the last five seasons. The Bucks have won four of six at home, but the Pistons are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games versus a team with a winning home record. The road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Take the points.
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