Brandon Lee’s Mariners vs Red Sox MLB Free Pick April 22, 2021

Published April 22, 2021 in Featured

Brandon Lee Mariners vs Red Sox MLB Free Pick

Play on: Mariners +151

Start Time: April 22 2021, 7:10 PM

FREE PICK – Seattle Mariners +151
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 911

I will roll the dice with the Mariners as a big +151 underdog in Thursday’s road game against the Red Sox. I think we are getting quite the value with Seattle at this price. The Mariners will have Justin Dunn on the mound. He had a rough first start, where he walked 8, but he only allowed 1 hit. He was much better in his second outing, giving up just 1 run on 2 hits in 5 innings at Baltimore.

I also think there’s value here because of how good Boston starter Nick Pivetta looks on paper. Pivetta is 2-0 with a 3.68 ERA in 3 starts. Thing is, the advanced stats don’t match up, as he’s got a 4.30 FIP and 5.42 xFIP. He’s also struggled big time with control, walking 11 in 14 2/3 innings of work.

Mariners are 8-3 in Dunn’s last 11 starts as a dog and 6-1 in his last 7 as a road dog. Give me Seattle +151!

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