Brandon Lee’s Mariners vs Red Sox MLB Free Pick April 22, 2021

Published April 22, 2021 in Featured Free Picks

Brandon Lee Mariners vs Red Sox MLB Free Pick

Play on: Mariners +151

Start Time: April 22 2021, 7:10 PM

FREE PICK – Seattle Mariners +151
ROT#: 911

I will roll the dice with the Mariners as a big +151 underdog in Thursday’s road game against the Red Sox. I think we are getting quite the value with Seattle at this price. The Mariners will have Justin Dunn on the mound. He had a rough first start, where he walked 8, but he only allowed 1 hit. He was much better in his second outing, giving up just 1 run on 2 hits in 5 innings at Baltimore.

I also think there’s value here because of how good Boston starter Nick Pivetta looks on paper. Pivetta is 2-0 with a 3.68 ERA in 3 starts. Thing is, the advanced stats don’t match up, as he’s got a 4.30 FIP and 5.42 xFIP. He’s also struggled big time with control, walking 11 in 14 2/3 innings of work.

Mariners are 8-3 in Dunn’s last 11 starts as a dog and 6-1 in his last 7 as a road dog. Give me Seattle +151!


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