Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox MLB Free Pick June 29, 2021

Published June 29, 2021 in Featured Free Picks

Sean Murphy Twins vs White Sox Free Pick

Play on: OVER 8½ -102

Start Time: June 29 2021, 8:10 PM

Tuesday MLB Free play. My selection is on the ‘over’ between Minnesota and Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday.

NOTE: This was a premium release on Monday but was the game was postponed due to weather. I’ll recommend the same play on Tuesday, albeit at a lower rating due to the adjusted total.

The White Sox are mired in a hitting slump right now but I look for them to bust out of it against a familiar division opponent (and starting pitcher) on Tuesday night. With that being said, the Twins are consistently putting up big numbers the plate and I think they’ll find a way to help this one ‘over’ the very reasonable total.

Kenta Maeda will take the ball for Minnesota. The White Sox have faced him three times since the start of last season, scoring seven earned runs including four home runs in only 15 innings. I think they’re poised for a true breakout performance against Maeda here, noting that he continues to struggle this season, particularly on the road where he owns a 5.64 ERA and 1.41 WHIP with the ‘over’ cashing in five of his eight starts.

With Maeda averaging just 4 2/3 innings per start this season we’ll likely see plenty of the Twins bullpen, which has posted a collective 4.59 ERA and 1.35 WHIP on the road this season. Worse still, the Minnesota ‘pen owns a 5.45 ERA and 1.44 WHIP at night.

Lucas Giolito will counter for Chicago. He’s been good but not great this season with the White Sox only managing to win seven of his 15 starts with the ‘over’ holding a slight edge at 8-7. He got the better of the Twins in a start back in May but they have certainly shown the ability to hit him hard over the years, scoring exactly seven earned runs off of him on three different occasions in his last nine starts against them. Note that they’ve crushed eight home runs off of Giolito in their last five games against him.

The White Sox bullpen has struggled lately, entering yesterday’s game sporting a collective 6.20 ERA and 1.70 WHIP over their last seven games. While they’ve posted a respectable 3.82 ERA and 1.27 WHIP at night this season, they’ve blown 10 saves compared to just 10 converted along the way. Take the over (8*).

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