Patriots vs Texans Free Pick & Prediction Week 12, 2020

Published November 21, 2020 in Featured Free Picks

Dave Price Patriots vs Texans Free Pick

Start Time: November 22 2020, 1:00 PM

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Houston Texans this week.

They have played one of the toughest schedules in the NFL with their 7 losses coming to the Chiefs, Ravens, Steelers, Vikings, Titans, Packers and Browns.  Six of those 7 teams have winning records and the only one that doesn’t is the Vikings.

Now they face a team they can handle here in the Patriots, who are 4-5 on the season only after winning their last 2 games against the Jets and Ravens.  They needed a last-second field goal to beat the Jets, then they took advantage of a banged-up Ravens team last week and some good breaks due to the monsoon they were playing in.  They had lost 4 straight prior to this winning streak including bad losses to the Broncos and 49ers.

The Texans played well last week in a 7-10 loss at Cleveland in gale-force winds.  The game was forced to be played on the ground, which isn’t Houston’s style.  Now they are back home here in a dome where they can take advantage of their speed.

The Patriots have one of the slowest defenses in the NFL so this is a terrible matchup for them.  The Patriots are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games off an ATS win.  The home team is 9-2-1 ATS in the last 12 matchups.  Take Houston.

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