Steelers vs. Chiefs Free Pick October 15, 2017

Published October 15, 2017 in Featured NFL Free Picks

Brandon Lee's Steelers vs. Chiefs Free Pick

Play on: Steelers +4½ (-110)

Start Time: October 15 2017, 4:25 PM

I would have to take the points with Pittsburgh in this one. The fact that Kansas City has started out 5-0 ATS and are the talk of the NFL right now, the public is lining up to take them. This line has been inflated because of that and thus the value here is with the Steelers.

This is also an ideal spot to jump on the Steelers after that embarrassing loss to Jacksonville. Pittsburgh will be 100% locked in for this contest and have owned this series when Roethlisberger has been healthy. In fact, the Steelers are a perfect 6-0 against the Chiefs when Roethlisberger starts and finishes a game.

Both of the meetings last year were pretty lopsided, even though the playoff game was decided by just a few points. The Steelers were up 36-0 in the regular season meeting before the Chiefs added a couple garbage touchdowns late. In the postseason meeting, the Chiefs somehow managed to hold the Steelers to 6 field goals, or that would have been a lot uglier final score.

The biggest thing here is we don’t even need Pittsburgh to win the game outright. Chances are this is a back and forth game that could go either way in the 4th quarter. I’d much rather take my chances that the Steelers win outright or keep it with 4 points, than bank on KC winning by 5 or more.

Pittsburgh is 13-6 ATS in their last 19 following a loss, an impressive 22-8-2 ATS in their last 32 road games against a team with a winning home record and a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 road games against a team that is allowing 4.5 or more yards/carry against the run. Give me the Steelers +4.5!

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