Free Football Betting Tips October 9, 2016
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Free Winners Sunday
Our professional handicappers are always happy to give out freebies, and this Sunday is no different. This Sunday’s featured free picks come exclusively from the NFL. Enjoy.
Chargers vs. Raiders
Chargers +3 1/2
I’m backing the Chargers plus the points on Sunday. San Diego continues to play close ballgames, but coming up on the short end of the stick. They lost in OT to KC…a game most felt they should have won, and dropped a four-point decision to Indy and suffered a one-point loss to New Orleans, a game where we cashed with the Saints.
SDG could have won any and all of those three games, but instead they’re sitting 1-3 SU. Philip Rivers is playing well, connecting on 68% of his passes with 7 TD passes and just 1 INT. Rivers has led the Chargers to the NFL’s 7th ranked passing game, while averaging and NFL 3rd best, 30.2 ppg. While Oakland’s offense has been on fire, the defense is as bad as the offense has been good. Oakland heads into this one ranked 2nd to last in yards rushing allowed per game and a dead last 32nd in both yards passing allowed and total yards allowed per game.
SDG enters on a 7-1 ATS road run, while the Raiders have dropped five straight home games ATS. And like their first home game of the season (ATL 35-28 win & cover) we’ll go against them in their second home tilt, also.
I’m recommending a play on the Chargers on Sunday.
Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Jets vs. Steelers
Setting the scene: These teams are moving in opposite directions and we think those trends continues in Week 5 of the 2016/17 NFL regular season.
The Jets: They’re 1-3 SU/ATS. Last week they fell 27-17 at home to the Seahawks. It was a third straight loss for Gang Green as QB Ryan Fitzpatrick would finish just 23 of 41 for 261 yards, one TD and three INT’s. So far Fitzpatrick has ten INT’s to go with just four TD’s. The ground game stalled last week as well, finishing with just 58 yards. WR Eric Decker didn’t play because of injury and if he does manage to go on Sunday, clearly he won’t be at 100% capacity. New York averages 19.8 PPG, ranked 24th in the league. The defense concedes 26.2 PPG, ranked 22nd in the NFL.
The Steelers: After a humiliating defeat to the Eagles, Pittsburgh bounced back in a big way last week, destroying the Chiefs 43-14. QB Ben Roethlisberger was 22 of 27 for 300 yards, five TD’s and no INT’s. So far Big Ben has 11 TD’s and four INT’s on the year. RB Le’Veon Bell made his triumphant return after a three-game suspension and finished with 144 yards. So far Pittsburgh is averaging 27 PPG this year, while the defense concedes an average of 20 PPG, ranked 12th overall.
The bottom line: Note that New York is just 5-7 ATS in its last 12 on the road and only 4-7 ATS after two or more consecutive SU losses, while Pittsburgh is 11-6 ATS in its last 17 at home and 13-9 ATS in its last 22 when playing the role of favorite. We think the home side rolls again this week, the Jets have more issues than just Fitzpatrick and all signs point to a blowout of epic proportions.
Redskins vs. Ravens
The Ravens welcome in the Redskins on Sunday and it’s the home team that has the value laying the points. Baltimore will get a look at a defense that has been very shaky and a struggle this season. Washington was actually given fits by Browns rookie QB Cody Kessler last week and they have really struggled against the run. Washington allows 4.9 yards per carry and has conceded 8 rushing TDs this season. This plays right into the Ravens hands, as they look to establish a ground game early and often to set the tone.
Some trends to note. Redskins are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Redskins are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Washington is going to struggle here. This is a spot where the Ravens could have easily been 6 or 6.5 point favorites. At 3.5, this is a nice price for Baltimore.
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