Free MLB Predictions & Picks

1* Free Play on Padres +148

Jack’s Free Pick Monday: Los Angeles Angels -1.5 (-105) 

The Los Angeles Angels should have no problem winning by two runs or more tonight against the reeling Kansas City Royals.  The Royals are 2-17 in their last 19 games overall with 12 of those losses coming by two runs or more. 

Tyler Skaggs has been the Angels’ best starter this season at 6-4 with a 2.81 ERA and 1.225 WHIP in 14 starts.  He has been at his best on the road, going 5-1 with a 2.27 ERA and 1.112 WHIP in eight starts away from home.  Skaggs is 3-0 with a 0.45 ERA in his last three starts. 

Skaggs has never lost to the Royals, going 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.714 WHIP in two career starts against them, pitching 14 shutout innings.  He’ll be opposed by Brad Keller, who is 0-1 with a 3.38 ERA and 1.661 WHIP in four starts for the Royals this season, averaging just 4.7 innings per start. 

The Angels are 14-2 vs. teams who win 38% or fewer of their games this season.  They are beating these teams by 3.0 runs per game on average.  Los Angeles is 12-1 vs. AL teams scoring 3.9 or less runs per game, winning these contests by 3.4 runs per game.  Bet the Angels on the Run Line Monday.

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Play - Tampa Bay Rays w/Snell (Game 918).

Edges -  Rays: Snell 0.96 ERA and 0-94 WHIP at home this season; and 5-2 with 1.70 ERA and 1.09 WHIP last seven overall team starts … With the Rays 6-0 on Mondays this season, we recommend a 1* play on Tampa Bay.  Thank you and good luck as always.

> > Marc’s winning hand on the MLB base paths (11-4 last 15 releases) continues Monday with his featured MLB Top Of The Ticket Key Play.  Best of all it’s yours - if you act now! 

The MLB 3* Comp Play is on The LA. Angels at 4:15 eastern. The Angels qualify in a 15-1 system today that plays on road favorites at -140 or more that scored 5+ runs and had 1 or no errors in a home favored loss, vs an opponent that was a dog in their last game. LA has won all 6 meetings from KC and they are 10-1 as a road favorite in this range. KC has lost 7 of 8 on Mondays, 25 of 33 vs winning teams and 17 of 20 in June. KC has Keller going but his numbers are not as strong as Skaggs for LA. Skaggs has won 6 of 8 on the road with a 2.27 Era. He has 2 starts spanning 14 innings vs KC and has not allowed a single run. Look for LA to take another from the Royals. On Monday we have 2 big MLB Plays one is the Total of the Month, the other is a powerful 5* Side. We also have another World Cup play and we are on an 8-2 run in soccer.  For the MLB 3* Play on the LA. Angels. RV- GC Sports.

1* Free Sharp Play on Indians -120

My money is on the Indians as a short road favorite against the Cardinals. Cleveland comes in having won 7 straight and it's been quite the run. The Indians have scored at least 4 runs in all 7 wins and have put up 6 or more 5 times during this stretch. They have also not allowed more than 3 runs in any game during the win streak and have allowed a mere 9 runs total over the 7 games. I expect more of the same with Mike Clevinger on the mound for Cleveland and the Cardinals sending out John Gant. Clevinger is 6-2 with a 3.00 ERA in 15 starts, owns a 2.27 ERA in 7 road starts and a 1.69 ERA in his last 3 outings. Gant is 0-2 with a 6.00 ERA in 3 starts and has a 6.52 ERA and 1.449 WHIP in 2 home outings. Bet the Indians -120! 

1* Free Pick on Orioles +

I like the value here with the Orioles as a short road dog against the Mariners on Monday. Baltimore is finally starting to play some decent baseball. They just split a 6-game road trip against the Nationals and Braves.

A big reason is they are starting to produce at the plate. The Orioles scored 20 runs in their 3 games against Atlanta over the weekend and they should be able to keep it going against Seattle's Felix Hernandez, who owns an ugly 6.97 ERA and 1.600 WHIP in 8 road starts. 

The Orioles will send out the red-hot Andrew Cashner, who has posted a strong 3.37 ERA in his last 3 starts, which have come against the Yankees, Blue Jays and Nationals. 

Mariners are 1-5 in Hernandez's last 6 starts and have lost 4 straight road games against a right-handed starter.  Take Baltimore! 

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My free play is on the Arz D'backs at 7:10 ET. Arizona completed a four-game sweep at Pittsburgh on Sunday (3-0 victory), winning for the 12th time in its last 16 games. Five-time All-Star Paul Goldschmidt, who has hit safely in 17 of his last 18 contests, should be back in the lineup tonight, after resting in Sunday’s win. The National League West leaders (D'backs are 2 1/2 games up on the Dodgers) gave up just six runs against the Pirates and Monday will open a four-game series in Miami with the Marlins. The Marlins enter this series fresh off their first winning road trip of the season (5-4) after outlasting Colorado 8-5 on Sunday. However, Miami checks in with an NL-worst record of 31-47 and sits in last-place in the NL East, 14 games back of the division-leading Braves. The Marlins are hoping for a better result than when they were outscored 21-4 while getting swept in three games at Arizona to start June.

Arizona's Shelby Miller makes his first trip to a major-league mound in more than 14 months when he takes the mound in Marlins Park on Monday. He underwent Tommy John surgery after making just four starts last season and hopes to help the Diamondbacks win for the ninth time in 10 road games. Miller won a career-high 15 games in 2013 with St. Louis and makes his first appearance in the majors since April 23, 2017. His career record is below .500 (37-49) but he owns a 3.67 ERA.

Miami's Dan Straily (2-3, 4.89 ERA) is appealing a five-game suspension for hitting Buster Posey in Tuesday’s start at San Francisco, when he lasted only 1.1 innings and gave up four runs. He had limited opponents to three runs or fewer in six of his previous eight starts before the 6-3 loss against the Giants last time out. Straily faced Arizona earlier this year, allowing one run in 4.1 innings of a 6-1 loss to the Diamondbacks back on June 3.

The Marlins are 11-11 in June, which has already made this their best month of the season. A 10-game homestand is not necessarily good news though, as they have more road wins (17-26) than home victories (14-21) in 2018. Meanwhile, Arizona has a winning record at home (23-16) and on the road (21-17) this year plus the D'backs are 16-6 in June after a poor May (8-19). Shelby is an unknown quantity at the moment but I expect the Diamondbacks to move to 4-0 against the Marlins in 2018 with a victory tonight.

Good luck...Larry

#MLB FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN

The New York Mets are just 13-24 at home on the season, but right-hander Seth Lugo (2-2, 2.85 ERA) can't be blamed for the poor results as he's 1-0 with a 0.90 ERA in 13 games (two starts) at home this season. 

I like the Mets to pick up a win here, hosting a Pirates team heading to New York on a five-game losing streak during which they've scored a total of just eight runs. The Mets may have dropped six in a row, but they have at least been productive at the plate during the slide with 32 runs scored for a 5.33 rpg average during that span. 

Pittsburgh righty Jameson Taillon (4-6, 4.03 ERA) was tagged with three runs on seven hits and a walk across five innings of a 3-2 loss to the Brewers his last time out. He's served up a homer in three straight starts. 

Mets are 13-3 in Lugo's last 16 starts vs. a team with a losing record and 9-3 in his last 12 home starts.

Free pick on NY Mets. 

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It doesn't take much for me to want to fade the Orioles, who are a staggering 30 games below .500 already.  The spot, pitching matchup and value price are enough to do it here.  It's Felix Hernandez versus Andrew Cashner. Hernandez isn't the King Felix of old, but he's in good form and rates a strong edge on Cashner, who hasn't been reliable since his days pitching at Petco Park with the Padres five years ago.  Hernandez has allowed only one earned in each of his last two starts. Those outings were against the Red Sox and Yankees, too. Now he steps way down in class to face the Orioles, who rank in the bottom-three in runs and batting average. The Orioles have average power, but Hernandez has cut back on the long ball surrendering just two homers during his last seven starts  Cashner is 2-8 with a 4.72 ERA on the year. The Mariners are 20-8 versus righthanders. It's a nice plus if the Mariners get back Jean Segura. The Mariners have been on the East Coast the past week. They've gone 1-5 in their last six games. Note, though, those matchups were against the Yankees and Red Sox.  The Orioles haven't been home in a week. So they may not have their full focus. Baltimore hasn't played well at Camden Yards losing 11 of its past 12 home contests. The Orioles also have dropped 40 of their last 53 games against a righty starter. 
 (Stephen Nover is in that winning baseball zone cashing better than 71 percent of his MLB plays during the past six days. You can always count on detailed, spot-on analysis from Stephen on a well-thought out value play. So don't miss any of his plays, including his special High Roller Monday parlay today.) 

Texas -140

The Rangers are worth a flyer here on Monday night. 

Texas comes in laying juice but grabs a huge edge here pitching wise.

The Rangers send out LH Cole Hamels, who owns a very respectable 3.41 ERA on the season. Hamels has been on the unfortunate end of some lack of run support at times, but he may not need much here.

The Padres boast one of the worst offenses in the MLB, averaging only 3.41 runs per game on the road.

Some trends to note. Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Padres are 1-5 in their last 6 road games.

Grab the home side here.

Back Texas.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Monday 5* FREE MLB ML Play

10* FREE MLB PICK (Marlines +120) 

I'll take my chances here with Miami at home against Arizona. The Diamondbacks come in fresh off a 4-game sweep of the Pirates in Pittsburgh. Arizona has already secured at least a split on their current 10-game road trip with a 5-1 start to the trip. I think off that 4-game sweep we could see Arizona come out a bit flat here in Miami, where they have lost 6 of their last 7 games at Marlins Park. Miami is also playing with some confidence, as they took the final 2 games of their 3-game series at Colorado to finish up their 9-game road trip with a 5-4 record. They put up 14 runs in the final 2 games against the Rockies and I look for the offense to carry the load here against Arizona's Shelby Miller, who will be making his first start since April of last year. It's also worth noting Miami has won 5 of their last 6 series openers and are 6-2 in Dan Straily's last 8 home starts and 4-1 in his last 5 starts vs a team with a winning record. Give me the Marlins +120! 

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Pittsburgh Pirates -107 

The Pirates had climbed their way back to .500 but have lost five straight since.  They should be able to get back in the win column today against a team in the Mets that is struggling more than they are.  The Mets have lost six in a row coming in.  Jameson Taillon is having a productive season at 4-6 with a 4.03 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 15 starts for the Pirates.  Taillon has shut down the Mets in two previous starts against them, going 1-0 with a 1.93 ERA and 0.79 WHIP.  Seth Lugo is used to being a reliever and is only averaging 4.5 innings per start for the Mets this season.  This New York bullpen has posted a 4.73 ERA and has been overused this season, especially of late as the Mets have allowed 6 runs or more in five of their last six games.  The Pirates are 13-6 in the last 19 meetings.  Give me the Pirates.

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