Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies Free Pick 05/15/15
Event: Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies
Venue: FedExForum, Memphis, Tennessee
Scheduled For: 9:30 PM ET, Friday, May 15, 2015
Line: Golden State Warriors -5
Over/Under: 198 points
The Golden State Warriors are holding a 3-2 lead in this Western Conference semifinals series and will be looking to close out the series when they visit the Memphis Grizzlies for Game 6 Friday night. The Warriors have won the last two games by an average of 18.5 points against the offensively-challenged Grizzlies and they held Memphis to a series-low 78 points in Wednesday’s win, marking the third time they’ve limited the Grizzlies to 86 or fewer points over the first five games.
Golden State Warriors (74-17, 51-39 ATS)
The Golden State Warriors are 8-2 SU and 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games overall and they’ve gone 7-2 SU and 4-5 ATS in their playoff games so far on the season. They knocked down 14 3-pointers in Wednesday’s 98-78 win with shooting guard Klay Thompson making three of his four attempts while scoring a series-best 21 points. He’s averaging 17.4 points against Memphis and has struggled early in the series when routinely guarded by Allen who sat out Wednesday with a hamstring injury.
Memphis Grizzlies (61-31, 45-44 ATS)
The Memphis Grizzlies are 6-4 SU and 5-4-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall and they’ve gone 6-4 SU and 5-4-1 ATS in their playoff games so far on the season. Memphis has drawn criticism for its impotent offense, with Allen receiving much of the blame. They were however held to a series-low 78 points in Wednesday’s loss without Allen in the team as they shot 39.8% from the field and completed just four of 15 attempts from beyond the arc. Allen has been vital to hold Thompson quiet, and although he reportedly has indicated that he’ll play tonight one must wonder in what condition.
Trends & Conclusion
The Warriors are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. The Grizzlies are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The favorite is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The Warriors are on the move, and this spread is at least a couple of points too light.