Green Bay Packers vs. Seattle Seahawks NFL Free Pick
Play Seattle Seahawks -7.
Well I hear and read a lot all over the internet and on TV and radio about Green Bay and their quest to beat up Seattle, and that the opening night of the NFL back in September means nothing when comparing these 2 teams here and now. IF Green Bay can do this, IF Green Bay can do that, IF Rodgers heals up with little or no practice time, IF Lacey’s knee soreness goes away, IF Green Bay can tackle, IF Rodgers can squeeze it in to Jordy Nelson in tight coverage against Sherman. Too many “If’s” involved there against Seattle folks. I wrote an article earlier this week on why Dallas lost to Green Bay and why Seattle will beat them. I did not bring the spread into play much in that article but I have not changed my mind one bit.
You have 2 of the 4 stars on offense for Green Bay banged up. You have Aaron Rodgers hopping on one leg, and RB Lacey nursing a sore knee and he did not practice at all Thursday. Has anyone seen the Seattle defense lately? Oh wait, they haven’t played anyone the past 6 weeks worth a crap and all this defensive domination is just smoke and mirrors, and Seattle has no explosive offense and are one dimensional with RB Lynch or QB Wilson running it out of the read option. OK you guys stay with that narrative, I am going a different direction.
The home field here is worth 4 points alone in this game, and Seattle is at least a TD Better on top of that. QB Rodgers against this pass rush is a debacle in the making, and a defense headed up by DC Dan Quinn who will be Atlanta’s head coach after this season, will get after Rodgers big time, something Dallas refused to do. Either WR Nelson or WR Cobb will be taken away in man coverage against Richard Sherman, and Rodgers is immobile and will not able to buy time against a defense ranked 3rds against the run, 1st in yards allow and points allowed, and oh yeah, number 1 against the pass. Does anyone really think the Green Bay defense is equipped at stopping this rushing attack, as they are ranked 19th against the run in the NFL? They allowed Tony Romo in their own house only 4 incompletions last week and Murray had 125 rushing, and Dallas doubled their return yardage and still lost! Another well-known fact is that Green Bay is a different animal on the road, they already got blown out here this season and manage just 21 points a game on the road. Yes Green Bay has evolved since that first game, but so has Seattle.
You cannot come limping in here and get a win, it is that simple, and yes 7 points is a ton of points anytime in the NFL, especially in the post season, but I simply do not see Green Bay within 10 points of Seattle at games end and for a free opinion on this game I will lay the 7, which in my 22 years as a pro handicapper I rarely do in a championship game, and that statement from a capper who took 6 points in the national title game with the underdog Ohio State. I just do not see a Packers team with the best QB in the NFL at 60% at best, against the best defense in the NFL coming into Seattle and pulling a shocker.
Free Play on Seattle -7
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