Heat vs. Hornets Game 6 Betting Preview And Odds

Posted 2 years ago in Featured

When: 8:00 PM ET, Friday, April 29, 2016
Where: Time Warner Cable Arena, Charlotte, North Carolina
Odds: Miami Heat +1.5 / Charlotte Hornets -1.5
Over/Under: 190.5

The Charlotte Hornets are in position to win their first playoff series since 2002 despite opening their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series against the fourth-seeded Miami Heat with a pair of losses.

The Hornets have since won three straight as they managed to steal a win on the road on Wednesday and can now close out the series home at Time Warner Cable Arena. The winner of this quarterfinals will face either the Toronto Raptors or the Indiana Pacers in the next round.

The Heat have cooled off

Miami averaged 119.0 points and shot 57.8 percent in the first two wins but have put up just 84.3 per game on 38.6 percent shooting from the field since. Starting PG Goran Dragic has recorded more personal fouls (12) than assists (10) in the last three games and Luol Deng went 11-of-17 from 3-point land in the first three games but 4-of-14 in the last two.

The Heat posted a losing road record during the regular-season, and the home team had dominated this series prior to Charlotte’s 90-88 upset at Miami on Wednesday. Miami is 1-8 ATS in its last nine road games and 1-6 ATS in its last seven road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The team averaged 96.2 points per game on the road which is considerably less than its 99.9 points per game average overall, but in the Heat’s favor we can note that they’re 10-6 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite this season.

 

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The Stingy Hornets

Including this series, Charlotte has won five of six at home against Miami and it has received a nice boost as Hornets G Nicolas Batum (ankle) returned from a two-game absence in Game 5 and scored eight points in 25 minutes off the bench.

Though Charlotte won 48 games in the regular season, as the sixth seed it’s played with something to prove throughout this series. “We definitely have a chip on our shoulder,” guard Kemba Walker said. “It doesn’t get talked about the things that we do. We have a huge chip on our shoulder.”

Walker and Jeremy Lin combined for 55 points in Game 4 but scored only 25 points between them in the last game. The frontcourt dominated instead as forward Marvin Williams stepped up with a team-high 17 points on 7-of-10 shooting to go along with eight rebounds.

The Pick: Charlotte Hornets -1.5

The Charlotte Hornets have a great opportunity to close out the series in front of the home town crowd, and they definitely don’t want to go to Miami hoping for another upset. The Heat have failed to match the Hornets intensity in recent games, and the Hornets should have the edge here.

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