Kansas State Wildcats vs. TCU Horned Frogs NCAAF Free Pick

Published November 8, 2014.
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Kansas State -6

Wow, this could very well be for the Big 12 Title gents, or at least a big piece of the puzzle gets answered on Saturday in Fort Worth Texas.  TCU off a thriller in Morgantown barely escaping West Virginia with a 1 point win in a cold and rainy setting with College Gameday from ESPN on campus, and a lot of national media hype and exposure.  It gets no easier for TCU this weekend as the red hot Wildcats who have 1 loss to mighty SEC foe Auburn, in a game they should have won, comes calling.

There is a 3 way race for the Big 12, Baylor who beat TCU, TCU themselves and Kansas State.   Any and all are deserving of the title so this is a MONSTER game this weekend.  K State is off back to back impressive wins and to note, they shut out Texas who had not been shut out since 1995 in any game, they lost a game to Auburn on a Thursday Night missing 3 FG’s and getting a pass intercepted in the end zone and losing by 6, and they just destroyed Okie State as a 13 point favorite.  TCU has struggled in big games all season, losing to Baylor, needing a miracle finish to win last week, struggling to a win at home against Oklahoma, and TCU gives up big plays on defense which bit them hard in that Baylor game.

Two good coaches here, but if you want to fade Bill Snyder as a road dog, think again.  In his last 14 road games as an underdog he has coached, he has covered 13 of them and won 7 of them outright, including a 6 point pup at Oklahoma this year.  Jake Waters is a veteran QB with mad skills and is a big time gamer who is a leader, and he rarely makes mistakes, and the shutdown run defense of K State is ranked #9 nationally, while the point production from the offense is ranked #16 nationally.  TCU is no slouch folks, their offense is #2 in points scored per game and scoring 82 against Texas Tech helped that average, along with the 6th ranked pass offense in the NCAA.  This is a huge game with possible final 4 implications down the road, and we are catching TCU off a brutal road trip and last second win, tough spot for them to travel back and match the intensity that K State will bring to this.

One thing is for sure, Bill Snyder is a magician at beating teams he is not supposed to beat, he has done it his entire career and is one of the best (and oldest) coaches in college football.  He has made a career out of making me look like an idiot when I have went against him in big games, and this very well may be for a Big 12 championship and with a 13-1 ATS road dog record, and a 6-2 ATS record overall this year, I will take the points in what should be a thrilling football game and a 3 point win by either side one way or the other.

Take the points and Kansas State – earlier the better, this line will drop    

I MA DISCOUNTING SEASON ENDING PACKAGES IN FOOTBALL ( Mid Season Specials) starting Tuesday and have a 30% on my 9th ranked NBA (2013 record of 60% overall)  Also a Saturday 3-Pack will be up in NCAA and a separate 2 Dime Winner Top Play.