Miami-FL vs. Duke Free Pick September 29, 2017

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Published September 29, 2017.
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Miami-FL vs. Duke Free Pick September 29, 2017

Opening Lines: O/U: 57 | Duke +5.5
Kick Off: 7:00 PM ET

By Matt Fargo


Duke is off to a 4-0 start, matching its 2014 season when it started 4-0 and that streak ended with a loss against the Hurricanes and we can expect a similar result here.

The Blue Devils have shown good balance on offense and the defense has overachieved thus far as they are ranked No. 16 in total defense and No. 17 in scoring defense. Offensively, they have been buoyed by a strong rushing attack that has three players with over 200 yards on the ground but the opposition has played a factor in that.

The Miami defensive front will be the best the Blue Devils have faced as the Hurricanes came into the season with the No. 2 ranked defensive line and No. 2 ranked linebacker unit in the ACC. Duke is one of four teams in the nation that is off to a perfect 4-0 ATS start and while some people ride those streaks, it is best to go contrarian.

We like what we saw with Miami last week. After having not played in 21 days because of the effects of the hurricane, it got off to a slow start against Toledo and trailed 16-10 at halftime.

The Hurricanes found their groove however as they outscored the Rockets 42-14 in the second half. That is something they can carry over into this week and while laying chalk on the road is a rare thing for us, we make the exception here with a team that talent-wise is much better.

Good news on the injury front for Miami is that 2016 leading rusher Mark Walton, who was injured last game and 2016 leading receiver Ahmmon Richards, who has missed both games, have both been upgraded to probable. Going back, the Hurricanes are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.

The Pick: Miami FL -6 (-110)

Fargo returns to the CFB gridiron following a SPECTACULAR 7-2 Week Four and he is gearing up for a MASSIVE Week Five! He is on a COMMANDING 19-6 (76%) CFB Run and going back, he is a SOLID +$26,987 in CFB since the start of the 2013 season! Fargo keeps it rolling and he gets things started on Thursday with a Signature Enforcer! He is on a SWEET 8-5 (62%) NFL Run the last two weeks with seven of those wins covering by over a touchdown each! Since the start of 2012, he has shown NFL PROFITS of +$31,260 and he is anticipating RECORD BREAKING returns this season! Matt is on a SIZZLING 32-15-1 (68%) Football HeaterL20D and that record is tested tonight!