New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Free Pick 09/09/15

Posted 3 years ago in Featured

New York Mets (77-61) at Washington Nationals (71-67)
Nationals Park, Washington, District of Columbia
Wednesday, September 09 – 7:05 PM EST

Line: NYM +105 /WSH -115
Over/Under: 7.5 Runs

Our featured free pick for Wednesday September 9, 2015 comes from the marquee matchup between NL East rivals the New York Mets and the Washington Nationals at Nationals Stadium. The Mets have won each of the first two meetings of this three-game series and are now holding a six-game lead for the division top spot. The Nats had won five straight coming into the series and will be desperate to avoid a sweep.

New York Mets (77-61)
Jacob deGrom (12-7, 2.40 ERA) will take the ball for the Mets and he’s struggled of late going 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA over his last three starts. He’s coming off six innings of a 6-5 loss at Miami not factoring in the decision when the 27 year old gave up three run on nine hits, He has a 3.25 ERA over 13 road starts compared to a 1.57 mark over as many starts home in New York but he’s 4-0 with a 2.82 ERA over his last seven road outings, allowing two runs or fewer in five of them. He’s ERA is lower for day games (1.14 ERA) compared to under the lights (3.15 ERA) and he’s 1-2 with a 3.47 ERA against the Nats on the season. deGrom will be backed up by a bullpen that has posted a respectable 3.20 ERA on the season and an offense that has scored 48 runs over its last six games.

Yoenis Cespedes has five homers during a seven-game hitting streak and David Wright has recorded seven multi-hit performances in 12 contests since returning from spinal stenosis surgery. He’s 6-for-19 in his career vs. the Nats starting pitcher Stephen Strasburg.

Washington Nationals (71-67)
Stephen Strasburg (8-6, 4.35) will take the ball for the Nationals and he had gone 3-1 with a 1.73 ERA over four starts before surrendering four runs on seven hits with two homers over just four innings of a 7-4 win against the Fish his last time out. The 27 year old right-hander is 4-3 with a 3.60 ERA home at Nationals Park and his day/night splits are fairly equal. He’s split his first two meetings with the Mets on the year behind a 4.22 ERA and will be backed up by a bullpen that has posted a 3.65 ERA on the year.

The Nats have scored a Major Leagues best 57 runs over the last seven days behind a .314 team batting average. Ryan Zimmerman sat out Tuesday’s tilt with a mild oblique injury but is batting .435 with six homers and 18 RBIs during his 11-game hitting streak. He’s expected to be back tonight and is 3-for-8 with a homer in previous matchups with deGrom.

What’s the Play
With two quality pitchers on the mound one might expect a low-scoring contest, but neither have been that convincing on the mound of late. Both teams bats on the other hand have been hot and that’s why a high-scoring encounter is likely to take place at Nationals Park Wednesday.

Play: New York Mets @ Washington Nationals Over 7.5 Runs.