Orioles vs. Blue Jays Wild Card Free Pick October 4, 2016
Matchup: Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Tuesday, October 4, 2016 – 8:00 PM ET
Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
Free Pick From Bob Harvey
The 2016 postseason begins in Toronto where the Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles meet in the American League wild card game. First pitch is set for 8 PM ET at the Rogers Centre where the Jays are -147 moneyline favorites. The total is 8.5.
The two teams enter with matching AL wild-card spots with matching 89-73 records. The Blue Jays edged the Orioles 10-9 in the season series, earning the right to host tonight’s one-game showdown.
The Orioles finished strong, winning seven of nine the Blue Jays took two of three from the Boston Red Sox to finish the regular season, holding off Detroit and Seattle in the wild-card race.
Both squads will be going with its #3 starter. Chris Tillman (16-6, 3.77 ERA) is the supposed ace of the Baltimore staff but is winless in his last three starts and has failed to go six innings in each of those games. He’s 5-10 with a 5.44 ERA in 24 career starts against the Blue Jays.
Toronto burned its top two starters in ace Aaron Sanchez and right-hander Marco Estrada over the weekend at Boston, so that means Marcus Stroman (9-10, 4.37) will get the call. He was 1-0 with a 4.19 ERA in the last season’s playoffs last season and finished the 2016 campaign on an up note giving up three or fewer earned runs in five of his last six starts.
The UNDER has cashed in the past six series meetings. The Orioles are 2-8 to the low side in their past 10 games and 6-2 to the UNDER in their last eight road games.
The Blue Jays are 1-9 to the UNDER in their last 10 games and 19-7 south in their past 26.
Play: Under 8.5 Runs