Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Houston Cougars Armed Forces Bowl Free Pick

Posted 3 years ago in Uncategorized

Play On: Houston Cougars +4. 

I’m going to grab Houston at +4 now that the public have pushed them to this key number.  This is a road game for Pitt as the game will be played in Fort Worth, Texas and they are doing so with a very young team.  Nearly 80% of this roster are underclassmen whom were recruited by Paul Chryst who left for Wisconsin.  This is the 4th time since 2010 that Pitt has lost their coach and I just think this is a difficult spot going up against Houston in their home state who have as much talent as Pitt.

Houston lost their coach too but in a different way as the head man was fired.  Now their defensive coordinator which is the strength of this football team will take over and I think that is a positive.  They will play agressive football which should lead to turnovers.  Houston forced 30 turnovers this year and has the ability to stop John Conner with their front seven led by a next level nose tackle in Joey Mbu.  On offense Houston definitely improved down the stretch when they made the switch to Greg Ward at QB.  Ward went 5-2 as a starter and gives Houston a nice run and pass option.  In fact this unit rushed for 200+ yards with 5.5+ yards per carry in each of their last 3 games.  This is key, because Pitt’s defense has struggled at time this year against the run allowing 5.60 ypc in their 6 losses and 2.76 in their wins.  Houston is absolutely capable of winning this game and I’ll grab it at 4.5.

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