Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals NFL Free Pick
Play On: Cincinnati Bengals -3.
I think we are getting some great value here with the Bengals only laying a field goal at home against the Steelers. Cincinnati has won of the most underrated homefield advantages in the NFL and Pittsburgh has been far from impressive on the road this season. In the Steelers two division road games against the Ravens and Browns, they lost by 20-points at Baltimore and 21-points at Cleveland. Adding to this is the fact that Pittsburgh is only averaging 18.3 ppg on the road compared to 35.0 ppg at home. What really stands out to me is that outside of those two division matchups, the rest of their road games have come against some of the worst teams in the league in the Panthers, Jaguars, Jets and Titans. With two division road games and a home contest against the Broncos left on the schedule for Cincinnati, they know this is a game they absolutely have to win and I expect them to do just that.
System – Teams with a line of +3 to -3 who are off an extremely close road win of 3-points or less that have won 60% to 75% of their games and are playing a team with a winning record are 38-16 (70%) ATS since 1983. BET THE BENGALS -3!
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