Published September 8, 2017.
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By Scott Rickenbach
Going for the big payback here. The reason being that the Mets are 15-2 in their 17 games versus the Reds the past 3 seasons combined. With their 7-2 win yesterday, New York has seen 8 of their last 9 wins come by 2 runs or more. The Reds have seen 34 of their last 38 losses come by 2 runs or more.
In other words, when Cincinnati loses they lose big and, odds are, the Mets win this. After all, the 15-2 run in their last 17 meetings with the Reds is certainly noteworthy.
Even though Seth Lugo has struggled lately those starts were on the road. At home the Mets right-hander has a 3.50 ERA this season. The Reds will have Amir Garrett getting the start in this one. Cincinnati has lost EACH of Garrett’s last 6 starts and he has a 7.40 ERA on the season. I know he pitched well in his most recent start (at the AAA level) but this is not the minors!
Look for his struggles to resume and I am taking a “flyer” on the very generous payback offered on the Mets run line in this one.
Free Pick on NEW YORK METS on the Run Line -1.5 runs +190 early Friday evening.
Best of luck, Scott “The Bulldog” Rickenbach
The Pick: Mets -1.5 (+190)
