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20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-140) 

The Cleveland Indians have gone 10-1 against the Detroit Tigers this season.  Nine of those 10 wins have come by 2 runs or more.  So instead of laying -275 on the money line, we’ll lay the -140 on the run line to back them Wednesday night. 

Mike Clevinger has been virtually unhittable at home this season.  He is 1-0 with a 0.53 ERA and 0.706 WHIP in three home starts this year.  Clevinger owns the Tigers, going 5-2 with a. 2.28 ERA and 1.154 WHIP in eight career starts against them. 

Spencer Turnbull is 0-2 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.700 WHIP in his last three starts.  Turnbull has never beaten the Indians, going 0-3 with a 7.07 ERA and 2.071 WHIP in three career starts against them, all of which have come in 2019. 

Cleveland is 15-1 vs. AL teams that score 3.9 or fewer runs per game this season.  They are winning by 3.9 runs per game in this spot.  Detroit is 3-20 vs. an AL starter with a WHIP of 1.200 or better this season, losing by 4.2 runs per game.  The Tigers are 8-37 as a road dog of +175 to +250 over the last two seasons, losing by 2.8 runs per game.  Bet the Indians on the Run Line Wednesday. 

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-105) 

The Boston Red Sox have been coming on strong over the past month as they try and get back into the wild card race.  They have gone 17-9 in their last 26 games overall.  Now they’ll be motivated to win this game for Andrew Cashner, who they just traded for and will make his Boston debut tonight. 

Cashner is 9-3 with a 3.83 ERA and 1.194 WHIP in 17 starts this season, including 4-0 with a 3.47 ERA and 1.239 WHIP in six home starts.  What he has done for Baltimore this season has been absolutely remarkable.  Not to mention, Cashner is 3-2 with a 2.49 ERA and 1.164 WHIP in eight career starts against Toronto, including 2-0 with a 0.69 ERA in two starts against them in 2019. 

Jacob Waguespack will be making his first big league start and his third appearance in the majors overall.  He has a 5.00 ERA in his two previous appearances.  He hasn’t even been good in the minors, going 2-6 with a 5.30 ERA at Buffalo across 11 starts and one relief appearance.  He certainly won’t fare well against the Red Sox tonight. 

Cashner is 8-2 (+10.4 units) when facing a team with a losing record this season.  His teams are winning by 3.6 runs per game in this spot.  Cashner is 5-0 (+8.3 units) when the total is 10 or higher this season.  His teams are winning by 7.0 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Tuesday. 

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-110) 

The Cleveland Indians are in the thick of the wild card race and are still trying to catch the Minnesota Twins in the AL Central.  They have a lot more to play for than the Tigers, who are 29-59 on the season.  The Indians have owned the Tigers this season, going 8-1 against them while winning seven of those meetings by 2 runs or more. 

Adam Plutko has held his own as a starter this season, going 3-1 with a 4.26 ERA and 1.011 WHIP in six starts, including 1-0 with a 3.14 ERA and 0.977 WHIP in his last three.  Plutko is 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in two career starts against Detroit as well. 

Daniel Norris is 2-8 with a 5.03 ERA and 1.397 WHIP in 15 starts this season, 1-4 with a 5.36 ERA and 1.450 WHIP in nine road starts, and 0-3 with a 7.41 ERA and 1.471 WHIP in his last three starts overall.  Norris faced Cleveland on June 23rd, allowing 6 runs in 7 innings of a 3-8 loss in his only start against them this season. 

Detroit is 9-30 vs. a team with a winning record this season, losing by 2.5 runs per game on average.  The Tigers are 8-27 vs. a starting pitcher that allows 5.5 or fewer hits per start this season, losing by 3.0 runs per game.  Cleveland is 13-1 vs. AL teams that score 3.9 or fewer runs per game this season, winning by 3.7 runs per game.  The Indians are 4-0 in Plutko’s last four starts.  Cleveland is 9-2 in its last 11 vs. a left-handed starter.  The Tigers are 12-40 in their last 52 games overall.  Bet the Indians on the Run Line Monday. 

20* Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-125) 

The Washington Nationals have had a tremendous turnaround prior to the All-Star Break to get to 46-42 on the season and back in the NL East race.  They have gone 9-2 in their last 11 games overall with seven of those wins coming by two runs or more. 

Thanks to their edge on the mound here, the Nationals should easily win by 2-plus runs today.  Pat Corbin is 7-5 with a 3.55 ERA and 1.138 WHIP in 17 starts this season, including 4-1 with a 2.06 ERA and 0.882 WHIP in eight home starts. 

The Royals are 2-8 in their last 10 games overall with all eight losses coming by two runs or more.  Jake Junis is 4-8 with a 5.53 ERA and 1.480 WHIP in 18 starts this season for the Royals. 

Kansas City is 21-51 in its last 72 road games.  The Royals are 0-4 in Junis’ last four interleague starts.  Washington is 27-11 in its last 38 games overall.  The Nationals are 4-0 in Corbin’s last four home starts.  Bet the Nationals on the Run Line Sunday. 

15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-131) 

Instead of laying -280 on the Rays today, I’ll gladly pay half price and back them on the Run Line at around -130 to win by two runs or more.  They are facing the hapless Orioles, who are 24-59 on the season. 

Charlie Morton is putting up Cy Young-like numbers this season for the Rays and he’ll get the ball tonight.  Morton is 8-2 with a 2.43 ERA and 1.050 WHIP in 17 starts this season with 120 K’s in 100 innings.  He has pitched 9 shutout innings for a 0.00 ERA in his last two starts against the Orioles. 

The Orioles are 10-47 in their last 57 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Rays are 15-3 in their last 18 home meetings with Baltimore.  Tampa Bay is 8-2 in its last 10 meetings with the Orioles.  Roll with the Rays on the Run Line Tuesday. 

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-125) 

Gerrit Cole finally gets a chance to face his former team in the Pittsburgh Pirates.  It’s safe to say emotions will be high for him tonight as Cole is already an emotional guy as it is.  He will be motivated to beat his former team. 

Not to mention, the Astros have lost seven of their last eight, so they return home motivated as a team also.  Cole is 6-5 with a 3.54 ERA and 1.024 WHIP in 16 starts this season with 148 K’s in 96 2/3 innings. 

Trevor Williams gets the start for the Pirates.  He is 2-1 with a 4.12 ERA in 10 starts this season.  However, Williams recently returned from a one-month absence due to injury and gave up 7 earned runs in 5 innings on June 19th to the lowly Detroit Tigers.  I can’t imagine he’ll fare well against a much better Houston lineup here. 

The Pirates are 2-8 in their last 10 road games.  Pittsburgh is 1-7 in its last eight vs. a team with a winning record.  Houston is 11-1 in Cole’s last 12 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.  The Astros are 8-2 in Cole’s last 10 starts overall.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Tuesday. 

15* MLB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on Texas Rangers -1.5 (+100) 

The Texas Rangers have been a great bet at home this season.  They are 26-15 (+15.8 units) in Arlington this year.  I fully expect them to bounce back from a rare loss to the White Sox by a final of 5-4 in Game 1 of this series yesterday. 

The Rangers have a huge edge on the mound today.  Lance Lynn is 8-4 with a 4.16 ERA in 15 starts this season with 102 K’s in 93 innings.  He is 1-0 with a 2.84 ERA in his last three starts as well.  Lynn owns the White Sox, going 3-1 with a 2.49 ERA in seven career starts against them. 

Odrisamer Despaigne is no more than a fill-in starter for the White Sox.  He has never had any success in his career, and he hasn’t this season, either.  Despaigne is 0-2 with an 8.71 ERA and 2.130 WHIP in two starts this season.  He is also 0-1 with an 11.25 ERA in one career start against the Rangers. 

Texas is 12-3 in home games off a loss this season.  The Rangers are 6-1 in Lynn’s last seven home starts.  The White Sox are 24-61 in their last 85 road games vs. a team with a winning record.  Roll with the Rangers on the Run Line Saturday. 

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Houston Astros -1.5 (-115) 

The Houston Astros have lost the first two games of this series to the Cincinnati Reds by one run each.  It’s safe to say they will be highly motivated for a victory here in Game 3 Wednesday morning to avoid the sweep.  I expect them to want it more than the Reds, who are content with having already won the series. 

The Astros also have a massive edge on the mound today with Gerrit Cole, who is 6-5 with a 3.67 ERA and 0.993 WHIP in 15 starts this season with 140 Ka’s in 90 2/3 innings.  He’ll be opposed by Tyler Mahle, who is 2-7 with a 4.46 ERA in 13 starts this season, including 1-2 with a 5.65 ERA in his last three.  Jose Altuve returns to the lineup to give the Astros a boost today. 

Cole is 12-1 in June road games in his career, and his teams are winning by 3.1 runs per game in this spot.  The Astros are 76-36 in their last 112 road games.  Houston is 16-3 in Cole’s last 19 starts vs. a team with a losing record.  The Astros are 6-1 in Cole’s last seven interleague starts.  The Reds are 1-8 in Mahle’s last nine starts vs. a team with a winning record.  Roll with the Astros on the Run Line Wednesday. 

20* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE WEEK on Oakland A’s -1.5 (-113) 

The Baltimore Orioles are the worst team in baseball at 21-51 on the season.  They have lost six straight coming in with five of those losses coming by two runs or more.  I’ll gladly fade them here on the run line against the Oakland A’s Tuesday night. 

Brett Anderson is having a solid season for the A’s.  He is 6-4 with a 3.89 ERA in 14 starts this season, including 3-2 with a 3.70 ERA in six home starts.  He faced Baltimore on April 9th earlier this season and yielded just two runs in 6 2/3 innings of a 13-2 victory. 

Gabriel Ynoa is 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA in four starts for the Orioles this season.  He is averaging just 5.0 innings per start and has already allowed five homers in 20 innings.  He won’t last long, and the A’s will get into the Orioles’ putrid bullpen (6.02 ERA) early. 

The Orioles are 15-57 as a dog of +175 to +250 over the last two seasons, losing by 2.6 runs per game.  The Orioles are 0-4 in Ynoa’s last four road starts.  The A’s are 13-3 in Anderson’s last 16 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet the A’s on the Run Line Tuesday. 

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-130) 

No team is hotter than the Los Angeles Dodgers right now.  They are 28-9 in their last 37 games overall.  They are actually coming off a loss, and they are 9-0 in their last nine games following a defeat.  They haven’t lost two in a row since April 23-24. 

The Dodgers had yesterday off to rest and get ready for this series with the Giants.  The Giants are just 4-10 in their last 14 games overall.  They played yesterday in New York against the Mets, meaning they had to fly cross country overnight to return back to San Francisco.  They certainly will be fatigued from that flight. 

The Dodgers are 17-0 in Kershaw’s last 17 starts dating back to last season.  Kershaw owns the Giants, going 22-10 with a 1.68 ERA and 0.844 WHIP in 44 career starts against them. 

Drew Pomeranz has been awful this season, going 1-6 with an 8.07 ERA and 1.871 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  He has really struggled of late at 0-2 with a 15.57 ERA and 2.768 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 15 earned runs and 24 base runners in 8 2/3 innings. 

The Dodgers are 9-0 after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less this season, winning by 3.9 runs per game.  Los Angeles is 20-4 vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 or fewer walks per game this season, winning by 2.6 runs per game.  The Dodgers are 42-9 in Kershaw’s last 51 starts vs. NL West opponents.  The Giants are 0-8 in their last eight home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.  San Francisco is 0-5 in its last five home games overall.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Friday. 

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 (-112) 

The New York Yankees should be highly motivated for a victory Thursday against the Toronto Blue Jays.  They have lost three straight now, including the first two games of this series.  They certainly want to avoid the sweep and salvage the series with a victory in Game 3. 

The Yankees have a massive edge on the mound today behind J.A. Happ, who is 5-3 with a 4.83 ERA and 1.216 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 2-0 with a 4.18 ERA and 1.107 WHIP in five road starts.  Happ has never lost to the Blue Jays, going 2-0 with a 2.81 ERA and 1.125 WHIP in three career starts against them. 

Edwin Jackson may be the single-worst starter in baseball.  He is 0-3 with a 13.23 ERA and 2.205 WHIP in four starts this season.  Jackson is 2-7 with a 5.16 ERA and 1.574 WHIP in 13 career starts against the Yankees.  The Blue Jays must be desperate for starting pitching if they have to continue to start him. 

Happ is 11-1 in road games vs. teams that steal 0.5 or fewer bases per game over the last two seasons.  The Yankees are winning by 3.5 runs per game in this spot.  Toronto is 1-13 in home games off an upset win over a division rival over the last three seasons.  It is losing by 3.4 runs per game in this spot.  Jackson is 2-14 at home with a total of 10 to 10.5 in his career, losing by 3.6 runs per game.  Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Thursday. 

15* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-128) 

The Red Sox should be much bigger favorites on the Run Line today over the lowly Kansas City Royals.  The Royals are just 2-10 in their last 12 games overall to fall to 19-41 on the season. 

Chris Sale isn’t off to his best start, but he still commands more respect than he’s getting.  His stuff is still there clearly as he has 98 K’s in 68 1/3 innings this year with only 19 walks.  Sale is 10-8 with a 2.90 ERA in 23 career starts against Kansas City. 

Jake Junis is no match for Sale.  He is 4-5 with a 535 ERA and 1.441 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 2-2 with a 5.79 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in six home starts.  He’s backed by a poor bullpen that has a 5.86 ERA in home games this season. 

The Royals are 6-25 in home games off three or more consecutive losses over the last two seasons, losing by 2.1 runs per game in this spot.  Kansas City is 27-77 in its last 104 vs. a team with a winning record.  Take the Red Sox on the Run Line Wednesday. 

15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-115) 

The Tampa Bay Rays are riding a season-high four-game losing streak.  It’s safe to say they will be highly motivated for a victory today to end this skid, and they should get one against the lowly Detroit Tigers, who are just 23-34 on the season. 

Tampa Bay starter Charlie Morton is a legit Cy Young contender.  He is 6-0 with a 2.54 ERA and 1.099 WHIP in 12 starts this season with 83 K’s in 67 1/3 innings.  Morton is also 4-0 with a 1.88 ERA and 1.069 WHIP in seven road starts. 

While Spencer Turnbull is a quality starter for Detroit, the Rays just have so many other advantages.  They are scoring 4.8 runs per game against right-handed starters compared to 3.1 for Detroit.  The Rays have a 3.57 bullpen ERA compared to a 5.24 ERA for Detroit. 

Detroit is 5-20 after scoring 8 runs or more over the last two seasons, losing by 2.0 runs per game in this spot.  The Rays are 27-12 in their last 39 road games.  The Tigers are 1-10 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Detroit is 1-10 in its last 11 home games overall.  Roll with the Rays on the Run Line Wednesday. 

15* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-112) 

The Cleveland Indians come into this series with the White Sox playing with confidence.  They had a big comeback win in a 7-5 win at Boston on Tuesday, and followed that up with an even more impressive 14-9 win on Wednesday.  They have scored 21 runs in their last two games and are swinging some hot bats. 

Those bats should stay hot against Chicago starter Mannu Banuelos, who has been nothing short of awful this season.  Banuelos is 1-4 with a 9.49 ERA and 2.108 WHIP in six starts.  He is also 0-2 with a 10.80 ERA and 2.401 WHIP in two starts against the Indians this season, allowing 10 earned runs and 5 homers in 8 1/3 innings. 

Carlos Carrasco is 4-5 with a 4.60 ERA and 1.261 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  While off his game a little, Carrasco still has 72 K’s in 58 2/3 innings to show that his stuff is still there.  And he loves facing the White Sox, going 7-0 with a 0.87 ERA in his last nine starts against them, allowing just 6 earned runs in 62 innings pitched. 

The Indians are 9-0 in Carrasco’s last nine starts against the White Sox with eight of those victories coming by two runs or more.  Enough said.  Roll with the Indians on the Run Line. 

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on New York Mets -1.5 (-105) 

The New York Mets are so motivated today to beat the Miami Marlins.  Noah Synderaard is 2-0 with a 2.35 ERA in his last three starts and pitching like the ace he is.  Syndergaard is 6-0 with a 1.64 ERA in eight career starts against Miami, having never lost to them. 

Sandy Alcantara is 1-4 with a 5.11 ERA and 1.636 WHIP in eight starts this season.  He is 0-2 with a 6.19 ERA and 1.875 WHIP in three starts this season.  He is 1-2 with a 2.92 ERA in four career starts against the Mets. 

Miami is 11-31 as a dog of +100 or higher this season.  New York is 3-13 in their 16 road games.  The Marlins are 1-5 in Alcantara’s last six starts.  Miami is 8-21 in its last 29 games following a win.  Bet the Mets Sunday. 

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on New York Mets -1.5 (-110) 

The Miami Marlins are the worst team in baseball at 10-31 this season.  They have the worst run differential (-2.3 RPG) in baseball as well.  Not to mention, the Marlins are 2-14 in their last 16 games overall with 12 of those losses coming by two runs or more. 

It doesn’t get any easier for the Marlins today as they’ll be up against NL Cy Young winner Jacob DeGrom.  He has been pitching like a Cy Young of late, going 1-1 with a 1.29 ERA and 0.762 WHIP in his last three starts.  DeGrom has been at his best on the road this season, going 2-2 with a 1.80 ERA and 0.960 WHIP in four starts.  He is 2-0 with a 0.64 ERA in two starts against the Marlins this season, allowing just one earned run in 14 innings with 22 K’s. 

Trevor Richards is still in search of his first win of the season for the Marlins.  He is 0-5 with a 4.46 ERA and 1.370 WHIP in eight starts, including 0-2 with a 6.08 ERA and 1.650 WHIP in his last three.  Richards has never beaten the Mets, going 0-2 (0-3 money line) with a 3.57 ERA and 1.358 WHIP in three career starts against them. 

Miami is 0-10 when playing against a team with a losing record this season.  It is losing by 5.7 runs per game on average in this spot.  New York is 10-1 off a one-run loss to a division rival over the last two seasons.  The Marlins are 0-5 in Richards’ last five road starts.  These three trends combine for a 25-1 system backing the Mets.  Also, New York is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings.  Take the Mets on the Run Line. 

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-140) 

The Cleveland Indians had yesterday off following their 9-0 win over the White Sox on Tuesday.  They will be fresh and ready to go.  The Orioles just played a double-header yesterday against the Yankees and lost both games by two runs.  They won’t have much left in the tank today, and their bullpen will be depleted. 

Trevor Bauer should mow down this Baltimore lineup.  Bauer is 4-2 with a 3.02 ERA and 1.106 WHIP in nine starts this season with 72 K’s in 59 2/3 innings. 

Daniel Straily is 1-3 with a 6.93 ERA and 1.654 WHIP in six starts this season.  He has really been hit hard in his last two starts, going 0-2 with an 11.42 ERA while allowing 11 earned runs and 19 base runners in 8 2/3 innings in losses to the Angels and Rays. 

The Orioles are 9-42 in their last 51 during game 1 of a series.  Baltimore is 0-4 in Straily’s last four starts.  Cleveland is 6-0 in its last six vs. AL East opponents.  The Indians are 10-1 in Bauer’s last 11 Thursday starts.  Cleveland is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings.  Bet the Indians on the Run Line Thursday. 

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (+100) 

The Miami Marlins are the worst team in baseball at 10-30 on the season.  They have the worst run differential (-2.4 RPG) as well.  Miami is also 1-9 in its last 10 games overall with eight of those losses coming by two runs or more.  I’ll gladly back the Rays on the Run Line at basically even money today. 

Ryan Stanek has posted a 1.72 ERA and 0.702 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  He hasn’t allowed a single earned run in nine of his 10 starts.  And the Rays have gone 7-3 in those 10 starts this season. 

I’ll gladly fade Jose Urena, who is 1-5 with a 4.63 ERA and 1.478 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 1-3 with a 5.53 ERA and 1.554 WHIP in five home starts. 

Urena is 0-13 vs. teams who outscore their opponents by one or more runs per game over the last three seasons.  The Marlins are losing by 3.0 runs per game on average in this spot.  Miami is 3-18 as a dog of +125 to +175 this season, losing by 3.3 runs per game.  Roll with the Rays on the Run Line Wednesday. 

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-115) 

The Boston Red Sox have really turned it around after a slow start.  They have now won five straight and eight of their last nine games overall.  Seven of those eight wins came by 3 runs or more, which is why I’m taking them on the Run Line here today. 

Speaking of turning it around, Chris Sale has done just that after losing his first five starts.  He has gone 1-1 with a 1.29 ERA and 0.667 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing just 3 earned runs and 14 base runners with a whopping 32 K’s in 21 innings. 

Kyle Freeland is no match for Sale.  Freeland is 2-5 with a 5.84 ERA and 1.343 WHIP in eight starts this season for the Rockies.  He has been battered in his last three starts, going 0-2 with an 8.47 ERA and 1.588 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 16 earned runs and 6 homers in 17 innings. 

Boston is 39-12 after scoring 8 runs or move over the last two seasons, coming back to win by 2.2 runs per game in this spot.  The Rockies are 7-19 in their last 26 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.  The Red Sox are 42-12 in their last 54 interleague games.  Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Tuesday. 

15* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (+115) 

After losing the first two games of this series to the White Sox as -245 and -135 favorites, the Cleveland Indians will come back highly motivated for a victory in Game 3 at home tonight.  Look for them to win this game by multiple runs considering the massive edge they have on the mound. 

Shane Bieber has been one of the more underrated starters in baseball.  He is 2-1 with a 3.09 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in six starts this season with 40 K’s in 35 innings.  Bieber has owned the White Sox, going 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.710 WHIP in two career starts against them, pitching 12 2/3 shutout innings with 17 K’s. 

Reynaldo Lopez is 2-4 with a 6.69 ERA and 1.762 WHIP in seven starts this season for the White Sox.  Lopez has never beaten the Indians, going 0-3 with an 8.31 ERA and 2.077 WHIP in three career starts against them. 

The White Sox are 20-53 in their last 73 road games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Indians are 8-2 in their last 10 games after losing the first two games of a series.  Cleveland is 58-23 in its last 81 home games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Indians are 24-10 in the last 34 meetings.  Roll with the Indians on the Run Line Wednesday. 

15* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-126) 

The Chicago White Sox were just swept at home by the Red Sox while getting outscored 30-5 in the process.  They are in store for more misery today on the road against Trevor Bauer and the Chicago White Sox. 

Bauer has been one of the best starters in baseball over the last two seasons.  He is 4-1 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.049 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 1-0 with a 1.35 ERA and 0.825 WHIP in two home starts.  Bauer is also 8-3 with a 3.31 ERA and 1.051 WHIP in 16 career starts against Chicago. 

It hasn’t worked out for Ivan Nova and the Chicago White Sox.  Nova is still in search of his first win this season, going 0-3 with an 8.33 ERA and 1.787 WHIP in six starts.  Nova is 0-1 with an 11.25 ERA and 2.250 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 20 earned runs and 6 homers in 16 innings. 

Chicago is 0-10 after playing seven or more consecutive home games over the last two seasons.  It is losing by 5.3 runs per game in this spot.  The White Sox are 0-4 in Nova’s last four road starts.  The Indians are 6-0 in their last six after scoring two runs or less in their previous game.  Cleveland is 4-0 in Bauer’s last four home starts vs. Chicago.  These four trends combine for a perfect 24-0 system backing Cleveland.  Roll with the Indians on the Run Line Monday. 

15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-110) 

The Cleveland Indians are finally nearly back to fully strength health-wise after missing several key players in their lineup.  But their rotation has been dynamite once again to shoulder the load, and their bullpen has been one of the best in baseball. 

Now the Indians send ace Trevor Bauer to the mound for Game 1 of this series against the lowly Marlins.  Bauer was a Cy Young contender last year and has picked up where he left off, going 3-1 with a 1.99 ERA and 1.033 WHIP in six starts this season. 

Sandy Alcantara is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in five starts for the Marlins this season, including 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.812 WHIP In his last three.  The Marlins are one of the worst teams in baseball at 8-20 on the season.  They are hitting .227 and scoring 2.8 runs per game as a team. 

Miami is 8-29 vs. teams with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last two seasons.  It is losing by 2.4 runs per game in this spot.  The Indians are 7-2 in Bauer’s last nine road starts.  The Marlins are 25-57 in their last 82 games overall.  Miami is 2-7 in Alcantara’s last nine starts.  Bet the Indians on the Run Line Tuesday. 

15* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-105) 

The Boston Red Sox look to even up this series with the Tigers today.  They lost the first two games, but bounced back with an 11-4 victory yesterday.  I fully expect them to win by multiple runs again Thursday, so I’ll take them on the Run Line instead of laying the -200 plus. 

Rick Porcello has turned it around after a terrible start to the season.  This guy is too good to be held down for long.  And Porcello has never lost to the Tigers, going 1-0 (3-0 money line) with a 2.25 ERA and 1.150 WHIP in three career starts against them. 

Jordan Zimmerman got off to a great start for Detroit, but he has come back down to reality here of late.  Zimmerman is 0-3 with a 9.22 ERA and 1.830 WHIP in his last three starts.  He has posted a 4.45 ERA in five career starts against Boston as well. 

Boston is 22-5 off a win by 6 runs or more over the last two seasons.  Detroit is 3-16 after a game with a combined score of 15 run or more over the last two years.  The Red Sox are are 52-24 in their lsat 76 home games.  Take the Red Sox on the Run Line Thursday. 

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-113) 

The Boston Red Sox lost both games of their double-header with the Detroit Tigers yesterday, losing as -205 and -175 favorites.  I have to think they’ll come back highly motivated for a victory here in Game 3 Wednesday night. 

Eduardo Rodriquez has dominated at home as a starter for the Red Sox.  In fact, he has been one of the most underrated starters in the league over the past few seasons.  Rodriquez is also 2-1 with a 3.52 ERA in four career starts against Detroit. 

Tyson Ross has bounced around the big leagues due to poor performances.  He is 0-2 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.545 WHIP in his two road starts this season, and this will be his toughest task yet up against a potent Red Sox lineup that he has never faced. 

Rodriquez is 21-4 vs. teams who strike out 7 or more times per game over the last two seasons.  Rodriquez is 22-3 as a favorite of -150 or more over the last three seasons, including 18-2 as a home favorite of -150 or more.  The Red Sox are winning by 2.5 runs per game in both situations.  Roll with the Red Sox on the Run Line Wednesday. 

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-101) 

The Cleveland Indians have gotten several key pieces in their lineup back and healthy now.  They are going to get back to being one of the best teams in the league moving forward with nearly a fully lineup to go with one of the best rotations in baseball. 

Carolos Carraso had one bad start that is inflating his numbers when he allowed 6 runs in 2/3 of an inning to the Royals.  But he bounced back by pitching 7 shutout innings with 12 K’s in a 1-0 win over Seattle last time out.  Carrasco pitched 7 1/3 shutout innings with 11 K’s in his lone career start against Miami. 

The Marlins are one of the worst teams in baseball at 6-16 this season, including 1-5 on the road.  Pablo Lopez has been battered, going 1-3 with a 5.85 ERA and 1.350 WHIP in four starts, including 0-2 with a 7.45 ERA and 1.655 WHIP in two road starts. 

The Marlins are 1-9 in Lopez’s last 10 starts.  Miami is 13-38 in its lsat 51 road games.  The Indians are 24-7 in Carrasco’s last 31 starts during Game 1 of a series.  Cleveland is 5-1 in Carrasco’s last six interleague starts.  Roll with the Indians on the Run Line Tuesday. 

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Houston Astros -1.5 (-119) 

The Houston Astros should have no problem beating the Texas Rangers by two runs or more today.  They have a big edge on the mound today with Colin McHugh over Shelby Miller, and they’ll be motivated to bounce back from a 9-4 loss to the Rangers yesterday. 

McHugh has seized the opportunity to join this already dynamite Houston rotation this season.  He is 3-1 with a 1.96 ERA and 0.826 WHIP in four starts this season.  He is 5-1 in his nine career starts against the Rangers as well. 

Shelby Miller is clearly one of the worst starters in baseball.  It’s amazing he is still in a rotation.  Miller is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and 2.600 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 10 earned runs and 26 base runners in just 10 innings pitched.  Miller has posted a 5.19 ERA and 2.307 WHIP in two career starts against Houston. 

Houston is 56-19 as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last two seasons, winning by 2.2 runs per game in this spot.  The Astros are 7-1 in McHugh’s last eight starts vs. a team with a winning record.  Houston is 19-7 in its last 26 meetings in Texas.  Take the Astros on the Run Line Sunday. 

15* AL Friday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-127) 

The Boston Red Sox played their first 11 games on the road this season.  They have split their two home games, including a nice comeback win last night to get back in the win column.  Look for them to carry that momentum into tonight’s games against one of the worst teams in baseball. 

Eduardo Rodriquez has really owned the hapless Orioles, going 6-5 with a 3.91 ERA and 1.290 WHIP in 13 career starts against them.  He’s been even better against them of late.  Rodriquez went 3-0 with a 1.56 ERA in three starts against the Orioles last season, giving up just 3 earned runs in 17 1/3 innings. 

David Hess is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He has been particularly poor when facing the Red Sox, going 0-2 with an 11.25 ERA and 2.375 WHIP in two career starts against them while allowing 10 earned runs, 5 homers and 19 base runners in 8 innings. 

Rodriquez is 19-4 vs. teams that strike out 7 or more times per game over the last two seasons.  The Red Sox are winning by 2.2 runs per game in this spot.  Rodriquez is 21-3 as a favorite of -150 or more over the last three years.  Boston is winning by 2.5 runs per game in this spot.  The Red Sox are 61-12 as a favorite of -200 or more over the last three seasons.  Roll with the Red Sox on the Run Line Friday. 

15* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 (-105) 

The New York Yankees have shockingly lost back-to-back games against the Baltimore Orioles as roughly -300 favorites in both games.  Look for them to come back with a chip on their shoulder today and to make easy work of the Detroit Tigers. 

The Tigers managed to split their four-game series with the Blue Jays, but it was fortunate.  Detroit’s putrid offense managed a total of only 6 runs in the four games, or an average of 1.5 runs per game.  They won’t be able to keep up with this potent Yankees’ lineup today. 

Tyson Ross has been bounced around the majors.  He has struggled in the American League, posting a 7.71 ERA in his one year with Texas, and a 5.33 ERA in his three years with Oakland.  Ross has posted a 6.97 ERA and 1.936 WHIP in his two career starts against the Yankees. 

The Yankees are 37-14 in their last 51 games following a loss.  New York is 39-12 in its last 51 games after allowing 5 runs or more in its previous game.  The Yankees are 74-35 in their last 109 home games.  The Tigers are 15-37 in their last 52 road games, and 30-63 in their last 93 games overall.  Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Monday. 

15* MLB Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Colorado Rockies -1.5 (+120) 

The Rockies can at least clinch a share of the NL West title and a tiebreaker game with the Dodgers with a win Sunday.  I expect them to win this game by two runs or more over the Washington Nationals. 

The Rockies have gone 8-1 in their last nine games overall and are playing with a ton of confidence right now.  They have won all eight games by two runs or more.  They have also outscored their opponents 57-24 in those nine contests. 

It was a huge break for the Rockies that the Nationals decided to start Erick Fedde instead of Max Scherzer today.  Fedde is 2-3 with a 5.24 ERA and 1.511 WHIP In 10 starts this season.  He is 0-1 with an 11.25 ERA in one career start against Colorado, giving up 7 runs, 5 earned, and 12 base runners in 4 innings of a 6-10 loss. 

Tyler Anderson hasn’t put up great numbers either, but he’s better than Fedde.  Anderson is 6-9 with a 4.76 ERA and 1.289 WHIP in 31 starts this season.  He has posted a 4.35 ERA in two career starts against Washington, both of which resulted in Colorado wins.  And I expect the Rockies to go their bullpen earlier than normal if needed as all hands are on deck for this one.  Bet the Rockies on the Run Line. 

15* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Colorado Rockies -1.5 (+100) 

The Colorado Rockies are coming up big here down the stretch.  They are 7-0 in their last seven games overall with all seven wins coming by 2 runs or more.  They have outscored the opposition 52-10 during this winning streak.   

The Rockies now hold a one-game lead over the Dodgers for first place in the NL West and can win the division title over the weekend with this series with the Nationals.  Washington has nothing to play for but pride and should offer little resistance. 

The Rockies have the clear advantage on the mound tonight.  Kyle Freeland has been one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  He is 16-7 with a 2.84 ERA and 1.222 WHIP in 32 starts this season, including 9-2 with an impressive 2.36 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in 14 starts at Coors Field.  Freeland is also 1-0 with a 3.72 ERA in two career starts against Washington. 

Joe Ross will be making just his third start of the season for the Nationals tonight.  Ross is 0-1 with a 4.09 ERA and 1.364 WHIP in two starts this season.  He has posted a 9.64 ERA and 1.927 WHIP in one career start against Colorado, which came last season as he allowed 5 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings. 

Freeland is 14-2 in his last 16 starts vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times per game.  The Rockies are winning by 2.3 runs per game in this spot.  The Rockies are 12-1 in Freeland’s last 13 starts overall.  Take the Rockies on the Run Line Friday. 

15* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Colorado Rockies -1.5 (+106) 

The Rockies are fighting for their postseason lives right now.  They are actually a half-game ahead of the Dodgers for the NL West lead and can get a full game up with a win Thursday.  They have 6-0 in their last six games overall with all six wins coming by 2 runs or more.  They have outscored the opposition 47-7 during this winning streak. 

The Phillies have officially been eliminated from the postseason for several days now and are playing like it.  They are 0-7 in their last seven games overall.  They have been outscored 34-4 by the Rockies in the first three games of this series.  I expect more of the same here. 

Antonio Senzatela is 4-5 with a 4.08 ERA in 12 starts this season.  He is coming off back-to-back great starts, going 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA in his last two starts.  He’ll be opposed by Jake Arrieta, who is 0-1 with an 8.25 ERA in his last three starts.  Arrieta is also 2-2 with a 6.11 ERA in five career starts against Colorado. 

The Phillies are 1-10 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.  Philadelphia is 7-23 in its last 30 road games.  The Phillies are 2-7 in Arrieta’s last nine starts.  The Rockies are 7-0 in their last seven vs. NL East teams.  Colorado is 29-11 in its last 40 home games.  Roll with the Rockies on the Run Line Thursday. 

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Colorado Rockies -1.5 (+105) 

The Colorado Rockies are so close they can taste it.  They are only a half-game behind the Dodgers for first place in the NL West and a half-game ahead of the Cardinals for the second wild card spot.  They have a lot to play for right now and are stepping up to the plate.   

The Rockies have gone 5-0 in their last five games overall with all five wins coming by two runs or more.  They have outscored the opposition 33-7 during this winning streak.  Meanwhile, the Phillies have officially been eliminated from the postseason recently and are playing like it.  They are 0-6 in their last six games overall, getting outscored 20-4 by the Rockies throughout he first two games of this series. 

German Marquez has been Colorado’s best starter since the All-Star Break.  Marquez has 11 or more strikeouts in four of his last five starts, and he has allowed 3 or fewer runs in 11 consecutive turns.  He is 5-2 with a 2.36 ERA with 14 walks and 98 K’s in 76 1/3 innings in this 11 starts.  Marquez is also 3-1 with a 2.23 ERA in his last six home starts. 

Nick Pivetta is 6-13 with a 4.60 ERA in 31 starts for the Phillies this season, including 3-5 with a 4.90 ERA in 14 road starts.  Pivetta is also 0-2 with a 14.08 ERA and 2.477 WHIP in two career starts against the Rockies, giving up 12 earned runs and 19 base runners in 7 2/3 innings. 

The Phillies are 4-22 in their last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.  Philadelphia is 0-9 in its last nine vs. a team with a winning record.  The Phillies are 0-4 in Pivetta’s last four starts.  The Rockies are 6-0 in their last six vs. NL East opponents.  Colorado is 5-1 in Marquez’s last six home starts.  Bet the Rockies on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Colorado Rockies -1.5 (+106) 

The Colorado Rockies are 1.5 games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers in the race for the NL West title.  They are also just one game behind the St. Louis Cardinals in the chase for the second wild card spot.  They have a lot to play for right now. 

The Philadelphia Phillies had the second-best record in the NL on August 5th, but have imploded since, going 15-29 for the worst record in the NL during that stretch.  And the Phillies were just swept by the Braves in four games in Atlanta, which officially eliminated them from postseason contention.  I question their mental state over the final week of the season and expect them to pack it in. 

Philadelphia’s Zach Eflin will get rocked tonight.  He is 3-4 with a 5.07 ERA in 11 road starts this season.  Eflin is 1-1 with a 7.50 ERA and 1.750 WHIP in two career starts against Colorado.  Jon Gray gets the ball for the Rockies.  He has been great for them in the second half of the season. 

The Rockies are 26-11 in their last 37 home games.  Colorado is 11-3 in Gray’s last 14 starts.  Philadelphia is 0-5 in Eflin’s last five road starts.  The Phillies are 1-7 in Eflin’s last eight starts vs. NL West opponents.  Philadelphia is 0-7 in its last seven vs. a team with a winning record.  The Phillies are 7-20 in their last 27 road games.  Bet the Rockies on the Run Line Monday. 

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-125) 

The Tampa Bay Rays are just 6.5 games back in the wild card and feel like they still have a chance.  They are playing like it, too, going 21-5 in their last 26 games overall.  Players in that locker room aren’t giving up until they are officially eliminated. 

Now Tampa Bay sends starter Blake Snell to the mound tonight.  Snell is 19-5 with a 2.03 ERA and 0.982 WHIP in 28 starts this season with 195 K’s in 164 innings.  He is certainly deserving of the Cy Young Award in the American League for his efforts this year, especially pitching in the AL East.  Snell is 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 0.790 WHIP in one career starts against Texas, which came earlier this season. 

The Rangers are just 3-8 in their last 11 games overall.  There’s not a lot to like about them right now.  And Yovani Gallardo has been atrocious this season, especially of late.  Gallardo is 8-5 in spite of a 5.94 ERA and 1.526 WHIP In 15 starts this season, including 1-2 with a 10.22 ERA and 2.028 WHIP in his last three starts.  He is also 0-2 with an 8.38 ERA in his last two starts against the Rays, giving up 9 earned runs, 3 homers and 17 base runners in 9 2/3 innings. 

Snell is 10-1 vs. AL West opponents over the last two seasons, and the Rays are winning these games by 2.1 runs per game on average.  Tampa Bay is 9-1 in its last 10 vs. AL West foes.  The Rangers are 0-6 in their last six vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the Rays on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-115) 

The Los Angeles Dodgers are fighting to make the playoffs right now.  They are a half-game behind the Rockies for 1st place in the NL West and one game out of the wild card.  They won’t be taking the Reds lightly because of it. 

The Dodgers have a big advantage on the mound today behind Alex Wood, who is 8-6 with a 3.43 ERA in 26 starts this season, including 5-3 with a 3.22 ERA and 1.134 WHIP in 12 road starts.  And Wood has been at his best of late, going 7-1 with a 2.39 ERA in his last 13 starts. 

Cody Reed is getting a look here at the end of the season.  It hasn’t gone well for him as he’s 0-1 with a 7.10 ERA and 1.736 WHIP in three starts this year while averaging just 4.2 innings per start.  Reed is now 1-10 with a 6.22 ERA in 35 major league games. 

The Dodgers were swept at home by the Reds in their last series against them and haven’t forgotten.  Wood has never lost to the Reds, going 3-0 with a 2.80 ERA and 0.935 WHIP in four career starts against them.  The Reds are 0-14 in Reed’s last 14 starts.  Take the Dodgers on the Run Line Monday. 

15* MLB Saturday PLAY OF THE DAY on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-105) 

I expect the Cardinals to win by two runs or more today against the Detroit Tigers.  The Cardinals are trying to get a wild card and stay alive in the NL Central.  They need wins more than the Tigers do right now, and after an upset loss yesterday to them I expect them to bounce back in a big way. 

Jack Flaherty has been the ace of the Cardinals’ staff this season.  He is 8-6 with a 2.83 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 23 starts, including 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 0.83 WHIP in his last three starts.  Matt Boyd is 9-12 with a 4.24 ERA in 27 starts for the Tigers. 

Flaherty has allowed a total of 5 earned runs in 37 innings while going 5-1 with a 1.22 ERA.  The Cardinals are 12-3 in their last 15 road games.  The Tigers are 20-53 in their last 73 vs. a team with a winning record.  Detroit is 1-10 in Boyd’s last 11 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.  Take the Cardinals on the Run Line. 

20* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-110) 

I expect the Los Angeles Dodgers to win by multiple runs over the New York Mets tonight.  The Dodgers are 8-2 in their last 10 games overall.  But they are coming off a loss to Jacob DeGrom and the Mets last night, so look for them to bounce back with a victory in Game 2 thanks to their big advantage on the mound. 

Rich Hill is 6-5 with a 3.63 ERA and 1.210 WHIP in 19 starts this season.  He’ll be opposed by Jason Vargas, who is 5-8 with a 6.56 ERA and 1.572 WHIP in 16 starts this season, including 3-4 with a 7.37 ERA and 1.659 WHIP in 10 road starts. 

The Mets are 5-12 in Vargas’ last 17 starts.  New York is 3-8 in Vargas’ last 11 road starts.  The Dodgers are 60-29 in their last 89 vs. NL East opponents.  Los Angeles is 66-31 in its last 97 games vs. a left-handed starter.  The Dodgers are 77-30 in their last 107 home games vs. a team with a losing record.  Los Angeles is 14-3 in its last 17 meetings with New York.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Tuesday. 

20* NL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-115) 

The Atlanta Braves have it out for the Miami Marlins.  The Marlins plunked Acuna Jr. on August 15th and now they have their shot at revenge this series.  Game 1 was heated with more hit batters, but the Braves prevailed 5-0.  I expect them to win by two runs or more once again tonight in Game 2. 

Mike Foltynewicz is having a stellar season that will continue tonight.  He is 10-7 with a 2.72 ERA and 1.151 WHIP in 24 starts, including 2-0 with a 0.87 ERA and 0.968 WHIP in his last three.  One of those starts was against Miami on August 13th as he pitched 8 innings while allowing just one earned run in a 6-1 victory.  Folty is 5-1 with a 3.08 ERA in nine career starts against Miami, and his teams are 8-1 in those games. 

Daniel Straily is 4-6 with a 4.60 ERA and 1.408 WHIP in 20 starts for the Marlins this season, including 2-1 with a 4.94 ERA in nine home starts.  He is also 0-1 with a 5.62 ERA in his last three starts.  Straily has posted a 5.00 ERA and 1.511 WHIP in nine career starts against Atlanta.  In his last start against the Braves on July 31st, Straily gave up 8 runs, 5 earned and 12 base runners in 3 2/3 innings of a 6-11 loss. 

The Braves are 5-0 in Folty’s last five starts on 5 days’ rest.  Atlanta is 4-0 in its last four games overall.  The Braves are 37-15 in their last 52 vs. NL East opponents.  The Marlins are 3-14 in their last 17 vs. a team with a. Winning record.  Miami is 1-6 in Straily’s last seven starts vs. NL East foes.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Friday. 

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Colorado Rockies -1.5 (-115) 

The Colorado Rockies should come back highly motivated for a victory Wednesday after getting upset by the San Diego Padres last night.  Look for them to win this game by two runs or more thanks to their big advantage on the mound. 

Jon Gray is back healthy and pitching well for the Rockies.  He has 157 K’s in 134 1/3 innings this season so the stuff is clearly there.  Gray is also 6-3 with a 2.65 ERA and 0.962 WHIP in 13 career starts against San Diego, so he owns the Padres. 

The Padres are so far out of contention that they are looking to give their prospects a look here down the stretch.  Jacob Nix has made two starts, going 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.949 WHIP.  He has allowed 5 earned runs and 13 base runners in 6 2/3 innings.  Now he has the daunting task of making a start at Coors Field. 

The Rockies are 8-0 in Gray’s last eight starts, in which he has gone 3-0 with a 3.04 ERA, 11 walks and 57 K’s in 53 1/3 innings.  Opponents have hit just .214 with a .624 OPS against Gray during this stretch.  They’ll win his 9th straight start tonight.  Bet the Rockies on the Run Line Wednesday. 

20* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE WEEK on Colorado Rockies -1.5 (+106) 

The Colorado Rockies are rolling right now.  They have gone 8-1 in their last nine games overall with their only loss coming on the road to Houston.  This run has come against the Dodgers, Astros and Braves.  They just swept the Braves in Atlanta. 

Look for the Rockies to win by two runs or more tonight thanks to their advantage on the mound.  Tyler Anderson is 2-3 with a 3.47 ERA and 1.225 WHIP in 12 home starts this season.  What he’s done at Coors Field is nothing short of remarkable.  Anderson is also 2-1 with a 2.27 ERA and 1.065 WHIP in six career starts against San Diego. 

The Padres are just 1-6 in their last seven games overall.  Robbie Erlin won’t be able to stop the bleeding.  Erlin is 1-2 with a 5.87 ERA and 1.478 WHIP in five starts this season.  He is 1-2 with an 8.64 ERA and 2.040 WHIP in four career starts against Colorado as well. 

The Padres are 15-40 in their last 55 games overall.  San Diego is 3-9 in Erlin’s last 12 starts.  The Rockies are 12-2 in their last 14 games vs. a left-handed starter, including 5-0 in their last five home games against a southpaw.  Colorado is 20-7 in its last 27 home games.  Bet the Rockies on the Run Line Tuesday. 

15* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-110) 

The Brewers picked up a gutsy 2-1 win over the Cardinals yesterday.  They are fighting for their lives to make the wild card and to stay alive in the NL Central race.  They need wins right now a lot more than the Cincinnati Reds, who are simply playing for pride. 

The Brewers should be able to win by at least two runs tonight thanks to their huge advantage on the mound.  Chase Anderson is 7-7 with a 3.97 ERA and 1.199 WHIP in 24 starts this season.  Anderson is 4-1 with a 2.98 ERA and 1.138 WHIP in nine career starts against Cincinnati. 

Homer Bailey has been one of the worst starters in baseball over the last handful of years.  He is 1-10 with a 6.33 ERA and 1.629 WHIP in 16 starts this season.  Bailey is also 7-10 with a 4.79 ERA and 1.367 WHIP in 27 career starts against Milwaukee. 

Bailey is 0-9 vs. a team with a winning record this season, and the Reds are losing by 2.8 runs per game in this spot.  Bailey is 1-15 in all games this season with the Reds losing by 2.6 runs per game on average.  Bet the Brewers on the Run Line Monday. 

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 (-110) 

The New York Yankees should have no problem winning by two runs or more tonight.  They have a big advantage on the mound and are motivated fighting for a wild card spot in the American League. 

J.A. Happ has been excellent in his first few starts in a Yankee uniform.  Happ is 1-1 with a 1.23 ERA and 0.954 WHIP in his last three starts.  Happ has owned the Rangers, going 5-2 with a 2.83 ERA and 1.161 WHIP in seven career starts against them. 

Ariel Jurado will be making just his fourth start of the season tonight.  He is 2-1 with a 4.02 ERA through his first three starts.  However, this will be his toughest test yet at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium. 

Happy is 26-7 after giving up one or fewer earned runs last outing over the past three seasons.  His teams are winning by 1.8 runs per game in this spot.  The Yankees are 57-19 in their last 76 home games.  New York is 6-1 in its last seven vs. a team with a losing record.  Texas is 7-19 in its last 26 vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Thursday. 

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-130) 

The Washington Nationals are looking to make a serious push in August to chase down the NL East leaders. They have won five of their last seven and have scored a combined 30 runs in winning their last two games.  Now they get to host the lowly Cincinnati Reds for a four-game series and will be looking to take advantage. 

Ace Max Scherzer gets the ball for Game 1 tonight.  Scherzer is 14-5 with a 2.30 ERA and 0.901 WHIP in 22 starts this season with 200 K’s in 148 2/3 innings.  Scherzer owns the Reds, going 3-1 with a 2.05 ERA and 0.978 WHIP in five career starts against them. 

Tyler Mahle is 7-8 with a 4.53 ERA and 1.519 WHIP in 21 starts for the Reds this season.  He has really struggled of late, going 0-2 with a 14.00 ERA and 2.889 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 14 earned runs, 5 homers and 26 base runners in 9 innings pitched. 

The Nationals are 50-20 in Scherzer’s last 70 starts, 18-6 in his last 24 home starts, and 9-1 in his last 10 starts during Game 1 of a series.  Washington is 6-1 in its last seven home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  The Nationals are 13-3 in the last 16 meetings.  Bet the Nationals on the Run Line Thursday. 

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Seattle Mariners -1.5 (-105) 

I backed the Mariners with success on the Run Line yesterday and I’m back on them again Saturday.  It’s a team I knew would be motivated coming out of the All-Star Break after entering the break with four straight losses.  I look for them to win by two runs or more once again today against the lowly Chicago White Sox (33-63). 

The Mariners have a big advantage on the mound with Felix Hernandez.  The right-hander is 4-4 with a 4.10 ERA and 1.247 WHIP in 10 home starts this season.  Hernandez is 7-6 with a 3.90 ERA and 1.276 WHIP in 20 career starts against Chicago. 

Dylan Covey has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  He is 3-5 with a 5.21 ERA and 1.627 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including 0-3 with a 14.73 ERA and 2.545 WHIP in his last three.  He’s also 1-4 with a 6.92 ERA and 1.793 WHIP in six road starts, and 0-0 with a 6.00 ERA in one career start against Seattle. 

Seattle is 21-6 as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season.  The White Sox are 1-12 in Covey’s last 13 road starts.  Chicago is 14-44 in its last 58 vs. a team with a winning record.  The Marines are 7-0 in Hernandez’s last seven starts vs. AL Central opponents.  Seattle is 4-0 in Hernandez’s last four starts against the White Sox, and 6-1 in his last seven home starts against them.  Bet the Mariners on the Run Line Saturday. 

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Seattle Mariners -1.5 (+105) 

The Seattle Mariners come out of the All-Star Break highly motivated for a victory.  They lost four straight on the road heading into the break to let the Astros distance themselves from them a bit in the AL West race.  Now they get to host the lowly White Sox to get back on track in this series, and I expect them to win Game 1 by two runs or more. 

Wade LeBlanc has been great for the Mariners this season.  He is 5-1 with a 3.45 ERA and 1.123 WHIP in 14 starts, including a perfect 5-0 with a 2.35 ERA and 0.891 WHIP in eight home starts.  LeBlanc has posted a 3.86 ERA in one career starts against Chicago. 

James Shields is 4-9 with a 4.38 ERA in 20 starts this season, including 1-4 with a 6.02 ERA in seven road starts.  Shields has been awful in his last three starts against the Mariners, going 0-3 with an 11.04 ERA while allowing 18 earned runs in 14 2/3 innings. 

LeBlanc is 9-0 in home games vs. AL teams with an on base percentage of .330 or worse over the last three seasons.  His teams are winning by 2.0 runs per game on average in this spot.  LeBlanc is 10-0 at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last three seasons, and his teams are winning by 2.2 runs per game.  The Mariners are 8-0 in LeBlanc’s eight home starts this season and winning by 2.2 runs per game.  Bet the Mariners on the Run Line Friday. 

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-110) 

The Los Angeles Dodgers have battled to get to within 0.5 games of the Arizona Diamondbacks for first place in the NL West.  Look for them to win their final game before the All-Star Break over the Angels thanks to a huge advantage on the mound. 

Clayton Kershaw looks healthy and his numbers are showing it.  He is now 3-4 with a 2.61 ERA and 1.043 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 2-0 with a 1.59 ERA and 0.647 WHIP in his last three starts.  Kershaw is 6-2 with a 2.42 ERA and 0.962 WHIP in 10 career starts against the Angels. 

Deck McGuire is no more than a fill-in starter for the Angels.  And his two starts this season have not gone well as he’s 0-1 with a 7.11 ERA and 1.580 WHIP while averaging just 3.2 innings per start.  The Dodgers will get into the Angels’ bullpen early in this one. 

Kershaw is 35-5 vs. teams who strand 6.9 or less base runners per game over the last three seasons.  The Dodgers are winning by 2.4 runs per game on average in this spot.  The Angels are 2-12 in their last 14 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.  The Dodgers are 14-3 in their last 17 games following a loss.  Los Angeles is 9-1 in Kershaw’s last 10 interleague starts.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Sunday. 

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-111) 

The Los Angeles Dodgers should have no problem beating the San Diego Padres by two runs or more tonight.  The Dodgers have been playing well for weeks now and are just 0.5 games behind the Diamondbacks for first place in the NL West.  They’re looking to close strong before the All-Star Break. 

Los Angeles starter Ross Stripling has earned his way onto the All-Star team.  He is 7-2 with a 2.55 ERA and 1.054 WHIP in 13 starts this season with 86 K’s in 74 innings.  Stripling has been dominant in his two starts against San Diego, going 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA while pitching 10 2/3 innings with 15 K’s without allowing an earned run. 

Tyson Ross is really faltering of late.  He has gone 0-2 with a 19.29 ERA in his last two starts, giving up 15 earned runs and 4 homers in 7 innings.  Ross was awful in his last start against the Dodgers giving up 8 runs and 10 base runners in 5 1/3 innings of a 15-0 loss. 

San Diego is 6-20 as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season.  It is losing by 3.1 runs per game on average in this spot.  The Dodgers are 12-2 in their last 14 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  Los Angeles is 8-2 in Stripling’s last 10 starts overall.  The Padres are 1-7 in Ross’ last eight starts against the Dodgers, including 0-4 in his last four home starts against them.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Thursday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (+104) 

I had the Indians on the Run Line yesterday in one of the sickest beats I’ve taken all season.  They were up 4-0 going into the 9th and lost 7-4.  Now the Indians have lost four straight, and they are looking to avoid the sweep at the hands of in-state rival Cincinnati.  Look for them to be playing with an extra chip on their shoulder tonight. 

Carlos Carrasco has some of the best stuff in baseball.  He has gone 9-5 with a 4.28 ERA and 1.179 WHIP in 16 starts this season.  The Indians are 4-0 in Carrasco’s four career starts against the Reds, having never lost, and winning three of them by 2 runs or more. 

Tyler Mahle has been respectable for the Reds this season at 7-6 with a 3.66 ERA and 1.393 WHIP in 18 starts.  But he’ll be up against it here against a motivated Indians lineup that will continue to pour it on after letting off the gas yesterday after taking a quick 4-0 lead. 

The Reds are 2-8 in their last 10 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Indians are 40-12 in their last 52 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  Cleveland is 5-0 in its last five after losing the first two games of a series.  The Indians are 15-3 off three or more consecutive losses over the last three seasons.  Cleveland is 9-1 in Carrasco’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a losing record.  Take the Indians on the Run Line Wednesday. 

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-165) 

The Boston Red Sox have such a big advantage on the mound tonight that it’s worth laying the juice with them on the Run Line.  They should have no problem winning by two runs or more.  The Red Sox are 8-0 in their last eight games overall with seven of those wins coming by 3 runs or more. 

Ace Chris Sale gets the ball Wednesday.  He is 9-4 with a 2.36 ERA and 0.893 WHIP in 19 starts this season, including 3-0 with a 0.45 ERA and 0.650 WHIP in his last three starts.  Sale is 6-2 with a 3.14 ERA and 0.873 WHIP in nine career starts against Texas.  Better yet, Sale is 3-0 with a 1.23 ERA in his last three starts against the Rangers, allowing just 4 earned runs in 29 1/3 innings. 

The 45-year-old Bartolo Colon is overmatched here.  He is 5-6 with a 4.80 ERA in 16 starts this season.  Colon is 9-12 with a 4.06 ERA and 1.435 WHIP in 32 career starts against Boston.  He allowed 4 homers in 7 innings in his last start against the Red Sox on May 4th of this season, a 1-5 loss. 

The Rangers are 20-41 in their last 61 vs. a team with a winning record.  The Red Sox are 51-18 in their last 69 games vs. a right-handed starter.  Boston is 10-1 in Sale’s last 11 starts during Game 3 of a series.  The Red Sox are 5-0 in their last five meetings with the Rangers.  Boston is 6-0 in its last six home meetings with Texas.  Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Wednesday. 

25* Interleague GAME OF THE YEAR on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-115) 

The Cleveland Indians will be highly motivated for a victory Tuesday after losing three straight games coming in, including their 6-0 shutout loss to the Reds yesterday.  But due to the massive advantage the Indians have on the mound tonight, they should have no problem getting revenge and beating the Reds by two runs or more to cover the Run Line. 

Trevor Bauer has been outstanding this season.  He has gone 8-6 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.088 WHIP in 18 starts, 4-1 with a 2.52 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in eight home starts, and 2-1 with a 2.18 ERA and 1.064 WHIP in his last three outings.  He has 156 K’s in 121 1/3 innings this season.  Bauer has allowed just 3 earned runs in 13 innings in his two career home starts against the Reds for a 2.08 ERA. 

Sal Romano has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season for the Reds.  He is 5-8 with a 5.31 ERA and 1.463 WHIP in 18 starts, 1-4 with a 6.11 ERA and 1.585 WHIP in seven road starts, and 1-1 with a 6.60 ERA and 1.600 WHIP in his last three outings. 

Cleveland is 15-2 off three or more consecutive losses over the last three seasons.  It is coming back to win by 3.5 runs per game on average in this spot.  The Reds are 16-43 in their last 59 interleague road games.  The Indians are 6-1 in Bauer’s last seven home starts.  Cleveland is 40-11 in its last 51 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  Bet the Indians on the Run Line Tuesday. 

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-150) 

The Los Angeles Dodgers should make easy work of the San Diego Padres tonight and win this game by two runs or more.  They are focused as they approach the All-Star Break to try and grab first place in the NL West, while the Padres are just going through the motions right now. 

The Dodgers have a massive advantage on the mound tonight behind Clayton Kershaw, who is 2-4 with a 2.86 ERA and 1.095 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  Kershaw is 17-6 with a 1.94 ERA and 0.992 WHIP in 32 career starts against San Diego.  Kershaw has allowed one earned run or fewer in 11 of his last 12 starts against the Padres, which is absolutely remarkable. 

Luis Perdomo is 1-2 with a 6.86 ERA and 2.186 WHIP in five starts this season, including 0-2 with a 15.43 ERA and 3.286 HWIP in two home starts.  Perdomo is also 1-4 with an 8.31 ERA and 1.692 WHIP in five career starts against the Dodgers.  He gave up 7 earned runs and 12 base runners in 3 innings in his only start against the Dodgers this season back on April 18th. 

Kershaw is 34-5 against teams that strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last two seasons.  The Dodgers are winning by 2.3 runs per game in this spot.  San Diego is 5-18 as a home dog of +100 or more this season, losing by 3.3 runs per game on average.  Los Angeles is 46-11 in Kershaw’s last 57 starts vs. NL West opponents, including 5-0 in his last five starts in San Diego.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Monday. 

15* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-115) 

The Houston Astros have won six straight to improve to 61-31 on the season and get a little breathing room on the Seattle Mariners atop the AL West standings.  Look for them to win their seventh straight game tonight, and to do so by two runs or more. 

Gerrit Cole is having the best season of his career.  He has gone 9-2 with a 2.70 ERA and 0.969 WHIP in 18 starts this season with 158 K’s in 116 2/3 innings.  The Astros are 15-3 in those starts.  Cole is also 2-1 with a 3.51 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in four career starts against Oakland.  The Astros are 3-0 in Cole’s three starts against the A’s this season alone, winning by 4, 3 and 8 runs. 

Frankie Montas is 4-2 with a 3.83 ERA and 1.464 WHIP in seven starts for the A’s this season, but 0-1 with a 9.34 ERA in his last two starts, giving up 9 earned runs and 20 base runners in 8 2/3 innings to the Tigers and Indians.  Montas’ worst start this season came against the Astros on June 14th when he allowed 7 runs and 15 base runners in 5 1/3 innings of a 3-7 loss. 

Cole is 20-3 as a favorite of -150 or more over the last two seasons.  His teams are winning by 3.2 runs per game on average in this spot.  Roll with the Astros on the Run Line Monday. 

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-101) 

The Boston Red Sox are 6-0 in their last six games overall to improve to 62-29 on the season.  They should have no problem beating the Rangers to two runs or more today.  They have scored a combined 46 runs in their last five games for an average of 9.2 runs per game. 

They should stay hot at the plate tonight against Texas’ Mike Minor.  The left-hander has been awful on the road this season, going 2-2 with a 6.82 ERA and 1.451 WHIP in six starts away from home.  It won’t get any easier for Minor at Fenway Park tonight. 

Eduardo Rodriquez has been a huge asset to Boston’s rotation this season.  The left-hander has gone 10-3 with a 3.84 ERA and 1.259 WHIP in 17 starts with 100K’s in 93 2/3 innings.  He is 1-0 with a 3.29 ERA and 0.805 WHIP in two career starts against Texas. 

Rodriquez is 17-2 as a favorite of -150 or more over the last two seasons.  The Red Sox are winning by 2.4 runs per game on average in this spot.  Take the Red Sox on the Run Line Monday. 

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Washington Nationals -1.5 (+103) 

The players’ only meeting has really made a big difference for the Nationals.  They are 3-0 since, and their offense has exploded by 35 combined runs in the three wins, including 18 yesterday.  They should beat the Marlins by two runs or more once again Sunday. 

Tanner Roark is 3-9 with a 4.44 ERA in 17 starts this season.  I expect him to have a great start here against the Marlins.  He has given up just 3 earned runs in 13 innings in his last two starts against Miami for a 2.08 ERA. 

Trevor Richards has been awful this season.  He is 2-5 with a 5.26 ERA and 1.509 WHIP in 11 starts, and 1-3 with a 6.07 ERA and 1.725 WHIP in six road starts.  He is in line to get rocked by this hot Nats’ lineup today. 

The Marlins are 20-42 in their last 62 road games.  Miami is 1-7 in its last eight Sunday games.  The Marlins are 3-14 in their last 17 during Game 4 of a series.  The Nationals are 5-1 in Roark’s last six home starts vs. a team with a losing record.  Washington is 21-6 in the last 27 meetings, including 4-1 in Roark’s last five starts against Miami.  Take the Nationals Sunday. 

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (+110) 

The Cleveland Indians had won five straight while scoring at least 6 runs in four of those wins prior to a 3-6 upset loss to the Indians yesterday.  They’ll bounce back with a victory Sunday by two runs or more. 

Shane Bieber has had an excellent start to his rookie season.  He is 4-0 with a 2.97 ERA in five starts, 2-0 with a 0.71 ERA in two home starts, and 3-0 with a 2.37 ERA in his last three starts overall. 

Brett Anderson is one of the worst starters in baseball.  It’s amazing he has even made the rotation for the A’s.  Anderson is 0-2 with a 7.63 ERA and 2.022 WHIP in four starts this season. 

Cleveland is 19-3 in home games vs. teams who average 0.35 or fewer stolen bases per game over the last three seasons.  It is winning by 3.1 runs per game in this spot.  The Indians are 5-0 in Bieber’s last five starts.  Bet the Indians on the Run Line Sunday.

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-155) 

The Houston Astros will have no problem winning by two runs or more Saturday against the Chicago White Sox.  They have a big advantage on the mound and at the plate in this one. 

Charlie Morton is 10-2 with a 2.55 ERA and 1.114 WHIP in 17 starts this season.  He is also 7-1 with a 2.18 ERA and 1.032 WHIP in 10 home starts, and 2-1 with a 0.92 ERA and 1.017 WHIP in his last three starts.  Morton is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.714 WHIP in one career start against Chicago. 

James Shields id 3-8 with a 4.06 ERA in 18 starts for the White Sox this season, including 1-3 with a 5.02 ERA in six road starts.  Shields faced the Astros on April 20th this season, giving up 7 earned runs and 12 base runners in 5 1/3 innings of a 10-0 loss. 

Houston is 28-5 vs. teams who are outscored by 0.5 or more runs per game this season.  It is winning by 3.3 runs per game in this spot.  Shields is 9-38 as a dog of +150 or more in his career.  His teams are losing by 2.7 runs per game on average.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Saturday. 

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Washington Nationals -1.5 (+100) 

The players’ only meeting on Wednesday clearly helped this team.  They could have given up down 9-0 yesterday to the Marlins, but fought back with 14 unanswered runs and a 14-12 victory.  I think this will be a great team to back in the immediate future, and I’ll continue to do so tonight. 

The Nationals have a big advantage on the mound behind Gio Gonzalez.  The left-hander is 6-5 with a 3.77 ERA in 17 starts this season, including 3-2 with a 3.02 ERA in eight home starts.  Gonzalez owns the Marlins, going 10-3 with a 1.85 ERA and 1.046 WHIP in 16 career starts against them. 

Dan Straily is 3-4 with a 4.70 ERA in 12 starts this season, including 1-2 with a 6.14 ERA in his last three.  Straily has never beaten the Nationals, going 0-1 with a 4.03 ERA in five career starts against them. 

Gonzalez is 41-15 in home games vs. poor power teams averaging 0.9 or less HR’s/game in his career.  His teams are winning by 1.8 runs per game on average.  Miami is 3-16 in its last 19 road games after scoring 8 runs or more.  It is losing by 2.9 runs per game in this spot.  The Marlins are 1-6 in Straily’s last seven starts.  Washington is 43-16 in its last 59 home meetings with Miami, including 6-1 in Gonzalez’s last seven home starts against them.  Bet the Nationals on the Run Line Friday. 

20* NL Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Washington Nationals -1.5 (+110) 

The Washington Nationals just had a players’ only meeting yesterday after getting swept by the Red Sox to fall to 42-43 on the season.  They have now lost eight of their last nine games overall.  I expect them to respond in a big way in Game 1 of this series with the Miami Marlins Thursday. 

Jeremy Hellickson has been awesome for the Nationals this season.  He has gone 2-1 with a 2.62 ERA and 1.021 WHIP in 10 starts, including 0-0 with a 1.65 ERA and 0.919 WHIP in three home starts.  Hellickson is also 4-3 with a 2.88 ERA and 1.053 WHIP in 12 career starts against the Marlins. 

Pablo Lopez will be making just the second start of his career for the Marlins.  He pitched well in his major league debut, giving up two runs in six innings against the Mets on Saturday.  But the Nationals are a different animal, and he will have his work cut out for him tonight. 

The Nationals are 5-2 in Hellickson’s last seven starts.  The Marlins are 5-22 in their last 27 Thursday games. Washington is 42-16 in its last 58 home meetings with Miami.  The Nationals are 19-7 in the last 26 meetings overall.  Bet the Nationals on the Run Line Thursday. 

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-119) 

After losing three straight to the Rays over the weekend, the Astros now have just a half-game lead on the Seattle Mariners in the AL West.  They’ll be highly motivated for a victory to get back on track in Game 1 of this series against the Texas Rangers Tuesday. 

Dallas Keuchel hasn’t been at his best this season, but he’s still been solid with a 4.22 ERA in 17 starts, a 3.54 ERA in nine road starts, and a 3.12 ERA in his last three.  Keuchel has allowed one earned run or fewer in five of his last eight starts against the Rangers. 

Austin Bibens-Dirkxx is 1-1 with a 3.57 ERA and 1.323 WHIP in four starts this season.  But he has faced some suspect lineups in the Royals (twice), Padres and Mariners.  This is by far his stiffest test of the season tonight against an Astros team that is 30-14 on the road and scoring 5.7 runs per game away from home. 

Houston is 12-0 in road games vs. teams who are outscored by their opponents by 0.5 or more runs per game this season.  It is winning these games by 5.2 runs per game on average.  The Astros are 18-3 on the road against division opponents this season, winning by 3.5 runs per game.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line. 

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-110) 

The Houston Astros will bounce back from a rare loss to the Tampa Bay Rays yesterday.  The Astros are 18-4 in their last 22 games overall, including a perfect 4-0 in their last four games following a loss during this stretch. 

Ace Justin Verlander gets the ball for the Astros today.  Verlander is 9-3 with a 1.82 ERA and 0.809 WHIP in 17 starts this season, including 7-1 with a 1.34 ERA and 0.857 WHIP in eight road starts.  The right-hander is also 8-3 with a 3.18 ERA and 1.129 WHIP in 17 career starts against Tampa Bay. 

Ryne Stanek is being used as a starter despite the fact that he’s a reliever for the Rays.  I just don’t trust this strategy that Tampa Bay is employing.  The Astros can’t be held down for long, and after being limited offensively the past two days, look for them to bust out in a big way today. 

Houston is 30-12 on the road this season and scoring 5.9 runs per game.  The Astros are 17-3 on the road this season after two straight games allowing 3 or fewer runs.  Houston is 6-0 in its last six during Game 3 of a series.  The Astros are 15-3 in their last 18 road games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Rays are 1-4 in Stanek’s last five starts vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Saturday. 

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-125) 

The Houston Astros are absolutely on fire right now.  They are 11-0 in their last 11 games overall while winning nine of those by two runs or more.  They have scored at least 5 runs in 10 of the 11 games, and 7 or more eight times.  They’ll stay motivated to keep this winning streak alive tonight against the Rays. 

Gerrit Cole has been awesome this season.  He has gone 8-1 with a 2.40 ERA and 0.875 WHIP in 14 starts with 130 K’s in 93 2/3 innings.  Houston pitching coaches have worked magic on this entire staff, and Cole has been perhaps the biggest beneficiary. 

The Rays continue to deploy relievers as starters in their experiment.  It’s not really working.  Ryan Stanek will get the ball tonight and he has posted a 6.77 ERA in his two road starts.  He’s only averaging 1.5 innings per start. 

The Rays are 1-9 in their last 10 road games.  Tampa Bay is 0-8 in its last eight road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Rays are 2-11 in their last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.  The Astros are 22-5 in their last 27 home gams vs. a team with a losing road record.  Houston is 12-2 in Cole’s last 14 starts.   

Cole is 11-0 in June road games in his career, and his teams are winning by 3.5 runs per game on average in this spot.  Cole is 17-2 as a favorite of -150 or more over the last two seasons, and his teams are also winning by 3.5 runs per game in this situation.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Monday. 

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-130) 

The Houston Astros have won eight straight games coming into this one.  They are on fire at the plate, scoring 5 or more runs in seven of the eight wins.  They have won six of the eight games by two runs or more.  They should beat the Royals by two runs or more in Game 1 of this series Friday. 

The Royals are 1-9 in their last 10 games overall.  Now they’ll be sending Jake Junis to the mound, and while he has been decent this season, he has struggled of late.  Junis is 0-3 with a 5.79 ERA and 1.501 WHIP in his last three starts.  He is 0-0 with a 17.17 ERA in one career start against Houston, giving up 7 earned runs in 3 2/3 innings. 

Charlie Morton is having another great season for the Astros.  He has gone 7-1 with a 2.82 ERA and 1.122 WHIP in 13 starts this season with 96 K’s in 76 2/3 innings.  He is also 2-0 with a 2.93 ERA and 1.229 WHIP in five road starts. 

Houston is 18-3 in June road games over the last two seasons, winning by 2.6 runs per game.  The Astros are 8-0 in their last eight games.  The Astros are 6-0 in Morton’s last six starts during Game 1 of a series.  The Royals are 2-10 in their last 12 games following an off day.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Friday.

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-125) 

The Houston Astros are 7-0 in their last seven games overall.  They have been crushing it at the plate, scoring 5 runs or more in six of the seven wins while averaging 7.1 runs per game in the process.  They should beat the A’s by two runs or more again today. 

Justin Verlander is a Cy Young candidate this season.  He has gone 8-2 with a 1.45 ERA and 0.761 WHIP in 14 starts, including 6-1 with a 0.96 ERA and 0.879 WHIP in seven road starts.  Verlander is also 14-6 with a 2.27 ERA and 1.057 WHIP in 22 career starts against Oakland. 

Frankie Montas is getting too much respect from oddsmakers here.  He has posted great numbers, but he has only had three starts this season, and two of those have come against the Kansas City Royals.  This will be by far his stiffest test yet against the red-hot Astros. 

Houston is 22-6 in road games after scoring 9 runs or more over the last three seasons.  It is winning by 3.6 runs per game in this spot.  The Astros are 17-3 in road games against division opponents this season.  They are winning by 3.4 runs per game.  Houston is 35-16 in the last 51 meetings, including 5-0 in the last five meetings in Oakland.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Thursday. 

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-125) 

The Houston Astros have reeled off six straight victories coming into this game with the Oakland A’s tonight. They have scored at least 5 runs in five of the six.  Look for them to win by two runs or more tonight, so we’ll back them on the Run Line instead of laying the heavy price on the money line. 

Gerrit Cole is right up there for the Cy Young award in the American League.  He has gone 7-1 with a 2.16 ERA and 0.844 WHIP in 13 starts with 124 K’s in 87 2/3 innings.  He is 5-0 with a 1.72 ERA and 0.851 WHIP in seven road starts.  Cole is also 1-1 with a 2.75 ERA and 1.017 WHIP in three career starts against Oakland, two of which have come this season. 

Paul Blackburn will be making just his second start of the season for the A’s.  His first went well, but it was against the lowly Kansas City Royals, so he’ll be taking a big step up in class here.  Blackburn managed just 22 K’s in 58 2/3 innings last season for the A’s and clearly doesn’t have very good stuff at all. 

Cole is 10-0 in June road games in his career, and his teams are winning by 3.1 runs per game on average in this spot.  Cole is 16-2 as a favorite of -150 or more over the last two seasons, and his teams are winning by 3.2 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Wednesday. 

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Houston Astros -1.5 (-117) 

The Houston Astros should have no problem beating the Texas Rangers by two runs or more Sunday.  That’s why we’ll back them on the Run Line instead of laying -200 or more on the money line today. 

Dallas Keuchel has done his best work on the road this season with a 3.35 ERA in seven starts.  Keuchel is 9-9 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.153 WHIP in 24 career starts against Texas.  He has allowed one earned run or fewer in five of his last seven starts against the Rangers. 

Matt Moore has arguably been the worst starter in all of baseball over the past two seasons.  It’s amazing the Rangers keep starting him.  Moore is 1-5 with a 7.62 ERA and 1.981 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  Two of those have come in blowout losses to Houston as he has allowed 7 earned runs in 7 innings for a 9.00 ERA. 

Houston is 47-19 as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last two seasons.  It is winning in this spot by 2.5 runs per game on average.  The Astros are 10-1 in their last 11 meetings in Texas.  Roll with the Astros on the Run Line. 

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Houston Astros -1.5 (-117) 

The Houston Astros should have no problem beating the Texas Rangers by two runs or more tonight.  They have been a great bet on the road over the past few seasons because you get a cheaper price with them when away from home. 

The Astros have a big advantage on the mound tonight behind Charlie Morton, who is 7-1 with a 2.84 ERA and 1.082 WHIP in 12 starts this season.  Morton is also 2-1 with a 3.03 ERA and 1.213 WHIP in five career starts against Texas. 

Mike Minor is 4-4 with a 5.76 ERA and 1.348 WHIP in 11 starts this season fr the Rangers.  Minor has never beaten the Astros, going 0-2 with a 5.53 ERA in five career starts against them. 

Houston is 46-19 as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last two seasons, winning by 2.5 runs per game on average in this spot.  The Astros are 8-1 in Morton’s last nine starts when working on 5 days’ rest.  Houston is 9-1 in its last 10 meetings in Texas.  Take the Astros on the Run Line. 

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Houston Astros -1.5 (-115) 

The Houston Astros should have no problem winning by two runs or more tonight over the Texas Rangers.  They have a massive advantage on the mound tonight just as they do in most games, and that’s why backing them on the run line has been a great bet on the road this season. 

Justin Verlander has been unhittable since getting traded to the Astros last season.  He has gone 7-2 with a 1.24 ERA and 0.721 WHIP in 13 starts this season, including 5-1 with a 0.44 ERA and 0.811 WHIP in six road starts.  Verlander is 13-8 with a 2.93 ERA in 25 career starts against Texas, including 2-1 with a 1.38 ERA in his last four starts against them, allowing just 4 earned runs in 26 innings while striking out 34 batters. 

Doug Fister is no match for Verlander.  The right-hander is 1-6 with a 4.13 ERA and 1.377 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including 1-2 with a 6.40 ERA and 1.698 WHIP in five home starts.  He has gone 2-2 with a 4.07 ERA in six career stats against Houston as well. 

Houston is 45-19 as a road favorite of -125 or higher over the last two seasons, winning by 2.5 runs per game on average.  The Astros are 17-6 in Verlander’s last 23 starts.  The Rangers are 1-5 in Fister’s last six starts.  Houston is 8-1 in its last nine meetings in Texas.  Roll with the Astros on the Run Line Friday. 

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-105) 

The Houston Astros should have no problem winning by two runs or more against the Texas Rangers tonight.  They have lost three of their last four coming in, so they will be highly motivated for a victory tonight. 

Gerrit Cole should lead them to victory.  He has gone 6-1 with a 2.20 ERA and 0.833 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 4-0 with a 1.76 ERA and 0.829 WHIP in six road starts.  Cole has never lost to the Rangers, going 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA and 0.667 WHIP in three career starts against them.  He has 34 K’s in 21 innings in those three starts. 

Cole Hamels has been decent this season at 3-5 with a 3.63 ERA and 1.236 WHIP in 12 starts.  However, he has been at his worst at home, going 1-4 with a 4.66 ERA and 1.364 WHIP in six home starts.  And Hamels has already faced the Astros three times this season, so they have the beat on him. 

Cole is 9-0 (+9.7 units) in June road games in his career.  His teams are winning by 3.1 runs per game on average in this spot.  Cole is 14-2 (+11.1 units) as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last two seasons.  His teams are winning by 2.4 runs per game on average.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Thursday. 

15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+120) 

The St. Louis Cardinals (32-25) should have no problem beating the lowly Miami Marlins (20-39) by two runs or more in Game 1 of this series Tuesday.  They have a huge advantage on the mound, as well as advantages at the plate and in the bullpen. 

Jose Urena is still in search of his first win for the Marlins.  He is 0-7 with a 4.41 ERA in 12 starts this season, and the Marlins are 0-12 in those 12 starts.  Urena is also 1-1 with an 8.16 ERA and 1.814 WHIP in three career starts against St. Louis. 

Carlos Martinez is 3-2 with a 1.62 ERA and 1.080 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 1-1 with a 1.48 ERA and 1.055 WHIP in five home starts.  Martinez is 2-1 with a 3.96 ERA in four career starts against the Marlins as well. 

Martinez is 34-11 vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in his career.  Urena is 0-12 in all games this season and the Marlins are losing by 2.8 runs per game on average.  The Marlins are 0-8 in their last eight vs. a right-handed starter.  The Cardinals are 6-1 in Martinez’s last seven starts.  Take the Cardinals on the Run Line Tuesday. 

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (+103) 

The Cleveland Indians should have no problem winning by two runs or more in Game 1 of this series with the Milwaukee Brewers.  They will be sending their ace to the mound and will be highly motivated for a victory after losing three straight to the Twins over the weekend. 

Corey Kluber is having another Cy Young-caliber season.  He is 8-2 with a 2.02 ERA and 0.839 WHIP in 12 starts this year, including 5-0 with a 1.26 ERA and 0.791 WHIP in six home starts.  He is also 2-0 with a 0.93 ERA and 0.828 WHIP in his last three starts, which is impressive considering he has faced Houston twice. 

Junior Guerra isn’t as good as his 2.65 ERA and 1.123 WHIP would indicate this season.  One of his worst starts this year came against Cleveland on May 9th as he allowed 4 earned runs in 5 innings of a 2-6 loss to the Indians for a 7.20 ERA. 

Cleveland is a perfect 11-0 in home games off three or more consecutive losses over the last three seasons.  It is coming back to win by 4.1 runs per game on average in this spot.  Roll with the Indians on the Run Line Tuesday. 

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (+100) 

I’ve backed the Diamondbacks with success each of the last two days and I’m going to back them again here Wednesday to sweep the Cincinnati Reds.  They won 12-5 on Monday and 5-2 on Wednesday and should also win this game by two runs or more. 

The Diamondbacks have a huge advantage on the mound behind Pat Corbin, who is 5-1 with a 2.47 ERA and 0.894 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  Corbin has been at his best at home, going 4-1 with a 2.02 ERA and 0.675 WHIP in six starts.  He is also 2-2 with a 3.20 ERA and 1.178 WHIP in seven career starts against Cincinnati. 

Sal Romano has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  He has gone 2-6 with a 5.73 ERA and 1.600 WHIP in 11 starts, including 0-3 with a 12.80 ERA and 2.686 WHIP in his last three.  Romano is also 0-4 with a 7.66 ERA and 1.970 WHIP in five road starts.  He gave up 6 earned runs and 11 base runners in 4 innings of a 2-11 loss to Arizona in his only career start against them last year. 

Cincinnati is 2-15 vs. a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season, losing by 2.6 runs per game in this spot.  The Reds are 2-15 vs. teams who strand 6.9 or fewer base runners per game this season, losing by 3.2 runs per game in this spot.  The Diamondbacks are 9-3 in Corbin’s last 12 home starts.  Arizona is 5-0 in Corbin’s last five starts during Game 3 of a series.  Bet the Diamondbacks on the Run Line Wednesday. 

15* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Colorado Rockies -1.5 (+100) 

The Colorado Rockies will come into this game highly motivated for a victory after losing four of their last five overall.  They also come in with many advantages, not the least of which is rest.  The Reds played yesterday, while the Rockies had yesterday off to regroup and recover. 

No question the Rockies have the advantage on the mound tonight behind Jon Gray, who is 4-6 with a 5.17 ERA and 1.401 WHIP in 10 starts this season with 63 K’s in 55 2/3 innings.  Gray has never lost to the Reds, going 2-0 with a 3.86 ERA in two career starts against them. 

Sal Romano is 2-5 with a 5.44 ERA and 1.530 WHIP in 10 starts this season with only 34 K’s in 49 2/3 innings.  Romano has been awful on the road, going 0-3 with a 7.41 ERA and 1.882 WHIP in four starts, and it’s not going to get any easier for him at hitter-friendly Coors Field tonight.  Romano is also 0-2 with a 15.96 ERA in his last two starts, allowing 13 earned runs in 7 1/3 innings to the Cubs and Giants. 

Cincinnati is 1-11 vs. teams who strand 6.9 or fewer runners on base per game this season.  It is losing by 3.3 runs per game in this spot.  The Rockies are 12-3 in their last 15 home games following a road trip of seven or more days.  Colorado is 7-2 in Gray’s last nine home starts vs. a team with a losing record.  The Reds are 16-34 in their last 50 meetings in Colorado.  Take the Rockies on the Run Line Friday. 

15* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Washington Nationals -1.5 (+125) 

The Washington Nationals will be highly motivated for a victory at home here against the San Diego Padres in Game 1 of this series.  They were swept by the Dodgers over the weekend.  But now they face the lowly Padres and should be able to win by two runs or more. 

The Nationals certainly have the advantage on the mound in this one behind Gio Gonzalez, who is 4-2 with a 2.22 ERA in eight starts, including 2-1 with a 1.61 ERA in four home starts.  Gonzalez is 3-2 with a 3.21 ERA in seven career starts against San Diego.  In his last two starts against the Padres, he has given up just one earned run in 12 2/3 innings. 

Robbie Erlin will be making just his second start of the season for San Diego.  The first was not good as he gave up 6 and 8 base runners in 3 innings against the Dodgers on April 16th.  Erlin has never beaten the Nationals, going 0-2 with a massive 16.40 ERA and 2.680 WHIP in two career starts against them. 

San Diego is 3-18 off three or more consecutive wins over the last three seasons.  It is losing by 3.4 runs per game on average in this spot.  Gonzalez is 14-2 when working on 7 or more days’ rest in his career.  His teams are winning by 3.9 runs per game in this spot.  Take the Nationals on the Run Line Monday. 

15* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Angels -1.5 (+110) 

It’s safe to say the Los Angeles Angels will be highly motivated for a victory Sunday.  They have lost five straight coming in, including each of the first three against the Rays in this series.  They will be desperate to avoid the sweep today. 

I like the Angels’ chances of winning by two runs or more today behind Shohei Ohtani.  He has gone 3-1 with a 3.58 ERA and 1.102 WHIP in six starts with 43 K’s in 32 2/3 innings.  His two best starts this season have come on Sunday afternoon home starts.  He is 1-1 with a 2.35 ERA and 0.848 WHIP in three home starts this year. 

Lifetime reliever Sergio Romo will start for the Rays for a second straight day.  He only pitched one inning yesterday, and the plan will be for one more inning today most likely.  That will force the Rays to unload their bullpen early, which is going to be a big advantage for the Angels. 

The Rays are 3-13 in their last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.  Tampa Bay is 1-6 in its last seven Sunday games.  The Rays are 0-5 in their last five during Game 4 of a series.  The Angels are 5-1 in Ohtani’s last six starts.  Los Angeles is 4-0 in Ohtani’s last four Sunday starts.  Bet the Angels on the Run Line Sunday. 

15* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-120) 

The Boston Red Sox will be highly motivated for a victory here Wednesday night.  They have lost the first two games of this series to Oakland and will be looking to avoid a rare sweep at home.  I think they get the job done by two runs or more with their ace on the mound. 

Chris Sale gets the ball for the Red Sox.  He is 3-1 with a 2.21 ERA and 0.897 WHIP in nine starts this season, including 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 1.056 WHIP in three home starts.  Sale is also 4-3 with a 2.35 ERA and 0.862 WHIP in nine career starts against Oakland. 

Trevor Cahill has pitched well in limited action at home, but he’s 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA in two road starts this season.  Cahill is also 1-2 with a 6.35 ERA and 1.518 WHIP in five career starts against Boston. 

Sale is 32-7 vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse over the last three seasons.  His teams are winning by 3.3 runs per game on average in this spot.  Boston is 29-5 as a favorite of -200 or more over the last two years.  It is winning by 2.5 runs per game in this spot.  Take the Red Sox on the Run Line Wednesday. 

15* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+110) 

The Philadelphia Phillies will be highly motivated for a victory Wednesday.  They have lost four straight coming in with their last win coming behind Aaron Nola in a 7-3 victory over Atlanta.  Well, their ace gets the ball again tonight. 

Nola has been lights out since the second half of last season.  Nola is 3-1 with a 2.58 ERA and 0.965 WHIP in six starts this season.  He gave up just one earned run in 7 innings while striking out 11 in his last start against Miami, an 8-1 Phillies’ victory. 

Jose Urena is still in search of his first win of the season for the Marlins.  He is 0-4 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.303 WHIP in six starts this season.  The Marlins have gone 0-6 in those six starts.  Urena is 1-2 with a 5.84 ERA and 1.459 WHIP in five career starts against Philadelphia. 

The Phillies are 8-1 in their last nine games when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.  Philadelphia is 4-0 in its last four games after losing the first two games of a series.  The Marlins are 0-8 in Urena’s last eight starts.  Miami is 1-10 in Urena’s last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record.  Take the Phillies on the Run Line Wednesday. 

15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-110) 

The St. Louis Cardinals come into this series with the Chicago White Sox highly motivated for a victory.  They were just swept in a 3-game set in Pittsburgh over the weekend.  Now they get to host the 8-18 Chicago White Sox to get back on track. 

Michael Wacha has pitched well this season, going 4-1 with a 3.62 ERA in five starts, including 3-0 with a 2.04 ERA in three home starts.  Wacha won his only career start against the White Sox back in 2015. 

James Shields somehow manages to keep a spot in Chicago’s rotation despite being awful.  Shields is 1-2 with a 5.97 ERA and 1.605 WHIP in five starts this season.  He is also 0-1 with an 8.74 ERA and 2.383 WHIP in two career starts against St. Louis. 

The White Sox are 25-54 in their last 79 road games.  Chicago is 2-11 in its last 13 interleague road games.  The White Sox are 0-5 in Shields’ last five starts vs. a team with a winning record.  The Cardinals are 6-0 in Wacha’s last six starts vs. AL Central opponents.  St. Louis is 38-14 in its last 52 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Roll with the Cardinals on the Run Line Tuesday. 

15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 (-140) 

I backed the Yankees on the Run Line yesterday in a 12-1 victory over the Miami Marlins.  I’m going to hop back on board today with the same pick.  Instead of taking the Yankees at roughly -300 on the money line, we’ll back them at -140 on the Run Line at a much more favorable price. 

The Marlins are the worst team in baseball in my opinion.  They are just 4-12 this season with 11 of those 12 losses coming by 2 runs or more.  Their lineup is atrocious, and their rotation is awful as well.  Jarlin Garcia stands little chance of being successful against this potent Yankees’ lineup tonight. 

Masahiro Tanaka should be able to shut down the Marlins.  This is by far his easiest start of the year after facing the Blue Jays, Orioles and Red Sox in his first three starts.  He has posted a 1.039 WHIP with 18 K’s in 17 1/3 innings thus far.  Tanaka gave up just 2 earned runs in 7 innings in his lone career start against Miami for a 2.57 ERA. 

The Marlins are 18-40 in their last 58 vs. AL East opponents.  Miami is 8-25 in its last 33 interleague road games.  The Yankees are 7-0 in their last seven interleague games.  New York is 8-1 in its last nine home games vs. a left-handed starter.  The Yankees are 40-17 in Tanaka’s last 57 home starts.  New York is 5-1 in its last six home meetings with Miami.  Roll with the Yankees on the Run Line Tuesday. 

15* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 (-125) 

Instead of laying -300 or more to back the Yankees on the Money Line tonight, we’ll gladly lay just -125 with them on the Run Line in hopes that they win this game by two runs or more.  I think that shouldn’t be a problem against what I believe is the worst team in baseball in the Miami Marlins. 

The Marlins are just 4-11 this season with 10 of those 11 losses coming by two runs or more.  The Yankees are rested and ready to go after having the last two days off due to weather.  Giancarlo Stanton will be excited to face his former team for the first time as well. 

Luis Severino is one of the better starters in baseball.  He went 14-6 with a 2.98 ERA and 1.040 WHIP in 31 starts last season.  He struck out 230 batters in 193 1/3 innings.  He is 2-1 with a 3.50 ERA and 1.167 WHIP through three starts this season as well. 

Caleb Smith has not fared well in limited action in the big leagues in his brief two-year career to this point. He is 0-2 with a 6.47 ERA and 1.625 WHIP while allowing 23 earned runs and 6 homers in 32 innings.  He is in line to get rocked against this potent Yankees’ lineup tonight. 

The Marlins are 18-39 in their last 57 vs. AL East opponents.  Miami is 8-24 in its last 32 interleague road games.  The Yankees are 6-0 in their last six interleague games.  New York is 7-1 in its last eight home games vs. a left-handed starter.  The Yankees are 7-0 in Severino’s last seven starts vs. a team with a losing record.  New York is 13-3 in Severino’s last 16 home starts.  Roll with the Yankees on the Run Line Monday. 

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-119) 

The Houston Astros will be highly motivated for a victory at home tonight following back-to-back losses at Minnesota.  They are still 9-4 on the season with seven of those wins coming by two runs or more.  So instead of laying -240 on the money line, we’ll back them on the run line at a much more favorable -119 price. 

Gerrit Cole has delivered in a big way for the Astros in the early going.  He is 1-0 with a 0.64 ERA and 0.714 WHIP in two starts with 22 strikeouts in 14 innings.  One of those starts came against Texas on April 1st as he allowed just one earned run in 7 innings while striking out 11.  Cole is now 2-0 with a 0.64 ERA and 0.714 WHIP in two career starts against Texas. 

Cole Hamels has taken a big step back since joining the Rangers.  He hasn’t fared well thus far in 2018, going 1-2 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.625 WHIP in three starts.  Hamels is 0-2 with a 9.34 ERA in his last two starts against Houston, giving up 9 earned runs and 19 base runners in 8 2/3 innings. 

Texas is 1-11 off two straight losses by 4 runs or more over the last two seasons.  It is coming back to lose by 3.1 runs per game on average in this spot.  The Rangers are 0-9 in their last nine vs. starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.  Houston is 7-1 in the last eight meetings.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Friday. 

15* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-123) 

Instead of laying roughly -265 to back the Indians on the money line, we are going to take the hugely discounted price of -123 on the run line tonight.  I am sure they will get the win against one of the worst teams in baseball in the Tigers, and it’s likely to come by two runs or more due to their massive advantage on the mound. 

Carlos Carrasco is one of the better starters in baseball.  He is off to a 2-0 start with a 5.40 ERA and 1.114 WHIP in his two starts this season.  Carrasco has dominated the Tigers recently, going 7-1 with a 1.52 ERA in his last 11 starts against them, giving up just 11 earned runs in 65 1/3 innings. 

Jordan Zimmerman has been a massive bust in Detroit.  He is 0-0 with an 8.71 ERA and 1.646 WHIP in his two starts this season against Chicago and Pittsburgh, giving up 10 earned runs in 10 1/3 innings.  Zimmerman has never beaten the Indians, going 0-4 with a whopping 10.88 ERA and 2.014 WHIP in five career starts against them. 

The Tigers are 1-8 in Zimmerman’s last nine starts when working on five days’ rest.  Detroit is 17-47 in its last 64 games overall.  The Indians are 21-5 in Carrasco’s last 26 starts vs. AL Central opponents.  Cleveland is 8-0 in Carrasco’s last eight home starts vs. a team with a losing record.  Cleveland is 7-0 in Carrasco’s last seven starts when working on four days’ rest.  Roll with the Indians on the Run Line Wednesday. 

15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+130) 

Instead of laying -175 or so to back the Cardinals on the money line, I’m going to take the value and bet the Cardinals on the -1.5 run line at a +130 price.  I have no doubt the Cardinals win this game, and it’s likely they do so by 2 runs or more given their advantage on the mound. 

Carlos Martinez pitched 8 1/3 shutout innings while striking out 10 in a 6-0 win at Milwaukee in his last start.  He is now 6-4 with a 2.35 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in 13 career starts against the Brewers.  He’ll be motivated to help the Cardinals bounce back from two consecutive losses coming in, including one in extra innings last night to the Brewers. 

Brent Suter has been rocked in the early going.  He is 1-1 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.700 WHIP while allowing 7 earned runs and 17 base runners in 10 innings pitched across two starts this season.  Suter has never beaten the Cardinals, going 0-2 with a 7.20 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in two career starts against them. 

The Cardinals are 4-1 in Martinez’s last five home starts.  The Brewers are 1-4 in their last five vs. a team with a losing record.  St. Louis is 8-2 in Martinez’s last 10 Tuesday starts.  Take the Cardinals on the Run Line Tuesday. 

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-123) 

The Cleveland Indians have a massive edge on the mound and at the plate tonight over the Detroit Tigers. Look for them to win this game by multiple runs.  So instead of laying -270 on the run line, we’ll take the much more generous price of -123 on the run line tonight. 

Corey Kluber is one of the Top 5 starters in baseball.  He has gone 0-1 with a 2.40 ERA and 0.800 WHIP in two starts this season, and will be motivated to pick up his first victory tonight.  Kluber owned the Tiger in his final three starts against them last year, going 2-0 with a 0.82 ERA while allowing just 2 earned runs in 22 innings. 

Francisco Liriano is well past his prime and fortunate to still have a spot in a rotation somewhere.  Liriano gave up 7 earned runs in 2 innings in his lone start against Cleveland last year.  Look for the Indians to finally get their bats going tonight against Liriano. 

The Tigers are 2-12 in their last 14 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.  The Indians are 23-5 in their last 28 during Game 1 of a series.  Cleveland is 36-15 in Kluber’s last 51 starts, and 24-9 in his last 33 home starts.  Take the Indians on the Run Line Monday. 

15* MLB Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-110) 

I fully expect the Cleveland Indians to bounce back from a 1-0 loss to the Royals yesterday with a win by two runs or more today.  So instead of laying the -200 price on the money line, I’ll take the -1.5 run line. 

Mike Clevinger is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 1.125 WHIP in his lone start this season.  He is one of the most underrated starters in the big leagues.  Clevinger is 2-0 with a 2.49 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in four career starts against Kansas City. 

Jason Hammel is 3-5 with a 5.37 ERA in 10 career starts against Cleveland. He gave up 5 earned runs in 5 innings and 10 base runners in a 1-6 loss at Detroit in his first start this season for a 9.00 ERA and 2.00 WHIP. 

Hammel is 1-17 in his last 18 games as an underdog of +175 to +250.  His teams are losing by 3.5 runs per game on average in this spot.  Bet the Indians on the Run Line. 

15* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-130) 

The Houston Astros are actually better on paper this season than the team that won the World Series last year.  A big reason for that was the signing of Gerrit Cole, adding another No. 1 starter to an already loaded rotation. 

Cole was sharp in his first start for the Astros.  He allowed just one run and five base runners in 7 innings while striking out 11 in an 8-2 victory at Texas.  The Astros are off to a hot start this year, going 6-2 with five of those wins coming by 3 runs or more. 

The Padres are just 2-6 on the season, picking up a rare win in Game 1 yesterday that will have the Astros motivated to bounce back with a win today.  And Bryan Mitchell, who gave up 5 earned runs and 11 base runners in 5 innings of a 4-7 loss to Colorado in his first start this season, is in line to get rocked by this potent Houston lineup. 

Houston is 22-7 after a game where it had 4 or fewer hits over the last three seasons.  The Padres are 3-12 in their last 15 games overall.  San Diego is 0-5 in its last five games following a win.  Houston is 22-4 in its last 26 home games.  The Astros are 30-12 in their last 42 vs. NL West opponents.  Take the Astros on the Run Line Saturday. 

15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-125) 

I’ll continue fading the Miami Marlins on the Run Line.  They are the worst team in baseball and it will be a profitable move to fade them on the Run Line all season.  The Red Sox are one of the best teams in baseball and are off to a 4-1 start this season. 

Miami will be up against one of the Top 5 best starters in the game in Chris Sale.  Sale dominated in his first start, pitching six shutout innings while striking out nine batters against Tampa Bay.  He will shut down this weak Miami lineup. 

Jose Urena was roughed up in his first start for the Marlins, giving up 5 earned runs, 2 homers and 10 base runners in 4 innings in a 4-8 loss to the Cubs.  He hasn’t fared well in his big league career, and he’s up against it here against this potent Red Sox lineup. 

Boston is 17-4 in interleague games over the last two seasons, winning by 1.5 runs per game.  The Red Sox are 20-3 in Tuesday games over the last two years, winning by 3.1 runs per game.  Boston is 6-0 in Sale’s last six road starts vs. a team with a losing record.  The Marlins are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter.  Miami is 1-5 in Urena’s last six starts vs. a team with a winning record.  Roll with the Red Sox on the Run Line Tuesday. 

15* MLB Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-120) 

I’ve stated before already this season that I believe you can fade the Marlins on the Run Line every game and make money.  They are far and away the worst team in baseball, and that will show over the course of a 162-game season. 

After getting a taste of the playoffs last year with Chicago, Jose Quintana wants more.  He went 7-3 with a 3.74 ERA in 14 starts with the Cubs.  He struck out 10.5 batters per 9 innings with the Cubs as well. 

Dillon Peters was in the minors last year when he got hurt fielding a ground ball.  He had to rehab his fractured thumb for three months.  And he wasn’t very effective when healthy, going 1-2 with a 5.17 ERA and 1.627 WHIP in six starts for the Marlins last year. 

The Cubs are 7-2 in Quintana’s last nine starts, including 4-0 in his last four starts vs. a team with a losing record.  The Marlins are 1-7 in their last eight games vs. a left-handed starter.  Miami is 1-7 in its last eight during Game 4 of a series.  The Marlins are 0-5 in their last five Sunday games.  Roll with the Cubs on the Run Line Sunday. 

15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-125) 

I’m of the belief that if you fade the fade the Marlins on the run line all season you will win money.  That’s especially the case when they are at home and you’re getting cheaper run line prices on the road teams. 

The Marlins have the worst roster in baseball, and it’s not even close.  Derek Jeter and company gutted the roster and basically got rid of all their best players.  It’s going to be a long season in Miami. 

Yu Darvish will be highly motivated to prove that the Cubs made the right move getting him this offseason.  He also wants to erase the sour taste out of his mouth from the World Series with the Dodgers.  Darvish 8-5 with a 2.65 ERA and 1.082 WHIP in road games last year. 

Chicago is 16-2 when revenging a one run loss over the last two seasons.  It is coming back to win by 2.8 runs per game on average in this spot.  Roll with the Cubs on the Run Line Saturday. 

15* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-120) 

The Miami Marlins are the worst team in baseball, period.  It will be a profitable move to fade them on the run line all season.  They have the worst lineup in baseball, and their starting rotation leaves a lot to be desired as well. 

The Cubs have a big edge on the mount with Kyle Hendricks, who has posted a 2.94 ERA over four major league seasons, going 16-8 with a 2.13 ERA in 2016.  In his final 16 starts last year, he allowed on or fewer runs in eight of them. 

Rookie left-hander Caleb Smith will make his Marlins debut after being acquired from the Yankees on Nov. 20.  Smith is a 16th-round pick out of Sam Houston State.  He only has nine games of big league experience.  That includes two starts and a 7.71 ERA last year. 

Joe Maddon is 96-47 as a road favorite of -125 or more as the coach of the Cubs.  They are winning by 2.0 runs per game on average in this spot.  Chicago is 13-6 in Hendricks’ last 19 road starts.  Miami is 1-10 in its last 11 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Roll with the Cubs on the Run Line Friday. 

15* Twins/Yankees AL Wild Card No-Brainer on New York -1.5 (-115)

The New York Yankees should have no problem beating the Minnesota Twins by two runs or more here.  The Yankees have the better starter, better bullpen and better lineup in this winner-take-all Wild Card game.

Luis Severino is 14-6 with a 2.98 ERA and 1.040 WHIP in 31 starts this season.  Hhe has 230 K's in 193 1/3 innings.  He's backed by a bullpen with a 3.36 ERA in all games and a 3.22 ERA in home games.  He's also backed by a lineup that averages 5.6 runs per game at home.

Ervin Santana has been one of the more lucky starters in the big leagues at 16-8 with a 3.28 ERA and 1.126 WHIP in 33 starts.  He has only 167 K's in 211 1/3 innings.  The Twins have a 4.35 bullpen ERA overall and a 4.40 ERA on the road.  Their lineup his scoring 4.9 runs per game on the road.

Santana is 6-10 with a 5.66 ERA and 1.517 WHIP in 20 career starts against New York.  The Yankees are 8-1 against Minnesota in their last nine home meetings, winning by 2 runs per game on average.  The Twins are 5-21 in their last 26 playoff games, including 0-5 n their last five playoff road games.   The Yankees are 13-3 in Severino's last 16 starts, and 13-3 in their last 16 home games.  Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-130)

The Houston Astros have gone 10-2 in their last 12 games overall to pull within one game of the Cleveland Indians for home-field advantage in the American League.  The Texas Rangers have lost five straight and are just looking forward to going on vacation.  They've been outscored 25-5 by the Astros in the first two games of this series.

Now one of the hottest starters in baseball gets the ball for the Astros.  Justin Verlander is 4-0 with a 0.64 ERA in 28 innings since being traded from the Detroit Tigers.  He is 10-6 with a 3.02 ERA in 19 career starts against Texas as well.

Nick Martinez is having a rough season for the Rangers, going 3-7 with a 5.42 ERA in 17 starts this year.  Martinez is 0-2 with a 5.51 ERA in three starts against the Astros in 2017, giving up 10 earned runs and a whopping 6 homers in 16 1/3 innings.

Texas is 1-12 in its last 13 home games off three consecutive losses by five runs or more to division opponents.  The Rangers are losing by 3.8 runs per game on average in this spot.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-105)

The Boston Red Sox have now won six straight and are now 14-3 in their last 17 games overall.  They are the hottest team in baseball outside the Cleveland Indians.  And their magic number is three for clinching the AL East now, meaning that any combination of three Boston wins or New York losses would get them the division.  They are so close they can taste it.

Drew Pomeranz is far and away the superior starter here.  He is 16-5 with a 3.15 ERA in 30 starts this season, 9-2 with a 3.11 ERA in 15 home starts, and 2-0 with a 1.47 ERA in his last three starts.  Pomeranz is also 3-1 with a 2.96 ERA in five career starts against Toronto.

Brett Anderson is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 3-4 with a 7.15 ERA and 1.809 WHIP in 11 starts this season. He was just rocked for 8 earned runs in 1 1/3 innings in his last start on September 30th in a 5-15 loss to the Royals.  Anderson gave up 6 earned runs in 4 innings in his last start at Boston as well.

The Red Sox are 17-4 in Pomeranz's 21 night starts this season.  They are winning by 2.1 runs per game on average.  Boston is 9-1 in Pomerenz's 10 starts in the second half of the season vs. teams who average 1.25 or more HR's/game, winning by 2.6 runs per game.  Boston is 13-3 in Pomeranz's last 16 home starts.  Take the Red Sox on the Run Line Monday.

15* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+100)

The St. Louis Cardinals won yesterday and gained a game on both the Rockies and Brewers in the wild card, the two teams they are chasing.  This team is feeling good about themselves right now at just 2.5 games back with 11 games to go.  They are in must-win mode the rest of the way.

The Cardinals have scored 17 runs in the first two games of this series against the Reds.  They should stay red hot at the plate against Cincinnati's Homer Bailey, who is 5-8 with a 6.86 ERA and 1.725 WHIP in 16 starts this season, including 1-5 with a 7.78 ERA and 1.676 WHIP in eight home starts.  Bailey is 6-12 with a 5.75 ERA and 1.619 WHIP in 22 career starts against St. Louis.  He gave up 10 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings of a 4-13 loss to the Cardinals in his last start against them on August 6th.

Carlos Martinez has been as consistent as they come this season.  He is 11-11 with a 3.57 ERA and 1.194 WHIP in 30 starts this year.  Martinez is also 3-2 with a 3.92 ERA and 1.258 WHIP in seven career starts against the Reds.

St. Louis is 14-2 vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse over the last two seasons.  It is winning by 3.1 runs per game on average in this spot.  The Cardinals are 13-3 in their last 16 vs. a team with a losing record.  The Reds are 2-7 in Bailey's last nine home starts.  The Reds are 13-40 in their last 53 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.  Roll with the Cardinals on the Run Line Thursday.

15* MLB Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Colorado Rockies -1.5 (-105)

The Colorado Rockies are inching closer to clinching their playoff spot.  They have gone 10-3 in their last 13 games overall, including blowout victories over the Padres in each of the first two games in this series, outscoring them 22-1 in the process.

I think the blowouts continue behind talented starter Jon Gray, who is 4-1 with a 3.34 ERA in six home starts this year, and 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA in his last three starts.  Gray is 3-2 with a 2.76 ERA and 0.959 WHIP in eight career starts against San Diego as well.

Jhoulys Chacin has some of the most drastic home/road splits in the majors this year.  He has been awful on the road, going 4-7 with a 7.11 ERA and 1.680 WHIP in 14 road starts this year.  It isn't going to get any easier for him here against a hot-hitting Rockies lineup inside a hitter's ballpark at Coors Field.

Colorado is 15-3 in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season this season.  It is winning by 3.1 runs per game in this spot.  San Diego is 6-24 in road games after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.  It is losing by 2.2 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Rockies on the Run Line Sunday.

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-110)

The Boston Red Sox have won five of their last seven, while the Tampa Bay Rays have lost five of their last seven.  The Red Sox are only 3 games up on the Yankees in the AL East and need wins, while the Rays are 5.5 games back in the wild card and basically done for now.  Boston should have no problem winning this game by two runs or more based on motivation and their massive edge on the mound.

Chris Sale is well on his way to winning the AL Cy Young award.  He has gone 16-7 with a 2.76 ERA and 0.946 WHIP in 29 starts this season, striking out 278 batters in 195 2/3 innings.  He has pitched well of late with a 1.56 ERA in his last three starts.  Sale is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA in his last two starts against Tampa Bay, pitching 14 shutout innings while striking out 21 batters.

Matt Andriese is 5-3 with a 4.65 ERA and 1.419 WHIP in 14 starts this season, including 0-2 with a 14.08 ERA and 2.477 WHIP in his last three starts.  Andriese does not enjoy facing the Red Sox, going 2-2 with a 6.28 ERA and 1.465 WHIP in six career starts against them.  He gave up 8 runs, 6 earned, in 1 2/3 innings in a 9-0 loss at Boston in his last start on September 9th.

Sale is 16-2 (+13.1 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season.  The Red Sox are winning by 4.1 runs per game in this spot.  The Rays are 0-4 in Andriese's last four starts.  Tampa Bay is 0-5 in its last five vs. a left-handed starter.  Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line.

15* MLB Thursday Early Afternoon ANNIHILATOR on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-115)

The St. Louis Cardinals needs wins and fast.  They are three games behind the Chicago Cubs for first place in the NL Central with just 17 games remaining.  After losing to the Reds yesterday, I expect them to bounce back today and win by two runs or more to cover this run line.

Luke Weaver has done a remarkable job since joining the rotation over the past month.  He is 5-1 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in six starts, 2-1 with a 2.04 ERA and 1.019 WHIP in his three home starts, and 3-0 with a 1.96 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in his last three starts overall.  He has struck out 49 batters in 36 2/3 innings this year.

Amir Garrett just hasn't been able to keep his spot in the rotation for the Reds this year due to poor performance.  He is 3-7 with a 7.39 ERA and 1.547 WHIP in 13 starts this season.  They are giving him one last chance here down the stretch, and I don't expect it to go much better for him.

The Reds are 0-7 in Garrett's last seven starts.  Cincinnati is 0-6 in Garrett's last six road starts.  The Reds are 20-42 in their last 62 road games.  The Cardinals are 5-0 in their last five games following a loss.  St. Louis is 8-2 in its last 10 games overall.  Roll with the Cardinals on the Run Line Thursday.

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+100)

The Boston Red Sox are getting closer to clinching the AL East at 4 games up on the New York Yankees for first place.  They aren't going to be letting up with 18 games to go until that task is done.  After rolling the A's 11-1 yesterday, look for a similar performance tonight.

Doug Fister has been a revelation.  He is probably the sole reason they are in first place right now.  Fister has gone 5-2 with a 2.79 ERA in seven starts in place of David Price.  He has gone 2-1 with a 1.71 ERA in his last three starts, shutting down Toronto, New York and Baltimore.

Fister also owns the A's, going 8-7 with a 2.95 ERA and 1.241 WHIP in 19 career starts against them.  He is 3-1 with a 0.98 ERA in his last four starts against Oakland, giving up just 3 earned runs in 27 2/3 innings.

The A's have been a terrible road team at 21-48 (-20.9 units) on the season.  Jharel Cotton won't save them today.  He is 7-10 with a 5.90 ERA and 1.479 WHIP in 22 starts this season.  He has given up 11 earned runs and 6 homers over 9 innings in his last two starts coming in.

Oakland is 2-12 after having won four of its last five games this season.  The A's are losing by 2.8 runs per game in this spot.  The Red Sox are 26-10 in their last 36 home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Boston is 7-0 in its last seven Wednesday games.  The A's are 16-43 in the last 59 meetings, including 4-11 in the last 15 meetings in Boston.  Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE WEEK on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+135)

The St. Louis Cardinals have battled their way to within 2 games of the Chicago Cubs for first place in the NL Central.  They need every win they can get, and will certainly be motivated for one in Game 1 of this series with the Cincinnati Reds tonight.

Lance Lynn has been the ace in St. Louis this season.  He has gone 10-7 with a 2.94 ERA in 29 starts, 5-3 with a 2.87 ERA in 13 home starts. and 0-1 with a 1.29 ERA in his last three starts.  Lynn simply owns the Reds, going 10-4 with a 3.09 ERA and 1.127 WHIP in 17 career starts against them.  He is 3-0 with a 1.17 ERA in his last four starts against Cincinnati, giving up only 3 earned runs in 23 innings.

Robert Stephenson is 4-2 with a 3.55 ERA and 1.553 WHIP in seven starts this year.  He has already walked 26 batters in 38 innings, and that lack of control is going to catch up with him in the majors.  Stephenson faced the Cardinals once before, giving up 5 earned runs in 4 innings of a 5-12 loss for an 11.25 ERA.

The Cardinals are 7-1 in their last eight games overall.  St. Louis is 5-0 in its last five games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Reds are 19-41 in their last 60 road games.  The Cardinals are 7-1 in Lynn's last eight home starts vs. Cincinnati.  The Reds are 28-60 in their last 88 meetings in St. Louis.  Bet the Cardinals on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+125)

The Milwaukee Brewers just came up with their biggest series sweep of the season.  They took all three games from the Cubs in Chicago over the weekend.  They are now just two games back of the Cubs in the NL Central race, so they aren't about to let up today.

Now they take on a Pittsburgh Pirates team that is clearly tanking, going 0-5 in their last five games overall while scoring a combined 5 runs in the five losses.  Steven Brault, who is 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA and 2.000 WHIP in his lone start this season, won't be able to stop the bleeding for them.

I've been very impressed with Brandon Woodruff, who is 1-1 with a 1.52 ERA and 1.098 WHIP in four starts this season.  He should be able to shut down this weak Pittsburgh lineup.  Brault has never beaten the Brewers, going 0-2 with a 4.20 ERA and 1.600 WHIP in three career starts against them.

The Pirates are 1-10 in their last 11 games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game.  Pittsburgh is 8-26 in its last 34 road games vs. a team with a winning record.  Milwaukee is 8-2 in its last 10 home games.  The Pirates are 24-67 in the last 91 meetings in Milwaukee.  Take the Brewers on the Run Line Monday.

15* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE NIGHT on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-115)

The Chicago Cubs blew a late lead yesterday to the Cincinnati Reds.  They'll come back highly motivated for a victory here Friday against the lowly Philadelphia Phillies, who own the worst record in baseball.  Chicago is 21-6 in its last 27 games following a loss.

Jose Quintana has been very effective in a Cubs' uniform.  He is 4-2 with a 3.73 ERA in his first seven starts with the club.  He has allowed six or fewer hits in each of his past 14 starts, the longest active streak in the major leagues.

Jerad Eickhoff is 3-7 with a 4.46 ERA and 1.479 WHIP in 22 starts this season.  He faced the Cubs on May 3rd in his only start against them this season.  He gave up 4 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings, which was the second time in his last three starts against them that he has allowed at least 4 runs.

Quintana is 11-1 (+10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.  His teams are winning by 3.7 runs per game on average in these spots.  The Cubs are 14-3 in their last 17 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Phillies are 36-79 in their last 115 vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the Cubs on the Run Line Friday.