|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|12-18-18||Wizards -4.5 v. Hawks||Top||110-118||Loss||-100||25 h 7 m||Show|
The Wizards haven’t been very good on the road, where they have won only four games all season. But the Hawks have been just as bad at home, where they have won only four. One of those road wins was less than two weeks ago in Atlanta against these same Hawks. That was a 14-point win but only because the Wizards took their foot off the gas when up by as much as 25 at one point. The Wizards went on to lose four straight after that, but this team looks like it might be on the way back up after one of the best wins of the season last time out in an 18-point home win over the Lakers. This Wizards team has not had enough success this season to overlook a team like the Hawks, and the talent discrepancy between these two clubs is large. We see the Wizards getting another comfortable win here in a game that sure looks like a mismatch.
|12-17-18||Blazers v. Clippers -2||Top||131-127||Loss||-101||10 h 1 m||Show|
The Clippers haven’t been playing well, having dropped five of their last six, and this team has lost the confidence of bettors. But we think this is a great spot for them to get back on track tonight. This team has played seven of the last nine on the road, and overall their strength of schedule has been very tough. But this team is still 9-3 SU at home and 8-4 ATS. We have bet against the Clippers in their last two games, and they failed to cover both. But they barely missed the cover last time out at OKC, and we liked what we saw from them down the stretch in that tough matchup. But we think they can continue that momentum here at home against a Portland team that is lousy on the road. They are 5-9 SU and 4-10 ATS on the season in road contests. Damian Lillard also missed practice yesterday and is attending to a personal matter to which we are not sure of the nature, but he might not have his head in the game 100%, and we think the Clippers will be very focused to get a win here and put an end to their current losing streak.
|12-16-18||Kings v. Mavs -5.5||Top||120-113||Loss||-105||6 h 16 m||Show|
These are two of the best ATS teams in the league facing off in Dallas tonight, but we think the Mavs are the better ballclub and we like them laying fewer than seven here on Sunday Night. The Mavs are coming off a somewhat embarrassing loss to the Suns, and they should bounce back well here. We think they will put their best foot forward here after playing lousy last time out. This is also their last home game before they go on a four-game road trip against WC playoff contenders, and that makes a win here imperative. They should be heavy dogs in all those road games. The Kings are coming off a home loss to Golden State where they played well and covered. This is probably a letdown spot after that strong effort.
|12-16-18||Patriots -2 v. Steelers||Top||10-17||Loss||-110||77 h 46 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. Take #327 New England Patriots over Pittsburgh Steelers (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 16 CBS) Both teams need to turn the page quickly after bad losses last Sunday. The Patriots seldom lose two games in a row and they are playing a team in disarray at the moment. Pittsburgh has not beaten New England since 2011 and the Patriots are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games following a loss in their previous game. Over this winning streak, the Patriots average margin of victory is 11 points against the Steelers. Pittsburgh is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games played during the month of December. New England is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games played in December.
|12-15-18||Rockets -2 v. Grizzlies||Top||105-97||Win||100||28 h 34 m||Show|
If the Rockets were a stock, we would be buying right now. We knew this team would start to turn it on, and now it seems like that is taking place after wins and covers in their last two games, against the Blazers and Lakers. The Grizzlies had a very strong start to the season, but they are trailing off now. Their offense has failed to reach the century mark in five of their last six games. The Houston offense has really got in rhythm and we don’t think the Grizzlies will be able to slow them down. Houston has won and covered the last two meetings by double digits, and they have covered in four of the last six meetings. Those trends hold firm tonight.
|12-15-18||Indiana -1.5 v. Butler||Top||71-68||Win||100||20 h 6 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. Take #667 Indiana over Butler (3:45p.m., Saturday, December 15 CBS) This 4 team tournament always seems to feature competitive games and upsets but I just do not believe Butler has the same magic under this coaching staff. The Bulldogs are 7-2 on the season but both of their losses have come against teams that will likely not make the NCAA Tournament come March. Indiana is 8-2 and both of their losses are against quality teams with one of them (Duke) possessing the most talent in the country. Indiana can score points and they are shooting over 51% on the season. Butler will have to be on fire from long range to make a game of this and I do not expect that to happen. The Hoosiers are in year two under Archie Miller and they have already shown flashes of brilliance this year and I expect them to make the NCAA Tournament come March. They pick up another quality win today at Bankers Life Fieldhouse.
|12-14-18||Pacers +4.5 v. 76ers||Top||113-101||Win||100||7 h 43 m||Show|
We will go with the hot team here as the Pacers come in riding a five-game winning streak. This team is healthy now, while the Sixers have some injury issues, and Butler is questionable here for this one tonight. The Pacers always get up to play the Sixers, and they are 5-2 ATS in the last seven games in Philly and 9-4 ATS overall in the last 13 meetings. We see this as a very competitive team and the Pacers have been a much better betting team than has the Sixers thus far this season. An outright win is not out of the question here.
|12-13-18||Clippers v. Spurs -2.5||Top||87-125||Win||100||8 h 2 m||Show|
The Clippers are trending down right now with four straight ATS losses and five of their last six. They won only one of those ATS loss games, at Phoenix, and the feeble Suns took them to overtime where LA squeaked out the win. Every NBA team goes through these downturns, and you can’t fault the Clips after the way they started the season. But San Antonio is trending up, and they have won and covered three straight, all at home. We thought that this line should be about 4.5 and we would lean Spurs at that number but this small number offers up a lot of value tonight.
|12-10-18||Pelicans v. Celtics -7.5||Top||100-113||Win||100||9 h 29 m||Show|
After a slow start to the season, the Celtics have come on strong lately and this team has now won and covered in five straight. Most of those games were blowouts, including a matchup at New Orleans to start the streak, a 124-107 Celtics win. We think revenge is an overrated NBA handicapping angle, and the Pelicans have been inconsistent lately and they are just trying to get on the same page as a team. If they are hunting for revenge then they will have a lot of teams in their target as they have been racking up too many losses lately. We have to go with the hot hand here as the Celtics are now playing to their potential, and that potential has them as a Top 2 team in the Eastern Conference.
|12-09-18||Bucks v. Raptors -5||Top||104-99||Loss||-107||6 h 49 m||Show|
The Bucks have been just average on the road this season at 4-5 on the year. We thought that this line should be above 7, so we think there is some great value with what looks like the best team in the NBA during the first part of the season. The Bucks won the last matchup very early in the season, but they are not in the best form right now as they have covered in only one of their last seven games. This one looks like a real mismatch and we expect the home team to win comfortably.
|12-09-18||Eagles +4 v. Cowboys||Top||23-29||Loss||-110||123 h 5 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. Take #129 Philadelphia Eagles over Dallas Cowboys (1:25p.m., Sunday, December 9 FOX) Everyone has just given the Cowboys the NFC East and disregarded the defending Super Bowl Champions. We will gladly take the points in this game and look for Philadelphia to come out strong in this must win game for them. The Eagles are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 road divisional games when they are an underdog. The Cowboys are 9-18 ATS in their last 27 home divisional games when they are a favorite. The road team has covered the spread in 11 of the last 14 match-ups.
|12-08-18||Wisconsin v. Marquette||Top||69-74||Loss||-110||23 h 34 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. Take #777 Wisconsin over Marquette (5p.m., Saturday, December 7 FOX) This battle of Wisconsin takes place at the new Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, WI. We used Marquette last week as our big play and won easily but I do not expect the kind of officiating in this game that we saw in that game. The road team has dominated this series having covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings. Wisconsin is 9-0 ATS in their last 9 road games. Marquette is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Big 10 teams. Wisconsin is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning record. The Badgers have the best player in the floor in Ethan Happ and they will not let Markus Howard go off like he did last Saturday.
|12-05-18||Clippers v. Grizzlies -2||Top||86-96||Win||100||7 h 11 m||Show|
The Grizzlies have lost four of five but they faced a real tough slate during that stretch that saw them lose to Toronto, at Philly, and at these same Clippers. The Grizzlies had that game in hand until some late Clipper heroics and then they lost in overtime and missed the cover by ½ point. They will put their best foot forward tonight against a traditional rival and with the venue now at home. Memphis has had two nights off and they are 6-0 ATS with this much rest. We think they will be very focused to get back on track in this one. The Clippers are one of the biggest surprises in the league this year and they are a very good team. But they are starting to be overvalued by the oddsmakers, and we think that is the case here tonight. We think this will be a high-scoring game and that the posted total is about four points too low.
|12-04-18||Bulls +9.5 v. Pacers||Top||90-96||Win||100||28 h 29 m||Show|
The Bulls are a terrible team, but they have covered just as many games this season as the Pacers have. We simply think that this line is too large on Tuesday. The Bulls fired Fred Hoiberg on Monday, and sometimes this gives the team some extra motivation as sometimes the coach’s message has stopped getting through to the players. We think they will play hard here. The Pacers are the much better team, but they are missing their superstar and best player in Oladipo and this squad has lost four out of its last six. They are also on the dreaded first game back home after a long road trip, not to mention they play on the road for one game after this home contest, and sometimes players don’t give full effort in these spots since they have off-the-court life dealings to consider. This is too many points on Tuesday.
|12-03-18||Thunder v. Pistons +2||Top||110-83||Loss||-103||7 h 54 m||Show|
Two teams that are playing very well, but the Pistons have won five straight and seven of their last eight. They are in amazing form right now and clicking on all facets of the game when this team has underwhelmed so many times over the years. They are 9-3 at home this season while the Thunder are just average on the road at 5-4. Both teams have been winning against an easy schedule lately, but we have just been more impressed by what the Pistons have done, and they are the team catching points at home. Very live home dog here on Monday that should be able to get the outright win.
|12-02-18||Clippers v. Mavs +2.5||Top||110-114||Win||100||7 h 2 m||Show|
The wrong team is favored here. The Clippers have been one of the biggest surprises in the NBA this season and they sit No. 1 in the Western Conference. They have had a decently easy schedule lately and this team is just average on the road where they sit at 6-5 on the season (The Mavs are 8-2 at home). Dallas has won seven of their last nine so they are in fine form as well. DeAndre Jordan will be hyped to play against his old team, and the rest of his teammates will rally around him against what is becoming a bit of an overrated Clippers team.
|12-02-18||Vikings v. Patriots -5.5||Top||10-24||Win||100||122 h 21 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. Take #376 New England Patriots over Minnesota Vikings (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 2 FOX) These back to back road games on the docket for Minnesota will likely doom them in. Going to New England this week and Seattle the next week is as tough to travel as there is in the league. Minnesota just does not have the same defense that they had last year. New England will be able to score in the thirties in this game and I just do not believe Minnesota will be able to keep pace. The Patriots are starting to get healthy and they are always tough to beat in December (8-1 ATS last 9 December games). Minnesota is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. The Patriots have just been going through the motions of late, but this is a game that they will get up for and win it by double-digits.
|12-01-18||Kansas State v. Marquette -2||Top||71-83||Win||100||4 h 39 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. Take #534 Marquette over Kansas State (2p.m., Saturday, December 1 FS1) NONCONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR Both teams return a ton of experience, but Marquette needs this game more to bolster their hopes of an NCAA Tournament bid. Always like a game that features an unranked team that is favored against a ranked team. The Golden Eagles are a much better team at home and this will be the first two road game for Kansas State and their Milwaukee native coach. Marquette has two losses on the season, but they have played a much more difficult schedule, but they have yet to record a quality win. This will be the day that it happens. Generally, to win on the road against good teams you must shoot the ball well from long range and that is just not something this Wildcat team does well. This will be a contrast in styles with Marquette having the edge on the perimeter compared to K-State having the edge in the pant. Kansas State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Big East teams. Marquette has yet to hit their stride and play a complete 40 minute game but I expect that to happen on Saturday.
|11-30-18||Jazz v. Hornets -2||Top||119-111||Loss||-104||7 h 34 m||Show|
We had this game handicapped at Charlotte -6, so very nice value here in this line. This number seems very public and not a real representation of how these teams have played on the court thus far. Kemba Walker for the Hornets is putting in an MVP-like season so far, and he has the Hornets at 14-7 ATS and 8-3 at home this season. This team will be undervalued no matter how they play since they are so under the radar on a national level. Utah is the “name” team in this matchup, but they haven’t lived up to the massive preseason hype. They are under .500 on the season and they are not playing the stellar defense that we are used to seeing from this team. There isn’t the same teamwork we saw last season. Their star players have underperformed. This team will probably turn it around at some point, but right now they are overvalued by the oddsmakers, and we will take advantage of this bad line tonight with a big play for the Hornets.
|11-27-18||Raptors v. Grizzlies +5||Top||122-114||Loss||-100||7 h 12 m||Show|
The Grizzlies are 12-7 ATS and they keep getting disrespected by the oddsmakers. That is the case here tonight as we had them +1 in this matchup and give them a good chance to win outright. They lost a tough one on Friday in OT at the Clippers then had a letdown in their last game against the Knicks, so they will be anxious to get back on track here against one of the top teams in the east. Toronto plays Golden State next, so they will probably be more concerned about that matchup, and the Grizzlies head on the road after this game so they know they need a win here. Memphis is 6-3 ATS against above-.500 teams this season, and they are undervalued once again by the bookies tonight.
|11-24-18||Spurs v. Bucks -9.5||Top||129-135||Loss||-110||31 h 57 m||Show|
This is a real tough spot for the Spurs, who are on a back-to-back on the road and playing their third game in four nights despite all NBA teams getting the night off for Thanksgiving. The Bucks have similar rest, but they had a much easier game on Friday against the Suns and they get to stay home for this back-to-back, which is a big advantage. San Antonio is down this season from what we are used to, and this team isn’t very good on the road. The Bucks are nearly unbeatable on their home court and they are one of the best ATS teams in the league this season, which means you can trust them laying a big number like this.
|11-24-18||Arizona State v. Arizona +2||Top||41-40||Win||100||93 h 35 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. Take #234 Arizona Wildcats over Arizona State Sun Devils (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 24 FS1) PAC 12 GAME OF THE YEAR The home team has won the last 5 meetings in the Territorial Cup. Arizona needs to win this game to become bowl eligible and they have played much better down the stretch winning 2 of their last 3 games (both wins have come against teams that beat ASU). Arizona State should not be favored as they are just 1-4 straight-up on the road in 2018. There will be a lot of points in this game, but I like the way QB Khalil Tate has been playing over his last three games (12 touchdown and 3 interceptions). Arizona is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. Arizona State is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a losing record. The underdog is 15-6 ATS in the last 21 Territorial Cup meetings.
|11-23-18||Jazz +2.5 v. Lakers||Top||83-90||Loss||-102||11 h 48 m||Show|
Overjoyed to get Utah as an underdog here as they are the superior team and should get the straight up road win tonight at Staples Center. Don’t be fooled by the records for these teams; the Jazz have gotten off to a slow start against a tougher schedule. And even at 10-7 straight up, the Lakers have been overvalued by the oddsmakers, as all LeBron James teams tend to be, as they are just 6-11 ATS on the season. Utah has won seven straight in this series. Yes, the Lakers are stronger with LeBron now, but you can’t ignore that long stretch of dominance. The Jazz are pretty fresh off a long road trip where they went 2-3 and then they dropped the normally-tough first game back home after a long trip to the Kings. We think they really need this game to get back on track and we think they give max effort here in a very winnable game. For whatever reason the Jazz have played better on the road than at home this season, and they have also covered five of the last seven meetings between these two teams in LA.
|11-21-18||Blazers v. Bucks -7||Top||100-143||Win||100||8 h 27 m||Show|
After a hot start the Bucks had some struggles as they went through a tough stretch (3-4 SU and ATS). But they have won and covered two straight and this team is trending up again. This is a more complete and better team than the Blazers, and we expect a comfortable win from the home team tonight. These teams have almost identical records and yet the Bucks are laying a decent-sized number here. We think it’s not big enough, however. Also, the Bucks have owned this series as they are 11-3-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings. The Blazers are coming in on a back-to-back and playing their third game in four nights while the Bucks were off Tuesday and they have had a mellow schedule recently. They are primed for a big game tonight.
|11-21-18||Minnesota +1 v. Washington||Top||68-66||Win||100||7 h 16 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. Take #533 Minnesota over Washington (6:30p.m., Wednesday, November 21 BTN) Washington just has not been playing well early in the season. They needed to rally to beat a so-so Texas A&M team last night and I do not believe they will have much left in the tank for this game. Minnesota had an easier game last night against Santa Clara and they should be better rested for this game tonight in Vancouver. Washington got blown out Auburn and they have struggled to cover the spread during much of the early season. Washington is 1-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games against Big 10 teams. Minnesota is 7-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games against PAC-12 teams.
|11-19-18||Clippers -8 v. Hawks||Top||127-119||Push||0||8 h 14 m||Show|
The Clippers are a Top 4 team in the west in the standings right now, and not many expected this. But if they stay healthy all season, this is going to be a playoff team and one that the top teams in the west will not want to play in the postseason. They are 9-6 against the spread this year so far, so they are defying oddsmakers expectations. This team plays great team basketball and they are unselfish. They have guys that can score and they play decent defense. They started their road trip last time out against Brooklyn in what could have been a letdown spot after home wins against the Spurs and Warriors, but they won and covered in that contest. Now they face a much weaker team in Atlanta tonight. This is arguably the worst team in the NBA. They have lost seven straight and covered in only three of those games, despite some generous lines from the oddsmakers. This Clippers team seems like one that will not lower itself to the level of competition like past Clippers squads, and we think they take advantage of this situation for an easy road win tonight.
|11-18-18||Warriors v. Spurs -3||Top||92-104||Win||100||7 h 11 m||Show|
We have faded the Golden State Warriors the last two games, and it has worked out pretty well, so we will go for three in a row here. We have the feeling the Warriors may enter their toughest stretch of this current regime. They have off-court drama going on, impending free agency and injuries. They also don’t have the fire they have had in previous seasons. And we don’t think they give a crap. As long as they are healthy and synched heading into the playoffs, we don’t think this team cares about playoff positioning as long as they are a Top 4 seed. The Spurs are in a more desperate situation tonight as they have lost five of six. But they have played a road-heavy schedule. They are still dominant at home at 5-2, and they will put their best foot forward tonight. They aren’t going to give the Warriors any breaks because of their current problems, and we think they win this one by a comfortable margin tonight.
|11-17-18||Michigan State v. Nebraska +2.5||Top||6-9||Win||100||94 h 28 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. Take #416 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Michigan State Spartans (12p.m., Saturday, November 17 FOX) Nebraska is one of the most improved teams in the country and they have a good chance to win their remaining two games on the schedule. They have been playing a home heavy schedule of late and this has allowed them to get healthy. Michigan State has a terrible offense and I just do not believe they will be able to attack and score consistently on this suspect Husker defense. Nebraska has covered the spread in 5 straight games including our top play a few weeks ago when they blew out Minnesota. This is just a classic case of two teams heading in different directions. QB Arian Martinez can play and will be a force to be reckoned with for years to come in this conference. Nebraska is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings with Michigan State (4-1 in Lincoln).
|11-16-18||Jazz +3 v. 76ers||Top||107-113||Loss||-102||7 h 40 m||Show|
We love to back a good team after a bad loss, and that handicapping angle doesn’t get any better than this matchup tonight. The Jazz suffered what will go down as one of the worst (and most head-scratching) losses of the season last time out when they lost by 50 points in Dallas. That is just a super embarrassing result and this team will come out and give max effort tonight, we have no doubt about that. This is one of the best teams in the NBA. Teams just have off nights like this where nothing goes right, and there was a real lack of effort there after things got out of hand. But starters played limited minutes and they will have extra energy to get things back on track here tonight. The Jazz had won and covered three straight before that loss, so overall we will give them a mulligan for that game and assume they will return to current form here. And they are 5-3 on the road this season. Philly is undefeated at home, but this team hasn’t had a very tough home slate. This is their toughest home game of the season by far. And we think overall the Jazz are a much better team. Philly is just 6-10 ATS this season, so it’s obvious they are overvalued by the oddsmakers. We think Utah has a great chance for the outright win here.
|11-15-18||Warriors v. Rockets -3||Top||86-107||Win||100||8 h 3 m||Show|
Love the Rockets in this spot. They started the season real slow, but now they have won five of seven and they enter this one on a two-game winning streak. It seems like parting from Carmelo Anthony did this team a world of good, and they seem to have their confidence back. On the other side of the court is the Warriors. And you have to wonder if the cracks they have shown lately are the start of the end for this dynasty. Draymond Green is starting lots of drama with this team, and one of the best things about this squad in recent years was their ability to mesh on and off the court. This team has now covered only one of their last four, and the Hawks have them all they could handle last time out (we cashed on Atlanta as a big underdog). You get the feeling that the Warriors are not invested in this game as much as the Rockets. Houston is a team that wants to do a lot of damage in the regular season, while the Warriors just want to make sure everything is good before the postseason, and that is their biggest concern. And Curry is the stabilizing force with this Warriors team, and with the current drama surrounding this club, his presence on the court will be sorely missed tonight.
|11-15-18||Ohio State v. Creighton +2||Top||69-60||Loss||-106||7 h 20 m||Show|
6 Unit Play. Take #508 Creighton +2 over Ohio State (7p.m., Thursday, November 15 FS1) Playing in Omaha is always a tough challenge and with the talent Ohio State lost from last year I do not expect them to win this true road game. Creighton lost a bunch of talent as well but they do have the advantage of playing this at the CenturyLink Center. Most of the money is coming in on Ohio State yet the line is going the other direction. Creighton is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Big 10 teams.
|11-14-18||Heat -1.5 v. Nets||Top||120-107||Win||100||7 h 26 m||Show|
We think Miami will be extra motivated here tonight after dropping three straight games at home, but those were all against playoff-quality teams. They will be desperate for a win tonight, and now they face a lottery team in the Brooklyn Nets. Brooklyn lost one of their best players when Caris LeVert went down with a really bad foot injury last time out against Minnesota. It looks like he won’t be lost for the season, but he was really the engine for this team and see some regression from this team for maybe a few games until they can get back in the groove. The Heat have a very strong history here in Brooklyn as they are 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings. This team hasn’t always played well this season and they have been somewhat of a disappointment thus far, but this is a playoff-quality club and we think this is a great spot for them to get back on track against a line that looks quite a bit short in our eyes.
|11-13-18||Wisconsin -1 v. Xavier||Top||77-68||Win||100||24 h 54 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. Take #507 Wisconsin over Xavier (6:30p.m., Tuesday, November 13 FS1) Xavier is in a complete rebuilding mode this year and will have a new coach on the end line as well with Chris Mack bolting to Louisville. Wisconsin had a terrible season last year but had a couple of key injuries and everyone is back and they should be able to return to the NCAA Tournament. They have the best player on the floor in Ethan Happ and look for them to return the favor of winning this game on the road (Xavier won in Madison last year). This is an important game for Wisconsin to keep their confidence high and for their unproven coach. Wisconsin has covered the spread in 6 straight road games. Xavier is 0-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 home games. Wisconsin opened as a favorite for this game and that lets me believe they are the right side for this play.
|11-12-18||Spurs v. Kings +3||Top||99-104||Win||100||10 h 44 m||Show|
Sacramento is underrated and we think this is a very public line on Monday night. The Kings have one of the better offenses in the NBA right now and they can light up the scoreboard on any given night. The Kings have had some tough games lately, but this seems like a good spot for a bounce back. The Spurs are a bit down this year and they come off a big win over Houston but we don’t see this team putting together two strong games. We had this game handicapped at PK so we think there is nice value on the home dog tonight.
|11-10-18||South Florida v. Cincinnati -12||Top||23-35||Push||0||99 h 49 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. Take #156 Cincinnati Bearcats over USF Bulls (7p.m., Saturday, November 10 ESPN U) The Bulls are in freefall at the moment having lost two straight games after a 7-0 start to the season. They will not get out of that funk tonight against Cincinnati a team that is a sneaky 8-1 on the season. USF is getting no respect from the linemakers evident by being a big underdog two of the last three weeks. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. USF played cupcakes to open the season and their defense will provide little resistance against the Bearcats. USF is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 AAC games. This is going to be a double-digit blowout for the Bearcats and we will collect big with them in the process.
|11-09-18||Hornets v. 76ers -5.5||Top||132-133||Loss||-115||6 h 28 m||Show|
The Hornets have been good at covering the spread this season, but we think the price is right for the home team in this situation. The Sixers have covered in six of the last seven meetings between these clubs, and the non-cover, this season, was still a Philly win. The Sixers are playing with confidence right now and got their first road win of the season last time out in Indiana, which is a really tough place to play. We think that positive momentum will carry over here on Friday night.
|11-08-18||Rockets -4 v. Thunder||Top||80-98||Loss||-104||8 h 19 m||Show|
After a slow start the Rockets are really coming on now with three straight wins to start this road trip. The Thunder have won six straight as well, and there were a couple quality wins in there for sure, but for the most part they have beaten up on some dregs. And they are in a tough spot here on a back-to-back and with Westbrook questionable for tonight. This line will change once Westbrook’s status is determined as he nurses an injured ankle. We like the Rockets whether he plays or not, and he probably won’t be near 100% if he does. Not only are they on a back-to-back but they are playing their third game in four nights while the Rockets were off the last two nights. After their slow start, the Rockets can’t afford to take a night off. They need to have a real successful road trip then their slow start will be forgotten. Houston normally plays well here and is 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings between these clubs.
|11-07-18||76ers +3 v. Pacers||Top||100-94||Win||100||8 h 50 m||Show|
The Sixers have yet to win or cover on the road this season, but they have had some inflated expectations to start the season. But we think those oddsmakers expectations have gone down and we love them getting points tonight in a game they will fight hard to win. They have had a really tough road schedule to start off with. In their last game, also a road game, they were blown out by the likely-lottery team Brooklyn. That has to be embarrassing for this team that has such lofty expectations. So does the 0-5 road start. Not sure that they will get it tonight, but we think they will have extra motivation to play their best, and at their best this is a better team than the Pacers. Indiana has lost two of their last three here at home, and we think there’s a good chance that they drop this one as well.
|11-06-18||BYU +14 v. Nevada||Top||70-86||Loss||-110||29 h 37 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. Take #749 BYU over Nevada (11p.m., Tuesday, November 6 CBSSN) Nevada is ranked in the top 10 and that is deservedly so. But they have not looked sharp in the exhibition season getting blown out by Washington at home and struggling for 33 minutes against San Francisco State. They have not been shooting the ball well and struggling on defense. BYU can match their experience and this team is always pesky and used to playing in tough road environments. The Cougars are predicted to finish ahead of Saint Mary’s in the WCC Standing (2nd overall) just behind mid-major power Gonzaga. BYU is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against MWC foes. Look for a Wolf Pack victory by 7-10 points giving us the cover with the underdog.
|11-06-18||Nets v. Suns +1.5||Top||104-82||Loss||-100||9 h 38 m||Show|
The Suns stopped a seven-game losing streak last time out as they hosted Memphis, and we think this team is a tad underrated right now. They are not a good team, don’t get us wrong. But Devin Booker is back in the mix for the Suns, and he is a star in this league and gives his team a chance to win every night. He will help their scoring against this small total (for this season in the NBA, at least). And he gives the Suns a great chance to win here at home tonight. Phoenix has played just a brutal schedule, and they have been considerable underdogs in many games this season. But they have covered three of their last four, and we think they will get the win tonight against another probable lottery team from the east.
|11-05-18||Cavs +5 v. Magic||Top||100-102||Win||100||7 h 45 m||Show|
Neither of these teams is any good, and this is anybody’s game, in our opinion, and we have to grab the points in this matchup. Orlando is 1-4 ATS this season at home and they failed to cover in their one game as a listed favorite, while the Cavs are 3-1 ATS on the road, so they have done their best work in this situation they are in tonight. The Cavs have also covered 8 of the last 11 games here in Orlando, and we think they have a good chance to win this one outright. Orlando is a team we like to back when they are getting major points as they normally excel as a double-digit dog. But we have to fade them here in the favorites role in what we expect to be a close game.
|11-04-18||Grizzlies v. Suns +4||Top||100-102||Win||100||8 h 30 m||Show|
This is a major trap game for the Grizzlies, who we don’t think are as good as their 5-2 record would indicate. They are coming off a huge win at Utah last time out, and they play at Golden State next, so we think they are due for a letdown in this matchup. And we don’t think the Grizzlies should be this big of a road favorite over anyone. And this is a major revenge spot for the Suns, who got thumped a little over a week ago in Memphis. We expect them to play much better here against a familiar opponent, and with the venue now more favorable. We think they have a great chance for the straight up win in this matchup, and we think there is value in this line.
|11-04-18||Chargers v. Seahawks -1||Top||25-17||Loss||-115||119 h 14 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. Take #468 Seattle Seahawks over Los Angeles Chargers (1:05p.m., Sunday, November 4 CBS) The Seahawks have been playing outstanding football of late and will enter this game having won 4 of their last 5 games. It could be 5-0 if not for a 2-point loss to the Rams. QB Wilson is getting the job done with a bunch of unheralded playmakers around him. They were dominate for three quarters last week against the Lions and look for more of the same this Sunday at home against the Chargers. LA is still banged up on both sides of the football and might be without some key playmakers for this game. LA is just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye. Seattle still has a lot of home games remaining this season and I look for them to win all of them and make the playoffs as a wild card. The Chargers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Seattle has covered the spread 4 of their last 5 games.
|11-03-18||Celtics -1.5 v. Pacers||Top||101-102||Loss||-110||26 h 22 m||Show|
Both teams have been very good lately, but with the Celtics big win over Milwaukee on Thursday this team is trending up big time. Boston has been one of the most consistent teams to wager on the last couple seasons, and we really like them with this short line on Saturday. Indiana has won four of six but they have had some dregs on their schedule lately, while Boston is on a four-game winning streak against very solid competition, and their confidence is sky high after knocking the Bucks from the ranks of the unbeaten on Thursday. Boston is playing some of the best defense in the NBA right now, and that will be the difference here on Saturday.
|11-03-18||Georgia Southern -7.5 v. UL-Monroe||Top||25-44||Loss||-104||94 h 14 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. Take #377 Georgia Southern Eagles over ULM Warhawks (3p.m., Saturday, November 3 ESPN 3) The Eagles continue to cover spread (7-1 ATS run) and the oddsmakers cannot get a handle on the talent they have. They will enter this game having won five straight games and have been controlling the time of possession in nearly every game that they play. Georgia Southern has beaten ULM all three times they have faced each other as conference opponents. This selection is simple, ULM has trouble stopping the run and Georgia Southern is an outstanding triple option team. The Warhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. The Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played in the month of November.
|11-02-18||Rockets -4 v. Nets||Top||119-111||Win||100||6 h 19 m||Show|
The Rockets have been playing like dog poop to start the season at 1-5. They have had an extremely tough schedule to start the season, however, playing a bunch of Western Conference playoff contenders. This is the start of a long and important road trip for the Rockets, and they need to get their act together. We have a feeling this road trip may be very good for Houston. This is their easiest game of the season thus far for sure, and this looks like a good spot to start turning things around. Brooklyn has been decent to start the season and this team plays hard on a nightly basis, but if the Rockets play their best, even without Harden, they have much better talent and should win this game going away.
|11-01-18||Kings -2 v. Hawks||Top||146-115||Win||100||8 h 16 m||Show|
The Hawks are the worst team in the NBA, and we will go against them here on Thursday night at home. The Kings have started the season hot, and maybe this team will actually be competitive this season. They are 5-3 straight up and 6-2 against the spread, and this line has value as well. This team is in the Top 6 in the three most important offensive categories, and the Kings are lighting up the scoreboard on a regular basis. The Hawks don’t do anything particularly well, and we don’t think their offense can keep in in this game. The Hawks will get too much credit on the line here since they are at home in this matchup. But we think the Kings will take care of business here and continue their hot start to the regular season.
|10-31-18||Pacers -5.5 v. Knicks||Top||107-101||Win||100||8 h 59 m||Show|
We were happy this line came out under 7 as we really like the Pacers tonight. The Pacers have dominated the last two meetings, winning and covering in both games. Indiana has been very solid to start the season, but they are coming off a lousy effort against Portland last time out. We think they will bounce back against a Knicks team that has been on the wrong end of several blowouts already here in the young season. Indiana is healthy and they will take care of business tonight.
|10-29-18||Blazers v. Pacers -4.5||Top||103-93||Loss||-107||6 h 17 m||Show|
Love this matchup and the short line on the Pacers. The Blazers travel to Houston tomorrow, and we think they will overlook this out-of-conference opponent. Indiana is legit and 4-2 on the young season. But they don’t get respect from the oddsmakers because there aren’t many big names on the roster. But they plan great team basketball and we think they will take care of business tonight and score a win by 7 or more points.
|10-28-18||Jazz v. Mavs +5||Top||113-104||Loss||-105||7 h 35 m||Show|
Dallas has played great at home, where they are 2-0 both SU and ATS. This team is underrated coming into the season, and they catch Utah on a back-to-back (Dallas was off Saturday) after a much bigger game against New Orleans yesterday. Dallas has played very well in this series as they have covered in five of the last six matchups. With the Jazz coming in on a back-to-back, we think that evens the playing field here and we think this will be a very close game with the home team in a good spot to pull off the outright upset.
|10-28-18||Packers +9.5 v. Rams||Top||27-29||Win||100||123 h 16 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. Take #271 Green Bay Packers over Los Angeles Rams (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 28 FOX) TOP NFL PLAY OF THE WEEK. This is one of the largest spreads you will ever see against the Packers with Aaron Rodgers has quarterback. I believe it is too big considering the Packers are coming off a bye and should be able to get some key players back for this game. The Rams have been struggling to cover big numbers despite last week’s romp against an inferior opponent (San Francisco). Expect a shootout int his game that goes down to the wire. Green Bay will have a ton of fans in Los Angeles for this game and the Rams struggled to win home games last year. 56% of the early money is coming in on the Packers and that seldom happens with an underdog with this big of a number. Green Bay has covered the spread 5 straight times against the LA Rams.
|10-27-18||Magic +10 v. Bucks||Top||91-113||Loss||-105||9 h 10 m||Show|
We have stated before that we like the Magic as a double-digit underdog, and they are 2-0 ATS in this role so far this season. We think they have a great shot to be competitive tonight against this big number. The Bucks are on a back-to-back here after a tough game at Minnesota last night and they are coming off a recent game against Philly, too, so this will be their third game in four nights. They also host Toronto on Sunday, so this makes this a major letdown spot. The Magic were off on Friday and they are well rested overall and we think the Bucks might be on upset alert tonight.
|10-26-18||Bucks v. Wolves||Top||125-95||Loss||-110||7 h 23 m||Show|
The Wolves have played better than expected to start the season, and even with all the Jimmy Butler drama they have been very competitive. They have covered two straight games and we expect them to complete the trifecta tonight. Last time out they were very competitive in Toronto. They will come into this game with a lot of confidence against another Eastern Conference opponent. The Bucks are coming off their big win at home against Philly. They have looked great against a home-heavy schedule but played their worst game on the road in the season opener against Charlotte.
|10-25-18||Celtics v. Thunder +1.5||Top||101-95||Loss||-110||8 h 46 m||Show|
Boston has gotten off to a real slow start to the season and they are just 1-3 ATS so far on the year. This team is clearly overrated by the oddsmakers. The Thunder have yet to notch a win on the year, so they have started slow too. They are just getting Westbrook back in the mix, though, and there’s no doubt they will be hyped up for not only this opponent but to get their first win in 2018. Boston will be fine and they are one of the best teams in the East, if not THE best. But we have to take advantage of their slow start and go against them tonight.
|10-24-18||Nets v. Cavs -3||Top||102-86||Loss||-103||23 h 41 m||Show|
It’s tough to back the Cavaliers after their blowout loss to the Hawks in their home opener. That should have been their first win of the season, but instead they were embarrassed by what is the consensus pick for worst team in the NBA this season. We do like to back teams after a shameful loss like that, especially this Cavs team that has a lot of playoff experience (and pride) on the roster. Bettor confidence is at an all-time low for this team right now after LeBron left town and now 0-3 to start the year. That has created some value here, however, as we had this line at 5.5 since the Nets aren’t anything special. We think there’s a good chance that the Cavs cruise in this one.
|10-23-18||Clippers v. Pelicans -6||Top||109-116||Win||100||25 h 42 m||Show|
The Clippers have had a strong start to the season, as we predicted because we have used them a bunch already. But they have enjoyed the cushy confines of Staples Center for a three-game homestand to start the season. The season gets real here, however, with this tough game followed by a trip to Houston. LA normally doesn’t play well here. They are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 visits here. And they have covered only one of the last five no matter the venue. We think this line is giving a bit too much credit for the Clippers hot start, and we have to remember there was no Westbrook in the OKC win and no CP3 in the Rockets win. But Anthony Davis brings the star power tonight, and he and his teammates should win this one comfortably.
|10-22-18||Wizards +5 v. Blazers||Top||125-124||Win||100||9 h 7 m||Show|
The Wizards don’t want to start the season in an 0-3 hole so we think they put their best foot forward tonight in a very winnable game for them. Even though they are 0-2, they have played well in two tough games to open the season and they could have easily won either or both of those games. The Blazers finish their three-game homestand to start the season and they are 2-0 entering this contest. We think these teams are fairly even but the road team should be the more motivated of the two and we think they keep this one close if not win outright.
|10-21-18||Rockets v. Clippers +7||Top||112-115||Win||100||32 h 39 m||Show|
We think the Clippers are very underrated this year. They don’t have any big-name players any more and the public thinks they suck. But as this team is constructed, if they stay healthy they are likely a playoff team in the ultra-competitive west. They would probably be a high seed in the east. They have some injury-prone players for sure, but this team is completely healthy right now and their injury sheet as of this writing is completely clear for Sunday night. They catch Houston in a letdown spot after their big game against LeBron and the Lakers last night. The Clippers played very hard in every game against the Rockets last season. They won two of those matchups, they covered in three, and they did not lose any of the games by more than tonight’s spread. We think there is amazing value in the underdog here tonight.
|10-20-18||Rockets -3 v. Lakers||Top||124-115||Win||100||10 h 24 m||Show|
The Rockets had a head-scratching loss at home to the Pelicans to open the season. They no doubt don’t want to open the season 0-2. This team is not going to lose many games in the regular season, barring major injuries, and we think they will get back on track in a major way against the overrated Lakers. In their season opener at Portland the Lakers showed flashes, but they also showed that they aren’t ready for primetime. We think that it will take quite awhile for this team to gel and start playing like a team. LeBron James teams are always overrated by the oddsmakers, and Cleveland with him has been one of the worst bets in the NBA the last couple seasons. This Lakers team is even more raw and they have thrown together a cast of characters that will take some time to meld into a cohesive unit. We think Houston will be extra motivated tonight and expect them to win this one comfortably
|10-20-18||Minnesota v. Nebraska -3.5||Top||28-53||Win||100||97 h 40 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. Take #380 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Minnesota Golden Gophers (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 20 BTN) TOP COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAY OF THE WEEK. It ends tonight! Nebraska will put together a 60-minute game against a similar opponent talent wise and record their first victory of the season and first with Scott Frost as head coach. Minnesota played well last week at Ohio State, but I just do not believe they can put forth that same effort in this game. They did not play as well the last two games before that getting blown out by Maryland and Iowa. This will be their third road game in their last four games and both of their road games have come by double digits. I still like freshman QB Martinez and believe he will have success against this Gopher defense. The favorite in Gopher games has covered the spread 9 of the last 10 games. Nebraska had a 231-32 edge in rushing last week. Today is the day the stats reflect the result and Nebraska will win this game by double digits. We will hit a big play in the process as well.
|10-19-18||Cavs +8.5 v. Wolves||Top||123-131||Win||100||7 h 12 m||Show|
Minnesota has so much drama surrounding the team and the Jimmy Butler situation that we think this is a team to fade until we see otherwise with their play on the court. They played well in their opener against San Antonio but failed to cover against a Spurs team that is down from what we are used to. Public bettors are down on the Cavs right now but this team will still be competitive this season, and this is too many points tonight in what we expect to be a pretty competitive game.
|10-18-18||Lakers v. Blazers -1||Top||119-128||Win||100||32 h 28 m||Show|
Cleveland with LeBron James was one of the worst bets in the NBA the last couple years. They were overbet by the betting public. They were shaded by the oddsmakers. Now LeBron is on the West Coast and we think the Lakers are a team to fade, at least early in the season. Adding him to the mix changes the dynamic of this team dramatically, and it’s going to take some time for the team to gel. Another thing working against the Lakers is that they are the biggest public team in the NBA. Bettors love to back them with their money. Now that LeBron has joined the team they are going to be even more of a public play than normal. Portland didn’t make any huge moves in the offseason. This team doesn’t have as high of a ceiling as the Lakers once this team gets a couple more players and gets on the same page. But right now they are clearly the much better team, and we expect them to win this one comfortably in the season opener.
|10-17-18||Heat v. Magic +2.5||Top||101-104||Win||100||28 h 48 m||Show|
The Magic always seem to play tough against the Heat, and we believe that will be the case tonight as well. The Magic have won and covered in five of the last seven meetings. Miami comes into this game banged up and they have a long injury list with many players questionable. If this was later in the season we might shy away from taking the Magic here. But this is a season opener and home opener and a game against an in-state rival who they generally play well against. The Magic started off the season very strong last season and then they tailed off. But we expect maximum effort here in the season opener and the public will be all over the Heat in this one so this is a solid public fade.
|10-16-18||76ers v. Celtics -5||Top||87-105||Win||100||7 h 48 m||Show|
We think that both teams want this bad and that this game, on opening night, will be a defensive battle and we think this total is about 3-4 points too high as we had this number closer to 207 so we think there is value here in the number. This one should have a playoff atmosphere and these are two of the best three teams in the east this season. We think this game will be a close, hard-fought contest throughout but we think that Boston will pull ahead in the fourth and make a statement in this game. We will tread lightly here for opening night but we do see some great value here and expect to start off the season on a positive note.
|10-13-18||Ottawa +3.5 v. Edmonton||Top||16-34||Loss||-107||54 h 2 m||Show|
8-Unit Play. #665. Take Ottawa +3.5 vs Edmonton (Saturday, October 13 @ 5:00p.m.)
This is my CFL Game of the Year. 1-0 this season with 8-Unit selections.
It's time to stick a fork in the Edmonton Eskimos. What started out as a promising campaign, is going to end in disappointment and a missed playoffs. Look, the Eskimos can't score points on offense right now. Their last three point totals are 12, 3 and 15 to these very Ottawa RedBlacks. However, the difference between that game on Sept 22 and this coming game, is the Eskimos were on the up and had momentum. Now, they look defeated and the oddsmakers are telling you that on a neutral field, Edmonton is barely the favorite. The RedBlacks may have already clinched a playoff spot, but Hamilton is hot on their tails for the top spot. The RedBlacks got off to a sluggish start against Winnipeg last time out (bad spot), but rallied late to force OT. Trevor Harris is continuing to play well, tossing three touchdowns and 349 yards against a good Winnipeg defense. Not to mention, the running game got going with William Powell rushing for 95 yards on 14 carries. Look, I've watched every snap of Edmonton's loss to Saskatchewan and there is just no spark within the team. It's going to be a sour ending for Eskimos fans, but we will cash this ticket here on the RedBlacks. The RedBlacks are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 road games, while the Eskimos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 against Ottawa.
|10-13-18||Georgia v. LSU +7.5||Top||16-36||Win||100||98 h 10 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. Take #198 LSU Tigers over Georgia Bulldogs (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 13 CBS) SEC GAME OF THE YEAR Georgia has yet to be tested this season but their schedule ramps up from here on out. Playing at LSU is never an easy task and except them to be in for a 60-minute game today in Baton Rouge. LSU has covered the spread in 8 of their last 10 games in October. The Tigers have the speed to contain Georgia and I just do not see a blowout in this game. We will gladly grab the points and not worry about who pulls this game out by a field goal.
|10-07-18||Wyoming v. Hawaii -3||Top||13-17||Win||100||106 h 56 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. Take #414 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors over Wyoming Cowboys (11:59p.m., Saturday, October 6) Wyoming has a major problem on offense and if Hawaii does not beat themselves with turnovers, they will win this game by double digits. Hawaii took Wyoming into overtime last year with QB Allen playing for the Pokes. He will not be on the island this year and the Cowboys are averaging just 18 points and 300 total yards. Hawaii is coming off a 5OT win on the road last Saturday and they now are on pace to make a bowl game this season. When Wyoming loses, it tends to be big as their three losses this season have come by 22, 27, & 20 points. Wyoming put a lot into their game last week against Boise State in Laramie and they performed poorly. The oddsmakers have not caught onto how bad Wyoming is this season, as they have not covered a spread in their last 4 lined games.
|09-30-18||Browns v. Raiders -1.5||Top||42-45||Win||100||118 h 17 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. Take #270 Oakland Raiders over Cleveland Browns (4:05p.m., Sunday, September 20 CBS) The Raiders have had chances in all three of their games but sit at 0-3. This is a very important game for the Raiders and a must win if they have any chance of making the playoffs this season. QB Baker Mayfield will get the start after a nice performance at home against the Jets. Playing in the Black Hole is a much harder task. Cleveland is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a losing record. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between Cleveland and Oakland.
|09-29-18||Boise State -17 v. Wyoming||Top||34-14||Win||100||97 h 15 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. Take #203 Boise State Broncos over Wyoming Cowboys (7p.m., Saturday, September 30 CBSSN) The Cowboys and their fans will be up for this game but the fact remains they just do not have the offensive firepower to keep pace in this game. Wyoming is 2-2 this season but their wins have come against a terrible New Mexico State team and an FCS team in Wofford by just three points. If Boise State does not turn over the football they will win this game by 21+ points. Wyoming is 117th in the country in points per game and they have gotten pounded by Washington State and Missouri. I believe Boise State is better than both of those teams. Boise State has won 11 of the last 12 meetings. The Broncos are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games. The road team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
|09-22-18||Stanford v. Oregon +3||Top||38-31||Loss||-115||101 h 37 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. Take #356 Oregon Ducks over Stanford Cardinal (8p.m., Saturday, September 22 ABC) This is a game that can put Oregon on the national radar once again. A win will likely prevent Stanford for reaching the PAC-12 Championship Game and set up a battle between Washington and Oregon on October 13. The Ducks result last week was misleading as they were clearly looking ahead to this game and have revenge on their minds after getting pounded last year in Palo Alto. Getting rid of Willie Taggert can only be beneficial evident by this lack of success at Florida State. Stanford is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games played in September. Oregon has the weapons to attack this Stanford defense and expect them to win straight-up. The Line has swing too much and the value now clearly lies with Oregon.
|09-16-18||Giants +3 v. Cowboys||Top||13-20||Loss||-108||122 h 53 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. Take #287 New York Giants over Dallas Cowboys (8:20p.m., Sunday, September 16 NBC) Both teams are coming off losses in Week 1 but I just see more hope with the Giants compared to the Cowboys. Dallas used to have a strong offensive line but that is not the case anymore. They still have RB Elliott but defenses can stack the line against them since they do not have much deep threat wide receivers. Dallas is just 7-18 ATS in their last 25 home games against a divisional team. New York will win this game straight-up because they have many more weapons on offense compared to Dallas. New York has covered the spread in 5 of the last 7 meetings with Dallas.
|09-15-18||Tulane -3.5 v. UAB||Top||24-31||Loss||-110||49 h 2 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. Take #163 Tulane Green Wave over UAB Blazers (1p.m., Saturday, September 15 Facebook) NONCONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR UAB decided to bring back football for some reason after a two-year absence, but I just do not believe they can compete with teams from the American Athletic Conference. UAB is -77.5 ATS in their last 4 lined games and have lost 4 straight games against Tulane. The Green Wave are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 nonconference games. Tulane is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against UAB. Tulane just missed out on being bowl eligible last year and with Ohio State on deck this is a must win game for them in their hopes of reaching 6 wins. Tulane returns a ton of experience on offense led by QB Bank and WR Encalade. They should be able to pick apart the Blazers on defense and I just do not believe UAB will be able to keep pace. Tulane pulls away in the second half to win this game by double digits.
|09-09-18||Jaguars v. Giants +3||Top||20-15||Loss||-100||95 h 53 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. Take #462 New York Giants over Jacksonville Jaguars (1p.m., Sunday September 9 FOX) Jacksonville is going to start the year in an unfamiliar role, as a road favorite. I see them taking a step back this season and things have to be better for the Giants in 2018. Jacksonville is just 2-6 ATS in road openers in recent years. QB Manning has numerous weapons this season, something he sorely lacked as the 2017 season progressed. Jacksonville’s defense feasted on bad quarterback play in their own division and I expect them to give up points and yards against effective quarterbacks. Jacksonville is 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games played during the month of December.
|09-08-18||Wyoming v. Missouri -18||Top||13-40||Win||100||77 h 51 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. Take #368 Missouri Tigers over Wyoming Cowboys (7p.m., Saturday September 8 ESPN U) The Tigers should have saw the blueprint of how to beat Wyoming if they scouted the game last week. Do not turn the ball over and make the Cowboys drive the 75 yards plus to score. Wyoming only had success last week against Washington State when the Cougars gave them short fields. The Cowboys were terrible on offense and will not be able to keep up in scoring in this game. Missouri has a tempo offense that usually scores points often and quickly especially against inferior competition. Wyoming is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games played in September. Missouri is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games.
|09-01-18||Washington State v. Wyoming +1.5||Top||41-19||Loss||-106||97 h 60 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. Take #206 Wyoming Cowboys over Washington State Cougars (3:30p.m., Saturday September 1 CBSSN) TOP PLAY OF THE WEEKEND. Wyoming lost QB Josh Allen to the Buffalo Bills but they return a ton of starters all around that position. Washington State does not start off well under Coach Mike Leach, losing 5 of their 6 openers including two against FCS teams. Wyoming has a strong defense and playing in Laramie is always a tough challenge. Wyoming is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games. Washington State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Getting points makes this our strongest play, as we fully expect the Cowboys to win this game straight-up.
|08-25-18||Chiefs v. Bears -1||Top||20-27||Win||100||94 h 23 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. Take #266 Chicago Bears over Kansas City (1p.m., Saturday, August 25 NFLN) NFL PRESEASON GAME OF THE YEAR. Yes Patrick Mahomes made a great play last week against the Falcons throwing a pass 65 yards in the air for a touchdown. But that being said, he has not looked that great in camp this year and I have very little faith he will lead the Chiefs to a successful season this year. This is an important game for the Bears and their new head coach Matt Nagy. He is a rookie head coach playing his first home game and expect the Bears to show more stuff today than they have done all preseason long. Andy Reid is well under .500 as a coach in the exhibition season and I look for more of the same in this game. Chicago gets up early in this game and wins it by 7-10 points.
|08-23-18||Padres v. Rockies -1.5||Top||3-4||Loss||-100||4 h 50 m||Show|
10-Unit Play. Take #906 Colorado (-1.5 RL) over San Diego (3:10 p.m. Thursday, August 23)
Colorado's playoff chances are alive and well in the National League West and for the Wild Card. Beating the weakest team in your division at home to win a series is a must though if you intend to make the playoffs. Luckily for the Rockies, Kyle Freeland will be on the mound. Freeland surprisingly has pitched better at Coors Field than he has on the road this season going 7-2 with a 2.22 ERA through 11 starts in Colorado, with one of those wins being an 8-0 win against the Padres on April 24th. Joey Lucchesi will be on the mound for the Padres and he has an ERA over 4.5 over his last 7 starts averaging less than 5 innings per start. Freeland meanwhile has been on his game over his last 5 starts going 3-1 with a 1.72 ERA allowing just 1 home run over 31 1/3 innings. I think the Rockies offense will produce off Lucchesi and take the series with a win today.
Best of Luck - Doc's Sports
|08-10-18||Rangers v. Yankees -1.5||Top||12-7||Loss||-110||8 h 54 m||Show|
10-Unit Play. Take #966 NY Yankees (-1.5 RL) over Texas (7:05 p.m. Friday, August 10)
The Yankees had a bit of a wake up call after getting shellacked in Boston in a 4 game sweep and have responded by winning four straight contests. They returned to the friendly confines of Yankees Stadium last night where they are 39-16 on the season bopping 5 home runs in a 7-3 win. Masahiro Tanaka will be on the mound for New York tonight and he has an ERA under 2 over his last six starts. Tanaka wasn't at his best in his only start against the Rangers this year on May 21st when he allowed 4 runs over 5 innings, but he still picked up the win as the Yanks won 10-5. Mike Minor will be pitching for Texas tonight and he hasn't started opposite the Yankees since 2012. Minor hasn't been very good on the road this season as he is 3-4 with a 6.50 ERA and opponents batting .288 off him. I think the Yankees keep their streak going and pick up another win here.
Best of Luck - Doc's Sports
|08-09-18||Colts v. Seahawks -2.5||Top||19-17||Loss||-120||56 h 18 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. Take #274 Seattle Seahawks over Indianapolis Colts (10p.m., Thursday, August 9) Many experts have Seattle trending down this year and Pete Carroll is facing adversity for one of the few times during his Seattle tenure. Coach Carroll is 6-2 straight-up in his last 8 Week 1 exhibition games and they have coordinators on both sides of the football that want to make a statement in this game. Seattle went 4-0 last year in the preseason and they are 7-1 ATS the last two years in exhibition play. Indianapolis has a long legacy of losing during the preseason and that will continue on Thursday. Coach Frank Reich is coming off a Super Bowl win as a coordinator and he does not have the pressure to light it up during preseason play. Throw in the status of Andrew Luck and I am just not sold on their back-ups (Brissett, Kaaya, & Walker). Seattle wins this game by double digits.
|08-03-18||Tigers v. A's -1.5||Top||0-1||Loss||-100||12 h 32 m||Show|
10-Unit Play. Take #926 Oakland (-1.5 RL) over Detroit (10:05 p.m. Friday, August 3)
Oakland has been when of the hottest teams in all of baseball winning 30 of their last 40 games and are now a 1/2 game ahead of the Mariners for the second wild card spot. The A's just completed a 3 game sweep of Toronto which led to a 7-0 season sweep of them and after taking four games from Detroit in June they will look to do the same against the Tigers. Detroit has one of the worst road records in all of baseball at 18-35 and they will be facing left hander Brett Anderson. Anderson has made only one start at home for Oakland this season and I think he can limit a Tigers lineup that lacks a lot of fire power. Blaine Hardy will be on the bump for Detroit and he has been steady for the Tigers making 20 appearances for them this season, with 10 of them being starts. Hardy was roughed up by the Athletics on June 26th in a 9-7 loss when he allowed 6 runs on 6 hits (2 of which were home runs) over 4 innings. I think Oakland keeps it going and picks up the win in this matchup.
Best of Luck - Doc's Sports
|08-02-18||Braves -1.5 v. Mets||Top||4-2||Win||100||8 h 10 m||Show|
10-Unit Play. Take #957 Atlanta over NY Mets (7:10 p.m. Thursday, August 2)
Mike Foltynewicz has hit a rough patch where he has lost three out of his last five starts but I think he will have better luck facing the Mets. Foltynewicz dominated the Mets in his only start against them this season on June 12th in an 8-2 win when he allowed zero runs over five innings yielding just two hits while striking out six. The Mets are a complete mess right now and are without Todd Frazier, Jay Bruce, Yoenis Cespedes who are injured and they traded Asdrubel Cabrera to the Phillies before the trade deadline. The Mets have some solid starting pitchers but Jason Vargas is not one of them. Vargas hasn't lasted more than 5 innings in any of his starts for the Mets this year and in two starts against the Braves this season his ERA is 5.59, with Atlanta batting .317 off him in 9.2 innings while swatting 3 home runs. These teams are headed in opposite directions and I like Atlanta to pick up the win tonight.
Best of Luck - Doc's Sports
|08-02-18||Ottawa -6.5 v. Toronto||Top||41-42||Loss||-105||8 h 59 m||Show|
10-Unit Play. Take #371. Ottawa -6.5 vs Toronto (Thursday @ 7:00p.m. est).
These are two teams going in opposite directions in the standings. The visitors, Ottawa, are rolling right now, winners of 2 straight and three of the last 4 to move them into sole possession of first place in the East. Against teams not named Calgary, Ottawa is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS. They now get to face a Toronto team that has been blow out in two straight games, and have failed to register more then 20 points in all but one of their games (lone win 20-17 vs Edmonton). The Argos are suffering a major Grey Cup hangover and without the services of Ricky Ray, who went down injured in Game 1, look completely lost on offense - so much so, they made are making a switch at QB, benching highly touted James Franklin for career backup Mcleod Bethel-Thompson. They have no running game to speak of as James Wilder Jr. has been held in check throughout the season, mostly because teams are selling out to stop the run since they do not fear the passing attack. Ottawa has an extremely talented defense and gave up just 31 rushing yards to Hamilton last week. If Trevor Harris can keep the momentum going for the Redblacks on offense, Ottawa will have no trouble scoring points with their collection of offensive weapons and beating their in-province rivals and extending their lead atop the Eastern Conference. Keep in mind, Ottawa is 22-6 ATS in their last 28 road games and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs the East. Toronto is just 6-18 ATS following a SU loss.
|07-27-18||Diamondbacks -1.5 v. Padres||Top||6-2||Win||100||11 h 24 m||Show|
10-Unit Play. Take #961 Arizona (-1.5 RL) over San Diego (10:10 p.m. Friday, July 27)
Arizona returns to the West Coast after dropping their last two games against the Cubs but I think the Padres are in trouble. Zack Greinke will be on the mound and he has dominated San Diego in his career going 10-2 across twenty starts. Greinke has been in a nice groove in 4 July starts going 3-0 with a 1.69 ERA, not allowing more than 2 earned runs in any start. Luis Pedermo will take the ball for the Padres and he has been a disaster this season. The Padres are 1-7 in the 8 starts Pedermo has made this year and he is 0-4 with a 11.29 ERA at home this season with opponents batting .395 against him. I think the Diamondbacks will bring the lumber and score plenty of runs while Greinke will limit the Padres offense and lead them to victory. Take Arizona in this one.
Best of Luck - Doc's Sports
|07-21-18||White Sox v. Mariners -1.5||Top||5-0||Loss||-120||29 h 11 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #976 Take Seattle (-1.5 RL) over Chicago (Saturday, 10:10 pm MLB.tv) The Athletics are right on the tail of the Seattle Mariners and they cannot afford to take this series lightly even against inferior competition. King Felix is on the mound and he has pitched better of late allowing three runs or less in his last five starts. That will be more than enough to beat the White Sox on Saturday night at Safeco Field.
|06-30-18||Portugal v. Uruguay||Top||1-2||Win||100||27 h 16 m||Show|
10-Unit Play. Take Uruguay to Qualify over Portugal (2 p.m., Saturday, June 30)
Note: Uruguay can win in regulation time, extra time or in penalty kicks for this play to be graded a win.
Don't look now but this is the second time that Uruguay have not allowed a goal during the group stage of the World Cup. The previous time was the 2010 World Cup in South Africa. Uruguay made a run all the way to the semi-finals eight years ago. But while I don't necessarily expect a replica run, the same blueprint is in place to at the very least dispatch of an inferior Portugal team who is slowly beginning to come down from their very fortunate title run at Euro 2016. Two years ago this Portuguese side fell into a lot of luck en route to their claim as Europe's best. Looking at that tournament two summers back, Portugal finished in third place in their group and were lucky just to sneak into the knockout round. Once in the elimination stages, of Portugal's four victories to the championshship, three came via a 1-0 extra time win or via PKs. Only once did they decisively prove to be the better team. And so far in Russia, we've seen Portugal get by ever so narrowly. Portugal saw Cristiano Ronaldo's brilliance with a hat trick in their opener against Spain only to still draw. They then were completely outplayed by Morocco despite a close 1-0 win. The same argument came be made with the 1-1 draw to Iran. This is a one-man team, and I've said it countless teams, if Ronaldo doesn't carry them, they struggle mightily. And even after his early goal against Morocco, essentially in the last two matches he has been contained and limited. Uruguay are that team to do this very same thing. Uruguay is a gritty bunch of physical footballers who don't steer away from a grind-it-out performance and really are comfortable in their own identity as a team. Now they also get to rely on the best 1-2 strike partnership in the world in Edison Cavani and Luis Saurez. Behind these two amazing talents, the rest of this team all play a role and fill in voids to help provide attacking options and control the pace and tempo in the rest of the field. Uruguay is going to hands down win the battle in the midfield, both allowing good chances for their duo atop the formation, but also, and even more importantly, limit Portugal from going forward with much consistency. Uruguay is the exact team I wanted Portugal to draw in this Round of 16. The South Americans have the edge with their back line and goal keeper, and even if the midfield efforts play out fairly even, I will take Two of a Kind (Cavani and Suarez) over Ace High (Ronaldo). This is not 2016. Portugal cannot play passive football and skate by into the deeper rounds of this tournament. Uruguay will frustrate Ronaldo and create two goals from their dynamic strike team to win this match. Uruguay 2-0 to the good for a Quarterfinals appearance.
|06-08-18||Warriors v. Cavs +4.5||Top||108-85||Loss||-109||8 h 7 m||Show|
If the Cavs were a young team than maybe we could see a lack of effort here as they are doomed down 0-3. But this is a veteran team and they will go all out tonight to avoid the sweep. We think they have a good chance to win. Besides Game 2, which was on the road, the Cavs have overall played pretty competitively in this series. They should have covered Game 3 but Golden State just got hot at the end of the game. We think this is a game where the Cavs will leave everything on the court and we think they could win this one straight up. They don’t want to get swept here as that is a black mark on their season even though they know they can’t win the series. And Golden State might subconsciously let down here in Game 4 as they know they are headed back to the Bay Area to win in Game 5 in the event that they lose here. Also, we think the total is once again too high here.
|05-28-18||Warriors -6.5 v. Rockets||Top||101-92||Win||100||9 h 50 m||Show|
The Rockets had one of the worst halves in NBA postseason history in Game 6 and they were thoroughly embarrassed. Normally we would like a good team to bounce back but Houston looked lost and the players had that “deer in the headlights” look on their faces. That is not a good sign for the city of Houston tonight. Chris Paul is iffy in this one and they say he will be a gametime decision. Even if he does go he would not be anywhere near 100% and if this were the regular season he probably would miss significant time with this injury. We think the much better Warriors step on the Rockets throats tonight and end this series with a big win.
|05-27-18||Cavs v. Celtics -2.5||Top||87-79||Loss||-106||8 h 58 m||Show|
Boston has been our play in this series all the way, and since they have not lost at home yet in these playoffs we aren’t going to back off now. This is the better ballclub this year and we don’t think LeBron and Co. can get the job done here on the road. This series has been more competitive than we thought but in the end we think the Celtics take this and end LeBron’s stronghold on the ECF.
|05-26-18||Rockets +13 v. Warriors||Top||86-115||Loss||-115||8 h 17 m||Show|
We think the Warriors are still going to win this series. They will win tonight and will probably be favored in Game 7. They are still heavy favorites to win the series. But we think this is just an inflated line tonight. Yes, Paul is out for the Rockets but this is still a good squad. They have to know that they need to close this series out tonight and we think they will treat this one like a Game 7. Also, the scores for the last two games have been very low and if this one plays out similarly then that makes the points all the more valuable.
|05-25-18||Celtics +7 v. Cavs||Top||99-109||Loss||-105||8 h 50 m||Show|
The home teams have won and covered every game in this series so far but we think something has to give with that trend. The Celtics have a chance to close out this series tonight, and we think they play with a lot more intensity than they have in the first two games in Cleveland. We think that at least this will be a close game. We think the Celtics defense will really step up tonight. This is a very fair line for the Celtics and with the lowest total of the series so far we think the points are all the more valuable. We see a close, low-scoring game here tonight.
|05-24-18||Warriors +1 v. Rockets||Top||94-98||Loss||-107||8 h 20 m||Show|
We have to admit that the Rockets have played better in this series than we thought they would. The Warriors had a real off game in Game 4 and the Rockets took advantage to steal a win in the Bay Area and take back home-court advantage. We think this is still the Warriors series to lose but that Game 4 loss makes this game even more important. This is almost a must-win game for the Warriors, and this team normally responds well in these types of situations. They are the better team here, they have all the experience, and we think they will rise up tonight and win this game commandingly. As this series goes on fatigue starts to set in and as we saw in Game 4 and in Game 5 in Boston last night the defenses are starting to step up so we think the under is the play here in Game 5 as well.
|05-23-18||Cavs v. Celtics +1||Top||83-96||Win||100||8 h 53 m||Show|
Boston has covered and won every game in this postseason when at home. The Celtics didn’t look great in their two road losses in Cleveland but we think they will turn it around here at home. They got off to a slow start in Game 4 but they did a good job to stay competitive and we think they played pretty well overall despite the loss and non-cover. We thought the Celtics would be at least -3 here so we think there is some nice value in Game 5. This one looks like it will probably go to Game 7 as these teams can’t achieve any success on the road. We think the home team will get the job done tonight.
|05-22-18||Rockets v. Warriors -8.5||Top||95-92||Loss||-102||29 h 10 m||Show|
Anything under double-digits for this Golden State like is money, in our opinion. Game saw the Rockets even the series in Texas but Golden State really flexed their muscles in Game 3. We think that Game 2 might be the only win for Houston as we just don’t see these teams as anything close to equal despite the media going crazy about Houston having a chance in this series. The Warriors are much more of a complete team and they have more consistent players. While the Rockets are sure to put up more of a fight than they did in Game 3, we still think that this one has a great chance to be a double-digit win by the home team.
|05-21-18||Celtics +7 v. Cavs||Top||102-111||Loss||-105||8 h 60 m||Show|
We like to back good teams off an embarrassing loss and that is the case here as Boston played awful in Game 3 and we think they will rebound big time here and challenge for the win in what should be a close game. We also like the over as Game 3 almost went over even with Boston getting blown out. We had the over in that game and the scrubs that were in the game the last couple minutes could not hit anything so it was kind of a bad beat. But with this game likely being more competitive we expect both teams to get their points to get this one over the posted number. We think the Celtics are the better team here and we expected this number to shrink from Game 3 and not get bigger, so we think there is nice value on the dog here tonight.
|05-20-18||Rockets v. Warriors -7.5||Top||85-126||Win||100||8 h 38 m||Show|
We are behind Golden State all the way in this series. They let their guard down a bit in Game 2 after getting a Game 1 blowout win in Houston. But now after losing Game 2 they will be extra motivated tonight, and a motivated Warriors team is a squad you want to bet on. We think they are by far the better team here and they will want to get some separation in the fourth quarter to prevent anything funky from happening and we think they have no problem covering this line as we expect a double-digit win here for the home team.
|05-16-18||Warriors +2 v. Rockets||Top||105-127||Loss||-103||9 h 50 m||Show|
We were excited to take the Warriors in Game 1 and they played even better than we expected. Now we are getting an even better line for Game 2. Everyone said that this is the series they wanted to see in the west since this would be competitive. It still has a chance to be. But we don’t think so. Even though the Rockets had the better record in the regular season that’s just because Golden State didn’t even try in the regular season. They saved up all their energy for the postseason. Now they are healthy and firing on all cylinders. And in our opinion with both teams at their best this series isn’t even close. Golden State doesn’t like to be challenged. When they hear the media and the public say that Houston has a chance here that just gives them the motivation they need to give that extra effort on every play, and despite some excellent players on Houston we don’t think the talent level matches up here at all. In fact, the only thing that can stop the Warriors is themselves and they will be the best until they break this team up. We think they might slip up in a game back at home but we think they want this bad to all but put a nail in the Rockets’ coffin for this series with a sweep in Houston.
|05-15-18||Cavs v. Celtics +1||Top||94-107||Win||102||8 h 38 m||Show|
There’s no getting around the fact that this Cleveland team is just not as good as the versions that have made the NBA Finals the last couple years. We think the Celtics have a great chance to win this series, and that certainly looked like it can happen after their Game 1 domination. Boston has probably the best coach in the NBA right now and he is doing his best work as he has this team looking like the clear best team in the east despite two major injuries to their stars. But he is making the best of the talent that he has available and many of these young players are coming into their own in front of our eyes. But the most important thing is that this team is playing great team basketball. Cleveland has to rely on LeBron to carry the team every night while the Celtics will be OK even if a couple guys have an off night. Boston is now a perfect 8-0 SU and ATS at home in the postseason. We think they will take this one tonight, maybe not in blowout fashion but this team has been underrated all postseason and they continue to get disrespected by the oddsmakers as we had them -5 here so obviously we think there is amazing line value tonight.
|05-14-18||Warriors +2 v. Rockets||Top||119-106||Win||100||101 h 56 m||Show|
We are big on the Warriors in this series and we don’t think it will be as competitive as some think it will. We agree with the oddsmakers that the Warriors should be around -180 favorite here. We would probably put the moneyline around -200. And to be getting points for Game 1 seems like a gift. We think this Warriors team is one of, if not THE, best teams of all time. Of course, it’s hard to compare teams from different generations since they played a different style of NBA basketball back then. But Golden State ranks right up there, and Curry, in our minds, is one of the Top 5 players ever. He makes those around him better, he is cool under pressure, he is a true leader, and if he gets hot shooting there is no stopping him. All Golden State needs to do is win one game here in Houston to steal home-court advantage. While Houston went hard for regular-season success, the Warriors did the right thing and coasted through the regular season. And now here in Game 1 they can make that strategy work with a win here and then you just throw out the regular-season results. We think they will bring their A Game tonight. This team doesn’t like it when the public thinks an opponent has a chance. When they play with a chip on their shoulders they are at their best. And they seem to take a perverse pleasure in beating Chris Paul. They always got into his head in his days with the Clippers and they would still be shooting threes up big late in order to make the score even more lopsided. We think this has a very good chance to be a 7+-point win by the road team.
|05-13-18||Cavs v. Celtics +1.5||Top||83-108||Win||100||72 h 31 m||Show|
Both teams have really turned a corner in the playoffs. Both had somewhat disappointing regular seasons, but for Boston that had to do a lot with injuries. But the difference between these two teams is that the Cavs are always overrated by the oddsmakers. They were the worst team in the NBA for betting during the regular season. Even though they have been playing better as of late, we still think they are overrated here. We had Boston as 3.5-point favorites to open this series at home, and with the Cavs posted as slight favorites there is very nice value here. Boston is 9-3 ATS in these playoffs. They are a perfect 7-0 ATS at home in the postseason, and they haven’t lost a game here yet. This team is playing its best basketball of the season right now. The Cleveland squad is centered around one player, and if he has a down game they are toast. But if one or a couple guys for the Celtics have a down game then they are still in good shape since there will be other players there to step up. Boston also has a big coaching advantage and Stevens is on the top of his game right now. We always thought the Cavs would have trouble reaching the NBA Finals this year, and we think this series will probably go 6 or 7 games, but we have to take Boston here in Game 1 as we think they are very underrated coming into this series.
|05-09-18||76ers v. Celtics +1||Top||112-114||Win||100||27 h 5 m||Show|
Philly covered their first game of the series in Game 4 as Boston let down their guard a bit. But now that the Sixers got a win and the series shifts back to Boston for Game 5, we think it’s of the utmost importance for them for them to close out the series here in Game 5. If they lose here then in Game 6 the Sixers will be sizable favorites back in Philly and then if they won there they would probably be decent favorites in a potential Game 7 back here in Boston. So we know the Boston players and coaches have some urgency here. Boston has been the much better team for most of this series. The lines seem to be set according to how the regular season went as opposed to the postseason as the Sixers are short on experience and the Celtics have the better coaching in this series. They have also now covered in six of the last eight meetings. We think Boston will do everything in their power to end this one on their home court tonight, and we think there’s a good chance they get a comfortable win here.