|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|11-16-15||Virginia -5.5 v. George Washington||68-73||Loss||-108||8 h 13 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #527 Take Virginia -5.5 over George Washington (7:30 pm ESPN 2) The Cavaliers are always a tough out in early season games because of the tenacious defense that they play. They will get a test from George Washington tonight in the capital but Virginia is too good to be denied in this game. The Colonials were on their way to an NCAA Tournament bid until they feel apart down the stretch and I do not see things getting better this year. They lost their second leading scorer Kethan Savage to Butler and expect this to be a defensive battle and that favors Virginia.
|11-15-15||Cal Poly v. UCLA -8||83-88||Loss||-110||22 h 55 m||Show|
5 Unit Play. #726 Take UCLA over Cal Poly (10 pm PAC-12 Network) The Bruins are not losing two home games to open up the season. They are coming off an overtime loss to Monmouth on Friday night but they still have talent and balance and that will be enough to beat this mid-major by double digits. Cal Poly is just a middle of the pack team in the Big West. They gave UNLV a game on Friday but look for them to be tired in this game playing a second straight true road game.
Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports
|11-15-15||Coastal Carolina v. Hawaii -7||63-74||Win||100||6 h 17 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #750 Take Hawaii over Coastal Carolina (9:30 pm) Coastal Carolina appears to be overrated this year. They were favored against Nevada on Friday and got destroyed in the second half. Expect Hawaii to take care of business tonight playing on the home floor.
|11-14-15||Towson v. La Salle -5.5||76-78||Loss||-103||3 h 33 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #518 Take La Salle -5.5 over Towson (3 pm) The Tigers really struggled shooting the basketball last year as they were under 30% from the arc and under 63% from the charity stripe. Towson returns four starters but the one missing is their leading scorer from last season Four McGlynn. La Salle still has the best player on the court in Jordan Price and if he gets any scoring help around him this will be a double digit victory for the home team. La Salle has covered 6 of their last 8 games (1 push) against teams from the CAA.
Best of Luck - Doc's Sports
|11-13-15||Pacific v. Arizona -23||61-79||Loss||-105||3 h 2 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #764 Take Arizona -23 over Pacific (9:30 pm PAC-12 Network) The Tigers may have three key players out for this game due to academic issues but either way Arizona will win this game big. The Wildcats could not get over the hump last season by making it to a Final Four but they just reload and will have another outstanding team this year. The Tigers have not fared well against PAC-12 teams going 1-9 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 match-ups. The Wildcats have covered 13 of their last 18 home games.
|11-13-15||Western Illinois v. Wisconsin -27||Top||69-67||Loss||-110||28 h 6 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #840 Take Wisconsin over Western Illinois (9 pm BTN) The Badgers are in a rebuilding year with only two starters returning but they open-up play at the Kohl Center against one of the worst division one teams in the country. Wisconsin still plays a system and great defense and that will allow them to pull away late and win this game by 30+ points. The Leathernecks are predicted to finish last in the Summit League and won just 3 conference games last year. Western Illinois is 7-29 ATS in their last 29 road games. Wisconsin beat a similar team in the exhibition season by 55 points.
|11-13-15||Green Bay v. Stanford -7.5||Top||89-93||Loss||-112||3 h 31 m||Show|
7 Unit Play. #762 Take Stanford -7 over Green Bay (9 pm PAC-12 Network) Stanford has been known to lay an egg in some early season games but they cannot afford that to happen this season, as Johnny Dawkins is once again on the hot seat. The Cardinal were playing good basketball at the end of the season and won the NIT to become one of the few teams to end their season with a victory. The Cardinal have to replace much of their talent from last year but they still have size and should be able to out muscle the Phoenix. The Cardinal got to play together in Italy this summer and that should only help them this season.
But this play is mostly going against Green Bay, as the Phoenix have to replace their coach and all-everything player. Keifer Sykes now plays in the NBADL and he was two time conference player of the year for a team that dominated the Horizon League regular season but choked against Valparaiso in the conference tournament last year. They also lost their coach in Brian Wardle who seemed to understand the writing on the wall making a lateral move (if that) to Bradley. This is a rebuild situation fort Linc Darner and this team is going to struggle compared to the last few years. Stanford picked up a bunch of nonconference wins in the NIT last year and they have now covered 7 of their last 9 games out of conference. Green Bay is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. Green Bay is making the trip to Stanford for a check and you can bet that the PAC-12 does not want to see Stanford start off with a loss (ie the refs Stanford hires for this game). This spread should be double digits and we will take advantage of a soft line.
|11-13-15||Siena v. Duke -24||74-92||Loss||-103||1 h 41 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #800 Take Duke -24 over Siena (7 pm ESPN U) Duke is becoming Kentucky as Coach K is starting to embrace the one and done idea. Duke has to replace a ton of talent from last season but they recruit the very best in the country and should be able to pull away late from the Saints. The Saints do not have the players that can challenge Duke and Cameron and thus I expect a victory by the home team of close to 30 points. The Blue Devils have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 home games.
|04-06-15||Wisconsin v. Duke +1||Top||63-68||Win||100||31 h 7 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #602 Take Duke over Wisconsin (Monday 9:18 pm CBS) It end’s tonight! Duke and Coach K will win their fifth National Championship tonight in Indianapolis. Wisconsin is coming off a landmark victory against Kentucky on Saturday night and to their fans that felt like winning a National Championship. Duke has yet to be tested in the NCAA Tournament winning five games with relative ease (Utah game was not as close as the final would indicate). That should bode well for them tonight against a team that already beat in December in Madison. Unlike Kentucky, Duke has shooters that can exploit this suspect Wisconsin defense. Wisconsin will have their moments in this game but in the end Coach K will be too much for them to overcome after such an emotional victory on Saturday night. Duke has won five straight games against Big 10 teams.
|04-04-15||Michigan State v. Duke -5.5||Top||61-81||Win||100||29 h 38 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #824 Take Duke over Michigan State (Saturday 6:05 pm TBS) Michigan State = Indianapolis Colts. Much like Indy, Michigan State does not belong in the Final Four and they will be exposed in a big way on Saturday night in Indianapolis, IN. The Spartans were fortunate to be bracketed into the East Region where the top seeds where exposed as frauds and the Elite 8 battle features two teams with major flaws. Tom Izzo is given a lot for being Mr. March and this will be his 7th Final Four but one must remember he has only won one championship and advance past this round just two times in six attempts. He also has a terrible record against Coach K winning just one game in nine attempts including a double digit loss this season in Indianapolis of all places. Duke just has better talent at four of the five positions on the court and this is not even a typical Michigan State team that rebounds well and makes free throws (they do neither of these). Duke is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against Big 10 teams. Michigan State is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games played on Saturday.
|04-02-15||Stanford -2 v. Miami (FL)||Top||66-64||Push||0||33 h 12 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #707 Take Stanford over Miami (Thursday 9 pm ESPN) Have not had much luck going against Miami with two ridiculous losses their last two games when Richmond and Temple and big leads only to go ice cold in the second half. Miami will likely be without Tonye Jekiri and Angel Rodriguez and that is a major void that this team will not be able to overcome. Stanford has had recent success in the NIT of late winning it in 2012 and I was impressed with how they finished the game last night after blowing a big lead in the first half against Old Dominion. Miami has gotten off to poor starts in the last two games and without a big man in the middle I do not see them making a second half rally in this contest. Stanford is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 nonconference games. Miami is 1-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 games played on Thursday.
|03-31-15||Miami (Fla) v. Temple -1||Top||60-57||Loss||-108||45 h 31 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #770 Take Temple over Miami (Tuesday 7 pm ESPN) Miami just has no business being in New York City for the NIT Semi-Finals. They are coming off a miracle comeback last week in Richmond but I do not see Temple giving them this game like the Spiders did. Miami will likely be without Angel Rodriguez and this leaves a major void in their offensive game that will be tough to overcome. The Owls have been solid of late losing just one game in the last month and they have won their last two NIT games in convincing fashion. Take the better team that is closer to home in the first game of the night on Tuesday.
|03-29-15||Gonzaga v. Duke -2.5||Top||52-66||Win||100||27 h 45 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #722 Take Duke over Gonzaga (Sunday 5:05 pm CBS) The Bulldogs are in unfamiliar territory as they have never reached the Elite 8 under Mark Few. Duke has the tradition and the legardary coach and they will not be denied another trip to the Final Four. Duke has the big man down low that can offset the bigs for Gonzaga and I still believe this Gonzaga team in not mentally tough. Duke will be able to dominate the guard position and Kevin Pangos does not seem to be himself for much of the season. Gonzaga is 1-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games against ACC teams. Duke is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
|03-28-15||Arizona -1 v. Wisconsin||Top||78-85||Loss||-110||27 h 12 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #513 Take Arizona over Wisconsin (Saturday 6:09 pm TBS) It is Arizona’s time! Coach Sean Miller comes of the list of beat coaches to never make a Final Four on Saturday as his Wildcats will knock out Wisconsin on Saturday afternoon in Los Angeles. Arizona has the size and strength to beat Wisconsin on the block and the Badgers have not been playing their best basketball down the stretch. Frank Kaminsky has not been playing to his Player of the Year level of late and without him playing at his best, Wisconsin cannot beat the elite teams. Unlike North Carolina, Arizona can play defense and will not miss key free throws down the stretch. Arizona cleared their hurdle on Thursday facing a former assistant coach that knew many of their sets. That will not be the case Saturday afternoon as Wisconsin will not know what hit them playing a team that is desperate to reach the Final Four. Arizona is 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games overall. Wisconsin is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win in their previous game.
|03-27-15||Michigan State -1.5 v. Oklahoma||62-58||Win||100||81 h 58 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #879 Take Michigan State over Oklahoma (Friday 10:05 pm TBS) Just not a fan of Oklahoma this season. Lon Kruger is a good coach but he has not sniffed the Final Four since he left Florida. Coach Tom Izzo is Mr. March and he has his team playing at a high level few thought they would attain this season. We are finding out that the Big XII was not that good of a conference with just a bunch of good teams and no great teams. Michigan State is 9-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 14 games overall. Oklahoma is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
|03-27-15||Utah v. Duke -5||Top||57-63||Win||100||81 h 31 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #884 Take Duke over Utah (Friday 9:45 pm CBS) Duke is not losing this game straight-up. The committee set up the South Region with the intention for Duke to advance to the Final Four and I do not see Utah altering that path. Georgetown had Utah on the ropes before they went ice cold over the last 5 minutes of that game and Utah emerged victorious. That will not happen against Duke and Coach K. Duke has the better player at four of the five positions on the court and Utah has not seen a big man with this much offensive skill like Jahlil Okafor. Duke has covered the spread in 6 of their last 7 games.
|03-26-15||North Carolina v. Wisconsin -6||Top||72-79||Win||100||55 h 34 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #810 Take Wisconsin over North Carolina (Thursday 7:47 pm TBS) This game means more to Wisconsin as they still hold a grudge against Coach Roy Williams for a statement he made about the 2000 Wisconsin team that made the Final Four. Throw in the fact that Kennedy Meeks will likely not play (definitely will not be 100%) and I just do not see North Carolina behind able to match-up well with Wisconsin. Carolina will have some moments in this game but in the end Wisconsin will pull away late and win this game by 9-12 points. Carolina has covered just 1 of their last 5 NCAA Tournament games. Wisconsin is 12-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 18 neutral site games.
|03-24-15||Miami (FL) v. Richmond -2||63-61||Loss||-114||22 h 40 m||Show|
2 Unit Play. #666 Take Richmond over Miami (7 pm ESPN) Miami still has a lot of injury questions and playing on the road in a hostile environment will be too much for them to overcome on Tuesday. Richmond is the more motivated team in this affair as they want to win the NIT whereas Miami is still disappointed they did not make the NCAA Tournament. Richmond is coming off a thrilling victory against Arizona State on Sunday night and look for them to make a trip to NYC next week. Richmond is 7-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games.
|03-22-15||West Virginia v. Maryland||Top||69-59||Loss||-110||29 h 60 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #728 Maryland over West Virginia (8:40 pm TNT) We will again ride the Terrapins but unlike Friday they just have to win the game tonight and we do not need to worry about the spread. West Virginia just does not have the offensive firepower that Maryland does and I feel that talent will eventually win out. Maryland was never in danger of losing to Valparaiso on Friday despite the close score and expect them to play better on Sunday night. West Virginia is a tough team to officiate and they really try and muck up the game but that usually does not work in the NCAA Tournament where games are called more tightly. West Virginia is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against Big 10 teams.
|03-21-15||Utah v. Georgetown +4.5||Top||75-64||Loss||-107||24 h 51 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #526 Take Georgetown over Utah (7:45 pm CBS) I still believe Utah is not playing their best basketball to down the stretch and should have be favored by this many points against a more than capable Georgetown team. Utah losing to Arizona has left a lasting image on this team and Georgetown has the size to dominate in the paint. The Hoyas dominated Eastern Washington and expect them to take down their second straight opponent from the West on Saturday. Georgetown is 8-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 nonconference games.
|03-20-15||North Dakota State +18 v. Gonzaga||76-86||Win||100||74 h 41 m||Show|
2 Unit Play. #853 Take North Dakota State over Gonzaga (Friday 9:50 pm TNT) Gonzaga has never been a good NCAA Tournament team and some flaws are starting to show toward the end of the season. During their last 8 games, Gonzaga has only beaten one team by tonight’s posted number and North Dakota is becoming standard NCAA Tournament team out of the Summit League making it two straight seasons. The Bison have performed well in both cases hanging around with Kansas in 2009 and beating Oklahoma last season before losing to San Diego State. The Bulldogs players and coaches have not performed well in March and expect them to tighten up if North Dakota State can hang around early. Look for Gonzaga to win but only by 13-15 points.
|03-20-15||Valparaiso v. Maryland -5||Top||62-65||Loss||-106||94 h 5 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #836 Take Maryland over Valparaiso (Friday 4:40 pm TNT) NCAA Tournament Game of the Year. The Terrapins are angry at their seed and expect them to take out their frustrations in a big way on Friday afternoon in Columbus, OH. Valparaiso was the best team in the Horizon League but most of their damage came at home. They did not perform well in their conference tournament and were lucky to escape with home wins against Cleveland State in the semi-finals and Green Bay in the finals. Green Bay gagged in that game scoring just 5 points in the last 11:42 of that game. Maryland has too many weapons for Valparaiso to handle and this was clearly the second best team in the Big 10 all season long (they did beat Wisconsin as well). Prior to blowing a big lead to Michigan State in the Big 10 semi-finals, Maryland had won 8 straight games and I expect them to bounce back in a big way. Maryland has the better player on the court at four of the five positions and Valpo has not an NCAA Tournament Game since the Bryce Drew shot in 1998. In those five games since then they have lost by 22, 27, 15, 27, and 11 points. We will gladly lay this small number of points with the much better team from the Big 10. This is a chance for Coach Mark Turgeon to solidify himself as the coach of Maryland and if he can make a run to the Sweet 16 he should be entrenched as the coach for quite some time. This is the first time he has made the NCAA Tournament at Maryland and he does not to be a quick one and done. Valpo is 0-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games against Big 10 teams. Maryland has a neutral site victory against Iowa State and they are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games played at neutral sites.
|03-20-15||New Mexico State v. Kansas -10.5||56-75||Win||100||47 h 21 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #842 Take Kansas over New Mexico State (Friday 12:15 pm CBS) This is one of the worst Jayhawk teams Bill Self has brought to the NCAA Tournament in quite some time but I still believe they have enough to New Mexico State in Omaha. Once Fresno State, Utah State, and Nevada left the WAC it became one of the worst conferences in division one and I do not give the Aggies much credit for winning a conference that has a for profit team in the league. I do not expect a blowout, however, Kansas with its superior talent will pull away enough in the second half to win this game by 15 points.
|03-19-15||Ole Miss +3 v. Xavier||57-76||Loss||-106||27 h 16 m||Show|
2 Unit Play. #715 Take Ole Miss over Xavier (Thursday 4:10 pm TBS) Just not sold on Xavier despite them beating us last Friday with a big play. Ole Miss has better talent than the Musketeers and I believe that the SEC is a better conference at the top compared to the Big East. Seems like every year one of the play-in game teams makes a run and I really feel Ole Miss is that team. Ole Miss is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Big East teams.
|03-19-15||UCLA v. SMU -3.5||60-59||Loss||-106||42 h 29 m||Show|
3 Unit Play. #732 Take SMU over UCLA (Thursday 3:10 pm Tru TV) This will be a very public selection but I still feel the odds makers are not properly rating how good this SMU team is. We all know that UCLA should not be in this tournament but nonetheless they are and they do have some weapons. That being said, SMU had a great season from December on losing just three times and put forth a dominating effort in their last game out. The Mustangs beat the defending champions on their home floor and should be able to take down UCLA in Louisville. UCLA is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. SMU has covered the spread in 15 of their last 25 games (3 pushes).
|03-15-15||Connecticut v. SMU -2.5||Top||54-62||Win||100||19 h 37 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #894 Take SMU over UCONN (3:15 pm ESPN) It ends tonight! There will not be a repeat national champion this season as UCONN will get bounced from the AAC Tournament on Sunday by the clear cut best team in the league. Tulsa had UCONN on the ropes for most of the game before they gaged in typical Frank Haith fashion. SMU is coached by a legend in Larry Brown and he will not let that happen to his Mustangs on Sunday. This is a rubber match for these two teams but SMU will not be fazed by playing this game in Hartford. Talent wins out and we collect big with SMU as they move up to a No. 4 seed in the NCAA Tournament. Connecticut is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played on Sunday.
|03-14-15||VCU v. Davidson -2.5||93-73||Loss||-115||12 h 50 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #524 Take Davidson over VCU (1:30 pm NBCSN) Both teams were lucky to advance into the semi-finals on Saturday but I just believe Davidson has too much offensive firepower for VCU to keep pace with. The Wildcats have won 10 straight games including a 27 point beatdown of VCU on March 5th. VCU just does not have the weapons to keep pace as the Wildcats March onto the Finals on Sunday. Davidson is 37-15 ATS in their last 52 games. VCU covered yesterday but they are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games.
|03-13-15||Xavier v. Georgetown -2||65-63||Loss||-105||8 h 54 m||Show|
7 Unit Play. #866 Take Georgetown -2 over Xavier (9:30 pm Fox Sports 1) Much like Richmond, I just do not believe Xavier is a consistent enough team to beat Georgetown three times in one season. Xavier is coming off a battle last night against Butler and now must play another physical team in Georgetown in less than 24 hours. The Hoyas have been playing outstanding basketball of late winning six of their last seven games and they have revenge on their minds losing two games to Xavier both by double digits. Xavier is 3-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games following an ATS victory in their previous game.
|03-13-15||North Carolina +2.5 v. Virginia||Top||71-67||Win||100||24 h 32 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #859 Take North Carolina over Virginia (7 pm ESPN) Conference Tournament Just not been a big believer in Virginia this season and feel they will have trouble beating North Carolina in Greensboro with a 100% Justin Anderson. Virginia is extremely well coached and they have players that fit their system but North Carolina just has better players. Virginia let a bad Florida State team hang around in the second half and I just do not believe they are firing on all cylinders at the moment (they lost to Louisville in their regular season finale). Carolina got good production from Kennedy Meeks on Thursday and I expect him to be even better on Friday. Carolina shot the ball well from the three point line on Thursday going 5-11 and if they do that again they will beat Virginia straight-up. North Carolina has covered 5 straight neutral site games. Virginia is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a victory in their previous game. The crowd propels North Carolina into the Semi-Finals and we collect in the process as well.
|03-13-15||VCU -2.5 v. Richmond||70-67||Win||100||19 h 3 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #829 Take VCU over Richmond (2:30 pm) I will be brief with this analysis. I just do not believe Richmond is good enough to beat VCU three times in one season. VCU got a bad whistle in the second match-up which they lost in double OT and things have a way of evening themselves out.
|03-12-15||Northwestern v. Indiana -3.5||Top||56-71||Win||100||26 h 11 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #516 Take Indiana over Northwestern (6:30 pm ESPN 2) The Hoosiers have played themselves onto the bubble losing a pair of home games to close out the regular season. This now becomes a must win game for them if they have any hopes of making the big dance. The Wildcats played better down the stretch including winning four straight but they have now lost two of their last three and could have lost all three of them (beat Michigan in double OT). Indiana will also have revenge on their minds, as Northwestern beat them by 7 points on February 25th. Indiana will have a strong fan base in Chicago and this is a coaching career defining moment for Tom Crean. He needs to win this game and expect him to get it in a big way. Northwestern is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Take the chalk in this contest.
|03-12-15||Middle Tennesse State v. Old Dominion -6.5||59-52||Loss||-105||4 h 54 m||Show|
3 Unit Play. #562 Take Old Dominion -6.5 over Middle Tennessee State (3:30 pm) The Monarchs are on the bubble and need to take care of business in the early rounds of the 2015 Conference USA Basketball Tournament. The Blue Raiders beat the Monarchs in overtime in the only match-up this season but Old Dominion has been playing great down the stretch winning six straight games. MTSU is 3-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 neutral site games. Old Dominion has covered the spread in their last 6 victories.
Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports
|03-11-15||Nevada +9.5 v. UNLV||46-67||Loss||-110||26 h 49 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #751 Take Nevada over UNLV (5:30 pm the MWC) Both of these teams underachieved this season but this is an opportunity for Nevada to give their coach a parting gift before he is relieved of his duties next week. Nevada has won two straight games in Las Vegas against UNLV and three of the last four overall meetings. UNLV is really banged up at the moment and I just do not see them blowing out a motivated Wolf Pack squad. This game just means more to Nevada, as they consider UNLV their main rival whereas UNLV does not. Take the points in this game that will likely go down to the wire.
|03-10-15||Wisconsin Green Bay v. Valparaiso -2.5||Top||44-54||Win||100||24 h 30 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #674 Take Valparaiso over Green Bay (7 pm ESPN) This is the rubber match for this winner take all Horizon League Championship. Valpo won the regular season title and should have beaten Green Bay all three games but I fully expect them to take two of three from the Phoenix. The Crusaders beat the Phoenix by 4 points in their last match-up and that game was not as close as the final score would indicate. Valpo lead by 13 points in that game with under five minutes to play and Keifer Sykes had just 18 combined points in their two meetings. Valpo should be able to handle him again and I just do not believe Green Bay has enough talent around him to him this game. Valpo went undefeated at home during Horizon League play and lost just one game of the season in northern Indiana. Green Bay is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Valpo is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. We will hit the quinella tonight collect with our futures bet and our side play.
|03-09-15||Northern Illinois v. Akron -6.5||52-76||Win||100||24 h 33 m||Show|
2 Unit Play. #868 Take Akron over Northern Illinois (7 pm) The MAC Conference Tournament is a one bid winner take all event and expect the Zips to move onto the quarterfinals in this wide open event. The Zips lost to the Huskies earlier this season in DeKalb and expect them to get revenge in a big way on Monday night. The Huskies are no longer a bottom feeder team in the league but the MAC East was a little stronger that the West and thus they are more battle tested for this event. Akron has covered 7 of their last 9 home games.
|03-07-15||Iowa State -3 v. TCU||Top||89-76||Win||100||26 h 51 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #629 Take Iowa State over TCU (8:30 pm ESPN News) I believe that the Cyclones have underachieved a little bit in a very tough conference but I fully expect them to close out the season with two straight wins. Iowa State is riding high all week after coming back from a 20 point deficit to beat Oklahoma on Monday. TCU has improved this season but they are not ready to compete in the Big 12 where they are just 4-13. That includes a 7 game losing streak in January. Granted they have hung tough in many of these games but eventually losing takes its toll on them and they are ready for this season to end. The Cyclones won the first meeting of the season by 17 points and TCU is just 1-10 against ranked opponents this season. Iowa State has won all five meetings conference match-ups with TCU by double digits. Throw in the fact that TCU does not play on campus this season due to renovations to Daniel–Meyer Coliseum and thus much of their home court edge is lost since this game is being played at Wilkerson-Greines Activity Center. Iowa State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. I see Iowa State winning this game and that should mean the odds greatly favor us in covering the spread.
|03-07-15||Kansas v. Oklahoma -5.5||73-75||Loss||-105||5 h 39 m||Show|
6 Unit Play. #546 Take Oklahoma over Kansas (4 pm ESPN) I will not mention the Kansas players names (bad luck on Tuesday) but the Jayhawks are undermanned for this game against a team that is angry about their performance Monday night. Kansas has already clinched the Big 12 Regular Season Title and thus this game does not mean anything to them. They would need a miracle to move up to the No. 1 line come selection Sunday and they are pretty much entrenched as a No. 2 seed. Oklahoma blew a big lead against Iowa State on Monday night and this is a game they need to get back on track. OU is still playing for a No. 2 seed and they will send out their seniors in style. Kansas has not covered a game in their last five games. Oklahoma is 20-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 29 Saturday games.
|03-05-15||Wisconsin -6 v. Minnesota||Top||76-63||Win||100||19 h 20 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #505 Take Wisconsin over Minnesota (7 pm ESPN) Many may believe Minnesota will go all out to win this game and make a run into the NCAA Tournament. But that is not the case as Minnesota is not even on the bubble and Wisconsin will not take them lightly. Minnesota beat the last year at the Barn and played decent against them this season in Madison. Wisconsin clobbered Michigan State in a game that was not as close as the final score would indicate (yes we did get backdoored). Wisconsin still has a chance at a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament and thus avoid being in Kentucky’s region. They cannot afford another loss and expect them to get it in a big way behind Frank Kaminsky and company. Minnesota is 5-12 ATS in their last 17 Big 10 games. Wisconsin pounded Minnesota in the Big 10 Tournament and that is how I see this game going as well.
|03-05-15||Arkansas -2 v. South Carolina||78-74||Win||100||7 h 58 m||Show|
3 Unit Play. #509 Take Arkansas -2 over South Carolina (7 pm ESPN 2) The Gamecocks have not put together two victories in a row during SEC play and I do not expect them to break that streak tonight. Arkansas is clearly the second best team in the SEC and already beat USC by 20 points earlier this season. South Carolina is 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports
|03-04-15||Boise State v. San Jose State +19||68-51||Win||100||11 h 4 m||Show|
2 Unit Play. #774 Take San Jose State over Boise State (10:15 pm) The Spartans have been a covering machine of late and tonight will be no different. Boise State is on fire and has a great chance to win the Mountain West but I do not believe they will be motivated for this game. Expect them to just go through the motions and win this game by 15 points. San Jose State is weak inside the paint but Boise State is a guard oriented team. San Jose State is 5-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 games.
Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports
|03-04-15||Cincinnati v. Tulsa -2||56-47||Loss||-101||10 h 50 m||Show|
3 Unit Play. #755 Take Tulsa over Cincinnati (9 pm CBSSN) The Hurricanes just continue to win games and should be able to take out the Bearcats tonight in Oklahoma. Cincinnati is a borderline NCAA Tournament team and they enter this game on a roll winning three straight games. But those three victories came against bottom feeder teams. Tulsa has a chance to clinch a share of the AAC regular season on season night and you can bet Frank Haith will have his team ready to go. Tulsa is 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games following an ATS win.
|03-04-15||George Washington -3 v. George Mason||67-51||Win||100||8 h 52 m||Show|
2 Unit Play. #739 Take George Washington over George Mason (7 pm) This battle in the district features two teams that do not like each other. George Washington appeared well on their way to making the NCAA Tournament but they have completely fallen apart down the stretch losing 7 of their last 9 games. That being said they still have talent and will be able to take care of George Mason tonight. The Patriots are coming off a win but that is usually followed by 3 or 4 losses and tonight will be no different. Just not a big believer in Paul Hewitt as a coach and I look for George Washington to right the ship. George Mason is 19-43 ATS in their last 62 games following a victory.
|03-03-15||Auburn v. Missouri -5||Top||61-63||Loss||-106||26 h 57 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #540 Take Missouri over Auburn (9 pm SEC Network) Kim Anderson knew he was taking over a major rebuilding job when he took over as head coach of Missouri, where he played college basketball. Missou has won just one game since January 8th and Coach Anderson does not want to finish out the season without another win. This is his chance for a victory and his Tigers should be able to get it in a big way. The Auburn Tigers are reeling as well in year one under Bruce Pearl and they have been blown out in four straight games since beating Georgia on February 14th. They will also be without their second leading scorer for this game in Antoine Mason, as he will grieving the tragic loss of his father and former NBA player Anthony Mason. He had scored 24 and 29 points in two of his last three games and this is a gigantic loss for an already weak and undersized team. Missouri had 40 rebounds in their first meeting and that is where they have a major edge in this game. Auburn won the first meeting by 6 points but they shot 37 free throws in that contest and that will not happen tonight on the road. Auburn is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games played on Tuesday. Missou has bounced back well after they have gotten blown out going 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a in their previous game of more than 20 points.
|03-02-15||Virginia v. Syracuse UNDER 113||59-47||Win||100||8 h 55 m||Show|
2 Unit Play. #712 Take Under in Virginia @ Syracuse (7 pm ESPN) Really not a fan of either of these two offenses especially with Justin Anderson out for Virginia. The Cavaliers have the top defense in the country allowing just over 50 points per game. They have held opponents under 61 points in seven straight games and should be even tougher at the Carrier Dome tonight. Syracuse is banned from postseason play and they lack depth and thus that is beginning to take its toll on this team. Trevor Cooney has been awful of late and only one time in his last nine games has he shot above 39% from the field. They are running out of gas and I just do not see them putting up many points tonight. Virginia has played under the posted total in 10 of the last 15 games (1 push). Syracuse has played under the posted total in 4 straight games.
Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports
|03-01-15||Michigan State v. Wisconsin -8.5||Top||61-68||Loss||-115||16 h 30 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #828 Take Wisconsin over Michigan State (4 pm CBS) This is just not a typical Michigan State team with very little size and not great shooters. Wisconsin is upset about losing to Maryland on Tuesday and expect them to go all out to win this game by double digits. Michigan State is coming off an overtime loss to Minnesota and the odds makers are still giving this team too much respect. Wisconsin has the better player at 4 of the 5 positions of the court and this is a game Bo Ryan always gets up for. Michigan State is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. Lay the wood on Sunday.
|02-28-15||New Mexico v. Fresno State -2||Top||55-59||Win||100||28 h 36 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #674 Take Fresno State over New Mexico (10 pm ESPN U) Just feel the line is way too low in this game. Fresno State has been a decent team since Cezar Guerrero came back into the line-up and they have some impressive wins against San Diego State, Boise State, and at Wyoming this week. New Mexico is just a sinking ship at the moment and as I said Tuesday in their game at Boise State may fans do not believe they have the right man as head coach in Craig Neal. New Mexico has lost seven straight games and their last three games they have not been competitive at all. Their 11 point loss against Boise State was not as close as it might indicate as they were down by 19 points 17 minutes into that game. I like Hugh Greenwood as a player and a person but he is not a dynamic scorer that can carry this team anywhere. New Mexico has lost 7 straight games and they have not covered the spread in any of those games as well. That is what this play comes down to, fading New Mexico much like we did last week fading Florida.
|02-28-15||Arizona v. Utah -1.5||63-57||Loss||-105||11 h 36 m||Show|
6 Unit Play. #684 Take Utah -1.5 over Arizona (9 pm ESPN) I just am not a big believer in Arizona this season and this line is way too low considering how strong Utah is on their home court. Utah got beat badly in their first meeting this season in Tucson but the Utah are a perfect 16-0 at home and their average margin of victory is over 26 points per game. They just destroyed Arizona State on Thursday, a team that beat Arizona this season. Arizona is also coming off a blowout victory at Colorado but that was mostly done at the foul line and they will not be shooting that many free throws tonight in Salt Lake City. Arizona is 3-0 this season against ranked teams but this is the first true road game this season for them facing a ranked team. Arizona has already lost true road games at UNLV, Oregon State, and Arizona State, three teams that will not be sniffing the NCAA Tournament. Utah is 38-12 ATS (1 push) in their last 51 home games. Utah is also 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games played on Saturday. This is the game that will be a landmark win for the Larry Krystkowiak and his major rebuilding project is now complete and this is one of the top teams in the country.
Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports
|02-28-15||San Jose State +14 v. Nevada||51-62||Win||100||24 h 35 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #615 Take San Jose State over Nevada (6 pm the MWC) The Spartans only conference win came last year at Nevada and expect history to repeat itself on Saturday. Not sure if the Spartans can pull off the victory straight-up but they can certainly stay with the posted number. Nevada has a lame duck coach and a team that is almost as bad as San Jose State. Nevada will likely just out early to a double digit lead but the Spartans seems to hang in there after that and not let the deficit get any larger. Nevada seems to play down to their competition as they are just 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. Look for a Wolf Pack victory by 8-11 points.
|02-26-15||SMU -2.5 v. Memphis||Top||66-57||Win||100||28 h 59 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #545 Take SMU over Memphis (9 pm ESPN 2) The Mustangs have been on a tear during American Conference play. They have only lost to one team since November 26th and are clearly the best team in the American Athletic Conference. To be honest most of SMU’s games have not been close and that includes a 14 point victory against Memphis when these teams met in January in Dallas. The Tigers have been playing at little better of late but wins against UCF and USF are not the same as betting SMU. Memphis has already lost four home games this season against teams like Tulane and Stephen F. Austin. SMU is 7-2 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 11 games. Memphis is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Memphis is not making the NCAA Tournament and SMU is and they march on in this game.
|02-25-15||Valparaiso -4.5 v. Detroit||60-63||Loss||-110||24 h 59 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #737 Take Valparaiso over Detroit (7 pm ESPN 3) The Crusaders need just one win in their last two games to earn the regular season championship in the Horizon League and thus get to host the Conference Tournament. With a trip to Cleveland State on deck they do not want any part of a winner take all scenario on Friday. That can become moot if they win tonight and I expect them to accomplish that task. Detroit has a terrible record but they played a brutal nonconference schedule but seemed to find their form mid-January. But come the end of February that schedule has taken its toll and they are struggling down the stretch with losses in five of their last seven games. Valparaiso is 6-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 road games against team with a winning home record. Detroit is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Just do not see Valpo losing this game straight-up and if they win straight up they should be able to cover the spread as well.
|02-24-15||Akron +7 v. Buffalo||Top||62-67||Win||100||24 h 30 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #525 Take Akron over Buffalo (7 pm ESPN 3) The Zips just do not get blown out very much during MAC play. Their last five losses in the MAC have come by just a combined 14 points (less than 3 per game). Akron beat Buffalo in Ohio this season and I see this match-up going down to the wire as well. Buffalo has been a team I have been high on all season long and they have finally started to show some potential winning their last two games by double digits. But before that they lost three straight games including blowing a big halftime lead against Central Michigan. Buffalo will likely get out to a big first half lead but expect the Zips to crawl back into this affair and take it down to the wire. Buffalo is just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games.
|02-22-15||Ohio State v. Michigan +8||57-64||Win||100||13 h 16 m||Show|
2 Unit Play. #822 Take Michigan over Ohio State (1 pm CBS) Michigan has been devastated by injuries this season but I just do not see them getting blown out in this rivalry game. Ohio State has already lost at Michigan State, at Purdue, at Iowa, and at Indiana. Michigan has lost five straight games but three of those five games have been competitive and that is how I see this game going. Ohio State is 2-10 ATS (1 push) in their last 13 road games. Michigan is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following a double digit loss at home in their previous game.
Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports
|02-21-15||IUPU-Indianapolis v. South Dakota -4.5||62-77||Win||100||4 h 2 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #676 Take South Dakota over IUPUI (3 pm) The Coyotes have enough firepower to win this game at home today. They have won three straight games and have revenge since IUPUI beat them earlier this season. Since that victory the Jaguars have been in a freefall losing five of their last six games and only one of those games has been competitive. IUPUI is 13-27 ATS in their last 40 Summit League games. South Dakota is 3-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games overall.
Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports
|02-21-15||Florida v. LSU -5.5||Top||63-70||Win||100||20 h 47 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #534 Take LSU over Florida (1 pm CBS) SEC GAME OF THE YEAR. Florida has underachieved this season and now injuries are starting to take their toll on this team. Billy Donovan is a great coach and will have this team back into the NCAA Tournament next year but today they will be without Michael Frazier and Dorian Finney-Smith. Florida has lost 4 of their last 5 games and had to hang on for dear life on Wednesday against Vanderbilt at home. LSU is another team that is hard to figure out with some great wins and has head scratching losses but they will win this game by default. The Tigers already won by 18 points in Gainesville this year and when the Tigers win game they tend to win big. The Tigers last five wins have come by 11.4 points and I also see this as a double digit victory. This is a game LSU cannot afford to lose if they want to make the NCAA Tournament and I believe they will get it in a big way. Florida is 2-10 ATS (1 push) in their last 13 games following a victory in their previous game. LSU is 8-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games following a loss in their previous game. Both trends hold true today as the Tigers roar!
|02-20-15||Cleveland State v. Wisconsin Green Bay -5||66-61||Loss||-106||19 h 14 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #828 Take Green Bay over Cleveland State (7 pm ESPN 2) The Horizon League has come down to a three team race with the winner of the conference tournament taking it all in this one bid league. Green Bay has not lost a home game this season and I am confident they will win this game straight-up. If I think that will happens it puts us in good shape to cover the spread as well. The Phoenix could have won at Valparaiso last Friday had Keifer Sykes done anything in that game. He is the best player in the conference and he rebounded on Wednesday with a 23 point performance against Detroit, a team that just beat Cleveland State. The top two seeds in the Horizon League receive byes and thus this is a playout game and the loser will likely get the No. 3 seed and have to win three games to make the big dance. Green Bay has covered 7 of their last 10 home games.
|02-19-15||Portland v. St. Mary's -5.5||Top||51-68||Win||100||12 h 17 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #562 Take Saint Mary’s over Portland (11 pm) The Gales always seem to play second fiddle to the Bulldogs in the WCC but they usually earn double digits victories in the WCC and win close to all of their home game. Saint Mary’s already beat Portland by double digits this season in Oregon and I expect history to repeat itself on Thursday. The Pilots have been playing better basketball of late but they finish with BYU and Saint Mary’s (two of the top three teams) and I see them losing both of these games. Saint Mary’s has covered the spread in 11 of their last 14 games.
Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports
|02-19-15||UC-Davis v. Long Beach State -6.5||65-58||Loss||-106||11 h 18 m||Show|
2 Unit Play. #558 Take Long Beach State over UC Davis (10 pm ESPN 3) Hard to figure this big of a spread when looking at the records of these teams but that is the hand we have been dealt. Do not want to be laying this many points but I have had this game circled for quite some time. UC Davis beat Long Beach State in overtime in the first meetings and there were a couple of bad whistles that went against the 49ers in that game. Coach Monson has not forgotten that and you can expect he will have his team ready for action on Thursday night. I see the Aggies losing three of their remaining games down the stretch and it starts tonight in Southern California. Long Beach State is 17-6 ATS (3 pushes) in their last 26 home games against teams with a winning road record.
|02-18-15||Ohio v. Western Michigan -8||69-80||Win||100||24 h 34 m||Show|
2 Unit Play. #734 Take Western Michigan over Ohio (7 pm) The Bobcats tend to win close games but get blown out when they lose. Expect that trend to hold true tonight as I do not see them going into Mount Pleasant and winning and thus I will lay the wood as well. Out of Ohio’s 14 losses only three have been below tonight’s posted number. The Broncos have struggle of late but they still have enough firepower to win this game by double digits. Ohio is 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games against team with a winning record. Western Michigan is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400.
|02-18-15||Richmond v. Saint Bonaventure -1.5||71-56||Loss||-106||24 h 34 m||Show|
2 Unit Play. #712 Take St. Bonaventure over Richmond (7 pm) Both of these teams have wins over VCU this season but I just believe the Bonnies are the better offensive team in this match-up. Throw in the fact that they are playing at home and it warrants a selection from us. Richmond crushed St. Bonaventure in the first meeting but the Spiders have lost two straight road games to bad teams in LaSalle and George Mason. Richmond is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS loss in their previous game.
|02-18-15||Wisconsin -9 v. Penn State||55-47||Loss||-106||24 h 33 m||Show|
2 Unit Play. #701 Take Wisconsin over Penn State (7 pm BTN) We used the Badgers at Nebraska and they won by double digits and expect a similar performance tonight in State College, PA. The Big 10 is just not any good this season outside of Wisconsin and Penn State has bad karma at the moment. The school was fined and Coach Pat Chambers was reprimanded for criticizing officials and that eventually catches up with you as officials hold grudges. Wisconsin is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games. Penn State is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games against teams with a winning road record.
|02-15-15||Minnesota v. Indiana -3||Top||71-90||Win||100||8 h 17 m||Show|
6 Unit Play. #888 Take Indiana over Minnesota (7:30 pm BTN) Besides Wisconsin no Big 10 team is very good and I believe playing on the road for a second straight game will eventually catch up with the Gophers. Minnesota did not play great on offense against Iowa on Thursday but were able to take full advantage of a lack luster performance by Iowa. Indiana is coming off a tough game against Maryland and it is important for them to right the ship on Sunday in order to stay close to the top of the standing. Minnesota is 7-20 ATS (1 push) in their last 28 road games.
Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports
|02-14-15||Pepperdine v. Gonzaga -18.5||Top||48-56||Loss||-110||25 h 51 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #620 Take Gonzaga over Pepperdine (8 pm ESPN 3) WCC Game of the Year! The Waves got off to a decent start this season but injuries have caught up with them and they are a sinking ship at the moment. Pepperdine has been blown out in their last two games against a pair of middle of the road WCC teams. Gonzaga would certainly not fall into that category, as they are well on their way to running the table in the WCC and earning a No. 1 seed come March. Gonzaga will dominate this game in all facets including down in the paint. The last close game Gonzaga played was in Malibu winning by just two points but this is a much different Pepperdine team from what they saw on January 15th. Gonzaga has covered 4 of their last 5 games at the Kennel. The odds makers just have not caught up to the current level of Pepperdine.
|02-14-15||VCU v. George Washington||79-66||Loss||-110||19 h 50 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #536 Take George Washington over VCU (2 pm ESPN 2) The Rams are just a mirror image of themselves and injuries have hit this team hard of late. VCU has lost three of their last four games (all three losses were against teams that will not make the NCAA Tournament) and played a double OT game in their last time out on Wednesday. George Washington still has a chance to receive an at-large bid into the NCAA Tournament and a win against an overrated VCU will greatly help their cause. VCU is 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games following a loss in their previous game.
|02-13-15||Wisconsin Green Bay v. Valparaiso -3||Top||59-63||Win||100||19 h 26 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #810 Take Valparaiso over Green Bay (7 pm ESPN 2) It is rare for us to have a college basketball selection on Friday but this one is too good to pass up. These are the two best teams in the Horizon League this season and one must remember that the winner of the league advances to the semi-finals of the conference tournament and also hosts the conference tournament. Since both teams are 9-2 in the league (as well as Cleveland State), this is a must win game for both. Valpo has been waiting for this rematch ever since January 21st when they lost at Green Bay by 1 point. Valpo had numerous chances to win that game but could not come through in the clutch. Neither team has a chance for an at large bid into the NCAA Tournament and Valpo will win this game at home. Green Bay is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. Valpo is 19-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 28 games played on Friday.
|02-12-15||Minnesota +6 v. Iowa||Top||64-59||Win||100||24 h 15 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #505 Take Minnesota over Iowa (7 pm BTN) BIG TEN GAME OF THE YEAR. We are granted a reprieve from our Big 10 GOY in football last season and now have the right side in this basketball rematch. Iowa is coming off two impressive victories against Michigan and Maryland and I just do not believe they will be able to follow that up with a third straight victory tonight in Iowa City against Minnesota. Iowa has never handled prosperity well under Fran McCaffrey and just when things appear to be going great they usually lay an egg in their next couple of games. That will happen tonight against Minnesota, a team that is just as talented as Iowa is. Playing in Iowa City has not been an advantage for the Hawkeyes this season, as they have already lost by double digits three times this season. Minnesota has a brutal start to the Big 10 season but they have righted the ship of late winning two straight games and they have the guards that can exploit a weak Mike Gesell. This game was a barnburner when these two teams met earlier this season in Minneapolis and that is how I see this game going as well. Iowa won the game by two points on a shot by Jerrod Uthoff. That was despite Iowa shooting 52% from the field and 50% from the three point line. I just do not believe Iowa can shot that well again on Thursday and thus they game will go down to the wire. The location does not even matter when these two teams met, it is going to be close. Iowa is 5-12 ATS in their last 17 home games. Minnesota is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games played on Thursday. Iowa should have easily made the NCAA Tournament last year but they could not close out games and thus fell to the first four and that is how I see their finish going in 2015 as well.
Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports
|02-11-15||Massachusetts v. Saint Bonaventure -2.5||Top||55-53||Loss||-106||20 h 32 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #730 Take St. Bonaventure over Massachusetts (7 pm) The Bonnies are coming off back to back impressive wins against Davidson and VCU and some many feel they are due for a letdown tonight against UMASS. I am not one of those people and feel the Bonnies are the more talented team in this affair and should be able to win this game by double digits at the Reilly Center. UMASS is 7-3 in the Atlantic 10 but they have played a very weak conference schedule and have not faced George Washington or VCU yet. Throw in the fact that St. Bonaventure already beat UMASS by 14 points in Amherst and this selection almost appears too good to be true. UMASS has been playing better of late but again one must consider the competition. St. Bonaventure is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
|02-10-15||Wisconsin -8 v. Nebraska||Top||65-55||Win||100||27 h 46 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #551 Take Wisconsin over Nebraska (9 pm ESPN) Nebraska is just not very good this season and Wisconsin is ready to atone for their loss in Lincoln last season. That loss got Nebraska into the NCAA Tournament but they will not sniff an at-large big this season and their only chance is to win the Big 10 Conference Tournament next March. Nebraska has lost three of their last four games and I truly believe they were a one hit wonder last season catching lighting in a bottle. This team just cannot score enough points to keep up with Wisconsin at the moment. The Big 10 is just not any good this season outside of Wisconsin and the Badgers are not going to lose a game in the Big 10 the rest of this season. Wisconsin has already won at Michigan, at Iowa, at Marquette, and at California and Nebraska is very similar to those teams. Nebraska is 4-12 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 games against teams with a winning record.
|02-07-15||Bowling Green -3 v. Northern Illinois||69-65||Win||100||25 h 59 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #655 Take Bowling Green over Northern Illinois (8 pm) This is a rematch from last Saturday when the Falcons won by double digits. If Bowling Green can win at Central Michigan they can also win at DeKalb. Northern Illinois is traditionally won of the worst teams in the MAC and things are not much better this season. Bowling Green is 12-3 ATS (3 pushes) in their last 18 games. Northern Illinois is 2-6 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record.
|02-07-15||SMU v. Tulsa -1||68-57||Loss||-110||25 h 58 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #664 Take Tulsa over SMU (8 pm ESPNU) Frank Haith could teach a course at Tulsa on when to jump ship and exactly the right moment. He got the hell out of Missouri to take a job at Tulsa and many people questioned what the hell he was thinking. But he now looks like a genius as Missouri is a sinking ship and Tulsa leads the American Athletic Conference at 10-0. They now host an overrated SMU team coming off an embarrassing loss to Cincinnati and I do not see things getting any better for them tonight in Tulsa. The Golden Hurricanes are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 home games. The Mustangs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss in their previous game.
|02-07-15||Arizona v. Arizona State +8.5||Top||78-81||Win||100||22 h 32 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #594 Take Arizona State over Arizona (4:30 pm Fox) Arizona is just not an offensive juggernaut and much like we did fading San Diego State on Wednesday, we will take the points on Saturday afternoon with the home team. This game is pretty much all Arizona State has left to play for this season and expect an all-out effort in order to keep this game close and earn the victory. Herb Sendek also elevates his coaching for this game as he is 8-10 against Arizona (ASU was 1-22 against Arizona before he arrived) and has won 4 of the last 7 games in Tempe. Arizona has had a much better team in all of these 18 matches expect for one time and the Wildcats have a little mental hurdle playing in Tempe. Arizona State will be playing at home for the third straight game and they are well rested as they have not played a game since last Friday, January 30th, 2015. Arizona State is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a winning road record.
|02-07-15||Kansas -1 v. Oklahoma State||62-67||Loss||-110||19 h 0 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #539 Take Kansas over Oklahoma State (2 pm ESPN) Most of this play comes down to Bill Self > Travis Ford. The Jayhawks were written off this season for the Big 12 Championship but yet have a commanding lead atop the standing in early February. Kansas has already won at Texas, at Georgetown, and at Baylor and they can take down the Pokes today. Ok State is coming off an OT game on Wednesday and I just feel Travis Ford will screw this game up someway somehow.
|02-05-15||USC v. California -5||Top||69-70||Loss||-110||28 h 20 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #566 Take California over USC (11 pm FS1) Cal appears to have righted the ship with a pair of victories against the Washington schools last week and they should be able to knock out the worst team in the PAC-12 at home on Thursday. USC is in year two of a major rebuilding project and I just do not believe Andy Enfield is up to the challenge. He caught lighting in a bottle for a couple of weeks at Florida Gulf Coast and along with his hot wife parlayed that into a big time job at USC. Cal also have revenge in this game as USC’s only conference victory came against them one month ago. Since that victory the Trojans have lost six straight games. Jabari Bird is the best player on the court and he is starting to show some life after injuries plagued him for much of the season. He is scored 12 points in back to back games and expect another big effort from him tonight.
|02-04-15||San Diego State v. Nevada +10.5||Top||65-63||Win||100||29 h 37 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #798 Take Nevada over San Diego State (10 pm ESPN 3) The Aztecs have righted the ship and are clearly the team to beat in the MWC but that says more about how bad the league is this season than how good SDSU is. Nevada is terrible but we will grab the double digits with them playing at Lawlor Events Center. San Diego State still is not an offensive juggernaut and this they have trouble scoring 70 points per game. Nevada hangs around for 40 minutes losing by 6-8 points.
|02-03-15||Boise State -1.5 v. Utah State||Top||68-63||Win||100||28 h 16 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #545 Take Boise State over Utah State (9:45 pm CBSSN) Since joining the MWC the Smith Spectrum does not provide the same type of home court edge as it did in the WAC. Utah State is a bottom feeder team in the MWC and this will be the last season of longtime Coach Stew Morrill. The Broncos did not perform well during the nonconference portion of the season but they have turned it around of late winning five straight games including a win at New Mexico. The Broncos have figured out how to play without Anthony Drmic and they could make a run to the stop of the standing in the MWC. The Aggies lost most of their talent from last season. They have shown signs this year but they are young and not ready to play with a veteran Boise State team. Boise State is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. Utah State is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games against teams with a winning road record.
|01-31-15||Cal Poly v. UC-Davis -3||78-81||Push||0||27 h 50 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #696 Take UC Davis over Cal Poly (10 pm) We will again attack this low number with UC Davis at home as the Aggies continue to be undervalued with the odds makers. Davis has won 6 of their last 7 games and they have beaten better teams than what they will face tonight with the Mustangs. This is the second straight road game for Cal Poly and they lost by double figures on Thursday against UC Irvine. Now they face the best shooting team in the Big West and I look for another strong showing from Jim Less and son. Cal Poly is 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games played on Saturday. UC Davis has covered 6 straight home games.
|01-31-15||Purdue +1.5 v. Northwestern||Top||68-60||Win||100||23 h 52 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #625 Take Purdue over Northwestern (6 pm ESPN U) the Matt Painter Magic has long disappeared but Northwestern should not be favored over anybody in the Big 10 this season. Purdue has great length and they also have some good wins on the season. They are coming off two straight wins over ranked teams and they have more than enough to beat Northwestern in Chicago. The Wildcats are in year two of a major rebuilding project and Coach Collins just does not have the bullets to win consistently in Big 10 play. Northwestern won their opening Big 10 games but they have lost six straight since that win at Rutgers including some tough luck losses in their last two games against Maryland and Ohio State. These close losses eventually take its toll of a team and I expect Northwestern to start getting blown out in more games. Purdue has laid an egg often times the last couple of years but this is a make our break year for their coach and I expect them to finish the season out strong. Purdue has the better player at 4 of the 5 positions on the court and they will take care of business tonight in Evanston. Purdue has covered 7 of their last 9 Big 10 games.
|01-29-15||UC-Santa Barbara v. UC-Davis -2.5||64-70||Win||100||21 h 10 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #554 Take UC Davis over UC Santa Barbara (10 pm) In my opinion the Aggies are the best team in the Big West and expect them to get back on track after a loss to Hawaii last Thursday night. They have had a week to recover from the long flight and this is a tough team to beat at home. UC Davis has won 5 out of their last 6 games and the Gauchos have not done well against top teams this season. UCSB is shooting just over 43% from the field (207th in the country) and that will not get the job done especially on the road. The Aggies have covered 5 straight home games. Jim Les and son earn the victory on Thursday in in Davis.
|01-28-15||Seton Hall v. Marquette -3.5||Top||80-70||Loss||-106||22 h 36 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #730 Take Marquette over Seton Hall (7 pm FS 1) It just does not matter who is coaching Marquette, they are always a feisty bunch and I believe they can outwork Seton Hall to a victory on Wednesday. The Pirates are a sinking ship at the moment with three straight losses and they have been devastated by the injury of Isaiah Whitehead. Marquette has just two Big East victories this season but both of them came at home against Creighton and Providence and Seton Hall is a similar team to both of those. Marquette has a big man inside in Luke Fisher and he should be able to hold his own on both ends of the court. Marquette is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record.
|01-27-15||Ohio v. Eastern Michigan -5.5||40-76||Win||100||23 h 57 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #526 Take Eastern Michigan over Ohio (7 pm) We will fade Ohio again on Tuesday after a fluke victory for them on Saturday dooming us with our top play. Buffalo was in control against Ohio before a late run did them in topped off by the Bobcats scoring with a full court play with just three second left. But that was in Athens and this game is on the road and expect a completely different result with Eastern Michigan winning this game by double digits. EMU is nothing to right home about but they have played a brutal schedule of late with 4 of their last 5 games on the road. The fact remains this is a better team than a rebuilding Bobcat squad and EMU has lost just one game at the Eastern Michigan University Convocation Center this season. Ohio does not do well against good teams going 17-35 ATS in their last 52 games against teams with a winning record.
|01-27-15||Vanderbilt v. Georgia -6||Top||62-70||Win||100||23 h 57 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #538 Take Georgia over Vanderbilt (7 pm SEC Network) Vanderbilt is still not ready to challenge top teams in the SEC on the road. They have been in a major rebuild the last couple of years and they are just 1-5 this season in SEC play. Georgia is an NCAA Tournament team in my mind and they are not always pretty but they have been very solid this season currently with a 4-2 record in conference play. The Dawgs have won four straight games including beating this Vanderbilt team in Nashville on January 14th. Vanderbilt has hung tough with some top teams in the conference but nonetheless they have lost five straight games and losing will eventually take its toll on this team and I would expect them to lose by double digits this evening. Vanderbilt is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. Georgia is 27-11 ATS (1 push) in their last 38 SEC games.
|01-24-15||Buffalo -2.5 v. Ohio||Top||61-63||Loss||-105||1 h 9 m||Show|
Ohio has overachieved for so long that odds makers are giving them too much respect this season. They have another new coaching staff and the talent level has dropped off quite a bit in 2014-2015. They did beat Ball State last time out by they have lost four of their last five games and really have not been competitive in those four losses. Buffalo is a player this season in the MAC and they have much more talent than they Bobcats this season. They have the two best players on the court and you can be sure Bobby Hurley does not want to lose two conference games in a row. The Bulls have already won five true road games this season and Ohio does not have the home court that will scare them. Finally the two trends that will allow this game to cash are: Buffalo is 25-10 ATS in their last 35 games. Ohio is 5-21 ATS in their last 26 games following an ATS win in their previous game.
|01-22-15||Arizona State v. California -1.5||79-44||Loss||-110||11 h 25 m||Show|
5 Unit Play. #584 Take California over Arizona State (11 pm PAC-12 Network) The Golden Bears are in desperate need of a victory at the moment as they are just 1-4 in conference play and Arizona State is just what the doctor ordered to get well. Both teams sit at the bottom of the PAC-12 but I like the players Cal has much better than I do Arizona State. The Sun Devils are 3-9 ATS (1 push) in their last 13 road games. Cal has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on Thursday.
Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports
|01-21-15||SMU v. Tulane +7.5||Top||66-52||Loss||-110||21 h 8 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #774 Take Tulane over SMU (9 pm CBSSN) SMU is having a ton of issues at the moment and they are not a good enough team to be laying this many points in the Bayou. This is the third road games for the Mustangs in their last 4 conference games and that will catch up with them in this affair. I expect a game to be played in the sixties tonight and getting around a touchdown in too good to pass up. SMU is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports
|01-20-15||Minnesota v. Nebraska -2.5||49-52||Win||100||9 h 52 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #526 Take Nebraska over Minnesota (8:30 pm BTN) Minnesota and Nebraska are two of the most underachieving teams in the league this season. Minnesota finally won a game on Saturday but it took a herculean effort by Andre Hollins who scored 31 points and they still struggled to put away Rutgers at the Barn. Nebraska has won two straight conference home games and expect them to make it three in a row tonight in Lincoln. Nebraska has won two straight games in this series including last year by four points against a much better Minnesota team. Nebraska is 18-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 26 Big 10 games. Minnesota is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 Big 10 games.
|01-19-15||Pittsburgh v. Duke -14||65-79||Push||0||7 h 25 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #730 Take Duke over Pittsburgh (7 pm ESPN) I expect Duke to continue their momentum after their victory on Saturday in Louisville. Pittsburgh is not any good this season and we went against them on Saturday and will continue that trend on Monday. Pittsburgh made just two three pointers in that game and that will not get the job done in Durham. The Panthers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games. Lay the wood with the Blue Devils on Big Monday.
|01-18-15||Boise State v. New Mexico -5||69-59||Loss||-100||16 h 7 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #818 Take New Mexico -5 over Boise State (6 pm CBSSN) I really do not believe New Mexico has much talent as they lost three starters from last year but they are playing well at the moment and Boise State is a sinking ship. The Leon Rice magic has faded in Boise as he was a hot commodity two years ago but now may be lucky to keep his job. New Mexico is always a tough out at home and we will lay the small change with them on Sunday.
Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports
|01-17-15||Marshall v. Florida Atlantic -7||62-76||Win||100||16 h 13 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #616 Take Florida Atlantic over Marshall (5:30 pm) Still very bitter as to how we lost that game on Thursday fading Marshall. But in a way that just sets up a stronger play today with FAU as the line is short. Marshall covered the spread despite shooting 31% from the field and 37.5% from the free throw line. They were saved by the three point shot but that will not bail them out on Saturday against the Owls. FAU took WKU to the wire on Thursday as well and they will not look past the Thundering Herd as they have yet to record a conference win on the season. Marshall is 8-20 ATS (1 push) in their last 29 games played on Saturday.
|01-17-15||Georgia Tech +5.5 v. Pittsburgh||Top||65-70||Win||100||15 h 43 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #579 Take Georgia Tech over Pittsburgh (4 pm ESPN 3) The Panthers have played a very easy conference schedule this season and they have been blown out by NC State and Clemson. This team is not any good and the Jamie Dixon magic has worn off. The Yellow Jackets have trouble scoring points but they are solid on the defensive end of the floor and that will allow them to win this game on Saturday, their first conference win of the season. Georgia Tech has not been blown out in any ACC game this season and they took Notre Dame to the wire twice as well as Syracuse. This is a make or break season for Brian Gregory and his team still plays hard and I believe they will win this game straight-up. Out of their seven losses, only one game has been a blowout and this game could very well be played in the fifties this afternoon. Finally the key stats that will allow us to grab the money in this game. Pittsburgh is 8-20 ATS in their last 28 home games. Georgia Tech is 10-3 ATS in their 13 road games. Getting points is just icing on the cake, as we have the hungrier team in this affair.
|01-15-15||Marshall v. Florida International -5.5||62-66||Loss||-106||8 h 53 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #526 Take Florida International over Marshall (7:30 pm) Hard to have much faith in the Thundering Herd as they got blown out by Nevada, the same team that lost by 56 points last night. Marshall shoots a lot of three point shots and not many of those shots have gone in this season. FIU is a strong defensive team as they are giving up just 62.2 points per game and also have the best player on the floor in Senior Dennis Mavin. Marshall is 12-25 ATS in their last 37 road games. FIU is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games Both of these trends hold up to night with the home team winning by double digits.
|01-14-15||San Diego State v. Wyoming -1.5||60-52||Loss||-105||25 h 34 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #806 Take Wyoming over San Diego State (11 pm ESPN 2) I believe Wyoming is the best team in the MWC this season so we are certainly going to take them at home with this low number. San Diego State is still a name brand but they are just not good on offense and will struggle in most of their conference road games this season. If when San Diego State was good they still had trouble winning at Wyoming and tonight will be no different. The Cowboys have the two best offensive players on the floor tonight and this team has not lost a game in over a month. Three of the Aztecs four losses have been true road games and I believe Wyoming is a better team than Cincinnati, Fresno State, and Washington. SDSU is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Wyoming is 10-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 15 games following an ATS win in their previous outing.
|01-14-15||Creighton v. Marquette -5.5||52-53||Loss||-105||23 h 32 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #786 Take Marquette over Creighton (9 pm CBSSN) Creighton is not any good this season and they are likely the worst team in the Big East this season. Marquette is always a tough out at home and they have been holding in games on the road. The Bluejays have lost five straight games including to teams like DePaul and North Texas and life with Doug McDermott is too much for these role players to overcome. Creighton is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Marquette has covered 7 of their last 8 home games.
|01-14-15||Notre Dame -4.5 v. Georgia Tech||62-59||Loss||-100||21 h 30 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #731 Take Notre Dame over Georgia Tech (7 pm ESPN 3) The Irish are just a much better than are the Yellow Jackets. Notre Dame had Virginia on the ropes but did not finish down the stretch and expect them to come back hungry to make a statement on Wednesday. These two teams already met this season going into double OT but that was the start of the three games losing streak for Georgia Tech. For Notre Dame to be an elite team this season this is a road game they must win and I expect it to come by double digits. Georgia Tech is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss.
|01-13-15||Penn State v. Indiana -9||Top||73-76||Loss||-104||23 h 58 m||Show|
10 Unit Play. #530 Take Indiana over Penn State (7 pm BTN) Indiana has a lot of flaws but they are still a good offensive team and if Yogi Ferrell could find his form in this game they will win big. Penn State played a fraudulent schedule to open the season and once Big 10 play opened up they feel to the bottom of the standing where they belong. Indiana is a much better team at Assembly Hall and Penn State has issues scoring points on the road. This is a must win game if Indiana has visions of making the NCAA Tournament this season and I expect them to dominate from start to finish and win it by 12-15 points. Penn State is 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games overall. Indiana has covered the spread in five straight home games.
|01-11-15||Northwestern v. Michigan State -14||77-84||Loss||-109||1 h 51 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #816 Take Michigan State -14 over Northwestern (12 pm BTN) The Spartans are playing the best basketball of the season blowing out their last two opponents and they should have no problem taking down an undermanned Northwestern team on Sunday. The Wildcats have not played since last Sunday when they got blown out at home against Wisconsin and when they lose they tend to lose big (double digits). Michigan State leads the all-time series with Northwestern, 85-38, and the Spartans have won the last four meetings, and eight of the last nine overall. Tom Izzo and company have already lost five times this season and cannot afford any more hiccups against bad teams.
Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports
|01-10-15||Boise State v. Wyoming -5.5||54-65||Win||100||22 h 24 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #616 Take Wyoming over Boise State (6 pm CBSSN) We went against Wyoming in their last game on the road in the border battle and were off the mark. They showed me something in that game and should be able to take out Boise State at home, a place where they traditionally dominate. The Broncos are without Anthony Drmic their second leading scorer and rebounder. Boise State enters this game off of three straight losses and things are going downhill in a hurry for this team. When Larry Nance Jr plays, Wyoming wins game. Boise State is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games played on Saturday.
|01-10-15||DePaul +21 v. Villanova||64-81||Win||100||20 h 26 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #583 Take DePaul over Villanova (4 pm CBSSN) When you look at the Big East standing you see DePaul at the top. Yes that same DePaul team that has done nothing with Oliver Purnell as their head coach. But they got rid of a few knuckle heads that were in the program the last 4 years and I think they have a chance to make some noise in the Big East this season. Villanova is the better team but they are not a great shooting team from behind the arc and I just do not see them blowing out any team in the Big East by 20+ points.
|01-10-15||Oakland v. Detroit -4||54-74||Win||100||19 h 27 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #566 Take Detroit over Oakland (3 pm ESPN 3) This battle of Michigan will go the way of the Titans. Detroit is coming off 5 days of rest after they pounded Milwaukee at home to move to 1-1 in Horizon League play. They also have far and away the best player on the court in Juwan Howard Jr. Detroit lost twice to Oakland last season so I believe that they will get their revenge in this game. Detroit is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games against teams with a losing road record.
|01-08-15||Florida Atlantic v. UAB -3.5||57-66||Win||100||7 h 23 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #542 Take UAB over Florida Atlantic (8 pm) It is a new season for the Blazers and they are 1-0 in conference play after beating Middle Tennessee over the weekend. UAB has played an extremely difficult schedule during the nonconference portion of the season including facing Wisconsin, LSU, UCLA, Florida, and North Carolina. FAU has not played anything close to that tough of a schedule and thus I expect the Blazers to be able to take care of business in Birmingham tonight. FAU has not covered the pointspread in 8 straight Conference USA games.
|01-08-15||LSU -2 v. Missouri||67-74||Loss||-110||6 h 25 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #521 Take LSU over Missouri (7 pm ESPN) It is always tough to play on the road in conference play but the talent edge greatly favors LSU in this game. Missouri is in a complete rebuild this season under former player Kim Anderson. The Tigers are just 6-7 on the season and they have not beaten anybody of significance for their six victories. LSU is the second best team in the SEC and they have won eight straight games including at West Virginia.
|01-07-15||Nevada v. UNLV -10||Top||64-62||Loss||-108||11 h 56 m||Show|
4 Unit Play. #792 Take UNLV over Nevada (11 pm CBSSN) The Rebels lost to the Wolf Pack twice last season and thus you can be sure they will not take this in-state battle lightly. Vegas has been playing outstanding basketball of late including an upset victory of Kansas and Nevada has yet to win on the road this season. UNLV leads the series by a 56-21 margin and despite losing both games last year they have won 8 of the last 10 meetings.