|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|08-15-19||BC v. Winnipeg -9.5||Top||16-32||Win||100||9 h 1 m||Show|
10-Unit Play. #681. Take Winnipeg over BC (Thursday at 8:30 pm)
Huge spot for us tonight as we look to extend the perfect season to 11-0!
As per your selection on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers, look we had no problem going against them last week as they got the win but failed to cover the number. This week is a whole different ball game as they will put up a boatload of points against a piss poor BC defense. You know the Bombers offense is hungry to put up points as they were essentially shut out, as they scored two punt returns and four field goals. Nichols will have big day against a BC defense that ranks dead last in points allowed per game with 35.5. On the flip side, BC's Super Bowl was essentially last week and while many thought they were going to pull off the big upset over Hamilton, they faltered down the stretch and choked the game aways. That's a huge demoralizing loss for this team and now they have to play their third road game in five weeks and their second road game in 5 days. That's just too quick of a turn around to forget the sting of the Hamilton defeat. This is going to be a mailed-in effort and the finger point is going to start in BC (if it hasn't already). Winnipeg is going to win big and we are going to be on it. The Bombers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games, and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 following a SU win. They've also gone 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings vs BC including 4-1-1 ATS at home. The Lions are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs the West and 1-4 ATS in their last five vs a team with a winning record.
|08-08-19||Calgary v. Winnipeg -7||Top||24-26||Loss||-105||10 h 44 m||Show|
10-Unit Play. #681. Take Calgary over Winnipeg (Thursday at 8:30 pm) As per your selection on the Calgary Stampeders, we have three words for you. Too. Many. Points. This game is a matchup between the leagues best and with Calgary getting more than a touchdown we are inclined to believe they can keep this one close for the duration of the game. Look, Winnipeg is struggling lately, dropping b2b games against Hamilton and Toronto, the last was by way of a blown 20-point lead. There are leaks in that team and we aren't going to be caught betting them when they fall flat on their face. Calgary is finally starting to resemble the dominant team we expected them to be from the previous few seasons, despite having to start Arbuckle at QB over the injured Levi-Mitchell. Arbuckle will get the start tonight, but we expect him to continue to do what he does best and that is move the ball downfield and limit the turnovers. The running game for Calgary will play a huge roll in this game, as will their defense who is among the top units (specifically cornerbacks) in the league. Calgary is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs a team with a winning record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs the West. Winnipeg is 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings while hosting the Stamps and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 August games. This spread is way too high and we believe Calgary has a chance to win outright. Grab the points and let's extend the run to 10-0!
|08-01-19||Hamilton v. Saskatchewan -3||Top||19-24||Win||100||11 h 50 m||Show|
10-Unit Play. #692. Take Saskatchewan over Hamilton (Thursday at 9:30 pm)
Huge spot for us tonight as we look to extend the perfect season to 9-0!
As per your selection on Saskatchewan Rough Riders minus the points, we had no problem backing the Tiger-Cats last week against the leagues best team and they rewarded us by winning outright. However, without their signal-caller and top receiver, the Tiger-Cats are in a very tough spot in this matchup and we believe the Roughriders are going to exact some revenge in a big way here tonight. Sask just completed a two-game sweep against the lowly Lions, but in those meetings, the offense showed up when called upon and so did the defense. The Tiger-Cats won't be as potent on offense without their top two guys, so we believe the Riders defense - a very good unit at that, can shut the door and limit the production. We love the fact that Saskatchewan has won 17 of the last 19 home games vs Hamilton, and has covered the spread in six of the last 7 at home. This is a great spot to jump on Saskatchewan and we will be bringing home another win with our first GOTY selection.
|07-26-19||Winnipeg v. Hamilton +2.5||Top||15-23||Win||100||32 h 6 m||Show|
10-Unit Play. #686. Take Hamilton over Winnipeg (Friday at 7:00 pm)
Hugely important play for us tonight in this spot! Let's keep the momentum and undefeated season going in style.
As per your selection on the Hamilton Tiger-Cats plus the points, we believe Hamilton should be slight favorites in this game, so we are going to grab the points as an extra cushion. Look, Hamilton is the CFL's best offensive team as they've posted an average of 37.4 points per game. You have a QB-WR duo of Masoli and Banks who are up near the top of the list in terms of offensive production, with Banks leading the CFL in receiving yards with 506 on 36 catches. Hamilton has defended their home field well this season and as they come off a bye last week, we expect them to come out hungry and ready to fight for every inch as we see this as a statement game for them against the team plenty of people are calling the best overall team in the league. Hamilton has posted a 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 home games, and they are an insane 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 Friday games. Winnipeg comes into this game on the heels of dismantling of Ottawa at home by a 31-1 score. Ottawa is barely a team, so don't let the score or the performance fool you into thinking anything other than a complete mismatch. Winnipeg does have its fair share of struggles and we don't envision a scenario where Matt Nichols completes another franchise-high 19-passes in a row and 86.2 percent completions. That won't happen on the road against a good Tiger-Cats defense. This is a statement game for Hamilton and we will gladly take the points as we believe this line should be close to a PK if not a Hamilton favorite.
|07-20-19||BC v. Saskatchewan OVER 50||Top||25-38||Win||100||53 h 12 m||Show|
10-Unit Play. #695/696. Take Over in BC vs Saskatchewan (Saturday at 7:00 pm)
Great 2-0 week last week in the CFL. This week we have one key play for you as we look to keep our unbeaten record alive in Week 6.
As per your selection on the over 50.5 in this game between BC and Saskatchewan, we believe this is the most opportune time to back the BC offense and we believe a breakout game is coming from Mike Reilly and Co. Look, there were a lot of exceptions coming into this season for BC, but they've failed to live up to them so far. We know what Reilly is capable when he's on and if the Lions want to avoid dropping to 1-5 on the season, they are going to need a big effort offensively to keep up with Saskatchewan considering the BC defense is giving up over 30 points per game. Saskatchewan comes into this game following a bye and this is a very important game for them at home, as they too will want to avoid falling to 1-4 on the season. The offense is still in good hands with Cody Fajardo calling the shots for the injured Zach Collaros. Fajardo has thrown for 945 yards and four touchdowns vs two interceptions. It should be noted that the Over has hit in 3 of the last 4 road games for BC and 6 of the last 7 games for Sask following a bye week. Plenty of you will think the under is the play given the recent struggles of both teams on offense, but we see a breakout team for both games in this spot. These two teams are desperate for a win and they are going to pull out all the stops to put points on the board. Take the over and let's push our run to a great 7-0.
|07-13-19||Calgary v. Hamilton -3.5||Top||23-30||Win||100||30 h 20 m||Show|
10-Unit Play. #688. Take Hamilton -4 over Calgary (Saturday at 7:00 pm). As per your selection on the Hamilton Tiger-Cats, we believe that last week's loss to Montreal was a not only a letdown spot for the Ti-Cats, but it will serve as a wake-up call for the team to let them know they haven't won anything yet. They come into this game with an extra two days of preparation and rest and they now have the film on what to expect from Stamps quarterback Nick Arbuckle. Hamilton - outside of the 36 points allowed last week had given up just 24 points total in their first two games. They do have a good defensive unit and we believe they are going to stand up and take this challenge head-on and succeed. Offensively, Hamilton is still among the top offenses in the league and they are led by QB Masoli who leads the CFL in passing with 94 completions in 134 attempts for 1,325 yards in four games. He's also thrown seven touchdowns. This is a great spot for the TiCats to bounce back in front of their home fans in a prime time CFL spot. The Stamps on the other hand, sure they beat up on a Saskatchewan team who was on a super short week and isn't really all that good. They may have chalked up 379 yards of offense, but that was buoyed by three interceptions by their defense (extra possessions). We don't expect them to win the turnover margin by that much in this spot. The TiCats have been a good bet in Week 5 as they are 3-0-1 ATS and they are also 4-2 ATS in their last 6 home games.
|07-11-19||Edmonton -3 v. BC||33-6||Win||100||5 h 12 m||Show|
3-Unit Play. #681. Take Edmonton over BC (Thursday at 10:00 pm). As per your selection on Edmonton, we love the fact that they come off a bye week and now get to face a team that is playing on a short week, with cross country travel to boot. Edmonton already dominated this team on June 21 and we see no reason why they can't do the same here tonight. BC struggled hard to put away Toronto - needing a last-second FG-Miss Single to win the game 18-17. They showed no signs of life on offense and Mike Reilly is really starting to look old and slow. They had no trouble on defense holding the Argos to 17 points but the Argos offensive is pathetic (which is why we had the Under in that game). The Eskimos come into this game fresh and with Trevor Harris calling the shots, the offense looks unstoppable. Harris has thrown for six touchdowns and 1,086 yards in just three games this season and we love for that hot run to continue against a very overrated BC Lions team. The Lions are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs the West and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. They Eskis have covered the number in 5 of the last 7 meetings.
|07-06-19||BC v. Toronto UNDER 55.5||Top||18-17||Win||100||32 h 53 m||Show|
10-Unit Play. #693/694. Take Under in BC vs Toronto (Saturday at 7:00 pm).
We are going to be extremely selective in our approach for the first few weeks as we develop an understanding of each team. We look to keep our unbeaten record alive in Week 4.
As per your selection on the Under 56 points in this game between BC and Toronto, you have a Toronto team that has essentially picked up right where it left off last season and that is being atrocious on offense. The Argos have scored just 24 points in their first two games combined and now have to make a QB switch after James Franklin got injured in last week's loss to Saskatchewan. The Argos simply don't have any offensive weapons to take advantage of a BC defense who has been torched for 108 points in their 0-3 start. You have to expect the Lions pride to be on the line in this one and we expect their defense to show up in a big way and clamp down defensively. Offensively, the offense hasn't exactly meshed together like many hoped it would before the season started. Mike Reilly has thrown just four touchdowns against three interceptions in three games - so we don't see a sudden outburst from him and the rest of the offense against an Argos defense that was respectable last week. It should be noted that the under is 14-2 in the last 16 meetings in Toronto and 22-6 in the last 30. The Argos are 4-1 to the under in their last 5 games following a SU and ATS loss, while the Under is 8-3-1 in the Lions last 12 Saturday games. It's going to be hot in Toronto on Saturday night and this game is going to stay well under the inflated total.
|06-27-19||Edmonton v. Winnipeg UNDER 56.5||Top||21-28||Win||100||6 h 28 m||Show|
7-Unit Play. #681/682. Take Under in Edmonton vs Winnipeg (Thursday at 8:25 pm). As per your selection on the Under 58 points in this game between Edmonton and Winnipeg, you have to admire the way Edmonton has started the season with a new QB in Trevor Harris who has tossed 6 touchdowns already and 741 yards to boot. At some point - those numbers are going to start to even out and we believe it's tonight as he goes up against a very good Winnipeg defense team who limited BC to just 23 points. This is going to be Edmonton's first road game of the season and they typically don't go as smoothly as the home games do. We wouldn't be shocked if it was the Eskimos' defense that comes to the forefront tonight and keeps them in the game. The Eskimos gave up just 202 yards of total offense against BC - so we know how good they can be. On the flip side, the Bombers have been off for a week - and with an extra week of preparation for the Edmonton offense, we believe they will limit Edmonton in this spot and hold them to their lowest output of the season. We like the fact that the under is 4-1-1 in the Eskimos last 6 road games, while it is also hit in 5-straight Bombers games following a bye week (great defensive preparation) and has hit in 5 of the last 7 Bomber games vs the West division. We believe this game is going to be much lower scoring than most people think, so we'll side opposite the public.
|06-21-19||BC v. Edmonton -4||23-39||Win||100||34 h 55 m||Show|
5-Unit Play. #692. Take Edmonton over BC (Friday at 9:00 pm). As per your selection on the Edmonton Eskimos, you gotta love what Trevor Harris did last week for the team to open up his account with Edmonton and replace a legend in Mike Reilly. Harris was able to connect for three touchdown passes with no interceptions and rack up 447-yards through the air. For an encore, Harris gets to go up against a porous BC Lions defense who was just torched last week both through the air by Matt Nichols (184 yards and three scores) and on the ground by Andrew Harris (16 carries 148 yards rushing). Harris has the ability to put up more big numbers as we believe CJ Gable can continue to run the ball well after gaining 154 yards on 20 carries last week vs Montreal. We believe Edmonton can keep the BC defense off balance and have a big day to push their record to 2-0. BC, on the other hand, got a solid day from their new acquisition as QB Reilly connected on 22 passes for 425 yards and one touchdown. He was also picked off twice last week. The Lions did not have a ground game to speak of last week and if that continues, it should spell doom for a BC offense that will need to score points to make up for their shortcomings on the defensive side of things. Yes, this is the return of Reilly to Edmonton, but we don't believe he has the weapons around him to make it a ?revenge? game and get the win. Edmonton has gone 4-2 ATS in their last six home games vs BC and we look for that to continue in a positive way this week.
|11-25-18||Ottawa v. Calgary -4||16-27||Win||100||55 h 10 m||Show|
7-Unit Play. #668. Take Calgary -4 over Ottawa (Sunday, November 25, 6:00 p.m.)
The Calgary Stampeders were the odds-on favorite to win the Grey Cup this year and they are going to do just that this coming weekend. Look, the Stampeders were the best team in the league for all 20 weeks and now they get to play in their third Grey Cup in a row, and they will be eager, desperate, hungry, and any other adjective you can think of to reverse their fortunes and not lose a third in a row. We like their ability on offense with Bo Levi Mitchell leading the way and Don Jackson running the ball. The Stamps finished the regular season averaging 29 points per game which was second best to just Winnipeg. The Stamps make their hay on the defensive side of the ball and that will be evident in this game and it will be the difference in this game against an Ottawa team that, sure beat Hamilton and put up 46, but has been inconsistent week after week. The QB play for the Redblacks has been spotty and Trevor Harris has caught some flack at times from fans and coaches alike in his performances. We don't believe he has enough in him to overcome this Calgary defense. The Stampeders are also playing this game with revenge as they lost their first of two Grey Cup appearances to the heavily underdog Redblacks 39-33 in 2016. They were nine and a half point favorites in that game, and that game still stings around the club. This outcome will be much different and we expect Calgary to win and win going away.