|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|08-14-18||Liberty v. Sparks OVER 154.5||66-74||Loss||-105||8 h 1 m||Show|
7 Unit Play. Take #615 Over New York at Los Angeles (10:35 p.m., Tuesday, August 14)
|07-24-18||Storm v. Fever OVER 164||92-72||Push||0||8 h 47 m||Show|
7-Unit Play. Take #615-616 Seattle/Indiana GAME TOTAL OVER 164 (Tuesday, July 24th at 7:00 PM ET)
Take Seattle/Indiana GAME TOTAL OVER as my 7-Unit WNBA Smash for Tuesday night. This pick falls into one of my top WNBA systems and I have this game flying over the posted total tonight. The lone time these two teams met this season there was only 135 total points however that was in Seattle and now the posted total is set above 163 tonight. That total is that high because the score in the previous match between these two teams is misleading since the Fever shot just 34.7% as a team despite taking 15 more shots than the Storm which will not happen again tonight. Seattle also had 19 turnovers and played sloppy in that game against the Fever which will not happen again tonight. Seattle has averaged 88.3 ppg on the road this season while shooting 48.4% as a team which is the most ppg by any team on the road this season. The Fever have allowed 85 ppg this season which is the second most ppg allowed in the WNBA. The Fever have also allowed 90.4 ppg over their last 5 games and 88.3 ppg at home this season which is the most ppg allowed by any team at home this season. The O/U is 9-2 for the Fever at home this season and the O/U is 9-3 for the Storm in their last 12 games when playing a team with a losing record. Play the OVER as we move to 5-1 my last 6 WNBA total plays.
|07-19-18||Liberty v. Dream UNDER 160.5||68-82||Win||100||8 h 17 m||Show|
4 Units - # 309 New York Liberty vs # 310 Atlanta Dream (UNDER 160.5) 7/19 ( 7:00pmEst McCamish Pavilion)
The New York Liberty could use a feel-good victory here after losing 11 of their last 15 games. New York Liberty are averaging 79 points on 43% shooting and allowing 85 points on 45% shooting. The Atlanta Dream look to stay hot after winning six of their last seven games . The Atlanta Dream are averaging 79 points on 41% shooting and allowing 80 points on 42% shooting. The Atlanta dream's defense has been very tough at home against opponents could be smothering at times and very aggressive and lots of high energy. Look for this game to go under both teams have a hit-and-miss offensively but Atlanta's defense has been very consistent all year long. TAKE Under 162.5
|07-08-18||Mystics v. Storm OVER 167.5||91-97||Win||100||9 h 34 m||Show|
3-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 167.5 Washington at Seattle (7 p.m., Sunday, July 8)
These two teams have been two of the most consistent teams in the league so far and both have been playing some of their best basketball of late. The Storm are 14-5 and with Breanna Stewart leading the charge (22.2 ppg tops in the WNBA) they are tough to beat every night out. The Mystics are a very similar 12-6 and with Elena Delle Donne playing some of her best minutes they are also a tough team to beat. This should be a great game to watch and the points will not be scarce so take the over.
|07-06-18||Storm v. Dream UNDER 161.5||95-86||Loss||-110||7 h 50 m||Show|
4 Units - # 611 Seattle Storm vs # 612 Atlanta Dream ( under 161) 7/6 *7 EST
The Seattle Storm look to stay on their hot winning streak five of their last six games. The Seattle Storm are averaging 87 points on 47% shooting and allowing 79 points on 43% shooting. The Atlanta Dream look for a big home Victory to get them a game above 500. The Atlanta Dream are averaging 75 points on 39% shooting and allowing 79 points on 42% shooting. The Atlanta Dream have played very tough on their home floor in every single home game this year against some of the top WNBA teams Atlanta has kept the game under 160 on their home floor. Seattle suffocated New York Liberty with a great defensive performance on the road.
I will look for this game to be a hard-fought physical battle and I will look for it to be very close. Atlanta's defense has been very Stella on their home floor they need this Victory bad. Atlanta's offense has been very inconsistent this year they have won a lot of games on their home floor with their defense. TAKE THE UNDER
4 UNIT PLAY TAKE UNDER 161
|06-22-18||Mystics v. Sky UNDER 170||93-77||Push||0||10 h 58 m||Show|
4 units - # 615 Washington Mystics vs #616 Chicago Sky (TAKE THE UNDER 170) 6/22 *9 EST
The Chicago Sky needs a victory here after losing seven of their last eight games. Chicago sky are averaging 77 points on 42 percent shooting and allowing 86 points on 46% shooting. The Chicago sky are shooting 34% from Beyond the three-point Arc and 79% from the free throw line. The Washington Mystics also need a win here after losing four of their last five games. The Washington Mystics are averaging 83 points on 45% shooting and allowing 84 points on 47% shooting.
The Washington Mystics are shooting 36% from Beyond the three-point Arc and 83% from the free throw line. The Washington Mystics have been short-handed with injuries and not playing with a full roster. The Washington Mystics coach Tebow has demanded and put a emphasis on the defensive side of the Court. The Washington Mystics players responded to their veteran coach on Tuesday June 19th one week ago they dominated the Chicago Sky's holding them to only 60 points. Both teams have had a week to prepare to play for each other again in a back-to-back series. Chicago will have a Revenge Factor after they were embarrassed last week.The three times these teams last year's average total was 158. Last week when Washington blew Chicago out 87 -60 total was 147. This line is set way too high and you can expect it to go down at game time get on this game early and take the under.
4 unit play - TAKE THE UNDER 170
|06-19-18||Aces v. Storm OVER 168||87-77||Loss||-105||10 h 25 m||Show|
7units - #607 Las Vegas ACES vs # 608 Seattle Storm (TAKE OVER 168) - 6/19 *10 PM
The Las Vegas Ace need a nice Road victory here to rebound from a brutal (3-9) record. The Las Vegas ACES are averaging 79 points per game on 42% shooting and allowing 87 points on 44% shooting. The Seattle Storm look to keep the ball rolling after winning eight of their last 10 games. The Seattle Storm are averaging 91 points on 47% shooting and allowing 82 points on 45% shooting. When both of these teams get together it's always an offense shootout when these teams meet, both of these teams have put up a lot of points this year and has been very consistent with their scoring.
Las Vegas has been able to stay in games by not giving up and continue to fight and scoring a lot of points. Dan Hughes Seattle Storm Team has been an offensive machine they're coming off of a big victory after destroying the number one WNBA team Connecticut Sun putting up over 103 points on their last home game they have played. The over-under in this game is way under value do not wait and take this game later on in the afternoon this line will get out of control very quickly.
7 units take the over 168
|06-17-18||Mercury v. Aces UNDER 163.5||92-80||Loss||-110||7 h 48 m||Show|
4 Units - #317 Phoenix Mercury vs #318 LAS Vegas ( Under 163.5 ) 6/17 *8 EST
The Phoenix Mercury look for another Victory to build on their impressive 7 game winning streak. The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 82.5 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 79.7 points on 41.9% shooting. The Las Vegas Aces look for their second home victory of the season to rebound from a 3 - 8 record. Las Vegas Aces are averaging 79 .7 points on 42.6% shooting and allowing 85.5 points on 43.7% shooting. The Las Vegas Aces are coming off of a three-game road trip which was very successful for them winning 2 out of the 3 games.
Las Vegas Ace defense has gotten a lot better and they're offense efficiency is better but this will be their fifth game and less than a 9-day period of time. The Phoenix Mercury this will be a back-to-back game after destroying Connecticut bye almost 20 points. Phoenix's defense and their team chemistry is unbelievable right now they are playing with a high energy on the defensive side of the floor . Both teams will be a little bit sluggish expect a lot of Defense do not expect shooting to be as good for both teams as it has in the past due to fatigue and tiredness. The last time these two teams played the total was very low of a 139 points.
4 Units on the UNDER 163.5
|06-15-18||Sun v. Storm OVER 172.5||92-103||Win||100||11 h 41 m||Show|
4 Units - #307 Connecticut Sun / #308 Seattle Storm (OVER 172.5) 6/15 * 10 EST
The Connecticut sun will look for a bounce-back victory to build on after there home loss to the Washington Mystics after being down 28 points in the first half Connecticut finally woke up and outscored the Washington Mystics 45 to 8 to take the lead but ended up losing on a last-second shot to Washington. Connecticut Sun are averaging 93 points on 47.8 percent and allowing 78.9 points on 41.8 percent shooting. The Seattle Storm look to stay hot after winning 7 out of their last nine games. The Seattle Storm are averaging 88.9 points on 47% shooting and allowing 81 points on 44 .7% shooting.
This game will feature the two highest scoring teams in the WNBA with the best offense efficiency and transition offense efficiency. Both teams shoot a lot of 3-point shots with a high efficiency rating and both teams do a tremendous job of offensive rebounding that creates Second Chance Point opportunity. Look for this game to be very exciting with a lot of offense scoring, three-point shooting and a lot of free throws. BET EARLY - these WNBA lines swing like crazy guys.
4 UNIT PLAY TAKE OVER 172.5
|06-09-18||Lynx v. Sun OVER 165.5||75-89||Loss||-110||3 h 5 m||Show|
4 Units - #307 Minnesota Lynx / #308 Connecticut Sun (OVER) Saturday 6/9 ** 2:00pm
The Minnesota Lynx need another big road Victory to rebound from a slow 3 - 5 start to the WNBA season. The Minnesota Lynx are averaging 78 points on 44.5 percent shooting and allowing79.4 on 44.9 percent shooting. Minnesota Lynx have lost 3 out of there for last road games. The Connecticut Sun look to remain unbeaten at home while building on their impressive 6-1 record. The Connecticut Sun are averaging 93.1 points on for 47.5 shooting and allowing 77.1 points on 40.7 shooting.
The Connecticut Sun has been outstanding on their home court they have been outscoring their opponents by 17.7 points at home. The Minnesota Lynx are coming off a solid Road victory over Washington Mystics they're offense is coming around in our scoring some points but the problem has been for veteran team their defense has struggle in transition and defending pick and roll and letting teams outrebound them on the offensive boards. This game will have a lot of offense and a lot of Second Chance points off of offensive rebounding and both teams shoot the 3 point shot very well.
4 Units - ON THE OVER
|06-08-18||Dream v. Aces OVER 162||87-83||Win||100||3 h 59 m||Show|
4 Units - #305 Atlanta Dream / #306 Las Vegas Ace (OVER) 6/8 ** 3 EST - EARLY TIP ALERT
Atlanta Dream travels to play the Las Vegas race today. Atlanta Dream is coming off of a big win knocking off number 1 Connecticut Sun and their last home game before they go on there Road stretch. Both teams do not play defense that well Atlanta's offense has come alive and shooting a better offense efficiency against Connecticut Las Vegas does not play very good defense but they can score a lot of points I will take the over in this game.
TAKE THE OVER/ 4 Units
|06-07-18||Sun v. Liberty OVER 163||88-86||Win||100||6 h 18 m||Show|
4 Units - #605 Connecticut Sun / #606 New York Liberty (OVER) 6/7 *7 EST
The Connecticut Sun look to bounce back after a poor performance against the Atlanta Dream. Connecticut Sun went in the opposite direction on Tuesday night they were 30 points below their scoring average and 22% lower than their field goal shooting average . The New York Liberty will be looking for its second home win of the season to get back to 500. The New York Liberty are averaging 80.6 points on 41.3 shooting and allowing teams to score 81.6. The Connecticut Sun is scoring average is 94 points and shooting percentage 48.2 holding teams to a scoring average 75.5. New York and Connecticut shoot a lot of threes And they score off of second-chance points off of offensive rebounding this will be a very fast-paced game will be up and down the floor both teams like the score in transition you can look for this game to be a very high scoring game .
4 Units - TAKE THE OVER
|06-01-18||Mercury v. Lynx UNDER 159||95-85||Loss||-110||6 h 14 m||Show|
3 Units - #301 Phoenix Mercury / #302 Minnesota Lynx (UNDER 159) 6/1 * 8 EST
Two Hall of Fame WNBA coaches that have won World Championships in the past . With both teams roster are filled with WNBA All Stars and future Hall of Famers. Find them in a situation that they have never been before both teams are looking for signature when to put them above 500. Minnesota Lynx have gotten off to such a slow start and haven't been able to find their footing offensively Phoenix is had the same problem that they are hit and miss with their offensive scoring.
Minnesota and Phoenix have been put in a situation of playing against teams in early season that play at a really fast pace with a lot of Youth and high energy. This has put Minnesota and Phoenix out of their comfort zone both teams have great future Hall of Famers post players that are veterans and leading their team in scoring. Minnesota Phoenix likes to start their offense and set the tempo of games by playing inside out where they try to establish post play action in the beginning of the game and running a lot of set place to get the post players scoring early.
Both Minnesota and Phoenix coaches are very upset with their defensive performance they have allowed teams to score more points on them and any season in the past. This game is going to be a hard grind out very physical very defensive emphasis game with both teams looking for a signature when to put them above 500.
|05-31-18||Aces v. Storm OVER 167.5||74-101||Win||100||11 h 9 m||Show|
3 Units - #611 Las Vegas / #612 Seattle (Over 167.5) 5/31 *10 EST
The Las Vegas Aces are still looking for their first victory after being short-handed with a roster of players missing that was finishing up in their overseas League. These two teams met less than a week ago in Las Vegas at there opening night with lost to Seattle 105-97. Coach Bill Laimbeer will have a totally different looking team when he comes to Seattle to play. Seattle will look to continue to build on there four-game winning streak. Seattle has a new coach Don Hughes has done a great job with Seattle's offense efficiency they are averaging 90 points per game giving up 85 points per game . Las Vegas comes in averaging 77 points per game they are letting teams average 93 points per game defensive efficiency is very poor. For both teams. This will be a very fast Pace game look for a lot of scoring and no defense.
|05-29-18||Lynx v. Dream UNDER 158.5||74-76||Win||100||6 h 17 m||Show|
The Minnesota Lynx's title defense hasn't exactly gone according to plan early in this season. They are just 2-2 on the year and haven't played a solid game yet. They gave up 90 points two nights ago to Washington, so we expect them to bounce back in a big way defensively and get their season back on the right track. As the Lynx core ages, the offense will not be as consistent and effective as it's been over the last few seasons. However, one thing they can always rely on is their effort on defense and it's going to take a big effort tonight to avoid back to back losses. Atlanta has also struggled out of the gates this season posting a 1-2 record and hitting the 80-point mark just once in three games. This Dream team is shooting just 36% from the floor which has them ranked dead last in the WNBA. They are also 11th out of 12 in free-throw percentage, which will help the cause when taking the under. The defense is also getting better. After giving up 101 to Dallas in the opener, they've surrendered just 63 and 78 points respectively. They've also played to the under in 5 of their last 6 games, while the Lynx have gone under the total in 6 of their last 7 road games. We expect a low scoring game in this one between two teams who make their hay on the defensive side of the court.
|09-12-14||Phoenix Mercury v. Chicago Sky OVER 159||87-82||Win||100||4 h 22 m||Show|
3-Unit Play. #606. Take Over 158 Phoenix vs. Chicago (Friday @ 8pm est)
|09-07-14||Chicago Sky v. Phoenix Mercury OVER 154.5||Top||62-83||Loss||-105||4 h 7 m||Show|
Take a close look at this game and you will notice that every trend in the book basically favors the Under here. And that's exactly why this contest probably goes over. Chicago did not do well when they played Phoenix last time offensively scoring a sub 70 and look for them to make all the necessary changes as they have done all year both home and on the road. Especially on the road as they have beat heavy weights this year such as Atlanta and Indiana and given a lot of parity to the East which was much needed. Chicago could drop 75 to 80 points here and Phoenix will continue to have a strong offensive output at home whenever they are challenged similar to Minnesota. Look for this game to hit into the mid 160's today as despite the line dropping, it could be very high scoring and an open/fast paced game.
|09-03-14||Chicago Sky v. Indiana Fever OVER 145.5||75-62||Loss||-110||6 h 24 m||Show|
7-Unit Play. #611. Take Over Chicago vs. Indiana (Wednesday @ 7pm est) We actually think Chicago is going to come out like gangbusters in this contest. Did you see their effort against Atlanta in game 3 of the Eastern Conference semi-finals? It was known as the biggest WNBA Playoff come back ever as the Sky pulled it together and shocked Atlanta late which is still reverberating through the league in that massive upset. Long story short here, we believe Chicago is good for at least 75 points here and we think that Indiana will keep pace with their own revenge. Fouls have been called very close in this series in both games and it should be no different here. We like the Over here because we have this game in the mid 150's in what is going to be a very competitive contest but we can't see this final deciding game going under because we believe both teams will put it all out there and the referees will not let these ladies play as they might do that in the NBA but they certainly have not been doing that in the WNBA. Look for this game to get into the mid 150's today as we look to get our 7th straight win in the WNBA today.
|09-02-14||Minnesota Lynx v. Phoenix Mercury OVER 160||78-96||Win||100||10 h 32 m||Show|
7-Unit Play. #609. Take Over 160 Phoenix vs. Minnesota (Tuesday @ 10pm est)
Did you know the Over is 9-4 in the Lynx last 13 road games and Phoenix has scored a minimum of 92, 85 and 82 points in their last 3 home games against Minnesota? Why is that important? Well even in the 82 point game which was basically a buzzer beater, Phoenix played horrible before mounting a big comeback and exceeding 80 points. In their last contest, they scored just 77 points and this team is much better than that and with this game being an elimination game, they will put it all out on the line. Phoenix is going to dictate this pace and don't worry, you will see Minnesota being solid in their own way as this team is not going to go anywhere which is why they are simply a 5 point underdog here. We would not be surprised to see though Phoenix have revenge, Minnesota comes out strong as these are the games that Minnesota does well and consequently they likely push the pace and Phoenix having revenge they too will push the pace because of their low output last game. If a game 1 and 2 in this series can be at 159 and 156, imagine what a game 3 is going to be like with all the fouls being called at the end? This will be the first game in this series that is going to go over the posted total as we think it will go over with a few minutes left in the contest!
|08-31-14||Phoenix Mercury v. Minnesota Lynx UNDER 160.5||77-82||Win||100||2 h 29 m||Show|
7-Unit Play. #606. Take Under Phoenix vs. Minnesota (Sunday @ 3:30pm est)
We at Docs love when we get hot and we look to make it 4 straight winners today and its the playoffs so its really no better time to win. After back to back 7* Selections, we just keep rolling with another step-out selection today as we are now 3-0 and +1800 over our last 3 selections. We have continued to hit the Under in this series all year if you remember and today is no different. This is the playoffs and unless its the final game of the playoff series, with game 2 happening here after Minnesota loses, it smells like another Under. One of our favorite stats are that the Mercury are 9-2 to the Under when they face a team with a Winning record and the Lynx are 8-2 to the Under when they face a team with a winning record. So you have two teams that generally go to the Under when they face highly competitive teams or the upper echelon teams and that does not change here as well. These two teams are big rivals, know each other extremely well and this game is no different than the countless of ones before and especially no different after Minnesota gives up one of their season high totals and in a playoff game at that as they pride themselves on defense. Besides, the Under is 5-0 in their last 5 meetings in Minnesota as well!
|08-29-14||Minnesota Lynx v. Phoenix Mercury UNDER 161.5||71-85||Win||100||34 h 53 m||Show|
7-Unit Play. #601. Take Under Minnesota vs. Phoenix (Friday @ 10pm est)
|08-26-14||Chicago Sky v. Atlanta Dream OVER 156||81-80||Win||100||7 h 51 m||Show|
4-Unit Play. #621. Take Over 157 Chicago vs. Atlanta (Tuesday @ 7:30pm est)
|08-15-14||Washington Mystics v. Connecticut Sun UNDER 145.5||71-67||Win||100||4 h 30 m||Show|
4-Unit Play. #601. Take Under 146 Washington vs. Connecticut (Friday @ 7:05pm est) These two teams make for a likely under because the last time they met the game went into overtime and Connecticut was the tough luck loser to Washington. That's going to change here probably as Connecticut plays to their strong defense at home especially with revenge here and we like them to step up here as what they do is they play better defense when they face tougher opponents who they have revenge against at home. The Under is a solid 5-0 for the Mystics off a straight up loss and the Under is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams as they are highly familiar with each other.
|08-12-14||Phoenix Mercury v. New York Liberty UNDER 153||76-64||Win||100||2 h 48 m||Show|
3-Unit Play. #652. Take Under 153 Phoenix vs. New York (Tuesday @ 7:05pm est) Phoenix is in for a tough battle here against New York on the road. Phoenix comes off a monster win against New York as Diana hit a game winner in their last game. Now Phoenix faces New York on the road who is seeking revenge and looking to do what New York does which is to drag this game out in a quality defensive battle. What stinks here is the worry of overtime but the differential is sound enough for us to take Phoenix here to have a let down against New York, who will provide a strong defensive performance today and this game likely goes below the posted total this evening.