|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|12-17-18||Saints v. Panthers +7||Top||12-9||Win||100||27 h 58 m||Show|
I'm playing on CAROLINA (10* MAIN EVENT). Its not often the Panthers find themselves getting points at home, let alone this many of them. Thats the case though - a combination of New Orleans having a strong season and Carolina currently struggling. Lets not forget that the Panthers are 11-6 ATS the past few seasons, when getting points, 3-1 ATS as home underdogs. During that stretch, they're also 8-5 ATS when coming off a road loss. I expect this game to carry a lot of meaning for the Panthers. Division rival, Monday night, looking to snap their skid, looking to prove to the world that they're a much better team than their record indicates. Note that none of the Panthers' last four losses came by more than a touchdown and those four losses came by an average of only four points. Speaking of close games, three of the past five meetings between these teams have been decided by five or less. I'm grabbing the points.
|12-17-18||Kings v. Wolves -8||Top||105-132||Win||100||27 h 53 m||Show|
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (10* GAME OF WEEK). These teams have met twice so far this season. Both meetings were at Sacramento. The Kings won both by double-digits. This evening, however, the T-Wolves have homecourt on their side. They've also got the schedule working in their favor. While Minneota had Sunday off, the Kings were busy playing at Dallas. In addition to playing the second of b2b games, this will be the Kings' third game in the past four days. The last four times that the Kings played the second of b2b games? They went 0-4 SU/ATS. All four of those games resulted in double-digit losses, 107-97, 133-112, 132-112, 101-86. Expect more of the same here, a highly motivated Minnesota team pulling away for another double-digit win.
|12-16-18||Seahawks v. 49ers +7||Top||23-26||Win||100||121 h 58 m||Show|
I'm playing on SF (10* GAME OF MONTH). I won with the 49ers last week and I'm coming right back with them again here. While Seattle won again last week, it now plays on a short week. Though he had some decent plays with his feet, Wilson had a poor performance and the final score wasn't necessarily all that reflective of the way the game played out. Note that Seattle is just 2-6 ATS its last eight as a road favorite. During that span, the Hawks are also just 3-6 ATS off a double-digit home win and a poor 5-11 ATS after allowing 14 or fewer points. The 49ers, 2-0 ATS as home underdogs of seven or fewer points, will be looking to prove that they're a alot better than the team which got blown out at Seattle a couple of weeks ago. Venue (and schedule) now in their favor, expect a huge effort to lead to AT LEAST another cover Sunday afternoon.
|12-15-18||Browns v. Broncos -3||Top||17-16||Loss||-103||101 h 23 m||Show|
I'm playing on DENVER (10* MAIN EVENT). While I successfully played against the Broncos last week, they're back home now and I feel that they're providing us with excellent value. Keep in mind that this team had previous won and covered three straight. Last week was just a tough spot, as they were playing their second straight on the road. The Broncos' last few home games have come against quality teams like the Steelers, Texans and Rams. While Cleveland is better than it has been in recent years, the Browns have still dropped three of their last four on the road. The last two of those losses both came by double-digits. The Browns will be playing their third road game in the past four weeks and they've got divisional games against the Bengals and Ravens on deck. Expect the Broncos to bounce back and improve to 4-1 ATS the last five times that they were off an upset loss as a road favorite.
|12-15-18||North Texas +9 v. Utah State||Top||13-52||Loss||-105||238 h 39 m||Show|
I'm playing on NORTH TEXAS (10* MAIN EVENT). The Aggies will say all the right things that they're happy to be here. They're not. They wanted a bigger bowl and this is a disappointment. That type of disappointment makes it difficult to win, let alone cover a big number. The Aggies' task is made that much tougher by the fact that the Mean Green are actually pretty good. In 2015, the Mean Green won only a single game, before hiring current head coach Seth Littrell. That hiring proved to be huge for them, as they've been competitive ever since. This marks their second straight season with nine wins and this is their best team under Littrel. While Littrel was rumord to be heading to K-State, he reportedly withdrew his name from consideration. Meanwhile, Utah State's coach (Matt Wells) has already left for Texas Tech. The Aggie offensive and defensive coordinators joined him, too. Having come up short in bowl games the past two seasons, the Mean Green have something to prove. I believe that this game means more to them and I expect that to lead to AT LEAST a cover.
|12-14-18||Raptors v. Blazers +3.5||Top||122-128||Win||100||13 h 37 m||Show|
I'm playing on PORTLAND (8* SHOCKER). Off a huge road win over the champs, I believe that the Raptors are going to be ripe for a letdown. Note that the Raptors are 5-9 ATS after scoring 110 or more in two more consecutive games. They'll be facing an angry and talented Portland team, one which hasn't lost a home game by more than four points all season. Not surprisingly, the Blazers are already 1-0 ATS as home underdogs (15-point win over the Bucks) this season; 11-7 ATS in that role the past couple of years. The Blazers haven't forgotten that the Raptors came in here and shut them down early last season, before blowing them out at Toronto. Its finally payback time!
|12-13-18||Eastern Washington v. San Francisco -18||Top||63-85||Win||100||16 h 59 m||Show|
I'm playing on SF. The Dons are rolling. Off their big win against Cal, expect them to carry the momentum into this evening's game against an outclassed Eagles team.
|12-12-18||Raptors v. Warriors -6.5||Top||113-93||Loss||-108||13 h 54 m||Show|
I'm playing on GOLDEN STATE (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Raptors beat a short-handed (no Curry) Warriors team, at Toronto, in OT. The game had been billed as a Finals Preview and the some of the fans reacted as if they'd won a finals game. Now healthier, playing at home and with the schedule in their favor, expect the revenge-minded champions to get some payback. Leonard was the hero for the Raptors in the first game. However, he didnt play last night. If he does go tonight, he may be less than 100%. Either way, the Warriors are 6-2 ATS (7-1 SU) the past eight times that they attempted to avenge a loss of three or fewer points and we can expect them to improve on those stats.
|12-12-18||Murray State v. Southern Illinois -3||Top||80-52||Loss||-109||13 h 35 m||Show|
I'm playing on SIU (10* GAME OF MONTH). This is a regional rivalry and its an important game for both teams. While the Racers are playing well, I expect homecourt and a stingy Southern Illinois defense to ultimately prove the difference. Murray State won by eight, as a 5-point favorite, at home, last season. However, SIU won by four, as a -2.5 point favorite, in the last meeting here. While the Racers may be 5-0 ATS through six games, they're just 1-1 SU in true road games and they're also only 2-7 ATS the past couple of seasons, after covering the spread in four or five of their previous six games. The Salukis have thrived as small home favorites in recent seasons and come in confident; they're off five straight wins, the last three of which they were favored for. They're 4-0 ATS the past couple of seasons, after having been favored in three straight. Expect them to improve on those stats here.
|12-10-18||CS-Fullerton +12.5 v. St. Mary's||Top||66-81||Loss||-110||28 h 2 m||Show|
I'm playing on CAL STATE FULLERTON (10* MASTERPIECE). In my opinion, the gap between these teams isn't nearly as big as the pointspread suggests. The Titans brought back most of their depth and four starters from a team which made the NCAA Tournament last season. While the Titans' admittedly record isn't very good, they've had a number of close losses, a couple coming in OT. Only one of their losses by more than 10 points. While the Gaels have won a few in a row, they'd previously lost four straight. Grab the points.
|12-10-18||Kings v. Bulls +2.5||Top||108-89||Loss||-110||28 h 33 m||Show|
I'm playing on CHICAGO (10* BEST BET). The Bulls got embarrassed by Boston on Saturday and they're going to be looking to bounce back with a much better effort. I believe that they're catching the Kings at the right time. Sacramento lost by double-digits at Indiana Saturday and will now be playing its third road game in the past four days. The Bulls have been dealing with injuries all year but they're slowly getting heathier. Prior to the Boston debacle, the Bulls' previous two home games resulted in an outright win against OKC and a 1-point loss against San Antonio. Expect their best effort to lead to at least another cover here.
|12-09-18||Broncos v. 49ers +5.5||Top||14-20||Win||100||96 h 40 m||Show|
I'm playing on SF (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Broncos have been all over the place lately. After playing two of three on the road, they got a bye in early November. That was followed by a trip out West (LA) and then back to Denver. Last week, they played at Cincinnati. Now, here they are back on the West Coast. I expect it to catch up with them and feel that they're over-valued. The last time that Denver played the second of b2b road games, it lost by seven. While the defense improved the last couple of weeks, the Broncos are 0-4 ATS their last four, when off b2b games where they allowed 17 or fewer points. During the same span, the 49ers are 5-3 ATS, after failing to score more than 17 in b2b games. The last time that the 49ers were in that situation they won 34-3. Expect them to bounce back with AT LEAST another cover Sunday afternoon.
|12-09-18||Giants v. Redskins +4||Top||40-16||Loss||-110||121 h 27 m||Show|
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. As many of you know, I successfully played against these same Redskins on Monday night, while also cashing with the 'under' in that game. However, that was on the road against the defending Super Bowl champs, who were playing for their season. Now, the Skins are at home, facing a Giants team which is playing out the string. Thats a major difference. Yet, they're still getting a handful of points. Talk about no respect! While the Giants have actually won a few recently, including a win over the Bears last week, none of those wins came by more than four points. They're also just 1-5-1 ATS their last seven off a SU win as an underdog. While I like the Skins to rise to the occasion and win this one outright, I'm happy to grab the points.
|12-08-18||Nuggets v. Hawks +7.5||Top||98-106||Win||100||26 h 6 m||Show|
I'm playing on ATLANTA. The Nuggets absolutely destroyed the Hawks, at Denver, a few weeks ago, a 45-point beatdown. At the time, the Hawks were in the middle of a road trip and had just lost tight games against the Lebron Lakers and the defending champion Warriors. Off those b2b close losses and weary from being thousands of miles from home, they were vulnerable. This time, its the Hawks which are at home. This time, its the Nuggets who have been on the road for some time. The Nuggets played last night at Charlotte and are now playing their third game in four days, the final leg of a 5-game road trip. Dating back to the 11/15 game against the Hawks, the Nuggets have not played in the same arena in consecutive games. Thats a lot of travel; after this they finally get a 4-game home stretch. The Hawks haven't forgotten the 11/15 loss. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect them to improve to 11-4 ATS the last 15 times that they attempted to avenge a loss of 20 or more points.
|12-07-18||Grizzlies v. Pelicans -4.5||Top||107-103||Loss||-110||25 h 60 m||Show|
I'm playing on NEW ORLEANS (10* PERS FAV). I successfully played on the Grizzlies in their last game, a double-digit win over the Clippers on Wednesday. However, that was at Memphis, where they've been playing well all year. They're now 8-3 at home. The road has been a different story, as they've been mediocre away from Memphis, most recently losing by eight. The home/road difference is even more pronounced for the Pelicans. They're only 3-10 on the road but an impressive 10-3 here at New Orleans. Last time out, they won by 26. While the Pelicans have tomorrow off, the Grizzlies will host Lebron and the Lakers tomorrow. It all adds up to another big home win for the Pelicans.
|12-07-18||NC-Greensboro v. Elon +12.5||Top||75-74||Win||100||13 h 54 m||Show|
I'm playing on ELON (10* BEST BET). Admittedly, the Spartans are a solid team. Last time out, they even gave Kentucky all it could handle. For awhile, at least. Midway through the second half, the Spartans even led the Wildcats. Kentucky closed things out on a big run though; the 78-61 final snapping UNC Greensboro's 6-game winning streak. While they've had a few days off, I expect that loss to take a toll. While the Phoenix have not gotten off to a good start, I believe that they're a little better than they've shown and that the early results have helped in providing us with an extra generous number. The Phoenix love to hit from downtown and they're pretty good at doing so. They're 14-6 ATS over the years, after allowing 90 or more points in their previous game, and I look for them to give their guests a much tougher game than most will be expecting.
|12-05-18||Utah State v. BYU||Top||80-95||Win||100||26 h 43 m||Show|
I'm playing on BYU (10* GAME OF WEEK). While the Aggies have admittedly been playing well, the Cougars have dominated them in recent seasons. Just in the 'Nick' of time, the Cougars get Emery back from a 9-game suspension. He'll provide a much-needed spark to the offense. Keep in mind that the junior has made 172 three-pointers, on 38% shooting, over the course of his career. Its not too late for the Cougars, who had high hopes coming in, to salvage their season. Expect them to rise to the occasion with a much-needed victory.
|12-05-18||Thunder v. Nets +7.5||Top||114-112||Win||100||28 h 54 m||Show|
I'm playing on BROOKLYN (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Thunder are off b2b2b blowout wins and are playing well. I expect the Nets to bring them back down to earth though. OKC's recent winning streak has created plenty of value at the betting window. Keep in mind that the Thunder are laying a bigger number here than they were at venues like Phoenix and Cleveland. Yet, the Nets have a better record than either the Suns or Cavs. Grab the generous points and expect the Nets to rise to the occasion with AT LEAST a cover.
|12-03-18||Rockets v. Wolves +2||Top||91-103||Win||100||12 h 46 m||Show|
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (10* BEST BET). True, the Rockets are off b2b blowout wins. However, lets not forget that they'd lost four in a row, before that. Also, its worth noting that they're only 13-21 ATS the past couple of seasons, when off b2b double-digit victories. I expect homecourt to be the difference in this one. The T-Wolves are a profitable 14-6-1 ATS (16-5 SU) the last 21 times that they played a home game with an O/U line of 220 or greater. Look for them to rise to the occasion and improve on those stats tonight.
|12-02-18||Jazz v. Heat +4||Top||100-102||Win||100||9 h 58 m||Show|
I'm playing on MIAMI (10* BEST BET). While this is only their third consecutive road game, I believe that the Jazz will be getting a little road-weary. Thats because this marks the 13th consecutive time that they'll be playing at a different venue than they played their previous game at. Ten of those 13 (10 of L12) have come on the road. (The two home games during that stretch were immediately followed by a road game.) Either way, I expect them to have their hands full. Note that Utah is 0-4 ATS after having won three of its previous four. The Heat come in confident, off their minor upset of the Pelicans. They're 8-2 ATS the last 10 times that they were off an upset win as a home underodg. The Heat have defeated the Jazz three straight times, two of those wins coming by a single point. Expect them to take this down to the wire with a great shot at another upset.
|12-02-18||Rams v. Lions +10.5||Top||30-16||Loss||-130||75 h 36 m||Show|
I'm playing on DETROIT (10* BEST BET). While I obviously respect the Rams, I feel that they're laying too big a number here. Five of the Rams' last seven games have been decided by five or fewer points, six of those seven decided by 10 or less. Likewise, the Lions have seen each of their last two games decided by seven or less. Expect the Lions to rise to the occasion, giving the Rams all they can handle with a great shot at the outright upset.
|12-01-18||Nets v. Wizards -5||Top||88-102||Win||100||11 h 24 m||Show|
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (10* GAME OF MONTH). Both teams played and lost yesterday. However, while the Wizards were getting blown out at Philly, the Nets double-OT loss was arguably far more painful and it should take a far bigger toll on them today. The Wizards are going to be in an angry mood. Not just from yesterday but also because the Nets upset them here a couple of weeks ago. Schedule in their favor, expect some serious payback today.
|12-01-18||Georgia +13 v. Alabama||Top||28-35||Win||100||25 h 46 m||Show|
I'm playing on GEORGIA (10* CONF. CHAMP. GAME OF YEAR). As per usual, Alabama had a dominant season. The Tide finished at 12-0. The Bulldogs weren't far off, however, as they finished at 11-1. With this game being played at Atlanta and the Dawgs getting double-digits at the betting window, I believe that we're getting outstanding value. True, Alabama hammered LSU, the team which handed Georgia its lone loss. However, Sometimes a loss can actually help a team. Since the loss to the Tigers, Georgia has emphasized its power-running game, averaging over 300 rushing yards over its past five games. Thats the one spot (run defense) that the Tide may be a little vulnerable, too. (Over the past two weeks, Alabama has allowed more than 400 rushing yards.) Don't be surprised when the Bulldogs shock the world.
|11-30-18||Northern Illinois +3.5 v. Buffalo||Top||30-29||Win||100||77 h 15 m||Show|
I'm playing on NIU (10* MAIN EVENT). The Bulls have had an excellent season and are clearly an improved team. Improvement was expected, as they brought back 14 returning starters. While 10 wins may not have been expected, their schedule was considerably softer than the one that NIU played. I'm not convinced that they're the real deal. Mixed in with Buffalo's 10 wins were two blowout losses, which I believe are revealing. Army and Ohio were able to beat them by 29 and 35. We're not talking Alabama and Clemson - Army and Ohio. Army couldn't even beat teams like Lafayette and Colgate by nearly that many. Likewise, for Ohio. Favored by more than 4 TD's, the Bobcats only beat Howard by eight. Yet, those teams destroyed Buffalo. On the other side, I don't think the Huskies, who faced the likes of Utah, Iowa and Florida State, are getting enough respect. This is a team with playmakers all over the field. I'll gladly take the points but I expect the Huskies to rise to the occasion and win this one outright.
|11-29-18||Clippers v. Kings +3||Top||133-121||Loss||-110||25 h 30 m||Show|
I'm playing on SACRAMENTO (10* BEST BET). The Kings are off b2b losses, for the fourth time this season. However, they've been great in that situation (3-0 SU/ATS) and they've got both the venue and the schedule in their favor. While the Kings, 6-2-1 ATS their last nine when playing with three or more day's rest in between games, are well-rested, the Clippers are off a win over Phoenix last night. Though they did pull away for a convincing victory, the score was tied at half. So, stars Harris and Gallinari were still forced to see relatively heavy (33 + 35) minutes. The Kings began the season with b2b defeats. They responded with a double-digit win (as a double-digit dog) over the Thunder. At the beginning of this month, the Kings again lost b2b games. They answered with a double-digit win over the T-Wolves, again when listed as an underdog. In the middle of this month, they lost b2b games for a third time. Once again, they faced OKC. Once again, they responded with an outright win. Expect their best effort to lead to at least another cover tonight.
|11-29-18||Saints v. Cowboys +8||Top||10-13||Win||100||34 h 25 m||Show|
I'm playing on DALLAS (10* BEAST). The Saints are obviously playing great football. However, lately, the same can also be said of the Cowboys. They're 3-0 SU/ATS their last three, the first two of those wins coming on the road. Last week, they returned home for their annual Thanksgiving Day game, beating the Redskins. That brings them to 4-1 here on the season, 14-8 the past 2+ seasons. As good as they've been this season, the Saints are still just 11-10 on the road, during the same span. The fact that the Cowboys played on the Thursday gives them a normal week's worth of preparation time - which should serve them well with the Saints coming to town. New Orleans, on the other hand, plays on a short week. Grab the generous points but schedule and venue in their favor, don't be surprised when the Cowboys shock the world with an outright win.
|11-29-18||Alabama +7 v. UCF||Top||64-70||Win||100||10 h 54 m||Show|
I'm playing on ALABAMA (10* BEST BET). The Knights upset the Tide last season, winning by three points (65-62) at Alabama. The Tide, who were favored by -9.5 points for that game, haven't forgotten and are coming in ready to play. Though they haven't been covering, this is a confident team which has won three straight and five of six. Like last year's game, expect this one to come right down to the wire, the visiting underdog again coming away with AT LEAST another cover.
|11-28-18||Monmouth v. Kentucky -24||Top||44-90||Win||100||26 h 7 m||Show|
I'm playing on KENTUCKY (10* GAME OF MONTH). I've only played on the Wildcats once this season. They came through for me in that 11/14 game, the only game that they've covered this season, easily disposing of North Dakota by a 38-point margin. They're laying a similar number here as they were for that one and I'm again expecting another lopsided win and cover. Monmouth is an ugly 0-7 on the season. Even teams like CS-Fullerton and Lehigh were able to beat them by 24. Monmouth wasn't on the road for either of those either. Needless to say, Kentucky is a far stronger opponent. While the ATS wins haven't been there, the Cats have now won five straight by double-digits. Expect them to pull away and win this one by more than 30.
|11-27-18||East Tennessee State v. Georgia Southern -4||Top||69-64||Loss||-105||10 h 16 m||Show|
I'm playing on GEORGIA SOUTHERN (10* FULLCOURT PRESS). Both these teams have played well thus far, both have been money at the betting window. That said, playing at home, I expect the Eagles to have the advantage. The Buccaneers are perfect at home but only 1-2 on the road. The Eagles just beat a trio of respectable tams (FAU, Pepperdine and Montana) on a neutral court and they won their two home games by an average score of 118.5 to 70. While they did start out with a 'cupcake,' the last four wins have been legit. Last season, playing at home, the Bucs hammered the Eagles. Senior guard Tookie Brown and co. haven't forgotten. Tonight, they get some payback.
|11-26-18||Magic v. Warriors -8||Top||110-116||Loss||-110||29 h 8 m||Show|
I'm playing on GOLDEN STATE (10* GAME OF WEEK). While they're still dealing with some injuries, here's a great spot for the champs to "get healthy." While the Warriors had yesterday off, the Magic were busy playing Lebron and the Lakers, at LA. Playing their third in four days, the first of which was in the high altitude of Denver, expect fatigue to be a factor for the Magic, the Magic happy to lay down the hammer for a convincing win and cover.
|11-25-18||Clippers v. Blazers -4||Top||104-100||Loss||-110||12 h 8 m||Show|
I'm playing on PORTLAND (10* PERS FAV). Off b2b losses, the Blazers are going to be a determined team this evening. With an 11-point win against them a few weeks ago, the Blazers have now beaten the Clippers four straight times. All four victories came by a minimum of eight points. The Blazers are 7-3 ATS on the season, when laying points. The Clippers, on the other hand, are now 3-6 ATS when getting points. They're also just 2-5 ATS when playing a road game with an O/U line of 220 or greater. Blazers roll.
|11-25-18||Packers v. Vikings -3||Top||17-24||Win||100||127 h 13 m||Show|
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (10* NFC NORTH GOY). The Packers desperately need a win to keep their flickering playoff hopes alive. That doesn't mean that they're going to get one though. While many can't imagine the playoffs without Rodgers, they better get used to the idea. The Vikings need this one (nearly) every bit as much as the Packers. While they've got a better record than the Packers, they're still traiing the Bears by two games and they know they can ill afford to lose a divisional home game. The Vikings tied the Pack at Lambeau already and they outscored them 39-10 in sweeping last season's series. Both teams have scored about the same number of points. The Packers average 24.7, the Vikes average 24.1. However, its on the other side of the ball that the Vikes will have the edge. The Packers allow 29.8 points and 375.4 yards per road game. The Vikings, on the other hand, allow 19.8 ppg and a mere 273.4 yards per game at home. They're 5-1 ATS (6-0 SU) the last six times that they played a home game with an O/U line in the 45.5 to 49 range. Expect their superior defense to lead to them improving on those stats Sunday night.
|11-25-18||Ottawa v. Calgary -4||Top||16-27||Win||100||125 h 35 m||Show|
I'm playing on CALGARY. After coming up short each of the past two seasons - against Ottawa (in OT) in 2016 and by three against Toronto last year, the Stamps are on a mission. They've been the class of the league for years (this is their 6th Grey Cup in last 11 years) and are absolutely determined not to come up empty again. Note that they were much bigger favorites in the Grey Cup, each of the past two seasons. I feel that they could easily be bigger favorites here, too. Jonathan Rose getting suspended by the league will make an already difficult task for Ottawa that much tougher. Rose, who had five INT's this season and who has been an all-star each of the past two seasons, was suspended by the league - though he has appealed the decision. Even if he manages to find a way to play, the distraction isn't going to help Ottawa. Either way, it won't matter. While its normally enemy territory, the fact that the game is being played in Edmonton figures to help the Stamps. Enough's enough. Stamps win big.
|11-25-18||IUPU Ft Wayne v. Cleveland State +4.5||Top||82-79||Win||100||8 h 56 m||Show|
I'm playing on CLEVELAND STATE (10*). While neither of these are "big name" teams, I believe that the Vikings are offering us excellent value as underdogs. The Mastadons are 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS on the road, allowing an average of 98 points. They're now 8-23 ATS their last 31 road lined games. Though wins have been hard to come by, I like the direction Dennis Felton has the Vikings going. Though I like their chances of an outright upset, I'm happy to grab the points.
|11-25-18||Giants v. Eagles -5||Top||22-25||Loss||-109||28 h 60 m||Show|
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Eagles badly need a win and a visit from the Giants figures to be just what the doctor ordered. With a 34-13 win in October, the Eagles have now beaten Eli and co. four straight times. Though they certainly didn't look too good against the Saints, in my opinion, the Eagles still have a far superior defense to the Giants. They allow less than 20 ppg here while NY allows more than 24 ppg on the road. Embarrassed last week, expect the champs to play with a chip on their shoulder, bouncing back and improving to 6-2 ATS the past eight times that they were off two or more consecutive victories.
|11-24-18||Pelicans v. Wizards +2||Top||114-124||Win||100||26 h 50 m||Show|
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (10* BEST BET). Both teams played Friday. So, each will be playing the second of b2b games. However, New Orleans also played Wednesday, while Washington did not. That means that the Pelicans are playing their third game in four days, while the same cannot be said of the Wizards. Knowing that they'll face these same Pelicans, at New Orleans, on Wednesday, expect the Wizards to "hold serve" by protecting their home court.
|11-24-18||Pittsburgh v. Miami-FL -4||Top||3-24||Win||100||79 h 32 m||Show|
I'm playing on MIAMI (10* ANNIHILATOR). Playing at Pittsburgh, on this very day exactly one year ago, the Panthers upset the Hurricanes last season. However, when the teams last met in Miami, the Canes, who were favored by four points, hammered the Panthers by a 51-28 score. Back at Miami, I expect the Canes to have the advantage once again. While the Panthers are 2-3 away from Pittsburgh, the Canes are 4-1 at Miami. Pitt. has been outscored 25.6 to 24 on the road. Miami has outscored teams by a 39 to 14.8 margin here at home. Visiting teams are averaging just 216.8 yards per game here. The Canes destroyed V-Tech last time out and I expect them to carry the momentum into this afternoon's game.
|11-23-18||Virginia v. Virginia Tech +4||Top||31-34||Win||100||74 h 43 m||Show|
I'm playing on V-Tech (10* BEST BET). I won with the Hokies in last season's 10-0 win. They were favored by -6.5 or -7 for that one, despite playing on the road. Now, playing at home, we're getting points. With all due respect to Virginia, I believe thats providing us with excellent value on the Hokies. If you just looked at the schedule, you'd see that this is the final game for the 4-6 Hokies, which would mean that they'd have no shot at making a bowl. However, there was an earlier game postponed and V-Tech and Marshall have agreed to a conditional game, which will be played here at Lane Stadium, on Dec. 1st. That means that if V-Tech can win this one, it'd absolutely be looking at bowl eligility. The Hokies have long dominated their instate rival. They'll face a Cavs team which has dropped two if its last three, the lone win coming against Liberty. V-Tech senior Ricky Walker had this to say: "This game is my favorite game of the year. It's nothing like playing those guys. No matter what, they always think they're better than us, and we just keep on winning, and just dominate… at the end of the day we just want to keep that cup in Blacksburg." Everything on the line in the biggest game of the year, expect the Walker and the Hokies to rise to the occasion, earning AT LEAST a cover.
|11-22-18||Falcons +13.5 v. Saints||Top||17-31||Loss||-133||80 h 12 m||Show|
I'm playing on ATLANTA (10* MAIN EVENT). Going against the Saints may be a bit nerve-racking for some. Indeed, they've been on an impressive roll. However, even though it may seem that they're blowing everyone out of the water, lets not forget that three of their last five games have still been decided by 10 points or less. Speaking of "close games," since the Falcons hammered the Saints by a 45-32 score here at New Orleans in September of 2016, the last four meetings between these rivals have ALL been decided by 10 or fewer points. While the Falcons are surely disappointed with their record, they've still only lost one game by more than 12 points all season long. This is a huge game for them and I expect them to come "ready to play." With the Saints just 5-10 ATS the last 15 times that they were listed as home favorites in the -10.5 to -14 range, I'm grabbing all those generous points.
|11-21-18||Harvard v. San Francisco -6||Top||57-61||Loss||-103||16 h 13 m||Show|
I'm playing on SF (10* PERS FAV). The Dons are playing with a ton of confidence. Sure, the competition has been weak. However, this team can improve to 5-0 under Kyle Smith for the first time. They've won all their games by a minimum of 32 points and their +35.8 point average margin of victory ranks fourth in the country. A +21.3 edge in rebounds ranks second in the country. While its true that Harvard has been strong at the betting window in recent seasons and also true that the team brought back nearly all its pieces from last season, the Crimson will be playing their third straight on the road. A 2-point loss at Rhode Island last time out figures to take a toll. So does the absence of Bryce Aiken and Seth Towns. Those are two huge losses for this team. Expect the Dons to keep on rolling for another day.
|11-21-18||Pelicans v. 76ers -3.5||Top||120-121||Loss||-110||24 h 52 m||Show|
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA (10* PERS FAV). The home team won both meetings last season. The Pelicans won by seven at New Orleans. Howver, the 76ers hammered them by a 100-82 margin in the game here at Philadelphia. Homecourt has been huge from both these teams again so far this season. The 76ers are a poor 3-7 on the road but a perfect 9-0 here at Philadelphia. Meanwhile, the Pelicans are 8-1 at New Orleans but just 2-6 at home. With an O/U line in the high 230s, this is expected to be a high-scoring game. That suits the 76ers just fine. They're 29-13 ATS the past 42 times that they played a game with an O/U line of 220 or greater. During that same span, they're also 52-27-1 ATS when facing an opponent which averages 106 or more points. Expect the tempo and venue to lead to another win and cover for the new look 76ers.
|11-19-18||VCU v. Temple -2.5||Top||57-51||Loss||-108||15 h 49 m||Show|
I'm playing on TEMPLE (10* PERS FAV). The Owls and Rams will be facing each other at Barclays Center in Brooklyn. I expect the Owls to have the advantage. Over the years, we've gotten used to the Rams consistently being a very strong squad. Indeed, prior to last season, the Rams had won a minimum of 24 games in 11 consecutive seasons. Last season, they got a new coach and fell to just 17-14. Top players Tillman and Williams prevented them from stumbling even further. However, they too have now moved on. That means that the Rams are going to have trouble with teams like Temple. Unlike the Rams, the Owls brought back most of their pieces from last season's team. Expect their experience and depth to prove the difference Monday night.
|11-19-18||Chiefs v. Rams -3||Top||51-54||Push||0||104 h 17 m||Show|
I'm playing on LA (10* MNF GAME OF YEAR). When this game was moved from Mexico to LA, I believe it was a bigger advantage for the Rams than is being indicated by the pointspread. Its true that the Rams have recently been winning, while not covering, with regularity. However, lets not forget that they're still 5-0 here at home and that they're still outscoring teams by an average of 34.4 to 22.4 when playing at home. In terms of total yards, they're outgaining teams by a 476 to 342 margin here. By comparison, the Chiefs are actually getting outgained by a 457.8 to 440 average margin, when playing on the road. Thats a major difference, the Rams allowing 342 yards at home while the Chiefs allowing 458 on the road. Expect the Rams to make a statement, remaining perfect at home, while covering the small number along the way.
|11-19-18||Clippers v. Hawks +7||Top||127-119||Loss||-110||28 h 50 m||Show|
I'm playing on ATLANTA (10* BEST BET). While they haven't been getting any "W's" to show for it, the Hawks are fighting very hard. They've covered the spread in three of their last four. The Hawks played the Clippers tough last time they met, LA winning by a single point. I expect them to again give the Clippers all they can handle. While both teams had Sunday off, the Hawks also have tomorrow (Tuesday) off. The Clippers, on the other hand, have a rematch against Washington tomorrow. The Clippers are 3-4 on the road overall and that includes a 1-4 SU/ATS mark when playing on the road when the O/U was 220 or greater. Grab the points.
|11-18-18||Steelers v. Jaguars +6||Top||20-16||Win||100||101 h 43 m||Show|
I'm playing on JACKSONVILLE (10* GAME OF MONTH). Before the season began, not many would have predicted that the Steelers would be such big road favorites here. That would be particularly true if they knew that LeVeon Bell wasn't playing. Yet, that is indeed the case. The Steelers have been playing well while the Jags have underachieved. That said, I liked a number of things that I saw from the Jags in last weeks (3-point) loss vs. the Colts and I believe that the generous pointspread is providing us with excellent value. You may recall that the Jags beat the Steelers by three points in January. They also hammered them last October. Including those results, the're 5-0-1 ATS their last six against teams from the AFC North. They're going to come in confident. All four of Pittsburgh's road games have been decided by seven or fewer points. One finished in a tie, another was decided by three points. Speaking of close games, the Jags have now seen b2b games decided by six or fewer points. With another close game a real possibility and with the Steelers just 1-4 ATS their last five as road favorites in the -3.5 to -7 range, I'm grabbing the points.
|11-17-18||St. Louis +7.5 v. Seton Hall||Top||66-64||Win||100||27 h 34 m||Show|
I'm playing on ST LOUIS. The Billikens have won all three of their games and come in confident. On the other hand, the Pirates may have lost a little of their swagger; they were hammered by 23 points, at Nebraska, last time out. The Pirates have lost a lot: Desi Rodriguez (17.8 ppg), Khadeen Carrington (15.6 ppg and 4.4 apg), and all-time rebounding leader Angel Delgado (13.6 ppg and 11.8 rpg). Expect them to have their hands full.
|11-17-18||Tulsa v. Navy -5||Top||29-37||Win||100||78 h 2 m||Show|
I'm playing on NAVY (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Midshipmen have had an extremely difficult schedule. Tulsa is the weakest team that they've faced since September. Their last four games came against the likes of Cincinnati, UCF, Houston and Notre Dame. Those teams are 9-1, 9-0, 7-3 and 10-0. Now, the Midshipmen take a significant step down in class to take on a Tulsa team which is just 2-8. With a rare chance at victory, they won't waste the opportunity. Navy beat Tulsa by double-digits last season. Considering that Tulsa is winless on the road, each of the last four losses coming by double-digits, I'm expecting more of the same Saturday afternoon.
|11-16-18||Jazz v. 76ers -2.5||Top||107-113||Win||100||28 h 52 m||Show|
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. Homecourt has been huge for the 76ers. Indeed, they're an ugly 2-7 on the road but a perfect 7-0 here at Philadelphia. I fully expect them to keep that perfect record in tact for awhile yet. (After this, their next home games are against Phoenix, New Orleans, Cleveland and NY - all very winnable games.) The first game with Jimmy Butler in the lineup didn't go so well, as the 76ers blew a 16-point lead and lost at Orlando. His acquisition makes this a very dangerous team, however, with three elite players. They're going to be highly motivated to get the first win of the "new era." Sure, the Jazz are going to also be motivated to bounce back off their embarrassing 50-pt loss. However, that loss revealed some issues and I don't think the Jazz match up well against the new look 76ers. Note that Philly swept the season series last year, including a 107-86 blowout win in the game here. They were laying -6 for that one. Despite the perfect home record and arguably a superior team, we're getting them at a lower line here. I feel thats offering excellent value and am expecting another big win.
|11-15-18||Florida Atlantic +3.5 v. North Texas||Top||38-41||Win||100||14 h 26 m||Show|
I'm playing on FAU (10* BEST BET). The Owls hammered North Texas again last season, after beating the Mean Green by 38 points (69-31) the previous season. Off b2b blowout wins and playing their best football of the season right now, I feel that they're offering us excellent value once again. Thats particularly true with this line opening below three and passing right through that important number. Having put up nearly 1200 yards of total offense their past two games alone, the Owls are oozing with confidence right now. On the other hand, North Texas lost outright, when favored by more than two touchdowns, in its last game. I'll gladly grab the points but I like FAU to win this one outright.
|11-15-18||Oregon v. Iowa +4||Top||69-77||Win||100||14 h 22 m||Show|
I'm playing on IOWA (10* GAME OF WEEK). These teams will be playing at MSG. While thats technically a neutral court, I expect it to favor the Hawkeyes. Iowa has played here before, as the Big Ten Tourney was played here last season. (The Hawkeyes beat Illinois and lost to Michigan, the eventual champ, in OT.) Oregon, on the other hand, hasn't played here in more than a decade. While the Ducks are indeed very talented, they're also relatively young. This game is going to be a big deal to them and I expect there to be some nervousness. With an O/U line in the low 150s, as this play is posted, note that the Ducks are just 3-10 ATS the past 13 times that they played a neutral court game with an O/U line in the 150 to 154.5 range. Don't expect them to improve on those stats tonight.
|11-14-18||North Dakota v. Kentucky -26||Top||58-96||Win||100||27 h 58 m||Show|
I'm playing on KENTUCKY (10* VIOLATOR). The Wildcats opened as the biggest favorite on the Wednesday board. However, I think that line could have easily been even higher, as I'm expecting an absolute destruction. As you probably saw or heard, the Cats got embarrassed by Duke on opening night. Off that 118-84 blowout loss, the worst since before Calipari came here, they came out a little flat out of the gate for their next game and found themselves trailing 44-37 against Southern Illinois. Kentucky woke up though and won 71-59. That wasn't quite enough for the cover but it absolutely provides them with positive momentum. Calipari had this to say: "I just said, be happy we won and figure it out. I've got a pretty good idea of how I'm going to do this now, and I'm just glad that we really got smashed, so there's no question. If you demand a lot, you get a lot. If you accept mediocrity, you're going to get it every time. ... I was very aggressive today." Stepping down in class, expect Calipari to keep the pedal to the metal the whole way Wednesday, en route to a 30+ point blowout win.
|11-14-18||Grizzlies v. Bucks -9.5||Top||116-113||Loss||-110||24 h 16 m||Show|
I'm playing on MILWAUKEE (10* PERS FAV). The Grizzlies have been tough at home. However, they only score 96.3 ppg on the road and thats led to a 2-4 record. Its also going to make it extremely difficult to keep up with a Milwaukee team which averages 124.3 ppg here at home. Allowing only 105.2 ppg here, the Bucks have a perfect 6-0 home record, covering the number in five of those. In fact, even the lone non-cover here was an 11-point win when they were favored by -11.5. In other words, all six games here have been double-digit victories. Expect another one tonight.
|11-14-18||Buffalo v. Ohio -1||Top||17-52||Win||100||55 h 44 m||Show|
I'm playing on OHIO (10* MAIN EVENT). Yes, I successfully played against the Bobcats, at Miami, last week. However, I've also won with them this season and I'm coming right back with them here. Even after spotting Miami a 28-7 lead, the Bobcats were never out of it. Here at home, they've been dominant, a perfect 4-0. Their last two games here saw the Bobcats win by a combined score of 101-28. Granted, Buffalo has had an excellent season. Even if the Bobcats beat the Bulls here, its going to be very difficult to catch them in the MAC East. Buffalo's final game is on the road. However, it comes against a weak Bowling Green team. So, the Bulls know that even if lose this one, they're still in pretty good shape. Division implications aside, expect the Bobcats to make a statement, showing that they may finish second in the East but that they can beat any team in the league, at least when playing on their home field.
|11-12-18||Louisiana-Monroe v. Texas -20||Top||55-65||Loss||-105||10 h 53 m||Show|
I'm playing on TEXAS (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Longhorns are 2-0 SU but 0-2 ATS thus far. Off a hard fought win over Arkansas, tonight's opponent provides the perfect opportunity for a "feel good" blowout win. Texas won 80-59 when these teams last met and the gap figures to be even larger this time. LA Monroe's games against Jackson State and Millsaps College won't have prepared them for the type of athleticism and intensity that they're going to see tonight. This one gets ugly.
|11-12-18||Magic v. Wizards -9||Top||109-117||Loss||-105||9 h 16 m||Show|
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (10* GAME OF WEEK). Off a win at Miami and now with some positive momentum, the Wizards badly need to string together victories. This figures to be the perfect opponent and situation to get one. While the Wizards had yesterday off, the Magic were busy beating up on the Knicks. Sure, that wasn't the most taxing win. However, its still worth mentioning that the Magic are an ugly 11-25-1 ATS (10-27 SU) the past couple of seasons, when off an upset win. The Magic just beat the Wizards, at Orlando, a few nights ago. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect the revenge-minded Wizards to get some payback.
|11-11-18||Saints v. Bengals +5||Top||51-14||Loss||-105||121 h 47 m||Show|
I'm playing on CINCY (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Saints have sure been on a nice roll. However, this will mark the fifth time that they played on the road, in their past seven games. Off a big win over the previously undefeated Rams, preceded by a big win over the Vikings, the team which knocked them out of the playoffs last season, I feel that the Saints are going to be ripe for a letdown here. Note that the Saints have long struggled against the AFC North, going 8-20-2 ATS their last 30. While the Saints were busy battling the Rams last week, the Bengals are coming off a bye. The Bengals have won three of four home games and I expect AT LEAST a cover Sunday afternoon.
|11-10-18||Nets v. Warriors -8||Top||100-116||Win||100||11 h 35 m||Show|
I'm playing on GOLDEN STATE (10* PERS FAV). Many aren't going to be willing to back the champs tonight. Not without Curry. Not without Green. As a result, we're getting the champs at a far lower line than we normally would; GS was laying -15 when hosting the Nets last season. I feel thats providing us with excellent value. With the venue and schedule in their favor, Durant, Thompson and co. still have more than enough to deliver a double-digit win tonight. After getting hammered by the Bucks on Thursday, the well-coached Warriors are going to be all business tonight. While the Warriors had last night off, the Nets are off a hard-fought (112-110) win in the high altitude of Denver. They're already 0-2 SU/ATS this season, when playing the second of b2b games. They lost those games by 20 and 19 points. More of the same here.
|11-09-18||Celtics v. Jazz -3||Top||115-123||Win||100||14 h 2 m||Show|
I'm playing on UTAH (10* MAIN EVENT). Last night's game at Phoenix worked out about as well as I could have possibly hoped. Not only did I cover with the Suns but the Celtics were forced to fight back and win the game in overtime. The starters had to log some pretty heavy minutes, Irving going over the 43-minute mark. While the Celtics were having to give everything they had, the Jazz had last night off. The Celtics are already 0-1 ATS when playing the second of b2b games and they're now 2-5 ATS on the road. The Jazz snapped their losing streak last time out, winning by 15 points. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect them to carry the positive momentum from that game into tonight's contest, en route to a win and cover.
|11-09-18||Toledo v. Oakland +6||Top||87-86||Win||100||11 h 37 m||Show|
I'm playing on OAKLAND (10* BEST BET). When these teams met at Toledo last season, the line was basically a pick'em. (Toledo closed as a 1-point favorite and won 87-74.) Oakland played that game without one of its top players, Jaylen Hayes, who was out with suspension. Hayes has moved on, as have Nunn and Walker. All three averaged 17 or more points last season. So, those are indeed some big shoes to fill. That said, this is a well-coached team and the cupboard isn't nearly as bare as many seem to feel. The Golden Griffins come in with some confidence, winning their first game by a 99-44 margin. Sure, the opponent (Kalamazoo) was a joke but the fact that they've got that big win under their belt will benefit them. While the Rockets should have another good season and do return a number of key players, the loss of Fletcher (18.1 ppg, 8 rbg) is significant. (He had 20/8 in last year's game.) Last year's game was closer than the final score indicated, the Grizzlies trimming the gap twice in the second half. While I respect the Rockets, I expect the Grizzlies to give them all they can handle here.
|11-08-18||Celtics v. Suns +10||Top||116-109||Win||100||14 h 38 m||Show|
I'm playing on PHOENIX (10* BEST BET). With the Celtics off b2b losses, many will be expecting them to bounce back with an easy win tonight. However, those b2b losses continue a pattern and should be of concern to anyone looking to lay the big number tonight. Through six road games, the Celtics are 3-3. A closer look shows that only one of those six games resulted in a win of greater than six points. With a "bigger game" (Utah) on deck tomorrow, I feel that the Celtics are going to have trouble covering the big number here. The Suns covered both meetings with Boston last season, losing by five and eight points. In fact, they covered both meetings the previous season, too. Including those results, Phoenix is 14-8 ATS is last 22 against teams from the Atlantic while Boston is 8-12 ATS its last 20 against Pacific teams. Unlike their guests, the Suns don't play tomorrow. Their full focus is on the task at hand. Though Booker isn't quite 100% yet, he's got a handful of games under his belt now and is still playing at a high level. Ayton, the #1 pick, is off to a strong start and gives them a new dynamic. Expect their best effort to lead to AT LEAST another cover tonight.
|11-08-18||Panthers +4 v. Steelers||Top||21-52||Loss||-105||56 h 16 m||Show|
I'm playing on CAROLINA (10* VIOLATOR). Both teams are hot. The Panthers have won three straight and five of six. The Steelers have won four straight and five of six. That said, I like the Panthers. While Pittsburgh is only 4-6 ATS its last 10 as a home favorite in the -3.5 to -7 range, Carolina is 11-5 ATS its last 16 as an underdog. The Panthers are also already 2-0 SU/ATS against AFC opponents, going 7-2-1 ATS (7-3 SU) their last 10. They hammered both Baltimore and Cincy by double-digits. While the Steelers figure to present a tougher challenge, in a game which could well come down to the wire, I'm taking the points.
|11-07-18||Nuggets v. Grizzlies +4||Top||87-89||Win||100||13 h 25 m||Show|
I'm playing on MEMPHIS (10* BEST BET). The Nuggets are almost always tough at home. However, they're still just 36-50 on the road the past couple of seasons and a closer look at their schedule reveals that they've faced some relatively easy opponents through this season's first four games. Their last two on the road were at Cleveland and Chicago. (Those teams are a combined 4-17 and they're both only won one game on their own home floor.) Tonight, the Nuggets will face a Grizzly team which is a perfect 3-0 on its home floor, outscoring visiting teams by a commanding average of 118.3 to 102.7. The Grizzlies covered both home games against the Nuggets last season, most recently winning outright as a 7-point underdog. Expect them to continue their strong homecourt play this evening.
|11-07-18||Ohio v. Miami-OH +4.5||Top||28-30||Win||100||12 h 26 m||Show|
I'm playing on MIAMI OHIO (10* VIOLATOR). With the line climbing above three, in my opinion, we're getting excellent value with the home underdog. Note that Miami is 12-6 ATS its last 18, when getting points. Note that Ohio will be playing its second straight road game. This marks the third time that the Bobcats played b2b games away from home. In both previous cases, they lost. Off a neutral site game, they lost (but covered) at Cincy the next week. (I won with Ohio that week.) Off a game at Kent State, the Bobcats then lost at NIU. Note that both games were very close, each decided by four or less. Miami won its last game here by a score of 31-6 and lost its previous one by a single points. I like Miami's chances of the outright upset but in a game that may well come down to the wire, I'll happily grab the points.
|11-06-18||La Salle v. Temple -9||Top||67-75||Loss||-112||26 h 15 m||Show|
I'm playing on TEMPLE (10* BEST BET). Fran Dunphy succeeded John Chaney as Temple head coach in 2006. In 12 seasons with the Owls, he's got a 247-152 record. Today's game figures to have extra special meaning to Dunphy, for a few reasons. Its his final year as head coach, he'll step aside after this game. So, this will be the last time that he plays a season opener. Additionally, its the last time that he'll face La Salle, unless the teams end up meeting in tournament play. Thats noteworthy as Dunphy graduated from La Salle. Over the years, he's gone 28-8 against his alma mater, 15-4 as a coach of the Owls. Expect him to have his team ready, the players recognizing the significance of the game to their coach and pulling away for a double-digit win.
|11-04-18||Knicks v. Wizards -6.5||Top||95-108||Win||100||10 h 16 m||Show|
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. The season may be still early but these are desperate times for the Wizards. They began the season by dropping a pair of home games, both very close losses. Next, they went 1-4 on a tough West Coast road trip. They've since returned home and got blown out by OKC. Worse, after this, they go back on the road for another three games. This team is better than its shown and the Porzingis-less Knicks are the perfect opponent to get healthy against. Wizards bounce back big.
|11-04-18||Bears v. Bills +10||Top||41-9||Loss||-105||75 h 17 m||Show|
I'm playing on BUFFALO (10* GAME OF WEEK). Everyone just saw the Bills lose, while failing to cover, against the Patriots on National TV. Off that loss, oddsmakers know that few bettors were going to want to back the Bills and were forced to put up a big number. I believe that it'll prove to be too high. While the Bears are clearly an improved team, they still aren't the type of team capable of winning by double-digits on the road. They're played three road games, winning only one of them. All three games were decided by three or fewer points. Despite the lopsided score last week, the Bills were in position to cover right up until the end, a late pick-6 doing them in. They're still playing hard. I expect them to give the Bears all they can handle.
|11-03-18||Louisiana Tech v. Mississippi State -20.5||Top||3-45||Win||100||127 h 20 m||Show|
I'm playing on MISS. STATE (10* NON-CONF GAME OF YEAR). The team from the SEC won last year's "Bulldog Battle" by 36 points. That was at LA Tech, too. With this year's rematch being placed at Miss. State, I'm absolutely expecting another lopsided result. The Bulldogs are 3-0 SU/ATS when facing a team from outside of SEC play, making the most of every non-conf. opportunity. LA Tech is playing the second of b2b road games. They'll face a Miss. State team which is outscoring teams by an average of 35.2 to 10.2 here at home. Their last two games here have been blowout victories over A&M and Auburn. Expect a one-sided affair.
|11-03-18||Montreal +7.5 v. Hamilton||Top||30-28||Win||100||55 h 50 m||Show|
I'm playing on MONTREAL (10* GAME OF MONTH). I played on the Als last week and they rewarded me with a 40-10 victory. While their season is over, I expect the Als to want this one more than their hosts. This is the Als' final game of the season and they really want to build off last week's big win and carry some positive momentum - and good feelings - into the offseason. While June Jones may say otherwise, the Ti-Cats, on the other hand, could care less about this game. Already very banged-up and guaranteed of facing BC in the playoffs next week, the Ti-Cats just want to avoid further injury. I'll gladly take all the generous points but I'm expecting an outright upset.
|11-02-18||Thunder v. Wizards -2||Top||134-111||Loss||-110||13 h 16 m||Show|
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. The Wizards badly need a win. Tonight, they've got both the venue and the schedule working in their favor. While Washington had last night off, OKC is off a relatively hard-fought win at Charlotte. Though I played on the Thunder in their recent win against the Clippers, they're now playing their third game in the past four days. Washington coach Scott Brooks, former coach of the Thunder, has made sure his current team takes care of business when hosting his former team. The Wizards beat the Thunder by six here last season after blowing them out by 22 here the previous season. Howard will be on a minutes restriction in returning tonight but anything extra he can provide will be a bonus. Expect the Wizards to bounce back, moving to 8-2 the past 10 times that they were off three or more consecutive losses.
|11-01-18||Clippers v. 76ers -4.5||Top||113-122||Win||100||23 h 13 m||Show|
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA (10* GAME OF WEEK). The 76'ers have gotten off to a poor start at the betting window. Those sup-par ATS results are working in our favor tonight, keeping the line lower than it easily could have been. The 76'ers have faced nothing but Eastern Conf. opposition so far. Tonight, they'll get to add to a 39-21 ATS mark the past two seasons, against teams from the West. The 76ers got blown out at Toronto last time out. They're a perfect 4-0 SU on this floor though and they're also 27-16-1 ATS the last 44 times that they were off a double-digit loss. More? With an O/U line in the high 220s, note that the 76'ers are a lucrative 25-11 ATS the past 36 times that they played a home game with an O/U line of 220 or greater. Expect them to improve on those stats here.
|11-01-18||Ohio v. Western Michigan -2||Top||59-14||Loss||-105||82 h 58 m||Show|
I'm playing on WESTERN MICHIGAN. I had the 'over' in last week's WMU game. So, I wasn't thrilled when QB Wassinick went down in the first quarter. However, Kaleb Eleby quickly put my mind at rest. Eleby completed his first eight passes and finished the game 23-for-28 for 293 yards, two touchdowns and a QB rating of 193.6. While the Broncos still lost, poor QB play wasn't the problem. This week, the Broncos will face Ohio, a team that they beat (29-23) to win the MAC title a couple of years ago. The Broncos did a fantastic job of shutting down the Ohio running game in that one, holding the Bobcats to 37 yards on 22 carries. Overall, they held a commanding edge in total yards and time of possession. The Broncos were favored by more than two TDs (opened at -18, closed at -16.5) for that one, despite the game being played at Ford Field. Of course, the faces are different now and much has changed. However, not enough has changed to warrant such a massive pointspread swing, in my opinion. While I respect the Bobcats (won with them at Cincy) they've only won one of four games away from home and that came by a single point. True, the Broncos got lit up last week. Its also true that the last time that they were off a loss, they responded with a 68-0 win, the start of a 6-game winning streak. They're 2-1 ATS the past couple of seasons off a conference loss and 4-1 ATS when playing a game where the line ranged from -3 to +3. Expect them to bounce back and improve on those stats Thursday.
|10-30-18||Clippers v. Thunder -2.5||Top||110-128||Win||100||14 h 55 m||Show|
I'm playing on OKC (10* PERS FAV). I won with the Clippers when these teams faced each other, at LA, on 10/19. Not only were the Thunder playing on the road, they were without Westbrook. The Thunder are back home now though and Westbrook now has a few games under his belt. I expect their best effort tonight and feel that the line is very reasonable. The Thunder have dominated the Clippers here in recent seasons, including 8-point and 9-point wins last season. Playing with 'recent revenge,' expect more of the same tonight.
|10-29-18||Lakers v. Wolves||Top||120-124||Win||100||13 h 40 m||Show|
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (10* MAIN EVENT). Neither team has gotten off to the start it was hoping for. Both will be hungry for a win tonight. Knowing that they'll face Utah next, followed by a difficult 5-game road trip, which begins at Golden State and Portland and which includes these same Lakers, I expect the T-Wolves sense or urgency to be a little greater. Playing on their home floor, the Wolves got blown out last time. However, they're still 2-1 here, now 53-34 the past 2+ seasons. The Lakers, on the other hand, have 1-2 on the road, the lone win coming at Phoenix. The Wolves had plenty of success against the Lakers prior to Lebron's arrival. Expect them to continue that success for at least one more night.
|10-28-18||Wizards +3.5 v. Clippers||Top||104-136||Loss||-105||15 h 50 m||Show|
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (10* BEST BET). The Wizards started out the trip with a win at Portland, proving that they're capable of winning at a more difficult venue than this one. They got blown out at Golden State, which wasn't a surprise. Perhaps still feeling the effects of that loss, they also lost at Sacramento. Now, off b2b losses and just 1-4 to start the season, they're going to be extremely hungry tonight. The Wizards played the Clippers tough last season; they won by nine at Washington and lost by just one here at LA. With an O/U line currently at 228 or 229, the pace figures to favor the Wizards. The Clippers are 9-14 ATS (11-12 SU) the last 23 times that they played a home game with an O/U line of 220 or greater. During the same stretch, the Wizards were 12-7 SU/ATS when playing a road game with an O/U line of 220 or greater. I'll grab the points but am expecting an upset.
|10-28-18||Saints v. Vikings +1||Top||30-20||Loss||-112||128 h 5 m||Show|
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (10* TV GAME OF YEAR). I won with the Vikings when they beat the Saints 29-24 in the playoffs last season. Admittedly, I felt pretty fortunate to win that one; the victory coming on an unlikely Keenum to Diggs TD on the final play. That "good fortune" won't stop me from backing the Vikes again though. Minnesota opened at -3.5 and closed at -5.5 for that game. So, results varied, depending on when one played. However, the pointspread is essentially a non-factor in Sunday's rematch and I feel thats providing us with excellent value with the home team. Both teams are playing well. Since beating the defending champs, the Vikes have followed it up with back-to-back double-digit victories. Meanwhile, the Saints eked out a 1-point win (at Baltimore) last week and have now won five straight. That said, this will mark the Saints' fourth road game in their past five games. Thats a tough stretch and I expect it to catch up to them at this very hostile environment. While the Saints are still 9-10 SU on the road the past 2+ seasons, the Vikes are 15-5 here at home. Its worth noting that the Vikes are also 13-7 ATS the last 20 times that they played a game with a line in the -3 to +3 range. Expect home field and their superior defense to make the difference, in a statement win.
|10-28-18||Toronto v. Montreal||Top||10-40||Win||100||141 h 5 m||Show|
I'm playing on MONTREAL (10* GAME OF WEEK). As you may be aware, these teams just met at Toronto last week. Playing their home finale, the Argos won that one by four points. With both teams playing out the string, motivation becomes key. The team that wants it more has an excellent chance at victory. Playing at home with revenge from last week and looking to get Manziel a win, I expect the Als to be the team which wants it more. While the "W's" haven't been there, Manziel has been making major strides. You may recall that Toronto QB Franklin got the better of Manziel in 2013 SEC showdown between Missouri and A&M. Its taken five years but Manziel finally gets some payback.
|10-27-18||Washington State v. Stanford -3||Top||41-38||Loss||-102||124 h 34 m||Show|
I'm playing on STANFORD (10* PAC 12 GOM). The Cougars have been rolling but I expect the Cardinal to finally slow them down on Saturday. I won with the Cardinal in their last game, a road win at ASU. I really like the fact that game was on a Thursday, giving Stanford some extra time for this big showdown. This is a game that Stanford has had circled as the Cougars beat them each of the last two seasons, blowing them out here in 2016. The Cardinal haven't forgotten. While the Cougars are allowing 31.7 ppg on the road this season, the Cardinal are allowing 15.7 pgg at home. Playing at home, where they're 17-8 ATS the last 25 times that the O/U line ranged from 52.5 to 56, expect them to finish on top, covering the small number along the way.
|10-26-18||Bulls v. Hornets -9.5||Top||106-135||Win||100||27 h 6 m||Show|
I'm playing on CHARLOTTE (10* GAME OF MONTH). These teams just faced each other, at Chicago, on Wednesday. Playing on their home floor, the Bulls were able to eke out a 2-point win. All is not currently well in Chicago, however, as the team is dealing with some key injuries. Markkenen, Dunn and Valentine are all very important for this team and all remain out. The Bulls were able to overcome those injuries at home. On the road, against a determined revenge-minded opponent, is going to prove a different story.Now, Portis is also out. That leaves them extremely thin in the frontcourt. Parker will be expected to do a lot but he's not 100% healthy himeself and is hardly up to the task. Hutchinson not likely to cut it either. At 2-3, Charlotte coach James Borrego knows his team can ill afford another loss here. Off Wednesday's loss, Borrego commented: "My tendency right now is to go make changes all over the place. But we've got to stay disciplined, we've got to stay poised." The Hornets have had real trouble at Chicago. They beat the Bulls by 15 the last meeting here though. Expect Borrego's team to "stay poised" en route to another double-digit blowout win.
|10-26-18||Louisiana Tech v. Florida Atlantic -2.5||Top||21-13||Loss||-109||104 h 37 m||Show|
I'm playing on FAU (10* VIOLATOR). Its been a tough start to the season for the Owls. However, the reality is that they've had an extremely difficult schedule. They've only played three home games and they won all three of them. The four road games came at places like Oklahoma and UCF. A home game against LA Tech, a team the Owls hammered 48-23 last November, figures to be just what the doctor ordered. While the Bulldogs are off a win, note that they're already 0-2 ATS when off a conference victory. Both teams obviously need the win but the Owls arguably need it more. This is an FAU team which absolutely still expects to get to a bowl but one which knows it needs to take care of business in this game to make that goal realistic. Expect a win and cover.
|10-25-18||Flyers +1.5 v. Bruins||Top||0-3||Loss||-175||11 h 59 m||Show|
I'm playing PHILADELPHIA on the puck-line (10* PUCK LINE GAME OF WEEK, +1.5 goals.) Games between these teams are typically tight. The last two meetings were both decided by a single goal. Going back further finds that eight of the past 10 meetings were 1-goal games. While I like the Flyers' chances of an outright upset, I sense another tight one upcoming; the extra +1.5 goals may well prove critical. The Flyers have had a couple of days off, since losing against Colorado. They've done a good job in bouncing back with a victory off each of their last three losses. I won with the Bruins in their last game, a 4-1 win at Ottawa, as I knew they would be desperate to avoid a winless road trip. This is their first game back from that trip, one which began on the West Coast, and that can be tough. Expect the Flyers to give them all they can handle.
|10-24-18||Mavs v. Hawks +2||Top||104-111||Win||100||27 h 33 m||Show|
I'm playing on ATLANTA (10* MAIN EVENT). The Hawks opened the season with three straight road games. They lost the first two, badly. However, they closed the trip with a blowout win at Cleveland, which gives them some positive momentum coming into their home opener. The Hawks have had the past two days off and they also get the next two days off. The Mavs lost their lone road game, at Phoenix, by 21 points. They're without Nowitzki and they'll also be without Harrison Barnes, a significant blow. Additionally, Devin Harris is expected to remain out. Meanwhile, the Hawks are expecting to have Dedmon in the lineup for the first time this season. Even if his minutes are limited, as they'll likely be, he adds depth in the paint to complent Len. The Hawks have owned the Mavs over the past five years including another sweep last season. More of the same Wednesday.
|10-22-18||Suns v. Warriors -12.5||Top||103-123||Win||100||13 h 17 m||Show|
I'm playing on GS (10* VIOLATOR). Off last night's loss, the champs are going to be in an angry mood tonight. The young Suns are the perfect opponent to take their anger out on. The Warriors have won all eight meetings against the Suns the past couple of seasons. A look at last season's four games, all played in 2018, shows that all four resulted in double-digit victories. The Warriors won the two games at Oakland by an average of 28 points. (Including those victories, the Warriors are 47-3 SU the last 50 times that they were home favorites of -12.5 or more.) Note that they were laying -15 and -16 for those games and that we're getting a better line to work with, due to the b2b spot. With the champs looking to flex their muscles with a statement bounceback win, I'm expecting this one to be one-sided the entire way.
|10-22-18||Giants v. Falcons -3.5||Top||20-23||Loss||-103||34 h 21 m||Show|
I'm playing on ATLANTA (10* GAME OF WEEK). Neither team is where it wants to be, obviously. However, while the Giants' season is already a write-off, the Falcons still believe in theirs. Though they have an extremely difficult road ahead of them, the Falcons kept their hopes alive by beating the Bucs last week. They've got a more balanced and far more dangerous offense than do the Giants. While NY averages 19.5 ppg, 27th best in the NFL entering Sunday, the Falcons average 27.8, 9th best. At home, that number climbs to an impressive 34.5 points per game. With last week's win, the Falcons are 14-8 here the past 2+ seasons. That includes a 5-2 ATS mark as home favorites in the -3.5 to -7 range. During the same span, the Giants were 3-6 ATS (1-8 SU) as road underdogs in the 3.5 to 7 range, 5-14 on the road overall. While the Falcons have the type of offense capable of coming from behind, the same cannot necessarily be said of the Giants. Playing at home and trying to climb back into playoff relevance, expect the Falcons to put up another fairly big number and for the Giants to be unable to keep up.
|10-21-18||Browns v. Bucs -3||Top||23-26||Push||0||148 h 48 m||Show|
I'm playing on TB (10* NON-CONF GAME OF YEAR). While I successfully played against thm at Atlanta, the Bucs still played well in that game. Playing on the road against a desperate team, they refused to go away and took the game down to the wire. Now, they step down in class and return home. Cleveland has already shown its improved but last week's blowout loss to the Chargers revealed that there are still plenty of issuses. Still winless on the road, all the OT games have caught up. Note that Cleveland is 2-32 SU and 10-24 ATS its last 34 as an underdog. In fairness to the Bucs, they've played an awfully tough schedule. Three of their first five games were on the road (New Orleans, Chicago and Atlanta) and their two home games were against the defending Super Bowl champs, who they beat, and the Steelers, who they nearly beat. A home game against the Browns may not be as "easy" as it once was but its still far more appealing than hosting the likes of the Steelers or Eagles. Expect the Bucs, who know they have two road games on deck, to take advantage of the winnable home game, covering the small number along the way.
|10-20-18||Raptors v. Wizards +1||Top||117-113||Loss||-103||13 h 20 m||Show|
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (10* BEST BET). Off a 1-point loss in their opener, knowing that they embark on a tough 5-game road trip out West immediately following this game and facing the team which eliminated them from last season's playoffs, the Wizards are going to be extremely motivated to win this one. In addition to having the venue in their favor, they've got the schedule working for them. While the Wizards had yesterday off, the Raptors are off a hard-fought win over the Celtics last night and are now playing their third game in four days. Even with the loss in the opener, the Wizards are 61-31 on this floor the past couple of seasons. Expect them to improve on those stats this evening.
|10-20-18||Memphis v. Missouri -9.5||Top||33-65||Win||100||94 h 30 m||Show|
I'm playing on MISSOURI (10* GAME OF MONTH). This game was already going to be very tough for the Tigers to win. However, last week's result will make it even more so. Memphis is off a heart-breaking loss against UCF. The Tigers were up big at halftime, squandered the lead, had a chance to win, only to lose 31-30. As quarterback Brady White said: "This one hurts, for sure. We should've won that game." That very likely killed Memphis' hopes of competing for a division title. Those type of losses often take a toll and I expect that to be the case here. Missouri is off games against Georgia, South Carolina and Alabama, the last two of which came on the road. A break from SEC play will provide a welcome relief. Missouri is already 2-0 SU/ATS as a home favorite this season, winning by 37 and 27. Expect another double-digit win on Saturday afternoon.
|10-18-18||Stanford -2.5 v. Arizona State||Top||20-13||Win||100||75 h 34 m||Show|
I'm playing on STANFORD (10* ANNIHILATOR). The Cardinal had to fight hard to come back to beat Oregon. That victory seemed to take a toll, as they were hammered at Notre Dame the next week. Their undefeated record snapped, they followed it up with another loss, vs Utah, after that. Having had some time off, since those back-to-back losses, I expect the Cardinal to respond with their best effort on Thursday night. Stanford is 7-1 SU (5-2-1 ATS) its last eight as a road favorite. That includes a 3-0-1 ATS mark as a road favorite of three or fewer points. The Cardinal have suffered b2b SU losses (in the same season) twice over the past couple of seasons. Each time, they responded by winning and covering their next game, a 17-10 win at Notre Dame and a 58-34 win against UCLA. Expect them to bounce back with another win and cover Thursday.
|10-17-18||Grizzlies v. Pacers -6.5||Top||83-111||Win||100||32 h 13 m||Show|
I'm playing on INDIANA (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Pacers were a combined 58-29 here the past two seasons, 29-15 last year. The Grizzlies, on the other hand, were a combined 25-60 on the road, a dismal 6-35 last year. Given that the Pacers are projected to win about 47.5 games this season, compared to 34.5 for Memphis, this line could easily be higher. While both games were close, the Pacers swept the Grizzlies last season. Expect them to finish on top once again, covering the relatively small number along the way.
|10-15-18||49ers +10 v. Packers||Top||30-33||Win||100||35 h 31 m||Show|
I'm playing on SF (10* MAIN EVENT). While they may only have one win, the 49ers have been competitive in every game. They're worst loss came by 11 and that was at KC. (They're outgaining opponents by a 378-348 average on the season.) Meanwhile, the Packers actually only have one victory by more than a point - and that was against Buffalo. Expect the 49ers to come to play, giving their hosts all they can handle and improving to 32-10 ATS their last 42 under the Monday night lights.
|10-14-18||Bucs v. Falcons -3||Top||29-34||Win||100||117 h 24 m||Show|
I'm playing on ATLANTA (10* GAME OF MONTH). Needless to say, with a 1-4 record and with Carolina and New Orleans sitting at 3-1 and 4-1, this is a must-win game for the Falcons. The Bucs came back down to earth in a big way last time out (48-10 loss) and now Winston will be making his first start of the season. While they don't count close losses in the standings, it should be noted that Atlanta could easily have a better record and is still a talented team. The Falcons are still 13-8 here the past 2+ seasons, the Bucs are still 7-11 on the road, during the same period. The Falcons won both meetings against the Bucs last season, including a 34-20 victory in the game here at Atlanta. Note that the Falcons were laying -10 for that one. While salvaging the season isn't going to be at all easy, I don't believe that Falcons are ready to pack it in quite yet. Expect their best effort to lead to a win and cover.
|10-13-18||Colorado v. USC -7||Top||20-31||Win||100||58 h 14 m||Show|
I'm playing on USC (10* GAME OF WEEK). Colorado comes in with the higher ranking but the Trojans are favored for good reason. While all they can do is beat who the teams that they face, a closer look at the Buffaloes' schedule shows that its been very soft. The only true road game was at Nebraska and the Huskers have been a mess. The other games came against Colorado State, UCLA, New Hampshire and Arizona State - none of which have the type of talent that USC does. The Trojans are still undefeated at home and they're off back-to-back victories of their own. Those two wins (vs. Washington State and at Arizona) are both arguably more impressive than anything Colorado has accomplished. The Trojans won at 14 at Colorado this season. Look for the Buffaloes, just 4-9 ATS the last 13 times that they were listed as road underdogs in the 3.5 to 7 range, to come back down to earth.
|10-13-18||Ottawa v. Edmonton -3.5||Top||16-34||Win||100||75 h 30 m||Show|
I'm playing on EDMONTON (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Eskimos cost me last week, a game that they were covering the entire way, until the final couple of minutes. However, that won't prevent me from backing them again here. A look at eight meetings between these teams, here at Edmonton, reveals that the Eskimos were 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS. They were favored by an average of eight points in those games. This week's line is a lot lower and I believe thats providing excellent value. Eskimos bounce back.
|10-12-18||Air Force v. San Diego State -10||Top||17-21||Loss||-125||59 h 45 m||Show|
I'm playing on SAN DIEGO STATE (10* PERS FAV). Since losing its opening game to Stanford, San Diego State has been rolling. The Aztecs have now won four straight, most recently beating Boise, on the blue turf, last Saturday. That was a huge win for them and opened the door for a run at a New Year's Day Bowl. They're not going to let a weaker team like Air Force slow their momentum. Indeed, the Aztecs are 9-1 ATS (10-0 SU) their last 10 against sub-500 teams. While the Falcons are off a win over Navy, they'd lost their previous three. Though they, of course, do it differently, the Falcons are a team which runs the ball. Thats noteworthy as the Aztec defense was absolutely dominant against the Boise ground game. The Broncos managed just 51 rushing yards on 36 attempts. The Aztecs also successfully slowed the Falcons ground game (220 yards) in winning last season's game. Including that result, the Falcons are just 4-14 ATS their last 18 in conference play. Expect the short turn-around to work in the Aztecs' favor, as they ultimately pull away for a double-digit win.
|10-08-18||Redskins +6 v. Saints||Top||19-43||Loss||-108||28 h 60 m||Show|
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (10* BEST BET). Brees should get his record but the Skins will be the team which comes away with the cover. Last season's meeting here was decided by three points (in OT) and the Skins are arguably a stronger team now. Note that Washington led by double-digits, entering the fourth quarter. The Saints have only one victory by more than six points through this season's first four games. They're just 1-1 here at home and that win came by three points, against Cleveland. The Skins, 2-0 SU off their bye week the past two seasons, have had extra time to prepare. They won their only road game this season and check in off a victory against Green Bay. Like last season, this one may well come down to the wire. I'm grabbing the points.
|10-08-18||Edmonton +4 v. Saskatchewan||Top||12-19||Loss||-107||170 h 26 m||Show|
I'm playing on EDMONTON. After getting embarrassed (30-3) in their last game, the Eskimos are going to be in an angry mood here. They've had an extra day of rest than the Riders, who squeaked past the Als, at Montreal, the next day. When these teams met in August, at Edmonton, the Eskimos were favored by seven points. (Edmonton won by 7.) While the venue has obviously changed, I don't think that's enough to warrant such a big difference in the line. The Eskimos have won three of their last five visits here outright. Both losses came by seven or less, one by just a field goal. I'm grabbing the points.
|10-07-18||Raiders v. Chargers -4.5||Top||10-26||Win||100||54 h 7 m||Show|
I'm playing on LA (10* PERS FAV). As you're surely aware, the Raiders finaly got a win last week. However, that was at home, against Cleveland. Now, they're on the road against an arguably much tougher opponent. The Raiders' last visit here resulted in a 30-10 win for the Chagers. While the Chargers are only 2-2 and 1-3 ATS, their two losses came against the Rams and Chiefs, a pair of high level teams. When facing weaker opposition, they've taken care of business. While the Raiders have averaged 19.5 pgg in their two road games, the Chargers average 28.5 ppg and 454.5 ypg here at home. Factoring in that that the Raiders also allow more than 30 ppg and more than 400 ypg, when playing on the road, we can expect the Chargers to put up another fairly big number. Like last year, the Raiders will be unable to keep up.
|10-07-18||Titans v. Bills +3.5||Top||12-13||Win||100||144 h 44 m||Show|
I'm playing on BUFFALO (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Bills are going to be a desperate team here. At 1-3 and with a pair or road games up next, they know that they need to take care of business here. The Titans may be ripe for a letdown as they are off an emotional OT win over the defending champs. Note that ALL three of their victories have come by fewer than four points. In other words, they have yet to win a game by more than field goal this season. True, the Bills have gotten off to a tough start. However, the blowout victory at Minnesota shows that they're capable and I feel that this is a team they'll match up well against. With the Titans just 2-7-1 ATS (4-6 SU) the last 10 times that they were off two or more consecutive victories, I'm grabbing the points.
|10-06-18||Northwestern v. Michigan State -10||Top||29-19||Loss||-110||65 h 46 m||Show|
I'm playing on MICHIGAN STATE (10* GAME OF WEEK). I believe that this is going to prove a tough spot for Northwestern. The Wildcats very nearly upset Michigan last week. However, after leaving it all on the field, they ended up coming up a little short, Michigan winning 20-17. After coming so close to scoring the monumental upset, only to come up short, I expect them to have trouble focusing on the task at hand here. The Spartans are coming in with payback on their minds, after losing last season's meeting in triple-OT and after the Wildcats upset them here the previous season. The Spartans are highly experienced on both sides of the ball and they haven't forgotten those games. Expect a double-digit win.
|10-05-18||Georgia Tech v. Louisville +4.5||Top||66-31||Loss||-110||73 h 7 m||Show|
I'm playing on LOUISVILLE (10* BEST BET). The Cardinals' tough (2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS) start has helped in providing us with excellent value. However, lets not forget that the Cards were underdogs for all three of the games that they dropped, so the losses weren't entirely unexpected. The Jackets are also 2-3 and they have yet to win on the road. In fact, including their losses at USF and Pittsburgh, the Jackets are 0-4 SU/ATS the past four times that they were laying points on the road. The Cards are 25-14 ATS the last 39 times that they were off b2b consecutive SU losses.
|10-04-18||Colts v. Patriots -10||Top||24-38||Win||100||84 h 5 m||Show|
I'm playing on NEW ENGLAND (10* ANNIHILATOR). The Pats got going in a big way last week and I expect them to carry the momentum into Thursday's game. Playing at home, in b2b weeks, when playing on a short week is an advantage. The Colts, meanwhile, will be playing their third road game in the past four weeks and they're coming off a hard-fought OT loss against Houston. That defeat was both emotionally and physically draining and its going to be tough to bounce back quickly against a suddenly surging New England team which is going to be looking to make a statement on National TV. Expect a blowout.