|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|02-14-19||Thunder v. Pelicans +3.5||Top||122-131||Win||100||28 h 56 m||Show|
I’m playing on the New Orleans Pelicans (10* GAME OF THE MONTH). OKC enters off a 120-111 home win over Portland, while New Orleans comes in off a humbling 118-88 loss at home to Orlando. This is a revenge game of sort for the Pelicans as well, as the Thunder have taken two of three in the season series, including the latest matchup 122-116 back on January 24th. The Thunder come in on top form having won four straight, but with the All Star game up next and with Paul George and Russell Westbrook both headed to the festivities, I think the visitors get caught “looking ahead” to the much needed time off. The Pelicans of course are in a period of transition with star Anthony Davis having already decided to leave the team after the season is done. Davis had just 3 points in his team’s loss last time out, but I expect the big man to bounce back and play like a professional here. The 3 points were the fewest points he’s put up in his career (when playing a minimum of 21 minutes) and I believe he’ll take that personally. I expect the visitors to “check out” of this one early and for the home side to play with some determination after getting “shellacked” so badly last time out. Grab the points, Pelicans roll.
|02-13-19||Kings v. Nuggets -7.5||Top||118-120||Loss||-110||27 h 52 m||Show|
I’m playing on the Denver Nuggets (10* PERSONAL FAVORITE) How motivated are these teams to win their final game before the All Star break? In my opinion, I think this one mean a lot “more” to the home side. The Kings have been playing great of late having won five of their last six. But would anyone fault Sacramento for finally having a letdown here before the break? The Nuggets though are in a fight still for top spot in the West and I can’t see them taking the foot off the gas quite yet after winning seven of their last ten. Sacramento is also just 2-8 ATS in its last ten on the road and only 4-10 ATS in its last 14 vs. teams with winning records. I think the home side keeps the foot on the gas from start to finish. Lay the points, Nuggets roll.
|02-11-19||Nets +10.5 v. Raptors||Top||125-127||Win||100||25 h 12 m||Show|
I’m playing on the Nets (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Outright upset? Probably not. But I do think that the sliding Nets will be playing with extreme determination tonight. Brooklyn comes to town focused after a humbling 125-106 home loss to the Bulls on Friday, while Toronto enters off a more difficult than expected 104-99 road win over the Knicks. These teams have split two games so far this year. But after dropping five of their last six, I think that the Nets are clearly the more desperate team in this matchup, as the Raptors enter having won four straight. Additionally note that the Nets are a near-perfect 6-1 ATS this season when playing with two days rest, while the Raptors are just 13-14 ATS at home and just 2-10 ATS after covering three of its last four vs. the spread. Grab the points, Nets roll.
|02-10-19||Lakers +7 v. 76ers||Top||120-143||Loss||-100||21 h 41 m||Show|
I’m playing on the LA Lakers (10* BEST BET) Clearly the outright win isn’t out of the question here, but in what I expect to be a very competitive battle, I’m going to grab the points. The Lakers come off perhaps a season defining 129-128 road win in Boston on Thursday and I think they carry that momentum over here. The 76ers come in off a 117-110 home win over Denver. The Lakers play with revenge here though after Philadelphia won 121-105 in LA back on January 29th. The Lakers finally have LBJ back at 100% health and he posted a triple-double in the win over the C’s. While the 76ers are firmly entrenched as one of the top teams in the East, the Lakers can ill afford to take the foot off the gas right now as they’re still 1.5 games back of the Clippers for the final playoff spot. This one simply means more to James and company and I believe that fact will be the difference maker here. Additionally note LA is 9-5 ATS this season as a road dog, while the 76ers are only 19-20 ATS as the favorite this year. Grab the points, Lakers roll.
|02-09-19||Hornets v. Hawks +2.5||Top||129-120||Loss||-100||25 h 37 m||Show|
I’m playing on the Hawks (10* BEST BET) Clearly the outright win isn’t out of the question here, but in the end I’ll recommend grabbing the points. The Hornets come in off a 99-93 road loss in Dallas, while Atlanta fell 119-101 to Toronto in its most recent action. This is a revenge game for the Hawks, as Charlotte has taken two of three in the season series this year, including a 108-94 win at home in the most recent on November 28th. Both teams comes in hungry, but I think that the home floor will be the difference for this improving Hawks team. And note as well that Charlotte is only 1-4 ATS in its last five as a road favorite, while ATL is 6-1 ATS in its last seven off a home loss of ten points or more. Grab the points, Hawks roll.
|02-08-19||Bulls +8.5 v. Nets||Top||125-106||Win||100||24 h 6 m||Show|
I’m playing on the Chicago Bulls (10* VIOLATOR) The Bulls came up short in their 125-120 home loss to New Orleans last time out, but I think they can come in under the radar here and keep this one competitive vs. the complacent Nets, who pulled away for a satisfying 135-130 home victory over the Nuggets. Chicago plays with revenge as well. In fact the Bulls have lost six straight in this series, including a 122-117 road loss on January 29th. Note that Chicago did make a good pick up at the trade deadline, moving Bobby Portis and Jabari Parker to Washington for Otto Porter Jr. The Nets are comfortably in eighth spot in the East, but note that they’re just 2-5 ATS in their last seven after allowing 130 points or more. Chicago on the other hand has responded well in this spot, going 9-4 ATS in its last 13 after a loss by six points or less. I think the hungrier team keeps this one competitive late. Grab the points, Bulls roll.
|02-07-19||Grizzlies v. Thunder -14||Top||95-117||Win||100||12 h 41 m||Show|
I’m playing on the OKC Thunder (10* PERS FAV). I’m expecting a massive blowout here. The Grizz come to town off a highly satisfying 108-106 home win over the Wolves, while OKC pulled away for a 132-122 home win over Orlando on Tuesday. These teams haven’t played yet this year, but OKC has won seven straight in the series. The Grizz may have beaten bottom feeders New York and Memphis, but their achilles heels has been their play on the road where they’re just 11-16-1 ATS. The Grizz average only 100.4 PPG, while allowing 103.4. OKC is 14-11 ATS at home and it averages 115.2 PPG, while allowing 110. Memphis is still working on trying to trade Mike Conley and Marc Gasol and I believe it’s in well over its head here facing Russell Westbrook on his home floor, as he enters having posted seven straight triple-doubles. This line could/should be higher. Lay the points, Thunder roll.
|02-06-19||Pelicans v. Bulls||Top||125-120||Loss||-115||27 h 21 m||Show|
I’m playing on the Chicago Bulls (10* VIOLATOR) I think the Bulls get the job done on their home floor. The Pelicans played bravely without Anthony Davis in the line-up on Monday vs. the Pacers, but they came up short in the 109-107 setback. The Bulls enter off a 125-118 road loss in Charlotte, but they play with “triple revenge” here after losing three straight in the series, including the first one this season 107-98 on the road on November 7th. The Pelicans have now lost three straight and six of their last seven. New Orleans is just 13-15-1 ATS on the road. Chicago is only 10-15 ATS at home this year, but they’re a red hot 11-4 ATS in their last 15 when playing with three or more days rest. The Pelicans in contrast are only 1-3-1 ATS in their last five when playing on one days rest. The stage is set for a home side blowout. Bulls roll.
|02-05-19||Celtics -12 v. Cavs||Top||103-96||Loss||-105||27 h 34 m||Show|
I’m playing on the Boston CELTICS (10* GAME OF WEEK) Kyrie Irving won’t be in the line-up when Boston Celtics travel to Cleveland to take on the rebuilding Cavaliers on Tuesday, but I don’t think it’ll hardly matter. Cleveland of course is still playing without Kevin Love, it also recently traded Rodney Hood to Portland for future draft picks. Cleveland has two nights off before a game in the Nation’s capital on Friday night, so a possible “look ahead” isn’t out of the question for the home side either. Boston has won four straight, but I don’t think it’ll be taking anything for granted here with much more difficult upcoming games vs. the Lakers, Clippers and 76ers. Additionally note that Boston is 12-5 ATS already this year after scoring 105 points or more in four straight games, while the Cavs are only 9-13 ATS as a home underdog this season. Lay the points, Celtics roll.
|02-04-19||Hawks v. Wizards -6||Top||137-129||Loss||-105||28 h 37 m||Show|
10* play on the Washington Wizards. I think the Hawks will stumble in the Nation’s capital tonight. The Hawks come in off a highly satisfying 118-112 win over Phoenix on Saturday, while the Wizards enter off a humbling 131-115 loss at home to Milwaukee. If recent history is anything to go by though, then the Wizards have to be loving their chances for a bounce back performance tonight as they’ve already taken two of three in this season series, including a convincing 114-98 home win in the most recent matchup at the beginning of the year. Atlanta is already 3-3 on this seven game road trip, a record which it couldn’t have dreamed of obtaining before the trek started. I think the visitors come in very complacent here as they look ahead to time off and a long home stretch. The Wizards are still only 2.5 games back of Miami for a playoff spot and after getting trounced by the Bucks last time out, I believe they come in focused and take advantage of this spot. The Wizards are 6-1 ATS in their last seven following a double-digit loss at home, while the Hawks 0-5 ATS in their last five following an ATS win. Lay the points, Washington rolls.
|02-02-19||Hawks v. Suns -2||Top||118-112||Loss||-115||29 h 44 m||Show|
10* PERSONAL FAVORITE Phoenix Suns. It’s been a miserable season for Phoenix, it comes in at 11-42 overall and on a nine games overall losing streak. No excuses for the Suns here though as they’ll look to take advantage of the 16-34 Hawks. ATL is just 8-21 on the road and it’s in action on Friday night in Utah as well. And with one night off before a divisional contest in the nation’s capital on Monday, it also sets up as a trap/look-ahead for the visitors. Phoenix is all about earning that No. 1 pick in the lottery next year, but it’s going to win a few more games this season. And this is one of them. Lay the points, Suns finally roll to a convincing victory in front of the home town crowd.
|02-01-19||Hawks v. Jazz -11.5||Top||112-128||Win||100||29 h 32 m||Show|
I’m playing on the JAZZ (10* PERS FAV) The Hawks have for the most part struggled this year, especially on the road. Most recently they got smoked 135-113 in Sacramento on Wednesday. Utah enters off a poor effort as well, falling 132-105 on the road in Portland on Wednesday, but I think the Jazz can bounce back in big fashion in friendly confines. These teams played twice last year and the Hawks somehow inexplicably took both. Atlanta averages 110.2 points and it allows 117.9. The Jazz on the other hand average 108.6 PPG and they allow 105.7. Utah is 10-1-1 ATS in its last 12 following a SU loss as well. Lay the points, Jazz roll.
|01-31-19||Mavs v. Pistons -2.5||Top||89-93||Win||100||24 h 9 m||Show|
Dallas has admittedly looked a lot better this year than last (10* END OF MONTH BLOWOUT). It’s been competitive thanks in large part to the play of dynamic rookie Luca Doncic. The Mavs though had the foot on the gas from the opening tip until the final horn in their 114-90 win over the Knicks in New York just last night and I think they’ll be tired coming to the Motor City. Detroit’s hungry to avoid a three-game slide. It’s also out to avenge a loss to Dallas just last week. Previous to their win over the Knicks that Mavs had lost four of six and overall the road hasn’t been kind to Dallas. The favorite is 4-0-1 ATS the last five in this series and that strong trend carries over. Lay the points, Pistons roll.
|01-29-19||Bucks v. Pistons +6.5||Top||115-105||Loss||-100||12 h 33 m||Show|
I'm playing on DETROIT (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Pistons are going to be motivated to avoid the season sweep. I believe that they're catching the Bucks at the right time. Milwaukee had been hot but got cooled off its last game. Though the Bucks have been tough off a road loss, they've got a revenge game against Toronto on deck and I feel it may be easy to look past Detroit. That's going to prove costly though as the Pistons have Drummond back now and he's got a game under his belt. That makes them a far stronger team, as the combination of Griffin and Drummond is formidable. The Pistons are back home, after three straight on the road. While they're 4-4 SU their last eight overall, three of the four losses came by six or less. They're 16-7-1 ATS their last 24, off three straight on the road and 3-0 ATS their last three when listed as home underdogs in the 6.5 to 12 range. Expect a big effort to lead to AT LEAST another cover this evening.
|01-28-19||Warriors v. Pacers +8.5||Top||132-100||Loss||-110||25 h 1 m||Show|
I'm playing on INDIANA (10* MAIN EVENT). The Warriors have been on an impressive run. They're at the end of a 5-game road trip here though; off their big win at Boston and with big home games against the likes of Philadelphia, LA and San Antonio on deck, it should be easy to suffer a slight letdown against an Indiana team missing Oladipo. That'll prove costly though as the Pacers are still capable and still playing hard. They're especially tough to beat here at Indiana. Indeed, they're 12-2 here since the start of December, 3-0 their last three. Their 18-6 home record is actually better than the Warriors' 17-8 road mark. With the Pacers, who beat the Warriors both meetings last season, at 17-5 ATS the last 22 times that they were listed as home underdogs in the 6.5 to 12 range, I'm grabbing the points.
|01-26-19||76ers v. Nuggets -8.5||Top||110-126||Win||100||13 h 4 m||Show|
I'm playing on DENVER (10* GAME OF MONTH). I successfully played against the Nuggets recently. However, that was at Utah. Now, they're playing at home, where they've been nearly unbeatable. They already bounced back from the Utah loss by returning home and crusing the Suns by 37 points last night. Note that the Nuggets are 6-1 SU, when playing the second of b2b game and that last night's game was not exactly taxing. The Nuggets are now 21-4 here, 17-8 against the number. Thats the best home record in the West. The 76'ers, meanwhile, are 11-12 on the road. They've had Embid for most of those games, too. He's out tonight though. Needless to say, thats a big loss. Making matters worse, Butler saw a specialist for his wrist in LA yesterday and is considered doubtful, as I write this. The 76ers swept the Nuggets last season. Catching them short-handed, expect the Nuggets to get some payback with a double-digit win tonight.
|01-25-19||Wizards v. Magic -4||Top||95-91||Loss||-105||11 h 37 m||Show|
I'm playing on ORLANDO (3* VIOLATOR). The Wizards eked out a cover against the Warriors last night, losing by eight as a 9-point dog. After hosting the champs, don't be surprised when they experience a letdown, for a road game against the Magic the next night. While the Wizards were fighting hard, the Magic had yesterday off. The home team has already taken both meetings, the Magic winning by nine here at Orlando. (The Magic also won the previous game here, last spring, by nine.) While the Magic are 3-4 their last seven, they've been competitive in all four of the losses and they scored a minimum of 105 points in all seven of those games. Schedule in their favor, expect them to improve to a perfect 6-0 ATS when coming off five or more consecutive games where they scored 105 or more points.
|01-23-19||Nuggets v. Jazz -3||Top||108-114||Win||100||30 h 19 m||Show|
I'm playing on UTAH (10* MAIN EVENT). Homecourt always means a lot to both of these teams and it always means a lot when they face each other. Including a 103-88 win on Nov. 3rd, the Nuggets are a perfect 5-0 the past five times that they hosted the Jazz. Conversely, with a 106-77 destruction a few weeks later, on 11/28, the Jazz are a perfect 7-0 the past seven times that the hosted the Nuggets. All seven wins came by a minimum of four points. This season, the Nuggets are a dominating 20-4 at home but a modest 11-10 on the road. The Jazz are 13-13 on the road but 13-9 at home. Utah arguably needs this game more. Expect a huge effort from the Jazz and homecourt again ultimately proving the difference.
|01-22-19||Wolves -5 v. Suns||Top||118-91||Win||100||11 h 5 m||Show|
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (10* ANNIHILATOR). The Suns gave the T-Wolves all they could handle a couple of days ago, at Minnesota. The Wolves still won though and now we're getting them at a far lower line, due to the venue. However, with a 7-17 record here, homecourt doesn't mean much to the Suns though. The Wolves are still fighting for a playoff spot while the Suns are destined for the lottery. They're expected to be without Ayton (currently doubtful) here, made worse by the possible (likely?) absence of Richaun Homels, which is going to mean Towns is destined for a field day. Expect an inspired effort from the Wolves, as they improve to 7-1 ATS, after failing to cover the spread in four or five of their previous six games.
|01-21-19||Warriors -11 v. Lakers||Top||130-111||Win||100||15 h 49 m||Show|
I'm playing on GOLDEN STATE. The champs have a score to settle. You may recall that the Lakers embarrassed them on National TV on Christmas Day, at Oracle. Payback is indeed in order. While the Warriors, who now have Cousins in the lineup, are healthy, the Lakers are still without Lebron. The Lakers may still be feeling the effects off a tough 4-point OT loss at Houston, on Saturday. Meanwhile, off seven straight wins, the Warriors come in with plenty of momentum. Expect them to be all business here, avenging the earlier loss in blowout fashion.
|01-20-19||Suns v. Wolves -10||Top||114-116||Loss||-113||25 h 10 m||Show|
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (10* PERS FAV). I successfully played against the Suns yesterday and this is an excellent spot to go against them once again. While the Suns were busy getting blown out at Charlotte, the Wolves had yesterday off. They're going to be in an angry mood, too. Not only did they lose by eight at Phoenix last month but they're off b2b losses, a blowout loss followed by a close one. The Wolves are 2-0 SU/ATS when off a home loss off three or less, 7-4 ATS their last 11 in that situation. They're also 6-2 ATS after failing to cover in two or more consecutive games. These same two teams will face each other, at Phoenix, in two days. Knowing this to be the case, expect the rested, revenge-minded T-Wolves to take care of business in decisive fashion.
|01-19-19||Suns v. Hornets -6.5||Top||115-135||Win||100||23 h 49 m||Show|
I'm playing on CHARLOTTE (10* VIOLATOR). After losing three straight, the Hornets have rebounded with b2b blowout wins. I expect them to carry the positive momentum into today's game. Note that the Hornets are 4-2 ATS as home favorites in the -6.5 to -12 range and also 4-2 ATS when off a win of 15 or more points. The Suns are 0-2 to start their road trip and they've got the front end of a home-and-home with Minnesota on deck tomorrow. After getting blown out, they lost by just three last time out. The close losses can often be even tougher to bounce back from; the Suns are just 2-5 ATS off a loss by six or less, 14-23 ATS in that situation the past 2+ seasons. Expect a blowout.
|01-18-19||Nets v. Magic +1||Top||117-115||Loss||-110||22 h 47 m||Show|
I'm playing on ORLANDO (10* BEST BET). The Magic are playing well right now. Sure, they lost last time out. However, that was on the road and they took the Pistons to OT. Their last two home games, the Magic actually beaten the Rockets and Celtics. Going back further finds them at 4-0 SU/ATS their last four games here. Granted, the Nets are also playing well. In fact, they too, just defeated the Celtics and Rockets. Though they had yesterday off, that Houston win on Thursday may have taken an extra toll, a 145-142 OT thriller. An emotional and/or physical letdown could well be in order. Note that the Nets are only 2-5 SU/ATS off a win by three or less. They're also 2-7 ATS after having covered three of their previous four games. I think its important to note that these teams will meet in Brooklyn in less than a week. The Magic know this and know that they need to take care of business on their home floor. They've had excellent success against the Atlantic Division and it continues tonight.
|01-17-19||Kings v. Hornets -3||Top||95-114||Win||100||23 h 22 m||Show|
I'm playing on CHARLOTTE (10* PERS FAV). These teams just faced each other, at Sacramento, on Saturday. The Kings won by seven. Not surprising, given that Charlotte is just 6-15 on the road. Playing on their home floor, where they're a far better 14-8, I expect the revenge-minded Hornets to get some payback on Thursday. Note that the Hornets are 6-2 ATS their past eight when attempting to avenge a 'same season' loss. Charlotte was laying -10.5 for last season's meeting here. Things have changed but not that much. Payback time!
|01-15-19||Thunder v. Hawks +9||Top||126-142||Win||100||13 h 30 m||Show|
I'm playing on ATLANTA (10* BEST BET). While the Thunder have had a couple of days off, I feel that its going to be easy for them to look past the Hawks tonight. Note that OKC is just 4-6 ATS its last 10 as a road favorite in the -6.5 to -12 range. The Thunder are off a home-and-home split with the Spurs and they've got the Lakers on deck Thursday, a game which could mark Lebron's return. Looking past the Hawks will prove costly though, as Atlanta continues to play hard. The Hawks have quietly won four of their past six home games and only one of those two losses came by more than eight points. In fact, they even recently won a road game at Philadelphia. The Hawks had yesterday off and they don't play for a few days after this. Their full focus will be on the Thunder. The Hawks have scored 100 or more in six straight and 114 or more in each of their last two. They're 18-8 ATS the last 26 times that they'd scored 110 or more in b2b games and I expect AT LEAST another cover this evening.
|01-14-19||Hornets +8.5 v. Spurs||Top||108-93||Win||100||15 h 49 m||Show|
I'm playing on CHARLOTTE (10* MAIN EVENT). The Hornets are playing the final games of a road trip. Its been an unsuccessful trip and they're determined to close it with a victory. While that may or may not happen, I do expect their very best effort to lead to AT LEAST a cover. The Hornets have some extra motivation in that Tony Parker is returning "home." Additionally and perhaps more importantly, this is also Coach Borrego's first game against his former mentor, Popovich. While they had yesterday off, the Spurs may still be feeling the effects of Saturday's showdown at OKC. Note that the Spurs are just 1-3 ATS this season, as home favorites in the -6.5 to -12 range. Meanwhile, the Hornets are 6-2 ATS when having lost three of their previous four. In a game which figures to have some extra emotion, expect the Hornets to improve on those stats this evening.
|01-13-19||Blazers +4.5 v. Nuggets||Top||113-116||Win||100||25 h 27 m||Show|
I'm playing on PORTLAND (10* BEST BET). The Nuggets won by a point when these teams met in late November, at Portland. At the time, the Nuggets were red hot, in the midst of a 7-game winning streak, while while Blazers were in the middle of a 1-6 skid. Things set up much differently this time. While the Nuggets have still been playing well, they're now in a tough scheduling spot, which was not the case for the earlier meeting. Denver played last night at Phoenix and will now be playing its third game in the past four days, their fifth game in the past seven. Meanwhile, the rested Blazers are now 6-1 their last seven, instead of 1-6, as was the case earlier. The Blazers are 12-6 ATS their last 18 in the revenge role and that includes a 2-0 ATS mark when attempting to avenge a loss of three or fewer points. Schedule in their favor, expect the Blazers to improve on those stats Sunday evening.
|01-10-19||Celtics v. Heat +1||Top||99-115||Win||100||27 h 36 m||Show|
I'm playing on MIAMI (10* BEST BET). Wednesday's game against the Pacers was a big one for the Celtics. Not only are the Pacers ahead of the Celtics in the overall Eastern Conference standings but the Pacers had also beaten the Celtics three straight times, most recently a 1-point game back in early November. While the Celtics were busy playing that 'big game,' the Heat had Wednesday off. The last time that the Celtics played the second of b2b games, they lost by nine, at Detroit. The Heat know that four of their next five come on the road, one of those road games coming at Boston. In other words, they better take care of business here. They've beaten the Celtics twice in a row. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect them to do so again Thursday.
|01-07-19||Spurs v. Pistons +3.5||Top||119-107||Loss||-109||21 h 14 m||Show|
I'm playing on DETROIT (10* BEST BET). The Pistons fought hard last game and were within a point in the closing seconds. Ultimately, they lost by five vs. the Jazz, failing to cover by a bucket. Even with that result, however, they're a healthy 6-3 ATS against Western Conference opponents. I expect them to improve on those stats here. True, the Spurs are off four straight wins, the last three of those coming at home. They've won just three of their past nine road games though and one of those victories came by a single point, at Chicago. Its also worth noting that the Spurs are just 4-8 ATS the past 12 times that they were coming off three or more consecutive home wins and just 9-20 ATS, during the same span, when off four consecutive victories overall. Overall, San Antonio is 17-5 at home but 6-12 on the road. With a 10-11 home record, the Pistons can get back to .500 here with a win. They were five point underdogs against the Spurs here last season yet won by 14 points. Don't be surprised by another upset tonight.
|01-06-19||Nets v. Bulls +2.5||Top||117-100||Loss||-110||9 h 20 m||Show|
I'm playing on CHICAGO (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Nets won a close one here a few weeks ago, eking out a 3-point win. The Bulls are healthier now than they've been all season and thats translated to a 5-2 ATS mark their last seven. This afternoon's game provides a great opportunity to break through with an outright win. The Nets are banged-up themselves, missing the likes of LeVert, Crabbe and Hollis-Jefferson. After this game, the Bulls get a couple of days off before heading out on a West Coast road trip. They very nearly beat Indiana last time out and badly want a victory before hitting the road. Unlike the Bulls, the Nets have a big game tomorrow - the first of two, in a one week span, against the Celtics. That may make it easy to look past the Bulls. That'll prove costly though; the Bulls are 9-4 ATS off a home loss and 3-0 ATS off two or more consecutive home losses. Expect them to improve on those stats here.
|01-05-19||Jazz v. Pistons +2.5||Top||110-105||Loss||-105||8 h 18 m||Show|
I'm playing on DETROIT (10* BEST BET). Given the venue and schedule, I believe we're getting excellent value with the Pistons. While Detroit had the past couple of days off, the Jazz were busy beating Cleveland yesterday. Though that may not have been the most taxing game, the Jazz are still just 2-4 SU/ATS when playing the second of b2b games. Meanwhile, the Pistons are 6-2 ATS when playing with two day's rest, 18-11 ATS the past 2+ seasons. Even with last night's win, they're still only 11-12 on the road; the Pistons are 11-8 at home. The Pistons are 6-2 ATS against Western Conference teams, 40-26 ATS the past couple of seasons. Expect at least another cover.
|01-03-19||Rockets v. Warriors -8||Top||135-134||Loss||-106||14 h 0 m||Show|
I'm playing on GOLDEN STATE (10* MAIN EVENT). Even some diehard Warrior fans might be skeptical of laying this many points against Harden and the Rockets. Off b2b double-digit wins, I believe that the champs are finally back in the groove though. The calendar having flipped to 2019, they're going to use tonight's game to demonstrate that. The Rockets continue to be without Paul. Eric Gordon, who had contributed double-digits in scoring in his last seven straight games, 17 or more in his last five, normally logs heavy minutes in Paul's absence. However, he's out, too. Auston Rivers and James Ennis aren't likely to provide Harden with enough secondary scoring to keep up with Curry, Durant, Thompson and co. The Rockets won big when these teams met at Houston earlier. Expect the Warriors, who closed out the year by scoring 132 at Phoenix, to get some payback, improving to 5-0 ATS after scoring 130 or more in their previous game.
|12-31-18||Magic v. Hornets -7||Top||100-125||Win||100||11 h 53 m||Show|
I'm playing on CHARLOTTE (10* PERS FAV). While the Hornets had yesterday off, the Magic are off a close, hard-fought win against Detroit. They're now playing their third game in four days. They've dropped all three road games, when having played the previous day. The Hornets, who hammered Orlando by 32 earlier in the season, lost a close one at Washington on Saturday, their third loss (SU and ATS) in the last four games. They're 8-2 ATS off a loss by six points or less, 4-0 ATS after having dropped three of their last four. Note that the Hornets' recent losses have come on the road. They've won their last three at home by double-digits. Schedule in their favor, expect another one-sided win tonight.
|12-26-18||Suns v. Magic -4||Top||122-120||Loss||-110||27 h 40 m||Show|
I'm playing on ORLANDO (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Suns have been on a nice ATS winning streak. However, I fully expect it to come to an end here. The Suns will be playing fifth straight on the road, their final road game of 2018 and final road game for quite some time. I feel that they could easily be thinking ahead to the return trip home. While they did have a couple of days off over Christmas, the triple-OT and b2b games on 12/22 and 12/23 may still catch up with the Suns here. Note that they're 12-20 ATS the past 32 times that they played with two day's rest in between games, 2-4 ATS in that situation this season. Off three straight lopsided losses, the Magic are going to be extremely hungry. The Magic already hammered the Suns at Phoenix and are 4-0 SU the last four in the series, all four wins coming by a minimum of six points. Expect them to bounce back with their best effort, improving to 5-1 ATS the past six times that they were off three consecutive double-digit losses.
|12-25-18||Lakers v. Warriors -8.5||Top||127-101||Loss||-115||24 h 24 m||Show|
I'm playing on GOLDEN STATE (10* MAIN EVENT). The Warriors have been winning some close games of late, while failing to cover. That caused this line to come out in the single-digits. Make no mistake, the champs are still capable of laying down the hammer and winning games by double-digits. A Christmas Day visit from Lebron and the Lakers is the perfect opportunity to remind everyone of that fact. While Lebron is obviously still on top of his game, the Lakers, 8-14-1 ATS the past 23 times that they played a game with an O/U line of 230 or greater, don't have enough weapons to keep up. Not against the well-oiled machine which is the Warriors, finally back to health. While Durant did tweak an ankle last game, as of this writing, he's expected to be fine. (He typically dominates on Christmas, averaging 31.1 ppg.) Expect a "statement" win for the champs.
|12-23-18||Mavs v. Blazers -7||Top||118-121||Loss||-110||26 h 10 m||Show|
I'm playing on PORTLAND (10* PERS FAV). These teams met at Dallas a few weeks ago. At the time, the Blazers were really struggling. The Mavs won 111-102. At the time, that result dropped the Blazers to 1-10 ATS (3-8 SU) over an 11-game stretch. However, they've since turned things around. Since the Dallas game, even counting a blowout loss vs. Utah last time out, they've gone 5-3 SU/ATS. Here, they catch the Mavs off a game vs. the defending champs and playing their second game in two days. The Mavs are 1-3 ATS when playing the second of b2b games, most recently losing by double-digits at Phoenix. The Blazers, meanwhile, are 10-4 ATS their last 14 in the revenge role, 6-2 ATS when avenging a road loss. The Blazers, who beat Dallas by nine the last meeting here, are also 5-2 ATS the last seven times that they were off a double-digit divisional loss. Schedule in their favor, expect them to improve on those stats Sunday.
|12-22-18||Raptors v. 76ers -4.5||Top||101-126||Win||100||13 h 9 m||Show|
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA (10* VIOLATOR). The Raptors have taken both this season's meetings. However, both of those were at Toronto. This evening, in addition to having the venue in their favor, the revenge-minded 76ers have the schedule working for them. The Raptors are off a win against Cleveland last night and are now playing their third game in the past four days. Making matters worse, Philly native Kyle Lowry is expected to be out again for the Raptors while start Kawaii Leonard is expected to rest. The 76'ers, meanwhile, have had the past two days off. They're 24-12 ATS in that situation, the past 2+ seasons. During that stretch, they're 37-24 ATS as home favorites, 18-12 ATS as home favorites of six or less. It all adds up to one thing. Payback time.
|12-20-18||Rockets v. Heat +3.5||Top||99-101||Win||100||13 h 8 m||Show|
I'm playing on MIAMI (10* MAIN EVENT). While the Rockets have admittedly been playing better of late, this is a tough spot for them. While the Heat are very well-rested, the Rockets are off a game last night vs. Washington and are now playing their third game in the past four days. They're 2-3 ATS in b2b situations this season and just 2-7 ATS when off a game vs. an Eastern Conf. team. With the exception of a win at Memphis, the Rockets' current winning streak has come at home. They're still 6-10 ATS on the road. The Heat have quietly been playing well themselves. They're 2-0 SU/ATS their last two and 9-3 ATS (7-5 SU) their last 12. Venue and schedule in their favor, expect them to improve to 8-2 ATS the last 10 times that they played with three or more day's rest in between games.
|12-17-18||Kings v. Wolves -8||Top||105-132||Win||100||27 h 53 m||Show|
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (10* GAME OF WEEK). These teams have met twice so far this season. Both meetings were at Sacramento. The Kings won both by double-digits. This evening, however, the T-Wolves have homecourt on their side. They've also got the schedule working in their favor. While Minneota had Sunday off, the Kings were busy playing at Dallas. In addition to playing the second of b2b games, this will be the Kings' third game in the past four days. The last four times that the Kings played the second of b2b games? They went 0-4 SU/ATS. All four of those games resulted in double-digit losses, 107-97, 133-112, 132-112, 101-86. Expect more of the same here, a highly motivated Minnesota team pulling away for another double-digit win.
|12-14-18||Raptors v. Blazers +3.5||Top||122-128||Win||100||13 h 37 m||Show|
I'm playing on PORTLAND (8* SHOCKER). Off a huge road win over the champs, I believe that the Raptors are going to be ripe for a letdown. Note that the Raptors are 5-9 ATS after scoring 110 or more in two more consecutive games. They'll be facing an angry and talented Portland team, one which hasn't lost a home game by more than four points all season. Not surprisingly, the Blazers are already 1-0 ATS as home underdogs (15-point win over the Bucks) this season; 11-7 ATS in that role the past couple of years. The Blazers haven't forgotten that the Raptors came in here and shut them down early last season, before blowing them out at Toronto. Its finally payback time!
|12-12-18||Raptors v. Warriors -6.5||Top||113-93||Loss||-108||13 h 54 m||Show|
I'm playing on GOLDEN STATE (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Raptors beat a short-handed (no Curry) Warriors team, at Toronto, in OT. The game had been billed as a Finals Preview and the some of the fans reacted as if they'd won a finals game. Now healthier, playing at home and with the schedule in their favor, expect the revenge-minded champions to get some payback. Leonard was the hero for the Raptors in the first game. However, he didnt play last night. If he does go tonight, he may be less than 100%. Either way, the Warriors are 6-2 ATS (7-1 SU) the past eight times that they attempted to avenge a loss of three or fewer points and we can expect them to improve on those stats.
|12-10-18||Kings v. Bulls +2.5||Top||108-89||Loss||-110||28 h 33 m||Show|
I'm playing on CHICAGO (10* BEST BET). The Bulls got embarrassed by Boston on Saturday and they're going to be looking to bounce back with a much better effort. I believe that they're catching the Kings at the right time. Sacramento lost by double-digits at Indiana Saturday and will now be playing its third road game in the past four days. The Bulls have been dealing with injuries all year but they're slowly getting heathier. Prior to the Boston debacle, the Bulls' previous two home games resulted in an outright win against OKC and a 1-point loss against San Antonio. Expect their best effort to lead to at least another cover here.
|12-08-18||Nuggets v. Hawks +7.5||Top||98-106||Win||100||26 h 6 m||Show|
I'm playing on ATLANTA. The Nuggets absolutely destroyed the Hawks, at Denver, a few weeks ago, a 45-point beatdown. At the time, the Hawks were in the middle of a road trip and had just lost tight games against the Lebron Lakers and the defending champion Warriors. Off those b2b close losses and weary from being thousands of miles from home, they were vulnerable. This time, its the Hawks which are at home. This time, its the Nuggets who have been on the road for some time. The Nuggets played last night at Charlotte and are now playing their third game in four days, the final leg of a 5-game road trip. Dating back to the 11/15 game against the Hawks, the Nuggets have not played in the same arena in consecutive games. Thats a lot of travel; after this they finally get a 4-game home stretch. The Hawks haven't forgotten the 11/15 loss. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect them to improve to 11-4 ATS the last 15 times that they attempted to avenge a loss of 20 or more points.
|12-07-18||Grizzlies v. Pelicans -4.5||Top||107-103||Loss||-110||25 h 60 m||Show|
I'm playing on NEW ORLEANS (10* PERS FAV). I successfully played on the Grizzlies in their last game, a double-digit win over the Clippers on Wednesday. However, that was at Memphis, where they've been playing well all year. They're now 8-3 at home. The road has been a different story, as they've been mediocre away from Memphis, most recently losing by eight. The home/road difference is even more pronounced for the Pelicans. They're only 3-10 on the road but an impressive 10-3 here at New Orleans. Last time out, they won by 26. While the Pelicans have tomorrow off, the Grizzlies will host Lebron and the Lakers tomorrow. It all adds up to another big home win for the Pelicans.
|12-05-18||Thunder v. Nets +7.5||Top||114-112||Win||100||28 h 54 m||Show|
I'm playing on BROOKLYN (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Thunder are off b2b2b blowout wins and are playing well. I expect the Nets to bring them back down to earth though. OKC's recent winning streak has created plenty of value at the betting window. Keep in mind that the Thunder are laying a bigger number here than they were at venues like Phoenix and Cleveland. Yet, the Nets have a better record than either the Suns or Cavs. Grab the generous points and expect the Nets to rise to the occasion with AT LEAST a cover.
|12-03-18||Rockets v. Wolves +2||Top||91-103||Win||100||12 h 46 m||Show|
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (10* BEST BET). True, the Rockets are off b2b blowout wins. However, lets not forget that they'd lost four in a row, before that. Also, its worth noting that they're only 13-21 ATS the past couple of seasons, when off b2b double-digit victories. I expect homecourt to be the difference in this one. The T-Wolves are a profitable 14-6-1 ATS (16-5 SU) the last 21 times that they played a home game with an O/U line of 220 or greater. Look for them to rise to the occasion and improve on those stats tonight.
|12-02-18||Jazz v. Heat +4||Top||100-102||Win||100||9 h 58 m||Show|
I'm playing on MIAMI (10* BEST BET). While this is only their third consecutive road game, I believe that the Jazz will be getting a little road-weary. Thats because this marks the 13th consecutive time that they'll be playing at a different venue than they played their previous game at. Ten of those 13 (10 of L12) have come on the road. (The two home games during that stretch were immediately followed by a road game.) Either way, I expect them to have their hands full. Note that Utah is 0-4 ATS after having won three of its previous four. The Heat come in confident, off their minor upset of the Pelicans. They're 8-2 ATS the last 10 times that they were off an upset win as a home underodg. The Heat have defeated the Jazz three straight times, two of those wins coming by a single point. Expect them to take this down to the wire with a great shot at another upset.
|12-01-18||Nets v. Wizards -5||Top||88-102||Win||100||11 h 24 m||Show|
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (10* GAME OF MONTH). Both teams played and lost yesterday. However, while the Wizards were getting blown out at Philly, the Nets double-OT loss was arguably far more painful and it should take a far bigger toll on them today. The Wizards are going to be in an angry mood. Not just from yesterday but also because the Nets upset them here a couple of weeks ago. Schedule in their favor, expect some serious payback today.
|11-29-18||Clippers v. Kings +3||Top||133-121||Loss||-110||25 h 30 m||Show|
I'm playing on SACRAMENTO (10* BEST BET). The Kings are off b2b losses, for the fourth time this season. However, they've been great in that situation (3-0 SU/ATS) and they've got both the venue and the schedule in their favor. While the Kings, 6-2-1 ATS their last nine when playing with three or more day's rest in between games, are well-rested, the Clippers are off a win over Phoenix last night. Though they did pull away for a convincing victory, the score was tied at half. So, stars Harris and Gallinari were still forced to see relatively heavy (33 + 35) minutes. The Kings began the season with b2b defeats. They responded with a double-digit win (as a double-digit dog) over the Thunder. At the beginning of this month, the Kings again lost b2b games. They answered with a double-digit win over the T-Wolves, again when listed as an underdog. In the middle of this month, they lost b2b games for a third time. Once again, they faced OKC. Once again, they responded with an outright win. Expect their best effort to lead to at least another cover tonight.
|11-26-18||Magic v. Warriors -8||Top||110-116||Loss||-110||29 h 8 m||Show|
I'm playing on GOLDEN STATE (10* GAME OF WEEK). While they're still dealing with some injuries, here's a great spot for the champs to "get healthy." While the Warriors had yesterday off, the Magic were busy playing Lebron and the Lakers, at LA. Playing their third in four days, the first of which was in the high altitude of Denver, expect fatigue to be a factor for the Magic, the Magic happy to lay down the hammer for a convincing win and cover.
|11-25-18||Clippers v. Blazers -4||Top||104-100||Loss||-110||12 h 8 m||Show|
I'm playing on PORTLAND (10* PERS FAV). Off b2b losses, the Blazers are going to be a determined team this evening. With an 11-point win against them a few weeks ago, the Blazers have now beaten the Clippers four straight times. All four victories came by a minimum of eight points. The Blazers are 7-3 ATS on the season, when laying points. The Clippers, on the other hand, are now 3-6 ATS when getting points. They're also just 2-5 ATS when playing a road game with an O/U line of 220 or greater. Blazers roll.
|11-24-18||Pelicans v. Wizards +2||Top||114-124||Win||100||26 h 50 m||Show|
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (10* BEST BET). Both teams played Friday. So, each will be playing the second of b2b games. However, New Orleans also played Wednesday, while Washington did not. That means that the Pelicans are playing their third game in four days, while the same cannot be said of the Wizards. Knowing that they'll face these same Pelicans, at New Orleans, on Wednesday, expect the Wizards to "hold serve" by protecting their home court.
|11-21-18||Pelicans v. 76ers -3.5||Top||120-121||Loss||-110||24 h 52 m||Show|
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA (10* PERS FAV). The home team won both meetings last season. The Pelicans won by seven at New Orleans. Howver, the 76ers hammered them by a 100-82 margin in the game here at Philadelphia. Homecourt has been huge from both these teams again so far this season. The 76ers are a poor 3-7 on the road but a perfect 9-0 here at Philadelphia. Meanwhile, the Pelicans are 8-1 at New Orleans but just 2-6 at home. With an O/U line in the high 230s, this is expected to be a high-scoring game. That suits the 76ers just fine. They're 29-13 ATS the past 42 times that they played a game with an O/U line of 220 or greater. During that same span, they're also 52-27-1 ATS when facing an opponent which averages 106 or more points. Expect the tempo and venue to lead to another win and cover for the new look 76ers.
|11-19-18||Clippers v. Hawks +7||Top||127-119||Loss||-110||28 h 50 m||Show|
I'm playing on ATLANTA (10* BEST BET). While they haven't been getting any "W's" to show for it, the Hawks are fighting very hard. They've covered the spread in three of their last four. The Hawks played the Clippers tough last time they met, LA winning by a single point. I expect them to again give the Clippers all they can handle. While both teams had Sunday off, the Hawks also have tomorrow (Tuesday) off. The Clippers, on the other hand, have a rematch against Washington tomorrow. The Clippers are 3-4 on the road overall and that includes a 1-4 SU/ATS mark when playing on the road when the O/U was 220 or greater. Grab the points.
|11-16-18||Jazz v. 76ers -2.5||Top||107-113||Win||100||28 h 52 m||Show|
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. Homecourt has been huge for the 76ers. Indeed, they're an ugly 2-7 on the road but a perfect 7-0 here at Philadelphia. I fully expect them to keep that perfect record in tact for awhile yet. (After this, their next home games are against Phoenix, New Orleans, Cleveland and NY - all very winnable games.) The first game with Jimmy Butler in the lineup didn't go so well, as the 76ers blew a 16-point lead and lost at Orlando. His acquisition makes this a very dangerous team, however, with three elite players. They're going to be highly motivated to get the first win of the "new era." Sure, the Jazz are going to also be motivated to bounce back off their embarrassing 50-pt loss. However, that loss revealed some issues and I don't think the Jazz match up well against the new look 76ers. Note that Philly swept the season series last year, including a 107-86 blowout win in the game here. They were laying -6 for that one. Despite the perfect home record and arguably a superior team, we're getting them at a lower line here. I feel thats offering excellent value and am expecting another big win.
|11-14-18||Grizzlies v. Bucks -9.5||Top||116-113||Loss||-110||24 h 16 m||Show|
I'm playing on MILWAUKEE (10* PERS FAV). The Grizzlies have been tough at home. However, they only score 96.3 ppg on the road and thats led to a 2-4 record. Its also going to make it extremely difficult to keep up with a Milwaukee team which averages 124.3 ppg here at home. Allowing only 105.2 ppg here, the Bucks have a perfect 6-0 home record, covering the number in five of those. In fact, even the lone non-cover here was an 11-point win when they were favored by -11.5. In other words, all six games here have been double-digit victories. Expect another one tonight.
|11-12-18||Magic v. Wizards -9||Top||109-117||Loss||-105||9 h 16 m||Show|
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (10* GAME OF WEEK). Off a win at Miami and now with some positive momentum, the Wizards badly need to string together victories. This figures to be the perfect opponent and situation to get one. While the Wizards had yesterday off, the Magic were busy beating up on the Knicks. Sure, that wasn't the most taxing win. However, its still worth mentioning that the Magic are an ugly 11-25-1 ATS (10-27 SU) the past couple of seasons, when off an upset win. The Magic just beat the Wizards, at Orlando, a few nights ago. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect the revenge-minded Wizards to get some payback.
|11-10-18||Nets v. Warriors -8||Top||100-116||Win||100||11 h 35 m||Show|
I'm playing on GOLDEN STATE (10* PERS FAV). Many aren't going to be willing to back the champs tonight. Not without Curry. Not without Green. As a result, we're getting the champs at a far lower line than we normally would; GS was laying -15 when hosting the Nets last season. I feel thats providing us with excellent value. With the venue and schedule in their favor, Durant, Thompson and co. still have more than enough to deliver a double-digit win tonight. After getting hammered by the Bucks on Thursday, the well-coached Warriors are going to be all business tonight. While the Warriors had last night off, the Nets are off a hard-fought (112-110) win in the high altitude of Denver. They're already 0-2 SU/ATS this season, when playing the second of b2b games. They lost those games by 20 and 19 points. More of the same here.
|11-09-18||Celtics v. Jazz -3||Top||115-123||Win||100||14 h 2 m||Show|
I'm playing on UTAH (10* MAIN EVENT). Last night's game at Phoenix worked out about as well as I could have possibly hoped. Not only did I cover with the Suns but the Celtics were forced to fight back and win the game in overtime. The starters had to log some pretty heavy minutes, Irving going over the 43-minute mark. While the Celtics were having to give everything they had, the Jazz had last night off. The Celtics are already 0-1 ATS when playing the second of b2b games and they're now 2-5 ATS on the road. The Jazz snapped their losing streak last time out, winning by 15 points. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect them to carry the positive momentum from that game into tonight's contest, en route to a win and cover.
|11-08-18||Celtics v. Suns +10||Top||116-109||Win||100||14 h 38 m||Show|
I'm playing on PHOENIX (10* BEST BET). With the Celtics off b2b losses, many will be expecting them to bounce back with an easy win tonight. However, those b2b losses continue a pattern and should be of concern to anyone looking to lay the big number tonight. Through six road games, the Celtics are 3-3. A closer look shows that only one of those six games resulted in a win of greater than six points. With a "bigger game" (Utah) on deck tomorrow, I feel that the Celtics are going to have trouble covering the big number here. The Suns covered both meetings with Boston last season, losing by five and eight points. In fact, they covered both meetings the previous season, too. Including those results, Phoenix is 14-8 ATS is last 22 against teams from the Atlantic while Boston is 8-12 ATS its last 20 against Pacific teams. Unlike their guests, the Suns don't play tomorrow. Their full focus is on the task at hand. Though Booker isn't quite 100% yet, he's got a handful of games under his belt now and is still playing at a high level. Ayton, the #1 pick, is off to a strong start and gives them a new dynamic. Expect their best effort to lead to AT LEAST another cover tonight.
|11-07-18||Nuggets v. Grizzlies +4||Top||87-89||Win||100||13 h 25 m||Show|
I'm playing on MEMPHIS (10* BEST BET). The Nuggets are almost always tough at home. However, they're still just 36-50 on the road the past couple of seasons and a closer look at their schedule reveals that they've faced some relatively easy opponents through this season's first four games. Their last two on the road were at Cleveland and Chicago. (Those teams are a combined 4-17 and they're both only won one game on their own home floor.) Tonight, the Nuggets will face a Grizzly team which is a perfect 3-0 on its home floor, outscoring visiting teams by a commanding average of 118.3 to 102.7. The Grizzlies covered both home games against the Nuggets last season, most recently winning outright as a 7-point underdog. Expect them to continue their strong homecourt play this evening.
|11-04-18||Knicks v. Wizards -6.5||Top||95-108||Win||100||10 h 16 m||Show|
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. The season may be still early but these are desperate times for the Wizards. They began the season by dropping a pair of home games, both very close losses. Next, they went 1-4 on a tough West Coast road trip. They've since returned home and got blown out by OKC. Worse, after this, they go back on the road for another three games. This team is better than its shown and the Porzingis-less Knicks are the perfect opponent to get healthy against. Wizards bounce back big.
|11-02-18||Thunder v. Wizards -2||Top||134-111||Loss||-110||13 h 16 m||Show|
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. The Wizards badly need a win. Tonight, they've got both the venue and the schedule working in their favor. While Washington had last night off, OKC is off a relatively hard-fought win at Charlotte. Though I played on the Thunder in their recent win against the Clippers, they're now playing their third game in the past four days. Washington coach Scott Brooks, former coach of the Thunder, has made sure his current team takes care of business when hosting his former team. The Wizards beat the Thunder by six here last season after blowing them out by 22 here the previous season. Howard will be on a minutes restriction in returning tonight but anything extra he can provide will be a bonus. Expect the Wizards to bounce back, moving to 8-2 the past 10 times that they were off three or more consecutive losses.
|11-01-18||Clippers v. 76ers -4.5||Top||113-122||Win||100||23 h 13 m||Show|
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA (10* GAME OF WEEK). The 76'ers have gotten off to a poor start at the betting window. Those sup-par ATS results are working in our favor tonight, keeping the line lower than it easily could have been. The 76'ers have faced nothing but Eastern Conf. opposition so far. Tonight, they'll get to add to a 39-21 ATS mark the past two seasons, against teams from the West. The 76ers got blown out at Toronto last time out. They're a perfect 4-0 SU on this floor though and they're also 27-16-1 ATS the last 44 times that they were off a double-digit loss. More? With an O/U line in the high 220s, note that the 76'ers are a lucrative 25-11 ATS the past 36 times that they played a home game with an O/U line of 220 or greater. Expect them to improve on those stats here.
|10-30-18||Clippers v. Thunder -2.5||Top||110-128||Win||100||14 h 55 m||Show|
I'm playing on OKC (10* PERS FAV). I won with the Clippers when these teams faced each other, at LA, on 10/19. Not only were the Thunder playing on the road, they were without Westbrook. The Thunder are back home now though and Westbrook now has a few games under his belt. I expect their best effort tonight and feel that the line is very reasonable. The Thunder have dominated the Clippers here in recent seasons, including 8-point and 9-point wins last season. Playing with 'recent revenge,' expect more of the same tonight.
|10-29-18||Lakers v. Wolves||Top||120-124||Win||100||13 h 40 m||Show|
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (10* MAIN EVENT). Neither team has gotten off to the start it was hoping for. Both will be hungry for a win tonight. Knowing that they'll face Utah next, followed by a difficult 5-game road trip, which begins at Golden State and Portland and which includes these same Lakers, I expect the T-Wolves sense or urgency to be a little greater. Playing on their home floor, the Wolves got blown out last time. However, they're still 2-1 here, now 53-34 the past 2+ seasons. The Lakers, on the other hand, have 1-2 on the road, the lone win coming at Phoenix. The Wolves had plenty of success against the Lakers prior to Lebron's arrival. Expect them to continue that success for at least one more night.
|10-28-18||Wizards +3.5 v. Clippers||Top||104-136||Loss||-105||15 h 50 m||Show|
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (10* BEST BET). The Wizards started out the trip with a win at Portland, proving that they're capable of winning at a more difficult venue than this one. They got blown out at Golden State, which wasn't a surprise. Perhaps still feeling the effects of that loss, they also lost at Sacramento. Now, off b2b losses and just 1-4 to start the season, they're going to be extremely hungry tonight. The Wizards played the Clippers tough last season; they won by nine at Washington and lost by just one here at LA. With an O/U line currently at 228 or 229, the pace figures to favor the Wizards. The Clippers are 9-14 ATS (11-12 SU) the last 23 times that they played a home game with an O/U line of 220 or greater. During the same stretch, the Wizards were 12-7 SU/ATS when playing a road game with an O/U line of 220 or greater. I'll grab the points but am expecting an upset.
|10-26-18||Bulls v. Hornets -9.5||Top||106-135||Win||100||27 h 6 m||Show|
I'm playing on CHARLOTTE (10* GAME OF MONTH). These teams just faced each other, at Chicago, on Wednesday. Playing on their home floor, the Bulls were able to eke out a 2-point win. All is not currently well in Chicago, however, as the team is dealing with some key injuries. Markkenen, Dunn and Valentine are all very important for this team and all remain out. The Bulls were able to overcome those injuries at home. On the road, against a determined revenge-minded opponent, is going to prove a different story.Now, Portis is also out. That leaves them extremely thin in the frontcourt. Parker will be expected to do a lot but he's not 100% healthy himeself and is hardly up to the task. Hutchinson not likely to cut it either. At 2-3, Charlotte coach James Borrego knows his team can ill afford another loss here. Off Wednesday's loss, Borrego commented: "My tendency right now is to go make changes all over the place. But we've got to stay disciplined, we've got to stay poised." The Hornets have had real trouble at Chicago. They beat the Bulls by 15 the last meeting here though. Expect Borrego's team to "stay poised" en route to another double-digit blowout win.
|10-24-18||Mavs v. Hawks +2||Top||104-111||Win||100||27 h 33 m||Show|
I'm playing on ATLANTA (10* MAIN EVENT). The Hawks opened the season with three straight road games. They lost the first two, badly. However, they closed the trip with a blowout win at Cleveland, which gives them some positive momentum coming into their home opener. The Hawks have had the past two days off and they also get the next two days off. The Mavs lost their lone road game, at Phoenix, by 21 points. They're without Nowitzki and they'll also be without Harrison Barnes, a significant blow. Additionally, Devin Harris is expected to remain out. Meanwhile, the Hawks are expecting to have Dedmon in the lineup for the first time this season. Even if his minutes are limited, as they'll likely be, he adds depth in the paint to complent Len. The Hawks have owned the Mavs over the past five years including another sweep last season. More of the same Wednesday.
|10-22-18||Suns v. Warriors -12.5||Top||103-123||Win||100||13 h 17 m||Show|
I'm playing on GS (10* VIOLATOR). Off last night's loss, the champs are going to be in an angry mood tonight. The young Suns are the perfect opponent to take their anger out on. The Warriors have won all eight meetings against the Suns the past couple of seasons. A look at last season's four games, all played in 2018, shows that all four resulted in double-digit victories. The Warriors won the two games at Oakland by an average of 28 points. (Including those victories, the Warriors are 47-3 SU the last 50 times that they were home favorites of -12.5 or more.) Note that they were laying -15 and -16 for those games and that we're getting a better line to work with, due to the b2b spot. With the champs looking to flex their muscles with a statement bounceback win, I'm expecting this one to be one-sided the entire way.
|10-20-18||Raptors v. Wizards +1||Top||117-113||Loss||-103||13 h 20 m||Show|
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (10* BEST BET). Off a 1-point loss in their opener, knowing that they embark on a tough 5-game road trip out West immediately following this game and facing the team which eliminated them from last season's playoffs, the Wizards are going to be extremely motivated to win this one. In addition to having the venue in their favor, they've got the schedule working for them. While the Wizards had yesterday off, the Raptors are off a hard-fought win over the Celtics last night and are now playing their third game in four days. Even with the loss in the opener, the Wizards are 61-31 on this floor the past couple of seasons. Expect them to improve on those stats this evening.
|10-17-18||Grizzlies v. Pacers -6.5||Top||83-111||Win||100||32 h 13 m||Show|
I'm playing on INDIANA (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Pacers were a combined 58-29 here the past two seasons, 29-15 last year. The Grizzlies, on the other hand, were a combined 25-60 on the road, a dismal 6-35 last year. Given that the Pacers are projected to win about 47.5 games this season, compared to 34.5 for Memphis, this line could easily be higher. While both games were close, the Pacers swept the Grizzlies last season. Expect them to finish on top once again, covering the relatively small number along the way.
|06-03-18||Cavs v. Warriors -11.5||Top||103-122||Win||100||49 h 39 m||Show|
I'm playing on GOLDEN STATE (10* GAME OF MONTH). Many will look at how close the Cavs came in Game 1 and be quick to grab the points. However, I'm not one of them. Instead, I expect the Warriors to deliver a blowout. The Cavs had their chance in Game 1. Fair or not, the over-turned offensive foul call was a killer. Likewise, JR Smith running the ball out, killed their chances of a game winning shot. To come so close to scoring a huge upset, only to lose in that fashion, is going to be very hard to bounce back from. While I did win with them in Game 7 at Boston, note that the Cavs have now won just one of their past five road games. Meanwhile, the Warriors have had their wake-up call. When firing on all cylinders and playing on this floor, they're nearly unstoppable. Expect a decisive victory. *June GOM
|05-27-18||Cavs +3 v. Celtics||Top||87-79||Win||100||11 h 46 m||Show|
I'm playing on CLEVELAND (10* MAIN EVENT). Obviously, homecourt has been extremely significant in this series. That said, with everything on the line, I'm going with the game's best player. We're even getting a few points to boot. Note that the Cavs are 15-10-1 ATS in the underdog role. Expect Lebron to do his thing, getting enough help from the supporting cast to punch his ticket to another finals.
|05-25-18||Celtics v. Cavs -6.5||Top||99-109||Win||100||12 h 44 m||Show|
I'm playing on CLEVELAND (10* MAIN EVENT). I'm not writing Lebron and co. off yet. Homecourt has been huge in this series and the Cavs have now won their last three games here by 74 combined points. The Cavs are 3-2 ATS (4-1 SU) when trailing in a series. Going back further finds them at 23-15 AT their last 38 in that situation. Expect this series to go the distance, the Cavs covering on their home floor, once again.
|05-23-18||Cavs +1.5 v. Celtics||Top||83-96||Loss||-115||13 h 36 m||Show|
I'm playing on CLEVELAND (10* BEST BET). Homecourt has obviously been very significant in this series, thus far. However, I believe that changes tonight. The Cavs have major momentum and confidence on their side and I don't see them losing another game in this series. With Lebron doing his thing, look for Cleveland, 15-9-1 ATS its last 25 as an underdog, to grab control of the series.
|05-20-18||Rockets +8 v. Warriors||Top||85-126||Loss||-105||11 h 48 m||Show|
I'm playing on HOUSTON (10* MAIN EVENT). I attended the season opener between these two teams, here at Oracle. You may recall that game, the crowd thought that the Warriors hit the game-winner at the buzzer but it was waved off, upon further review. Like that first game of the season, I also see tonight's pivotal game "coming down to the wire." Expect the Rockets to give the champs all they can handle, taking the game down to the wire and improving to 12-6 ATS when playing a road game with an O/U line of 220 or greater.
|05-19-18||Celtics v. Cavs -6||Top||86-116||Win||100||49 h 49 m||Show|
I'm playing on CLEVELAND (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Celtics certainly looked like the better team through the first two games. However, I'm not counting out the Cavs just yet. Not by a long-shot. The Cavs are still 34-13 at home. They've beaten the Celtics five of the last six meetings on this floor and they won their last game here (against Toronto) by 35 points. Energized by the home crowd, Lebron and co. bounce back, picking up the cover along the way.
|05-16-18||Warriors v. Rockets -1||Top||105-127||Win||100||36 h 21 m||Show|
I'm playing on HOUSTON. A loss in Game 1 means that the Rockets have squandered the home-court advantage that they worked so hard for. All is not necessarily lost though, provided they bounce back with their best effort on Wednesday. Backs to the wall, I expect them to do exactly that. Even with the Game 1 loss, the Rockets are 44-10 the last 54 times that they played a home game with an O/U line of 220 or greater. They're also 19-6 (SU) the past 25 times that they attempted to avenge an earlier loss, 11-3 their last 14 when off an 'upset' loss. While the champs have now won three straight, they're just 8-20-2 ATS the past 30 times that they were off three or more consecutive victories. Expect the Rockets to dig deep and to even up the series.
|05-08-18||Pelicans v. Warriors -11.5||Top||104-113||Loss||-103||16 h 39 m||Show|
I'm playing on GOLDEN STATE (10* MAIN EVENT). Yesterday, I suggested that the Cavs "smelled the blood in the water." I feel the same way here. Up 3-1 and off a blowout win at New Orleans, the champs have found their groove. They're now 20-13 ATS (25-8 SU) the past 2+ seasons, when leading in a playoff series. The Warriors know the importance of closing out the series and not giving the pesky Pelicans any sort of life. Expect them to pull away for a convincing victory.
|05-07-18||Raptors v. Cavs -5.5||Top||93-128||Win||100||36 h 24 m||Show|
I'm playing on CLEVELAND (10* VIOLATOR). Already down 0-2 in the series and down by double-digits in Game 3, it would have been easy for the Raptors to quit. They didn't do that. Rather, they showed their resilience and battled all the way back. Unfortunately, for Raptor fans, it still wasn't enough. Lebron hit another game-winner at the buzzer. The Raptors gave it everything they had in that Game 3 comeback. To have done so, only to have their hearts-broken in that manner, is going to be extremely tough to bounce back from. When they find themselves down double-digits in this one, which I expect to happen, fighting back is going to prove far more difficult. The Cavs smell the blood in the water and know they don't want to give the Raptors any life. Look for them to close things out, covering the small number along the way.
|04-29-18||Pacers v. Cavs -5||Top||101-105||Loss||-110||5 h 34 m||Show|
I'm playing on CLEVELAND (10* BREAKFAST CLUB). While they've cost me a couple of times, I still believe that the Cavs are the superior team in this matchup. With everything on the line, Lebron comes through. This time, covering the spread along the way.
|04-28-18||Pelicans v. Warriors -7.5||Top||101-123||Win||100||54 h 13 m||Show|
I'm playing on GOLDEN STATE (10* MAIN EVENT). The Pelicans were certainly impressive in sweeping Portland. However, facing the defending champs on the road is a whole different matter. As of this writing, Curry remains doubtful for this game. While its possible that Curry could return, the Warriors current trio of Durant, Green and Thompson, along with their supporting cast, is more than enough to take care of business at Oracle. Note that the Warriors are 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS the past six times that they were a host in this series. While the Pelicans are 6-6 SU (4-8 ATS) their last 12 when playing with three or more day's rest in between games, the Warriors are a perfect 6-0 SU the past six times that they played with three or more day's rest. Expect them to improve on those stats, covering the relatively small number along the way.
|04-27-18||Cavs +1.5 v. Pacers||Top||87-121||Loss||-110||30 h 0 m||Show|
I'm playing on CLEVELAND (10* BEST BET). While I lost with the Cavs on Wednesday, I'm coming right back with them again here. Lebron's 3-pointer just before the buzzer was an absolute killer for the Pacers. They'd fought so hard, had rallied from a deficit, had shut the Cavs down only to get beaten in that manner. I expect it have a negative carry-over effect on the Pacers. The Cavs are 17-3 SU the last 20 times that they were leading in a playoff series. Now that they're leading for the first time in this series, I expect them to finish things off.
|04-26-18||Celtics v. Bucks -4||Top||86-97||Win||100||9 h 4 m||Show|
I'm playing on MILWAUKEE (10* MAIN EVENT). Homecourt has certainly proven significant in this series. I expect that to be the case again this evening. While they failed to cover the last game here, the Bucks have won both games on this floor. They won those two games by an average of 13 points. Note that, as of this writing, this line is a little lower than the other lines were for the Bucks here. I feel thats providing us with plenty of value. Expect the Bucks to extend the series, covering the relatively small number along the way.
|04-25-18||Pacers v. Cavs -6.5||Top||95-98||Loss||-105||56 h 37 m||Show|
I'm playing on CLEVELAND (10* GAME OF WEEK). Up 2-1 in the series, the Pacers had a real chance to also take Game 4. It didn't happen. Instead, Lebron, Korver and co. prevailed. Thats going to leave the Pacers thinking about "what might have been" while also serving as a "wake-up call" for the Cavs. Having fought so hard to regain homecourt advantage, dont expect the Cavs to just squander it. Rather, expect them to deliver their most lopsided victory of the playoffs, to date.
|04-23-18||Rockets v. Wolves +6||Top||119-100||Loss||-110||31 h 1 m||Show|
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. I've won with both the 'under' (Game 1) and the 'over' (Game3) in this series. In Game 2, I backed the Rockets. For Game 4, however, I feel that the value lies with the T-Wolves. Minnesota nearly scored an upset in Game 1, showing it could compete with the top seed. Off that tough Game 1 loss, I wasn't surprised to see the T-Wolves struggle in Game 2. However, they responded with a great effort in Game 3. Now, they really have a series. Butler is a bit banged-up but he's as tough as they come. He still managed 28 points to go along with seven boards, five assists and a steal. Needless to say, he makes this team a lot better. Certainly better than your typical #8 seed. Off their Game 3 win, the Wolves now really believe that they can win. They're 31-11 at home, identical to the Rockets 31-11 record on the road. With the Rockets just 2-8 ATS their last 10, I'm grabbing all those generous points.
|04-21-18||76ers v. Heat +3.5||Top||106-102||Loss||-105||7 h 33 m||Show|
I'm playing on MIAMI (10* MAIN EVENT). After losing Game 1, the Heat responded with a big win in Game 2. After dropping Game 3, I expect them to again bounce back in Game 4. Including that Game 2 victory, note that the Heat are a perfect 4-0 ATS the last four times that they found themselves trailing in a playoff series. Needless to say, the 76'ers have come along way. They've had a great season and are playing well. That said, as I noted when backing Miami in Game 2, this is 'new territory' for the 76'ers. They're not used to being in the playoffs and they're not used to leading in a playoff series. Look for a highly determined effort by the Heat, as they make the necessary adjustments, bouncing back and improving to 10-5 ATS their last 15 off a double-digit loss.
|04-19-18||Warriors v. Spurs +4||Top||110-97||Loss||-115||13 h 56 m||Show|
I'm playing on SAN ANTONIO (10* MAIN EVENT). First off, condolences to the entire Popovich family on yesterday's passing of Erin Popovich. I won with the Warriors in Game 1. I'm not surprised that they're up 2-0. With or without their coach on the sidelines, I expect the Spurs to respond tonight. Eventually, the absence of Curry figures to catch up with the champs, if only for the game. I expect tonight to be that night. The Spurs have won 11 in a row here; their 33-8 home record ranked behind only Houston and Toronto. They're 4-1 ATS their last five, when off three or more consec. losses. Expect them to bounce back and improve on those stats here.
|04-19-18||Blazers +4 v. Pelicans||Top||102-119||Loss||-115||5 h 32 m||Show|
I'm playing on PORTLAND. As you know, the Pelicans won both games at Portland. That makes this a must win game for the Blazers. I expect them to respond with their best effort. The Pelicans were no better at home than they were on the road this season and they allow more points here (111.9 ppg) than they do on the road. Even after dropping the first two games, the Blazers remain a healthy 54-30-1 ATS against teams which allow 106 or more ppg. Both regular season meetings here were close, each decided by six or fewer points. The Blazers won outright their last visit here. Expect them to take this one down to the wire with an excellent shot at an upset.
|04-18-18||Wolves v. Rockets -10||Top||82-102||Win||100||12 h 51 m||Show|
I'm playing on HOUSTON (10* MAIN EVENT). Some will look at Game 1 and see how close the T-Wolves came to scoring an upset. They'll use that as reason to back them in Game 2. However, its been my experience that big road underdogs which let an opportunity slip away in Game 1, typically don't fare too well in Game 2. Rather, the home favorite has received its 'wake-up call' and brings a better effort in the second game. Thats what I expect to happen on Wednesday. The T-Wolves get outscored on the road where they are now just 17-25 on the season. The Rockets, on the other hand, are 35-7 here at Houston, outscoring teams by an average score of 114.1 to 104.9. Fully 'woken up,' expect an even larger margin of victory here.
|04-16-18||Heat +7.5 v. 76ers||Top||113-103||Win||100||35 h 51 m||Show|
I'm playing on MIAMI (10* GAME OF MONTH). The Heat were leading at halftime of Game 1 but wilted in the second half. Down a game, I fully expect them to battle for the entire four quarters on Monday. Keep in mind that this is new territory for the 76ers. As well as they've been playing, leading in a playoff series is a new experience for them. Also, note that Miami is a perfect 3-0 ATS its last three, when trailing in a playoff series. The Heat are also 29-17 ATS the past 2+ seasons, when off a double-digit loss. Throw in a 4-0-1 ATS record the past five times that they allowed 130 or more points and I expect them to bounce back a huge effort, en route to AT LEAST a cover in Game 2.
|04-14-18||Pelicans v. Blazers -4.5||Top||97-95||Loss||-108||5 h 26 m||Show|
I'm playing on PORTLAND (10* MAIN EVENT). The Blazers got back on track just when it mattered, earning a key win over the Jazz in the final game of the regular season. That got them this home game vs. the Pelicans and I expect them to make the most of it. Much stronger at home, the Blazers are also 10-4 SU/ATS when playing with two day's rest in between games. Expect the combination of homecourt and an advantage in the backcourt to lead to those numbers improving Saturday night.
|04-11-18||Jazz v. Blazers -3||Top||93-102||Win||100||14 h 21 m||Show|
I'm playing on PORTLAND (10* MAIN EVENT). While the Jazz enter as the hotter team, I expect homecourt to ultimately make the difference tonight. While the Jazz are 20-20 on the road, the Blazers are 27-13 at home. Sure, the Blazers have lost four in a row. All those came on the road though. Back home, where they've gone 4-1 SU/ATS their last five against the Jazz, expect them to bounce back with their best effort.
|04-10-18||76ers v. Hawks +10||Top||121-113||Win||100||12 h 15 m||Show|
I'm playing on ATLANTA (10* BEST BET). The Hawks are still playing hard. They beat Washington and Boston in their last two games. In addition to this being their home finale, its their final game of the year overall. They'll be anxious to give the fans a good effort. The 76ers, on the other hand, have a home game against Milwaukee on deck tomorrow, followed by the playoffs. They've come back to earth a little of late, as they've failed to cover in each of their last two games. Expect the Hawks to be the hungrier team and for that to lead to AT LEAST another ATS victory.
|04-09-18||Pelicans v. Clippers +7.5||Top||113-100||Loss||-113||16 h 58 m||Show|
I'm playing on LA (10* MAIN EVENT). As you're likely aware, the Pelicans need this game for playoff positioning while the Clippers have been eliminated from postseason contention. Obviously, thats why the Pelicans are favored by so many points, despite playing in the road. Many are going to be willing to lay the big number, too. They'll think that the Clippers are going to roll over. However, I don't expect that to be the case. Doc Rivers isn't that kind of coach. He knows that this game has playoff implications and he isn't going to allow his players to go through the motions. Rivers had this to say: "I think I have to play the guys against New Orleans, honestly. I think we really have to go after that game. I just believe in protecting the league. That's what we should do, and I hope we do that." Expect the Clippers to "come to play," bouncing back with their best effort and improving to 6-2 ATS the past eight times that they allowed 130 or more points in their previous game.
|04-08-18||Pistons v. Grizzlies +5.5||Top||117-130||Win||100||22 h 35 m||Show|
I'm playing on MEMPHIS (10* MOTIVATIONAL MISMATCH). Playing their final home game of the season, I expect this game to mean more to the Grizzlies than it does to the Pistons. Detroit has actually played well recently. However, its a case of too little, too late. With their home finale on deck tomorrow, it's going to be hard for them to get up for a meaningless game against Memphis. The Grizzlies already played the Pistons tough at Detroit, losing by just two. Expect them to rise to the occasion, earning AT LEAST a cover while providing the home fans with a small measure of hope for next season.
|04-07-18||Pelicans v. Warriors -6||Top||126-120||Loss||-125||15 h 35 m||Show|
I'm playing on GOLDEN STATE (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Pelicans are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off a 20-point loss, at Indiana, on Thursday, the champs are going to be in an angry mood. This is their regular season home finale, so they'll have some added motivation to close things out with a big win. While the Warriors had yesterday off, the Pelicans are off a game at Phoenix and playing their third game in the past four days. The Warriors have absolutely dominated New Orleans over the past five years. Expect that to continue here.
|04-06-18||Pacers v. Raptors -7.5||Top||73-92||Win||100||12 h 44 m||Show|
I'm playing on TORONTO (10* PERS FAV). The Raptors got back on track with a big win against Boston on Wednesday. That victory snapped an extended ATS skid and I expect them to build off it here. While the Raptors had last night off, the Pacers are off a victory over the defending champs. That game had been preceded by a 4-game trip out West for the Pacers, three games in California and the final game in the high altitude of Denver. This will mark the Pacers' seventh straight game in a different arena than the one in which they played their previous game. Playing their third in four nights, against a Raptor team which is a dominant 32-7 here at Toronto, expect it to catch up to them. Raptors roll.
|04-04-18||Celtics v. Raptors -7.5||Top||78-96||Win||100||11 h 5 m||Show|
I’m playing on TORONTO (10* MAIN EVENT). Both teams played and lost yesterday. Today, I expect the Raptors to be the team which bounces back with a big win and cover. The home team has won all three meetings in the season series. The Raptors took the game here at Toronto by a dominating 111-91 score. In fact, they're a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS the past five times that they hosted the Celtics. Expect them to continue that dominance, improving to 33-15 ATS their last 48 divisional games along the way.