|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|12-18-18||Red Wings v. Flyers -163||2-3||Win||100||25 h 35 m||Show|
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA (8* ANNIHILATOR). Both teams are struggling at the moment. Both could badly use a victory. I believe that the Flyers, in addition to playing in their own building, have some edges on the ice though. I also expect the recent coaching shake-up to provide an immediate spark. The Flyers have only played one home game in December, prior to this one. After this, they host Nashville and Columbus, a pair of teams better than Detroit, before taking to the road again. Knowing this to be the case, it makes taking care of business on home ice all the more important. They've absolutely dominated Detroit, here at Philly, this entire millennium. Expect more of the same Tuesday.
|12-17-18||Golden Knights v. Blue Jackets -141||Top||0-1||Win||100||9 h 17 m||Show|
'm playing on COLUMBUS (10* PERS FAV). The home team won both meetings last season. The Knights won 6-3 at Vegas, the Jackets returned the favor with a 4-1 win here at Columbus. Schedule in their favor, I expect the Jackets to again defeat the visiting Knights. While Columbus had yesterday off, the Knights are off an afternoon game at MSG. Though they won that game, the Knights are still just 9-12 on the road. This marks the 5th leg of whats been a disappointing 6-game homestand for the Jackets; they've only won one of the first four. They can still salvage the split by winning tonight and beating the Devils here on Wednesday and they're going to be extremely motivated to do just that. Expect them to improve to 14-4 (+10.1) their past 18, after playing their previous three or more games at home.
|12-16-18||Coyotes v. Hurricanes -170||0-3||Win||100||20 h 26 m||Show|
I'm playing on CAROLINA (6* VIOLATOR). The Coyotes knocked off the Canes at Phoenix, back in early November. With this afternoon's rematch being played at Raleigh, I expect the Canes to return the favor. While the Coyotes have arguably over-achieved, given their talent, I believe the Canes are better than their record indicates. Off three straight losses, they're going to be extremely motivated. They know that they can ill afford to lose another - not to a team like Arizona. The Coyotes, at the end of a road trip, may be looking forward to getting home for the holidays. Look for them to fall to 4-14 their last 18 road games, with an O/U line of six or greater.
|12-15-18||Flames v. Wild -130||2-1||Loss||-130||17 h 21 m||Show|
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). These teams recently met at Calgary. The Wild, who aren't as strong away from Minnesota, were playing the front end of back-to-back road games. They were also in the midst of a stretch which saw them drop five of six. They're back home now though, where they're a solid 10-6 on the season. The return home has resulted in a dramatic improvement in play. The recent slide is now in the past; the Wild have won their last two games by a combined score of 12-2. Momentum back in their corner, expect the revenge-minded Wild to get some payback, improving to 8-4 their last 12 as a host in this series.
|12-14-18||Senators v. Red Wings -145||4-2||Loss||-145||12 h 17 m||Show|
I'm playing on DETROIT (8* PERS FAV). The Sens won when these teams met at Ottawa. With tonight's rematch being played at Detroit, I expect the revenge-minded Red Wings to return the favor. True, the Wings are only 8-10 at home. However, that record looks a lot better when compared to Ottawa's 3-11 mark on the road. Even factoring in last month's loss at Ottawa, the Wings are still a solid 6-3 against sub-500 teams. The Wings have beaten the Sens five straight times here at Detroit, the Sens managing one goal or less in four of those five games. Catching the Sens potentially looking ahead to tomorrow's game against rival Montreal, a team which has already beaten them them twice this month, expect the Wings to continue their home ice dominance in the series.
|12-13-18||Coyotes v. Sabres -140||1-3||Win||100||13 h 53 m||Show|
I'm playing on BUFFALO (8* PERS FAV). The streaky Sabres followed up their extended winning streak with a string of losses. They rallied to get back on track last game though. Momentum back in their corner and facing an inferior opponent, I expect the Sabres to continue "streaking" in a winning direction. Like their hosts, the Coyotes have been a 'streaky' team of late. They're streaking in the wrong direction though. They lost four straight, then won four in a row and now have now lost three straight again. With a couple more road games left on the current trip, their current skid may continue for awhile. At least for tonight, anyway. Sabres roll.
|12-11-18||Canadiens v. Wild -165||Top||1-7||Win||100||28 h 29 m||Show|
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (10* PERS FAV). The Wild badly need a victory and a visit from the Canadiens should be just what the doctor ordered. Admittedly, the Habs have been playing pretty well of late. However, the Wild have beaten Montreal seven straight times and this is still a tough place to play. On the season, the Wild are 8-4-2 here. Last season, they were 27-6-8 here. The Wild, who have had plenty of time off since allowing seven goals at Edmonton, are 6-1 the last seven times that they'd allowed five or more goals in their previous game. Expect them to be the hungrier team here and that to lead to an important victory.
|12-11-18||Coyotes v. Bruins -175||3-4||Win||100||10 h 23 m||Show|
I'm playing on BOSTON (8* VIOLATOR). This line could easily be higher. The Bruins are 5-0 the last five meetings, winning by a combined score of 22-6. The Coyotes managed more than one goal only once and that came in a 6-2 loss. The last meeting here at Boston resulted in a 6-1 Bruin win; Boston was laying -230 for that one. Including that result, the Coyotes are a money-burning 31-62 (-13.7) the past 2+ seasons against winning teams while the Bruins are a dominating 59-31 (+12.1) against losing teams. Lay the wood and expect them to take care of business once again.
|12-11-18||Kings v. Sabres -180||3-4||Win||100||9 h 4 m||Show|
I'm playing on BUFFALO (6*). Their historic winning run now ancient history, the streaky Sabres have suddenly lost five straight. Here's a great opportunity to get back on track. Not only are the Kings really bad this season, but they're also playing the second of b2b games. Venue and schedule in their favor, Sabres take advantage and stop the bleeding.
|12-10-18||Devils v. Sharks -178||2-5||Win||100||8 h 7 m||Show|
I'm playing on SJ (8* ANNIHILATOR). The price has come down a bit from its opener but it easily could have gone the other way. With three wins in their last four, the Sharks are starting to play up to their potential. Make no mistake. This is an elite team. They're rested and playing with revenge from an earlier loss at NJ. The Devils, on the other hand, lost in shootout last night. They're 0-4 when playing the second of b2b games. The Sharks are 63-37 their last 100 against sub-500 teams. Expect them to get some payback.
|12-08-18||Rangers v. Panthers -175||5-4||Loss||-175||27 h 41 m||Show|
I'm playing on FLORIDA (8* VIOLATOR). The Panthers have been alternating wins and losses for some time. On 11/24, they lost against Chicago. That was followed by a win against New Jersey and then by a loss against Anaheim. Next, came a victory against Buffalo, a loss against Tampa, a win against Boston. Most recently, they lost against Colorado. Off that setback and playing with 'double-revenge,' I expect the 'pattern' to continue and for the Panthers to bounce back with another victory. While the Rangers have won both this season's meetings, both of those were at MSG. Thats significant as NY is 10-4 at home but 3-8 on the road. The last meeting here was last March and the Panthers won 4-3. More of the same Saturday.
|12-07-18||Hurricanes -110 v. Ducks||Top||4-1||Win||100||27 h 54 m||Show|
I'm playing on CAROLINA (10* BEST BET). I successfully played against the Hurricanes in their last game, a 5-1 loss, at SJ. However, the Sharks are arguably a much tougher opponent and I really like how this one sets up for the Canes. First, they're going to be hungry to snap their 3-game skid and to salvage some points from the trip. Also, the Ducks just beat them, at Raleigh. So, the Canes also are playing with recent revenge on their minds. Prior to giving up five at SJ, the Canes had allowed two goals or less in six of their previous seven. Expect their best effort as they bounce back and improve to 6-3, after allowing four or more goals in their previous game.
|12-05-18||Hurricanes v. Sharks -145||Top||1-5||Win||100||33 h 26 m||Show|
I'm playing on SAN JOSE (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Sharks managed to close out an otherwise disappointing road trip with a victory. This is their lone home game before hitting the road for a couple more games. They know that they need to take advantage and Carolina figures to be the perfect opponent to do so against. With their loss at LA, the Canes are now 22-35 (-10.6) the past few seasons, when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. The Canes beat the Sharks in a shootout, at PNC Arena in Raleigh. Now, its payback time!
|12-04-18||Senators v. Canadiens -175||2-5||Win||100||13 h 23 m||Show|
I'm playing on MONTREAL (8* ANNIHILATOR). I won with the Habs two games ago and then successfully played against them in their last game. Tonight, I'm coming right back with them. While the Sens may have won three in a row, this is still a team with problems. They're also just 5-12 (-8.6) the past couple of seasons, after winning their previous three. Expect the Habs, playing with revenge from an October loss, to bounce back and improve to 5-0 the past five times that they'd scored one goal or less in their previous game.
|12-03-18||Sabres v. Predators -171||1-2||Win||100||13 h 56 m||Show|
I'm playing on NASHVILLE (8* VIOLATOR). The Sabres have finally come back down to earth and now they're visiting one of the toughest venues in the league. Even without a couple of key players, this is a very dangerous Predator team, one which tends to "get up" when facing the league's other better teams. Indeed, the Preds are 83-44 (+33.5) against teams with a winning record the past few seasons, 10-1 their last 11. The Preds have the next two days off, their full attention will be on tonight's game. The Sabres, on the other hand, could already be thinking about getting back home to Buffalo, where they'll face the Leafs, a division rival, tomorrow. While the price may seem a little steep, consider that Nashville was laying -325 the last time these teams met here. Expect the Preds to finish on top.
|12-02-18||Sharks -145 v. Canadiens||Top||3-1||Win||100||12 h 43 m||Show|
I'm playing on SJ. While I won with the Habs yesterday, the Sharks are a much tougher opponent than the Rangers. True, they've under-achieved of late but this is still one of the stronger teams in the league. The Canadiens know that first hand, as San Jose as absolutely owned this series for years. Since 2011, the Sharks are 10-1 against Montreal, a perfect 6-0 since December of 2015. Off an embarrassing loss at Ottawa and desperate to avoid a winless road trip, expect the Sharks to bounce back and continue their domination in the series.
|12-01-18||Rangers v. Canadiens -165||Top||2-5||Win||100||10 h 14 m||Show|
I'm playing on MONTREAL (10* PERS FAV). Desperate for a win and looking to avenge last month's loss at MSG, expect an extremely motivated effort from the Habs tonight. The Canadiens have taken 7 of the last 10 meetings here, including each of the past two. The Rangers are 10-4 at home but 3-7 on the road. Lay the wood.
|11-30-18||Ducks v. Hurricanes -180||2-1||Loss||-180||12 h 34 m||Show|
I'm playing on CAROLINA (6* ANNIHILATOR). Both teams are playing well right now. However, the Canes are favored for good reason. Not only are they playing at home but they're much healthier. Off a somewhat unlikely "Florida sweep," I believe the Ducks, still 5-7 away from home, may be both ready for a "letdown" while also getting a little "road-weary." Expect the Canes, 7-4 here at Raleigh, to take advantage.
|11-30-18||Sabres v. Panthers -145||Top||2-3||Win||100||11 h 57 m||Show|
I'm playing on FLORIDA (10* PERS FAV). The Sabres are off a hard-fought loss at Tampa yesterday. That loss snapped their 10-game winning streak. Many will likely want to back them to bounce right back. However, its hard to do so. A team is riding an emotional high, when on an extended winning streak like that. When it finally comes to an end, there's a natural letdown. That aside, the Panthers have both the schedule and venue in their favor. They're going to be hungry and I expect them to come away with the victory.
|11-29-18||Sabres v. Lightning -170||Top||4-5||Win||100||22 h 25 m||Show|
I'm playing on TAMPA (10* VIOLATOR). The Sabres have been rolling but the Lightning remain favored for good reason. The Lightning rank #1 in the goals per game and also #1 on the power-play. They average 3.7 goals per game, compared to Buffalo's 3.2. (Both teams allow nearly the same, 2.7 and 2.8 g.p.g. respectively.) The Lightning know that everyone's talking about the Sabres' winning streak right now. Expect them to stop the streak, making a statement that they're still at the top of the heap.
|11-29-18||Islanders v. Bruins -160||1-2||Win||100||10 h 10 m||Show|
I'm playing on BOSTON (8* NHL SPECIAL). Given the venue, this line could easily be considerably higher on the road. The Isles are mediocre on the road, getting outscored by a 3.1 to 2.9 average margin. The Bruins, on the other hand, are dominant at home. They outscore visiting teams by a commanding 3.9 to 2.1 margin here. They're already a perfect 6-0 here when the O/U line was six or greater, going 8-2 here overall. The Bruins swept the Isles last season, winning 5-1, 5-2 and 3-1. Well-rested and in an angry mood from a Monday loss at Toronto, expect the Bruins to improve to 22-9 the past 31 times that they played with two day's rest in between games.
|11-28-18||Ducks v. Panthers -150||Top||3-2||Loss||-150||25 h 8 m||Show|
I'm playing on FLORIDA (10* PERS FAV). Off an inspired comeback win on Monday, I expect the Panthers to carry the positive momentum into tonight's game. While the Panthers had yesterday off, the Ducks are off an upset win at Tampa. While Florida averages a healthy 3.7 g.p.g. here at home, the Ducks are still just 4-7 away from Anaheim, averaging a paltry 2.0 goals. Speaking of "health," the Panthers' injury list remains much smaller than Anaheim's. A look at last season reveals that the Ducks won 3-2 at Anaheim but that the Panthers hammered them here at Florida, winning in an 8-3 blowout. Schedule in their favor, expect the Panthers to finish on top once again.
|11-27-18||Sharks -110 v. Sabres||Top||2-3||Loss||-110||11 h 20 m||Show|
I'm playing on SAN JOSE (10* BEAST). What a difference a month makes. When these teams met in October, the Sharks were -240 favorites. True, that was at SJ. However, the change of venue wasn't worth this big a difference in price. Rather, its been Buffalo's current hot streak. While the Sabres are indeed a much improved team, I expect an arguably more talented and more motivated San Jose team, one with Stanley Cup aspirations, to cool them off tonight. Perhaps the combination of the holiday weekend and Sin City was too much for them but the Sharks got pounded 6-0, at Vegas, last time out. They've only been shutout two previous times this season and they bounced back to win those games by a combined score of 11-3. In fact, they're a perfect 5-0 the last five times that they were off a loss by two or more goals, going 31-15 (+12.5) in that situation the past couple of seasons. They swept the Sabres last season and I expect them to do so again.
|11-26-18||Senators v. Rangers -145||Top||2-4||Win||100||26 h 45 m||Show|
I'm playing on NY (10* GAME OF WEEK). These teams will face each other again, at Ottawa, on Thursday. Knowing that they are a much better team here at MSG, the Rangers know that they better take care of business and that this is an opponent which they need to beat here. While they're only 3-8 on the road, the Rangers are an excellent 9-4 at home. While the Rangers have dropped four of their last five visits to Ottawa, they're 4-1 the last five times that they were a host in the series, including a 3-0 shuton win over the Sens here last November. Given that the Sens are only 2-8 away from Ottawa this season, look for the Rangers to continue their success at home for another day.
|11-26-18||Devils v. Panthers -134||3-4||Win||100||2 h 22 m||Show|
I'm playing on FLORIDA (8*). Off three straight losses, expect a determined Panther team to bounce back against a NJ team which lost at Tampa yesterday. The Devils are 0-2 when playing the second of b2b games, losing by a combined score of 9-4. Given that they're just 2-9 on the road overall, this line could easily be higher.
|11-24-18||Canucks v. Kings -175||4-2||Loss||-175||31 h 56 m||Show|
I'm playing on LA (8* SITUATIONAL ANNIHILATOR). With an odd number (31) of teams in the league, every club can't be in action on the same day. Every team, except one, played Friday. The Kings were the one team which had the day off. The Canucks, who played at San Jose Friday, are already 0-2 this season, when playing the second of b2b games. They lost 4-1 against the Coyotes and 5-2 against the Islanders. They're 9-19 in that situation the past couple of seasons. Schedule and venue in their favor and knowing that they'll face these same Kings, at Vancouver in a few days, expect the Kings to "hold serve" on home ice.
|11-24-18||Blue Jackets v. Penguins -145||2-4||Win||100||11 h 39 m||Show|
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH (8* PERS FAV). The Pens have dominated the Blue Jackets here at Pittsburgh and I expect that to continue tonight. The Pens got back on track in a big way two games ago, snapping their losing streak. Yesterday, they lost at Boston. Back home, they know that they can ill afford to fall into another skid. Not when they're on the bottom of the division and Columbus is on top. Expect a huge effort to lead to an important two points.
|11-23-18||Rangers v. Flyers -143||Top||0-4||Win||100||20 h 40 m||Show|
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA (10* BREAKFAST CLUB). Off four straight losses, expect the Flyers to be hungrier than the Rangers, who have won three straight. Note that NY is 10-14 (-10) the past 24 times that they were off three or more consecutive victories. The Rangers' success has come at MSG. On the road, they're just 3-7 and allowing an average of 4.2 goals per game. The Flyers have dominated recent meetings including a 5-0 win the last game here at Philly. More of the same here.
|11-21-18||Stars v. Penguins -145||Top||1-5||Win||100||28 h 60 m||Show|
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH (10* GAME OF MONTH). Crosby practiced Tuesday and Coach Sullivan said he liked what he saw. Whether or not he returns tonight, I expect a desperate Penguin team to rise to the occasion and snap their 4-game losing streak. Even if Crosby doesn't play, the Pens are arguably healthier than the Stars. Indeed, the Dallas defense is severely banged up right now with four defenders out, including Klingberg, Johns and Methot. While the Stars have been tough at Dallas, they've been highly beatable (4-6) when playing on the road, averaging only 2.2 goals in those games. At this point, it appears Khudopin will be between the pipes for the stars, he's 3-3 on the season. The Pens beat the Stars 3-1 the last meeting, outshooting them 30-18 in the process. That extended a long run of home ice dominance for Pittsburgh in the series. It continues here. *GOM
|11-19-18||Golden Knights v. Flames -130||2-7||Win||100||11 h 28 m||Show|
I'm playing on CALGARY (8* PERS FAV). Both these teams just defeated the Oilers in their last game. The difference is that Calgary did so on Saturday while Vegas did so on Sunday. That puts the Knights in a b2b spot and thats a situation which hasn't been kind to them. So far this season, the Knights are 0-2 when playing the second of b2b games, losing 4-1 and 4-2. Note that the Knighs are alsio 1-4 off a win by two or more goals. Even with yesterday's victory, Vegas is only 4-8 on the road, averaging just 2.5 goals. Calgary, meanwhile, is 5-4 at home, averaging 4.0 goals. The Flames won the last meeting by a score of 7-1. Venue and schedule in their favor, I expect them to finish on top once again.
|11-18-18||Devils v. Hurricanes -151||1-2||Win||100||21 h 20 m||Show|
I'm playing on CAROLINA (8* ANNIHILATOR). Both teams played yesterday. Not all b2b spots are created equally though. While the Devils will also be playing their third game in the past four days, the Canes had four days off, prior to the b2b spot. In other words, the Devils arguably have a far more difficult b2b situation than do the Canes. Thats even more the case when considering that the Devils had to travel after yesterday's game while the Canes did not. Before dropping yesterday's game, the Devils had been playing well at home. They've been terrible on the road though, getting outscored by an average score of 4.3 to 2.4 while going just 2-7. Expect their road woes to continue for another day.
|11-17-18||Penguins -153 v. Senators||Top||4-6||Loss||-153||27 h 41 m||Show|
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH (10* VIOLATOR). Even without Crosby, the Penguins have more than enough to take care of a defensively-challenged Senators team which is allowing a whopping 4.1 goals per game. Thats by far the most goals allowed in the league. Off b2b losses and having now dropped seven of eight, the Pens are going to be extremely motivated. This is a team that they can absolutely "get healthy" against. They will.
|11-15-18||Maple Leafs v. Sharks -130||Top||5-3||Loss||-130||15 h 22 m||Show|
I'm playing on SJ (10* PERS FAV). While the Leafs have been excellent on the road this season, this is going to prove a very difficult venue. The home team won both meetings in last year's season series. In the game here at SJ, the Sharks held a commanding 39-18 advantage in shots. The absence of Matthews figures to finally catch up to Toronto tonight. The Sharks followed up a 3-1 win over Calgary with a 5-4 win over a strong Nashville team. Expect them to carry that positive momentum into tonight's game, improving to 37-20 (+14.2) the past couple of seasons, after allowing four or more goals in their previous game.
|11-15-18||Rangers v. Islanders -130||5-7||Win||100||12 h 52 m||Show|
I'm playing on the NY ISLANDERS (8*). I won with both these teams in their last game, each of them defeated Vancouver. I liked what I saw from the Isles more though. The Isles are now a perfect 6-0 within the division, moving to 34-30 (+11.3) in divisional play the past couple of seasons. During the same span, the Rangers were just 26-35 (-9.6) in divisional action. Given those stats, its not overly surprising to learn that the Isles were a perfect 4-0 against the Rangers last season, 7-1 the past two. They've outscored them by a combined 12-3 margin the past three meetings. Expect that h2h dominance to continue for another night.
|11-15-18||Panthers v. Blue Jackets -124||3-7||Win||100||12 h 51 m||Show|
I'm playing on COLUMBUS (8*). The Panthers haven't lost since returning from Finland but I expect that to change this evening. The Jackets have dominated the Panthers since coming into the league, particularly here at Columbus. The Jackets have held three of their past four opponents to less than two goals. Expect them to continue their success against Florida and to improve to 31-15 (+10.4) the past couple of seasons, when playing with two day's rest in between games.
|11-14-18||Ducks v. Golden Knights -165||0-5||Win||100||16 h 20 m||Show|
I'm playing on VEGAS (8* ANNIHILATOR). Off two straight losses, the Knights are going to be a determined team tonight. They've stopped each of their last 2-game skids from reaching three. The Ducks are a team that the Knights have handled. The teams met here a few weeks ago, Vegas winning 2-0. The Knights had a dominating 45-18 edge in shots in that game. Speaking of "s.o.g." the Knights outshoot teams by an average of 34.7 to 25 here at home. Anaheim, on the other hand, gets outshot by a 38.4 to 23.7 average margin on the road. Expect the Knights to bounce back, improving to 15-5 in 20 tries, after scoring one goal or less in their previous game.
|11-13-18||Canadiens v. Oilers -125||Top||2-6||Win||100||14 h 39 m||Show|
I'm playing on EDMONTON (10* PERS FAV). Off four straight losses, we're playing on an absolutely desperate Oiler team. The first three of those losses were on the road and the latest loss was their first game back home, after a trip east. The Oilers have no more 'excuses' though. They've been home for a few days, they're rested and they don't play again for a few more days. Their full focus is going to be on winning this game and we'll get their very best effort. Expect the highly capable Oiler offense to come back to life against a Montreal team which has allowed 15 goals in its past three games alone. The Oilers swept the Habs last season, winning the two games by a combined score of 10-3. They were laying -180 for the game here at Edmonton. We're getting them at a far more reasonable price tonight and I feel that they're providing excellent value.
|11-13-18||Canucks v. Islanders -154||2-5||Win||100||12 h 33 m||Show|
I'm playing on NEW YORK (*8). I've successfully played against Vancouver twice in a row. Sorry Canuck fans, I'm going against your team one more time. While the Canucks are nearing the end of a long trip and played at MSG yesterday, the Isles had the past two days off. Having lost three in a row for the first time all season, the Isles are going to be hungry. Allowing just 2.6 goals per game, , a mere 2.2 here at home, the Isles are among the stingiest teams in the league. Expect them to bounce back.
|11-12-18||Canucks v. Rangers -117||Top||1-2||Win||100||13 h 10 m||Show|
I'm playing on NYR (10* PERS FAV). Both teams have played well of late. However, I expect the Canucks' recent loss at Buffalo to at least temorarily take some wind out of their sails. That was a tough loss for the Canucks, as they had a two goal lead late in the third. While the Canucks play again tomorrow, the Rangers have the next two days off. Their full focus is on the task at hand. The Rangers have won four of five overall and three straight at home. On the season, the Rangers allow 2.4 goals per game here at home while the Canucks allow 3.5 gpg on the road. Now 23-9 (+10.4) their past 32 November games, expect the Rangers to keep on rolling for at least another day.
|11-11-18||Flames v. Sharks -170||Top||1-3||Win||100||16 h 38 m||Show|
I'm playing on SAN JOSE (10* PERS FAV). Off back-to-back losses, the Sharks, who had yesterday off, are going to be in an angry mood. Both previous times that the Sharks were off b2b losses they responded with a victory. They won those games by a combined score of 9-4. Unlike their hosts, the Flames played (at LA) last night. That 1-0 victory notwithstanding, the Flames have struggled vs. divisional opponents; they're now a money-burning 27-39 against Pacific teams the past couple of seasons. During the same stretch, the Sharks were a profitable 35-20 (+12.2) in divisional play. Given those numbers, its not surprising to learn that the Sharks have dominated the Flames in recent h2h play. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect that dominance to continue this evening, the Sharks improving to 30-15 the last 45 times that they were off a loss by two more goals.
|11-10-18||Maple Leafs v. Bruins -160||Top||1-5||Win||100||9 h 53 m||Show|
I'm playing on BOSTON (10* PERS FAV). The Leafs are off a big win yesterday. Meanwhile, the Bruins had last night off, after getting hammered Thursday. They're going to be in an angry mood. Note that Boston is 26-18 (+2.8) the past couple of seasons, off a loss by two or more goals. During the same span, the Leafs are a money-burning 14-19 (-5.5) when playing the second of b2b games. The Leafs are expected to go with Sparks in net and he's got a 3.49 GAA through two starts. Halak, Boston's projected starter, has a 1.96 GAA. The Leafs have some painful memories here; these longtime rivals last faced each other in Game 7 of a playoff series last spring. Trailing entering the third period, the Bruins stormed back to win. Schedule in their favor, expect them to finish on top once again.
|11-10-18||Canucks v. Sabres -165||3-4||Win||100||17 h 7 m||Show|
I'm playing on BUFFALO (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). The early start time favors the home team here, as opposed to their West Coast based guests. The Canucks are off a big 8-5 win at Boston. However, they're just 11-23 (-8.6) the past couple of seasons, when off a win by two or more goals and 15-33 (-13.6) after scoring four or more goals. The Sabres last game here resulted in a 9-2 victory. Expect them to finish on top again here!
|11-08-18||Islanders v. Lightning -215||2-4||Win||100||11 h 20 m||Show|
I'm playing on TAMPA (6* BIG JUICE BEATDOWN). The Isles have fared pretty well on the road so far. However, a closer look shows that they're being outshot by a 34.5 to 25.1 average margin, when playing away from home. Thats going to lead to problems against an elite team like the Lightning. While Tampa has won three straight overall, the Isles saw their winning streak come to an end last time out. The Isles have had success against sub-500 teams but are 3-4 against teams with a winning record. They're now 33-51 (-8.8) against winning teams the past couple of seasons. During the same span, TB is 60-43 (+8) against winning teams, includng a 7-1 mark this season. The last meeting here resulted in a 6-2 win for Tampa. More of the same tonight.
|11-08-18||Canucks v. Bruins -226||8-5||Loss||-226||28 h 3 m||Show|
I'm playing on BOSTON (6* DESTROYER). The Canucks have had success at Vancouver but have now fallen below .500 on the road. Don't expect them to climb back to the mark anytime soon. The Bruins beat Dallas 2-1 last time out and I expect them to carry the positive momentum into this evening's game. While they've had some trouble on the road, including a loss at Vancouver, the Bruins are a dominant 5-1 here at home. In those six games, they're allowing less than two goals per game, outscored visiting teams by a commanding 23-10 margin. They've won eight of the past 12 as a host of the Canucks, including victories each of the past two seasons. More of the same Thursday.
|11-06-18||Wild v. Sharks -143||3-4||Win||100||16 h 58 m||Show|
I'm playing on SJ. The Wild have had the Sharks' number in recent seasons but I expect that to change this evening. The Sharks may only be 3-3 here at home. However, they're outshooting visiting teams by a commanding 37.8 to 27.5 margin and its only a matter of time before that home record improves. As for the Wild, note that they're still 24-33 (-10.8) the L2+ seasons, when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. After dropping the first two legs of their current 4-game home-stand, the Sharks got back on track last time out. Expect them to build positive momentum from that victory, leading to another one tonight.
|11-05-18||Oilers v. Capitals -140||2-4||Win||100||28 h 42 m||Show|
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (8*). Off b2b losses and also looking to avenge a recent loss at Edmonton, the champs are going to be a determined team here. They've only suffered b2b losses one other time so far this season and they immediately responded with a victory. Expect them to do so again here.
|11-05-18||Stars v. Bruins -153||Top||1-2||Win||100||27 h 48 m||Show|
I'm playing on BOSTON (10* PERS FAV). The Bruins were blanked 1-0 by Nashville in their last game, the third time already this season that they were shut out. After each of the previous two shutout losses, they immediately responded, winning those two games by a combined score of 7-2. The Stars may be growing a little road-weary; this is the 5th leg of a 6-game road trip, which finishes at Columbus tomorrow. Expect the Bruins to bounce back again, improving to 22-12 (+7.4) the past 34 times that they were off a game where they scored one goal or less.
|11-05-18||Devils v. Penguins -165||5-1||Loss||-165||27 h 47 m||Show|
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH (8*). The Devils are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Pens are off a 5-0 loss, their third straight setback. They're a highly 34-12 the past 46 times that were off a loss by two more goals. Knowing that they'll have to face these same Devils, at New Jersey, next week, expect the Pens to bounce back and take care of business on home ice this evening.
|11-03-18||Lightning -120 v. Canadiens||Top||4-1||Win||100||10 h 25 m||Show|
I'm playing on TAMPA (10* PERS FAV). While the Habs have been playing well, I don't believe that they're quite ready to contend with a talented and motivated Tampa team. The Lightning lost (4-1) last time out and they've responded to each of their recent losses by immediatey bouncing back with a victory. In fact, off their last three losses, the Lightning have won their next game by a combined score of 22-8. Each victory (8-2, 6-3, 8-3) came by by a minimum of three goals. Going back further finds Tampa at a profitable 41-22 (+11.6) the past couple of seasons, after allowing four or more goals. During the span, the Lightning were also 30-19 off a loss by two or more goals while the Habs were 19-27 (-12.6) off a win by two or more goals and 22-29 (-11.5) after scoring four or more in their previous game. The Lightning were laying -270 last time they faced Montreal and -170 the last time that they visited here. They won both games. We're getting them at a much more reasonable price tonight and I feel thats providing excellent value.
|11-03-18||Stars v. Capitals -135||4-3||Loss||-135||10 h 13 m||Show|
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (8* VIOLATOR). Both teams have played their last three on the road. That fact figures to favor Washington. The Stars are 13-14, the past 2+ seasons, after playing three or more consec. road games. During the same stretch, the Caps are an impressive 16-4 when doing so. The Stars are already struggling against Eastern Conf. opponents this season and they're now 29-41 (-19) in non-conf games, the past couple of seasons. The Caps, on the other hand, are 43-25 (+11.2) against teams from the West. Not surprisingly, given those stats, Washington swept last season's games. While the Stars are averaging 1.8 goals per game on the road this season, the Caps are averaging 4.6 at home. Caps roll.
|11-03-18||Senators v. Sabres -170||2-9||Win||100||24 h 45 m||Show|
I'm playing on BUFFALO (8* VIOLATOR). The Sens got the better of the Sabres on Thursday, at Ottawa. With this afternoon's rematch being played at Buffalo, expect the Sabres to return the favor. While the Sens have had some success at Ottawa, they've struggled on the road. They've won one of five away from home and are allowing an average of 4.8 goals in those five games. Off three straight losses, this is a game the Sabres absolutely need to have. Expect them to rise to the occasion and get some payback.
|11-01-18||Blue Jackets v. Sharks -165||4-1||Loss||-165||30 h 20 m||Show|
I'm playing on SAN JOSE (8*). The Sharks have taken four of the last five meetings with Columbus and I expect them to have the advantage again this evening. The Jackets' last five games came against the likes of Detroit, Buffalo, St. Louis, Arizona and Chicago. None of those teams are as strong as the Sharks right now. Off a loss last time out, San Jose is going to be in an angry mood this evening. While the Jackets are getting outscored by an average of 3.9 to 3.5 this season, the Sharks are outscoring teams by a 3.4 to 3.0 average. Sharks roll.
|11-01-18||Rangers v. Ducks -150||3-2||Loss||-150||30 h 50 m||Show|
I'm playing on ANAHEIM (8*). The Ducks desperately need a victory and a date with the Rangers, who they catch at the end of a road trip, is just what the doctor ordered. The Rangers may have managed an unlikely upset at San Jose last time out. However, that was their first road win of the season; they're still 1-5 away from MSG. While the Rangers allow 3.4 goals per game, the Ducks allow 2.8. Look for that superior defense, combined with home ice advantage, to prove the difference.
|11-01-18||Penguins -145 v. Islanders||Top||2-3||Loss||-145||27 h 45 m||Show|
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH (10* PERS FAV). The Isles got the better of the Penguins, at Pittsburgh, on Tuesday. Today, we're getting the Penguins at a considerably lower price than Tuesday, due to the fact that they're on the road. However, both teams have actually been better on the road thus far. Expect the revenge-minded Pens, who are 4-1 on the road, to get some payback this evening.
|10-30-18||Devils v. Lightning -148||Top||3-8||Win||100||26 h 49 m||Show|
I'm playing on TAMPA (10* PERS FAV). The Lightning have dominated the Devils, here at Tampa, in recent seasons and they've got the superior team again this year. A 7-1 loss to close out their road trip will ensure we get maximum effort from the Lightning. They're 40-22 (+10.6) the past couple of seasons, when off a loss by two or more goals. During that stretch, the Lightning are also 24-7 (+11.7) when play with two day's rest in between games. Off this season's previous two losses, Tampa responded by winning both times and by a combined score of 14-5. Expect them to bounce back big again Tuesday.
|10-30-18||Islanders v. Penguins -208||6-3||Loss||-208||10 h 44 m||Show|
I'm playing on Pittsburgh. This line could easily be higher. The extremely talented Pens are playing at another level right now. They've won four straight and the last two of those wins came by a combined score of 14-1. The last time that the Isles visited, the Pens were -265 favorites. The Pens won the game, outshooting the Isles by a commanding 50-27 margin. Knowing that they'll face these same Islanders on the road, on Thursday, expect the Pens to be all business tonight, "holding serve" and making it five straight winners.
|10-28-18||Islanders v. Hurricanes -199||2-1||Loss||-199||8 h 3 m||Show|
I'm playing on CAROLINA (6*). The Isles are playing their second straight afternoon game, their third game in four days overall. They're 30-50 their last 80 against teams with a winning record. The Isles already beat them here earlier in the month and the Canes are determined not to let it happen again. Schedule in their favor, expect them to get some payback.
|10-27-18||Blackhawks v. Blues -130||Top||3-7||Win||100||12 h 17 m||Show|
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS (10* GAME OF MONTH). These rivals will already be facing each other for the third time. The Hawks won both the first two meetings, each win coming by a single goal. Playing with double-revenge and desperate to get back on track, the Blues are going to be extremely motivated. Keep in mind that the Blues were laying -175 when they hosted the Hawks earlier this month. Now, due in large part to their slump, we're getting them at a far more reasonable price. Yet, as mentioned, that slump is actually going to lead to a huge effort tonight. Off their last loss, the Blues held a 23-minute closed-door meeting. They're serious about getting back on track.
To give an idea of the Blues' mood, check out this comment from Taresenko after Thursday's loss: "...it feels like sh*t to be doing this in front of our fans. And just to clear this up, I don't have any doubt about anybody in this locker room. We will do this. I believe this. And trust me, we will put 100 percent out there on Saturday night against Chicago and we will prove we don't have a sh*t team like it was tonight. It's not acceptable to lose like this at home."
Expect the Tarenko and co. to "dig deep," their very best effort leading to a critical victory.
|10-27-18||Avalanche v. Wild -155||2-3||Win||100||10 h 1 m||Show|
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (8* ANNIHILATOR). While I won with the Avs last night, this is a much tougher venue. Instead of facing a weak Ottawa team, they're facing a tough Minnesota squad, one which is currently red hot. The rested Wild have won four straight and they come in hungry to avenge an earlier loss at Colorado. In three of their four wins, they allowed just a single goal. The Avs are just 7-15 the past couple of seasons, when playing the second of b2b games. During that stretch, they're also an ugly 14-39 (-18) when playing a road game where the O/U line was 5.5, as this one is. The Wild are 27-13 (+14.2) the past couple of seasons, when facing a winning team in the first half. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect them to stay hot, closing out their current homestand with a fifth straight win.
|10-27-18||Islanders v. Flyers -158||6-1||Loss||-158||5 h 30 m||Show|
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). Both teams have lost two in a row. I fully expect the Flyers to be the team which gets back on track. After this game, the Flyers head out West, adding some urgency to picking up the "W" before they go. While both teams have similar numbers out of the gate, its important to remember that the Flyers were projected to finish roughly 15 points ahead of the Isles this season. Thats because they bring far more to the table. Expect that to be evident here, as the Flyers' best effort leads to an important victory.
|10-26-18||Senators v. Avalanche -215||3-6||Win||100||28 h 42 m||Show|
I'm playing on COLORADO (6* BM BLOWOUT). Both teams saw a 3-game winning streak snapped last time out. The Avs should absolutely be the team which gets back on track here. The Avs are going to challenge in the West all season. The Sens figure to be an after-thought in the East. Not only are the Sens arguably lacking on talent in the first place but they're also dealing with a number of injuries. If the price seems steep, consider the following. While the Avs are allowing 2.1 goals per game, the Sens are allowing 3.6. Having lost their last two home games (after winning their first two here) the Avs aren't going to squander this opportunity.
|10-24-18||Canucks v. Golden Knights -208||3-2||Loss||-208||26 h 16 m||Show|
I'm playing on VEGAS (6* BM BEATDOWN). The Canucks came back down to earth in a big way last time out. Facing a Vegas team which has caught fire, I expect them to stumble again here. While the Canucks are an ugly 21-39 (-11.8) their last 60 against divisional opponents, the Knights are an impressive 29-11 (+15.6) against divisional opponents. That includes a perfect 4-0 mark against the Canucks last season; the Knights won the two games here by scores of 4-1 and 6-3. All signs point to more of the same Wednesday.
|10-23-18||Bruins -138 v. Senators||Top||4-1||Win||100||25 h 36 m||Show|
I'm playing on BOSTON (10* ANNIHILATOR). The Bruins are playing the fourth leg of a 4-game road trip. Having already dropped the first three games of the trip, they're going to be extremely motivated to pick up a "W." Ottawa, to its credit, has actually managed to win three in a row. Thats not necessarily a good thing though; they're 5-11 (-7.6) the past couple of seasons, when off three or more consecutive wins. During the same span, the Bruins were 8-4 (+3.7) when off three or more consec. losses. The Bruins are also 19-7 (+8.5) the past couple of seasons, when playing with two day's rest in between games. Expect them to improve on those stats Tuesday.
|10-23-18||Coyotes v. Blue Jackets -162||4-1||Loss||-162||11 h 6 m||Show|
I'm playing on COLUMBUS (8* VIOLATOR). This line could easily be much higher. The Jackets are a much stronger team which is playing at home. They're also healthier. Off a loss, they're going to be hungry. Both teams play with two day's rest and that also works in favor of Columbus. The Jackets are an impressive 29-13 (+12.8) the past 2+ seasons, when playing with exactly two day's rest. During the same span, the Coyotes were a dismal 4-16 (-12) when doing so. Over the same period, the Jackets are 55-31 (+14) against losing teams while the Coyotes are 25-58 (-18.1) against winning teams. Columbus swept last season's games and will again take advantage of an inferior opponent.
|10-22-18||Capitals -155 v. Canucks||Top||5-2||Win||100||14 h 3 m||Show|
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (10* PERS FAV). The champs come in well-rested and hungry. They're 22-10 (+10.1) the past couple of seasons, when playing with two day's rest in between games. The Canucks are arguably a little fortunate to be 2-0 at home, as they've been outshot by an average of 33 to 22.5 in those games. While the Canucks are 26-43 against teams from the East the past couple of seasons, the Caps are 41-24 (+10.4) against teams from the West. Expect them to improve on those stats this evening.
|10-20-18||Islanders v. Sharks -215||1-4||Win||100||17 h 40 m||Show|
I'm playing on SJ (6* BEATDOWN). The Sharks will have payback on their minds, as they lost 4-0 at New York less than two weeks ago. The Sharks, a profitable 65-37 the past 100+ times that they played a home game with an O/U line of 6 or greater, have already played five of their first seven on the road. After this, they play another three on the road. Expect them to take adavantage of the favorable venue, avenging the earlier loss in convincing fashion.
|10-20-18||Bruins -161 v. Canucks||1-2||Loss||-161||16 h 17 m||Show|
I'm playing on BOSTON (8* VIOLATOR). The Canucks are playing their first game back home, off a long road trip. That can often be a difficult spot. Winless on their current road trip, the Bruins are going to be highly motivated to pick up a "W." They haven't forgotten that the Canucks hammered them here last season and they won't overlook them here. The Canucks are an ugly 27-58 (-11.4) their past 85 against winning teams. Expect the Bruins to be too much for them tonight.
|10-18-18||Canucks v. Jets -190||1-4||Win||100||12 h 4 m||Show|
I'm playing on WINNIPEG (6* VIOLATOR). The Canucks have already achieved more than they expected on this 6-game trip. Playing the final leg of it, they're going to be road-weary this evening and looking forward to returning to Vancouver. The Jets have dominated the Canucks here at Winnipeg in recent seasons. Off a 5-4 loss to Edmonton, expect them to bounce back and improve to 39-27 (+10.4) the past 2+ seasons, after allowing four or more goals in their previous game.
|10-17-18||Rangers v. Capitals -250||3-4||Win||100||8 h 26 m||Show|
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (6*). The Rangers are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The champs are playing at home and well-rested. Off consecutive losses, they're also in an angry mood. The Rangers are off an OT win last night. They lost 8-5 the only previous time that they played the second of b2b games this season. The Caps have dominated better Ranger teams than the one they'll face tonight, here at Washington. Schedule in their favor, expect them to continue to do so this evening.
|10-16-18||Sabres v. Golden Knights -180||1-4||Win||100||13 h 26 m||Show|
I'm playing on VEGAS (6*). Needless to say, the Knights haven't gotten off to the type of start that they were hoping for. That said, I expect them to take care of business on home ice against a Sabre team which already defeated them at Buffalo. We successfully went against the Knights in their opening game of the season, when they lost against the Flyers. Last time out, they avenged that loss, posting a 1-0 win at Philly. Once again, they'll be looking for some early payback. The Sabres are 1-7 (-4.4) the past couple of seasons, when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or greater. The Knights, meanwhile, are 18-7 (+5.4) when playing a home game with an O/U line of six or greater. Expect the Sabres to fall to 8-24 the past 32 times that they were off a win by two or more goals.
|10-16-18||Coyotes v. Wild -140||1-2||Win||100||11 h 27 m||Show|
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (8*). Due to the Wild coming off a loss at Nashville last night and playing the second of b2b games, we're getting a much lower price than we would be otherwise. (The Wild were -240 the last time that they hosted the Coyotes.) Knowing that they're 1-4 and knowing that their next several games are all against more difficult opposition, the Wild know that they have to dig deep and take advantage of a visit from a weaker opponent. The Coyotes are slowly getting healthier but are still dealing with some serious injury issues. On the road against what will be a highly motivated Minnesota team, expect the Coyotes to fall to 4-16 the last 20 times that they played with two day's rest in between games.
|10-16-18||Hurricanes v. Lightning -150||2-4||Win||100||11 h 57 m||Show|
I'm playing on TAMPA (8*). The price has come down from its opener providing us with excellent value on the Lightning. Consider that Tampa was -200 the last time it hosted Carolina, a 5-4 win last January. A look back further finds that the Lightning have beaten the Canes seven straight times here. Off a dominant 8-2 win against Columbus last time out, the Lightning reminded everyone that they're an elite team. Expect them to continue their home ice dominance in this series, improving to 23-7 the last 30 times that they played with two day's rest in between games.
|10-16-18||Canucks v. Penguins -220||3-2||Loss||-220||11 h 37 m||Show|
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH (6*). The Canucks managed an unlikely "Florida sweep," taking down both the Lightning and the Panthers. While the Canucks our playing the fifth leg of a 6-game trip, the Pens have had the past couple of days off, after falling 4-3 at Montreal. They're 54-23 (+21.2) the past couple of seasons, after allowing four or more goals. Expect them to improve on those stats in convincing fashion here.
|10-14-18||Hurricanes v. Jets -175||Top||1-3||Win||100||12 h 30 m||Show|
I'm playing on WINNIPEG (10* PERS FAV). While the Canes are playing well, they're now up against one of the top teams in hockey. Not only do the Jets have an edge in talent and the venue working in their favor, they've also got the schedule-maker in their corner for this one. The Canes are off a hard-fought OT win at Minnesota; the Jets have had the past two days off. Winnipeg, which swept Carolina last season, is 21-11 (+8.9) the past couple of seasons, when playing with two day's rest. With the schedule and venue in their favor, expect the Jets, who outshot LA 39-17 in winning their only game here so far, to improve on those stats this evening.
|10-13-18||Ducks v. Stars -160||3-5||Win||100||8 h 29 m||Show|
I'm playing on DALLAS (8*). Home ice has proven significant in this series in recent seasons and that was again the case last year. The Stars are off a 7-4 loss to the Leafs. That's noteworthy, to those who pay attention to history, as they've practically always been a good bet, when off a multi-goal loss, both in the long-term and in the short-term. Over the past couple of seasons, the Stars are 33-23 (+10.2) off a loss by two or more goals. Going back further finds them at 248-160 (+81.8) in that situation. Expect home ice to make the difference.
|10-13-18||Canucks v. Panthers -190||3-2||Loss||-190||8 h 59 m||Show|
I'm playing on FLORIDA (6*). The Panthers still have high expectations for this season but are off to an 0-2 start. However, their first two games came against Tampa and Columbus. Both those teams are much stronger than the one they'll face this evening. Hungry for their first win, they won't let the opportunity of a visit by the Canucks pass them by. Both teams had yesterday off but Florida figures to have the fresher legs. While the Panthers have only played two games this season, the Canucks have already played four and this will mark their fourth straight on the road. The Canucks may have won 4-1 last time out but they're just 8-23 (-12.7) their last 31 off a win by two or more goals and 12-32 (-16.7) after scoring four or more. The Panthers beat the Canucks again here last season and I expect them to roll once again.
|10-13-18||Blue Jackets v. Lightning -161||2-8||Win||100||8 h 58 m||Show|
I'm playing on TAMPA (8*). The Lightning are 28-12 their last 40 at home, when the O/U line was six or greater. While I respect the Jackets, the Lightning have dominated them. Off a loss to lowly Vancouver, they're going to be in an angry mood. They're 38-22 (+8.6) the last 60 times that they'd given up four or more goals in their previous game; I expect them to improve on those stats here.
|10-13-18||Hurricanes v. Wild -153||Top||5-4||Loss||-153||27 h 52 m||Show|
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (10* PERS FAV). I won with both these teams in their last game. Playing at home, where they have long dominated the Canes, and off a momentum-building comeback, I expect the Wild to be the team which has the advantage. The win over Chicago was big. The Wild were 0-2 to start the season and down 0-2 to start the game. They rallied back to tie, only to again fall behind 3-2. With less than 30 seconds to play, they scored a short-handed goal and went on to win in OT. Those are exactly the type of victories that a team can build from. The Canes are off to a nice start, due in part to having played a favorable schedule. They're still a young team with a new coach and this venue has never been kind to them. The Wild are 5-0 since 2013, when hosting the Canes, 8-1 their last nine. Wild roll.
|10-11-18||Blackhawks v. Wild -145||Top||3-4||Win||100||10 h 14 m||Show|
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (10* PERS FAV). Off to an 0-2 start, the Wild are going to be very hungry tonight. They're well rested (last game was 10/6) and the winless start will have ensured the time off was used wisely. Note that the Wild are 11-4 (+6.6) the last 15 times that they played with three or more day's worth of rest in between games. Chicago is also well-rested, having last played on 10/7. The Hawks haven't fared nearly as well, with an extended break though, as they're an ugly 5-13 (-9.5) the last 18 times that they played with three or more day's rest. The Wild have beaten the Hawks twice in a row, most recently a 3-0 win here last February. Expect more of the same tonight.
|10-11-18||Flames v. Blues -120||3-5||Win||100||10 h 31 m||Show|
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS (8* ROAST). Off to an 0-2 start, the Blues are going to be extremely motivated. Note that they've had an average edge in shots on goal of 36 to 27.5. So, its not as if they aren't getting chances. The Flames took the last two meetings at Calgary. However, the Blues won 5-2, as -170 favorites, the last meeting here at St. Louis. We're getting them at a far more reasonable price here and I expect them to finish on top once again.
|10-09-18||Kings v. Jets -180||1-2||Win||100||23 h 37 m||Show|
I'm playing on WINNIPEG (6*). The Kings are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Jets have big plans this season and they're going to very determined to win their home opener. They still haven't forgotten that they got pounded (7-2) in last season's home opener and they absolutely want to avoid a repeat. The fact that they're off a 5-1 loss will ensure they're not at all complacement. Over the past couple of seasons, the Jets were 20-11 (+7.9) when playing with two day's rest in between games and 37-27 (+8.4), after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. They were also 40-21 (+12.5) when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. Expect a highy motivated effort to lead to the first of many home ice victories for the Jets.
|10-09-18||Avalanche v. Blue Jackets -134||2-5||Win||100||22 h 37 m||Show|
I'm playing on COLUMBUS (8*). After losing their home opener and with a couple of tough road games on deck, the Jackets are going to be highly determined to take care of business on home ice here. The Jackets were playing their second game in two nights for their previous home game but now come in having had a few days off. The Avs are 2-0 but both wins came at home and they were poor on the road again last season. The Jackets were 25-16 (+7.7) the past couple of seasons, when off a loss by two or more goals. During that stretch, they were also 10-3 (+7.2) when playing with three or more day's rest. Expect them to improve on those stats Tuesday.
|10-09-18||Canucks v. Hurricanes -180||3-5||Win||100||22 h 37 m||Show|
I'm playing on CAROLINA (8). Considering that the Canes were -215 favorites against the Rangers, a team which they beat 8-5, I feel that this line could also be higher. The Canucks gave their fans some reason for hope, winning their first game by a 5-2 score. They quickly came back down to earth in losing their second (7-4) though and it figures to be another long season. Note that they're now an ugly 12-31 (-15.7) the last 2+ seasons, after scoring four or more in their previous game. The Canes who can also beat you defensively know that this is the type of team that they need to take advantage of. Expect them to do so.
|10-06-18||Canucks v. Flames -195||4-7||Win||100||14 h 45 m||Show|
I'm playing on CALGARY (8*). The Canucks took Thursday's meeting, at Vancouver, by a 5-2 score. Playing their home opener, expect a highly motivated Flames team to return the favor this evening. The fact that the Canucks knocked out Calgary's Travis Harmonic for this game, from a fight in the opener, should only add to the Flames' motivation. The Canucks were just 8-22 the past couple of seasons, off a win by two or more goals. During that stretch, they were also an ugly 12-30, after scoring four or more. Flames bounce back.
|10-06-18||Blackhawks v. Blues -155||5-4||Loss||-155||12 h 40 m||Show|
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS (8*). The Hawks won their first game while the Blues lost theirs. However, while those results should serve the Blues well in the motivation department this evening, the level of opposition wasn't really comparable. The Blues had to take on a talented Winnipeg team which is expecting a big year. The Hawks, on the other hand, were forunate to open against Ottawa, a team expected to have a difficult year. Consider the the Blues were -260 favorites the last time that they hosted the Hawks. These teams will meet again next week, at Chicago. While the Hawks may have a better chance in that one, expect the Blues to hold serve on home ice this evening.
|10-06-18||Rangers v. Sabres -129||1-3||Win||100||11 h 45 m||Show|
I'm playing on BUFFALO (8*). It may seem strange to some to see the Sabres favored over the Rangers. However, that is indeed the case and its for good reason. The Rangers, in fact, are projected to be one of the league's weaker teams this season. The Sabres, on the other hand, are expected to be an improved team, one which hopes to contend for the playoffs. Thats what made getting booed off the ice in their opener that much more disappointing; I expect them to come out much hungrier this evening.
Sabres coach Phil Housley had this to say: "Was it disappointing in front of a good crowd that was here to support us? You're dang right. It's disappointing. So, what can we control? We can control how we come to the rink and work because we are not going through this again."
|10-04-18||Islanders v. Hurricanes -155||Top||2-1||Loss||-155||11 h 55 m||Show|
I'm playing on CAROLINA (10* PERS FAV). The Canes have a new coach, some new faces and they've already got their fans fired up. Off their best (5-0-1) preseason ever, they're coming in with some momentum and plenty of confidence. Carolina outscore its opponents by a 28-13 margin in the exhibition season, the players quickly buying into Coach Brind'Amour's ways. Captain Justin Williams had this to say: "We're chomping at the bit, we're ready to go and we're feeling good ... We know what we have here. We have a little bit of aura in the air about where this team is headed. We're feeling good about it. We need to raise the bar here. We started it in the preseason and are ready to carry it on." Facing an Islander team which allowed 3.5 goals (and 35.8 shots) per road game last season, while going 16-25, expect the Canes to start the "new era" with a victory.
|10-03-18||Ducks v. Sharks -165||5-2||Loss||-165||49 h 50 m||Show|
I'm playing on SJ (8*). The Sharks have dominated the Ducks of late, having won six straight, including last season's playoff series. While the Ducks would surely love some payback, its not happening tonight. The Ducks are banged-up while the Sharks are entering the season with Stanley Cup aspirations. For good reason, too. Already loaded, the addition of Karlsson was huge. Expect the Sharks to continue their recent series dominance.
|10-03-18||Bruins v. Capitals -130||0-7||Win||100||46 h 50 m||Show|
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (8*). The Capitals, who will be raising their championship banner before the game, have absolutely owned the Bruins the past few seasons. Even last year, the Bruins had a good season but still couldn't beat the Caps. With Boston having suffered a key injury to Krug, late in the preseason, expect the champs to get the season started on a winning note.
|06-04-18||Golden Knights v. Capitals -128||Top||2-6||Win||100||26 h 51 m||Show|
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (10* MAIN EVENT). When I backed the Capitals in Game 3, I stated that I believed them to be the superior team and that I expected them to demonstrate that for a pivotal Game 3. I believe that they did exactly that. Now, with a lead in the series, the last thing that they want to do is relinquish home ice advantage and get into a 2-2 situation with two of the remaining three being played at Vegas. In other words, don't expect any letdown in their level of play. The Caps have been stronger on home ice all season than the Knights have been on the road. I expect them to take control of the series with another victory on Monday and believe that the price could easily be higher.
|06-02-18||Golden Knights v. Capitals -145||Top||1-3||Win||100||60 h 55 m||Show|
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (10* GAME OF MONTH). As you know, the Caps managed a split at Vegas. Back home, the momentum in their corner, I feel that they're providing us with outstanding value. While the Knights have been dominant at home all season, they've been far more beatable on the road. Likewise, the Caps are stronger in their own building. Note that the Caps won their last game (against TB) here by a score of 3-0, getting back on track on home ice. There's still a lot of series to go but this is a pivotal game and the winner gains a decided advantage. While Vegas is a great story, I believe that the Caps are the stronger team and I expect them to demonstrate that fact on Saturday evening.
|05-23-18||Capitals v. Lightning -140||Top||4-0||Loss||-140||12 h 17 m||Show|
I'm playing with TB (10* MAIN EVENT). While I won with the Caps in Game 6, I expect the Lightning to bounce back and take the final game. (In fact, at the beginning of the series, I picked TB to win in 7.) While it may not have mattered early in this series, home ice IS extremely important to both teams. The Caps are 29-22 on the road but the Lightning are 35-15 here at home. Washington scores 3.1 goals per game on the road and also allows 3.1. The Caps get outshot by an average of 32.2 to 28.8 on the road. Meanwhile, the Lightning outscore teams by a 3.6 to 2.9 margin here at home. While it likely won't be easy, when the smoke clears, expect the Lightning to improve to 46-26 (+13.4) their past 72, after a loss by two or more goals in their previous game.
|05-21-18||Lightning v. Capitals -124||Top||0-3||Win||100||11 h 48 m||Show|
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (10* VIOLATOR). The Lightning certainly have all the momentum on their side. However, I'm not counting out the Caps quite yet. While they were never down 3-2, this is a team which was down in its series' against both the Jackets and the Penguins. Yet, in both cases, the Caps managed to come back and win the series. There's absolutely no quit in them. They're also 6-1 (+4.8) the past 2+ seasons, when off three or more consecutive losses. They were only in that situation (off 3 straight losses) twice this season and both times they snapped the skid right then and there, beating Florida and Boston in their next games. Expect them to dig deep and to force a Game 7.
|05-20-18||Golden Knights v. Jets -140||2-1||Loss||-140||6 h 45 m||Show|
I'm playing on WINNIPEG (8* ANNIHILATOR). In my opinion, with all due respect to the Knights, getting the Jets at this price, at home, is a bargain. Obviously, this is a 'must win' game. While coming back in the series won't easy, I absolutely don't expect the Jets, still 37-12-2 at home, to just roll over. This is only the third time all season that the Jets lost three straight. They responded to the previous two 3-game streaks by winning 6-1 and 5-2. Expect them to bounce back and keep the series alive.
|05-13-18||Capitals v. Lightning -190||6-2||Loss||-190||26 h 19 m||Show|
I'm playing on TAMPA BAY (6* MAIN EVENT). Facing essentially a "must win situation," the Lightning are obviously pretty steep favorites. However, given their track record in this situation and the talent this team currently has, I believe the price is actually quite fair. Consider that the Lightning are 23-10 (+15.7) their last 33, when trailing in a playoff series. During the same span, the Caps were just 21-26 (-12.8) when leading in a playoff series. The Lightning are 11-3 the past 14 times that they attempted to avenge a home loss and 23-9 their past 32 in the revenge role overall. Expect them to bring their best game, bouncing back and improving to 15-5 the last 20 (and 45-25 the last 70) times that they were off a loss by two or more goals.
|05-11-18||Capitals v. Lightning -110||4-2||Loss||-110||11 h 51 m||Show|
I'm playing on TAMPA (8* MAIN EVENT). Needless to say, both teams have been playing very well to get this far. I believe that the Lightning are relatively large favorites in the opener for good reason though. There's the obvious home ice advantage; TB is 34-13 here. The Lightning have also fared much better than the Caps, in recent seasons, when playing with additional rest in between games. They're 17-8 (+5.8) the last 25 times that they played with three or more day's worth or rest in between games. The Caps have been unable to make such good use of their extra time off. In fact, during the same stretch, they're only 12-15 (-10.9) when playing with three or more day's rest. Lightning draw first blood.
|05-10-18||Jets v. Predators -158||5-1||Loss||-158||27 h 2 m||Show|
I'm playing on NASHVILLE (8* MAIN EVENT). The Jets had their chance to close things out, on home ice, in Game 6. Having squandered that opportunity, they're going to find things difficult here at Nashville. While we may have seen a few wins by the road team, the Jets are still a worse team on the road while the Preds are still a far stronger team at home. Note that the Jets are just 6-10 their last 16, when attempting to avenge a home loss. Expect the Preds' playoff experience and home ice advantage to ultimately make the difference.
|05-06-18||Golden Knights v. Sharks -140||Top||3-0||Loss||-140||12 h 53 m||Show|
I'm playing on SAN JOSE (10*). Trailing 1-0 in the series, the Sharks bounced back with a win in Game 2. Trailing 2-1 in the series, the Sharks responded with their best game of the series, a 4-0 victory in Game 4. Trailing 3-2, I expect a similar response in Game 6. The Sharks are 21-9 the past 30 times that they allowed four or more goals in their previous game. They're also a lucrative 43-22 (+17.4) the past 65 times that they were off a loss by two more goals. Backs against the wall, they bounce back once again.
|05-05-18||Jets v. Predators -155||Top||6-2||Loss||-155||30 h 40 m||Show|
I'm playing on NASHVILLE (10* PERS FAV). This series has alternated back and forth with no team winning consecutive games. I expect that to change this evening. The fact that both teams are much better in their own building cannot be ignored. With two losses in their last three games, the first time thats happened since mid-March, the Jets' extended winning streak is now finished. While the Jets are 22-23 on the road, the Preds are 31-15 at home. While I respect the Jets, I believe that the Preds are the stronger team. Look for them to prove it Saturday night.
|05-03-18||Capitals v. Penguins -155||1-3||Win||100||11 h 35 m||Show|
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH (10* MAIN EVENT). After dropping the last two games, the Pens are going to be desperate tonight. They've been outstanding on home ice all season and I expect them to bounce back with a huge effort tonight. Look for them to bring their A-Game and for that to lead to them evening the series.