|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|04-18-19||Golden Knights v. Sharks -118||Top||2-5||Win||100||31 h 45 m||Show|
I'm playing on SJ. The Sharks took Game 1. Since then, the Knights have won three straight. I'm not counting San Jose out though. The Sharks are 26-17 at home, the Knights are 20-23 on the road. While Vegas was dominant in winning 5-0 last game, the Sharks are 6-1 after scoring one goal or less. Going back further finds them at a profitable 27-13 (+10.9) their last 40 in that situation. On the other hand, the Knights are just 14-16 (-9.1) after scoring four or more goals. Needless to say, the Sharks haven't forgotten that the Knights knocked them out last year. They're not going to let it happen on home ice. Not tonight, at least. Expect them to play with desperation right from the opening whistle and look for them to extend the series.
|04-16-19||Islanders v. Penguins -162||3-1||Loss||-162||28 h 28 m||Show|
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. Its going to be hard for the Pens to come all the way back in this series, as they've dug themselves a big hole. That said, they can only take it one game at a time and I expect a huge effort tonight. The Pens remain a healthy 43-23 the past 2+ seasons, after a loss by two or more goals. Crosby has had a forgettable series. He's been one of the best in the game for a long time though and I don't expect him to just go away quietly. Expect a determined Penguin team to be all business, extending the series and avoiding the sweep.
|04-16-19||Lightning -133 v. Blue Jackets||3-7||Loss||-133||28 h 58 m||Show|
I'm playing on TAMPA BAY. Its going to be hard for the Lightning to come all the way back in this series, as they've dug themselves a big hole. That said, they can only take it one game at a time and I expect a huge effort tonight. The Lightning, who were absolutely dominant in the regular season, get Kucherov back. The Lightning remain a healthy 4021 the past 2+ seasons, after a loss by two or more goals. During that span, Tampa is also a lucrative 9-2, after losing three straight. Expect a determined Lightning team to be all business, extending the series and avoiding the sweep.
|04-15-19||Capitals v. Hurricanes -128||Top||0-5||Win||100||29 h 25 m||Show|
I'm playing on CAROLINA. The Canes are down 0-2. They've been right in both games though. Saturday's game went to OT. Back home, in front of their loving fans, I expect them to bounce back with a badly needed victory. Since Christmas, the Canes are 16-6 here, including a 4-1 mark their last five. The Caps were only 19-21 (-7.4) after scoring four or more goals this season. While I'm not surprised that the Caps held serve at home, I'm not counting out the Canes, quite yet.
|04-14-19||Islanders v. Penguins -191||4-1||Loss||-191||25 h 26 m||Show|
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. Down 0-2, we're going to see the best from the Penguins in this one. This is still an elite team, one with plenty of postseason experience. The Isles had the support of their home crowd in the first two games. This is all new to them though and they're going to find the going far more difficult here at Pittsburgh. Don't write off the Pens yet, they'll take this one and be right back in the series. Play Pittsburgh.
|04-13-19||Maple Leafs v. Bruins -137||1-4||Win||100||12 h 33 m||Show|
I'm playing on BOSTON. After the Leafs took Game 1, we're going to get a desperate Bruins team tonight. The Bruins are 8-2 (+4.9) the past 10 times that they scored one goal or less in their previous game. Going back further finds them at 26-14 (+8.3) their last 40 in that situation. The Leafs are just 8-15 over the years, when leading in a playoff series. The Bruins remain a dominant 29-13 at home. That includes a 17-8 mark when playing a home game with an O/U line of six or greater. They badly need this game and I expect them to get it.
|04-13-19||Stars v. Predators -138||Top||1-2||Win||100||54 h 55 m||Show|
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. The Predators lost a close one in Game 1. That puts them in practically a must-win spot for Game 2. I expect them to respond with a huge effort. I stayed off the opener. While I leaned to Nashville, I didn't like the fact that the Stars were a perfect 6-0 when playing with three or more day's rest in between games. I've also always found that winning Game 1 at home often isn't easy. Backs to the wall, however, I expect the Preds to be all business in Game 2. Even factoring in the Game 1 result, the Stars are still below 500 (20-22) away from Dallas while the Preds are still a much better 25-17 here at home. The Preds are still 19-9 their last 28 in the month of April, including 8-3 their last 11 first round playoff games. Expect them to bounce back and even the series.
|04-12-19||Blues v. Jets -113||4-3||Loss||-113||35 h 26 m||Show|
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The Jets lost a close one in Game 1. That puts them in practically a must-win spot for Game 2. I expect them to respond with a huge effort. The Jets have their entire city in their corner. Fans in Winnipeg love this team and are extra loud when they come to the rink. Though the Blues did steal the opener, winning here is not easy. The Blues are still 22-20 on the road, the Jets are 25-17 at home. The Jets have been here before; even with Wednesday's loss, they're still a dominant 15-5 (+10.9) their last 20 games in the month of April. Look for them to bounce back and even the series, improving to 12-6 after scoring one goal or less in their previous game.
|04-10-19||Golden Knights v. Sharks -110||Top||2-5||Win||100||77 h 52 m||Show|
I'm playing on SJ. As you may remember, these teams met in the playoffs last year, the Knights scoring the upset. Needless to say, the Sharks haven't forgotten. They're coming in on a mission and I expect them to take this game and this series. The Knights weren't as good this year and I don't expect them to be able to just turn it on now that the playoffs are here. Home ice figures to be significant. The Knights were just 19-22 on the road. The Sharks, on other hand, are 25-16 in San Jose. The Sharks are 14-5 the last 19 times that they played with three day's rest. Expect them to improve on those stats here.
|04-06-19||Jets -118 v. Coyotes||4-2||Win||100||29 h 20 m||Show|
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. While the Coyotes may like to reward the fans with a win, they only just got officially eliminated Thursday, despite winning, and its going to be hard for them to get up for this one. On the other hand, the Jets have positioning to play for and they're going to be highly motivated to head into the postseason on a winning note. Catching the Coyotes off the trip to Vegas and already thinking about the golf course, look for the Jets, who are 14-4 (+11.1) their last 18 in the month of April, to take this one.
|04-04-19||Senators v. Sabres -180||2-5||Win||100||12 h 6 m||Show|
I'm playing on BUFFALO. The Sens beat me last night but its not happening again here. While Ottawa is off a rare road win yesterday, the Sabres had the day off. Note that the Sens are just 4-11 when playing the second of b2b games. After a solid start to the season, the Sabres eventually faded. This is their final home game of the season though and its the perfect opportunity to snap their losing streak and reward the faithful with a final victory. The Sens won this season's two meetings at Ottawa by a combined score of 8-2. However, the Sabres won 9-2 in the game here at Buffalo. Schedule in their favor, the motivated Sabres take care of business on home ice once again.
|04-04-19||Canadiens v. Capitals -133||Top||1-2||Win||100||9 h 10 m||Show|
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. These teams split a pair of meetings, back in November. Both were at Montreal. Tonight, they'll face each other at Washington. Note that the Habs are below .500 on the road. Its true that the Canadiens have been playing well of late and that they need to keep winning. The Caps need this game too though and I feel that they're providing us excellent value this evening. The Habs are 29-40 (-16) the past 2+ seasons, off a win by two or more goals. During the same span, the Caps were 35-24 (+5.9) off a loss by two or more goals. Also, during that period, Montreal was 21-41 (-20.2) when facing a winning team in the second half of the season. Washington, on the other hand, was 52-34 (+18) when facing a team with a winning record, during the second half of the season. With the Caps also a lucrative 30-14 (+12.8) the past 44 times that they played with two day's rest in between games, I'm backing the home team in this one.
|04-03-19||Senators v. Rangers -165||Top||4-1||Loss||-165||27 h 21 m||Show|
I'm playing on NEW YORK. While I played against them in their last game, I'm coming right back with the Rangers in this one. While both teams have long since been eliminated from playoff contention, the Rangers bring more to the table, in my opinion. Playing at home has always been important in this series - the home team won both meetings this season and has won 14 of 16 in the series - and should provide the Rangers with an edge in motivation. The Sens have been respectable at home but they're a dismal 10-27-2 on the road. Its been the same story for the Rangers. They know this is their best chance at one final home win for the faithful (Columbus visits next) and I expect them to take advantage of the opportunity.
|04-01-19||Rangers v. Devils -117||2-4||Win||100||22 h 6 m||Show|
I'm playing on NJ. It was 25 years ago that Mark Messier made his famous guarantee. Down 3-2 in the series, Messier guaranteed that the Rangers would win. As some of you will recall, Messier got a hat trick in that Game 6 and the Rangers would go on to win Game 7 in double-OT. (They'd then go on to win the Cup.) Needless to say, the stakes aren't nearly as high for this evening's game. Both teams are playing out the string. That said, playing with triple revenge, the Devils should be the more motivated team for this one. Venue and schedule in their favor, I expect them to get some payback. While the Rangers are off a road win at Philly yesterday afternoon, the Devils had the day off. A 5-2 loss on 3/16 dropped the Rangers to an ugly 1-8 (-6.5) when playing the second of b2b games. Devils get some payback.
|03-31-19||Rangers v. Flyers -161||3-0||Loss||-161||6 h 30 m||Show|
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. The Rangers are a team that the Flyers have dominated. In fact, Philly has won the past six meetings. Playing at home, expect them to continue that dominance this afternoon. Sure, the Flyers played yesterday. However, they'd had the previous two days off - and they had two days off before that. So, this is not one of your more difficult b2b situations. Of course, they get tomorrow off which is not the case for the Rangers, who will take on the Devils. The Rangers are off a 4-2 win over the Blues. They've had real trouble stringing together victories though and they're also just 3-9 (-6.1) when off a win by two or more goals. While the Rangers would like the snap their skid in the series, they're just 5-17 the last 22 times that they attempted to avenge an earlier home loss. With the Flyers an outstanding 11-2 their last 13 against losing teams, this one goes to the home team.
|03-30-19||Ducks v. Oilers -150||5-1||Loss||-150||28 h 4 m||Show|
I'm playing on EDMONTON. The Oilers' hopes of making the playoffs are extremely remote. However, they are at least mathematically still alive. Thats more than can be said for the Ducks, who have been playing out the string for some time. While the Oilers had yesterday off, the Ducks were busy getting beaten up (6-1) by the Flames. With last Saturday's loss at LA, the Ducks are 4-7 when playing the second of b2b games. The Oilers have taken two of the three meetings this season, including a win in the lone game here at Edmonton. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect them to finish on top once again.
|03-30-19||Golden Knights v. Sharks -140||3-4||Win||100||27 h 4 m||Show|
I'm playing on SAN JOSE. On an extended losing streak, the Sharks are going to be a desperate team tonight. Schedule and venue in their favor, I expect that desperation to lead to a victory. The Sharks' recent skid has seen the Knights close the gap on them and means that they need to win tonight to make sure that they'd have home ice advantage in the event these teams meet in the playoffs. While the Sharks had yesterday off, the Knights are off a hard-fought loss against Minnesota. Note, however, that they still clinched a playoff spot last night, with Arizona losing. The Knights handed the Sharks the worst loss (7-3) in the Sharks' current losing streak. Tonight, San Jose gets some payback.
|03-30-19||Canadiens v. Jets -144||3-1||Loss||-144||25 h 3 m||Show|
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The Habs won 5-2 when these teams met at Montreal last month. Playing at home, I expect the Jets to return the favor this evening. Off its loss against Columbus, a game in which they were over-matched and over-powered as the game went on, the Canadiens are now just 18-21 on the road. The Jets, meanwhile, are 25-15 at home. Its true that Montreal is desperate to win this game. However, the game also has playoff implications for the Jets and they're also going to be hungry. This is the Jets' reg. season home opener. Off b2b losses, they're really going to want to close out the homestand with a win. They're 9-4 after playing their previous three at home and I expect them to improve on those stats tonight.
|03-28-19||Blackhawks v. Sharks -220||5-4||Loss||-220||14 h 48 m||Show|
I'm playing on SAN JOSE. The Hawks are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Sharks have lost six straight and are desperate to right the ship. While the Hawks may not be mathematically eliminated, reality has set in and they know they won't be making the playoffs. The Hawks are 16-22 on the road, the Sharks are 23-14 at home. While the Hawks are 12-21 against winning teams this year, the Sharks are also a dominating 41-19 their last 60, when facing a losing team in the second half of the season. San Jose rolls.
|03-28-19||Kings v. Canucks -135||2-3||Win||100||28 h 37 m||Show|
I'm playing on VANCOUVER. Off three straight home losses, the Canucks are going to be highly motivated to win this one. Victories have been hard to come by for them recently and they know that this is an opportunity they shouldn't squander. Note that the Canucks are 9-6 (+5.2) after playing their previous three on the road. Though the visiting team has won all three meetings this season, I expect home ice to prove the difference here. While the Canucks have fallen to 17-21 at Vancouver, the Kings are an ugly 13-25 on the road. Canucks rise to the occasion and provide the home faithful with a victory.
|03-28-19||Islanders v. Jets -147||5-4||Loss||-147||26 h 38 m||Show|
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The Islanders are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Since losing 5-2 against Dallas, the Jets have had a couple of day's off. Thats noteworthy as they're 26-14 (+9.4) their last 40, when playing with two day's rest in between games. They're also 13-7 (+3.4) their last 20, when off a loss by two or more goals. The Isles have been great against sub-500 teams. However, they're just 14-20, when facing a team with a winning record. They're now 44-67 (-11.2) against winning teams, the past 2+ seasons. The Jets, won won 3-1 on the road, when these teams met earlier, are 25-14 at home. Expect them to complete the season series sweep.
|03-28-19||Canadiens v. Blue Jackets -153||2-6||Win||100||25 h 38 m||Show|
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. Both teams are off a big win on Tuesday. The Habs won 6-1 while the Jackets won 4-0. The Jackets tend to follow up a big win a lot better than the Canadiens do though. Columbus is 40-34 the past 2+ seasons, when off a win by two or more goals. During the same span, the Habs are an ugly 28-39 (-16) when off a win by two or more. Note that Montreal is also an ugly 19-40 (-21.4) the last 2+ years, when facing a winning team in the second half of the season. The Jackets are 47-30 the past couple of years, when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. They've won their last two by a combined score of 9-0 and I look for them to make it three in a row here.
|03-28-19||Red Wings v. Sabres -140||Top||5-4||Loss||-140||25 h 37 m||Show|
I'm playing on BUFFALO (10* PERS FAV). Off four straight losses, the Sabres are going to be a determined team this evening. Having already defeated them twice, the Sabres know that they can take the Wings. Buffalo's last three losses all came on the road. Tonight, they're back home where they are a much better team. Note that the Sabres are 20-17 at home. Not great but a whole lot better than Detroit's 14-25 record on the road. Catching the Wings at the end of a road trip that started on the West Coast, expect the Sabres to improve to 7-3, after playing their previous three on the road.
|03-28-19||Capitals v. Hurricanes -135||3-2||Loss||-135||25 h 37 m||Show|
I'm playing on CAROLINA. This is the back-end of a home-and-home as these teams just met, at Washington. The Caps won 4-1. Playing this evening's rematch at Raleigh, I expect the Canes to return the favor. The Canes are 13-8 (+4.4) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. The Caps, meanwhile, are just 17-20 (-8.5) after scoring four or more in their previous game. In addition to the 'recent revenge,' this is a triple-revenge game for the Canes, as the Caps have won all three of this season's meetings. Expect a highly motivated effort, the revenge-minded home team getting some payback.
|03-27-19||Stars v. Flames -160||Top||2-1||Loss||-160||16 h 1 m||Show|
I'm playing on CALGARY. The Stars have taken both meetings thus far. Playing at home, expect the revenge-minded Flames to finish on top tonight. While the Stars are 17-20 away from Dallas, the Flames are an oustanding 25-13 here at Calgary. Note that Calgary is also 21-12 (+6.5) when attempting to avenge an earlier loss. The Flames have been playing around with different lineups in practice and may have a new look tonight. They know that there's a chance that they'll face these same Stars in the playoffs and they'll be looking to make a statement this evening. Off the 3-0 loss to LA last time out, expect the Flames to be at their best, bouncing back and picking up the two points.
|03-26-19||Blackhawks v. Coyotes -125||0-1||Win||100||27 h 13 m||Show|
I'm playing on ARIZONA. Huge game for both teams. The Coyotes had a nice run but have now dropped five straight. I expect their very best effort tonight and look for that to lead to a much-needed victory. Though they did win their next two games, the Coyotes could easily point to a 7-1 loss, at Chicago, on 3/11 as the start of their downfall. The Coyotes played well last time out but came up short. Coach Rick Tocchet noted: "That was a tough one. We played hard. I thought we played a good game today..." Arizona defenseman Jason Demers added: "I thought we played our hearts out in this game. We battled. Obviously back-to-back (games) on the road is always tough, but I thought we weathered the storm in the first, and I thought in the second and the third we kind of took over the game. Their goalie made some big saves ... but our guys didn't quit until the end. That's what we've got to take from that game. We've just got to dust ourselves off and get back at it." Expect Demers and co. to do exactly that, "dusting themselves off" and bouncing back with a critical win.
|03-26-19||Ducks v. Canucks -140||Top||5-4||Loss||-140||27 h 13 m||Show|
I'm playing on VANCOUVER. While I successfully played against the Canucks in each of their last two games, I'm backing them tonight. The home team has won all three meetings this season. The Ducks took the two in Southern California by a combined 5-3 margin. However, the Canucks won 4-0 when the teams played here at Vancouver. Note that the Canucks are 9-5 (+6.6) after playing their previous three at home. They're also a lucrative 11-10 (+6.6) when coming off a loss by two or more goals. After struggling against teams fighthing for the playoffs, or playoff positioning, these next two games are both winnable for the Canucks. Look for them to take advantage, starting tonight. (10* PERS FAV)
|03-26-19||Islanders v. Blue Jackets -145||0-4||Win||100||24 h 13 m||Show|
I'm playing on Columbus. I successfully backed the Blue Jackets on Saturday. Playing the fourth and final game of a four-game road trip, they responded with a much needed 5-0 victory. Back home, still in need of wins, I expect another big game from them this evening. Not that the Jackets should require any further motivation but they're also playing with 'triple revenge' in this one, having lost all three of this season's meetings with the Isles. The Jackets, now 4-1 after playing their previous three on the road, absolutely cannot afford another loss here. Look for them to rise to the occasion, improving to 47-30 their past 77, when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5.
|03-25-19||Panthers v. Maple Leafs -201||5-7||Win||100||12 h 45 m||Show|
I'm playing on TORONTO (7* BEATDOWN). The Panthers are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off an upset loss, their fifth setback in the past seven, the Leafs are going to be highly motivated to get back on track here. The Panthers have disappointed this season, due largely to their inability to win on the road. They're 14-24 on the road. The Leafs, meanwhile, are 22-16 at home. While the Panthers are 21-30 the past couple of seasons, when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or greater, the Leafs are 48-29 when playing a home game with an O/U line of six or greater. Not surprisingly, the home team has won all three meetings on the season. The Panthers won 4-3 and 3-1 at Florida. However, the Leafs won 6-1 in the game here at Toronto. While the Panthers play again tomorrow, the Leafs have tomorrow off. Fully focused on the task at hand, Toronto takes care of business tonight.
|03-24-19||Blue Jackets -145 v. Canucks||Top||5-0||Win||100||28 h 32 m||Show|
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. Winless (0-3) on their current 4-game road trip, the Blue Jackets come in as an absolutely desperate team. They've fallen out of playoff position and time is running out fast. Sunday, the well-rested Jackets catch the Canucks off a big division game vs. Calgary on Saturday. The Jackets, who lost 4-1 at Edmonton on Thursday, are 16-7 off a loss by two or more goals. Going back further finds them at 43-21 (+14.3) in that situation the past few seasons. During that span, the Jackets are also 38-21 (+9.2) when playing with 2-day's rest. Not that the Jackets need any extra motivation but they also haven't forgotten that the Canucks upset them, at Columbus already this season and swept them last season. Desperate for a win, schedule in their favor, expect the Jackets get some payback.
|03-24-19||Canadiens v. Hurricanes -150||1-2||Win||100||11 h 26 m||Show|
I'm playing on CAROLINA. These teams split a pair of meetings, at Montreal. The Canes have home ice advantage now though which is important as the Canadiens aren't nearly as strong on the road. Both teams played yesterday, each earning a crucial victory. However, while the Habs played at Montreal, the Canes did so right here, at Raleigh. Sleeping in their own beds and not having to travel figures to help them this evening. Note that the Canadiens lost 8-2 (at Anaheim) the last time that they played the second of b2b games, falling to 5-8 in that situation. Expect home ice to prove the difference.
|03-23-19||Flames -169 v. Canucks||3-1||Win||100||13 h 6 m||Show|
I'm playing on CALGARY. Sure the Canucks may have won three straight. However, they've haven't won four in a row this entire season. Every 3-game win streak has been followed by a loss. Its also worth noting that the Canucks are a dismal 20-44 (-19) the past 2+ seasons, after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. The Flames are 15-4 their last 19 against sub-500 teams. In fact, they're now a dominant 40-19 when facing a losing team in the 2nd half of the season. Playing with revenge from two straight losses to Vancouver, expect the Flames to be all business this evening.
|03-21-19||Islanders v. Canadiens -135||Top||0-4||Win||100||10 h 28 m||Show|
I'm playing on MONTREAL (10* ANNIHILATOR). These teams recently met. Playing at home, the Isles won. With this evening's rematch at Montreal, I expect the Canadiens to return the favor. While the Habs are off a 3-1 win, the Isles are off a 5-0 loss. Note that NY is just 4-7 its last 11, when playing a road game with an O/U line of less than 5.5. The Habs are one point behind Columbus for the second and final Wildcard spot in the East. In other words, they desperately need this one. Expect them to be at their very best, en route to earning a critical victory.
|03-18-19||Golden Knights v. Sharks -160||7-3||Loss||-160||16 h 17 m||Show|
I'm playing on SAN JOSE (8* VIOLATOR). The Sharks split a pair of earlier meetings, at Vegas. Venue and schedule now in their favor, I expect them to have the advantage here. While the Sharks had yesterday off, the Knights were busy hosting Edmonton. The last time that the Knights played the second of b2b games, they lost by a 6-3 margin. Including that result, they're just 4-7 (-4.5), when playing their second game in two days. The Sharks are off b2b losses for the first time since January. They're going to be highly motivated to stop the bleeding right there and begin a new winning streak. Additional motivation stems from the fact that they haven't forgotten that the Knights knocked them out of the playoffs last season. The Sharks are a lucrative 37-21 (+9.4) the past 2+ seasons, when off a loss by two or more goals. Expect them to improve on those stats here.
|03-16-19||Rangers v. Wild -208||2-5||Win||100||22 h 49 m||Show|
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (6*). Off three straight losses, this is an excellent spot for the Wild to get back on track. While Minnesota had yesterday off, the Rangers were busy battling the Flames, at Calgary. Not only have the Rangers have been dismal on the road all season but they're also an ugly 1-7 when playing the second of b2b games. While the Rangers would like to avenge an earlier 4-1 loss at MSG, they're a brutal 5-15 the last 20 times that they attempted to avenge an earlier home loss, entering Friday's action. The Wild swept last season's series. Expect them to complete the season sweep once again here.
|03-16-19||Blackhawks v. Canadiens -155||2-0||Loss||-155||10 h 7 m||Show|
I'm playing on MONTREAL (8*). While the Hawks would surely like to avenge an earlier loss at Chicago, they're an ugly 5-15 when playing with revenge, from an earlier home loss. In other words, if they can't beat a team at home, they rarely do so on the road. Overall, they're 15-20 on the road while the Habs are 20-15 at home. Off a 2-1 loss last time out, the Canadiens are going to be hungry. They're 11-4 (+7.5) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game and I expect them to improve on those stats here.
|03-16-19||Blue Jackets v. Bruins -155||1-2||Win||100||10 h 55 m||Show|
I'm playing on BOSTON (8*). While the Jackets were busy taking care of the Hurricanes last night, the Bruins had the day off. Thats noteworthy as the Jackets are just 5-8 (-5), when playing the second of b2b games. The Bruins, who play with revenge from an earlier loss at Columbus, are going to be extremely motivated to snap their 3-game skid. They're 11-4 (+6.9) the past 15 times that they'd lost their previous three games, a perfect 3-0 in that situation this season. Sechedule and venue in their favor, expect them to rise to the occasion with an important victory.
|03-16-19||Flames v. Jets -130||1-2||Win||100||10 h 55 m||Show|
I'm playing on WINNIPEG (8*). While the Flames were busy taking care of the Rangers last night, the Jets had the day off. Thats noteworthy as the Flames are just 14-17 the past 2+ seasons, when playing the second of b2b games. During that span, Calgary is also an ugly 16-34 when facing a winning team, in the second half of the season. The Jets, 23-13 at home, play with double-revenge, having lost a pair of earlier meetings. They're 61-47 (+9.1) in the revenge role in recent seasons and I expect them to improve on those stats this evening.
|03-15-19||Flyers v. Maple Leafs -178||6-7||Win||100||21 h 5 m||Show|
I'm playing on TORONTO (8* VIOLATOR). The Flyers are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off b2b losses, most recently a 5-4 loss to the Hawks, who they spotted a 5-0 lead, the Leafs are going to be in an angry mood. Note that they're a lucrative 16-5 (+8.4) on the season, after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. While the Leafs had yesterday off, the Flyers are off a loss vs. Washington. The last time that the Flyers played the second of b2b games, they were blown out 6-1. Speaking of "blowouts," this season's earlier meeting saw the Leafs win 6-0. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect another decisive victory.
|03-14-19||Ducks v. Coyotes -136||Top||1-6||Win||100||27 h 46 m||Show|
I'm playing on ARIZONA (10* PERS FAV). The Coyotes are a much better team than the one we've gotten used to in recent season. Arguably, the opposite is true of the Ducks. The Coyotes bounced back from their embarrassing 7-1 loss to Chicago by beating the Blues (3-1) the very next day. They've now won three of four and nine of their last 11. Speaking of nine of 11, note that the Coyotes are also 9-2 their last 11 against teams with a losing record. Expect the desert dogs to keep on rolling for another day, improving to 13-7 when off a win by two or more goals.
|03-14-19||Stars v. Wild -115||4-1||Loss||-115||25 h 46 m||Show|
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (8*). Hockey fans in Minnesota have never quite forgiven Dallas for stealing their team (the North Stars) all those years ago. The fans and team tend to "get up" for visits from the Stars. The Wild are 4-1 their last five as a host in the series. While the Stars are off a 2-0 win, they're an awful 23-39 (-25.8) the past 2+ seasons, when off a win by two or more goals. With an O/U line of just five, note that the Wild are a dominating 21-8 the past 29 times that they played a home game with an O/U line which was less than 5.5. Expect them to improve on those stats this evening.
|03-12-19||Sharks v. Jets -120||Top||5-4||Loss||-120||22 h 55 m||Show|
I'm playing on WINNIPEG (10* PERS FAV). The Sharks are on a roll and I've got a lot of respect for them. However, the Jets are also a powerful team and they've got both the venue and schedule working in their favor here. While the Sharks did win 3-0 at Minnesota last night, they're still a mediocre 19-17 away form San Jose. Meanwhile, the Jets are 22-12 at home. While the Sharks were battling the Wild, the Jets were resting. Off a 3-1 loss to the Capitals on Sunday, note that Winnipeg is 9-4 after scoring one goal or less in its previous game and 12-6 when coming off a loss by two or more goals. Though the road team has taken both meetings so far this season, expect home ice to prove the difference this evening.
|03-10-19||Golden Knights v. Flames -130||Top||3-6||Win||100||12 h 37 m||Show|
I'm playing on CALGARY. (10* Western Conf GOW) The Knights looked pretty dominant at Vancouver last night. They scored five first period goals and coasted to a 6-2 win. Expect them to find things MUCH more difficult against a strong Calgary team. While the Knights were playing, the Flames were resting for the past two days. Note that Vegas is just 4-6 (-3.5) in 10 tries, when playing the second of b2b games. The Knights are also a poor 4-7 (-5.4) their last 11 against teams with a winning record. Additionally, we find them at 10-14 (-8.4) after scoring four or more goals. The Flames, 19-12 (+4.5) in the revenge role, are going to be extremely motivated to snap their skid and to avenge a pair of losses at Vegas. They won 7-2 the last time the teams played here in Calgary and I expect another big win this evening.
|03-09-19||Penguins v. Blue Jackets -140||Top||1-4||Win||100||27 h 23 m||Show|
I'm playing on COLUMBUS (10* GAME OF MONTH). This is the backend of a home-and-home series with these two teams. The Penguins won 3-0 at Pittsburgh, on Thursday. Playing at home, I fully expect the revenge-minded Blue Jackets to return the favor. Columbus truly has a score to settle. Not only did Pittsburgh win Thursday's game but the Pens are already 3-0 in the season series, after also sweeping all four games last season. The Jackets know that this is a monkey that they need to get off their back. I expect them to do just that. The Pens are far more beatable (17-17-7) on the road. There's more than revenge on the line. There are serious playoff implications also at stake. The Jackets have fallen to 9th place in the conference. This is an absolutely critical game for them. Look for them to rise to the occasion, bringing their best effort en route to a very important victory.
|03-07-19||Canadiens v. Sharks -175||2-5||Win||100||33 h 50 m||Show|
I'm playing on SAN JOSE (8* ANNIHILATOR). The Canadiens couldn't beat the Sharks when they hosted them earlier in the season, the Sharks winning 3-1. While the Habs would love to avenge that loss and pick up an important two points, winning here is NOT easy. Indeed, the Sharks are a dominant 21-5-5 at home. It should be noted that Montreal is an ugly 50-79 (-33.4!) in the 'revenge' role the past 2+ seasons, including 24-38 (-15.5) when attempting to avenge an earlier home loss. Off a 3-1 win at LA, its also worth mentioning that the Habs are a poor 26-36 (-15) the past 2+ seasons when off a win by two or more goals. The Sharks are well rested and that typically serves them well. They're 3-0 this season, when playing with three or more day's rest in between games and 13-5 (+6.7) their last 18 in that situation. Expect them to take care of business once again.
|03-04-19||Oilers v. Sabres -122||Top||4-3||Loss||-122||11 h 19 m||Show|
I'm playing on BUFFALO (10* VIOLATOR). When these teams met at Edmonton earlier, the Oilers scored three goals on their first five shots. That led to a convincing 7-2 victory. Playing at home, expect the Sabres to exact some revenge Monday. While the Sabres are a poor 11-18-4 on the road, they're a much better 19-9-4 in their own building. The Oilers, meanwhile, remain below 500 (14-15-5) when playing away from Edmonton. With Friday's home win over Pittsburgh, the Sabres moved to 11-8 (+4.7) when off a loss by two or more goals. Off a 5-2 loss at Toronto on Saturday, expect them to bounce back and improve on those stats Monday.
|03-03-19||Flyers v. Islanders -148||4-1||Loss||-148||5 h 13 m||Show|
I'm playing on NEW YORK (8* ANNIHILATOR). While the Flyers are 14-18 on the road, the Isles are 19-13 at home. Off a 3-1 loss to the Caps, note that the Isles are also a solid 8-4 (+5.8) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. The Flyers beat up on the Devils last time out. However, they're an ugly 4-11 when off a win by two or more goals. Expect home ice to prove significant, the Isles bouncing back with a big win.
|03-01-19||Avalanche v. Sharks -162||Top||3-4||Win||100||10 h 28 m||Show|
I'm playing on SAN JOSE (8* PERS FAV). While I won with the Avs in their last game, this is a MUCH tougher venue and I fully expect them to stumble. The Sharks have been on a pattern of alternating wins and losses. Off a loss, expect them to bounce back big here. Not only are the Sharks 36-20 the past couple of seasons, off a loss by two or more goals, they're also 26-13 (+9.9) after scoring one goal or less and a dominating 47-27 (+14) after allowing four or more goals. While the Avs would love to avenge an earlier January loss, they're only 60-80 their L140 in the 'revenge' role. Price has come down considerably from its opener, providing value. Sharks roll.
|02-28-19||Flyers v. Blue Jackets -174||3-4||Win||100||10 h 30 m||Show|
I’m playing on the Blue Jackets (6* VIOLATOR). The Flyers come in off a satisfying 5-2 win at home over Buffalo on Tuesday, their third straight win. Columbus comes in as the much hungrier side after its 5-2 loss to Pittsburgh. These teams are evenly matched as far as their seasonal numbers are concerned, as note that Philly averages 2.95 goals and it allows 3.33, while Columbus averages 2.78 and it concedes 2.97. But a little home cooking is just what the doctor ordered for the Blue Jackets to get back on track here as they’ve won 19 of the last 26 in this series overall, including 12 of the last 13 vs. the Flyers on home ice (note that the home team has won 20 of the last 29 in the series.) Look for the hungry home side to post a convincing victory here.
|02-27-19||Canucks v. Avalanche -172||2-3||Win||100||28 h 10 m||Show|
I’m playing on the Colorado Avalanche (8*). Vancouver ended a losing skid its last time out at the expense of the putrid Ducks, but I think that an immediate return to mediocrity is imminent. The Avs come in on top form though having won four of their last five. Colorado though won’t be lacking for motivation or focus here after falling to the Panthers in OT last time out. The Canucks beat Anaheim 4-1, but it was the first time in four games that they scored over two goals. I think the Canucks take a predictable step back in this difficult road arena. Lay the price, Avs roll.
|02-26-19||Stars v. Golden Knights -165||1-4||Win||100||30 h 18 m||Show|
I’m playing on the Las Vegas Knights (8* PERSONAL FAVORITE). The Stars acquired Mats Zuccarello from the Rangers on Saturday and he’d set up the game-opening goal for Dallas vs. Chicago on Sunday, before then breaking his arm shortly after trying to block a shot. The Golden Knights shipped some young talent to Ottawa to receive Mark Stone, who was considered by many to be the best two-way player available at the dead-line (Stone averaged more than a point per game with the Senators.) Whether Stone plays in this one or not, I still like the hungry home side here, as it comes in desperate after three straight losses. The Knights go with veteran Marc Andre Fleury in net and while he’s struggled of late, he’s gone 9-5-0 with a 2.28 GAA lifetime vs. the Stars. I’m banking on the hungry home side getting back on the winning track in this favorable matchup. Lay the price, Knights roll.
|02-25-19||Ducks v. Canucks -135||0-4||Win||100||29 h 33 m||Show|
I’m playing on (8*) the Vancouver Canucks. Vancouver still has a mathematical shot at the playoffs, so a visit vs. the hapless Ducks is a golden opportunity to pick up two points. Anaheim is just 5-22 in its last 27. Anaheim comes in off back-to-back deflating 2-1 road losses, most recently in Edmonton. Note that it was the tenth time in 13 games that Anaheim has been held to two or fewer goals (the Ducks own a league-worst 136 total goals scored.) Vancouver draws the line in the sane here after going 1-4-1 over its last six. That includes a poor 1-0 loss to these very Ducks. The Canucks will be especially motivated here after falling 4-0 at home to the Islanders, a game which they had a respectable 36 shots in. I’ll point out as well that Vancouver is 8-4 in its last 12 after a loss by two goals or more in its previous outing. Lay the price, Canucks roll.
|02-25-19||Panthers v. Avalanche -140||4-3||Loss||-140||28 h 34 m||Show|
I’m playing on (8*) the Colorado Avalanche. No upsets here in my opinion, as I think the Avs will take care of business in their own building. Both teams come in on top form, making the “home ice advantage” even more critical in my opinion. The Panthers are 4-1 in their last five, most recently dispatching the lowly Kings. The Avs enter having won four straight over Vegas, Winnipeg, Chicago and Nashville. “We kind of looked ourselves in the mirror,” leading scorer Nathan MacKinnon assessed. “We had to make a decision if we wanted to push for the playoffs or be a lottery team. We haven’t achieved our goal yet. Obviously we have 20 games left, but we’re on the right track so it feels good.” Despite its recent “up-tick” in play of late, I’ll point out that Florida is still just 2-6 in its last eight on the road. I’m expecting the red hot Avs to roll to another victory at home tonight. Lay it.
|02-24-19||Blues v. Wild -109||Top||1-2||Win||100||26 h 33 m||Show|
I’m playing on the Minnesota Wild (10* BEST BET). St. Louis won 11 straight before suffering a loss to 5-2 loss at Dallas. The Blues got back on track yesterday with a tough 2-1 shootout win over the Bruins, ending Boston’s seven game winning streak. No need to overthink this one in my opinion, as I believe the visiting side comes into this one with “heavy legs.” These teams plays just last week and the Wild fell 4-0. After losing five straight, the Wild enter having won two straight on the road at the Rangers and Wings. With a night off before two tough ones in Winnipeg and Calgary, I think the home side leaves everything on the ice at it attempts to avenge the earlier loss. All things considered, a great price. Wild roll.
|02-23-19||Kings v. Panthers -169||1-6||Win||100||22 h 49 m||Show|
I’m playing on the Florida Panthers (8* VIOLATOR). Neither team instills much confidence, but I look for the home side to find a way to get the job done vs. its lowly non-conference opponent tonight. The Panthers come off a loss to Carolina, but they’ll look to bounce back here with Roberto Luongo in net, as he’s 7-4-1 with a 2.42 GAA in 12 starts at home this year. A date vs. the hapless Kings is just what the doctor ordered for Florida as well as they’ve lost six straight. Kings’ goaltender Jon Quick has been a disaster all year and he’s struggled even more since the All Star break. I’m giving Luongo the clear “nod” in this matchup and for me, that’s the difference maker here. Lay the price, Panthers roll.
|02-22-19||Jets v. Golden Knights -142||Top||6-3||Loss||-142||15 h 56 m||Show|
I’m playing on the Las Vegas Knights (10* PERSONAL FAVORITE). Both teams have been a complete disaster of late. Each team desperately needs a victory to start to turn things around. But this “means more” to the Knights in my opinion. Despite their recent three-game slide, the Jets are still No. 1 in the Central. Winnipeg has been dealing with a flu bug, which has likely contributed to its shoddy play of late. Regardless, the Jets have indeed struggled of late, especially on the offensive by averaging only 2.25 GPG over their last eight. Note that Winnipeg goaltender Connor Hellebuyck is 1-2 with a 4.40 GAA lifetime vs. the Knights. Las Vegas net-minder Marc Andre Fleury is 21-6 with a 2.32 GAA lifetime vs. the Jets. Las Vegas still has an eight point lead over ninth place Chicago, but it won’t be lacking for motivation here after losing nine of its last 12. Note that the Jets are just 3-8 in their last 11 a road dog, while Vegas is 24-6 in its last 30 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. All things consider, this line could/should be a lot larger in my opinion. Lay it, Vegas rolls.
|02-21-19||Coyotes v. Canucks -135||Top||3-2||Loss||-135||26 h 19 m||Show|
I’m playing on (10*) on the Vancouver Canucks. I think that Arizona has a letdown here after its 3-2 shootout road win in Edmonton Tuesday. The Canucks will look to take advantage of familiar surroundings and to bounce back from a tough 3-2 road loss in San Jose on Saturday night. This is an in-season double revenge scenario for the Canucks as well, having dropped both previous meetings to the Coyotes so far, including a 4-3 OT home loss in the most recent on January 10th. Additionally note that Arizona is still only 7-12 (-4 units) this year following a division game. I think the Canucks bounce back from their latest loss and take advantage of a few extra days rest. All things considered, a great price. Lay it, Canucks roll.
|02-21-19||Senators v. Devils -136||0-4||Win||100||23 h 20 m||Show|
I’m playing on (8*) the New Jersey Devils. Neither side instills much confidence, but the Senators come to town off an exhausting/deflating 8-7 loss to the Blackhawks on Monday and I fully expect a predictable letdown here. Sens’ net minder Anders Nilsson gave up four goals on 12 shots, before getting replaced by Craig Anderson, who allowed four goals on 30 shots. The Devils’ two game win streak ended with a 4-3 loss to the Penguins last time out. New Jersey though is 7-2 in its last nine home games after allowing four goals or more, while Ottawa is just 3-7 (-2.5 units) this year when playing with two days of rest. This one has blowout written all over it. Lay the price, Devils roll.
|02-21-19||Capitals v. Maple Leafs -160||3-2||Loss||-160||23 h 20 m||Show|
I’m playing on (8*) the Toronto Maple Leafs. Toronto stumbled down the stretch of its Western swing, losing its final two, including an OT loss in St. Louis on Tuesday. Perhaps the Leafs were getting caught looking ahead to this one. The favorite is 20-7 the last 27 in this series and I expect that strong trend to continue here as I believe a little “home cooking” is just what the doctor ordered for the Leafs. Washington has been on a roll of late, but it’s still only 2-5 in its last seven on the road and just 1-5 in its last six following a victory. I’m banking on Toronto coming into this one focused. Lay the price, Leafs roll.
|02-20-19||Bruins v. Golden Knights -115||Top||3-2||Loss||-115||25 h 7 m||Show|
I’m playing on (10*) the Las Vegas Golden Knights. After winning six straight, including a controversial OT victory in San Jose last time out, I believe the Bruins will finally falter here. The Knights lost in Boston 4-1 earlier in the year and they’ll be desperate to avenge that setback, but more to get back on the winning track after losing eight of their last 11. Clearly this isn’t the “same” Golden Knights team as last year’s club, but the overall situation is overwhelmingly in favor of the home side in my opinion (additionally note that Vegas is 9-2, +7.4 units this season after scoring 1 goals or less in its previous contest.) Lay the price, Knights roll.
|02-20-19||Islanders v. Flames -145||2-4||Win||100||24 h 27 m||Show|
I’m playing on (8*) the Calgary Flames. Both teams have been a “surprise” this year. The Islanders more so as they hit the West Coast as No. 1 in the Metropolitan. The Isles are off a 5-2 win in Edmonton, but I believe they’ll have their hands full here finally vs. the red hot Flames, who most recently routed Arizona at home 5-2 on Monday. With much more “winnable” games on the horizon (Vancouver), I believe the visitors come out flat here. It’s interesting to note as well that the Isles are already just 1-4 (-3.1 units) this season when playing with three or more days of rest. The Flames on the other hand are 15-7 (+8.8 units) in their last 22 vs. clubs with winning records. Lay the price, Calgary rolls.
|02-20-19||Blackhawks v. Red Wings -112||5-4||Loss||-112||22 h 27 m||Show|
I’m playing on (8*) the Red Wings. Chicago started the season horribly, but the Blackhawks come in having won nine of their last 11. The Wings are the much “hungrier” side here though and I believe that’s going to make the difference in this one (Detroit has lost five of its last seven.) However, despite its recent “up-tick” in play, Chicago averages 3.2 goals and concedes 3.6 overall this season. The Wings average 2.8 goals and they allow 3.2. Chicago though is just 1-3 (-2.3 units) in its last four after playing three straight home games. I like the “hungrier” home side to end Chicago’s recent run of success as I look for it come out flat to open this road trip.
|02-19-19||Coyotes v. Oilers -150||Top||3-2||Loss||-150||27 h 4 m||Show|
I’m playing on the Edmonton Oilers (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Neither of these teams instills much confidence, but after Arizona’s listless 5-2 loss in Calgary just last night, I believe the visitors come out flat here as well vs. the hungry home side. The Oilers most recently fell 5-2 in Long Island on Saturday. These teams have split two meetings this year, with each winning in the others arena. The Oilers play with revenge here though after they lost most recently here 3-2 to the Coyotes on January 12th. Arizona averages 2.59 goals and it allows 2.86, while the Oilers average 2.76 goals and they allow 3.36. Arizona though is still just 10-12 (-1.2 units) this year vs. teams with losing records, while Edmonton is 18-14 (+5.6 units) in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. No more excuses for Edmonton, as this essentially becomes a “must win” for the franchise. Lay it, Oilers roll.
|02-18-19||Bruins v. Sharks -141||Top||6-5||Loss||-141||16 h 44 m||Show|
I’m playing on the San Jose Sharks (3* VIOLATOR). After five straight wins, I think the Bruins finally have a letdown here in the final game of their Western swing. Most recently Boston got the better of the Kings in LA 4-2 on Saturday. But knocking off the lowly Kings is one thing and getting the better of San Jose in the Shark Tank is quite another though. San Jose is tied atop the Pacific Division with Calgary and it won’t be taking this home contest for granted, as the Sharks will hit the road for a tough four-game Eastern road swing after this. San Jose is 7-1 in its last eight home games as the favorite, while Boston is just 6-14 in its last 20 as a road underdog. Look for San Jose to leave everything on the ice and to find a way to get the job done. Lay the price, Sharks roll.
|02-17-19||Canadiens v. Panthers -130||3-6||Win||100||24 h 43 m||Show|
I’m playing on the Florida Panthers (9* PERSONAL FAVORITE). Montreal comes in “dog tired” here after its game in Tampa Bay just last night. Florida comes in rested and with momentum after its 3-2 home win over Calgary. The Panthers also play with double revenge after dropping both previous games to the Habs. Florida has been playing better of late overall as well, having gone 6-4 in its last ten. It’s now or never and do or die for the home side in this one. No more excuses, as this one sets up great for the Panthers to avenge the two earlier losses. A great price as well. Lay it, Florida rolls.
|02-17-19||Blues v. Wild -120||Top||4-0||Loss||-120||25 h 36 m||Show|
I’m playing on the Minnesota Wild (10* ANNIHILATOR). St. Louis comes to town off a 3-0 road win in Colorado, but I think it’ll stumble here finally in this difficult road arena. The Wild on the other hand come in as the “hungrier” team after its 5-4 loss at home to New Jersey. St. Louis has gone 15-12 on the road, averaging 2.67 goals and allowing 2.37 in those games. All good things have to come to an end eventually and after nine straight victories, I think St. Louis will in fact finally suffer a letdown here. The Wild don’t have that luxury. In fact Minnesota comes in desperate to break a three-game slide. The Wild are only 13-16 at home, averaging and conceding 2.97 goals in those contests. Note though that Minnesota is 9-3 in its last 12 after allowing five or more goals in its previous contest, while St. Louis is just 3-10 in its last 13 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation. St. Louis is 0-5 in its last five in this series and I think all of the above strong trends continue here. Lay the price, Wild roll.
|02-17-19||Rangers v. Penguins -201||5-6||Win||100||17 h 13 m||Show|
I’m playing on the Pittsburgh Penguins (6* MEMBER ONLY). New York comes to town content after a 6-2 road win in Buffalo. Pittsburgh has been all over the map as far as its game to game consistency this season, but after a 5-4 home loss to Calgary, I believe the home side comes in as the much “hungrier” team. Despite the win the Rangers are still just 5-5 in their last ten. New York is 10-17 on the road, averaging 2.70 goals and allowing 3.96 in those games. As mentioned above, the Penguins have been consistently inconsistent all year, but they’ve been at their best at home by going 16-12 overall, averaging 3.48 goals and conceding 3.21 in those contests. The Rangers are just 8-22 in their last 30 on the road vs. teams with a winning home record and I expect them to once again stumble here vs. this now razor focused home side. Lay the price, Penguins roll.
|02-15-19||Rangers v. Sabres -150||Top||6-2||Loss||-150||24 h 32 m||Show|
I’m playing on the Buffalo Sabres (10* PERS FAV). Off a tough 4-3 road loss in Winnipeg on Tuesday, I think the Rangers will have difficulty here as well vs. their upstate rival. At 24-24-8 (56 points), New York is second to last in the Metropolitan. The Sabres come in on the other end of the spectrum after a quality 3-1 win over the dangerous Islanders on Tuesday. At 28-21-7 (63 points), the Sabres remain in the hunt at fifth in the Atlantic. Rangers’ goalie Henrik Lundqvist is 16-15-8 with a 3.02 GAA, while Sabres’ net minder Linus Ullmark is 13-5-4 with a 2.89 GAA. New York’s achilles heel is its play on the road, as it’s lost 36 of its last 51 away from friendly confines. The home team is 4-0 the last four in this series and I look for all of these trends to carry over here. Lay the price, Sabres roll.
|02-14-19||Canadiens v. Predators -158||Top||1-3||Win||100||28 h 36 m||Show|
I’m playing on the Nashville Predators (10* BEST OF BEST) Montreal has been much better this season than last, but I still think it’s going to stumble in this difficult road arena. The Habs come in off a loss to Toronto. The Predators are behind the Jets in the Central division, but after two straight home losses, Nashville comes in razor focused to this one in my opinion. And a closer look at the numbers definitely points to the home side having the advantage today, as Montreal averages 3.00 GPG and allows 2.9, while Nashville averages 3.1 goals and allows only 2.6. Additionally note that Montreal is a poor 22-35 (-14 units) in its last 57 trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent (Nashville won North of the border earlier in the year), while the Predators are still 17-6 (+9.2 units) this season vs. clubs with winning records. Lay the price, Preds roll.
|02-12-19||Flyers v. Wild -145||Top||5-4||Loss||-145||26 h 55 m||Show|
I’m playing on the Minnesota Wild (10* PERS FAV). The Flyers have been hot of late. Philadelphia though enters off a 4-1 loss at home to Pittsburgh just last night and I think it’s going to have a hell of a time “getting up” for this difficult road contest just 24 hours later. Despite their recent win streak, Philadelphia is still averaging only 2.8 GPG, while allowing 3.3. The Wild won’t be “looking past” their opponent today, as they’ve lost five of their last six. Minnesota averages 2.8 goals and it allows 2.9. Philadelphia though is a terrible 2-5 in its last seven when playing the second game of a back-to-back, while Minnesota is 4-1 in its last five when playing on one days rest. I think the more rested, more focused and more determined home side offers great value in this spot. Lay the price, Wild roll.
|02-12-19||Blackhawks v. Bruins -190||3-6||Win||100||25 h 43 m||Show|
I’m playing on the Boston Bruins (6* BM BLOWOUT). I think the home side is well worth the price of admission in this spot. The Hawks come to town off a 5-2 home win over Detroit, while the Bruins needed OT to pull away for a 2-1 win over the Avs in their latest action. The Hawks are back in the playoff hunt after seven straight wins, but I think they’ll come up short here in this difficult road arena. Chicago is still just 11-17 on the road this season, averaging 3.29 goals, but allowing 3.82 in those contests. The Bruins have been at their best at home this season, going 20-10, averaging 3.40 goals and allowing only 2.43. The Bruins have been money in the bank for bettors in this spot as well by going 26-10 in their last 36 as a favorite in the -150 to -200 range. The Hawks though are only 7-15 in their last 22 when playing on one days rest. Lay this price and expected a lop-sided outcome. Bruins roll.
|02-10-19||Jets -131 v. Sabres||Top||3-1||Win||100||20 h 3 m||Show|
I’m playing on Winnipeg (10* VIOLATOR). Winnipeg will be eager to get back on track after a 5-2 road loss in Ottawa. The Sabres on the other hand look ready for a letdown here after their 3-1 home win over the Wings. Winnipeg comes in desperate here after three straight losses. Despite the slide, the Jets still have a one-point lead over Nashville in the Central, but clearly they’ll be risking everything today to get back to their winning form. At one point this season the Sabres won ten in a row, but since they’ve gone just 10-19. The Sabres are also only 1-4 in their last five home games following a home win by two goals or more. The Jets have resounded well in this spot by going 12-2 in their last 14 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation. Lay this reasonable price, Winnipeg rolls.
|02-09-19||Blue Jackets v. Golden Knights -156||Top||4-3||Loss||-156||27 h 4 m||Show|
I’m playing on the Golden Knights (10* GAME OF WEEK). Columbus has been poor on the road this year and I think that trend carries over in this difficult road arena. This is a revenge game for the home side as well after falling 1-0 in Columbus earlier in the season. Columbus comes in having won two straight on the road, but a letdown is imminent here in my opinion against a Knights team which is just 4-6 in its last ten and which has dropped two straight at home. Vegas is still 14-6 in its last 20 at home and it’s been extremely competitive against the Eastern Conference, going 7-1 in its last eight home meetings. Off two straight home losses and with revenge on their mind, look for the Knights to finally put it together on Saturday night. Lay the price, Vegas rolls.
|02-07-19||Sharks v. Flames -128||Top||5-2||Loss||-128||28 h 40 m||Show|
I’m playing on the Calgary Flames (10* PERS FAV) This is a battle between two of the top teams in the Pacific. I think the Calgary will find a way to protect home ice in the end though. Calgary beat SJ 7-6 in its most recent win in the series, but this time around I’m expecting a more decisive win. San Jose averages 3.57 goals and it allows 3.11. Calgary averages 3.72 GPG and it allows just 2.83. Note that the Sharks are still a terrible 48-56 (-17.9 units) in their last 104 vs. teams with winning records, while the Flames are 14-7 (+8 units) vs. teams with winning records. I think this line could/should easily be much larger. Lay the price, Flames roll.
|02-05-19||Golden Knights v. Lightning -171||3-2||Loss||-171||27 h 1 m||Show|
I’m playing on the Tampa Bay LIGHTNING (6* BLUE MARLIN) Two of the top teams in their respective divisions collides, but I think that the home side takes advantage of familiar surroundings and finds a way to get the job done in the end. The Knights’ win streak though is firmly in the rear view mirror after four straight losses. That includes two straight on the road. With a much more “winnable” contest in Detroit on Thursday to conclude their four game trip, I think the visitors get caught “looking ahead.” The Lightning come in off back-to-back wins and have had two whole nights off to rest and prepare. And with the lowly Blues coming to town next, the home side can focus on this favorable matchup. The Lighting are well worth the price of admission in this one. Lay the price, Tampa rolls.
|02-04-19||Canucks v. Flyers -145||Top||1-2||Win||100||28 h 36 m||Show|
I’m playing on the Philadelphia Flyers (10* PERSONAL FAVORITE) I think the home side is worth the price of admission in this one. Vancouver enters off a 5-1 road win over Colorado, while Philly held on for a 5-4 OT victory at home over Edmonton most recently. Despite their most recent win though, the Nucks are still just 12-15 on the road, averaging 2.74 goals and allowing 3.19 in those contests. At some point the Flyers are going to have a “letdown,” but after seven straight victories, I think that Philadelphia will keep the momentum rolling for at least one more game. Philly is now 12-13 at home, averaging 2.99 goals and allowing 3.20. The Canucks are also a terrible 20-39 (-13.2 units) in their last 59 after scoring four goals or more in their previous contest, while Philadelphia is 21-10 (+11.6 units) following a three game unbeaten streak. Lay the price, Flyers roll.
|02-03-19||Bruins v. Capitals -115||1-0||Loss||-115||19 h 5 m||Show|
8* VIOLATOR on Washington Capitals. I had a play on Washington in its 4-3 home win over the Flames. It was the Capitals first game back from the All Star break and they managed the victory without offensive star Alexander Ovechkin. The win snapped a seven-game slide. The defending champs are expected to have Ovi back in the line-up today and I think they’ll find a way to get the job done here as well. Boston comes in off a poor 3-2 OT loss at home to Philadelphia. Here’s a shocking stat: note that Bruins’ goaltender Tuukka Rask is just 1-16 with a 3.30 GAA lifetime vs. the Capitals. Boston is just 10-14 on the road, averaging 2.29 goals and allowing 2.79. Washington on the other hand is averaging 3.35 goals and allowing 2.88 at home. A great price and a great overall situation for the home side here. Lay the price, Capitals roll.
|02-02-19||Golden Knights v. Panthers -104||Top||1-3||Win||100||27 h 41 m||Show|
10* GAME OF MONTH on the Florida Panthers. The Knights will be entering this one with “heavy legs” off a game in Carolina on Friday night and I think the home side takes advantage. Florida is in action as well on Friday vs. Predators at home, making the “home ice advantage” that much more important in this situation. With a game at league leading Tampa up next as well, I think the Knights get caught looking ahead to that more high profile match-up. It’s a perfect storm of situational factors working in favor of Florida tonight. A great price too! All of these factors collide to make this one my GAME OF THE MONTH.
|02-01-19||Flames v. Capitals -102||Top||3-4||Win||100||26 h 29 m||Show|
I’m playing on the CAPITALS (10* PERSONAL FAVORITE) Calgary is no joke at 33-18. The Capitals have some ground to make up as they come out of the break at 27-23. Calgary comes in off a 3-2 OT home win over Carolina, while Washington enters off a 6-3 loss in Toronto. Calgary has been admittedly fantastic on the road this year (16-9 away from friendly confines), but Washington has been at its best at home, averaging 3.32 goals and allowing 2.88. It would be easy to pick the Flames here, who have won seven of their last ten. But now that the second half of the season is here, I look for Washington to dip deep here as it desperately tries to break a seven-game slide. Great line value on the hungry home side. Caps roll.
|01-29-19||Flyers v. Rangers -127||Top||1-0||Loss||-127||12 h 7 m||Show|
I'm playing on NY (10* PERS FAV). While the Flyers knocked off the Jets last night, they're just 3-8 (-5.3) off a win by two or more goals and 2-5 (-3.1) when playing the second of b2b games. They're also now on the road; they're a poor 6-15, when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or greater, 9-16 on the road overall. The Rangers don't get much respect but they've remained competitive at home. Look for them to return from the break refreshed and expect them to avenge an earlier pair of losses.
|01-29-19||Sabres v. Blue Jackets -166||5-4||Loss||-166||12 h 40 m||Show|
I'm playing on COLUMBUS (8* VIOLATOR). The Sabres are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Jackets have had plenty of time off to let their anger over b2b losses grow. They're 14-4 (+10.1) the past 2+ seasons, when playing with three or more day's rest in between games. During the same span, the Sabres were 7-11 (-4.2) when playing with three or more day's rest in between games. The Jackets have dominated the Sabres here. Expect that to continue this evening.
|01-23-19||Wild v. Avalanche -119||Top||5-2||Loss||-119||29 h 24 m||Show|
I'm playing on COLORADO (10* GAME OF WEEK). These teams met twice back in October. In each case, the home team won. I expect home ice to prove significant once again. While I won with the Wild in their last game, that came at Vegas. Teams often don't fare that well, in the game following a win at Vegas. A look at the last three meetings here shows that the Avs have gone 3-0 while outscoring the Wild by a commanding 18-4 margin. Expect them to finish on top once again.
|01-22-19||Red Wings v. Oilers -143||Top||3-2||Loss||-143||13 h 56 m||Show|
I'm playing on EDMONTON (10* PERS FAV). If the Oilers, desperate for a win, can't beat a poor Detroit team, they truly do have serious problems. I personally feel that they should also give Hitchcock, the coach, the GM job, at least for the rest of the year. Either way, the Oilers know that this is basically must win time. I expect them to respond accordingly. This is a team that they know they can beat, they've arguably got a big edge in talent. The Oilers already won at Detroit. Catching the Wings on the road, where they're just 8-16, expect them to do so again.
|01-22-19||Hurricanes v. Flames -176||2-3||Win||100||13 h 52 m||Show|
I'm playing on CALGARY (8*). These teams have both been playing well. They will soon meet again in Raleigh. The Canes might take that one but I fully expect the well-rested Flames to hold serve at home tonight. The Flames are 5-2 when playing with two day's rest, 20-11 in that situation the past 2+ seasons. Look for home ice to prove significant. While the Canes are 10-13 on the road, the Flames are 16-9 at home. With the Flames now 9-2 since New Year's, I'm laying the wood.
|01-20-19||Red Wings v. Canucks -133||2-3||Win||100||7 h 32 m||Show|
I'm playing on VANCOUVER. While the Wings are off a 6-4 loss at Calgary, the Canucks come in with some positive momentum. They defeated the Sabres last time out, their second win in the past three games, all at home. The Canucks like their home-cooking. They're now 6-3 (+4.3) after playing their previous three or more on the road. With a chance for a rare 'winning streak,' look for them to get some payback from an earlier loss at Detroit.
|01-19-19||Sharks v. Lightning -140||Top||3-6||Win||100||25 h 55 m||Show|
I'm playing on TAMPA (10* NON-CONF GAME OF MONTH). Stanley Cup preview? You never know! Either way, this evening, playing on home ice, I expect the Lightning to have edge. The Sharks won 5-2 when these teams met at SJ a couple of weeks ago. However, the Lightning won by the same score when the teams last played here at Tampa. Even factoring in the earlier result at SJ, the Sharks are just 9-10 against teams with a winning record. The Lightning, meanwhile, are 17-7 (+8.1) against winning teams. Off a 4-2 loss at Toronto, note that Tampa is also 6-1 after a loss by two or more goals and 13-2 after allowing four or more. Payback time.
|01-17-19||Jets v. Predators -145||Top||5-1||Loss||-145||14 h 52 m||Show|
I'm playing on NASHVILLE (10* VIOLATOR). Huge game between the top two teams in the West. I expect home ice to prove significant. I respect the Jets and won with them in their last game, an emotional 'payback' victory against Vegas. That was at Winnipeg, where they're very tough to beat. They're still solid on the road (12-8) but far more beatable. The Predators, meanwhile, are a dominant 16-7 here at Nashville. The win over Vegas marked the Jets' third straight victory, all of those coming at Winnipeg. Note that they're just 16-18 (-8.3) the past couple of seasons, off three or more consecutive wins. The Jets' last road game resulted in a loss, at Minnesota. Prior to that, they lost 4-0, at Pittsburgh. The Preds typically up their game when facing other top opponents. With a chance to gain ground in the standings, expect the Preds to do so here, improve to 16-4 their last 20 against teams with a winning record.
|01-15-19||Penguins v. Sharks -140||2-5||Win||100||16 h 54 m||Show|
I'm playing on SJ (8* VIOLATOR). These teams split a pair of games last January, the home team winning each. I expect home ice to again prove significant. While the Pens are 12-10 on the road, the Sharks are 16-8 at home. The Pens are off a loss at LA, the Sharks are a perfect 6-0 since the calendar flipped to 2019. Playing their best hockey of the season and catching their guests right in the middle of a road trip, expect the Sharks to keep on rolling for another day.
|01-15-19||Golden Knights v. Jets -127||Top||1-4||Win||100||14 h 57 m||Show|
I'm playing on WINNIPEG (10* GAME OF WEEK). Needless to say, the Jets have had this one circled. After winning the first game of last May's playoff series, the Jets appeared to be in good shape. The Knights shocked the Jets by winning the next four straight. While a win tonight won't make up for those losses, it's still very important to the Jets and their fans. Winnipeg's Andrew Copp said: "...there's definitely a little bit of revenge factor. We owe them ..." Both teams are off 4-3 victories. Thats noteworthy as the Knights are 8-10 after scoring four or more goals while the Jets are 15-8, after doing so. While the Knights are 13-13 on the road, the Jets are 17-8 at home. All things considered, the line could easily be higher. Payback time.
|01-14-19||Sabres v. Oilers -118||Top||2-7||Win||100||15 h 16 m||Show|
I'm playing on EDMONTON (10* PERSONAL FAVORITE). When the Oilers hosted the Sabres last season, they were laying -245. True, the Sabres are improved since then. But not so much to justify that massive a change in line from one season to another. The fact that they hammered the Oilers in that game (5-0) should provide ensure the home team doesn't get caught sleeping tonight. A "streaky" team all season, Buffalo is off b2b losses. Its also worth mentioning that the Sabres are also an ugly 3-13 the last 16 times that they played a road game with an O/U line of six or more. Time is running out for the Oilers. Expect them to play with desperation en route to an important two points.
|01-14-19||Canadiens v. Bruins -170||3-2||Loss||-170||14 h 44 m||Show|
I'm playing on BOSTON (8* ANNIHILATOR). These longtime rivals met once in October, once in November and once in December. The Canadiens won the first. The Bruins have won each of the last two. In all three cases, the road team finished on top. I expect things to change and home ice to prove significant this evening. The Habs are 12-11 on the road, the Bruins are 16-6 at home. Its also worth mentioning that the Canadiens are an ugly 44-72 (-31.9) the past few seasons, when facing a team which defeated them in the previous meeting. The Habs are 7-9 within the division, the Bruins are 12-7. Lay the wood.
|01-14-19||Blackhawks v. Devils -140||5-8||Win||100||13 h 12 m||Show|
I'm playing on NJ (8* VIOLATOR). The Devils got back on track last time out, snapping a 3-game skid. The same cannot be said for the Hawks, who have now dropped three in a row themselves. All three losses came by identical 4-3 margins. Note that the Hawks are now an ugly 29-48 (-19.3) the past 2+ seasons, after allowing four or more goals. During the same span, they're also a money-burning 10-25 (-16.8) after three or more consec. losses. While the Hawks are terrible on the road, the Devils are solid at home. All things considered, this price could easily be higher. Devils roll.
|01-12-19||Coyotes v. Oilers -137||3-2||Loss||-137||29 h 59 m||Show|
I'm playing on EDMONTON (10* GAME OF THE YEAR). I won with the Oilers in their last game and I feel that they're providing us excellent value once again on Saturday. The Oilers are going to be happy to see the Coyotes. Edmonton has beaten the Coyotes each of the last two meetings, winning seven of the last eight. They've beaten the Coyotes four straight times, at Edmonton. I've previously mentioned that the Oilers are better than their record indicates and that they still have hopes to turn things around. The same cannot be said for the Coyotes, who are just 5-13 the past 18 times that they played a road game with an O/U line of six or greater. Both teams had Friday off. The Oilers also have Sunday off. The Coyotes, on the other hand, are playing the front end of back-to-back road games, as they face Calgary tomorrow. While the Coyotes average 2.6 goals per game on the road, the Oilers average more than three per game at home. Expect them to continue their recent dominance in the series.
|01-10-19||Panthers v. Oilers -118||3-4||Win||100||15 h 46 m||Show|
I'm playing on EDMONTON (8*). The Oilers are going to be hungry. The Panthers beat them at Florida earlier this season and also beat them here at Edmonton, scoring seven goals in the process, last season. Speaking of seven goals, the Oilers, 15-11 (+5.6) in the revenge role, gave up seven last time out, adding additional motivation. January hasn't been good to the Panthers. They've lost three straight to start 2019 and are now a money-burning 9-17 (-8.9) in January the past few seasons. Expect the Oilers to be the team which bounces back.
|01-10-19||Predators v. Blue Jackets -120||3-4||Win||100||13 h 46 m||Show|
I'm playing on COLUMBUS (8*). The Jackets have the schedule in their favor. While they had yesterday off, the Preds are off a hard-fought game, at Chicago. Not only are they playing the second of b2b games and third game in four days, but the Preds are also playing their fifth game in seven days. Thats about as tough a stretch as you'll see in the NHL. In addition to having yesterday off, the Jackets had two days off, prior to Tuesday's game. Expect them to have the fresher legs. While the Preds are very tough at home, they're far more beatable on the road. Even with yesterday's win, they're still a mediocre 12-11 away from Nashville. The Jackets are 34-19 (+12.5) the past 2+ seasons, when off a loss by two or more goals, 9-3 their last 12 in that situation. Expect them to improve on those stats this evening.
|01-10-19||Capitals v. Bruins -136||4-2||Loss||-136||13 h 45 m||Show|
I'm playing on BOSTON (8*). As a handicapping tool, 'revenge' can often be over-rated. Hockey teams play a lot of games and they all lose their fair share of them. Each of those losses don't cause teams to "get up" more than normal for a game. That said, some of them do. I believe that this will be one of those cases. When these teams met earlier, the Capitals embarrassed the Bruins by a 7-0 margin, celebrating their Stanley Cup win at the same time. Thats not just any loss, thats a destruction. (Some of you will recall that we won with Washington in that one.) The type that will cause the revenge factor to actually mean something. Of course, having lost 13 straight times to the Caps will also add plenty of motivation for Boston. Off five straight wins, the Bruins are among the hottest teams in the league. They're a dominant 16-5. Expect them to finally beat the Caps.
|01-08-19||Devils v. Sabres -135||Top||1-5||Win||100||27 h 11 m||Show|
I'm playing on BUFFALO (10* NHL GAME OF MONTH. This will mark the Sabres' second home game of 2019. They won their first and I expect another highly motivated effort here. Over the past few seasons, the Devils have made themselves at home here at Buffalo. Times have changed.The Sabres are an excellent 13-8 (13-5-3) here at Buffalo. The Devils, on the other hand, are a dismal 5-17 (5-14-3) on the road. They're coming off a trip to Vegas, which can be difficult on teams. Either way, the Sabres are going to be determined to show the Devils that a trip to Buffalo can no longer be pencilled in as a guaranteed two points. They also know that six of their next seven come on the road, with the lone home game coming against Tampa. In other words, the Sabres know that they need to take advantage of a NJ team which has been terrible on the road and which remains without Taylor Hall, its top offensive player. Expect them to do just that.
|01-06-19||Stars v. Jets -148||1-5||Win||100||11 h 45 m||Show|
I'm playing on WINNIPEG (8* PERS FAV). The Stars are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off a 4-0 loss and having now dropped three of their last four, the Jets are going to be angry. Note that they're 7-2 when off a loss by two or more goals. Further motivation stems from the fact that the Stars already beat them 5-1 in this season's earlier meeting, at Dallas. Note that the Jets are a lucrative 56-42 (+11) in the revenge role, the past 2+ seasons. While Dallas is 8-13 on the road, the Jets are 13-8 at home. They beat the Stars 4-2 here last season and I expect another victory today.
|01-06-19||Rangers v. Coyotes -124||Top||0-5||Win||100||10 h 48 m||Show|
I'm playing on ARIZONA (10* ANNIHILATOR). The road has not been kind to the Rangers. They're 6-13 away from MSG. With an upcoming trip to Sin City on deck, it should be easy for them to look past the Coyotes. Arizona played hard but lost in a shootout last time out. The Coyotes match up well against the Rangers and already beat them at NY. They're already a profitable 4-2 (+3.3) on the season, when off three or more consecutive losses. Knowing that they're going to hit the road for their next few games, look for a determined Coyote team to stop the bleeding and close out the homestand with a victory.
|01-05-19||Islanders v. Blues -125||Top||4-3||Loss||-125||11 h 59 m||Show|
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS (10* VIOLATOR). Admittedly, the Isles have been hot. They've certainly fared better than most expected, after losing Tavares to Toronto in the offseason. I believe that they're over-achieving a bit though and I expect some current injuries, including ones to Filppula and Eberle, to catch up with them here. Note that the Isles are a money-burning 47-80 (-44.1) over the years, when on a winning streak of three or more games. The Blues got back on track with a convincing 5-2 win over the defending champs last time out. They're now 45-29 (+11.5) their last 74 against Eastern Conference opponents. Expect the Blues to build positive momentum from the Capital win and improve on those stats this evening.