|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|12-15-18||Everton v. Manchester City UNDER 2.5||1-3||Loss||-100||11 h 6 m||Show|
I'm playing on Everton/Man City UNDER the total (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). Everton showed it can score against mediocre competition, checking in off a 2-2 draw vs. Watford. However, when matched up against elite teams - Manchester City has conceded just nine goals through 16 P.L. matches - the goals start drying up. In fact, thats been the case against just about everyone, prior to the Watford game. Everton's previous four matches had scores of 1-1, 1-0, 1-0 and 0-0. In the two games against Chelsea and Liverpool, other teams in Man City's class, Everton failed to score a single goal. While Man. City still has plenty of weapons, the absence of David Silva figures to take a toll on the offense. Off a 2-0 loss to Chelsea, the first time in 22 league games that City had lost and conceded more than a goal, they're going to be looking for a clean sheet. Expect a relatively low-scoring affair.
|12-12-18||Bayern Munich v. Ajax Amsterdam UNDER 3||3-3||Loss||-105||8 h 6 m||Show|
I'm playing on Bayern/Ajax UNDER the total (8* VIOLATOR). Robben is expected to miss for Bayern Munich and that figures to effect the offense negatively. Before his recent injury, he's scored a pair of beauties against Benfica. With this game being played at Amsterdam, if he'd been able to play, you know the Dutchman was going to be fired up. When these teams met last, they played to a 1-1 draw. (Bayern's goal was a header off a Robben cross.) Both teams already through, look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting.
Bonus Play: I'm playing on BENIFICA. Not only are they scoring goals, the Eagles aren't conceding them either. On the surface, it may seem that there's not much at stake. However, Benifica is looking for its fourth consecutive clean sheet and is currently enjoying a season best run, having not allowed a goal since matchday five. Its the first time in eight months that the Eagles have won three straight and this is an ideal matchup to keep their streak in tact with. Expect a highly motivated effort and superior talent to lead to a victory for the favorite.
|12-11-18||Napoli v. Liverpool UNDER 2.75||0-1||Win||100||5 h 12 m||Show|
I'm playing on Napoli/Liverpool UNDER the total (8* O/U ANNIHILATOR). Look for goals to be at a premium in this one. These teams played to a 1-0 final in October. Here, Napoli only needs a draw (while Liverpool needs the win) and I expect that to lead to them taking a conservative defensive-minded approach. Keep in mind that the Serie A side will be facing a Liverpool squad which has surrendered only six goals through 16 Prem. League matches. I don't see Napoli scoring more than one, with a good chance of getting none, leading to the final combined score staying beneath the number.
|12-05-18||Liverpool v. Burnley UNDER 3||Top||3-1||Loss||-125||20 h 35 m||Show|
I'm playing on Liverpool/Burnley UNDER the total (8* O/U BEST BET). In its last three Premier Leauge matches, Burnley has scored just once. Burnley is going to have real trouble scoring again here, as Liverpool is extremely stingy. Through 14 matches, Liverpool has surrendered a mere five goals. The Reds have kept a clean sheet in 11 of their last 17 league matches, allowing only a single goal in the other six. Burnley, meanwhile, has only scored 13 of its own, also through 14 matches. Liverpool's last five away games vs. Burnley had scores of 2-1, 2-0 and 1-0. I'm expecting another low-scoring affair.
|11-11-18||Manchester United v. Manchester City UNDER 3.25||Top||1-3||Loss||-108||29 h 5 m||Show|
I'm playing on Manchester City and Man. U to finish UNDER the total (10* TOTAL OF WEEK). Man City is the stingiest team in the Premier League. Through 11 matches, Man City has allowed a mere four goals. With or without Pogba, who is questionable, United is likely going to have real trouble scoring. On the other side, Man U just held Juventus to a single goal in its last game, a 2-1 victory. Thats the fourth straight match that the Red Devils have conceded only one goal, as their previous games saw them limit Everton, Bournemouth and Juventus all to one goal with final scores of 2-1, 2-1 and 0-1. Expect a relatively low-scoring affair.
|11-03-18||Brighton & Hove Albion v. Everton UNDER 2.5||Top||1-3||Loss||-112||123 h 40 m||Show|
I'm playing on Brighton and Everton to finish UNDER 2.5 goals (10* TOTAL OF WEEK). While I successfully played against Everton last time out, both these teams are improved from last season. Lately, that improvement has been due in large part to stingy defense. Prior to last week's 2-1 loss against Man U, Everton was off a 2-0 win. Everton has now conceded two or fewer goals in each of its last six games, allowing only four combined goals in its past five games. Brighton, meanwhile, is off three consecutive 1-0 victories and has now allowed two or fewer goals in 33 straight. Last two meetings had scores of 2-0 and 1-1. Expect another relatively tight, low-scoring affair.
|10-28-18||Everton v. Manchester United -151||Top||1-2||Win||100||169 h 56 m||Show|
I'm playing on MANCHESTER UNITED (10* GAME OF WEEK). Undefeated its last three, talented Man. U is finally playing up to its potential. Normally, a draw against Chelsea would be considered a pretty good result. However, the Red Devils played so well - and were leading so late - that the draw felt like a disappointment. All the same, its the type of result that they can bulid from. They've had plenty of time to get over that emotional game and take the positives from it. This week, the Devils step down in class and a similar effort against a rather mediocre Everton side will surely lead to victory.
United Manager Jose Mourinho had this to say of the Chelsea result:
"I can tell you that the 97-minute game was so good that you have to focus on that. We were the best team on the pitch. If you say before the match one point at Stamford Bridge, it's always a good result because it's so difficult for teams to win here ... We were the best team, we were calm, we had complete control ... "
|10-20-18||Watford v. Wolverhampton Wanderers UNDER 2.25||Top||2-0||Win||51||287 h 38 m||Show|
I'm playing on Watford and Wolverhamption UNDER the total (10* TOTAL OF MONTH). Watford has failed to score in either of its last two games, losing 2-0 and 4-0. Scoring figures to again be a major problem for the Hornets, as the Wolves have only conceded six goals through eight games, while managing only nine themselves. However, I do expect the Hornets to improve defensively. Watford manager Javi Garcia had this to say after the last game: "It is always a bad moment to lose like today. Today is the first day we haven't competed as in other games. They were much better than us. We will try to improve for the next game." Wolverhampton has now seen NINE straight matches produce two or fewer combined goals. Expect more of the same here.
|10-07-18||Chelsea -152 v. Southampton||Top||3-0||Win||100||16 h 58 m||Show|
I'm playing on CHELSEA (10* GAME OF MONTH). Off back-to-back draws, Chelsea is going to be extremely motivated to pick up the maximum number of points here and I feel that the price could easily be higher. With this being the last match before the International Break and with the team being essentially at full health, there's no reason to hold back. These teams last met in the FA Cup semifinal last season. Chelsea won easily, 2-0. Expect Chelsea, one of three undefeated teams in the Premier League, to finish on top, once again.
|10-06-18||Newcastle United v. Manchester United -217||2-3||Win||100||149 h 35 m||Show|
I'm playing on MANCHESTER UNITED (6* ANNIHILATOR). Off last week's loss, Man U can ill afford to take Newcastle, which is off an ugly 2-0 loss and which is winless through seven games, lightly. They won't. The Magpies are in bad shape, their crowd turning on them last week. Their only shot on goal last week came from 60 yards out. It doesn't get any easier this week. Expect the difference in talent to be clear, the favorite winning in regulation.
|09-15-18||Liverpool v. Tottenham Hotspur UNDER 3||Top||2-1||Push||0||181 h 15 m||Show|
I'm playing on Liverpool/Tottenham to finish UNDER the total (10* TOTAL OF MONTH). The last time that the Spurs hosted Liverpool, they won by a score of 4-1. That was here at Wembley, last October. Don't expect nearly as many fireworks this time. Through four games, Liverpool has allowed only one goal. Tottenham, meanwhile, has conceeded only four goals through four games. With both teams wanting and expecting to contend for this year's title, expect neither team to want to give an inch and for goals to be at a premium.
|09-02-18||Manchester United -150 v. Burnley||Top||2-0||Win||100||24 h 35 m||Show|
I'm playing on MANCHESTER UNITED (10* GAME OF WEEK). While the end result didn't look too good, United atually played much better against Tottenham than the score indicates. A game against Burnley provides the perfect opportunity to right the ship. Mourinho had this to say: "I think the feeling was a great frustration and a great sense of it the result against Tottenham not being fair at all, far from it. But during the week, people transform that into motivation to work and once more the week was very, very good. We just hope to play as well as we did against Tottenham, but with different luck and a different result." United has won at Turf Moor in each of the last two seasons. Expect them to do so again Sunday.
|09-01-18||AFC Bournemouth v. Chelsea UNDER 3.5||Top||0-2||Win||100||16 h 18 m||Show|
I'm playing on Chelsea / AFC Bournemouth UNDER the total (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). While Chelsea is off an exciting 2-1 victory, lets not forget that game was scoreless until about 15 minutes were remaining. In fact, both teams have only conceded three goals through three games. I expect Bournemouth to have real trouble finding the back of the net. While many will be expecting a high-scoring affair, keep in mind that the last three meetings were 0-0, 0-0 and 1-0 at the break, those three games producing only seven combined goals, none finishing with more than three.
|08-31-18||Real Valladolid v. Getafe CF UNDER 2.5||Top||0-0||Win||100||45 h 22 m||Show|
I'm playing on Real Valladolid / Getafe UNDER the total (10* TOTAL OF MONTH). While the big news is that former Brazilian star is Ronaldo is set to buy Real Valladolid, don't expect that to have any impact on the scoring. Indeed, I expect goals to be at premium in this one. Valladolid saw its first game end in a scoreless draw and its second finish at 1-0. Getafe delivered a clean sheet against Eibar last time out after getting blanked themselves in their previous game. Look for a low-scoring affair.
|08-27-18||Tottenham Hotspur v. Manchester United UNDER 2.5||3-0||Loss||-117||25 h 6 m||Show|
I'm playing on Man. U / Tottenham UNDER the total (8* O/U BEST BET). This should be an entertaining battle and I expect goals to be few and far between. United played poorly last time out and will be determined to improve defensively. Expect them to do so. I see the most likely results being either 1-0, 1-1 or 2-0. That being the case, I feel that a line of 2.5 is providing us with plenty of value.
|08-26-18||Chelsea -136 v. Newcastle United||Top||2-1||Win||100||24 h 41 m||Show|
I'm playing on CHELSEA (10* GAME OF MONTH). Despite always being favored, Chelsea has really struggled at his venue in recent years. Those results have worked in our favor, however, for a couple of important reasons. For one, they've provided us with a lower line than we easily could be working with, particularly provided the talent gap between these teams. Those past results will also ensure that Chelsea is completely motivated and doesn't look past its inferior opponent. Chelsea ended a poor streak vs. Arsenal last week. Here, they'll get the monkey off their back once again, putting it all together en route to another victory.
|07-15-18||Croatia v. France||Top||2-4||Win||100||13 h 39 m||Show|
I'm playing FRANCE on the 2-way line (10* MAIN EVENT, no draw option). France has been the strongest team in this tournament, knocking off plenty of elite teams along the way. While this is a young team, the French have been here three times in the past 20 years. A good portion of the core of the team lost in the Euro Finals (in Paris) two years ago and have learned from that. Sometimes, a team needs to lose before it can win and I believe thats the case with this French team. They've got an oustanding goalie and are extremely stingy on defense. On offense, they've got explosive playermakers with speed and the ability to put the ball in the net. Expect them to emerge as champs.
|07-14-18||England v. Belgium UNDER 3||0-2||Win||100||4 h 41 m||Show|
I'm playing on England/Belgium UNDER the total (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). While both offenses are clearly capable, neither was at its best last game - the reason these squads are in the third place game. An O/U line of three provides plenty of room to work with. I won with the 'under' in the earlier meeting, a 1-0 Belgium win. That was a game neither really wanted to win. Now, they meet in a game where neither of them wanted to be. Look for that to again result in a game which is lower-scoring than most will be expecting.
|07-11-18||England +135 v. Croatia||Top||1-1||Loss||-100||18 h 54 m||Show|
I'm taking ENGLAND on the 2-way line 10* MAIN EVENT (Draw=No Bet). The English got a fortunate path to the Finals and I now expect them to take the final step and advance to face France. The English have been getting stronger every time out - the Belgium loss (a game they didnt really want to win) notwithstanding. Their victory over Sweden was a dominant performance. Croatia has been getting beaten up along the way. I believe Croatia has been a bit lucky to get here and I expect their luck to run out here. England advances.
|07-10-18||Belgium v. France UNDER 2.5||Top||0-1||Win||100||19 h 23 m||Show|
I'm playing on Belgium/France UNDER the total (10* TOTAL OF MONTH). These teams are both excellent on both sides of the ball, the winner of the game will be favored to win the Cup. While many will be expecting goals to be plentiful, I see them being hard to come by. Expect the defenses/goalies to be the surprise stars, at least for long enough to keep the combined score below the total.
|07-07-18||England v. Sweden UNDER 2.5||Top||2-0||Win||100||17 h 39 m||Show|
I'm playing England/Sweden to finish UNDER the total (10* TOTAL OF WEEK). The Swedes got here on the strength of a 1-0 win over Switzerland. Really, one could argue they were fortunate to even score that one. The English were very nearly as stingy as they were up 1-0 against Columbia until the closing seconds. Overall, the stingy Swedes have kept three clean sheets in four games. They know their best chance is to do the same here. Expect goals to be at a premium.
|07-06-18||Belgium +0.5 v. Brazil||Top||2-1||Win||100||5 h 48 m||Show|
I'm playing on BELGIUM at +0.5 goals. The winner of this game has an excellent shot at emerging as champion. Its got all the makings of a classic. As per usual, Brazil is very strong. However, the same can be said of this Belgium team, the strongest their country has ever produced. Having "come back from the dead" in the last game, the Belgians are arguably playing with a little less pressure, as they'd already been written off when down 2-0 late in the second half against Japan. While Brazil is of course in a different class than Japan, that comeback has Belgium believing it can do anything. Don't be surprised to see them shock the world here.
|07-06-18||France v. Uruguay UNDER 2.5||2-0||Win||100||2 h 39 m||Show|
I'm playing on France/Uruguay to finish UNDER the total (8* BEST BET). While both offenses are more than capable, both defenses are also extremely stingy. Expect goals to be at a premium, the final combined score finishing at two or fewer goals.
|07-03-18||Switzerland v. Sweden||Top||0-1||Loss||-124||23 h 8 m||Show|
I'm playing SWITZERLAND on the 2-way line. (10* GAME OF WEEK, no draw option) While the Swedes were impressive in group play, they are not as strong as the Swiss. Switzerland did what it was supposed to in the group stage and now get to face a very beatable Swedish side, one which will be missing Sebastian Larrson. Lets not forget that the Swiss entered the tournament as the #6 ranked team in the Wolrd while the Swedes were #24. I believe the Swiss are flying under the radar and providing us with excellent value.
|07-01-18||Denmark v. Croatia UNDER 2.5||1-1||Win||100||27 h 1 m||Show|
Im playing on Denmark/Croatia to finish UNDER the total (8* O/U ANNIHILATOR). Though some critics have been unhappy with their style, the Danes are here and unbeaten thanks to their defense. It certainly wasn't their attacking that got them here. Only three of the original 32 teams had less shots than Denmark. Also, the Danes managed only two goals themselves. Don't expect them to change things up vs. Croatia. Rather, expect goals/chances to again be at a premium.
|07-01-18||Russia v. Spain -156||Top||1-1||Loss||-156||122 h 2 m||Show|
I'm playing on SPAIN (10* GAME OF YEAR). While Russia may have the venue in its favor, I believe that these teams are in an entirely different class. The fact that Spain underachieved, while Russia arguably over-achieved, in the qualifying round has worked in our favor by keeping the line in a relatively reasonable range. Given the difference in talent, the line could very easily be much higher. The Russians had a dream matchup out of the gate but we saw what happened (3-0 loss) when they stepped up in class to face Uruguay. While I happily backed Uruguay in that one, the Spaniards are even more deadly. Expect nothing less than victory.
|06-28-18||Belgium v. England UNDER 2.5||1-0||Win||100||4 h 18 m||Show|
I'm playing on Belgium/England UNDER the total (10* BLUE CHIP). Both teams have demonstrated they are very capable of scoring. However, both teams have also already punched their ticket for the next round and its debatable whether or not its even an advantage to win the group. Expect to see considerably different lineups than the first two games and for goals to be at a premium.
|06-26-18||Peru v. Australia||2-0||Win||100||16 h 41 m||Show|
I'm playing PERU on the 2-way line (10* MAIN EVENT, Draw = No bet) While Peru is already eliminated, the Peruvians have a ton of pride and they brought a lot of their countrymen along to support them. They've arguably played better than their record indicates and I expect them to bring their A game here. Australia will be going all out for the win and that could easily make them vulnerable on the counter-attack. Even with Farfan out of the lineup, I believe the Peruvians are dangerous. Relegated to the spoiler role, expect Peru to rise to the occasion with a victory.
|06-25-18||Portugal v. Iran UNDER 2.5||1-1||Win||100||17 h 42 m||Show|
I'm playing on Portugal/Iran to finish UNDER the total (8* ANNIHILATOR). Obviously, Ronaldo is a very dangerous player. However, this Iranian team is very sound defensively. They allowed only one goal against a potent Spanish side and they blanked Morocco completely. Expect goals to again be at a premium.
|06-25-18||Russia v. Uruguay +177||Top||0-3||Win||177||14 h 50 m||Show|
I'm playing URUGUAY on the 2-way line (10* MAIN EVENT. No draw option. Draw = No action.) Though I expect Uruguay to win, I'm opting for the 2-way line, as Russia will (likely) be playing for the tie, which is indeed a possible outcome. While Russia has certainly been impressive, I still believe Uruguay is the far superior squad. Uruguay is a dominant defensive team, one which has yet to allow a goal. Lets not forget that Russia entered the tournament as the #70 ranked team in the country while Uruguay is 14th. The Russians have already achieved their primary goal - look for Uruguay to bring them back down to earth on Monday.
|06-25-18||Russia v. Uruguay UNDER 2.5||0-3||Loss||-182||14 h 37 m||Show|
I'm playing on Russia/Uruguay UNDER the total (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). Uruguay is a dominant defensive team, one which has yet to allow a goal. The Russians would love to get the draw, as that wins them the group. Their best shot would be a 0-0 draw, as I don't see them scoring. I see one of the following results to be the most likely outcome: Uruguay 1-0, Uruguay 2-0, 0-0, 1-1. Any of those will work just fine. Expect a low-scoring affair.
|06-23-18||Sweden v. Germany -192||1-2||Win||100||20 h 35 m||Show|
I'm playing on GERMANY (6* MAIN EVENT). The Swedes are no joke. However, the Germans are in a class of their own. Many feel that, on paper at least, they're even stronger than the team which won the last Cup. Off their opening loss against Mexico, they're obviously going to be in an angry and determined mood here. Backs to the wall, expect the champs to rise to the occassion, digging deep and coming away with the critical victory.
|06-23-18||South Korea v. Mexico -141||Top||1-2||Win||100||17 h 47 m||Show|
I'm playing on MEXICO (10* BREAKFAST CLUB). Off their monumental win in their opener the Mexicans are full of confidence. That victory was no fluke either. Sure, the Germans had plenty of chances but the Mexicans were dangerous on theirs, as well. Now, they step down in class considerably and I don't expect any sort of a letdown or complacency. Mexico's Marco Fabian noted: "We reached our first target and have beaten Germany, but we can't sit back." The Koreans know that they need to go for it; after losing against Sweden (and with Germany on deck) a tie won't cut it for them. Expect that to leave them vulnerable, surging Mexico taking full advantage.
|06-22-18||Costa Rica v. Brazil OVER 2.5||Top||0-2||Loss||-121||18 h 43 m||Show|
I'm playing on Brazil/Costa Rica to finish OVER 2.5 goals (10* BLUE CHIP TOTLA). Both these teams saw their opener finish below the number. Thats helped in keeping this line a little lower than it could easily be. (If both were off high-scoring openers, we'd likely be seeing a 3 instead of 2.5.) I believe it'll prove to be too low. As always, Brazil is loaded with offensive talent. Coach "Tite" had this to say: "We have to be more effective and convert scoring opportunities in goals." The Costa Ricans have some playermakers of their own and are going to be determined to find the back of the net. While the players are obviously different, some will recall an exciting high-scoring (5-2) game between these teams in the 2002 World Cup. Look for this one to also prove high-scoring and more exciting than many will be expecting.
|06-21-18||Peru v. France UNDER 2.5||Top||0-1||Win||100||14 h 25 m||Show|
I'm playing on France/Peru UNDER the total (10* TOTAL OF WEEK). While the French have a number of dangerous offensive weapons, they had some trouble scoring in their opener. Now, they'll face an arguably stronger and more disciplined defense. I believe that goals will be hard to come by. Likewise for Peru, which was held scoreless (1-0 loss) in its opener. The Peruvians qualified for this tournament on the strength of their defense. Forced to use their energy to fight off the French attack, I feel that Peru has a good chance of going scoreless, once again. Look for the final combined score to finish below 2.5 goals.
|06-20-18||Morocco v. Portugal -140||Top||0-1||Win||100||46 h 23 m||Show|
I'm playing on PORTUGAL (10* GAME OF MONTH). Even without Ronaldo, Portugal is a stronger side than Morocco. With the game's biggest star at the top of his game, its a mismatch. Coming off a hat-trick in the opener, Ronaldo is now like a shark smelling blood in the water. He can taste the World Cup success that has eluded him in the past. Off their draw against powerful Spain, the Portuguese bring a ton of positive momentum to the table. Morocco, on the other hand, is devastated, having scored an own-goal to effectively kill their (already slim) WC chances in their opener. All things considered, the price could easily be higher. Portugal rolls.