|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|08-30-18||Browns -2 v. Lions||35-17||Win||100||6 h 24 m||Show|
-Cleveland has shown more desire to win preseason games this season; 2-1 coming into tonight
-QB Baker Mayfield is slated to pay the majority of this game; big edge over the Detroit rotation
-Browns HC Hue Jackson: “I feel good about where we are and what we’ve accomplished.”
-Detroit has cared less about winning preseason games under new head coach Matt Patricia
-QB’s Matt Cassel and Jake Rudock will regress after coming back from a 27-6 deficit last week
-Lions HC Patricia: “It’s a process. I think that’s what we’re trying to figure out as we go along.”
9* Play BROWNS (-).
|08-25-18||Ravens v. Dolphins||27-10||Win||100||6 h 37 m||Show|
-Baltimore has won 11 consecutive preseason games; Ravens are 31-12 SU under HC Harbaugh
-QB rotation of Joe Flacco, Robert Griffin III and Lamar Jackson has a big edge over Miami
-Ravens HC Harbaugh after last week: “That’s not how we want to play. That’s not our style.”
-Miami’s first team offense hasn’t scored a touchdown in preseason; stout Ravens defense now
-QB Ryan Tannehill will get extended time, but Brock Osweiler and David Fales provide little
-Dolphins HC Adam Gase on the game plan: “We’ll figure it out as we go along. Nothing is set.”
9* Play RAVENS.
|08-24-18||Giants v. Jets -2.5||22-16||Loss||-106||6 h 10 m||Show|
-New York Giants have yet to have their full starting offense on the field; case again here
-QB Eli Manning will play more, but Davis Webb, Kyle Lauletta, and Alex Tanney is a bad trio
-Giants HC Pat Shurmur: “It’s one of the four games we look at. It’s just like any other game.”
-New York Jets will be completely healthy for tonight’s game giving them a big advantage
-QB rotation of Sam Darnold, Teddy Bridgewater and Josh McCown has a big edge in this game
-Jets HC Bowles: “We’re not where we want to be right now. All better be ready for this game.”
9* Play JETS (-).
|08-20-18||Ravens -1.5 v. Colts||20-19||Loss||-105||6 h 37 m||Show|
-Baltimore has won 10 consecutive preseason games; Ravens are 30-12 SU under HC Harbaugh
-QB rotation of Joe Flacco, Robert Griffin III and Lamar Jackson has a big edge over the Colts
-Ravens HC Harbaugh: “I’d have to say our best camp in terms of guys focused on improving.”
-Indianapolis beat Seattle last week; the Seahawks have changed philosophies after losing again
-QB Andrew Luck will play most of the first half, but he’s just getting back into game shape
-Colts Luck: “There’s a whole boat load of work to be done. By no means are we even close.”
9* Play RAVENS (-).
|08-18-18||Seahawks +3 v. Chargers||14-24||Loss||-100||7 h 28 m||Show|
-Seattle head coach Pete Carroll is 22-11 SU with the Seahawks in preseason games
-QB Russell Wilson will play much longer followed by Austin Davis and Alex McGough
-Seahawks HC Carroll after last week’s loss: “That was terrible. We need to man up.”
-Los Angeles head coach Anthony Lynn is just 1-4 SU with the Chargers in preseason games
-QB Philip Rivers will start; trio of Geno Smith, Cardale Jones, and Nic Shimonek to follow
-Chargers HC Lynn after last week’s loss: “It was sloppy; 15 penalties and 4 turnovers; basics”
9* Play SEAHAWKS (+).
|08-17-18||Chiefs -1.5 v. Falcons||28-14||Win||100||6 h 19 m||Show|
-Kanas City is planning to play their starters the entire first half; big advantage in this game
-QB rotation of Patrick Mahomes and Chase Litton is a good duo for a preseason game
-Chiefs HC Reid: “I know how important it is that the team plays well. We’re striving for better.”
-Atlanta will play their veterans for just one series; young and inexperienced players after that
-QB Matt Ryan will start, but then it’s the weak rotation of Kurt Benkert and Garrett Grayson
-Falcons QB Ryan: “There is a lot for us to clean up, but that’s what this time of the year is for.”
9* Play CHIEFS (-).
|08-11-18||Vikings v. Broncos||42-28||Win||100||7 h 9 m||Show|
-Minnesota head coach Mike Zimmer is 14-3, including 5-0 in Week 1 of the preseason
-QB rotation of Kirk Cousins, Trevor Siemian and Kyle Sloter has a big edge in this game
-Vikings HC Zimmer: “I have a plan. They have a good sense of urgency to move forward.”
-Denver won’t play their veterans all that much; plan is to play young guys and stay injury free
-QB rotation of Paxton Lynch and Chad Kelly will see the majority of action; weak duo
-Broncos HC Vance Joseph: “We want to see if the young players can compete at a high level.”
9* Play VIKINGS.
|08-10-18||Falcons v. Jets -3.5||0-17||Win||100||8 h 40 m||Show|
-Atlanta won’t be playing their veterans all that much; plan is to play young guys and evaluate
-QB rotation of Kurt Benkert and Garrett Grayson will see the majority of action; weak duo
-Falcons HC Quinn: “We are really committed to playing the rookies and the first-year guys.”
-New York is playing their opening preseason game with purpose; 3-way QB battle ensures that
-QB rotation of Josh McCown, Teddy Bridgwater and Sam Darnold has a big edge in this game
-Jets HC Todd Bowles: “Everybody on that field dressed better be ready to play.”
9* Play JETS (-).
|08-09-18||Rams v. Ravens -3||7-33||Win||100||5 h 10 m||Show|
-Los Angeles is playing in their first preseason game; plan is to play young guys and evaluate
-QB rotation of Sean Mannion and Brandon Allen will see the majority of action; weak duo
-Rams HC McVay: “It’s definitely going to be a different approach in the first preseason game”
-Baltimore will be playing their 2nd preseason game; starters are expected to play multiple series
-QB rotation of Joe Flacco, Robert Griffin III and Lamar Jackson has a big edge over the Rams
-Ravens OC Mornhinweg: “I’m so excited. I’m out of my mind. I can’t wait for this game.”
9* Play RAVENS (-).
|08-02-18||Bears v. Ravens -2||16-17||Loss||-105||6 h 54 m||Show|
-Chicago has a new coaching staff, and in their first preseason game together, expect caution
-QB rotation of Chase Daniel and Tyler Bray will see the majority of action; not preseason stars
-Bears head coach Matt Nagy: “We won’t really do any game planning at all.”; glorified practice
-Baltimore head coach John Harbaugh is 9-1 ATS with the Ravens in Week 1 of the preseason
-QB rotation of Robert Griffin III and Lamar Jackson is perfect for preseason games
-Ravens head coach John Harbaugh: “We’re all set. We just go do it. We want to win.”
9* Play RAVENS (-).
|08-31-17||Seahawks -2.5 v. Raiders||17-13||Win||100||7 h 19 m||Show|
NFL teams go about preseason games in different ways. Some teams will just go thru the motions, and others actually use the games to prepare them for the regular season. It all depends on the coach’s philosophy. Seattle head coach Pete Carroll has reverted back to his winning ways in the preseason. The Seahawks are a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS this preseason, winning those games by a combined score of 94-43. Overall, Seattle is 21-10 SU in thirty-one preseason games under Carroll, including a solid 5-2 SU in Week 4 of the preseason. “This will be a game of a lot of opportunity for guys to play,” Carroll said. “This is a really exciting game. I can’t wait to get out there and see these guys go and see what they show us and all that. Don’t mistake it for being an unimportant game. Jobs are on the line Thursday.”
Oakland head coach Jack Del Rio does not care about winning games in the preseason. Del Rio is just 2-9 SU in eleven preseason games with the Raiders, including 0-3 SU this season. Del Rio has already stated that none of his starters will play in this game, and his intentions for the team are very clear. “We’ll get our last look at guys we have to make decisions on,” Del Rio said. “That’s really what the last game ends up being about. We understand the challenges we’ll face with this schedule that we have starting on the road in Tennessee, so the bottom line is we’re going to be very diligent in finishing our preparation this week for the Titans” Seattle also has a significant quarterback rotation edge in this game with Trevone Boykin and Austin Davis in a spirited battle for the backup spot. We’ll back Seattle in this game on Thursday night.
9* Play SEAHAWKS (-).
|08-27-17||49ers v. Vikings -6||31-32||Loss||-110||8 h 7 m||Show|
NFL teams go about preseason games in different ways. Some teams will just go thru the motions, and others actually use the games to prepare them for the regular season. It all depends on the coach’s philosophy. San Francisco has a new head coach this season in Kyle Shanahan, and while he’s an exceptional offensive coordinator, he has zero experience as a head coach. That specific fact puts him and the 49ers at a huge disadvantage in tonight’s game against Minnesota’s Mike Zimmer, especially since this is the third preseason game which typically resembles a regular season game the most. San Francisco’s quarterback rotation of Brian Hoyer, C.J. Beathard and Matt Barkley is not a prototypical unit that has success in preseason games.
Minnesota head coach Mike Zimmer cares about winning games in the preseason. In fact, Zimmer is 13-2 SU in fifteen preseason games with the Vikings, including a perfect 3-0 SU in the third preseason game of the season. Zimmer was very clear of his intentions prior to the preseason games starting: “We want to be crisp, we want to look sharp and I want to see the things we’ve been practicing being taken to the game field.” The Vikings lost 20-13 in Seattle last week, and off that loss and with this being their most important preseason game, we expect a strong bounce back performance tonight at home. We’ll lay the points with Minnesota in this game on Sunday night.
9* Play VIKINGS (-).
|08-26-17||Bills v. Ravens -3.5||9-13||Win||100||7 h 24 m||Show|
NFL teams go about preseason games in different ways. Some teams will just go thru the motions, and others actually use the games to prepare them for the regular season. It all depends on the coach’s philosophy. Buffalo has a new head coach this season in Sean McDermott. He has zero experience as a head coach, so he’s at a huge disadvantage versus Baltimore’s John Harbaugh in this game, especially in a Week 3 situation. And this quote by McDermott prior to the preseason spoke clearly as to his intentions: “I know there’s a score and you want to win games,” he said. “That said, there are things that we want to see and the biggest thing for us is that we are fundamentally improving. There’s a journey.” The Bills are 0-2 in the preseason, and they’ll still be winless after tonight.
Baltimore head coach John Harbaugh cares about winning games in the preseason, especially in the first three weeks. In fact, Harbaugh is 26-12 SU in thirty-eight preseason games with the Ravens, including a solid 6-3 SU in Week 3 of the preseason. “We’ve just got a plan that we’re sticking with,” Harbaugh said when asked about tonight’s game against the Buffalo Bills. Baltimore also has the significant quarterback rotation in this game. The Ravens will play Ryan Mallett, and then a combination of Josh Woodrum and Thaddeus Lewis who have specific skills that dominate second and third string defenses in the preseason. Buffalo will trot out Tyrod Taylor early, but they’ll finish the game with a mix of Nathan Peterman and T.J. Yates. We’ll back Baltimore in this game on Saturday night.
9* Play RAVENS (-).
|08-19-17||Bears +3 v. Cardinals||24-23||Win||100||8 h 14 m||Show|
NFL teams go about preseason games in different ways. Some teams will just go thru the motions, and others actually use the games to prepare them for the regular season. It all depends on the coach’s philosophy. Chicago head coach John Fox cares about winning games in the preseason. In fact, Fox is 32-29 SU in sixty-one preseason games with three different teams. Chicago’s first-team offense was bad last week, especially quarterback Mike Glennon, so expect a much improved performance tonight: “I can’t wait to get to Arizona,” said Glennon. “We developed some rhythm during the week in practice. A lot of things that we struggled with in the first game, we’re looking to correct those.” Rookie QB Mitchell Trubisky was terrific last week, so expect him to shine in the second half against Arizona’s backup defense.
Arizona head coach Bruce Arians does not care about winning games in the preseason. Arians is just 8-10 SU in preseason games. Arians calls the offensive plays in the regular season, but he doesn't for the first few preseason games. That job goes to quarterback coach Byron Leftwich who has very little experience in doing so. The Cardinals’ starters will only be on the field for about 20 plays: “Once we get to the game it’s more about getting in shape,” Arians said. That direct quote says everything about Arizona’s mindset for tonight. We’ll back Chicago in this game on Saturday night.
9* Play BEARS (+).