|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|01-20-19||Patriots +3 v. Chiefs||37-31||Win||100||141 h 32 m||Show|
When we first look at these two AFC teams we see two offensively explosive clubs. You have the highest scoring team in the NFL in the Chiefs and the Bill Belichick offense of the Patriots. However, what I am looking at here today is very cold weather. Right now the weather for this game on the 20th is going to be in the low teens, around 14 degrees. The winds should be too bad though, anywhere from 4 to 7 mph. Still, cold weather makes it much more challenging to score points. We have Brady and Bellichick once again in the title game. They rolled by one of the best road teams in the playoffs last week in the Chargers. Now they face rookie and likely NFL MVP Patrick Mahomes. If there is one thing the Patriots have done and done well is win these types of games. Now, you are giving Brady points? That's too much for me to pass on. I'm taking the Patriots and these points as I fully expect them to what they have been doing for years now, win big games. Play New England.
|01-19-19||Houston v. South Florida +6.5||69-60||Loss||-108||20 h 46 m||Show|
American Athletic Association matchup here today has No 21 Houston playing at South Florida. Houston is 17-1 S/U and 11-6 ATS on the season. The Cougars are 4-1 S/U in conference play, but have covered just one of their last three games. The South Florida Bulls are looking for the upset of their conference rivals here today. The Bulls have covered 11 of their 16 games this season. The have also covered their last five games (all in conference) and nine of their last 10 overall. In addition, the Bulls are 12-3-1 ATS their last 16 against a team with a .600 or higher win percentage. Getting 6.5-points here with the home South Florida club. I won't be surprised with an outright upset either. But we'll take the points. Play South Florida.
|01-19-19||Virginia +2 v. Duke||70-72||Push||0||18 h 46 m||Show|
Great top 5 matchup here on Saturday as No 4 Virginia travels to take on No 1 Duke. Virginia 16-0 S/U, 12-3 ATS has the nation's top scoring defense at just over 50 ppg. Only one team has cracked 60 points in the team's last nine games and that was a 100-64 win over Marshall. The scoring defense is the big reason this team has covered its last seven games. In addition, the team is 21-8 ATS in the last 29 road games. Duke is the nation's top ranked team and will get its biggest test here today. Duke could lost that top ranked spot as they are coming off a home loss to Syracuse, 91-95 as 17-point home favorites. The club also lost back on November 21 in a tournament game to Gonzaga, 87-89. The dog has covered the last six in this series. The road team is also 20-6-1 ATS the last 27 meetings and the Cavaliers are 13-2-1 ATS their last 16 meetings with Duke. Take Virginia here on Saturday.
|01-19-19||Arkansas v. Ole Miss -6.5||67-84||Win||100||13 h 47 m||Show|
The Arkansas Razorbacks have had issues covering spreads. Not only are the hogs 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall, but they are 1-4 ATS their last five vs the conference and 5-15-1 ATS their last 21 games following an ATS loss. Not so for Ole Miss, which is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games overall, 6-1 ATS in the last seven home games and 4-1 ATS in the last five vs the conference. Arkansas is also on a 3-game losing streak allowing 106 points to Tennessee and 94 to LSU. Ole Miss is off a home loss to LSU, so I look for them to be even more motivated to give the home crown something to shout about. Play Mississippi.
|01-19-19||Illinois-Chicago +2.5 v. Green Bay||85-90||Loss||-108||13 h 47 m||Show|
Horizon League action has a pair of 9-10 teams facing off today as Illinois Chicago takes on Wisconsin Green Bay. Illinois Chicago Flames are 24-9 ATS their last 33 games vs a team with a losing record. The Flames have covered two of their last three games. Green Bay Phoenix are 0-5 ATS in their last five games, all of those coming in conference play. The Flames are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven meetings with the Phoenix and 3-0-1 ATS their last four at Green Bay. I'm taking the points with the visitor here. Play Illinois Chicago.
|01-19-19||Michigan -2.5 v. Wisconsin||54-64||Loss||-115||12 h 48 m||Show|
No 2 Michigan could easily be the nation's top team after this weekend with Duke losing last time out to Syracuse. The Wolverines are 17-0 S/U and 9-7 ATS this season. Michigan has covered all four conference games this season. Wisconsin is 11-6 S/U and 8-8 ATS on the season. The Badgers are just 1-3 S/U and ATS in the Big 10 so far. The Wolverines are also 21-7-1 ATS their last 29 road games and 25-7-1 their last 33 games vs the Big 10. Michigan laying just 2 or 3 looks like a bargain to me. Play Michigan.
|01-18-19||Ohio v. Toledo -8.5||Top||52-75||Win||100||7 h 38 m||Show|
MAC play here tonight has Ohio (9-7 S/U, 4-11 ATS) playing on the road at Toledo (14-3 S/U 10-6 ATS). The Ohio Bobcats are just 1-3 so far in conference play both S/U and ATS. The Bobcats have not been a good covering team, having taken the money in just one of their last eight games. Meanwhile, the Toledo Rockets have had an excellent season at 14-3 S/U. The Rockets did start conference play on a bad note, losing their first two games. However, they have rebounded with two straight wins and covers. That makes seven of their last nine games they have covered. The Bobcats are now 5-15-1 ATS their last 21 games on the road. Toledo is 11-3 ATS their last 14 vs Ohio. I'm taking Toledo here tonight.
|01-17-19||BYU v. Pepperdine +4||Top||87-76||Loss||-109||12 h 32 m||Show|
BYU brings its 11-8 overall record on the road tonight to play Pepperdine. The Waves have a losing S/U record but a winning spread mark at 9-7. Additionally, they are 5-1 ATS at home this season. The Waves have also covered five of their last six overall. BYU is 7-11 ATS and that's because they are only 1-8 ATS on the road. In fact, going back to last season, BYU is now 1-11 ATS in their last 12 road games. Pepperdine is 9-2 ATS their last 11 games vs BYU and 7-0 ATS at Pepperdine. Play Pepperdine.
|01-17-19||UC-Santa Barbara -1.5 v. UC-Davis||69-58||Win||100||11 h 32 m||Show|
Santa Barbara having a excellent season at 13-3 S/U and 9-5 ATS. The Gouchos have won five straight, including both of their Big West games. The Gouchos take to the road tonight for the first time since December 19th to play a very poor UC Davis team. Not only is Davis 4-12 S/U, but they are just 4-10 ATS. The Aggies have also lost both Big West games and five of their six overall. The Aggies are also 1-6 ATS at home their last seven games. Meanwhile, the Gouchos are a nifty 14-5 ATS their last 19 road games. Santa Barbara is now 7-2 their last 9 at Davis and 13-6-1 their last 20 meetings overall. Play Santa Barbara tonight.
|01-16-19||Butler v. DePaul +3||87-69||Loss||-110||20 h 54 m||Show|
Big East conference action has Butler playing at Depaul. Butler is 10-7 S/U and 7-10 ATS on the season and 1-3 S/U and 2-2 in Big East play. The Bulldogs are also just 1-4 ATS in their last five road games and 2-6 ATS in their last eight vs the Big East. Meanwhile, the Depaul Blue Demons are 10-5 S/U and 7-6 ATS on the season. Depaul opened with a pair of conference losses and has since won two straight in conference. The Blue Demons have also covered three straight games. Depaul is also 5-1 ATS in their last six vs the Big East. Home dog here in Depaul. My numbers say this game is even at worst and that puts me on the home team here tonight. Play Depaul
|01-16-19||South Carolina +3.5 v. Vanderbilt||74-71||Win||100||18 h 25 m||Show|
SEC Action has 8-7 South Carolina at 9- 6 Vanderbilt. The Gamecocks are just 5-7 ATS on the season. South Carolina is 3-0 both S/U and ATS this season in conference play. In addition, they are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games. Plus, the Gamecocks are 6-2-1 ATS their last nine road games. Meanwhile, the Commadores are just 8-18 ATS their last 26 home games and 14-32 ATS their last 46 games overall. Vandy is 0-3 to start conference play. Hard to pass on the points in this one with the road team. The Gamecocks are playing excellent and have proven they cover games on the road. Play South Carolina.
|01-16-19||George Mason +1 v. Massachusetts||68-63||Win||100||18 h 25 m||Show|
Atlantic 10 conference play tonight as George Mason plays at U Mass. George Mason is 9-8 S/U and 8-8 ATS on the season. The Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 conference games. U Mass looks to snap a four game losing streak here tonight. The Minutemen are also 0-3 to start conference play. U Mass is 0-4 ATS in their last four home games and 1-6 ATS at home this season. I look for George Mason to win this one tonight. Play George Mason.
|01-15-19||Davidson -4 v. St. Joe's||Top||60-61||Loss||-109||23 h 21 m||Show|
Davidson is having an excellent season as the team is off to a 12-4 overall mark and 3-0 conference start. The club has won three straight games. St Joe's is not having a good season with just a 7-9 overall mark and 0-4 record to start Atlantic-10 play. The Davidson Wildcats are 3-0 in conference play for the first time since joining the A-10 in 2014-15. Davidson also ranks 9th nationally in free throw percentage. St Joe's will try and snap that four game losing streak tonight. The Hawks are also just 1-7 ATS their last eight games. That includes home losses to George Washington (56-70, 12-point favorite), 60-85 to George Mason (7-point favorite) and a 26-point loss at St Bonaventure as a 1.5-point dog. This is not a good Hawks team and now they face one of the best in the Atlantic-10. Lay the points with Davidson
|01-15-19||South Florida +11.5 v. Cincinnati||74-82||Win||100||21 h 23 m||Show|
American Athletic Conference play here tonight has South Florida at Cincinnati. South Florida is 11-5 S/U and 10-5 ATS on the season. But most important, the Bulls are a perfect 5-0 ATS on the road. USF is 2-2 S/U and 4-0 ATS so far in conference play. They are coming off an OT loss at Temple, 80-82 as 9-point dogs. Cincinnati is 14-3 S/U and 8-9 ATS on the season. The Bearcats are 0-3 ATS in their last three games, all conference matchups. The Bearcats lone conference loss came at East Carolina, 71-73 as 17.5-point favorites. The Bearcats have very much under performed when it comes to the spread this year. You have to look no further than their last three games including that East Carolina contest. Meanwhile, South Florida has been great for bettors. I'm taking the points here on Tuesday with the Bulls. Play South Florida.
|01-15-19||Ball State v. Bowling Green -1||78-79||Push||0||21 h 22 m||Show|
MAC action here on Tuesday has Ball State at Bowling Green. Ball State will try to snap a two game S/U and ATS skid. The Cardinals are 10-6 on the season and 1-2 in MAC play. Ball State will play four of the next five conference games on the road beginning with tonight's contest. Bowling Green brings a seven game win streak into today's contest. The Falcons have also won eight of the last 10 games in this series with the Cardinals. This is the first time in Bowling Green history that the school has started 3-0 in conference play. This will be the only time these clubs meet this regular season and I like the team that his hot here. That's Bowling Green.
|01-14-19||Baylor +4 v. Oklahoma State||73-69||Win||100||11 h 4 m||Show|
The Baylor Bears are 9-6 S/U and 8-6 ATS so far this season. The Bears are 1-2 in conference play and off a loss at home to ranked Kansas, 68-73. Still, the Bears have covered four of their last five overall and are 6-0 ATS their last six following a S/U loss. The Oklahoma State Cowboys are 8-8 S/U and 6-10 ATS on the season. The Cowboys lost their first two conference games and then won their last two for a 2-2 Big 12 record. The bad news is that OK State has covered just two of their last 10 games. Plus, the Cowboys are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games. You might think the Cowboys are playing with revenge in this one considering they have lost six straight to Baylor. However, at which loss does the revenge factor kick in? No, the Bears have covered 5 of seven at Oklahoma State and that's what I expect to see again here tonight. Play Baylor.
|01-14-19||Florida State v. Pittsburgh +4.5||62-75||Win||100||20 h 11 m||Show|
ACC action today has Florida State playing at Pittsburgh. FSU is 13-3 on the season but just 1-2 in conference play. They Seminoles coming off a loss at home to Duke, 78-80, though they covered the 7.5-point spread. The Seminoles are just 1-3 ATS their last four and 2-9-1 ATS their last 12. Pittsburgh is 11-5 S/U on the season and 13-3 ATS. The Panthers are also 1-2 in ACC play, but 2-1 vs the number. The Panthers have covered nine of their last 11 games. Pitt bis also 40-17 ATS their last 57 in conference and 38-13 ATS their last 51 over. Pitt has covered four of the last five vs FSU and that's what I look for again here today. Take Pitt.
|01-13-19||Blazers v. Nuggets -4.5||113-116||Loss||-110||8 h 13 m||Show|
Portland looks to gain some ground here tonight on Northwest division leader Denver. The Nuggets are 28-13 and in first place in the division while the Blazers are 26-17 and in third place. This is one of the more competitive divisions in the NBA with four of the five teams above .500 and the other just one game under. The Blazers have won four straight and six of their last seven. Denver is off a loss at Phoenix, 93-102, but before that won seven of eight and covered four of five. The Blazers are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games while the Nuggets are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 having no rest. Denver is 3-0-1 their last four vs the Blazers. I look for Denver to cover this one too. Play Denver.
|01-13-19||Rockets -6 v. Magic||Top||109-116||Loss||-103||6 h 13 m||Show|
The Rockets have been a very good friend to bettors this year, going 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games. They are also 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 times they are playing with one day rest. The Magic are playing in a back-to-back spot here today and while that works for deeper teams, not for the Magic. The Magic are not deep enough and it shows in their 2-5 ATS record the last seven times in this spot. The Magic are also 0-6 ATS in their last six games against the Western Conference. I'm taking the Rockets to cover here on Sunday. Play Houston.
|01-13-19||IUPU Ft Wayne -1.5 v. South Dakota||73-87||Loss||-110||2 h 8 m||Show|
Summit League action here on Sunday has IPFW at South Dakota. IPFW is having an excellent season, not only are they 12-7 overall but 4-0 both S/U and ATS in conference play. South Dakota not having such a good season at 7-9 S/U and 5-8 ATS. The Coyotes are 1-2 in Summit League play and have not covered any of their last five games and just one of their last seven games. The Coyotes have also lost three of their last four home games. That makes this a better play for me on the road team. Take Purdue Fort Worth today.
|01-13-19||Chargers v. Patriots -4||28-41||Win||100||71 h 46 m||Show|
This is a bad spot for the Chargers. First, another cross country trip. Last week it was to Baltimore then back home then back to New England for this week's game. That's not the only reason for the selection the weather will not be what the Chargers are used to. The high will be in the 20's and the low in the teens with a 10% chance of some snow. Meanwhile, HC Bill Belichick and team have had a week off to prepare. They have outscored opponents at home this year by 16 points a game. The reign of Bellichick and Brady will soon be coming to an end as father time creeps up on them. But in this matchup, I have to go with Belichick against head coach Anthony Lynn of the Chargers. I just think the line is too short and I might get shorter so I'm going with the New England Patriots to win this game by a touchdown or more. Take New England.
|01-12-19||Arizona -8 v. California||87-65||Win||100||11 h 35 m||Show|
Arizona is 12-4 S/U and 7-7 on the season while Cal has struggled to a 5-10 S/U mark and 5-10 ATS mark. Arizona has opened PAC-12 play with three wins and stands at 3-0. The WildCats are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five road games and 5-1 ATS in their last six vs the PAC-12. Cal has lost four straight and five of six. The Bears are 0-3 in PAC-12 play and have lost each of their three conference games by at least nine points. The Bears are also 1-6 ATS in their last seven games. The road team has covered the last five in this series and I like Arizona a lot here tonight.
|01-12-19||Cowboys +7.5 v. Rams||22-30||Loss||-119||8 h 22 m||Show|
This game will feature the two best running backs in the league with the Cowboys Ezekiel Elliot and the Rams Todd Gurley. The Cowboys held off the Seahawks last week at home, 24-22 while the Rams had a week off to rest. Dallas QB Dak Prescot insists his health is good despite coming up limping in a TD run vs the Seahawks lasta week. Pro Bowler Jared Goff could be in the running for MVP this year with Patrick Mahomes of the Chiefs. Though Goff finished the season with a three-game slump by his standards. The Rams led the NFC in points per game and total yards this season. The Rams defense has been suspect despite some huge names on the unit. I have to give a big edge to the Rams offense here, but the Cowboys defense is better and this time of year I like defenses. I'm going to take the points with the Cowboys and see if their defense can keep them close and possibly pull the upset win.
|01-12-19||Wichita State v. Houston -11||Top||70-79||Loss||-109||8 h 6 m||Show|
Wichita State not having a season up to their own standards as they are just 7-7 S/U and 5-9 ATS on the season. In addition, the Shockers are 1-6 ATS their last seven games and have lost both of their American Athletic conference games so far. Today won't get any better as they play at 15-1 Houston. The Cougars are also 10-5 ATS on the season. They are coming off their first loss of the season at Temple, 69-71. Still, the Cougars are 20-8-2 ATS their last 30 games overall. Houston should bounce back here today at home and crush the Shockers. Play Houston.
|01-12-19||Colts +6 v. Chiefs||13-31||Loss||-115||125 h 24 m||Show|
The Colts were my biggest play in the NFL Wild Card round of the playoffs and they didn't dissapoint with a dominating performance over the Texans. I believe that this Colts team right now might be the best team in the playoffs. They have a great QB in Andrew Luck, they have a excellent rushing attack with Mack and the defense is playing excellent. As for the Chiefs, yes they were arguably the best team this year in the NFL and have maybe the MVP at QB in Patrick Mahomes. But this team has a horrible defense, one that the Colts should be able to score on easily with their balanced attack. Plus, without Hunt in the backfield, this isn't the same dynamic team we saw earlier int the season. I'm sorry, but 6 points is just many points to give what I see as the best team in the playoffs right now in the Colts. Play Indianapolis in what I believe is an outright Shocker straight-up win!
|01-11-19||Wright State v. Northern Kentucky -5||64-68||Loss||-105||9 h 37 m||Show|
Horizon League action today has Wright State playing at Northern Kentucky. Wright State is trying to get back to .500 as they sit at 8-9 on the season and 6-8 ATS. The Raiders are just 2-2 in Horizon league play, but are coming off a win at Oakland last time out, 89-73. Today, they face arguably the best team in the conference in Northern Kentucky. The Norse are 13-4 S/U and 6-9 ATS. NKU is 3-1 in conference play with their one loss at Oakland, 74-75. The Norse have covered three of their four conference games. They are also 17-8-1 ATS their last 26 at home vs a team with a losing road record. The Raiders are just 5-12 ATS their last 17 vs a team with a win percentage greater than 60%. Northern Kentucky shouldn't have much problems here tonight with this struggling Wright State team. Play Northern Kentucky.
|01-10-19||Thunder v. Spurs +1.5||147-154||Win||100||7 h 16 m||Show|
The Spurs have been doing very good for bettors, going 15-5-1 ATS their last 21 games and 35-17 ATS their last 52 home games. They are also 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games vs a winning road team and 9-2-1 ATS their last 12 vs the Western Conference. The Spurs have also covered four of the last five against the Thunder. The Thunder have lost two straight both S/U and ATS. They lost at Washington 98-116 and then last game at Minnesota, 117-119. Now we get the Spurs as a dog here? They are just too good a covering team to give the Spurs points at home. Play San Antonio.
|01-10-19||Murray State -12.5 v. Tennessee-Martin||98-77||Win||100||6 h 12 m||Show|
Murray State off to an excellent season with a 11-2 S/U mark and 8-3 ATS mark. The Racers are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games. Murray is 2-0 in Conference play and has scored 90 points or more in three straight games. Tennessee Martin hasn't fared so well, going 5-8 S/U and 1-10 ATS so far this season. The Skyhawks have lost four straight games and has covered one spread since December 1st. The Skyhawks have allowed 90 or more points in three of their last four games. The Hawks are now 7-19 AST in their last 26 games and 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games. Murray State much the better team here tonight. Play Murray State.
|01-10-19||Wofford +1.5 v. NC-Greensboro||72-43||Win||100||5 h 42 m||Show|
Both of these teams having excellent seasons. Wofford is 12-4 S/U and 7-6 ATS. Wofford has won three straight and six of their last seven. The Terriers are also 3-0 in Southern Conference play. This team can score, getting over 110 points in two games including Citadel a few nights ago. They have also scored 74 or more points in seven straight games. UNC Greensboro is 14-2 S/U and 6-7 ATS. The Spartans last loss coming on December 1 at Kentucky, 61-78. The Spartans are 0-2 ATS in their last two gamess and 2-6 ATS in their last eight. Wofford is 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 meetings with Greensboro. Take Wofford here tonight.
|01-09-19||Fresno State +6.5 v. Utah State||78-77||Win||100||7 h 9 m||Show|
Late action on the college hard court has Utah State hosting Fresno State in Mountain West action. Fresno is 11-3 S/U and 9-4 ATS and has won its first two conference games, beating San Jose on the road, 73-53, and then beating Colorado State at home, 78-67. The Bulldogs have covered five of their last seven games. Utah State is 11-4 S/U and 7-6 ATS on the season. The Aggies split their first two conference games, losing at Nevada 49-72 and then beating Air Force, 79-62. The Aggies are 0-3 ATS their last three and 1-5 ATS their last six. They are also 3-7 ATS their last 10 conference games. I like the points here with the visitor. Play Fresno State.
|01-09-19||Auburn v. Ole Miss +4||67-82||Win||100||5 h 9 m||Show|
SEC action here has Ole Miss hosting Auburn. Auburn is 11-2 S/U and 6-5 ATS on the season. The Tigers open SEC play tonight after a successful non-conference slate. The only issue is that the Tigers covered just one of their last six games. Ole Miss is also 11-2 S/U on the season and a very good 11-2 ATS. The Rebels are 6-1 ATS at home and are 1-0 in conference play after beating Vanderbilt in their conference opener, 81-71. The Rebs have covered seven straight games. Not only is the favorite 6-1 ATS the last seven meetings in this series, but the Rebels are 7-3 ATS the last 10 meetings at Mississippi. Take Ole Miss here tonight.
|01-08-19||Oklahoma +6.5 v. Texas Tech||59-66||Loss||-110||23 h 29 m||Show|
Oklahoma has been a very good covering team for bettors, going 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 overall games and 4-0-1 in their last five road games vs a team with a winning record. Can't say the same of the Texas Tech Red Raiders, who are 0-4 ATS their last four, 1-4 ATS in their last five home games and 0-8-1 ATS their last nine vs the Big 12 conference. Oklahoma is 12-2 S/U and 12-1 ATS on the season and their only losses came against Kansas to open Big 12 play and in a tourney game back in November against Wisconsin. Texas Tech is 13-1 S/U on the season, they just haven't been able to cover spreads. They are 2-0 in conference play with wins over West Virginia and Kansas State. I'll take the points here with the road team on Tuesday. Play Oklahoma.
|01-08-19||Eastern Michigan v. Ball State -11.5||Top||84-82||Loss||-108||21 h 28 m||Show|
Eastern Michigan Eagles have not been a bettors friend of late, going just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games and 0-6 ATS in their last six road games. The Eagles are now 6-8 S/U on the season and opened MAC play with a loss at home to Buffalo, 58-74. Their only cover of the year came against Boston University back on Nov 17th. Ball State doesn't have that problem, going 9-4 ATS on the season and 10-4 S/U. The Cardinals have won four straight and nine of their last 10 games and have covered four straight and six of seven. Ball State opened MAC play with a nice road win at Toledo, 79-64 as a 4.5-point dog. Look for Ball State to put this EMU team away easily here today. This is my blowout winner of the day. Play Ball State.
|01-08-19||Tennessee v. Missouri +8||87-63||Loss||-105||21 h 28 m||Show|
Tennessee opened SEC conference play with a resounding win over Georgia, 96-50. The Volunteers are now 12-1 S/U and 6-5 ATS this season and have covered two straight games. The Volunteers have played only one true road game this season and that was a win at Memphis, 102-92. Missouri brings a 9-3 S/U record into today's contest with a 5-5 ATS mark. The Tigers have won six straight games since a loss to Temple back in November. They are also 4-1-1 ATS their last six games. Home court has played a difference in this matchup, with the host going 6-1 ATS. I'm taking the home team again here today in Missouri.
|01-07-19||Lakers v. Mavs -8||107-97||Loss||-105||9 h 10 m||Show|
The Lakers have been in a bit of a slump recently, losing three straight both S/U and ATS. They are coming off one of their worst losses of the season, a 86-108 setback at Minnesota. That on the heals of a pair of home losses. Part of the issue is that normally healthy Lebron James is out indefinitely with a groin issue. Plus, Rajon Rondo is also out with a finger problem. Two of their experienced players, both out. Dallas is 18-21 on the season and in third place in the Southwest division. The Mavs haven't been winning much, in fact just three times in their last 13 games. However, they have been covering, going 7-2 ATS their last nine games. The Lakers just aren't a team I can get behind without James in the lineup. While I don't like laying points with the Mavs, I will tonight against this reeling LA club. Play Dallas.
|01-07-19||Alabama v. Clemson +6||16-44||Win||100||128 h 41 m||Show|
I can make a case for either team in this Championship game. Both are great teams, both have great offenses and top defenses. Though I do give a slight edge on defense to the Clemson Tigers and an edge in QB to Alabama. Still, this should be a great contest to watch. These teams have met each of the last three seasons with Alabama taking two of the games and Clemson one game. Before that you have to go back to 2008 and before that you have to go all the way back to 1975 for the previous meeting. The Tigers have played great on neutral fields,d going 13-3 ATS their last 16 games. The Tide are 7-2 in their last nine vs the ACC, but just 1-5 ATS their last six times playing in January. I like the points here with this great Clemson defense. I look for a close, defensive game and when I can take 6 to 7 points with this kind of defense, I will. Play Clemson and enjoy the show.
|01-06-19||St Bonaventure v. George Mason -5||53-68||Win||100||4 h 8 m||Show|
St Bonnys has lost four straight games heading into today's contest. They are also 1-3 ATS. In fact, Bonny's has covered just four of their last 11 games. Today is St Bonny's first Atlantic 10 conference game of the year at George Mason. George Mason opened conference play with a win over St Joe's, 85-60. It was the teams fifth win in the last seven games. In addition, GM has covered four straight and five of six games. I'm taking George Mason here today.
|01-06-19||Nets -2.5 v. Bulls||117-100||Win||100||4 h 43 m||Show|
Early game today on the NBA Slate has the Nets playing at the Bulls. Brooklyn is 19-21 on the season and in fourth place in the Atlantic Division. The Nets have won two straight games both S/U and ATS. The Bulls are in 4th place in the Central division with a 10-29 record. The Bulls have lost three straight games but covered five of their last seven games. The Nets have been good vs the number, going 11-4 ATS their last 15 games and 7-3 ATS their last 10 vs the Eastern conference. They are also 6-1 ATS their last seven games vs a team with a S/U losing record. The Bulls are only 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 vs the Atlantic Division. The Nets have covered the last four in this series and are 5-2 ATS their last seven games in Chicago. Take the Nets.
|01-06-19||Chargers +3 v. Ravens||23-17||Win||100||88 h 26 m||Show|
Baltimore survived a scare last week, barely getting by Cleveland and earning a spot in the playoffs this week. Cleveland was driving for what could have been a winning field goal, but they came up short on downs and the Ravens are in and the Steelers were out. The Ravens won their last three games, but covered just two of those. Statistically, the defense is the best in the league, but the Chargers aren't far behind at number 9. These teams have met only twice before this season in the last 10 years, with the Ravens winning in 2015, 29-26 and the Chargers winning ijn 2014, 34-33. The Chargers covering both those games. The meeting this season was just two weeks ago and resulted in a Ravens win and cover, 22-10. The Chargers had their best season since a 13-3 finish in 2009 despite opening the season 1-2. Lamar Jackson replaced Joe Flacco seven weeks ago and closed the season with a 6-1 record behind Jackson. With two good defenses and equal offenses, I expect this to be a close game. However, with Rivers experience in the playoffs that's a big edge over Jackson. I'll take the small points here with the Chargers.
|01-05-19||Wyoming v. UNLV -12.5||56-68||Loss||-107||11 h 20 m||Show|
Wyoming did not have a successful non-conference schedule, going 4-9 S/U and 2-10 ATS. They opened Mountain West play with a home loss to Boise Stae, 55-69, making them 4-10 and 2-11. Now they go to UNLV tonight to face the Rebels. UNLV was 7-6 S/U and 4-4 ATS and opened conference play with a home win over Colorado State, 78-76. Their play has not been all that good, but they do show flashes of being a good team. However, tonight they should have no issues with a very bad Wyoming squad. Normally don't like laying double-digits with this unpredictable UNLV team, but tonight they should have no problems covering. Take UNLV.
|01-05-19||Seahawks +2 v. Cowboys||22-24||Push||0||72 h 37 m||Show|
The Seahawks enter today's contest at Dallas winners of six of their last seven games. They are also one of the better covering teams, going 5-2-1 ATS their last eight games and 8-3-1 ATS their last 12 games. The Hawks are also 4-1 ATS in their last five away games. The Cowboys won at the Giants on Sunday in a meaningless game, 36-35. Meanwhile, the Cowboys are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 playoff games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs a winning road team. Getting a few points here with the Hawks, but I look for an outright win vs the Cowboys. Play Seattle.
|01-05-19||Colts +2 v. Texans||Top||21-7||Win||100||68 h 57 m||Show|
Indianapolis won their big game with the Titans on Sunday night to earn their spot into today's playoff game. The Colts are playing very well, winners of four straight and nine of their last 10 games. The Colts offense has also been very good behind QB Andrew Luck, now ranked 7th in the NFL. The Colts defense is also solid at No 11 in the NFL. As for Houston, they have the no 12 defense and the No 15 offense. Houston closed out their season with an easy win on Sunday against the punchless Jaguars, 20-3. Still, the team has lost two of their last four games including at home to these Colts, 21-24 four weeks ago. The Colts are now 5-0-1 in their last six meetings in Houston and 8-2-3 overall vs the Texans the last 13 meetings. The road team is also 7-1-2 the last 10 meetings. I like the Colts here plus the points.
|01-03-19||Louisiana Tech +4.5 v. North Texas||59-63||Win||100||6 h 28 m||Show|
La Tech opened conference USA play with a win over Southern Miss, 71-56. The Bulldogs are now 11-3 S/U and 6-6 ATS on the season. Tech has won seven straight games and is 4-2 ATS their last six games. North Texas State is 14-1 S/U to start the season and opened conference play with a win over Rice, 103-87. The Mean Green only loss of the season coming on November 27 at Oklahoma, 57-73. NTS is 0-4 ATS in its last four home games. La Tech is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings with North Texas. I like the points here today with the road team. Play Louisiana Tech.
|01-03-19||Siena -2 v. St. Peter's||60-65||Loss||-105||5 h 28 m||Show|
Metro Atlantic conference play begins today for both these teams in what is now an early game today in a time change. Siena finished their non-conference schedule with a 5-8 record and a 7-6 ATS mark. The Saints covered three of their last four games and are off a win over Cal Poly, 75-54. St Peters enters conference play with a 3-9 S/U and 4-7 ATS mark. The Peacocks snapped a five-game losing streak with an OT win last game over Hampton, 83-80. Still, this is not a very good team with just wins over Lafayette, Main and Hampton - ALL three wins coming in Overtime. St Peters is now 1-4 ATS in their last five home games. Siena is 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games. I like the visitor here today. Play Siena.
|01-03-19||Northern Kentucky v. Oakland +4||74-76||Win||100||5 h 27 m||Show|
Northern Kentucky continues their Horizon conference play here today after opening with a pair of wins over IUPIU and then Illinois Chicago. The Norse have won fou8r straight games and are now 12-3 S/U on the season with a 5-8 ATS mark. Oakland has played just three home games this entire season with a 6-9 overall record and 7-7 ATS mark. In fact, this will be the Golden Grizzlies first home game since November 19th. The Grizzlies have played eight straight away games, winning their last two, both in conference play. The Grizzlies have covered four of the last five in this series. Getting points at home with Oakland here is too much to pass on. Play Oakland.
|01-02-19||Connecticut v. South Florida +2.5||68-76||Win||100||8 h 12 m||Show|
Two teams, both with nine wins in non-conference play, meet today in their first American Athletic Conference game. U Conn lost its last game on a neutral site to Villanova, 58-81. The Huskies didn't do well on the neutral site games, going 1-3 so far this season and 1-2-1 ATS. South Florida ended non-con play at 9-3 S/U and 6-5 ATS. The Bulls have won six straight games since their last loss to Citadel. U Conn hasn't done well on the road, evidenced by their 1-8 ATS mark their last nine games. They are also 2-7 ATS in their last nine conference games. As for the Bulls, they are 6-0 ATS in their last six games vs a team with a record of 60% or better. They are also 4-1 ATS in their last five conference games. South Florida getting a few points at home here is enough for me. I'm taking the home club plus the points. Play South Florida.
|01-01-19||Texas +13.5 v. Georgia||28-21||Win||100||22 h 30 m||Show|
What we find a lot in these bowl games is motivation to play. Some teams have key players sitting out as not to jeopardize their potential pro careers. Other teams have coaches moving on and some teams just are happy to be there. I have to wonder how much Georgia has their heart in this game today after finishing fifth in the playoff picture and watching Notre Dame get demolished by Clemson. After letting Alabama slip past them in the SEC Championship, Georgia can't be too happy with this spot in the Sugar Bowl against Texas. Georgia could very likely be the No 1 seed entering next season, but for today, I have to think the points here are the way to go. Georgia is a great team and could have been a National Champion this year, but as for this game. I just don't see their heart being in it. Take the big points with Texas.
|01-01-19||Washington v. Ohio State -6.5||23-28||Loss||-105||18 h 46 m||Show|
Ohio State returns to their 15th Rose Bowl today as they take on Pac-12 Champion Washington. Ohio State hasn't been to the Rose Bowl since 2010 when they beat Oreg0on, 26-17. There will be extra incentive here today as Ohio State HC Urban Meyer will retire after this game. Have to believe the team will want him to go out a winner. Washington also makes its 15th appearance in the Rose Bowl, but the last being in 2001 when they defeated Purdue, 34-24. Both these teams boast great offenses and that should be on display here today. My difference in this game is the emotions that Ohio State will play with as Meyer's says goodbye. One last hurrah for the Buckeyes and Urban Meyer here on Tuesday. Play Ohio State.
|01-01-19||LSU v. Central Florida +7.5||Top||40-32||Loss||-110||14 h 46 m||Show|
Once again I am looking for motivation in these bowl games. We have a disinterested SEC team in LSU going against a Central Florida team looking to make it two undefeated seasons in a row. Last season the UFC Knights completed their perfect season with a win over another SEC team in the Peach Bowl, beating Auburn 34-27. Can they do it again this year? UFC will be without their star QB in McKenzie Milton. Milton got hurt in the season finale. That means Darriel Mack Jr will be starting and he has been a very good fill-in. The big question is whether or not UFC can stop LSU. LSU isn't known as an offensive powerhouse, however they do play a physical game and that could hurt UFC. They do have Greg McCrae running the ball still, ask McCrae rushed for 1101 yards and 9 TD's on the season. I don't know if UFC can win outright here today, but I do know they will have enough to stay with the Tigers and that 7 1/2 points they are getting looks like a lot to me. Play Central Florida.
|12-31-18||NC State +7.5 v. Texas A&M||13-52||Loss||-129||26 h 9 m||Show|
Gator Bowl action in the late game today has 9-3 NC State playing against 19th ranked Texas A&M. NC State getting a TD here in this spot. The Wolfpack have been a very good bowl team, going 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 bowl visits. Texas A&M has an explosive offense, as we saw in their last game against LSU where they won 74-72. In fact, the Aggies have at least 38 points in each of their last three games. NC State can also put up the points, scoring 52, 34 and 58 in their last three games. The Wolfpack has the 28th ranked offense while A&M is ranked 20th. With both teams able to score in bunches here, I like taking the touchdown with the points. Take NC State.
|12-31-18||Creighton v. Providence -1.5||79-68||Loss||-122||5 h 51 m||Show|
Two very good teams clash here on New Year's eve as Creighton takes on Providence. Both teams start Big East play here today after successful non-conference campaigns. The Blue Jays ended non-con play with a 9-4 S/U and 6-6 ATS record. They did have notable losses to Ohio State, Gonzaga, Nebraska and Oklahoma - their really only big challengers. Providence lost to Michigan but did just beat Texas on the road, 71-65. The Friars finished 10-3 S/U and 7-5 ATS. Creighton is only 2-8 ATS in its last 10 vs the Big 10 and 1-6 ATS in the last seven overall road games. The Friars are 5-1 ATS in their last six vs the Big East and 5-1 ATS overall their last six. I like Providence here today at home.
|12-31-18||Virginia Tech +7.5 v. Cincinnati||31-35||Win||100||19 h 39 m||Show|
Cincinnati has not been a good bowl team in recent seasons, evidenced by their 2-7 ATS mark in their last nine bowls. That includes an 0-4-1 ATS mark their last five December games. Can't say that about the Virginia Tech Hokies, who are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 December games. Cincinnati does have the 24th ranked offense while Va Tech is ranked 49th. Cincinnati also has the 10th ranked defense with the Hokies coming in at 95th. Tech did ramp up the scoring their last two games of the season with 34 points against Virginia and 41 against Marshall. I expect an offensive oriented contest here today. Still, can't disregard how bad Cincy is in bowl games. I'm going to take the points with Virginia Tech.
|12-30-18||Bears v. Vikings -6||24-10||Loss||-101||7 h 33 m||Show|
This game comes down to one fact, if the vikings win they are in the playoffs. If they lose, they likely won't make the playoffs unless they get some help from the Redskins. The 11-4 Bears are in the playoffs and will host a game. They can get the second seed in the NFC if they beat the Vikings and the Rams lose to the 49ers. That scenario really isn't all that likely since I don't expect the Rams to lose to San Francisco. That could mean depending on the Rams score that the second half of this game is really going to see 2nd and 3rd stringers for the Bears. I'm taking the Vikings here as I fully expect to see the Bears resting players come the 2nd half. Play Minnesota.
|12-30-18||Drexel v. Hofstra -13.5||75-89||Win||100||6 h 58 m||Show|
Colonial Athletic contest here between the reeling Drexel Dragons and the very good Hofstra Pride. Drexel brings a three game losing streak into this contest and has also lost four of the last five. Hofstra opened conference play with a rout of Delaware, 91-46. The Dragons have won eight straight games and covered four straight and 10 of their 12 lines this season. This should be an easy cover for the home team, even with a line of 14.5-points. Take Hofstra.
|12-30-18||Oakland -4.5 v. Youngstown State||76-74||Loss||-108||4 h 57 m||Show|
Two teams both struggling meet up here on Sunday with 5-9 Oakland playing at 4-10 Youngstown State. Oakland Golden Grizzlies are 10-3-2 ATS in their last 15 road games vs a losing home team. Youngstown Penguins are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 overall and 0-5 ATS their last five vs the Horizon League. The road team has had the best of it in this series, going 8-3-1 ATS the last 12 meetings. Oakland is favored on the road for a reason, they are the better team. Play Oakland.
|12-30-18||Lions v. Packers -7.5||Top||31-0||Loss||-108||46 h 4 m||Show|
This last week of the NFL regular season you have to look past numbers and figures and look for what motivates a team in this week. Some teams have the playoffs to look forward, while others (like these two) teams are just playing out the season. So why do I like my side so much here today? Simple. Aaron Rodgers has had a tough season. He's been injured, he's been hit hard all year and he's been without at times any decent receivers. This definitely not the type of season that Rodgers is used to having. I believe that he will want to finish this season strong and put his detractors doubts to rest. The Lions have one of the worst offenses in the NFL, they haven't been covering at all and Mathew Stafford has rumors surrounding him that he will be traded. Everything points to a Packers complete blowout here today. One of my favorite games of the season right here today is on the Packers.
|12-30-18||Dolphins v. Bills -5||17-42||Win||100||3 h 7 m||Show|
Anytime the warm weather Dolphins have to go to Upstate New York in late December to play - look at the weather. The Dolphins are notorious for not playing well in bad or cold weather. So what are we looking at here on Sunday in Buffalo? It's going to be in the mid to low 30's with a slight wind. No precipitation is expected, but it will be on the cool side. Josh Allen has looked very good for the Bills this season, especially running the ball. The Bills have one of the best defenses in the league to go with their young QB. The Dolphins have lost two straight and it's another year without making the playoffs for Miami. Bills looking for some playback here today as I expect them to beat the Dolphins.
|12-29-18||St. John's +3.5 v. Seton Hall||74-76||Win||100||9 h 30 m||Show|
Undefeated St Johns (12-0) takes on 9-3 Seton Hall here today. St John's isn't ranked because of the quality of their opponents. They did beat VCU in OT, Cal and Rutgers. However, none of those three are as good as they used to be. Seton Hall has won five straight since they had a two-game losing streak. The two teams they lost to were Miami Florida by 18 points and Louisville by five pints. Hard to not take an undefeated team getting points. My numbers have these teams about even, so I'll take the points here with St Johns.
|12-29-18||Oklahoma v. Alabama -13.5||Top||34-45||Loss||-110||115 h 17 m||Show|
The Orange Bowl will have No 1 Alabama vs No 4 Oklahoma for a spot in the finals of the Bowl Championship. The Crimson Tide is 10-4 S/U and 8-5-1 ATS in Bowls under Nick Saban. The Tide have been installed as a 14-point favorite here. Alabama had little trouble this season, beating eight teams that made it to the bowls postseason. The Tide were chalks of 21-points or more 11 times this season and still were 8-5 ATS. These are the two best offenses in the country, however, the big difference is on defense where Alabama is ranked 6th in the country and Oklahoma is ranked 109th. This is going to be the difference here today. The Tide will roll with the points and while Oklahoma is one of the best offensively, I don't see them staying with the Tide. The Sooners are just 3-9 ATS their last 12 neutral site games. I expect the Tide to roll into the Championship game here today. Play Alabama.
|12-29-18||Notre Dame v. Clemson -12||3-30||Win||100||52 h 28 m||Show|
The winner of this Cotton Bowl matchup between No2 Clemson and No 3 Notre Dame heads to the NCAA football championship game. This game comes down to the Irish offensive line against the great Clemson defensive line. Who controls this game will be key to a win here today. Clemson is only one of two teams who have a top five scoring offense and a top five scoring defense. While this is the fourth consecutive trip to the final four for Clemson, this will be the first for the Irish. Clemson has this stingy defense led by their line that allowed a nation's best 2.4 rushing yards per game. Clemson is led by RB Travis Etinne, who rushed for 1,464 yards this season and 21 TD's. I will be backing Clemson here today. I love their defense, have done so since day one of the season. I don't think the Irish will be able to establish the run and that means a Clemson win. Take Clemson.
|12-28-18||Thunder -5 v. Suns||118-102||Win||100||6 h 10 m||Show|
The OKC Thunder are just a half game back of Denver in the Western conference Northwest division. The Thunder look to snap a 2-game losing streak here tonight at Phoenix. They lost at Houston last game out, 109-113. The Thunder usually do well against losing teams, evidenced by their 9-3 ATS their last 12 vs teams with a .400 or below winning percentage. They also are off two days rest here and that's good for this team. They have covered their last five straight when having two days rest. The Suns are in last place in the West with a 9-26 overall record. They have done well recently though covering spreads, going 7-0 their last seven. Still, they are just 6-13 ATS their last 19 vs the West and 2-7 ATS vs the Northwest division. The Thunder have covered four of the last five in this series and that's what I look for them to do here tonight. Play Oklahoma City.
|12-28-18||Syracuse -1 v. West Virginia||34-18||Win||100||30 h 44 m||Show|
Syracuse ended their regular season with a win at Boston College, 42-21 as 7-point dogs. The Orange got shutdown by Notre Dame the week prior, but other than that game, Syraucse has scored at least 37 points in six of the last seven games. This will not be the same West Virginia squad that finished the regular season. QB Will Grier and OT Yodny Cajuste both opted to not play in this game and keep from possible injury as they both look forward to the NFL draft. That means QB Jack Allison will take over the starting duties. A far cry from one of the best QB's in the country that Grier had become. Considering that Syracuse is scoring a lot of points, I'm not sure West Virginia will be able to keep up against one of the best passing offenses in Syracuse. I'm taking Syracuse here as I don't even expect the rest of the West Virginia team to show up. Take Syracuse.
|12-27-18||76ers v. Jazz -5||114-97||Loss||-115||11 h 3 m||Show|
Philly having a good season off to a 22-13 start and in 2nd place in the Eastern Conference Atlantic division. The Sixers are 16-19 ATS on the season and 3-4 ATS in their last seven games. The Sixers in the 2nd game of a five game Western conference road stint. The Sixers play at Portland, LA and Phoenix to round out this West coast trip. Utah off to a 17-18 S/U and 17-17 ATS mark to start the season. They are in 4th place in the Western Conference Northwest division. The Jazz have won three of their last four games both S/U and ATS. The Sixers have not been a good road team in recent trips, going just 5-14 ATS in their last 19 away games. The Jazz are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings with the Sixers in Utah. That shows what a difficult place like Salt Lake City and it's high elevation can be to visitors from the East. I'm taking the Jazz here today.
|12-27-18||Miami-FL v. Wisconsin +2.5||3-35||Win||100||6 h 45 m||Show|
Miami closed out their season with a pair of wins over Virginia Tech and Pitt. However, prior to those two wins, the Hurricanes had lost four straight both S/U and ATS. Wisconsin ended the season with a loss at home to Minnesota, 15-37. The Badgers were also a bit shaky the second half of the season losing three of their last five games. The Canes have not been a very good bowl play in recent years, evidenced by their 1-6 ATS mark in their last seven bowls. In addition, they are 1-8 ATS in their last nine neutral site games and 1-5 ATS in their last six vs the Big 10. Miami doesn't have a very good offense, ranked just 93rd in the country, while Wisconsin ranks 43rd. Miami does have a very good defense, ranked 2nd in total yards with Wisconsin coming in at 40th. It's often difficult to determine which team is motivated in these meaningless bowl games. However, with the Cans having such a dismal bowl spread record, it appears they are not usually motivated. I'm taking Wisconsin here today.
|12-26-18||TCU v. California -1||10-7||Loss||-105||53 h 26 m||Show|
TCU has normally been known for their stellar defenses. While this year's edition might not be as good defensively, the offense has not been all that good - ranked just 94th in the country. The defense was a respectable 28th while Cal actually came in better at 16th. Though the Cal offense wasn't quite as good at 113th. The Cal defense held each of their last six opponents to 23 or less points. In fact, four of those were under 20. The offense is where they struggled, scoring more than 15 points just one time in their last five games. TCU also has some offensive problems, scoring 16 or less in three of their last four games and 17 or less in six of their last nine games. This game likely to be a low scoring affair and I'll take the better defensive team in this one. That's Cal.
|12-26-18||Nuggets v. Spurs -4||103-111||Win||100||5 h 10 m||Show|
Denver Nuggets atop the Western Conference Northwest division with a 21-10 record S/U and 19-12 ATS mark. The Nuggets are coming off a loss at the Clippers, 111-132. However, they had won and covered their previous four game before that. The Spurs are second in the Southwest division at 18-16 S/U and 18-15-1 ATS. The Spurs have been hot, going 7-2 S/U and ATS their last nine games. The Spurs have also been very good at home, going 22-8 ATS their last 30 games on their home court. The Spurs are 5-2 ATS their last seven meetings with the Nuggets and the favorite is 8-2 ATS the last 10 meetings. Take the Spurs here on Wednesday night.
|12-26-18||Pelicans v. Mavs -2||119-122||Win||100||5 h 10 m||Show|
New Orleans not playing up to their own standards so far this year at 15-19 S/U and 17-16 ATS. The Pelicans are averaging 116.3 ppg while allowing 115.4 ppg. The Pelicans have lost four straight games and are 1-3 ATS their last four and 6-10 ATS their last 16 games. The Mavericks are just 15-17 S/U this season and on a six game losing streak. However, the Mavs have covered two in a row. The Mavs have been good at home, going 10-2 ATS their last 12. The Pelicans are just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games. I'm playing Dallas here tonight.
|12-26-18||Minnesota v. Georgia Tech -5.5||Top||34-10||Loss||-101||50 h 41 m||Show|
Minnesota has not been good to bettors as they did not cover two games in a row since week 3 of the season. In fact, they were just 3-4 S/U the last seven weeks of the season. The offense ranked just 86th in the country has to go against a Georgia Tech offense that is 53rd. The Gophers were 64th defensively while Georgia Tech was 46th. Tech was 5-1 ATS in their last six December games and 4-0-1 ATS their last five neutral site games. Tech holds all the edges in this matchup and I look for a mismatch here as the Gophers just don't have enough to stay with a very good Yellow Jackets team. Play Georgia Tech.
|12-23-18||Chiefs v. Seahawks +2.5||31-38||Win||100||25 h 16 m||Show|
The Seahawks continue their playoff push today at home against the Chiefs. Seattle is 8-6 and right now has the top NFC Wild card spot. That means their playoff chances are in their hands. And really, they should make it with the Chiefs here at home today and the Cardinals visiting next week. Still, they would love to beat the Chiefs today. Every since Kansas City lost RB Hunt to his off-field issues, they have not looked like the team we saw earlier in the season. The Chiefs scored 27 in a win two weeks ago at home vs the Ravens and 28 in their loss last week at home to the Chargers. A far cry from the 40's and 50's we have become accustomed to seeing them score. The Chiefs have the second worst defense in the league and now face the fourth highest rated QB in Russel Wilson. The Chiefs have failed to cover the spread in their last five games. Meanwhile, the Seahawks are 4-1-1 ATS their last six overall. The Hawks are also 23-10-1 ATS their last 34 games in December. I see these teams heading in opposite directions right now. I'm taking the Seahawks here today.
|12-23-18||Texans v. Eagles -1.5||30-32||Win||100||18 h 56 m||Show|
The Philadelphia Eagles kept their playoff hopes alive with a huge win last week at the LA Rams, 30-23. QB Nick Foles started in place of injured Carson Wentz and just like he did last year at LA, pulled out the win. Can he do what he did last year and lead this team back into the playoffs? The Eagles have won three of their last four games and could easily be 4-0 if not for that OT loss at Dallas a few weeks ago. They play at home against Houston today and close out at Washington. Both games very winable. Baring a total collapse, the Texans should win the AFC South as they lead the Colts and Titans by two games with two to play. Houston plays at Philly today and then closes at home against Jacksonville next week. The Texans have not done very well on real grass, going 2-8 ATS their last 10. In addition, they are just 1-8-1 ATS their last 10 games in December. The Eagles are 7-2 ATS their last nine at home vs a winning road team. This game has much more meaning for the Eagles and with Foles looking much more confident behind center, I'm taking the home club here today. Play Philadelphia.
|12-23-18||Vikings -6 v. Lions||27-9||Win||100||18 h 55 m||Show|
The Vikings are still in the hunt for a NFC Wild Card spot. The Bears will take the division, but at 7-6-1 the Vikings right now hold the second Wild Card by virtue of that tie with Green Bay earlier this season. The Vikings snapped their two-game losing streak with a blowout win at home last week against the Dolphins, 41-17. The Vikings are 13-5-1 ATS their last 19 games against teams with a losing record. They are also 20-9 ATS their last 29 games in December. The Lions are in last place in the NFC North at 5-9-1. The Detroit offense has been horrible, despite one of the better QB's in Mathew Stafford. The Lions have scored 17 points or less in each of the last four weeks. In addition, they have not scored more than 22 points in any of their last eight weeks. It won't get any easier today against the fourth ranked defense in the league in Minnesota. The Lions have the 24th ranked offense. The Lions just can't seem to find the right combinations on offense and today the Vikings will keep them down as they look to put a hold on that Wild Card spot. Take Minnesota.
|12-22-18||Louisiana Tech +1 v. Hawaii||31-14||Win||100||21 h 58 m||Show|
Hawaii bowl here this evening has Louisiana Tech vs Hawaii. Tech comes in on a two-game losing streak. They lost to Southern Miss on Nov 17th and then in their last game at home to Western Kentucky, 15-30. La Tech is 5-1 ATS in its last six bowl games and 15-2 ATS their last 17 games coming off a double-digit home loss. Hawaii has not been good to bettors, posing a 15-34-2 ATS mark their last 51 games overall. In addition, they are just 9-23 ATS their last 32 against a team with a winning record. This will be the Tech defense against the Hawaii offense. Tech will get plenty of points and if they can keep Hawaii from scoring in bunches, then they get the cover. Take Louisiana Tech.
|12-22-18||Ravens +4.5 v. Chargers||22-10||Win||100||9 h 28 m||Show|
Late Saturday game here on Saturday as the Baltimore Ravens make the long trip West to take on the LA Chargers. The Ravens in a fight for the AFC North with Pittsburgh. The Steelers lead the division by just a half game over the Ravens. Steelers have to play at New Orleans so there's a real chance the Ravens take over first place with a win here today. The Ravens have the top ranked NFL defense with just 290 yards allowed per game. The Chargers are known for their offense, but also have a good defense, ranked 8th allowing 329 yards per game. Baltimore held a very good Tampa Bay offense to just 12 points last week in their 20-12 win. The only team the last four weeks to score more than 17 points vs the Ravens was the Chiefs. The Ravens are 18-7-4 ATS in their last 29 road games when facing a home team with a winning record. They are also 7-3-1 ATS overall their last 11 road games. The Chargers are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games and 2-8 ATS their last 10 games played on Saturday. The road team has covered four of the last five in this series and the dog is also 4-1 the last five. I'm taking the road dog here today. Play Baltimore.
|12-22-18||Buffalo v. Troy +1.5||32-42||Win||100||8 h 7 m||Show|
Buffalo had an outstanding season in the MAC, though they did struggle toward the end. The Bulls lost two of their last three games including the MAC Championship to Northern Illinois, 29-30 as 3.5-point favorites. Meanwhile, Troy used a very good defense to get into today's bowl game. Troy is 12-3-1 ATS in its last 16 games and 42-20-2 ATS vs a winning team. The Bulls are 0-5 ATS in their last five neutral site games. This game being played in Troy's backyard gives them a built-in home field advantage today. Though this game has gone to almost pick, I like Troy to take today's game.
|12-22-18||Houston v. Army -6.5||14-70||Win||100||5 h 37 m||Show|
Army having one of its best seasons in years.The Black Knights coming off that big win over their service rivals Navy have won eight straight games. While the Black Knights are ranked only 82nd in total yards, that's because this is a running team. They average 384 yards per game on the ground and will keep the ball out of the Houston hands today with their ground and pound game. Houston has the 7th ranked offense and they are balanced with 228 yards on the ground and 301 yards through the air. However, their defense is ranked 124th and that is going to be the problem here today. They allow 198 yards on the ground and that will not bode well against one of the best rushing attacks in the nation. This is not a good matchup for Houston today. They won't be able to stop Army and keep them from controlling the clock. I'm taking Army today.
|12-21-18||Bucks -1 v. Celtics||120-107||Win||100||6 h 8 m||Show|
Great matchup here tonight as the 21-9 Milwaukee Bucks take on the 18-12 Boston Celtics. The Bucks are in first place in the Eastern conference Central Division. They have won three straight games and five of their last six. They are also 4-2-1 ATS their last seven games. Boston is in third place in the Eastern conference Atlantic Division. They have lost two straight games both S/U and ATS. In fact they are coming off a loss to the Suns, 103-111 as 11.5-point favorites. Should be a great game here but I'm taking the road team. Play Milwaukee.
|12-21-18||Ole Miss -13 v. Middle Tennessee||Top||74-56||Win||100||6 h 4 m||Show|
Ole Miss takes their 8-2 record both S/U and ATS tonight to Middle Tennessee State (3-8 S/U and 0-9 ATS). Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders still looking for that first cover of the season against nine losses. In addition, they are just 1-12 ATS their last 13 games. The club hasn't even won straight up since their fourth game of the year vs Charleston Southern. It's been a long losing streak for the Raiders and it doesn't look to end here tonight either vs Ole Miss. Not only is Ole Miss on a five-game win streak, but they have covered four straight. This game won't be played on the MTSU home court, rather it will move from Murfeesburo to Nashville, TN. A change of venue won't help this Raiders team tonight. Look for a blowout win by Ole Miss.
|12-21-18||Illinois State v. UCF -13.5||56-77||Win||100||5 h 4 m||Show|
Illinois State (7-5 S/U, 4-6 ATS) plays at Central Florida (9-2 S/U, 7-4 ATS) tonight. Illinois State Redbirds coming off an OT home win over Cleveland State, 88-77 as 9.5-point favorites. The Birds snapped a three game losing streak both S/U and ATS with that win. The CF Knights have won three straight games and eight of their last nine. The Red Birds are just 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 away games and 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs a winning home team. Meanwhile, the Knights are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games and 37-18 ATS in their last 55 home games. Central Florida should have no trouble covering this game tonight. Play Central Florida.
|12-21-18||IUPU-Indianapolis -2 v. Morehead State||70-74||Loss||-109||4 h 35 m||Show|
Indiana-Purdue off to a good start this season as they get ready for conference play. The Jaguars are 8-4 S/U and 8-2 ATS so far this season. Jags coming off a loss though at Indiana-Fort Wayne, 77-87. IUPUI did get a quality win earlier this year at Boston College with a 71-65 win as 16.5-point dogs. Morehead State has lost three straight games and six of their last seven. In addition, they have covered just one time in their last six tries. The Eagles are just 1-4-1 in their last six non-conference games and 2-12 ATS in their last 14 vs the Horizon conference. Jaguars just a much better team and laying just two points is a steal here tonight. Play Indiana-Purdue.
|12-19-18||Pistons +5.5 v. Wolves||129-123||Win||100||7 h 36 m||Show|
Detroit is 14-14 S/U and 13-14-1 ATS so far this season. The Pistons are third in the East Central Division, trailing 1st place Milwaukee and 2nd place Indiana. Detroit had a nice win streak until the end of November. December has not been kind to the Pistons, going 2-7 S/U and 3-5-1 ATS. Still, the Pistons have been a good road team, evidenced by their 13-5 ATS mark their last 18 away games. Minnesota is 14-16 S/U and is in fourth in the West Northwest Division. This is one of the tougher divisions in the West as three teams are above .500 and the two last place teams are just 3 games within .500. The Wolves are 1-4 S/U their last five and 2-3 ATS. The Pistons have owned this series of late, going 6-0 ATS the last six meetings. I'm taking the points here today with Detroit.
|12-19-18||Ohio v. San Diego State +3||Top||27-0||Loss||-115||19 h 25 m||Show|
Ohio makes the long trip West to play in the Frisco Bowl here tonight while San Diego State makes the short trek North. This will be the first meeting ever between these two football teams. This game pits the strong Ohio U running game against the stingy San Diego State running defense. Ohio U ranks 16th nationally in offense and averages 262 yards per game on the ground. San Diego State ranks 21st defensively and allows just 95 yards per game on the ground. When it comes to these Bowl games, I tend to stick with the better defensive teams. That's just what I'm doing here today. I'm taking San Diego State.
|12-19-18||Auburn v. NC State +2||Top||71-78||Win||100||6 h 30 m||Show|
Great matchup here as a pair of 9-1 teams faceoff with NC State hosting Auburn. Despite their identical records, Auburn ranked 7th in the country while NC State not even ranked. Auburn has not covered it's last three games and had to go to OT to beat UAB last time out, 75-71. The Tigers are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs a team with a winning record. NC State has covered four straight games and seven of nine this year. The Wolfpack scores a lot of points, at least 80 in each of the last three and has not scored less than 75 points in any game this season. In addition, the Wolfpack are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games. Yet, Auburn is a 1-point favorite here tonight. My numbers have NC State a 4-point favorite and considering how well NC State is covering, I have to agree. Take NC State.
|12-19-18||Penn State v. Duquesne +5.5||73-67||Loss||-109||5 h 30 m||Show|
Penn State just 5-5 thus far. They have played two games against Big 10 foes and are 0-2 both S/U and ATS. The Nittany Lions are 0-4 ATS their last four and 3-6 ATS on the season. Duquesne has had a good non-conference slate, going 8-2 S/U and 4-5 ATS. The Dukes have played pretty much at home with just two road games. They will play the next three at home too. That makes it much easier for this club. They have been big favorites of late, at least 12.5 points in their last three games. Today for some reason they are a dog at home to a 5-5 club. I find that difficult to understand, especially for a team that's been playing mostly home games to this point. In addition, the Dukes are 6-2-1 ATS their last nine vs the Big 10. Taking the points is too easy for me here. Play Duquesne.
|12-18-18||Buffalo +3.5 v. Syracuse||71-59||Win||100||8 h 36 m||Show|
A matchup of top 25 teams here today. Buffalo is off to it's best start with a perfect 10-0 mark this season and a No. 14 national ranking. No 25. Syracuse is coming off a disappointing home lose to Old Dominion, 62-68 as a 9.5-point favorite. Syracuse will have to slow down a Bulls offense that has been very good and led by CJ Massinburg who averages 17.1 ppg. The Orange have only covered three of their last four games. Meanwhile, Buffalo has covered six of eight. They also have scored 73 points or more in seven straight and all but one game this year. I like Buffalo in this one to win outright, but I'll take the 3 or 4 points here with the road dog. Play Buffalo.
|12-18-18||Lakers -2 v. Nets||110-115||Loss||-109||7 h 11 m||Show|
The LA Lakers 18-12 S/U and 12-17-1 ATS travel East to play the Brooklyn Nets 13-18 S/U and 16-15-0 ATS. The Lakers are in 2nd place in the West Pacific Division, behind division leading Golden State. The Lakers are playing their fourth game on this road trip. They are 1-2 S/U and ATS so far on this trip. Brooklyn is in fourth place in the East Atlantic division. The Nets are on five game win streak both S/U and ATS. However, that's been vs the East conference. Against the Western Conference, the Nets are 1-7 ATS in their last tries. The Lakers have also done well vs the Nets, going 4-1-2 ATS in their last seven overall and 12-3-3 ATS in their last 18 trips to Brooklyn. Take the Lakers here today as a small favorite. Play LA Lakers.
|12-17-18||Saints v. Panthers +7||Top||12-9||Win||100||20 h 7 m||Show|
The Saints path through the playoffs got a bit easier with the Rams losing on Sunday night. The Saints are now 11-2 while the Rams are 11-3. Plus, the Saints have already beaten the Rams. The Panthers are not out of a Wild Card yet, but can't afford a loss tonight. The Panthers are 6-7 and you have three other teams at 7-7 for that final Wild Card spot. The Saints rebounded from their loss at Dallas two weeks ago with a win last week at Tampa Bay, 28-14. New Orleans plays its third straight road game here tonight. Carolina has lost five straight games, with four of those losses on the road. They return home here tonight where they are 5-1 S/U this season. The Panthers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games. The dog has done well in this series, covering seven of the last eight between these teams. Panthers are tough at home and they will fight for that final playoff spot. I like the points here on their home field. Take Carolina.
|12-17-18||Ball State +1 v. Valparaiso||Top||77-61||Win||100||9 h 14 m||Show|
A pair of 6-4 teams matchup here today as Valparaiso hosts Ball State. Ball State is 5-4 ATS on the season. As the MAC season approaches, Ball State has its last non-conference road game here today. The Cardinals are 3-1 ATS on the road this year against those non-conference teams. This team can score points, evidenced by their 75 or more points in six straight games and eight of their 10 this year. Valpo is only 3-6 ATS on the season. The Crusaders are 2-5 ATS in their last seven non-conference games and 1-6 ATS their last seven after a straight-up win. The Crusaders are coming off a win at George Washington, 82-79 as 4.5-point chalks. This game basically a pick by the oddsmakers, but my numbers show Ball State should be the favorite. I'm taking the visitor here today. Play Ball State.
|12-17-18||Arizona State -1 v. Vanderbilt||65-81||Loss||-106||8 h 15 m||Show|
Arizona State is off to a really nice start this year. But that shouldn't come as a surprise, this Sun Devils' team usually does well before PAC-12 play. The Devils are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 Non-conference games. ASU is 8-1 S/U and 3-4 ATS this season. The Sun Devils haven't done well covering those double-digit favorite lines this year, going 1-3 ATS. Today, they lay just 1-point to Vanderbilt. Vandy is 6-2 S/U and 3-4 ATS this season. Vandy has been double digit favorites in five of their seven games. That means they are playing very inferior competition. Their only two challenges were a 15-point loss to North Carolina State and a win at USC, 82-78. I'm not convinced this Vandy team is very good. I know ASU is good and I just need them to win here tonight. Play Arizona State.
|12-17-18||Davidson -1.5 v. Wake Forest||63-67||Loss||-115||8 h 14 m||Show|
Davidson brings its 8-2 S/U and 7-3 record to Wake Forest tonight. The Demon Deacons of Wake Forest are 5-3 S/U and 3-5 ATS. Davidson is 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall, all non-conference games. Davidson is coming off its second loss of the season, a 75-77 OT setback in a tournament to Temple. Still, they have covered five of their last six. Wake can't seem to get any momentum going. The Deacons have won more than one game in a row just one time this season. They are also 1-3 ATS in their last four games. They are also 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games and 7-19 ATS in their last 26 overall. I'm taking Davidson here today minus 2-points. Play Davidson.
|12-16-18||Eagles +14 v. Rams||30-23||Win||100||21 h 51 m||Show|
Big Sunday night game here today as the reeling Rams take on the Eagles. The Rams are 11-2 and still fighting with the Saints (11-2) for that all important home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. With their loss to the Saints, the Rams will need some help from someone. The Rams struggled last week against that mighty Bears defense, held to a season-low six-points. In fact, that was the first time all season the Rams have scored less than 23 points. The Rams have also covered just one of their last six games and are 2-6-1 ATS their last nine. For the Eagles, it looks like QB Carson Wentz is done for the season with a back injury. That means in comes Super Bowl hero Nick Foles who led the Eagles down the stretch last year. The Rams are now 2-8-1 ATS their last 11 home games vs a losing team. The Eagles have done very well vs the Rams, going 10-1 ATS the last 11 meetings. Too many points here for a Rams team that needs to show me they are caving in late in the season. I'm taking Foles and the Eagles here tonight.
|12-16-18||Lakers -2.5 v. Wizards||Top||110-128||Loss||-107||8 h 58 m||Show|
Lakers in a back-to-back spot here on Sunday, but they seem to do ok in that spot with a 6-2 ATS their last eight games. LA is 18-11 S/U and 12-16-1 ATS so far this season and in second place in the Pacific division behind Golden State. The Lakers have won three of their last four games and seven of their last nine games. Washington not doing so well this year with a 11-18 S/U record and in fourth in the Southeast division. The Wizards are on a four game losing streak both S/U and ATS. The Wizards are also 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs the Western Conference and 2-5 ATS the last seven vs the Pacific division. Lakers have owned this series with a 12-5-1 ATS mark in Washington their last 18 games. I like the Lakers here today. Play LA.
|12-16-18||Cowboys v. Colts -3||Top||0-23||Win||100||14 h 32 m||Show|
The Dallas Cowboys hold a two-game lead in the NFC East with three games to play. The Cowboys had to go to OT last week to dispatch Philadelphia, 29-23. Now they have the Colts, Bucs and close out at the Giants. They could easily lose two of these games if not careful. The Colts bounced back from their 0-6 loss at Jacksonville two weeks ago with a big win at Houston last week, 24-21. The Colts can't catch Houston for the AFC South lead, but they are in the running for the last AFC Wildcard. Right now the Chargers have the first wildcard and four teams are tied with a 7-6 record. The Colts have been good at home against winning teams, evidenced by their 16-5-1 ATS mark their last 22 games. The favorite and the home team have each covered four of the last five in this series. I like the Colts and Andrew Luck here in today's game. Play Indianapolis.
|12-16-18||Lions v. Bills -2.5||13-14||Loss||-105||14 h 32 m||Show|
The Detroit Lions and the Buffalo Bills won't be going to the postseason this year. That doesn't mean they won't be playing this game tough. The Lions are 5-8 and in last place in the NFC North. The Lions snapped a two-game losing streak with a win at Arizona last week, 17-3. Detroit is just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games. The Buffalo Bills are playing tough after a rough start to the season. The Bills lost at home last week to the Jets, 23-27, but have won two of their last four. QB Josh Allen has this team competing well for head coach Sean McDermott. Since his return from injury, Allen has rushed 31 times for 335 yards, something that gives opposing teams fits. The Bills defense has also been amazing, as they lead the league now in total yards. They also have the best yardage differential in the NFL the last five games. The Lions are banged up these days with Stafford having back injuries and problems at running back. You have to go back eight weeks to find the last time the Lions scored more than 22 points and that was October 21st. I really like this situation for the Bills. Their defense is playing great and they face a hurt Lions team that isn't scoring anyways. Perfect spot for a big win today. Take Buffalo.
|12-16-18||Packers +5.5 v. Bears||17-24||Loss||-115||14 h 32 m||Show|
The Packers have to wonder how they will score after watching the high-octane Rams get just six points at Chicago last week. Green Bay has an outside shot at a Wildcard, but too many things have to happen for that to become reality. The Bears clinch the NFC North with a win today or a Vikings loss. But for all intents and purposes, the Bears are the division champions. Have to wonder if it's time for them to start giving some rest to starters with the postseason not far off. The Packers have historically done very well vs the Bears. Just think back to the opening week when they came from way back with an injured Aaron Rodgers to win. The Packers are now 16-5 ATS in their last 21 trips to Chicago. The Packers are also 12-4 ATS in the last 16 overall meetings. I'm going to take the points in today's game with the Packers and see if they can continue to snakebite the Bears. Play Green Bay.
|12-15-18||Middle Tennessee State +7 v. Appalachian State||13-45||Loss||-110||19 h 25 m||Show|
The 8-5 Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders take on the 10-2 Appalachian Sate Mountaineers here today in the New Orleans Bowl. I'm taking Middle Tennessee State here for two simple reasons. You can make a case statistically for either team. However, MTSU is getting a touchdown and I just think that's too much to give their senior QB Brent Stockstill. Stockstill has over 12,000 yards in his college career and plays for his dad, who you know he wants to get this last ever win together for him. Stockstill should be a high draft pick in the NFL this coming year. App State will also be without their head coach Scott Satterfield, who has moved on to the head coaching job at Louisville. Just too many intangibles for Middle Tenn State here today. I'm taking the dog in this one.
|12-15-18||Cincinnati +5 v. Mississippi State||59-70||Loss||-108||21 h 51 m||Show|
A pair of teams with one loss each meet here on Saturday as Cincinnati plays at Miss State. Cincinnati is 9-1 S/U and 6-4 ATS. The Bearcats only loss so far came on opening day when they lost at home to Ohio State, 56-64 as 4.5-point favorites. Since then, it's been nine straight wins including victories over UNLV, Ole Miss and last game vs Xavier, 62-47. Miss State is 8-1 S/U and 4-5 ATS. The Bulldogs have won five straight after their only loss to Arizona State, 67-72. Unfortunately for the Bulldogs, they have not done all that well vs the numbers, going 2-4 ATS in their last six games. My numbers have this game a toss-up, but the oddsmakers made Miss State a 5-point favorite. I'm taking the points here with Cincinnati.
|12-15-18||Browns +3 v. Broncos||17-16||Win||100||32 h 50 m||Show|
Denver looked like a team poised at a chance to run the table for the rest of the season. Then they hit the 49ers last week and lost 14-20. Now they have the Browns today and then finish up at Oakland and at home vs the Chargers. The loss last week snapped a three-game spread win streak for Denver. The Broncos have not been good at home cover spreads of late, evidenced by their 3-7-1 ATS mark in their last 11 at Mile High. They are also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 December games. The Browns pulled out another win last week, with a home victory over the Panthers, 26-20. That makes three wins in the club's last four games. Both teams ranked right about the same on offense with Denver 15th and Cleveland 16th. Neither team's defense all that good this year, Denver ranked 24th and Cleveland at 31st. I have to think Denver is deflated after losing a game they should have won last week. Cleveland just seems to be happy winning these days. I'm taking the points here today with the Browns.
|12-15-18||Middle Tennessee v. Toledo -14.5||62-84||Win||100||19 h 20 m||Show|
Middle Tennessee State having a rough go of it thus far this season at 3-7 S/U and 0-8 ATS. That's right the Blue Raiders have yet to cover a spread in eight tries this season. In addition, they are 0-6 ATS in their last six away games. They are coming off a home drubbing at the hands of Murray State, 42-64 as 4.5-point dogs. Toledo off to a very good start this year at 9-1 S/U and 5-4 ATS. The Rockets only loss coming at Wright State back in mid-November, 74-84. The oddsmakers made Toledo about a 14-point chalk here. My numbers say that is way too low. Toledo should have not trouble covering this spread on Saturday. Play Toledo.
|12-15-18||Arizona State v. Fresno State -4||20-31||Win||100||14 h 55 m||Show|
Fresno State ended their season with a big win over Boise State, 19-16 as 2.5-point dogs. The Bulldogs won their last three games after a previous loss to Boise State back in November. Fresno has the 44th ranked offense in the country with a nice 80.5% redzone efficiency. They have been in the redzone 52 times this season with 38 TD's and nine FG's. Fresno has one of the best defenses in the country, ranked 17th. The defense has only allowed nine TD's in the redzone this season. Only Mississippi State has allowed less. Arizona State has the 48th ranked offense in the country with a 70.8% redzone efficiency. They have only been in the redzone 46 times with 27 TD's and 13 FG's. Big difference in these teams is on defense where the Sun Devils are ranked 70th and have allowed 24 TD's in 43 trips. Compare that to just the nine TD's Fresno has allowed. Arizona State has not been a good bowl covering team, evidenced by their 2-7 ATS their last nine bowl games. Fresno State is 26-7-1 ATS their last 34 overall games and 16-5 ATS their last 21 vs a winning team. I'm taking the better defensive team here today and that's Fresno State.
|12-15-18||Penn State v. NC State -3.5||78-89||Win||100||14 h 21 m||Show|
Reason: Boardwalk Classic here from Atlantic City, NJ. The 8-1 North Carolina State Wolfpack takes on the 5-4 Penn State Nittany Lions. Penn State has lost two of their last three games and is coming off a win over Colgate, 76-65. However, the failed to cover the 15-point spread in that game. They have lost three straight to the spread and four of their last five games. NC State has just one loss and that came at the hands of Wisconsin, 75-79. The Wolfpack did cover that game though and has covered three straight and six of eight. NC State just 3.5-point favorite here today. My numbers have this game as a 12-point NC State tilt. I have to go with my own in this spot. I'm taking NC State.