|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|01-19-19||Houston v. South Florida +6.5||69-60||Loss||-108||20 h 46 m||Show|
American Athletic Association matchup here today has No 21 Houston playing at South Florida. Houston is 17-1 S/U and 11-6 ATS on the season. The Cougars are 4-1 S/U in conference play, but have covered just one of their last three games. The South Florida Bulls are looking for the upset of their conference rivals here today. The Bulls have covered 11 of their 16 games this season. The have also covered their last five games (all in conference) and nine of their last 10 overall. In addition, the Bulls are 12-3-1 ATS their last 16 against a team with a .600 or higher win percentage. Getting 6.5-points here with the home South Florida club. I won't be surprised with an outright upset either. But we'll take the points. Play South Florida.
|01-19-19||Virginia +2 v. Duke||70-72||Push||0||18 h 46 m||Show|
Great top 5 matchup here on Saturday as No 4 Virginia travels to take on No 1 Duke. Virginia 16-0 S/U, 12-3 ATS has the nation's top scoring defense at just over 50 ppg. Only one team has cracked 60 points in the team's last nine games and that was a 100-64 win over Marshall. The scoring defense is the big reason this team has covered its last seven games. In addition, the team is 21-8 ATS in the last 29 road games. Duke is the nation's top ranked team and will get its biggest test here today. Duke could lost that top ranked spot as they are coming off a home loss to Syracuse, 91-95 as 17-point home favorites. The club also lost back on November 21 in a tournament game to Gonzaga, 87-89. The dog has covered the last six in this series. The road team is also 20-6-1 ATS the last 27 meetings and the Cavaliers are 13-2-1 ATS their last 16 meetings with Duke. Take Virginia here on Saturday.
|01-19-19||Arkansas v. Ole Miss -6.5||67-84||Win||100||13 h 47 m||Show|
The Arkansas Razorbacks have had issues covering spreads. Not only are the hogs 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall, but they are 1-4 ATS their last five vs the conference and 5-15-1 ATS their last 21 games following an ATS loss. Not so for Ole Miss, which is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games overall, 6-1 ATS in the last seven home games and 4-1 ATS in the last five vs the conference. Arkansas is also on a 3-game losing streak allowing 106 points to Tennessee and 94 to LSU. Ole Miss is off a home loss to LSU, so I look for them to be even more motivated to give the home crown something to shout about. Play Mississippi.
|01-19-19||Illinois-Chicago +2.5 v. Green Bay||85-90||Loss||-108||13 h 47 m||Show|
Horizon League action has a pair of 9-10 teams facing off today as Illinois Chicago takes on Wisconsin Green Bay. Illinois Chicago Flames are 24-9 ATS their last 33 games vs a team with a losing record. The Flames have covered two of their last three games. Green Bay Phoenix are 0-5 ATS in their last five games, all of those coming in conference play. The Flames are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven meetings with the Phoenix and 3-0-1 ATS their last four at Green Bay. I'm taking the points with the visitor here. Play Illinois Chicago.
|01-19-19||Michigan -2.5 v. Wisconsin||54-64||Loss||-115||12 h 48 m||Show|
No 2 Michigan could easily be the nation's top team after this weekend with Duke losing last time out to Syracuse. The Wolverines are 17-0 S/U and 9-7 ATS this season. Michigan has covered all four conference games this season. Wisconsin is 11-6 S/U and 8-8 ATS on the season. The Badgers are just 1-3 S/U and ATS in the Big 10 so far. The Wolverines are also 21-7-1 ATS their last 29 road games and 25-7-1 their last 33 games vs the Big 10. Michigan laying just 2 or 3 looks like a bargain to me. Play Michigan.
|01-18-19||Ohio v. Toledo -8.5||Top||52-75||Win||100||7 h 38 m||Show|
MAC play here tonight has Ohio (9-7 S/U, 4-11 ATS) playing on the road at Toledo (14-3 S/U 10-6 ATS). The Ohio Bobcats are just 1-3 so far in conference play both S/U and ATS. The Bobcats have not been a good covering team, having taken the money in just one of their last eight games. Meanwhile, the Toledo Rockets have had an excellent season at 14-3 S/U. The Rockets did start conference play on a bad note, losing their first two games. However, they have rebounded with two straight wins and covers. That makes seven of their last nine games they have covered. The Bobcats are now 5-15-1 ATS their last 21 games on the road. Toledo is 11-3 ATS their last 14 vs Ohio. I'm taking Toledo here tonight.
|01-17-19||BYU v. Pepperdine +4||Top||87-76||Loss||-109||12 h 32 m||Show|
BYU brings its 11-8 overall record on the road tonight to play Pepperdine. The Waves have a losing S/U record but a winning spread mark at 9-7. Additionally, they are 5-1 ATS at home this season. The Waves have also covered five of their last six overall. BYU is 7-11 ATS and that's because they are only 1-8 ATS on the road. In fact, going back to last season, BYU is now 1-11 ATS in their last 12 road games. Pepperdine is 9-2 ATS their last 11 games vs BYU and 7-0 ATS at Pepperdine. Play Pepperdine.
|01-17-19||UC-Santa Barbara -1.5 v. UC-Davis||69-58||Win||100||11 h 32 m||Show|
Santa Barbara having a excellent season at 13-3 S/U and 9-5 ATS. The Gouchos have won five straight, including both of their Big West games. The Gouchos take to the road tonight for the first time since December 19th to play a very poor UC Davis team. Not only is Davis 4-12 S/U, but they are just 4-10 ATS. The Aggies have also lost both Big West games and five of their six overall. The Aggies are also 1-6 ATS at home their last seven games. Meanwhile, the Gouchos are a nifty 14-5 ATS their last 19 road games. Santa Barbara is now 7-2 their last 9 at Davis and 13-6-1 their last 20 meetings overall. Play Santa Barbara tonight.
|01-16-19||Butler v. DePaul +3||87-69||Loss||-110||20 h 54 m||Show|
Big East conference action has Butler playing at Depaul. Butler is 10-7 S/U and 7-10 ATS on the season and 1-3 S/U and 2-2 in Big East play. The Bulldogs are also just 1-4 ATS in their last five road games and 2-6 ATS in their last eight vs the Big East. Meanwhile, the Depaul Blue Demons are 10-5 S/U and 7-6 ATS on the season. Depaul opened with a pair of conference losses and has since won two straight in conference. The Blue Demons have also covered three straight games. Depaul is also 5-1 ATS in their last six vs the Big East. Home dog here in Depaul. My numbers say this game is even at worst and that puts me on the home team here tonight. Play Depaul
|01-16-19||South Carolina +3.5 v. Vanderbilt||74-71||Win||100||18 h 25 m||Show|
SEC Action has 8-7 South Carolina at 9- 6 Vanderbilt. The Gamecocks are just 5-7 ATS on the season. South Carolina is 3-0 both S/U and ATS this season in conference play. In addition, they are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games. Plus, the Gamecocks are 6-2-1 ATS their last nine road games. Meanwhile, the Commadores are just 8-18 ATS their last 26 home games and 14-32 ATS their last 46 games overall. Vandy is 0-3 to start conference play. Hard to pass on the points in this one with the road team. The Gamecocks are playing excellent and have proven they cover games on the road. Play South Carolina.
|01-16-19||George Mason +1 v. Massachusetts||68-63||Win||100||18 h 25 m||Show|
Atlantic 10 conference play tonight as George Mason plays at U Mass. George Mason is 9-8 S/U and 8-8 ATS on the season. The Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 conference games. U Mass looks to snap a four game losing streak here tonight. The Minutemen are also 0-3 to start conference play. U Mass is 0-4 ATS in their last four home games and 1-6 ATS at home this season. I look for George Mason to win this one tonight. Play George Mason.
|01-15-19||Davidson -4 v. St. Joe's||Top||60-61||Loss||-109||23 h 21 m||Show|
Davidson is having an excellent season as the team is off to a 12-4 overall mark and 3-0 conference start. The club has won three straight games. St Joe's is not having a good season with just a 7-9 overall mark and 0-4 record to start Atlantic-10 play. The Davidson Wildcats are 3-0 in conference play for the first time since joining the A-10 in 2014-15. Davidson also ranks 9th nationally in free throw percentage. St Joe's will try and snap that four game losing streak tonight. The Hawks are also just 1-7 ATS their last eight games. That includes home losses to George Washington (56-70, 12-point favorite), 60-85 to George Mason (7-point favorite) and a 26-point loss at St Bonaventure as a 1.5-point dog. This is not a good Hawks team and now they face one of the best in the Atlantic-10. Lay the points with Davidson
|01-15-19||South Florida +11.5 v. Cincinnati||74-82||Win||100||21 h 23 m||Show|
American Athletic Conference play here tonight has South Florida at Cincinnati. South Florida is 11-5 S/U and 10-5 ATS on the season. But most important, the Bulls are a perfect 5-0 ATS on the road. USF is 2-2 S/U and 4-0 ATS so far in conference play. They are coming off an OT loss at Temple, 80-82 as 9-point dogs. Cincinnati is 14-3 S/U and 8-9 ATS on the season. The Bearcats are 0-3 ATS in their last three games, all conference matchups. The Bearcats lone conference loss came at East Carolina, 71-73 as 17.5-point favorites. The Bearcats have very much under performed when it comes to the spread this year. You have to look no further than their last three games including that East Carolina contest. Meanwhile, South Florida has been great for bettors. I'm taking the points here on Tuesday with the Bulls. Play South Florida.
|01-15-19||Ball State v. Bowling Green -1||78-79||Push||0||21 h 22 m||Show|
MAC action here on Tuesday has Ball State at Bowling Green. Ball State will try to snap a two game S/U and ATS skid. The Cardinals are 10-6 on the season and 1-2 in MAC play. Ball State will play four of the next five conference games on the road beginning with tonight's contest. Bowling Green brings a seven game win streak into today's contest. The Falcons have also won eight of the last 10 games in this series with the Cardinals. This is the first time in Bowling Green history that the school has started 3-0 in conference play. This will be the only time these clubs meet this regular season and I like the team that his hot here. That's Bowling Green.
|01-14-19||Baylor +4 v. Oklahoma State||73-69||Win||100||11 h 4 m||Show|
The Baylor Bears are 9-6 S/U and 8-6 ATS so far this season. The Bears are 1-2 in conference play and off a loss at home to ranked Kansas, 68-73. Still, the Bears have covered four of their last five overall and are 6-0 ATS their last six following a S/U loss. The Oklahoma State Cowboys are 8-8 S/U and 6-10 ATS on the season. The Cowboys lost their first two conference games and then won their last two for a 2-2 Big 12 record. The bad news is that OK State has covered just two of their last 10 games. Plus, the Cowboys are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games. You might think the Cowboys are playing with revenge in this one considering they have lost six straight to Baylor. However, at which loss does the revenge factor kick in? No, the Bears have covered 5 of seven at Oklahoma State and that's what I expect to see again here tonight. Play Baylor.
|01-14-19||Florida State v. Pittsburgh +4.5||62-75||Win||100||20 h 11 m||Show|
ACC action today has Florida State playing at Pittsburgh. FSU is 13-3 on the season but just 1-2 in conference play. They Seminoles coming off a loss at home to Duke, 78-80, though they covered the 7.5-point spread. The Seminoles are just 1-3 ATS their last four and 2-9-1 ATS their last 12. Pittsburgh is 11-5 S/U on the season and 13-3 ATS. The Panthers are also 1-2 in ACC play, but 2-1 vs the number. The Panthers have covered nine of their last 11 games. Pitt bis also 40-17 ATS their last 57 in conference and 38-13 ATS their last 51 over. Pitt has covered four of the last five vs FSU and that's what I look for again here today. Take Pitt.
|01-13-19||IUPU Ft Wayne -1.5 v. South Dakota||73-87||Loss||-110||2 h 8 m||Show|
Summit League action here on Sunday has IPFW at South Dakota. IPFW is having an excellent season, not only are they 12-7 overall but 4-0 both S/U and ATS in conference play. South Dakota not having such a good season at 7-9 S/U and 5-8 ATS. The Coyotes are 1-2 in Summit League play and have not covered any of their last five games and just one of their last seven games. The Coyotes have also lost three of their last four home games. That makes this a better play for me on the road team. Take Purdue Fort Worth today.
|01-12-19||Arizona -8 v. California||87-65||Win||100||11 h 35 m||Show|
Arizona is 12-4 S/U and 7-7 on the season while Cal has struggled to a 5-10 S/U mark and 5-10 ATS mark. Arizona has opened PAC-12 play with three wins and stands at 3-0. The WildCats are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five road games and 5-1 ATS in their last six vs the PAC-12. Cal has lost four straight and five of six. The Bears are 0-3 in PAC-12 play and have lost each of their three conference games by at least nine points. The Bears are also 1-6 ATS in their last seven games. The road team has covered the last five in this series and I like Arizona a lot here tonight.
|01-12-19||Wichita State v. Houston -11||Top||70-79||Loss||-109||8 h 6 m||Show|
Wichita State not having a season up to their own standards as they are just 7-7 S/U and 5-9 ATS on the season. In addition, the Shockers are 1-6 ATS their last seven games and have lost both of their American Athletic conference games so far. Today won't get any better as they play at 15-1 Houston. The Cougars are also 10-5 ATS on the season. They are coming off their first loss of the season at Temple, 69-71. Still, the Cougars are 20-8-2 ATS their last 30 games overall. Houston should bounce back here today at home and crush the Shockers. Play Houston.
|01-11-19||Wright State v. Northern Kentucky -5||64-68||Loss||-105||9 h 37 m||Show|
Horizon League action today has Wright State playing at Northern Kentucky. Wright State is trying to get back to .500 as they sit at 8-9 on the season and 6-8 ATS. The Raiders are just 2-2 in Horizon league play, but are coming off a win at Oakland last time out, 89-73. Today, they face arguably the best team in the conference in Northern Kentucky. The Norse are 13-4 S/U and 6-9 ATS. NKU is 3-1 in conference play with their one loss at Oakland, 74-75. The Norse have covered three of their four conference games. They are also 17-8-1 ATS their last 26 at home vs a team with a losing road record. The Raiders are just 5-12 ATS their last 17 vs a team with a win percentage greater than 60%. Northern Kentucky shouldn't have much problems here tonight with this struggling Wright State team. Play Northern Kentucky.
|01-10-19||Murray State -12.5 v. Tennessee-Martin||98-77||Win||100||6 h 12 m||Show|
Murray State off to an excellent season with a 11-2 S/U mark and 8-3 ATS mark. The Racers are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games. Murray is 2-0 in Conference play and has scored 90 points or more in three straight games. Tennessee Martin hasn't fared so well, going 5-8 S/U and 1-10 ATS so far this season. The Skyhawks have lost four straight games and has covered one spread since December 1st. The Skyhawks have allowed 90 or more points in three of their last four games. The Hawks are now 7-19 AST in their last 26 games and 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games. Murray State much the better team here tonight. Play Murray State.
|01-10-19||Wofford +1.5 v. NC-Greensboro||72-43||Win||100||5 h 42 m||Show|
Both of these teams having excellent seasons. Wofford is 12-4 S/U and 7-6 ATS. Wofford has won three straight and six of their last seven. The Terriers are also 3-0 in Southern Conference play. This team can score, getting over 110 points in two games including Citadel a few nights ago. They have also scored 74 or more points in seven straight games. UNC Greensboro is 14-2 S/U and 6-7 ATS. The Spartans last loss coming on December 1 at Kentucky, 61-78. The Spartans are 0-2 ATS in their last two gamess and 2-6 ATS in their last eight. Wofford is 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 meetings with Greensboro. Take Wofford here tonight.
|01-09-19||Fresno State +6.5 v. Utah State||78-77||Win||100||7 h 9 m||Show|
Late action on the college hard court has Utah State hosting Fresno State in Mountain West action. Fresno is 11-3 S/U and 9-4 ATS and has won its first two conference games, beating San Jose on the road, 73-53, and then beating Colorado State at home, 78-67. The Bulldogs have covered five of their last seven games. Utah State is 11-4 S/U and 7-6 ATS on the season. The Aggies split their first two conference games, losing at Nevada 49-72 and then beating Air Force, 79-62. The Aggies are 0-3 ATS their last three and 1-5 ATS their last six. They are also 3-7 ATS their last 10 conference games. I like the points here with the visitor. Play Fresno State.
|01-09-19||Auburn v. Ole Miss +4||67-82||Win||100||5 h 9 m||Show|
SEC action here has Ole Miss hosting Auburn. Auburn is 11-2 S/U and 6-5 ATS on the season. The Tigers open SEC play tonight after a successful non-conference slate. The only issue is that the Tigers covered just one of their last six games. Ole Miss is also 11-2 S/U on the season and a very good 11-2 ATS. The Rebels are 6-1 ATS at home and are 1-0 in conference play after beating Vanderbilt in their conference opener, 81-71. The Rebs have covered seven straight games. Not only is the favorite 6-1 ATS the last seven meetings in this series, but the Rebels are 7-3 ATS the last 10 meetings at Mississippi. Take Ole Miss here tonight.
|01-08-19||Oklahoma +6.5 v. Texas Tech||59-66||Loss||-110||23 h 29 m||Show|
Oklahoma has been a very good covering team for bettors, going 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 overall games and 4-0-1 in their last five road games vs a team with a winning record. Can't say the same of the Texas Tech Red Raiders, who are 0-4 ATS their last four, 1-4 ATS in their last five home games and 0-8-1 ATS their last nine vs the Big 12 conference. Oklahoma is 12-2 S/U and 12-1 ATS on the season and their only losses came against Kansas to open Big 12 play and in a tourney game back in November against Wisconsin. Texas Tech is 13-1 S/U on the season, they just haven't been able to cover spreads. They are 2-0 in conference play with wins over West Virginia and Kansas State. I'll take the points here with the road team on Tuesday. Play Oklahoma.
|01-08-19||Eastern Michigan v. Ball State -11.5||Top||84-82||Loss||-108||21 h 28 m||Show|
Eastern Michigan Eagles have not been a bettors friend of late, going just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games and 0-6 ATS in their last six road games. The Eagles are now 6-8 S/U on the season and opened MAC play with a loss at home to Buffalo, 58-74. Their only cover of the year came against Boston University back on Nov 17th. Ball State doesn't have that problem, going 9-4 ATS on the season and 10-4 S/U. The Cardinals have won four straight and nine of their last 10 games and have covered four straight and six of seven. Ball State opened MAC play with a nice road win at Toledo, 79-64 as a 4.5-point dog. Look for Ball State to put this EMU team away easily here today. This is my blowout winner of the day. Play Ball State.
|01-08-19||Tennessee v. Missouri +8||87-63||Loss||-105||21 h 28 m||Show|
Tennessee opened SEC conference play with a resounding win over Georgia, 96-50. The Volunteers are now 12-1 S/U and 6-5 ATS this season and have covered two straight games. The Volunteers have played only one true road game this season and that was a win at Memphis, 102-92. Missouri brings a 9-3 S/U record into today's contest with a 5-5 ATS mark. The Tigers have won six straight games since a loss to Temple back in November. They are also 4-1-1 ATS their last six games. Home court has played a difference in this matchup, with the host going 6-1 ATS. I'm taking the home team again here today in Missouri.
|01-06-19||St Bonaventure v. George Mason -5||53-68||Win||100||4 h 8 m||Show|
St Bonnys has lost four straight games heading into today's contest. They are also 1-3 ATS. In fact, Bonny's has covered just four of their last 11 games. Today is St Bonny's first Atlantic 10 conference game of the year at George Mason. George Mason opened conference play with a win over St Joe's, 85-60. It was the teams fifth win in the last seven games. In addition, GM has covered four straight and five of six games. I'm taking George Mason here today.
|01-05-19||Wyoming v. UNLV -12.5||56-68||Loss||-107||11 h 20 m||Show|
Wyoming did not have a successful non-conference schedule, going 4-9 S/U and 2-10 ATS. They opened Mountain West play with a home loss to Boise Stae, 55-69, making them 4-10 and 2-11. Now they go to UNLV tonight to face the Rebels. UNLV was 7-6 S/U and 4-4 ATS and opened conference play with a home win over Colorado State, 78-76. Their play has not been all that good, but they do show flashes of being a good team. However, tonight they should have no issues with a very bad Wyoming squad. Normally don't like laying double-digits with this unpredictable UNLV team, but tonight they should have no problems covering. Take UNLV.
|01-03-19||Louisiana Tech +4.5 v. North Texas||59-63||Win||100||6 h 28 m||Show|
La Tech opened conference USA play with a win over Southern Miss, 71-56. The Bulldogs are now 11-3 S/U and 6-6 ATS on the season. Tech has won seven straight games and is 4-2 ATS their last six games. North Texas State is 14-1 S/U to start the season and opened conference play with a win over Rice, 103-87. The Mean Green only loss of the season coming on November 27 at Oklahoma, 57-73. NTS is 0-4 ATS in its last four home games. La Tech is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings with North Texas. I like the points here today with the road team. Play Louisiana Tech.
|01-03-19||Siena -2 v. St. Peter's||60-65||Loss||-105||5 h 28 m||Show|
Metro Atlantic conference play begins today for both these teams in what is now an early game today in a time change. Siena finished their non-conference schedule with a 5-8 record and a 7-6 ATS mark. The Saints covered three of their last four games and are off a win over Cal Poly, 75-54. St Peters enters conference play with a 3-9 S/U and 4-7 ATS mark. The Peacocks snapped a five-game losing streak with an OT win last game over Hampton, 83-80. Still, this is not a very good team with just wins over Lafayette, Main and Hampton - ALL three wins coming in Overtime. St Peters is now 1-4 ATS in their last five home games. Siena is 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games. I like the visitor here today. Play Siena.
|01-03-19||Northern Kentucky v. Oakland +4||74-76||Win||100||5 h 27 m||Show|
Northern Kentucky continues their Horizon conference play here today after opening with a pair of wins over IUPIU and then Illinois Chicago. The Norse have won fou8r straight games and are now 12-3 S/U on the season with a 5-8 ATS mark. Oakland has played just three home games this entire season with a 6-9 overall record and 7-7 ATS mark. In fact, this will be the Golden Grizzlies first home game since November 19th. The Grizzlies have played eight straight away games, winning their last two, both in conference play. The Grizzlies have covered four of the last five in this series. Getting points at home with Oakland here is too much to pass on. Play Oakland.
|01-02-19||Connecticut v. South Florida +2.5||68-76||Win||100||8 h 12 m||Show|
Two teams, both with nine wins in non-conference play, meet today in their first American Athletic Conference game. U Conn lost its last game on a neutral site to Villanova, 58-81. The Huskies didn't do well on the neutral site games, going 1-3 so far this season and 1-2-1 ATS. South Florida ended non-con play at 9-3 S/U and 6-5 ATS. The Bulls have won six straight games since their last loss to Citadel. U Conn hasn't done well on the road, evidenced by their 1-8 ATS mark their last nine games. They are also 2-7 ATS in their last nine conference games. As for the Bulls, they are 6-0 ATS in their last six games vs a team with a record of 60% or better. They are also 4-1 ATS in their last five conference games. South Florida getting a few points at home here is enough for me. I'm taking the home club plus the points. Play South Florida.
|12-31-18||Creighton v. Providence -1.5||79-68||Loss||-122||5 h 51 m||Show|
Two very good teams clash here on New Year's eve as Creighton takes on Providence. Both teams start Big East play here today after successful non-conference campaigns. The Blue Jays ended non-con play with a 9-4 S/U and 6-6 ATS record. They did have notable losses to Ohio State, Gonzaga, Nebraska and Oklahoma - their really only big challengers. Providence lost to Michigan but did just beat Texas on the road, 71-65. The Friars finished 10-3 S/U and 7-5 ATS. Creighton is only 2-8 ATS in its last 10 vs the Big 10 and 1-6 ATS in the last seven overall road games. The Friars are 5-1 ATS in their last six vs the Big East and 5-1 ATS overall their last six. I like Providence here today at home.
|12-30-18||Drexel v. Hofstra -13.5||75-89||Win||100||6 h 58 m||Show|
Colonial Athletic contest here between the reeling Drexel Dragons and the very good Hofstra Pride. Drexel brings a three game losing streak into this contest and has also lost four of the last five. Hofstra opened conference play with a rout of Delaware, 91-46. The Dragons have won eight straight games and covered four straight and 10 of their 12 lines this season. This should be an easy cover for the home team, even with a line of 14.5-points. Take Hofstra.
|12-30-18||Oakland -4.5 v. Youngstown State||76-74||Loss||-108||4 h 57 m||Show|
Two teams both struggling meet up here on Sunday with 5-9 Oakland playing at 4-10 Youngstown State. Oakland Golden Grizzlies are 10-3-2 ATS in their last 15 road games vs a losing home team. Youngstown Penguins are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 overall and 0-5 ATS their last five vs the Horizon League. The road team has had the best of it in this series, going 8-3-1 ATS the last 12 meetings. Oakland is favored on the road for a reason, they are the better team. Play Oakland.
|12-29-18||St. John's +3.5 v. Seton Hall||74-76||Win||100||9 h 30 m||Show|
Undefeated St Johns (12-0) takes on 9-3 Seton Hall here today. St John's isn't ranked because of the quality of their opponents. They did beat VCU in OT, Cal and Rutgers. However, none of those three are as good as they used to be. Seton Hall has won five straight since they had a two-game losing streak. The two teams they lost to were Miami Florida by 18 points and Louisville by five pints. Hard to not take an undefeated team getting points. My numbers have these teams about even, so I'll take the points here with St Johns.
|12-21-18||Ole Miss -13 v. Middle Tennessee||Top||74-56||Win||100||6 h 4 m||Show|
Ole Miss takes their 8-2 record both S/U and ATS tonight to Middle Tennessee State (3-8 S/U and 0-9 ATS). Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders still looking for that first cover of the season against nine losses. In addition, they are just 1-12 ATS their last 13 games. The club hasn't even won straight up since their fourth game of the year vs Charleston Southern. It's been a long losing streak for the Raiders and it doesn't look to end here tonight either vs Ole Miss. Not only is Ole Miss on a five-game win streak, but they have covered four straight. This game won't be played on the MTSU home court, rather it will move from Murfeesburo to Nashville, TN. A change of venue won't help this Raiders team tonight. Look for a blowout win by Ole Miss.
|12-21-18||Illinois State v. UCF -13.5||56-77||Win||100||5 h 4 m||Show|
Illinois State (7-5 S/U, 4-6 ATS) plays at Central Florida (9-2 S/U, 7-4 ATS) tonight. Illinois State Redbirds coming off an OT home win over Cleveland State, 88-77 as 9.5-point favorites. The Birds snapped a three game losing streak both S/U and ATS with that win. The CF Knights have won three straight games and eight of their last nine. The Red Birds are just 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 away games and 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs a winning home team. Meanwhile, the Knights are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games and 37-18 ATS in their last 55 home games. Central Florida should have no trouble covering this game tonight. Play Central Florida.
|12-21-18||IUPU-Indianapolis -2 v. Morehead State||70-74||Loss||-109||4 h 35 m||Show|
Indiana-Purdue off to a good start this season as they get ready for conference play. The Jaguars are 8-4 S/U and 8-2 ATS so far this season. Jags coming off a loss though at Indiana-Fort Wayne, 77-87. IUPUI did get a quality win earlier this year at Boston College with a 71-65 win as 16.5-point dogs. Morehead State has lost three straight games and six of their last seven. In addition, they have covered just one time in their last six tries. The Eagles are just 1-4-1 in their last six non-conference games and 2-12 ATS in their last 14 vs the Horizon conference. Jaguars just a much better team and laying just two points is a steal here tonight. Play Indiana-Purdue.
|12-19-18||Auburn v. NC State +2||Top||71-78||Win||100||6 h 30 m||Show|
Great matchup here as a pair of 9-1 teams faceoff with NC State hosting Auburn. Despite their identical records, Auburn ranked 7th in the country while NC State not even ranked. Auburn has not covered it's last three games and had to go to OT to beat UAB last time out, 75-71. The Tigers are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs a team with a winning record. NC State has covered four straight games and seven of nine this year. The Wolfpack scores a lot of points, at least 80 in each of the last three and has not scored less than 75 points in any game this season. In addition, the Wolfpack are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games. Yet, Auburn is a 1-point favorite here tonight. My numbers have NC State a 4-point favorite and considering how well NC State is covering, I have to agree. Take NC State.
|12-19-18||Penn State v. Duquesne +5.5||73-67||Loss||-109||5 h 30 m||Show|
Penn State just 5-5 thus far. They have played two games against Big 10 foes and are 0-2 both S/U and ATS. The Nittany Lions are 0-4 ATS their last four and 3-6 ATS on the season. Duquesne has had a good non-conference slate, going 8-2 S/U and 4-5 ATS. The Dukes have played pretty much at home with just two road games. They will play the next three at home too. That makes it much easier for this club. They have been big favorites of late, at least 12.5 points in their last three games. Today for some reason they are a dog at home to a 5-5 club. I find that difficult to understand, especially for a team that's been playing mostly home games to this point. In addition, the Dukes are 6-2-1 ATS their last nine vs the Big 10. Taking the points is too easy for me here. Play Duquesne.
|12-18-18||Buffalo +3.5 v. Syracuse||71-59||Win||100||8 h 36 m||Show|
A matchup of top 25 teams here today. Buffalo is off to it's best start with a perfect 10-0 mark this season and a No. 14 national ranking. No 25. Syracuse is coming off a disappointing home lose to Old Dominion, 62-68 as a 9.5-point favorite. Syracuse will have to slow down a Bulls offense that has been very good and led by CJ Massinburg who averages 17.1 ppg. The Orange have only covered three of their last four games. Meanwhile, Buffalo has covered six of eight. They also have scored 73 points or more in seven straight and all but one game this year. I like Buffalo in this one to win outright, but I'll take the 3 or 4 points here with the road dog. Play Buffalo.
|12-17-18||Ball State +1 v. Valparaiso||Top||77-61||Win||100||9 h 14 m||Show|
A pair of 6-4 teams matchup here today as Valparaiso hosts Ball State. Ball State is 5-4 ATS on the season. As the MAC season approaches, Ball State has its last non-conference road game here today. The Cardinals are 3-1 ATS on the road this year against those non-conference teams. This team can score points, evidenced by their 75 or more points in six straight games and eight of their 10 this year. Valpo is only 3-6 ATS on the season. The Crusaders are 2-5 ATS in their last seven non-conference games and 1-6 ATS their last seven after a straight-up win. The Crusaders are coming off a win at George Washington, 82-79 as 4.5-point chalks. This game basically a pick by the oddsmakers, but my numbers show Ball State should be the favorite. I'm taking the visitor here today. Play Ball State.
|12-17-18||Arizona State -1 v. Vanderbilt||65-81||Loss||-106||8 h 15 m||Show|
Arizona State is off to a really nice start this year. But that shouldn't come as a surprise, this Sun Devils' team usually does well before PAC-12 play. The Devils are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 Non-conference games. ASU is 8-1 S/U and 3-4 ATS this season. The Sun Devils haven't done well covering those double-digit favorite lines this year, going 1-3 ATS. Today, they lay just 1-point to Vanderbilt. Vandy is 6-2 S/U and 3-4 ATS this season. Vandy has been double digit favorites in five of their seven games. That means they are playing very inferior competition. Their only two challenges were a 15-point loss to North Carolina State and a win at USC, 82-78. I'm not convinced this Vandy team is very good. I know ASU is good and I just need them to win here tonight. Play Arizona State.
|12-17-18||Davidson -1.5 v. Wake Forest||63-67||Loss||-115||8 h 14 m||Show|
Davidson brings its 8-2 S/U and 7-3 record to Wake Forest tonight. The Demon Deacons of Wake Forest are 5-3 S/U and 3-5 ATS. Davidson is 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall, all non-conference games. Davidson is coming off its second loss of the season, a 75-77 OT setback in a tournament to Temple. Still, they have covered five of their last six. Wake can't seem to get any momentum going. The Deacons have won more than one game in a row just one time this season. They are also 1-3 ATS in their last four games. They are also 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games and 7-19 ATS in their last 26 overall. I'm taking Davidson here today minus 2-points. Play Davidson.
|12-15-18||Cincinnati +5 v. Mississippi State||59-70||Loss||-108||21 h 51 m||Show|
A pair of teams with one loss each meet here on Saturday as Cincinnati plays at Miss State. Cincinnati is 9-1 S/U and 6-4 ATS. The Bearcats only loss so far came on opening day when they lost at home to Ohio State, 56-64 as 4.5-point favorites. Since then, it's been nine straight wins including victories over UNLV, Ole Miss and last game vs Xavier, 62-47. Miss State is 8-1 S/U and 4-5 ATS. The Bulldogs have won five straight after their only loss to Arizona State, 67-72. Unfortunately for the Bulldogs, they have not done all that well vs the numbers, going 2-4 ATS in their last six games. My numbers have this game a toss-up, but the oddsmakers made Miss State a 5-point favorite. I'm taking the points here with Cincinnati.
|12-15-18||Middle Tennessee v. Toledo -14.5||62-84||Win||100||19 h 20 m||Show|
Middle Tennessee State having a rough go of it thus far this season at 3-7 S/U and 0-8 ATS. That's right the Blue Raiders have yet to cover a spread in eight tries this season. In addition, they are 0-6 ATS in their last six away games. They are coming off a home drubbing at the hands of Murray State, 42-64 as 4.5-point dogs. Toledo off to a very good start this year at 9-1 S/U and 5-4 ATS. The Rockets only loss coming at Wright State back in mid-November, 74-84. The oddsmakers made Toledo about a 14-point chalk here. My numbers say that is way too low. Toledo should have not trouble covering this spread on Saturday. Play Toledo.
|12-15-18||Penn State v. NC State -3.5||78-89||Win||100||14 h 21 m||Show|
Reason: Boardwalk Classic here from Atlantic City, NJ. The 8-1 North Carolina State Wolfpack takes on the 5-4 Penn State Nittany Lions. Penn State has lost two of their last three games and is coming off a win over Colgate, 76-65. However, the failed to cover the 15-point spread in that game. They have lost three straight to the spread and four of their last five games. NC State has just one loss and that came at the hands of Wisconsin, 75-79. The Wolfpack did cover that game though and has covered three straight and six of eight. NC State just 3.5-point favorite here today. My numbers have this game as a 12-point NC State tilt. I have to go with my own in this spot. I'm taking NC State.
|12-15-18||Rutgers +6.5 v. Seton Hall||66-72||Win||100||14 h 20 m||Show|
Rutgers brings a 5-4 record into today's game at Seton Hall. The Scarlet Knights have lost three straight games and are 1-2 ATS their last three. The Seton Hall Pirates are also 5-4 S/U as they come into this game. Just three games left until they enter conference play. The Pirates have won two-straight games and are coming off a big home win over Kentucky, 84-83 in OT as 7-point dogs. That could be an issue here for the Pirates. Seton Hall could be in for a big letdown today. The Scarlet Knights are 14-6-1 ATS their last 21 non-conference games and 5-1 ATS in their last six road games. My number has this game closer to a pick and with that big Kentucky win, look for a Seton Hall letdown today. Play Rutgers.
|12-12-18||San Diego +8.5 v. Oregon||55-65||Loss||-109||7 h 3 m||Show|
San Diego off to an excellent start at 8-2 S/U and 6-3 ATS. The Toreros have been a great covering road team, evidenced by their 21-9-1 ATS mark in their last 31 away games. In addition, they have done well vs winning teams too, posting a 13-6 ATS mark the last 19 times they faced an opponent with a 60% win mark or better. The Oregon Ducks are 5-3 S/U and 4-4 ATS. The Ducks are just 1-3 ATS in their last four games overall. They lost at home to Texas Southern 84-89 and at Houston 61-65 in two of their last three games. San Diego getting 8-points here tonight is too many for me to pass on. Take San Diego.
|12-12-18||Murray State +2 v. Southern Illinois||80-52||Win||100||5 h 4 m||Show|
Murray State comes into tonight's contes with a 5-1 S/U and 5-0 ATS mark. The Racers are a good covering team; 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 vs the Missouri Valley; 6-1 their last seven road games vs a winning tea; 5-0 ATS their last five non-conf games. Southern Illinois also off to a good start at 7-3 S/U and ATS. My numbers show me that Murray State should be the favorite in this game and the oddsmakers have made Southern Illinois the chalk. That means I'm on the dog here with Murray State.
|12-11-18||Georgia Southern v. UCF -10||88-95||Loss||-105||7 h 47 m||Show|
Georgia Southern off a win at Mercer, 89-74. That win snapped a two-game losing streak and brings their record to 6-2 S/U on the season and 5-2 ATS. The one issue for the Eagles is that they have not done well against winning teams, evidenced by their 4-9 ATS mark vs .600 teams and above. That's just what they face here today in Central Florida. The Knights are 7-2 both S/U and ATS this season. The Knights are now in the midst of a five-game home stand. Central Florida is now 6-1 ATS in their last seven vs non-conference teams and 37-16 ATS in their last 53 home games. I like the home team here today. Play Central Florida.
|12-07-18||Nevada -6 v. Arizona State||72-66||Push||0||9 h 2 m||Show|
Matchup here of ranked and unbeaten teams as No 6 Nevada (8-0 S/U) plays at No 20 Arizona State (7-0). This game being played in Los Angeles in the Hall of Fame Classic. ASU has not covered its last two games vs Nebraska Omaha and Texas Southern. The Sun Devils haven't done well against teams with a winning straight-up record, evidenced by their 4-12-2 ATS mark their last 18 tries. Nevada has been a major power this season. Not only are they 8-0 S/U, but they have covered six and lost just one vs the number. Their lone spread loss coming in a tournament game against Tulsa where they failed to cover the 14-point line. Still, Nevada has been good to bettors, going 39-16-4 ATS their last 59 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Nevada is the real deal while I'm not convinced yet with ASU. Take Nevada here and lay the points.
|12-07-18||NC-Greensboro -12 v. Elon||75-74||Loss||-115||4 h 3 m||Show|
UNC Greensboro off a loss to Kentucky, 61-78. However, UNCG still has a nice 7-2 S/U record and 4-2 ATS mark. The Spartans are now 5-0 ATS in their last five vs the Colonial Athletic Conference. They are also 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games. Elon comes into this contest at 3-6 S/U and 2-5 ATS. The Phoenix have lost two straight home games both S/U and ATS to Furman and Boston University. Elon's only wins coming against Central Penn College and Milligan, both small basketball schools. Elon has not been good at covering, evidenced by their 5-17 ATS the last 22 games, 0-6 ATS their last six home games and 2-6 ATS their last eight vs the Southern Conference. Greensboro the class of this matchup. Lay the points here with UNC Greensboro.
|12-05-18||San Francisco v. California +6.5||Top||79-60||Loss||-107||8 h 50 m||Show|
San Francisco in a bit of a tough spot here having played not long again in that Belfast Tournament. They had to make the very long trip from Ireland back to the West Coast and have to be jet lagged still. Now they have to move up in class to play a PAC-12 school in Cal. San Francisco was 7-0 before they lost to Buffalo in that tournament, 81-85 as 4.5-point dogs. Cal is just 2-5 S/U and ATS this season with their two wins coming against Hampton and Santa Clara. I don't think Cal is the better team between these two, at least this early, but with San Fran in this bad spot I look for Cal to win tonight or at least cover the 6-point dog line. Take Cal.
|12-05-18||Middle Tennessee v. Vanderbilt -14.5||51-79||Win||100||4 h 20 m||Show|
Middle Tennessee State (MTS) is 3-5 S/U and 0-6 ATS to start the season. The Blue Raiders are 0-7 ATS in their last seven non-conference games and 0-5 ATS in their last five overall road games. Vanderbilt is 5-2 S/U and 2-4 ATS this far. Vandy is off a tournament loss to NC State, 65-80. This is the kind of matchup where my numbers come into play and my numbers have Vandy a bigger favorite then the points they are laying tonight. It's a tall order, but I look for the Commodores to cover this one. Play Vandy.
|12-05-18||Ohio State -5.5 v. Illinois||77-67||Win||100||4 h 50 m||Show|
Ohio State is off to a 7-1 S/U and 5-3 ATS start. The Buckeyes only loss coming at home against Syracuse a couple of games ago, 62-72. The Buckeyes will have 10 days off after tonight's contest, so don't look for them to look past this contest. Illinois is not doing well, off to a 2-7 S/U and 3-6 ATS start. The Illini have lost two straight games including their last at Nebraska, 60-75. Today's game being played at Chicago, so it's a neutral site. Illinois is just 2-5 ATS on the last seven neutral sites. Buckeyes laying just 5.5-points here on this neutral court is too good a value for me to pass on. Play Ohio State.
|12-04-18||Wofford +16.5 v. Kansas||47-72||Loss||-107||6 h 53 m||Show|
Wofford brings its 6-2 record tonight to Kansas tonight to face the Jayhawks. Wofford has won four straight games including a 20-point win over South Carolina. They also played to just 11 points of North Carolina and 11 points to Oklahoma. In fact, they missed covering both of those games by just 2 points or one point. They are 4-2 ATS, but could easily be 6-0 ATS if not for those two close losses. Kansas is 6-0 S/U and 3-3 AST on the season. The No 2 Jayhawks laying 16.5-points here tonight. Wofford is now 7-1 ATS in its last eight road games. I think this is too many points, especially when my own power lines has it below 10. I'm taking a very good Wofford team to stay close in this one.
|12-04-18||Indiana v. Penn State -2.5||64-62||Loss||-115||5 h 53 m||Show|
Indiana (6-2 S/U, 2-5 ATS) visits Penn State in a Big 10 clash today. While Indiana has a good record at 6-2, they have lost five straight to the spread. That includes a 21-point loss to Duke as 15-point dogs. In fact, the Hoosiers are now 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games. Penn State is coming off a loss at Maryland, 59-66 as 6.5-point dogs, just missing the cover. They are now 3-3 ATS vs the number. Still, the Nittany Lions have done well in the Big 10, going 10-4 ATS their last 14 vs the conference. In addition, they are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 overall. Indiana also may be without one of their best today in Forward Juwan Morgan (knee) who is averaging 16.3 pts per game. With or without Morgan, I like the Nittany Lions here tonight.
|11-30-18||Wagner v. American -8||Top||64-58||Loss||-105||5 h 7 m||Show|
American brings a 4-1 record into tonight's contest. American is also 4-0 ATS. Their only loss came in game two at Northweastern, 51-63. Wagner looks to snap a two game losing streak tonight. Wagner lost at home to New Jersey Tech, 60-71 and then at home to Rider, 65-89. In fact, they are just 1-2 at home this season and 1-2 on the road. What I like about an Extra game like this is that the oddsmaker can't make a solid number on every game and this is an example. American just 8-point chalk here tonight and my own numbers have them closer to 20. That's a big edge for me and ulitmately you. Play American.
|11-28-18||Purdue +4 v. Florida State||72-73||Win||100||8 h 55 m||Show|
Both of these clubs enter tonight's contest at 5-1 S/U. Purdue is also 4-2 ATS. The Boilermakers have been favored in every game so far this season. This looks to be their first big test of the season. Florida State lost its first game last time out in a tourney game against Villanova, 60-66 as 2.5-point favorites. The Seminoles had to go to OT to beat LSU the game before that, 79-76. The Seminoles are just 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 home games against a team with a winning road record. My numbers show me this line just too high for FSU to be laying. I'll take the dog here, play Purdue.
|11-28-18||Northern Iowa v. Utah State -11||Top||52-71||Win||100||8 h 40 m||Show|
Northern Iowa struggling a bit to a 3-3 S/U record to start their season. The Panthers are now 5-16 ATS their last 21 non-conference games. The are also 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 road games and 2-5 ATS vs the Mountain West. Meanwhile, Utah State comes into tonight's game at 5-1 S/U and 4-1 ATS. The Aggies only loss so far coming last time out vs Arizona State, 82-87. The Aggies are now 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games and 8-2 ATS vs the Missouri Valley conference. My line is pretty much double what the oddsmakers have put here tonight. My top play of the day is on Utah State
|11-28-18||Bradley v. IUPU-Indianapolis +3.5||73-85||Win||100||6 h 39 m||Show|
Bradley Braves off to a 6-1 S/U start and 3-3 ATS mark. The Braves haven't really played anyone other than Penn State, whom they beat 59-56 as 6-point dogs. Indiana Purdue is 4-2 S/U and 6-0 ATS. The Jaguars are now 8-1-2 ATS in their last 11 games and 4-0-2 ATS vs non-conference opponents. Bradley is just 3-11 ATS in its last 11 road games. Bradley installed as the favorite here, but numbers show that IU Purdue should be the chalk. I'm taking the home team here. Play Indiana-Purdue.
|11-27-18||East Tennessee State +4 v. Georgia Southern||69-64||Win||100||17 h 28 m||Show|
East Tennessee State brings a four game win streak into this game. The Buccaneers are now 12-3-2 ATS their last 17 road games and 23-8-1 ATS in their last 32 non-conference games. Georgia Southern brings a 5-0 S/U and 4-0 ATS record into tonight's game. The Eagles haven't played in nine days, which could find them rusty here tonight after such a long layoff. This one promises to be a good matchup between two evenly matched teams. I like the points though with the Bucs as they have been one of the road covering teams. Play East Tennessee State.
|11-26-18||Santa Clara v. California -7.5||66-78||Win||100||10 h 35 m||Show|
Two teams in desperate need of a win meet today as 1-4 Santa Clara takes on their neighbor 1-3 California. Santa Clara won its first game of the year last time out over San Jose, 71-63. That snapped a four game losing streak which included a 17-point loss at home to Prairie View A&M. Cal has lost two straight, to St Johns and Temple. The Bears are 2-2 ATS on the season. Santa Clara is now just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs non-conference opponents. Santa Clara moves up in class here today as they play a PAC 12 team and that will be tough considering Santa Clara couldn't even beat Prairie View. I'll lay the points here with Cal.
|11-26-18||Nebraska +3.5 v. Clemson||68-66||Win||100||8 h 35 m||Show|
A pair of 5-1 teams clash here today as Nebraska takes on Clemson. Nebraska has a 3-1-1 ATS mark and is coming off a 73-49 win over Western Illinois though they pushed the 24-point line. The team's one loss was a recent tourney game vs Texas Tech, 52-70. Clemson maybe 5-1 S/U, but hey are just 1-4 ATS on the season. The Tigers lost last time out vs Creighton, 82-87. The Huskers are now 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 vs non-conference teams and 8-2 ATS their last 10 on the road. Nebraska also has a 6-1 ATS mark vs the ACC and is 22-5-1 ATS in their last 28 overall games. Meanwhile, Clemson is just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs the Big 10 and 1-5 ATS their last 6 at home. Nebraska has been a great spread team and that's something I'm not going against here tonight. Play Nebraska.
|11-25-18||Miami-FL -5.5 v. Seton Hall||81-83||Loss||-105||12 h 38 m||Show|
The Wooden Legacy Final Round here from Fullerton, CA has Miami Florida facing off against Seton Hall. Miami is 5-0 S/U and 2-2 ATS so far on the season. The Canes have beat Lasalle and Fresno State in this tournament, failing to cover their last game vs Fresno as a 8.5-point favorite. Seton Hall is 3-2 S/U and has won both games of the tourney both S/U and ATS. Seton Hall has covered both games in the tourney after failing to cover any of their first three games. Miami is a 5.5-point favorite here today. My own numbers have the Canes at least a 9-point favorite. I'm taking the undefeated Canes on Sunday. Play Miami Florida.
|11-25-18||Villanova v. Florida State -2||66-60||Loss||-105||2 h 7 m||Show|
Advocare Invitational final round action here from Orlando Florida as Florida State takes on Villanova. Villanova comes into this contest 4-2 S/U and 3-2 ATS. The Wildcats have won two straight in the tournament, beating Canisius and then Oklahoma State, getting the cover against both. Florida State is a perfect 5-0 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. The Seminoles are 2-0 in this tourney, beating UAB in the opener and then going into OT to beat LSU in the last game, 79-76. They failed to cover the 4-point spread vs LSU. The Seminoles are now 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 non conference games. FSU just a 2-point favorite here today while my own numbers make them a 9-point chalk here today. Take Florida State.
|11-24-18||Colorado -4.5 v. Air Force||93-56||Win||100||7 h 41 m||Show|
Colorado looks to improve to 3-1 today with a win over their neighbors from the South, Air Force. The Buffaloes started with a pair of wins and then lost last time out at San Diego, 64-70 as 4-point dogs. Meanwhile, Air Force has just two wins and three losses to start the season. The Falcons are off a loss to High Point, 62-69 as a 1-point favorite. Their only two wins coming against J&W Denver and South Dakota. Colorado a 5-point favorite here today and once again I rely heavily on my own power lines which have the Buffaloes as 9-point chalks. I'll lay the price here with Colorado.
|11-24-18||St. Joe's -4 v. William & Mary||85-87||Loss||-108||5 h 41 m||Show|
St Joe's looks to snap a two-game losing streak today after starting the season 3-0. The Hawks are 3-2 ATS this season and 8-2 ATS dating back to last season. William & Mary opened the season with a win over High Point, 79-69. However, it's been low points since, going 0-4 S/U and 1-3 ATS. The Tribe's only cover coming at Notre Dame in a 64-73 loss as 11.5-point dogs. St Joe's just a 4-point road chalk here today and my numbers more than double that number. I'm laying the points with St Josephs.
|11-24-18||Valparaiso +15.5 v. West Virginia||76-88||Win||100||3 h 40 m||Show|
Valparaiso brings a 3-2 record into today's contest at 2-2 West Virginia. Valp hasn't played all easy games, with a loss against Wake Forest, 63-69 and a loss to Western Kentucky 71-83. They are coming off an overtime win over Southern Illinois, 75-70. West Virginia has losses to Buffalo, 94-99 in OT and Western Kentucky 57-63. They are now 0-4 ATS on the season. West Virginia has yet to cover a spread, so the oddsmakers install them as 16.5-point favorites in today's contest. I think that's a bit much so I'll take the points with Valpo.
|11-21-18||Harvard v. San Francisco -7||57-61||Loss||-110||7 h 30 m||Show|
Harvard makes the long West Coast trip here tonight to play San Francisco. Harvard is 2-2 S/U and 2-1 ATS on the short season. Harvard is coming off a road loss at Rhode Island, 74-76, but covered the 4-point dog line. Meanwhile, San Francisco has rolled through its first four games to a 4-0 S/U and 3-0 ATS record. The Dons haven't really played any competition, but they have covered all the oddsmakers lines with ease thus far. San Fran is a 7.5 point favorite here tonight, but my numbers have them double that. I'm going to lay the points here with the home team as they play a tired Harvard squad. Play San Francisco.
|11-20-18||Colorado v. San Diego -4||64-70||Win||100||9 h 20 m||Show|
Colorado comes into tonight's contest with a 2-0 record after beating Drake in their opener and then Nebraska-Omaha last time out, 79-75. They failed to cover their last game as a 17-point favorite. San Diego is 3-1 S/U and 3-0 ATS. Their lone loss coming at Washington, 63-66 as a 9.5-point dog. Their last game was a win over San Diego CC 95-47 with no line. Colorado is 18-40-1 ATS in its last 59 games. Meanwhile, San Diego is 12-5 ATS in the last 17 non-conference games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 overall. My numbers have San Diego a much stronger favorite then the oddsmakers have installed them as. I'm taking San Diego here today.
|11-20-18||Wright State +6 v. Penn State||59-77||Loss||-102||8 h 49 m||Show|
Cancun Challenge action here today has Wright State taking on Penn State. The Raiders of Wright State are 3-1 both S/U and ATS to start the season. Their lone loss coming at Murray State, 54-73 as 2.5-points road dogs. Penn State is 2-1 S/U and 1-1 ATS to start the season. The Nittany Lions are coming off a road loss to Depaul, 70-72 as 1.5-point favorites. Wright State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games and 6-1 ATS their last seven vs a team with a winning record. Oddsmakers have Penn State at 7.5 point favorites, but my own power lines have this game close to a four. I'm taking Wright State tonight.
|11-20-18||Bradley +3 v. SMU||75-62||Win||100||5 h 19 m||Show|
Bradley opened up the season with three straight wins before losing last time out at Illinois Chicago, 70-71 as a 1-point favorite. Bradley plays in today's Cancun Challenge against SMU. SMU is only 2-2 S/U and 1-3 ATS on the young season. The Mustangs lost at home to Lipscomb last time out, 73-79 as 10-point favorites. In fact, SMU has lost three of its four games on its own home court. SMU is also 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games vs a team with a winning record. I'm taking Bradley here today.
|11-19-18||Oregon State v. Pennsylvania +4.5||74-58||Loss||-105||6 h 43 m||Show|
Paradise Jam final round from St Thomas Virgin Islands today has Oregon State and Penn facing off. Oregon State had won their first three games of the season before losing yesterday in the tourney to Missouri, 63-69. The Beavers are 2-2 ATS though they failed to cover as a 3-point favorite vs Missouri. Penn also started out without a loss, winning four straight out of the gate before dropping yesterday's game to Kansas State, 48-64. It was also their first loss vs the number as they sit at 4-1 ATS. Oregon State is the 3.5-point favorite here and that goes against my own number which has Penn as a slight favorite. The Beavers are just 8-20 ATS their last 28 vs non-conference opponents and 3-8 ATS vs teams with a winning straight up record. I think this game should be closer to a pick and i'll take the points with Penn.
|11-19-18||Auburn -9 v. Xavier||88-79||Push||0||3 h 44 m||Show|
Auburn brings is 3-0 record into today's first round of the Maui Invitational. They will take on the 2-1 Xavier Muskateers. Auburn has had three easy wins against South Alabama, Washington and then Mississippi College. The Tigers have covered both of their spread games easily. Xavier opened with a pair of wins over Indiana Purdue and then Evansville. They lost last time out at home t Wisconsin, 68-77 as a 1-point favorite. The Muskateers are now 0-3 vs the spread. Auburn has shown little trouble in it's three games and my number favors the Tigers today. I'll go with my own power lines here and take Auburn in this opening round of the Maui Invitational.
|11-18-18||Pennsylvania +10.5 v. Kansas State||48-64||Loss||-102||10 h 3 m||Show|
Second Round of the Paradise Jam from the Virgin Islands has Penn playing Kansas State. Both these teams are undefeated, with Penn at 4-0 both S/U and ATS and Kansas State at 3-0 S/U and 1-1 ATS. Penn has beaten George Mason, Rice, Lafayette and Northern Iowa, scoring at least 72 points in each game. Kansas State scored just 56 vs Kennesaw State and 64 vs Denver. They did erupt for 95 vs Eastern Kentucky. I don't see that here today as Penn can put up the points and 10.5 is a lot to cover for K State. My personal power lines has this game close to a pick'em, yet the oddsmakers installed K State as a 10.5-point favorite. That's way off my numbers as I see Penn giving K State all it can handle here today. Play Penn.
|11-18-18||St. Joe's +7.5 v. West Virginia||90-97||Win||100||7 h 32 m||Show|
St Joe's brings a 3-1 S/U and 2-2 ATS record into today's finals of the Myrtle Beach Invitational. St Joe's won its first three games before losing las time out against Central Florida, 57-77. West Virginia is 1-2 S/U and 0-3 ATS to start the season. The bad news for the Mountaineers is that they lost to Buffalo in OT and Western Kentucky. Their lone win coming against Monmouth. Yet, West Virginia is a 8-point favorite here today. My personal power lines have the Mountaineers closer to 4-points. That makes this a play for me on St Joes.
|11-16-18||Ole Miss v. Butler -8.5||76-83||Loss||-105||6 h 39 m||Show|
Ole Miss plays its second game of the season after an opening home win over Western Michigan, 90-64. The Rebels also covered the 14 point line. Butler opened the season with a win over Miami-Ohio, 90-68 as 15.5-point favorites and then followed that with a 84-63 win over Detroit as 26-point favorites. That makes the Bulldogs 1-1 ATS on the season. The Rebels are just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games. Butler is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 home games and 41-20-1 ATS in the last 62 non-conference games. Butler is scoring in bunches and should have little trouble covering the 9.5-point line today. Plays Butler.
|11-14-18||Jacksonville State v. Bradley -5.5||65-74||Win||100||5 h 26 m||Show|
Jacksonville State is not a good team. They have played two away games and are 0-2 both S/U and ATS. They opened with a blowout loss at Samford, a team with a seven point lower power rating then themselves. Then their second game was a loss at Penn State, 61-76. Meanwhile, Bradley opened with a win over Wisconsin Parkside, 74-58 and then a home win over SE Missouri State, 68-57. They are 0-1 ATS. The Samford Gamecocks are 2-5 ATS their last seven games while Bradley is 20-5-1 ATS their last 26 at home vs a team with a losing road record. They are also 20-5-2 ATS their last 27 at home. I rely heavily on my own numbers this early in the season and I have Bradley well into the double-digit favorite. Yet, the oddsmakers and bettors have driven this number to just six. That's a bargain for me, I'm taking Bradley.
|11-13-18||Rhode Island +2 v. College of Charleston||55-66||Loss||-107||6 h 15 m||Show|
Rhode Island playing its second game of the season tonight. They opened with an easy win over Bryant, 97-63. The Rams shot 48.6% from the field and 48.1% from three-point land. The Rams are one of the best Atlantic 10 teams. College of Charleston playing its third game. They opened with a win over Presbyterian College, 85-73. Then they beat Western Carolina on the road, 77-74, but failed to cover the 11.5 point line. They struggled defensively as they trailed by nine-points mid way through the second half. I was alarmed at how Charleston played defensively against a much inferior opponent. The Rams might not be as good this year, but I like them plus the small line tonight. Play Rhode Island.
|11-13-18||Wisconsin v. Xavier +1||77-68||Loss||-113||6 h 46 m||Show|
Wisconsin opened its season with an easy home win over Coppin State, 85-63. Xavier were heavy favorites in both of their opening games, a wins over Indiana Purdue, 82-69 and Evansville, 91-85. They failed to cover both games however. Wisconsin had a down year last season, going just 15-18 and 7-11 in Big 10 play. The poor season broke a 19-7 year run of NCAA appearances. Xavier has done well vs the Big 10, going 14-2 ATS their last 16. Will Wisconsin improve this year? I think they will, but not tonight. They play a very good Muskateers team that should win at home over Wisconsin. Play Xavier.
|11-12-18||San Diego +8.5 v. Washington||63-66||Win||100||21 h 35 m||Show|
San Diego out to a 2-0 S/U and ATS start to its season. SDG opened with a nice home win over Weber State, 83-66 and the followed that up with a blowout win over UC Davis, 76-57. Now they travel to Washington to face the Huskies. Washington won its opener at home over Western Kentucky, 73-55 and then lost at Auburn 66-88 a few nights ago. It's early in the season, but my own power rating numbers show that San Diego shouldn't be more than a 4-point dog. They come as an 8-point dog and that gives me a nice dog play. Play San Diego U.
|11-12-18||UC-Davis v. Arkansas -15||Top||58-81||Win||100||18 h 34 m||Show|
UC Davis already showing it's one of the worst teams in college basketball. Davis got shredded in its opening game by San Francisco, 42-76 and then again by San Diego U in its second game, 57-76, failing to cover the spread in both games. Arkansas didn't open with some pushover team. No, they played at Texas and gave the Longhorns all they could handle. The Hogs took Texas to overtime before losing 71-73 but covering the 6.5-point dog line. Now the Hogs return home to face a very bad Davis squad. With five days off before their next game, I look for the Razorbacks to go all out for their first home win. Lay the points in a blowout win. Take Arkansas.
|11-09-18||Wichita State v. Providence -4.5||83-80||Loss||-110||16 h 22 m||Show|
Veteran's Classic action here from Annapolis, MD. Wichita State opened with a home loss to Louisiana Tech, 58-71. The loss was shocking for the Shockers since they were 9-point chalks and got beat by 12. They will take on a Providence team tonight that also failed to cover first time out to Siena. The Friars won at home over the Saints, 77-67, but failed to cover the 19.5 point line. Wichita State is now 7-21-1 ATS in its last 29 games on a neutral site. They have also failed to cover the spread in their last eight games dating back to last season. The Friars are 19-9 AST in their last 28 on a neutral site. Providence looks to be the better of these two early in the season. I'll lay the small price here with the Friars. Take Providence.
|11-08-18||Siena +7 v. George Washington||69-61||Win||100||5 h 18 m||Show|
Siena Saints opened its season with a loss at Providence, 67-77, but covered the 19.5-point line. George Washington had a disappointing start to the season, losing at home to Stony Brook, 74-77. Siena lost four of its top 5 scorers from last season. They also have a new head coach in Jamion Christian. Christian will bring a new system with him to Siena that he will start building around Khalil Richard and Evan Fisher who return. Poor GW, they started their game with Stony Brook leading 22-0 to start the game. What looked like a runaway victory turned into defeat as Stony Brook came back to win, despite shooting just 38.6% from the field. GW will have to do much better then that if they hope to improve on last year's 15-18 record. The Saints have been good out of conference, evidenced by their 7-3 ATS mark. Two teams that both looks to have down seasons, but I'll take the points in this one with the visitor. Take Siena.
|11-06-18||Duke v. Kentucky -1||Top||118-84||Loss||-105||11 h 19 m||Show|
Opening night of the college basketball season and we are already treated to a marquee matchup here tonight between Duke and Kentucky. This is part of the Champion's Classic from Indianapolis that also features Michigan State and Kansas. Duke had a great recruiting class, landing three top prospects in RJ Barrett, Cam Reddish and Zion Williamson. Kentucky also has some great incoming freshmen including Immanuel Quickley. The difference in this one, the experience of Kentucky. Might take a few games for all this new talent to jell in Duke, but Kentucky returns more experienced players. Sit back, enjoy a great matchup here and take Kentucky.
|11-06-18||Louisiana Tech +10 v. Wichita State||71-58||Win||100||19 h 57 m||Show|
Opening night in college hoops means a lot of sports going on these days. Today, I am looking at La Tech for one main reason. The Bulldogs had some extra practice time in some Costa Rica exhibition games. Any extra practice these teams can get in before the start of the season is big. Plus, Wichita State is 0-6 ATS in its last six home games and 0-7 ATS in the last seven overall. Can't go crazy in these early games, but there's value in Louisiana Tech tonight.
|03-31-18||Loyola-Chicago +5.5 v. Michigan||57-69||Loss||-105||89 h 60 m||Show|
Number 11 Loyola Chicago has done the improbable, advancing to the final four to take on Michigan. Loyola is definitely the Cinderella team in this field of four tournament veterans. Loyola last won a national championship in 1963. The Ramblers also have a 14-game win streak, longest among the four remaining teams. Both these teams will be very similar. They both boast very good defenses and efficient offenses. Both of these teams will be more than happy to play a half court, deliberate game and not turn this into a track meet. Loyola ranks fifth in effective field goal percentage while Michigan ranks 47th. Loyola is also 11th in the country in three-point percentage and ninth in overall field goal percentage. This will not be a high scoring game with both these defenses on the floor. I think the 5 or 5 1/2 we can get with Loyola is just too much to pass on here. This is a very good Loyola team that deserves to be here by virtue of their play and the points just look good to me. Play Loyola Chicago.
|03-28-18||San Francisco v. North Texas -3||Top||55-69||Win||100||19 h 25 m||Show|
Game 2 of the Best of 3 CBI Championship moves to North Texas. San Franciso took game one of this series on their home court, 72-62. The Dons pretty much had the game in control the entire way. North Texas saw it's offense get cut down after scoring over 90 points in their previous three games. The Green Machine scored just 62 points at San Francisco. The Dons his 12 of 18 from the three point line in Monday's game. This was not the norm for the Dons this year, as they were ranked 109th in three-pointers on the season. Despite their loss, the Mean Green get games two and a possible game three on their own home court. North Texas is 12-6 S/U at home compared to just 6-11 on the road. San Francisco is just 4-7 away from home. And, North Texas can take the momentum they had in the second half of game one and build on that, where they won 32-26. I like North Texas to rebound here at home. They can score in bunches and the Dons are just not that good a road team. Play North Texas.
|03-27-18||Mississippi State +2.5 v. Penn State||60-75||Loss||-106||99 h 15 m||Show|
NIT semifinal action from Madison Square garden has Mississippi State taking on Penn State for the right to play in the Championship game. Mississippi State got her with road wins at Baylor, 78-77 and at Louisville, 79-56. The Bulldogs have covered five straight games and 13 of their last 16. Penn State got here with road wins at Notre Dame, 73-63 and at Marquette, 85-80. The Nittany Lions have covered two of three and five of eight. The rest will be good for this defensive Mississippi State team that has been on the road for a while. Their stingy defense held Louisville to just 35% from the field and 29.2% of three-point shots. I like defensive teams at this stage and that edge goes to the Bulldogs. I'm taking Mississippi State here on Tuesday.
|03-27-18||Western Kentucky -1 v. Utah||Top||64-69||Loss||-105||97 h 48 m||Show|
The NIT Semifinals move from the team's home court to Madison Square Garden in New York. This will help level the playing field and take away that home court value some teams enjoyed. Western Kentucky played their last two NIT games on the road, winning at USC, 79-75 and then at Oklahoma State, 92-84. The Hilltoppers had little problems scoring points, in fact they have scored at least 79 points in each of their three NIT contest. They are also covering well, evidenced by their 5-1 ATS the last six games and 9-3 ATS mark their last 12. Utah had to go to OT to beat St Mary's their last game, winning 67-58 in the extra period. The Utes had an early exit in the PAC-12 tourney, losing their first game to Oregon, 66-68. They played their first two NIT games at home before traveling to St Marys for their last game. Both these teams are playing very well. Western is very efficient, as they have the 8th best field goal percent in the nation (49.7%) to go with their 35.3% from the three-point stripe and 71.6% from the free throw line. I'm taking Western Kentucky here today because they have shown they can win on the road in the NIT. They also have this excellent offense. Take Western Kentucky
|03-26-18||North Texas +3.5 v. San Francisco||62-72||Loss||-104||22 h 54 m||Show|
The CBI Tourney Championship best of three starts tonight with San Francisco hosting North Texas. North Texas is an unlikely team to make is this far, they don't even have a .500 record on the season despite winning two straight in this tourney. They have been scoring big points though with 90 at South Dakota, 96 at home over Mercer and then 90 at home over Jacksoville State. All three games were blowout wins for North Texas. Now they play at a San Francisco. The Dons have also won three straight in the CBI, all at home. They beat Colgate, 72-68, then Utah Valley, 78-73, and Campbell, 65-62. All three games were close, unlike North Texas three. Still, the Dons are just 1-5 ATS in their last six games. In my opinion, North Texas has been the best team in this tournament. I can easily see North Texas winning this one outright. I'll take the points though with the Mean Green. Play North Texas.
|03-25-18||Duke -3 v. Kansas||81-85||Loss||-103||15 h 37 m||Show|
Unlike yesterday's 11 vs 9 matchup between Loyola and Kansas State, today's matchup is s storied one between two schools that have been here many times. No 2 Duke takes on No 1 Kansas here in the Elite 8. Duke has used a very stingy defense in the tournament, holding their opponents to just 64.6 ppg and 53.6% shooting. Duke will also have the advantage on the boards. Kansas holds a slight shooting edge, but I see Duke staying with them in that category. Duke has done well in neutral site games, going 9-3 ATS their last 11 tries. They have also done well against the Big 12, going 8-3 ATS their last 11. I have never been a fan of Kansas HC Bill Self. He has had great success with this team, but I also believe he is their biggest liability at this point. I like defensive teams at this juncture and that's Duke. Play Duke on Sunday.
|03-24-18||Florida State v. Michigan -4.5||54-58||Loss||-107||19 h 22 m||Show|
Elite 8 action here on Saturday has Florida State playing Michigan. Florida State pulled two straight upset wins, first over Xavier, 75-70 as a 5.5-point dog and then over Gonzaga, 75-60 as a 6-point dog. After an early exit from the ACC tournament, Florida State has moved into the final 8 of the NCAA tourney. They will likely face their toughest opponent today in a red-hot Michigan team. Michigan won their Big-10 Tournament with a convincing win over Purdue, 75-66. Now the Wolverines go for their fourth straight win in the NCAA tournament. The Wolverines have now won 12 straight games and are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games. Michigan destroyed Texas A&M in the Sweet 16, raining down 3-point shots on the Aggies all day for the 99-72 win. Even with their 99 points, it's their defense that Michigan is known for. And if they score anywhere like they did against A&M, then this team will win it all. Michigan has lots of fresh legs for this game and right now will be considered an upset if they aren't playing for the National Championship come April 2nd. With Michigan being fresh here tonight, their defense will shut down Florida State and their offense will get it done. Play Michigan.
|03-24-18||Loyola-Chicago +1 v. Kansas State||78-62||Win||100||7 h 40 m||Show|
I'm sure there weren't many people with this matchup in their Elite 8 bracket. Loyola Chicago has used defense and timely scoring to advance to this point. Their three wins have been by a combined four points and maybe some divine intervention by Sister Jean. Loyola continues to find ways to win. The Ramblers have now won 13 games in a row and covered five straight and 10 of their last 13. Kansas State had some rough patches in the Big 12, losing to Kansas in their tournament, 67-83 and going 3-2 ATS in the tournaments. The Ramblers have been very good against good teams, going 20-7-1 ATS their last 28 gams vs a team with a win percentage above 60%. Kansas State has not done so well vs non-conference teams, going just 3-9 ATS their last 12. This game should be close as most of Loyola's games have been lately. But I will stick with the Ramblers here. Play Loyola Chicago.
|03-24-18||Central Michigan +3.5 v. Liberty||71-84||Loss||-105||2 h 43 m||Show|
CBI Quarterfinals has Central Michigan facing Liberty. Central Michigan has been scoring like crazy in the CBI, beating IUPU Fort Wayne 94-89 and then Wofford, 98-94. They have covered four of their last six games. Liberty has had just one game in the CBI and that was a home winner over North Carolina A&T, 65-52. Big difference between the MAC and Big South conferences. Liberty steps up in talent today and runs into a scoring machine in Central Michigan. I like a team that can score big and is getting points. That's just what we have here today. Play Central Michigan.
|03-23-18||Texas Tech +2 v. Purdue||78-65||Win||100||11 h 30 m||Show|
NCAA Semis from Boston, MA has Texas Tech playing Purdue. Texas Tech lost to West Virginia in the Big 12 tournament, 63-66. The Red Raiders then opened NCAA tournament play with a win over Stephen Austin, 70-60 and then beat Florida, 69-66. Purdue lost to Michigan in the Big 10 tournament but beat Cal Fullerton and Butler in the NCAA tourney. Tech is one of the best teams in the nation in turnovers, averaging 15 per game. Their key to victory tonight is to limit Purdue's chances and add to theirs through turnovers. Texas Tech will have to take over here defensively and keep Purdue from running away with this game. The Raiders allowed the fewest points in the Big 12 and was 15th best in the country. I like Tech tonight to play solid defense and take Purdue out of their game. I'm taking Texas Tech.