|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|01-07-19||Alabama v. Clemson +6||16-44||Win||100||128 h 41 m||Show|
I can make a case for either team in this Championship game. Both are great teams, both have great offenses and top defenses. Though I do give a slight edge on defense to the Clemson Tigers and an edge in QB to Alabama. Still, this should be a great contest to watch. These teams have met each of the last three seasons with Alabama taking two of the games and Clemson one game. Before that you have to go back to 2008 and before that you have to go all the way back to 1975 for the previous meeting. The Tigers have played great on neutral fields,d going 13-3 ATS their last 16 games. The Tide are 7-2 in their last nine vs the ACC, but just 1-5 ATS their last six times playing in January. I like the points here with this great Clemson defense. I look for a close, defensive game and when I can take 6 to 7 points with this kind of defense, I will. Play Clemson and enjoy the show.
|01-01-19||Texas +13.5 v. Georgia||28-21||Win||100||22 h 30 m||Show|
What we find a lot in these bowl games is motivation to play. Some teams have key players sitting out as not to jeopardize their potential pro careers. Other teams have coaches moving on and some teams just are happy to be there. I have to wonder how much Georgia has their heart in this game today after finishing fifth in the playoff picture and watching Notre Dame get demolished by Clemson. After letting Alabama slip past them in the SEC Championship, Georgia can't be too happy with this spot in the Sugar Bowl against Texas. Georgia could very likely be the No 1 seed entering next season, but for today, I have to think the points here are the way to go. Georgia is a great team and could have been a National Champion this year, but as for this game. I just don't see their heart being in it. Take the big points with Texas.
|01-01-19||Washington v. Ohio State -6.5||23-28||Loss||-105||18 h 46 m||Show|
Ohio State returns to their 15th Rose Bowl today as they take on Pac-12 Champion Washington. Ohio State hasn't been to the Rose Bowl since 2010 when they beat Oreg0on, 26-17. There will be extra incentive here today as Ohio State HC Urban Meyer will retire after this game. Have to believe the team will want him to go out a winner. Washington also makes its 15th appearance in the Rose Bowl, but the last being in 2001 when they defeated Purdue, 34-24. Both these teams boast great offenses and that should be on display here today. My difference in this game is the emotions that Ohio State will play with as Meyer's says goodbye. One last hurrah for the Buckeyes and Urban Meyer here on Tuesday. Play Ohio State.
|01-01-19||LSU v. Central Florida +7.5||Top||40-32||Loss||-110||14 h 46 m||Show|
Once again I am looking for motivation in these bowl games. We have a disinterested SEC team in LSU going against a Central Florida team looking to make it two undefeated seasons in a row. Last season the UFC Knights completed their perfect season with a win over another SEC team in the Peach Bowl, beating Auburn 34-27. Can they do it again this year? UFC will be without their star QB in McKenzie Milton. Milton got hurt in the season finale. That means Darriel Mack Jr will be starting and he has been a very good fill-in. The big question is whether or not UFC can stop LSU. LSU isn't known as an offensive powerhouse, however they do play a physical game and that could hurt UFC. They do have Greg McCrae running the ball still, ask McCrae rushed for 1101 yards and 9 TD's on the season. I don't know if UFC can win outright here today, but I do know they will have enough to stay with the Tigers and that 7 1/2 points they are getting looks like a lot to me. Play Central Florida.
|12-31-18||NC State +7.5 v. Texas A&M||13-52||Loss||-129||26 h 9 m||Show|
Gator Bowl action in the late game today has 9-3 NC State playing against 19th ranked Texas A&M. NC State getting a TD here in this spot. The Wolfpack have been a very good bowl team, going 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 bowl visits. Texas A&M has an explosive offense, as we saw in their last game against LSU where they won 74-72. In fact, the Aggies have at least 38 points in each of their last three games. NC State can also put up the points, scoring 52, 34 and 58 in their last three games. The Wolfpack has the 28th ranked offense while A&M is ranked 20th. With both teams able to score in bunches here, I like taking the touchdown with the points. Take NC State.
|12-31-18||Virginia Tech +7.5 v. Cincinnati||31-35||Win||100||19 h 39 m||Show|
Cincinnati has not been a good bowl team in recent seasons, evidenced by their 2-7 ATS mark in their last nine bowls. That includes an 0-4-1 ATS mark their last five December games. Can't say that about the Virginia Tech Hokies, who are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 December games. Cincinnati does have the 24th ranked offense while Va Tech is ranked 49th. Cincinnati also has the 10th ranked defense with the Hokies coming in at 95th. Tech did ramp up the scoring their last two games of the season with 34 points against Virginia and 41 against Marshall. I expect an offensive oriented contest here today. Still, can't disregard how bad Cincy is in bowl games. I'm going to take the points with Virginia Tech.
|12-29-18||Oklahoma v. Alabama -13.5||Top||34-45||Loss||-110||115 h 17 m||Show|
The Orange Bowl will have No 1 Alabama vs No 4 Oklahoma for a spot in the finals of the Bowl Championship. The Crimson Tide is 10-4 S/U and 8-5-1 ATS in Bowls under Nick Saban. The Tide have been installed as a 14-point favorite here. Alabama had little trouble this season, beating eight teams that made it to the bowls postseason. The Tide were chalks of 21-points or more 11 times this season and still were 8-5 ATS. These are the two best offenses in the country, however, the big difference is on defense where Alabama is ranked 6th in the country and Oklahoma is ranked 109th. This is going to be the difference here today. The Tide will roll with the points and while Oklahoma is one of the best offensively, I don't see them staying with the Tide. The Sooners are just 3-9 ATS their last 12 neutral site games. I expect the Tide to roll into the Championship game here today. Play Alabama.
|12-29-18||Notre Dame v. Clemson -12||3-30||Win||100||52 h 28 m||Show|
The winner of this Cotton Bowl matchup between No2 Clemson and No 3 Notre Dame heads to the NCAA football championship game. This game comes down to the Irish offensive line against the great Clemson defensive line. Who controls this game will be key to a win here today. Clemson is only one of two teams who have a top five scoring offense and a top five scoring defense. While this is the fourth consecutive trip to the final four for Clemson, this will be the first for the Irish. Clemson has this stingy defense led by their line that allowed a nation's best 2.4 rushing yards per game. Clemson is led by RB Travis Etinne, who rushed for 1,464 yards this season and 21 TD's. I will be backing Clemson here today. I love their defense, have done so since day one of the season. I don't think the Irish will be able to establish the run and that means a Clemson win. Take Clemson.
|12-28-18||Syracuse -1 v. West Virginia||34-18||Win||100||30 h 44 m||Show|
Syracuse ended their regular season with a win at Boston College, 42-21 as 7-point dogs. The Orange got shutdown by Notre Dame the week prior, but other than that game, Syraucse has scored at least 37 points in six of the last seven games. This will not be the same West Virginia squad that finished the regular season. QB Will Grier and OT Yodny Cajuste both opted to not play in this game and keep from possible injury as they both look forward to the NFL draft. That means QB Jack Allison will take over the starting duties. A far cry from one of the best QB's in the country that Grier had become. Considering that Syracuse is scoring a lot of points, I'm not sure West Virginia will be able to keep up against one of the best passing offenses in Syracuse. I'm taking Syracuse here as I don't even expect the rest of the West Virginia team to show up. Take Syracuse.
|12-27-18||Miami-FL v. Wisconsin +2.5||3-35||Win||100||6 h 45 m||Show|
Miami closed out their season with a pair of wins over Virginia Tech and Pitt. However, prior to those two wins, the Hurricanes had lost four straight both S/U and ATS. Wisconsin ended the season with a loss at home to Minnesota, 15-37. The Badgers were also a bit shaky the second half of the season losing three of their last five games. The Canes have not been a very good bowl play in recent years, evidenced by their 1-6 ATS mark in their last seven bowls. In addition, they are 1-8 ATS in their last nine neutral site games and 1-5 ATS in their last six vs the Big 10. Miami doesn't have a very good offense, ranked just 93rd in the country, while Wisconsin ranks 43rd. Miami does have a very good defense, ranked 2nd in total yards with Wisconsin coming in at 40th. It's often difficult to determine which team is motivated in these meaningless bowl games. However, with the Cans having such a dismal bowl spread record, it appears they are not usually motivated. I'm taking Wisconsin here today.
|12-26-18||TCU v. California -1||10-7||Loss||-105||53 h 26 m||Show|
TCU has normally been known for their stellar defenses. While this year's edition might not be as good defensively, the offense has not been all that good - ranked just 94th in the country. The defense was a respectable 28th while Cal actually came in better at 16th. Though the Cal offense wasn't quite as good at 113th. The Cal defense held each of their last six opponents to 23 or less points. In fact, four of those were under 20. The offense is where they struggled, scoring more than 15 points just one time in their last five games. TCU also has some offensive problems, scoring 16 or less in three of their last four games and 17 or less in six of their last nine games. This game likely to be a low scoring affair and I'll take the better defensive team in this one. That's Cal.
|12-26-18||Minnesota v. Georgia Tech -5.5||Top||34-10||Loss||-101||50 h 41 m||Show|
Minnesota has not been good to bettors as they did not cover two games in a row since week 3 of the season. In fact, they were just 3-4 S/U the last seven weeks of the season. The offense ranked just 86th in the country has to go against a Georgia Tech offense that is 53rd. The Gophers were 64th defensively while Georgia Tech was 46th. Tech was 5-1 ATS in their last six December games and 4-0-1 ATS their last five neutral site games. Tech holds all the edges in this matchup and I look for a mismatch here as the Gophers just don't have enough to stay with a very good Yellow Jackets team. Play Georgia Tech.
|12-22-18||Louisiana Tech +1 v. Hawaii||31-14||Win||100||21 h 58 m||Show|
Hawaii bowl here this evening has Louisiana Tech vs Hawaii. Tech comes in on a two-game losing streak. They lost to Southern Miss on Nov 17th and then in their last game at home to Western Kentucky, 15-30. La Tech is 5-1 ATS in its last six bowl games and 15-2 ATS their last 17 games coming off a double-digit home loss. Hawaii has not been good to bettors, posing a 15-34-2 ATS mark their last 51 games overall. In addition, they are just 9-23 ATS their last 32 against a team with a winning record. This will be the Tech defense against the Hawaii offense. Tech will get plenty of points and if they can keep Hawaii from scoring in bunches, then they get the cover. Take Louisiana Tech.
|12-22-18||Buffalo v. Troy +1.5||32-42||Win||100||8 h 7 m||Show|
Buffalo had an outstanding season in the MAC, though they did struggle toward the end. The Bulls lost two of their last three games including the MAC Championship to Northern Illinois, 29-30 as 3.5-point favorites. Meanwhile, Troy used a very good defense to get into today's bowl game. Troy is 12-3-1 ATS in its last 16 games and 42-20-2 ATS vs a winning team. The Bulls are 0-5 ATS in their last five neutral site games. This game being played in Troy's backyard gives them a built-in home field advantage today. Though this game has gone to almost pick, I like Troy to take today's game.
|12-22-18||Houston v. Army -6.5||14-70||Win||100||5 h 37 m||Show|
Army having one of its best seasons in years.The Black Knights coming off that big win over their service rivals Navy have won eight straight games. While the Black Knights are ranked only 82nd in total yards, that's because this is a running team. They average 384 yards per game on the ground and will keep the ball out of the Houston hands today with their ground and pound game. Houston has the 7th ranked offense and they are balanced with 228 yards on the ground and 301 yards through the air. However, their defense is ranked 124th and that is going to be the problem here today. They allow 198 yards on the ground and that will not bode well against one of the best rushing attacks in the nation. This is not a good matchup for Houston today. They won't be able to stop Army and keep them from controlling the clock. I'm taking Army today.
|12-19-18||Ohio v. San Diego State +3||Top||27-0||Loss||-115||19 h 25 m||Show|
Ohio makes the long trip West to play in the Frisco Bowl here tonight while San Diego State makes the short trek North. This will be the first meeting ever between these two football teams. This game pits the strong Ohio U running game against the stingy San Diego State running defense. Ohio U ranks 16th nationally in offense and averages 262 yards per game on the ground. San Diego State ranks 21st defensively and allows just 95 yards per game on the ground. When it comes to these Bowl games, I tend to stick with the better defensive teams. That's just what I'm doing here today. I'm taking San Diego State.
|12-15-18||Middle Tennessee State +7 v. Appalachian State||13-45||Loss||-110||19 h 25 m||Show|
The 8-5 Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders take on the 10-2 Appalachian Sate Mountaineers here today in the New Orleans Bowl. I'm taking Middle Tennessee State here for two simple reasons. You can make a case statistically for either team. However, MTSU is getting a touchdown and I just think that's too much to give their senior QB Brent Stockstill. Stockstill has over 12,000 yards in his college career and plays for his dad, who you know he wants to get this last ever win together for him. Stockstill should be a high draft pick in the NFL this coming year. App State will also be without their head coach Scott Satterfield, who has moved on to the head coaching job at Louisville. Just too many intangibles for Middle Tenn State here today. I'm taking the dog in this one.
|12-15-18||Arizona State v. Fresno State -4||20-31||Win||100||14 h 55 m||Show|
Fresno State ended their season with a big win over Boise State, 19-16 as 2.5-point dogs. The Bulldogs won their last three games after a previous loss to Boise State back in November. Fresno has the 44th ranked offense in the country with a nice 80.5% redzone efficiency. They have been in the redzone 52 times this season with 38 TD's and nine FG's. Fresno has one of the best defenses in the country, ranked 17th. The defense has only allowed nine TD's in the redzone this season. Only Mississippi State has allowed less. Arizona State has the 48th ranked offense in the country with a 70.8% redzone efficiency. They have only been in the redzone 46 times with 27 TD's and 13 FG's. Big difference in these teams is on defense where the Sun Devils are ranked 70th and have allowed 24 TD's in 43 trips. Compare that to just the nine TD's Fresno has allowed. Arizona State has not been a good bowl covering team, evidenced by their 2-7 ATS their last nine bowl games. Fresno State is 26-7-1 ATS their last 34 overall games and 16-5 ATS their last 21 vs a winning team. I'm taking the better defensive team here today and that's Fresno State.
|12-15-18||North Texas +8.5 v. Utah State||13-52||Loss||-105||12 h 25 m||Show|
Expect an offensive shootout in this game today as two top offenses collide. Utah State is ranked 11th in offense and has a redzone efficiency rating of 76%. They have been in the redzone 56 times this season and scored 37 TD's. North Texas is ranked 15th and has a 73% redzone efficiency with 59 redzone trips and 37 TD's. These teams are very evenly matched when it comes to offense. One issue here is that the Utah State Aggies haven't done well against winning teams, evidenced by their 4-15 ATS the last 19 times. They are also slowed a bit on the grass, as they have covered just three of the last 10 on the real stuff. Meanwhile, North Texas Mean Green is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games. These teams have a bit of history and the dog has covered five of the last seven meetings. Utah State laying 7.5-points is way too much. These teams are evenly matched and I'm taking the points here today. Play North Texas.
|12-01-18||Fresno State +1 v. Boise State||19-16||Win||100||23 h 31 m||Show|
Mountain West Championship as Fresno takes on Boise State. Boise gets a edge here as the game is played on their home turf at Boise. Fresno had a great spread record of 8-1 until the last three weeks when they have gone 0-3. They lost at Boise State back in early November, 17-24 when these two teams last met. Fresno was a 3-point favorite in that matchup and now they are a 1.5 to 2-point dog. Boise has struggled a bit at times this year, losing to Oklahoma State and San Diego State. Then barely getting by BYU and Nevada. Fresno has been a very good road team, going 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 away games. They are also 14-3 ATS in their last 17 vs a winning team. Boise has not been a good covering home team, getting the money only seven times in 22 attempts. The dog has covered the last six in this series and that's who I'm on today. Play Fresno State.
|12-01-18||Georgia +13 v. Alabama||28-35||Win||100||18 h 42 m||Show|
SEC Championship here as Georgia now has come back into the Final Four playoff picture thanks to Michigan losing last week. A loss though by Georgia could let Oklahoma sneak into that fourth spot. Lots on the line for these Championship games. Georgia is 6-0 ATS in their last six neutral site games and 4-1 ATS in their last five conference games. Georgia has also covered five of the last seven in this series. The dog is 5-0 ATS the last five in this series. Last season, Georgia lost at home to the Tide, 23-26 as 3.5-point dogs. Georgia getting nearly two TD's here is hard to pass on with the 4th ranked team in the country. I'm going to take the points in what I expect will be a close game. Play Georgia.
|12-01-18||UAB v. Middle Tennessee State -1||27-25||Loss||-105||16 h 12 m||Show|
UAB brings a two-game losing streak into today's Conference USA Championship. The Blazers lost last week against this same Middle Tennessee State team, 3-27. The Blazers lost the prior week at Texas A&M, 20-41. That means the last two weeks they have been outscored 23-68. Middle Tennessee has been a very good covering team this year, evidenced by their 8-4 mark and they have covered their last five straight. The Blue Raiders are also 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. UAB may also be without their top RB in Spencer Brown, who is questionable today. Brown has 15 TD's on the season and nearly 1000 yards rushing. MTSU only a 1-point favorite here and that's good enough for me. Take Middle Tennessee State.
|12-01-18||Texas +8 v. Oklahoma||27-39||Loss||-105||15 h 47 m||Show|
Oklahoma has been an offensive powerhouse this year, scoring 50 points or more in six of their 12 games and scoring under 37 points just once all year (28 vs Army). It's not a far stretch then to realize that OU is the top ranked offense in the country. Texas has the 60th ranked offense. The Longhorns can put up points too, but they rely more on their defense, which has held six opponents to 21 or less points. Oklahoma won this matchup last year in Texas, 29-24 as a nine-point favorite. Texas has now covered six straight seasons vs OU. Texas is also 5-2 ATS their last seven trips to Oklahoma. I'm going to take the points here with Texas.
|11-30-18||Northern Illinois v. Buffalo -3.5||30-29||Loss||-100||22 h 44 m||Show|
Mac Championship pits Northern Illinois vs Buffalo. These teams didn't meet during the regular season. NIU has lost two straight games scoring just 28 total points and giving up 41. Northern Illinois beat Buffalo last year 14-13, but failed to cover the 6.5-point spread. NIU does not do well on neutral sites, posting a 4-16-1 ATS mark in their last 21 tries. Buffalo has been a very good spread team, going 19-7 ATS in the last 26 games, 5-1 ATS last six vs winning teams and 8-1 ATS vs the MAC their last nine tries. Buffalo is coming off a trouncing of Bowling Green last game, 44-14. I like the Bulls here so I'll the points with Buffalo.
|11-24-18||Notre Dame -11 v. USC||24-17||Loss||-110||18 h 13 m||Show|
Win and you're in! That's what it comes down to for No 3 Notre Dame. They beat USC today and they make the College Football Final 4 Playoffs. USC, well it's been a down year for the Trojans at just 5-6. Notre Dame has covered three straight after last week's beating of Syracuse, 36-3. The Irish haven't allowed over 23 points in their last seven games and over that number just once, 27 points to Wake Forest. Meanwhile, USC lost their intrastate rivalry last week to UCLA, 27-34. That makes two spread losses in a row and four of their last five. Really, this game comes down to the motivation of the Irish to get to that playoff series and to see if the Trojans have enough horses to stop this Irish team. I don't believe they do. They couldn't beat UCLA last week, the can't come close to a motivated Irish team this week. Play Notre Dame.
|11-24-18||Temple -30.5 v. Connecticut||57-7||Win||100||14 h 43 m||Show|
The Temple Owls will be heading to a bowl game this year. They face the worst defense in the country in U Conn. Temple is coming off a win over South Florida, 27-17 but failed to cover the 14-point line. Still, the Owls are 7-4 ATS on the season. The Huskies are allowing a nation's worst 627 yards per game average and a 83.1% redzone scoring efficiency. Temple looks to avenge their home loss to the Huskies last season, 24-28 as 11-point home chalks. Despite last year's spread loss, Temple is 6-2 ATS the last eight meetings with U Conn. A lot of points to lay here with Temple, but against the worst defense in the country, should be no problem Play Temple.
|11-23-18||Oklahoma -2.5 v. West Virginia||59-56||Win||100||7 h 21 m||Show|
Two big top 10 teams clash here on Friday as No.6 Oklahoma takes on No 13. West Virginia. Oklahoma plays its last regular season game today after a 55-40 win against Kansas last week. OU has gone over in seven straight games and 10 of the last 11. OU has also scored at least 40 or more points in all but two of their games. West Virginia is also a offensive powerhouse, going over in four straight games and scoring at least 35 points in all but one game this year. Expect to see an offensive explosion today between these two. I'm taking Oklahoma -3 points here today, but this could come down to the last possession of the game.
|11-23-18||Virginia -4 v. Virginia Tech||31-34||Loss||-109||3 h 51 m||Show|
7-4 Virginia takes on their rivals, 4-6 Virginia Tech. Tech would like to put a loss on the Cavaliers record as their last action of the season. Va Tech's disappointing season comes to an end today and they would like nothing more than a win over their rivals to finish it. Tech has lost four straight games and has failed to cover in its last six games. Virginia is bowl eligible either win or lose today. The Cavs are off a loss at Georgia Tech last week, 27-30 so a win today would help put the team on the winning track heading into the bowl season. Plus, Virginia was shut out at home last season by Tech, 0-10. They had just nine first downs and 191 total yards. You know they have a bad taste in their collective mouths from that one. Take Virginia today as they look for some payback.
|11-22-18||Colorado State +15 v. Air Force||19-27||Win||100||25 h 59 m||Show|
Big rivalry game here as the Colorado State Rams take on the Air Force Falcons in this intra-city battle of Colorado Springs teams. Colorado State plays what they consider their bowl game here today as they play their last game of the season. The Rams are coming off that near shocking win over Utah State. The Rams looked to connect on the game winning Hail Mary pass at the end of the contest only to have it reversed because the receiver stepped out of bounds. Still, it put a shock into heavily favored Utah State. Air Force is 5-6 coming into this game after losing at Wyoming last week, 27-35. Air Force has to feel deflated after leading the Cowboys 27-14 in the fourth quarter of that loss. That loss cost the Falcons their Bowl season and that means this is the end of the line for Air Force this year. That will be hard for them to swallow as they had that Wyoming game all but in the bag. I look for a letdown here and laying 14.5-points is just too much to in their cross city rivals. Play Colorado State.
|11-17-18||Arizona +11 v. Washington State||28-69||Loss||-115||23 h 20 m||Show|
Arizona plays a late Saturday game at Washington State. The Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last five games. The Cats beat Colorado two weeks ago 42-34 as 4-point favorites. It was the team's third cover in a row. Arizona had last week off to prepare for this game. Washington State beat Colorado last week on the road, 31-7. Arizona still has a shot to win the PAC-12 South under first year coach Kevin Sumlin. They have to get through No 8 Washington State first here tonight. The Cats need to win their final two games. Washington State is 9-1 S/U on the season. Arizona getting double digits here is too good to pass on. Play Arizona.
|11-17-18||San Diego State v. Fresno State -13||14-23||Loss||-109||23 h 11 m||Show|
What a huge loss for San Diego State last week losing at UNLV, 24-27 as 22-point favorites. The Aztecs have now failed to cover the spread in their last five games and are just 2-8 ATS on the season. Fresno also had a setback last week at Boise, 17-24. The Bulldogs led 17-7, but were outscored by 17-0 down the stretch. It was their first cover loss in the last eight games. And unlike San Diego State, the Bulldogs are now 8-2 ATS on the season. Fresno is the 50th ranked offensive team in the country and San Diego State is the 108th offense. Fresno has one of the best defenses, ranked 17th while San Diego State is 11th. Two good defenses here, but the big edge goes to the Fresno offense. And when we look at the two teams covering, a huge edge to the Bulldogs. Play Fresno.
|11-17-18||Utah State -28 v. Colorado State||29-24||Loss||-114||15 h 39 m||Show|
Utah State is the crown jewel of the Mountain West Conference as they continue to just blowout teams. Utah State has the 10th ranked offense in the country and is coming off a 62-24 win over San Jose State, covering the 31-point line. In fact, the Aggies are now 9-1 ATS on the season, their lone loss a 24-16 win over Wyoming as 15-point favorites. Colorado State is in for a long day today. The Rams routinely give up points in bunches (49 last week to Nevada) and have given up over 40 points five times this season. The Rams are 0-3 ATS their last three games and 3-7 ATS on the year. This is not going to be pretty for CSU, lay whatever you need to today with Utah State.
|11-17-18||Northwestern v. Minnesota -2||24-14||Loss||-117||13 h 40 m||Show|
Northwestern pulled the big upset last week with a road win at Iowa, 14-10 as 10-point dogs. Just two games left in the regular season with today's game at Minnesota and then closing out at home vs Illinois. At 6-4 the team is Bowl eligible. Minnesota also pulled an upset last week with a blowout win over Purdue, 41-10 as 11.5-point dogs. The Golden Gophers are now 5-5 and need at least one more win to be bowl eligible. They have games at home this week vs Northwestern and then close out at Wisconsin. Assuming a loss next week, that makes today's game imperative to win. Good news for the Gophers is that they have been a good November team, going 24-9-2 ATS their last 35 games. The club is also 5-1 ATS in their last six home games. The Gophers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings with the Wildcats and I'm taking them here today. Play Minnesota.
|11-10-18||South Florida v. Cincinnati -14||23-35||Loss||-106||18 h 53 m||Show|
The wheels have come off the last few weeks for South Florida. After being ranked, they went to Houston and were handed their first defeat of the year. Then last week at home they were trounced by Tulane, 41-15. They allowed 365 yards rushing to Tulane and had three turnovers in the loss. Meanwhile, Cincinnati rolled over Navy last week, 42-0. The Bearcats rushed for 262 yards and passed for another 189 yards in the win. Cincinnati is ranked 32nd in the nation in total offense and South Florida is ranked 11th. The issue with SFU is their defense, which is ranked 104th. South Florida has failed to cover in each of its last four games and is 0-7 ATS after allowing more than 200 yards rushing. They are also 0-5 in their last five conference games. Cincinnati has covered five of the last seven meetings at home vs South Florida and I look for another here on Saturday. Play Cincinnati.
|11-10-18||UCLA v. Arizona State -11||28-31||Loss||-113||13 h 51 m||Show|
UCLA had all kinds of trouble last week at Oregon, losing to the Ducks 42-21 as 9.5 point dogs. The Bruins had three turnovers and no takeaways yet outgained the Ducks 496 yards to 492 yards. Turnovers were the difference in the Bruins loss. Arizona State pulled a big upset over Utah last week, 38-20. The Sun Devils were seven point home dogs and out gained Utah 536 yards to 325 yards. UCLA is only 3-8 ATS in its last 11 road games and 3-8 ATS in the last eight overall. Meanwhile, ASU is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games and 6-2 ATS in its last eight conference games. ASU will have little trouble here at home against an overmatched Bruins squad. Play ASU.
|11-10-18||Wisconsin +9 v. Penn State||10-22||Loss||-115||11 h 54 m||Show|
Wisconsin coming off a win at home against Rutgers last week, 31-17. The Badgers didn't cover the 29-point spread. They did rush the ball exclusively for 317 yards compared to just 23 yards passing. Penn State ran into a defensive powerhouse last week in Michigan. The Nittany Lions were beat on the road, 7-42. That had just 184 total yards and three turnovers in the loss. Today Wisconsin is getting nine points, which seems like a lot to give a good team. Both teams are 6-3 S/U on the season. The Badgers are also a very good road team, going 12-3 ATS in their last 15 away games. This line is way off to me as these teams are very evenly matched. Take Wisconsin.
|11-10-18||SMU -19 v. Connecticut||62-50||Loss||-106||11 h 52 m||Show|
SMU pulled off the big upset last week in the conference with a win over Houston, 45-31. The Mustangs were a 13-point home dog to the Cougars and outgained them 527 yards to365 yards. They also ran 84 plays to just 69 for Houston. Now they get to face the worst defense in the country in U Conn. The Huskies are dead last in total defense, allowing 627 yards per game and a rezone TD efficiency of 81.7%. U Conn got trounced last week at Tulsa, 49-19, allowing 648 yards to the Golden Hurricanes. Likely will get ugly again this week for U Conn that faces a potent SMU offense. Lay the points, take SMU.
|11-10-18||TCU +12 v. West Virginia||10-47||Loss||-110||11 h 52 m||Show|
TCU just got by Kansas State last week, 14-13 as eight-point favorites. West Virginia had an emotional game at Texas last week, just getting by the Longhorns 42-41. The game was back and forth with West Virginia pulling it out late. Now they have to turn around and lay 11.5-points to TCU. If there was ever a spot where a team was ready for a letdown, this is it. A huge emotional win last week and now they are big favorites. I like TCU in this spot as they are getting double digits and catch West Virginia in a vulnerable spot. Take the points with TCU.
|11-10-18||Ole Miss v. Texas A&M -11.5||24-38||Win||100||11 h 52 m||Show|
Texas A&M gave Auburn all it could handle last week, losing at Auburn 24-28 and just covering the 5.5-point spread. Ole Miss found itself in a shootout last week with South Carolina, coming out on the shortend to the gamecocks, 44-48. The two teams combined for 1116 totals yards of offense in that contest. Today, Ole Miss travels to A&M to face the Aggies. A&M snapped an Ole Miss five game spread win streak last year, beating the Rebels 31-24 at Mississippi. The Rebels are just 6-14-1 ATS their last 21 road games and 1-6 ATS their last seven overall. The Aggies are 7-2 ATS int heir last 9 games on grass and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 overall. Take Texas A&M here today.
|11-09-18||Fresno State -2 v. Boise State||17-24||Loss||-110||21 h 48 m||Show|
Fresno State is atop the Mountain West - West division standings at 8-1 overall, 5-0 in conference. They will play the Mountain division Boise State Broncos. Boise State is 7-2 on the season, 4-1 in conference and in 2nd place to Utah State. Right now it looks like Utah State and Fresno will play for the Mountain West crown. Fresno has covered six in a row and seven of their eight games this season. They are coming off a easy win at Hawai'i last week, 50-20. They have held their last four opponents to a combined 33 points. Boise has covered two straight after beating Air Force last week 48-38. The defense has not bee all that good, though they are ranked 41st in total yards allowed. Fresno is the 13th ranked defense. The Bulldogs have been excellent on the road, going 13-2-1 ATS their last 16 away games and 25-4-1 ATS their last 30 overall games. Meanwhile, Boise is just 5-15 ATS in its last 20 home games. Fresno has covered the last four in this series and the dog is 5-0 ATS the last five. I like Fresno here tonight.
|11-07-18||Ohio -4.5 v. Miami-OH||Top||28-30||Loss||-105||8 h 12 m||Show|
Ohio dismantled Western Michigan last week, beating the Broncos 59-14 on the road. The Bobcats grabbed six turnovers and committed none. They had 420 total yards to just 270. Miami lost last week at Buffalo, 42-51 in a shootout. Miami played Buffalo pretty even in stats, but just couldn't get there to cover the 7.5-point dog line. Last year, Ohio won this meeting with ease, 45-28 as 7-point favorites. The Cats actually had fewer yards in the game, but had two takeaways to zero turnovers. Ohio is the 25th ranked offense in the country and has 52 Redzone trips this year with 37 TD's. Compare that to Miami's 92nd ranked offense that has only 34 redzone trips and 26 TD's. This one looks to be another shootout, but Ohio is the best team and that's who I'm on tonight. Play Ohio U.
|11-04-18||Utah State -19 v. Hawaii||56-17||Win||100||24 h 40 m||Show|
Utah State looks to be the class of the Mountain West this year as they have scored 40 points or more six of their eight games. They have also covered seven of their eight games with their only straight up loss coming opening week at Michigan State, 31-38. The Aggies dismantled New Mexico last week, 61-19. Utah State has the 19th ranked offense in the country. Hawaii started the season 3-0 SU 2-1 ATS. Since then, the Rainbow Warriors are 2-5 S/U and 1-5-1 ATS. Hawaii lost last week at Fresno, 20-50. Hawaii is just 8-22 ATS their last 30 vs a team with a winning record and 14-39-1 ATS their last 54 in the Mountain West Conference. Plus, they have covered just five of their last 27 home games. The Aggies have covered the last four in this series and I look for that again here on Saturday. Play Utah State.
|11-03-18||Louisiana Tech +23.5 v. Mississippi State||3-45||Loss||-105||19 h 9 m||Show|
Louisiana Tech has won three straight games S/U and is 2-1 ATS. The Bulldogs are coming off a road win as a 3.5 point dog to Florida Atlantic, 21-13. The team is now 4-1 S/U and 3-2 ATS in its five road games. Tech has a solid defense, ranking 35th nationally. Mississippi State ranks 71st offensively and 6th defensively. The MSU Bulldogs allow just a 46.1% redzone efficiency this season. MSU is coming off a home win over A&M, 28-13 following the heals of their loss at LSU, 3-19. The Bullodgs offense has been held to 7 points or fewer in three of the last five games. La Tech is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 games and 37-17 ATS in the last 54 road games. This game should be a good defensive battle, but MSU laying way too many with the 23.5-point line. La Tech has already proved they can stand toe-to-toe with the likes of LSU, this line should be easy for them to cover. Take La Tech
|11-03-18||Tulane +6 v. South Florida||41-15||Win||100||15 h 14 m||Show|
South Florida dropped from the ranks of the unbeaten last week, losing big at Houston 36-57. The Bulls have now covered just one time in their last six games and twice in eight games this season. The Bulls are also 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 home games vs a team with a losing record. Tulane is coming off a road win at Tulsa, 24-17 as 2.5-point road dogs. The Green Wave lost at home to South Florida last season, 28-34, so looking for a bit of revenge here today. Expect a shootout in this one as both teams can put up points. I'll take the six-points with the road dog Tulane today.
|11-03-18||Georgia Southern -6.5 v. UL-Monroe||Top||25-44||Loss||-108||15 h 39 m||Show|
Georgia Southern improved to 7-1 with a big win last week over Appalachian State, 34-14. The Eagles were a 9-point home dog in that game, their fifth win in a row. In addition, Ga Southern has covered seven of their eight games this year. The only loss for the team was at Clemson in week three, 7-38. UL Monroe is coming off a win at home over Texas State, 20-14 as 11-point favorites. It was the club's second win in a row. However, they are just 2-5 ATS on the season. In addition, Monroe is just 9-23-1 ATS in its last 33 home games. Georgia Southern laying 6 1/5 or 7 here and that's a good number for me. Take Georgia Southern.
|11-03-18||Michigan State -2.5 v. Maryland||24-3||Win||100||12 h 40 m||Show|
Michigan State is coming off a big win at home last week against Purdue, 23-13. The Spartans rebounded from their previous week's loss to Michigan, 7-21. Michigan State's offense is just 105th ranked while Maryland is 91st. Michigan State is 40th defensively while Maryland is 29th. The Spartans have been very good on the road, especially versus teams with winning home records - evidenced by their 19-9-2 ATS mar the the last 30. Conversely, the Terrapins are just 4-12 ATS vs a team with a winning record and 6-23 ATS their last 29 games following a ATS win. The Spartans are laying three points here and I'm going to take them over Maryland.
|11-03-18||Louisville v. Clemson -38.5||16-77||Win||100||12 h 38 m||Show|
Louisville has really not had much of a defense this year, allowing 160 points over their last three games. Now the Cardinals have to face the NO 2 ranked team in the country and 8-0 Clemson. Clemson should have little problems posting big numbers in this game as the the Tigers have scored 59, 41 and 63 in their last three games - all covers. The defense is stellar, holding each of the last three opponents to 10 points or fewer. In fact, the defense ranks third nationally while Louisville ranks 102nd. Louisville is just 7-20 ATS in its last 27 games and with their terrible defense, it's going to be a long game today. Take Clemson.
|11-02-18||Western Kentucky v. Middle Tennessee State -13.5||10-29||Win||100||7 h 5 m||Show|
Western Kentucky lost last week to Florida International, 17-38. The Hilltoppers are now 1-7 S/U and 4-4 ATS on the season, though they have lost three straight vs the number. Middle Tennessee State (MTS) is coming off a blowout win over Old Dominion, 51-17. It was the club's fourth win in the last five games with the only loss a three point road setback at Florida International. MTS will be looking for a bit of revenge after losing to the Hilltoppers last year in Western Kentucky, 38-41. This has been a home team series of late, with the host covering the last four meetings. MTS is far and above the better team here. I like them in a blowout win. Take Middle Tennessee State.
|11-01-18||Ohio -3 v. Western Michigan||59-14||Win||100||7 h 48 m||Show|
Ohio had an easy time last week at home against Ball State, winning 52-14 as 11-point favorites. The Bobcats have a great rushing attack that accounted for 411 yards last week. Ohio has the 22nd ranked offense in the country, averaging a balanced 234 yards rushing and 235 yards passing per game. They also have a 77.7 redzone efficiency rating, scoring 30 TD's in 43 attempts this season. Western Michigan is coming off a home loss to Toledo last week, 24-51. The Broncos saw their six game win streak snapped. The Broncos have not done that well for bettors though, covering just one of the last five games. Ohio is now 13-6 ATS in its last 19 road games and 7-3 ATS in its last 10 conference games. Have to lay a small price here on the road, but I like Ohio to win tonight. Play Ohio U.
|10-27-18||Rice v. North Texas -30||17-41||Loss||-103||15 h 27 m||Show|
Rice has seen its offense abandon the club here lately, scoring just 20 points total in the last three games, all blowout losses. The Owls are now 1-7 S/U and 3-5 ATS on the season. The problem is, that once this team gets down, they are not the kind of club that can come from behind. That's going to be a problem here again for Rice today against a very good North Texas team. NTU is 6-2 S/U and 5-3 ATS on the season. You can expect North Texas to be looking for a blowout here today after losing at UAB last week, 21-29. It was the lowest scoring output this season for NTU. I don't see this one being close at all. NTU in a blowout win here on Saturday.
|10-27-18||Iowa +6 v. Penn State||24-30||Push||0||15 h 57 m||Show|
Iowa has been a bettor's friend this year, covering six of its seven games. The Hawkeyes have a very good defense, ranked 3rd in overall yardage in the nation. Only Michigan and Miami-Florida allow fewer yards per game than Iowa. The only blemish on the Hawkeyes' schedule was that 17-28 home loss to Wisconsin. Penn State comes into today's game with a 5-2 S/U record and 4-3 ATS mark. The Nittany Lions are coming off a win at Indiana, 33-28 as 14-point road favorites. Penn State ranks 71st in total defense and 15th in offense. Iowa has now covered eight of its last nine games overall. This game will match the Iowa defense vs the Penn State offense. I like the 5-to-6 points the Hawkeyes are receiving. Play Iowa.
|10-27-18||South Florida v. Houston -8||36-57||Win||100||15 h 56 m||Show|
No 21 South Florida brings a perfect 7-0 record into today's contest at Houston. The Bulls are just 2-5 ATS though. If you don't think that this perfect record for USF will have Houston primed, then you are wrong. The Cougars have lost just once this year and look to put a loss on the Bulls record. The Bulls have been fortunate this year, as four of their last five games have been decided by one possession. South Florida can't keep winning games the way they have and today is the day I look for Houston and their 6-1 record to take down this undefeated team. I don't think it will even be close. I'm taking Houston in a blowout win.
|10-27-18||Oregon State v. Colorado -24||41-34||Loss||-105||14 h 26 m||Show|
Oregon State has struggled, losing four straight both S/U and ATS. The Beavers have allowed at least 35 points in those last four losses and their defense is ranked 129th out of 130 teams in the nation. Colorado started the season 5-0 S/U and 4-1 ATS, but has since lost at USC 20-31 and at Washington, 13-27. The Buffaloes have played well though, even in those losses. Unlike Oregon State, the Buffaloes are ranked 37th defensively and 51st offensively. OSU is now 0-8 ATS in its last eight conference games. I like Colorado to be able to score pretty much at will here tonight and cover this big number. Play Colorado.
|10-26-18||Louisiana Tech +3.5 v. Florida Atlantic||21-13||Win||100||5 h 17 m||Show|
La Tech has already showed they can play with the big boys when they gave LSU all it could handle earlier in the season. Florida Atlantic suffering more injuries as they lost one of their best defensive players and their starting QB is hurting. FAU is coming off a loss at Marshall, 7-31 as a favorite. La Tech has won two straight after last week's win over UTEP, 31-24. La Tech will have revenge on it's mind today after last year's beating they took from FAU, 23-48. Especially with FAU piling on the score at the end of that game. I like the points here today with Louisiana Tech.
|10-25-18||Appalachian State -10 v. Georgia Southern||Top||14-34||Loss||-105||17 h 2 m||Show|
Appalachian State failed to cover a spread for the first time this season in their last game, a 25-17 home win over La Lafayette. App St couldn't cover the 24.5 point line, now making them 5-1 ATS and 5-1 S/U. This App St team has a very good defense, allowing nine point or less in four of their six games this season. App St has the 8th ranked defense in the country and a very good redzone efficiency of just 58.1%. This club is also excellent offensively, ranking 18th in the country in total offense with a 79.1% redzone efficiency. Can't say the say for Ga Southern, which ranks 110th offensively and 53rd defensively. App State is now 9-1 ATS their last 10 games and 6-0 ATS their last six games vs a winning team. The favorite has covered the last four in this series and I look for App State to score a lot of points here and cover this game. Take App St
|10-21-18||Nevada +3 v. Hawaii||40-22||Win||100||35 h 30 m||Show|
Late night game here as Nevada makes the trip over the ocean to play at Hawaii. Nevada almost pulled out the upset win at home last week, narrowly losing to Boise State, 27-31 as 14-point dogs. The Wolfpack has won three of their last five games and covered two of the last three. Hawaii started the season 3-0, but since then has gone 2-3 S/U and 1-3-1 ATS. The Rainbow Warriors are coming off a blowout loss at BYU, 23-49 as 10.5-point dogs. The Wolfpack are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 conference games. Hawaii is 7-22 ATS vs a team with a losing record and 6-21 ATS at home the last 27 vs a losing team. They are also 5-20-1 ATS in their last 26 overall home games. Nevada has covered five of the last six in this series and I look for that again here Saturday night / Sunday morning. Play Nevada.
|10-20-18||USC v. Utah -7||28-41||Win||100||31 h 35 m||Show|
PAC-12 matchup has USC playing at Utah. Utah has been hitting on all cylinders of late, trouncing Arizona last time out, 42-10 and Stanford the week before, 40-21. The Utes only two losses were at home against highly ranked Washington, 7-21 and at Washington State, 24-28. USC has won three straight after opening the season 1-2. The Trojans are coming off a win over Colorado, 31-20. USC has covered two straight games after starting 0-4 vs the number. The big difference between these two teams is that Utah is ranked 9th in the country in total defense. They also have a very good redzone efficiency rating of 49.1%, holding opponents to just seven TD's in 16 redzone trips. USC is just 5-15-1 ATS in its last 21 games and 2-7-1 ATS in the last 10 road games. Utah is 20-8-1 ATS in its last 29 vs a winning team. The home team has also covered six of the last seven in this series. I'm taking Utah.
|10-20-18||Oregon v. Washington State -2.5||Top||20-34||Win||100||30 h 59 m||Show|
|10-20-18||Wake Forest v. Florida State -9.5||17-38||Win||100||26 h 1 m||Show|
Florida State did everything it could to pull out the big upset win two weeks ago at their rival, Miami. The Seminoles led a good portion of the way before giving up the ghost late and losing 27-28 as 14-point dogs. The Seminoles have been playing much better since starting the season 1-2. They have scored at least 27 points in four of their six games and covered two of the last three. Wake Forest also had last week off to stew over the thumping they took at the hands of Clemson, 3-63. Wake has a descent offense, ranked 38th in total offense. However, their rezone efficiency is not that good, scoring 16 TD's in 31 redzone trips. The Deamon Decons are ranked 123rd in defense and have one of the worst redzone efficiencies, allowing 14 TD's in 15 trips. Wake Forest has covered just one of its last eight games overall. The home team has also gone 5-2-1 ATS the last eight in this series. I like Florida State who has been much improved in recent weeks. Play Florida State.
|10-20-18||Tulsa v. Arkansas -5.5||0-23||Win||100||23 h 31 m||Show|
Arkansas has covered three straight games, yet they have lost six straight up games in a row. The Razorbacks defense has not been good, but you also have to remember this team plays against SEC opponents. They have given up 65 to Alabama, 34 to Auburn and 37 to Ole Miss. By virtue of playing these powerhouse teams, the Razorbacks are ranked 101st in defense. Tulsa opened the season with a win over Central Arkansas, 38-27. Since then, the Golden Hurricanes have lost five straight games. They have covered the last two however and three of the last five. Tulsa is ranked 78th in defense. Neither one of these clubs will be going to a bowl. However, when you look at the level of competition, Arkansas has played a much tougher group of teams. This game will be like a week off for the Hogs and I'm taking them here on Saturday laying less than a TD. Play Arkansas.
|10-20-18||Michigan v. Michigan State +7.5||21-7||Loss||-129||22 h 29 m||Show|
Huge rivalry game here as Michigan State hosts their rivals, Michigan. Michigan opened the season with a loss at Notre Dame, 17-24. Since then, they are 6-0 S/U and 4-2 ATS. They have done this with the nation's 2nd overall ranked defense. The Wolverines allow just 238 yards on the season. The one knock would be they have a fairly high redzone efficiency of 80.6%, allowing 10 TD's in 14 redzone trips. Michigan State is coming off a huge road win last week over Penn State, 21-17 as 13.5-point dogs. The Spartans are now 4-2 S/U and 2-4 ATS on the season. Here is the amazing fact in this series. The Spartans have covered the last 10 years against Michigan. That's right, they are 9-1 S/U and 10-0 ATS the last 10 years! To say they have the Wolverine's number would be an under-statment. I'm not going to buck this trend, especially at home getting a touchdown. Take Michigan State.
|10-19-18||Colorado State +24 v. Boise State||28-56||Loss||-105||8 h 37 m||Show|
Boise State looked to be the odds on favorite to win the Mountain West this year. However, after a 2-0 start that saw the team outscore those opponents 118-27, they have fallen on hard times. The Broncos are just 2-2 S/U and 1-3 ATS since those opening two wins. In fact, they struggled at home against San Diego State two weeks ago, losing 13-19 as 13-point favorites. Then last week they barely survived at Nevada, winning 31-27 as 14-point favorites. Colorado State started the season with two straight losses. However, they have played much better of late, winning their last two games over New Mexico and San Jose State. The Rams are not nearly as good as previous editions of this team, but they have showed improvement as the season has progressed. The Rams are now 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games vs a winning team. The Broncos are just 9-24 ATS their last 33 at home vs a team with a losing record. They are also 4-14 ATS their last 18 home games. I like the points here tonight with the Rams. Play Colorado State.
|10-18-18||Stanford -2.5 v. Arizona State||20-13||Win||100||22 h 33 m||Show|
Stanford looks to rebound from a lopsided loss loss to Utah, 21-40. The Cardinal were without their top player in Bryce Love. Love missed that Utah game with a ankle injury, but looks ready to return tonight. With Love back, the Cardinal attack looks to get back on the winning track tonight after losses to Notre Dame and Utah. Arizona State had that big week 2 win over Michigan State, 16-13 and since then has gone 1-4 S/U and 2/2 ATS. The Sun Devils have struggled, scoring 21, 20 and 21 in their last three losses. The lone win in the last four games was a blowout home win over Oregon State, 52-24. The Cardinal have usually done well following a loss, evidenced by their 14-4 ATS mark their last 18 in this spot. With Love returning tonight I like Stanford to get back to winning. Play Stanford.
|10-13-18||Boise State -16.5 v. Nevada||31-27||Loss||-105||21 h 6 m||Show|
Boise State will try and regroup this week after losing at home last week to San Diego State, 13-19. Boise could manage just 229 total yards in that loss despite have 21 more offensive plays then San Diego State. The Broncos did commit three turnovers and will have to cut down on those mistakes here today. Nevada has quietly gone 3-3 S/U and 2-4 ATS this year. The Wolfpack are coming off a loss at home to Fresno State, 3-21 as 16.5 point dogs.Nevada had 34 more offensive plays in that loss, but could only manage three points. They also outgained Fresno, 327 to 271. The problem came on three turnovers for the Pack. The Broncos usually do well on the road, going 8-2 ATS their last 10 away. Nevada is 1-4 ATS on the season and 8-17 ATS their last 25 games in October. I expect a good team like Boise to rebound here against an overmatched Nevada club. Play Boise State.
|10-13-18||Wisconsin +10 v. Michigan||13-38||Loss||-100||18 h 7 m||Show|
Wisconsin saw it's playoff hopes likely gone when they lost at home to unranked BYU a few weeks ago, 21-24 as 23.5 point favorites. The Badgers did bounce back with wins at Iowa and then last week at home vs Nebraska, 41-24. The Badgers are 4-1 S/U and 1-4 ATS on the season. Michigan lost it's opening game of the season at home to Notre Dame, 17-24. Since then they are 5-0 S/U and 3-2 ATS. Michigan has the top ranked overall defense in the country with a 231 yards per game average. Their redzone efficiency isn't the best at 79.1%. Wisconsin ranks 40th in the country in total defense and has a better 61.9% redzone efficiency. The Badgers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games. Meanwhile, the Wolverines are just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 vs a winning team. I think this game will be much closer than the oddsmakers do. The Badgers currently a 10-point dog. I'll take Wisconsin here on Saturday.
|10-13-18||Army -15 v. San Jose State||52-3||Win||100||14 h 7 m||Show|
San Jose State is coming off a loss at home to Colorado State, 30-42 as three-point dogs. They are now 3-2 ATS and 0-5 S/U on the season. They have allowed at least 31 points in ever game and over 40 points in three of their five games. Meanwhile, Army has been a very good team all season, posting a 3-2 S/U and 3-1-1 ATS mark. The Black Knights are coming off a impressive win at Buffalo, 42-13 as seven-point road dogs. The Knights played Oklahoma very tough the week before, losing just 21-28 at Norman as 30-point dogs. Army is now 5-2 ATS in its last seven road gaems and 4-1-1 ATS in its last six non-conference games. San Jose is just 4-9 ATs in their last 13 at home vs a winning team and 2-6-1 ATS their last nine games following a ATS loss. I like Army here, they are a much better class of team and it will show today. Play Army.
|10-13-18||Washington v. Oregon +3.5||Top||27-30||Win||100||14 h 6 m||Show|
Oregon rebounded nicely from that devastating loss at home three weeks ago to the Stanford Cardinal, 31-38. They had that game in hand before some strange events led to that loss. Still, Oregon has the 15th rated offense behind Heisman hopeful quarterback Justin Herbert. Oregon has scored at least 31 points in all five of their games this season. Washington opened the season with that loss at Auburn, 16-21. Since then, they are 5-0 S/U and 2-3 ATS. The Huskies had some trouble last week with UCLA, winning just 31-24 as 21.5 point road favorites. The defense has been very good, ranked 14th and allowing 24 points or fewer in every game this season. This game promises to highlight the Oregon offense vs the Washington defense. Oregon had the week off to prepare for this game. I like the Ducks here with Hebert at the helm. Play Oregon.
|10-13-18||Louisville v. Boston College -13||20-38||Win||100||11 h 8 m||Show|
Louisville has struggled offensively this season, ranked just 116th in the country in total offense. They have a decent redzone efficiency, when they get there, with a 70.5% rating. The Cardinals are coming off a drubbing at the hands of Georgia Tech, 31-66. The 31 points did match their season high though. Louisville is just 1-5 ATS and 2-3 S/U on the season. Boston College started the season 3-0, but has gone 1-2 since then. The Eagles are 4-2 ATS on the season. Boston College has the 41st rated offense with 450 yards per game. Louisville is now 3-13 ATS their last 16 games when playing on fieldturf, as they will today. They are also 2-10 ATS against winning teams their last 12 games. Meanwhile, BC is 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games and 10-3-1 ATS their last 14 at home vs a team with a losing record. I like BC here, they have the much better offense and that's what's going to get it done today. Take Boston College
|10-12-18||Air Force v. San Diego State -10.5||17-21||Loss||-105||9 h 59 m||Show|
Air Force comes off their big rivalry win over Navy, 35-7. The win was just the second of the season against three losses for the Falcons. Now Air Force must play a very tough San Diego State squad. The Aztecs are also coming off a big road win at Boise State, 19-13. It was the team's fourth straight win after opening the season after a loss at Stanford, 10-31. Air Force has the 96th ranked offense with 371 yards per game while San Diego State is 110th with 350 yards per game. The big difference comes in defense, where San Diego State ranks 17th. They allow a college football 2nd best low of 62 yards rushing per game. Considering that the backbone of this Air Force team is their rushing attack, they will be up against it tonight against one of the best rushing defenses in the county. I like San Diego State to shut down the Falcons ground game here tonight. Play San Diego State.
|10-09-18||Appalachian State -10 v. Arkansas State||Top||35-9||Win||100||7 h 26 m||Show|
Appalachian State has covered all four games so far this season and in big fashion. They opened with a tough game at Penn State, giving the Nittany Lions all they could handle in a 38-45 loss as 23.5 point dogs. Then they proceeded to outscore their next three opponents 169-23! Conversely, Arkansas State is 1-4 ATS and has a 3-2 S/U mark. They are coming off a loss at Georgia Southern, 21-28, as 3.5 point road favorites. Ark State will have its hands full with the 11th ranked offense in the country today. Not only that, but their offense will have to face a Appalachian State squad that also has the 6th ranked defense in the country. Sure, you can take that with a grain of salt since they play a weaker than FBS schedule. Still, this is not a good FBS team in Arkansas State. I think this is a very overmatched Arkansas State team here today that will find the going tough. Take Appalachian State.
|10-06-18||Notre Dame -6.5 v. Virginia Tech||45-23||Win||100||21 h 47 m||Show|
Notre Dame kept their national championship hopes alive with their fifth win last week at home over Stanford, 38-17. The drubbing of ranked Stanford will go a long way to helping them toward an undefeated season. The Irish really have just a season ending road game at USC as their real bump to that undefeated season. Though they can't look past Virginia Tech here today. The Irish have the 48th ranked offense at 442 yards per game and a red zone efficiency rating of 78.6% with 16 TD's in 22 trips. The Irish defense will be tasked with the nation's 27th ranked offense in Va Tech. Tech has 480 yards per game and a red zone efficiency of 79.5%. Va Tech is 3-1 S/U and ATS this season, coming off a 31-14 win at Duke. Tech has the 78th ranked defense, though they have allowed just six TD's in 12 red zone trips this year. This looks to be a very good matchup, but Notre Dame knows how much is on the line with this game. I'm taking the Irish here on Saturday.
|10-06-18||Florida State +14 v. Miami-FL||Top||27-28||Win||100||16 h 8 m||Show|
Florida State is 3-2 S/U on the season, but just 1-4 ATS. The Seminoles are coming off a win at Louisville, 28-24, but failed to cover the 5-point spread. Miami is 4-1 S/U and 3-2 ATS after their win last week at home over North Carolina, 47-10. Miami finally got a win in this season last year, 24-20, snapping a FSU six game wins treak. FSU has also covered three of the last four in this series. Miami is a 14-point favorite here today. Which is strange considering that in the last 16 meetings, this game has been decided by seven points or less 14 times. Personally, I believe this is way too many points to give FSU here today. You can throw out the stats and the records because this is between the two biggest football powers in the state. I'm taking the points here with FSU.
|10-06-18||Iowa -7 v. Minnesota||48-31||Win||100||16 h 57 m||Show|
Iowa looks to get back on the winning track after suffering its first loss of the season two weeks ago at home to Wisconsin, 17-28. The Hawkeyes had a week to stew about that loss. They are still 3-1 both S/U and ATS on the season on boast one of the best defenses in the country. Iowa ranks third in the country in total defense, allowing just 261 yards per game. Minnesota is no slouch defensively, allowing a FBS 14th best 300 yards per game. The Golden Gophers are also 3-1 both S/U and ATS and had last week off. Minnesota lost the previous week at Maryland, 13-42, giving up more points to the Terps then they did in the previous three games combined. Iowa is 19-9 ATS in their last 28 road games while Minnesota is just 1-4-1 ATS in their last six vs a winning team. The road team is 3-1-1 the last five in this series and that's just what I look for today, an Iowa win and cover.
|09-29-18||Oregon v. California +2||Top||42-24||Loss||-100||25 h 55 m||Show|
Can Oregon rebound after last week's shocking home loss to Stanford? I don't know, but they likely will have some carry over here to this game. The Ducks outplayed the Stanford Cardinal the entire game. The Ducks could have taken a 31-7 lead in the third quarter, but a called back TD followed by a fumble and 80-yard Stanford return for a TD started the fall. Now they have to hit the road at Cal. The Bears are 3-0 S/U after beating Idaho State last week, 45-23. The Ducks are just 6-14 ATS in their last 20 conference games and 2-5 ATS following an ATS loss. In addition, Oregon is 8-22-1 ATS their last 31 overall. The home team has covered eight of the last 10 meetings in this series. I'm taking Cal here on Saturday.
|09-29-18||Toledo v. Fresno State -9.5||27-49||Win||100||25 h 46 m||Show|
Toledo is 2-1 both S/U and ats to start the season. They are coming off a shoot-out win over Nevada, 63-44. Toledo has the 39th rated offense with 466 yards per game and a redzone efficiency rating of 86.9%. Fresno State is also 2-1 both S/U and ATS. The Bulldogs are coming off a win over UCLA, 38-14. Fresno has the 75th rated offense with 402 yards per game and a 79% redzone efficiency. The Bulldogs have been very good vs the number, going 20-5-1 ATS their last 26 overall games and 7-2 ATS in their last nine non-conference games. I like the home team here on Saturday. Play Fresno State.
|09-29-18||Stanford v. Notre Dame -5||17-38||Win||100||22 h 50 m||Show|
This is one of the top marquee matchups of the day for Saturday as No 7 Stanford plays at No 8 Notre Dame. Stanford got the miracle win last week at Oregon. The Ducks fumbled late on a play they should have been kneeling on, giving life to the Cardinal who took advantage and rallied for the win, 38-31. That kept Stanford's final four hopes alive as they remained unbeaten at 4-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS. Notre Dame hasn't had it as easy, but they are 4-0 S/U and 2-2 ATS. The Irish are coming off a big win at Wake Forest, 56-27. The Irish have won nine straight home games vs ranked opponents. They are laying just five in this game at home. I like the Irish here. Play Notre Dame.
|09-29-18||Boise State -17 v. Wyoming||34-14||Win||100||21 h 16 m||Show|
To put it bluntly, Wyoming is not a good team. They lost Josh Allen to the NFL and now they are not even an average team. The Cowboys barely got by Wofford last time out, 17-14 as 14.5 point favorites. The Cowboys covered their first game of the season vs New Mexico State. However, since then they are 0-3 ATS and have been outscored 95-49. Boise State is the odds on favorite to win the Mountain West. They opened teh season with two blowout wins. Then two weeks ago they went to Oklahoma State and lost, 21-44. They had last week off to stew about that loss. I fully expect the Broncos to take out their frustration this week on Wyoming. Boise has the 6th ranked offense in the country while Wyoming is 122nd. This one won't be close as Boise in a blowout win. Play Boise State.
|09-28-18||UCLA v. Colorado -9||16-38||Win||100||11 h 0 m||Show|
UCLA had a much needed week off after their loss at home to Fresno State, 14-38. The Bruins are now 0-3 S/U and 1-2 ATS in the young season. UCLA has struggled offensively so far under HC Chip Kelly. Kelly, long known as a offensive strategist hasn't been able to get his Bruins offense on track. UCLA has played QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson, a freshman, a lot at QB. However, expect to see both QB's here tonight, both Thompson-Robinson and Wilton Speight. Not sure it will matter much against a Colorado defense that ranks 67th in the country. Colorado has allowed only five trips into their redzone this year with just two of those turning into TD's. UCLA ranks 90th and has allowed 16 trips into the redzone with 13 TD's, one of the worst Redzone efficiencies in the country (86.6%). The Buffaloes can go 4-0 with a win tonight for the first time in 20 years. UCLA has been outscored 52-113 this year and I don't see that changing much tonight. I'm taking Colorado and laying the points.
|09-22-18||Louisiana Tech +21 v. LSU||21-38||Win||100||22 h 13 m||Show|
Louisiana Tech had last week off after a easy game the week before against Southern U. Tech beat Southern 54-17 and is now 2-0 after their week 1 win over South Alabama, 30-26. The two wins moved the offense up to 17th in the country with 527 average yards per game. They also have one of the highest red zone efficiencies with a 87.3% rating after getting seven TD's in nine red-zone trips. LSU opened the season with a nice win over Miami Florida, 33-17 and then an easy win over SE Louisiana, 31-0 before their big showdown with Auburn last week. LSU beat Auburn 22-21 as 10-point dogs. My issue here is a letdown for LSU following that huge win. Plus, they are playing in-state rival La Tech, which would like nothing better than to beat LSU for recruiting reasons. I'm taking the points here with the Tech. They have a very good offense and I'm look for a LSU letdown. Play Louisiana Tech.
|09-22-18||NC State v. Marshall +6||37-20||Loss||-105||22 h 9 m||Show|
NC State had last week off after opening the season with a pair of wins. NC State looked slugish in their opening game at home vs James Madison, winning just 24-13 as a 14-point favorite. The did play better in week two with a win at home over Georgia State, 41-7. Now they take to the road for their first away game of the season. Marshall also had last week off after beating Eastern Ky the week before, 32-16 and Miami Ohio in week one, 35-28. These teams have met just once in the last 10 years and that was last season. NC State beat Marshall at home, 37-20, but failed to cover the 23.5 point line. NC State is just 2-5 ATS in their last seven vs a non-conference opponent. Marshall has fared much better, going 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 non-conference games. I like Marshall here on Saturday plus the points. Take Marshall.
|09-22-18||Kansas +7.5 v. Baylor||7-26||Loss||-110||19 h 39 m||Show|
Kansas should be 3-0 to start the season, but a opening week shocking loss to Nicholls State has them with that one blemish. They did bounce back with a win at Central Michigan, 31-7 and then a blowout win at home over Rutgers last week, 55-14. Baylor opened with a pair of softball games vs Abilene Christian and Texas San Antonio, winning those easily. Then last week, the Bears lost at home to Duke, 27-40 as a 6.5 point favorite. Kansas ranks well defensively, 15th as they allow 294 yards per game. Baylor ranks 68th defensively. Baylor does not do well when installed as the favorite, evidenced by their 5-14 ATS mark the last 19 tries. These teams in my opinion are evenly matched. Yet, the oddsmakers have installed the Bears as a 9.5 point favorite and they have dropped to 7.5. There is still good value in that number since I have this game closer to a 3-point line. Take Kansas plus the points.
|09-22-18||Louisville v. Virginia -5||3-27||Win||100||16 h 35 m||Show|
ACC battle here between Louisville and Virginia. Louisville has potential, but the offense has not been good. The Cardinals scored 14 points in their opening week loss at Alabama, then 31 vs Indiana State (as a 42-point favorite) and last week just got past Western Kentucky, 20-17 as a 22-point favorite. The Cardinals are 0-3 ATS and ranked 120th in the country in total offense. Virginia us 3-0 ATS after wins over Richmond, and Ohio U. They lost at Indiana, but covered the seven-point dog line. Virginia is 55th in offense and 42nd in defense. Virginia has covered three of the last four years these teams have met. I'm taking the home team here in Virginia.
|09-22-18||Boston College v. Purdue +7||13-30||Win||100||15 h 7 m||Show|
No 23 Boston College has looked good so far this year, especially on offense where they have scored 55, 62 and 41 points in their three wins. Sure, it's been against U Mass, Holy Cross and Wake Forest. They rank 11th right now in the country with 577 yards per game. Purdue is no slouch on offense, ranking 19th. The Boilermakers came close to a upset at home last week over Missouri, losing 37-40 as 6.5 point home dogs. This will be the fourth straight home game for Purdue, who takes to the road for three of its next four after this week. This is a non-conference game and Purdue is 6-1 ATS the last seven times vs non conference opponents. Purdue should be up for this game after starting the season 0-3 at home. They get a ranked opponent coming into Ross Ade Stadium. BC is ranked, but I like the points here with Purdue who will be ready for them with a good offense. Take Purdue.
|09-22-18||Georgia v. Missouri +15||43-29||Win||100||15 h 5 m||Show|
Big game here as Georgia takes on Missouri. Georgia is 3-0 after some easy wins over Austin Peay and Middle Tennessee State. This will be the first real challenge for Georgia. Missouri is also 3-0 with wins over Tenn-Martin, Wyoming and then last week at Purdue, 40-37. Both these teams rank high offensively by virtue of their competition. Missouri is 7th with 589 yards per game and Georgia is 32nd with 488 yards per game. Georgia ranks 7th defensively while Missouri falls to 74th. Missouri is 9-3 ATS their last 12 games and have covered four of the last five times they have met Georgia. I believe Missouri has too good of an offense to be getting 14 points at home here. While I don't expect them to win outright, I wouldn't be shocked if they did. Take the points with Missouri.
|09-21-18||Washington State v. USC -4.5||36-39||Loss||-108||10 h 36 m||Show|
PAC-12 clash here tonight as USC hosts Washington State. The WSU Cougars are 3-0 S/U and 2-1 ATS to start the season. However, I have to take that with a grain of salt. They beat, what is now a bad Wyoming team, 41-19 and then San Jose 31-0 and Eastern Washington 59-24. They really have not had any test yet. So tonight will be their first real test of the season. USC is 1-2 S/U and 0-3 ATS. They opened with a win over UNLV 43-21 and then lost at Stanford 3-17 and at Texas 14-37. Unlike Washington State, the Trojans have had two real tough games and a very pesky UNLV to deal with. They return home here tonight. The Cougars are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games and 0-5 ATS on their last five grass games. While Washington State has been the better team on paper, they have not really face a good team yet. I'm taking USC to bounce back here tonight. Play Southern Cal.
|09-15-18||Washington v. Utah +5||21-7||Loss||-110||20 h 0 m||Show|
Utah played at Northern Illinois last week and pushed the 11-point line, winning 17 -6. The game easily going under the 49 total. The Utes rushed for just 68 yards, but did pass for 286. Both Utah and NIU had two turnovers. The Utah defense held the Huskies to just 228 total yards and 111 yards passing. Meanwhile, Washington has yet to cover a spread in two attempts after an easy home win over North Dakota, 45-3. They just missed the cover of the 45.5 point line. Washington had an easy week with 632 total yards to just 262. That makes this a tough road game for Washington after that softball they were tossed last week. The Huskies are laying points at Utah and I like home dogs, especially ones that have good defenses. The Utah defense has allowed a total of 16 points in its two games and I like them as the home dog here on Saturday night. Play Utah.
|09-15-18||Missouri v. Purdue +7||40-37||Win||100||17 h 19 m||Show|
Purdue coming off a loss last week at home vs Eastern Michigan. The Boilermakers lost as a home favorite, 19-20, giving up 15-points. Purdue allowed EMU 347 yards through the air and just 69 on the ground. Purdue was the opposite, gaining 341 on the ground and just 135 through the air. Missouri had an easy time at home vs Wyoming, 40-13. The Tigers were 17.5 point home favorites. I had Missouri last week and as I stated then, that play was as much against Wyoming who I did not think was a very good team. Purdue usually does well in non-conference games, posting a 5-1 ATS mark their last six tries. I like the Boilermakers to rebound here at home and cover this game as a home dog. Take Purdue.
|09-15-18||South Florida -10.5 v. Illinois||25-19||Loss||-110||14 h 35 m||Show|
South Florida is 2-0 after beating Georgia Tech last game, 49-38 as a three-point home dog. The Bulls offense was prolific in that contest, totalling 426 yards, 219 of which were on the ground as they rushed for 5.1 yards per carry. They also had a very good yards per point average, with a a 8.69 number. Meanwhile Illinois played at home vs Western Illinois and won 34-14 as a eight-point home favorite. The Illini had 238 yards on the ground and controlled the game through their ground and pound approach. Illinois is now 1-1 ATS on the season and 0-2 O/U. The SF Bulls are now 7-1 ATS vs a team with a winning record their last eight games and 5-1 ATS in their last six vs the Big 10. The Fighting Illini are just 2-5 ATS vs non-conference opponents and 9-23 ATS following an ATS win. I'm taking the points here with the visitor. Take South Florida.
|09-15-18||Boise State +2 v. Oklahoma State||Top||21-44||Loss||-110||13 h 24 m||Show|
Boise State has had little trouble in their first two games, beating Troy 56-20 and then last week defeating U Conn, 62-7 as a 33.5 point home favorite. The Broncos return to the road this week to face Oklahoma State. The Cowboys opened with a 58-17 win over Missouri State and then beat South Alabama last week, 55-13. They are 1-1 ATS, covering the 30.5 point line last week. This should be an interesting matchup between two teams with explosive offenses who really face their first challenge of the season. This is the bigger game for Boise, because they know that Oklahoma State might be their real only obstacle to a 12-0 season. The Broncos have looked forward to this game since Spring and will have everyone ready. Not only has Boise covered seven of their last nine games, but they are 45-22 ATS in their last 67 road games. I think this game just means a lot more to this Boise squad and I'm taking them here on Saturday afternoon.
|09-08-18||Michigan State v. Arizona State +5.5||13-16||Win||100||21 h 50 m||Show|
Arizona State opened their season with an easy win over Texas San Antonio, 49-7 as a 18.5 point favorite. The Sun Devils rushed for 266 yards and passed for 237 yards. They were +3 in turnovers and held UTSA to just two yards rushing on 34 attempts. Michigan State didn't have it so easy, struggling at home to a narrow 38-31 win over Utah State as a 22.5 point favorite. The Spartans allowed 319 yards passing to Utah State and both teams had two turnovers. The Spartans did rely on their ground game, rushing for 165 yards on 42 carries. MSU must make the long trip West to play in Tempe tonight. ASU is a 5.5 point home dog and I believe ASU can win this game outright. I'll take the points here with the home team.
|09-08-18||USC v. Stanford -6||3-17||Win||100||33 h 57 m||Show|
Stanford opened up last week with a nice home win over San Diego State, 31-10 as 14.5 point favorites. The Cardinal threw for 332 yards, but rushed for just 50 in the game. The defense held San Diego State to 113 yards passing and 150 yard on the ground for less then 270 total yards. USC struggled early against UNLV, but eventually took over the game en route to a win 43-21. However, they did not cover the 27.5 point line. UNLV rushed for 308 yards against the Trojan's defense, which has to be disconcerting for this USC club. USC did amass 501 totals yards in the game, but did give up 405 to the Rebels. Stanford is one of the best teams in the PAC-12 while I look at USC as being in a rebuilding mode. They proved it last week as UNLV ran wild on them. I'm taking the Cardinal here at home in week 2.
|09-08-18||New Mexico State v. Utah State -23||13-60||Win||100||18 h 6 m||Show|
Utah State showed very well last week at Big 10 Michigan State. The Aggies were 22.5 point dogs and came up just seven point shy in a loss to the Spartans, 31-38. UTS had their passing game in high gear, completing 29-of-44 passes for 319 yards. The Aggies also had just one less first down than Michigan State. New Mexico State went to 0-2 after losing to Wyoming in the opening day, 7-29 and then at Minnesota 10-48 in game two. New Mexico State's offense has not been clicking, scoring just 17 points in two games. They also garnered just 38 yards on the ground and got outgained 271-522 by the Gophers. Utah State should win this one going away against this New Mexico State team that looks way down from last year's bowl team. Play Utah State.
|09-08-18||Wyoming v. Missouri -19.5||Top||13-40||Win||100||17 h 5 m||Show|
Wyoming is 1-1 with that extra game under its belt. The Cowboys are in a rebuilding year after losing Josh Allen to the NFL. The Cowboys opened with a nice road win at New Mexico State, 29-7. However, that game lost some luster when we have seen how bad New Mexico State is this season. The Cowboys then lost at home to Washington State, 19-41 as just 3-point dogs. It seems the oddsmakers may have given Wyoming a bit too much credit after that New Mexico State win too. Missouri opened with a easy win over Tennessee Martin, 51-14, covering the 33.5 point spread. The Tigers totaled 558 yards of offense and held UTM to just 277 yards. Hard to gauge these games against non-FBS opponents, but it's clear that Wyoming isn't as good as first thought. Wyoming is a big road dog here today and for good reason. Missouri should easily handle the Cowboys. Take Missouri.
|09-08-18||Georgia v. South Carolina +9.5||41-17||Loss||-110||134 h 21 m||Show|
South Carolina had an excellent season last year with a 9-4 record. Will Muschamp begins his third year at the helm of the Gamecocks team. The Gamecocks were very good against the spread, going 7-1 ATS and grabbing five dog upsets. That makes 16 times in the last two years the Gamecocks have been installed as the dog. No 3 Georgia finished 13-2 last season and missed a national championship by one play. The defense will be young this season and the offense returns QB Jake Fromm. Georgia should be favored in every game this season and while some games will be tough, this one today will be one that Bulldogs will have to watch out for. South Carolina is almost a 10 point home dog and good enough to give Georgia all it can handle. I'm going to take the points in this one with a very good home team in South Carolina.
|09-08-18||Mississippi State v. Kansas State +7||31-10||Loss||-105||10 h 6 m||Show|
Kansas State got a bit of a scare last week at home, beating South Dakota by just a 27-24 margin. The Wildcats were 22.5 point favorites and failed to cover. The K State rushing attack was point on though, rushing for 256 yards and a 5.4 yards per carry average. The biggest problem was four turnover and no take aways for Kansas State. Mississippi State had one of those softball games last week, beating Stephen F Austin by a 63-6 score. The Bulldogs rushed for 220 yards and passed for another 398 yards, for a total of 618 yards. They also covered the 47.5 point spread. I had Kansas State ranked 34th to start the season after an 8-5 finish last year. HC Bill Snyder finds ways to win and these are the kind of games he does well with. I'm taking Kansas State here to start your day.
|09-07-18||TCU -22 v. SMU||42-12||Win||100||10 h 24 m||Show|
TCU opened up with a softball game last week, a drubbing of Southern University, 55-7. Now No 16 TCU will play their instate rivals SMU. Don't expect much of a contest here though for the Horned Frogs. The Frogs were 11-3 last year and while they may not be quite as good this year, they are still one of the best. The only question is sophomore QB Shawn Robinson and if he's ready to lead this team. Robinson has plenty around him with WR Jalen Regor and RB Darius Anderson back. The defense will be one of the best again this year. SMU made some big coaching changes this year with OC Rhett Lashlee and DC Kevin Kane both taking over. Ben Hicks returns at QB and has some impressive passing numbers. The problem with this team is the defense. Kane will make progress, but not this year. SMU might still be a year away before being a contender. Take TCU.
|09-03-18||Virginia Tech +7.5 v. Florida State||24-3||Win||100||8 h 17 m||Show|
Two top 25 teams face off today as the No 20 ranked Virginia Tech Hokies play at No 19 Florid State Seminoles. These teams haven't met since 2012 when Florida State beat Tech, 28-22. Va Tech welcomes JC transfer Damon Hazelton finally at WR after he sat out last year. QB Josh Jackson returns as signal caller after an up and down 2017 season. Both teams are having to replace a lot of talent on the defensive side of the ball. Both these teams are evenly matched and I look for a close game at the end. I'm taking the points here with Virginia Tech.
|09-02-18||Miami-FL -3 v. LSU||Top||17-33||Loss||-110||9 h 58 m||Show|
Miami was 10-0 last year before the wheels fell off and finished with three straight losses. QB Malik Rosier returns this year and will be pushed by some younger QB's in the stable. They return a lot of experience on the offensive line and the defense will be another beast this year. LSU will be depending on Ohio State transfer Joe Burrow at QB and a pair of Texas Tech wide receivers that transferred. They also have a new OC in Steve Ensminger. I don't look for this LSU team to be as good as last year, especially with questions at skill positions like QB and WR. Miami just too good out of the gate to pass on this 3-point line today. LSU might be good, but not this early. Play Miami Florida.
|09-01-18||Boise State v. Troy +10||56-20||Loss||-107||16 h 16 m||Show|
Boise State will once again be the odds on favorite to win the Mountain West. The Broncos won last year with a 11-3 record, their first in three years. QB Brett Rypien will be a senior this year and should be all the better. The defense will be led by a pair of the best pass rushers in the nation and more experience behind them. Troy was 11-2 last season and while I don't expect them to be as good this season, they should be right at the top of the Sun Belt conference come season's end. Gone is four-year starting QB Brandon Silvers. Both backups from last year return to fight it out for the starting spot. This team is full of depth though and should have no problem reloading for 2018. I'm going to take Troy here at home plus the 10 points. That's just too many for this early in the season with a team that was very good last year and should be just as good this season. Take Troy.
|09-01-18||Northern Illinois +10.5 v. Iowa||7-33||Loss||-112||14 h 56 m||Show|
Northern Illinois playing one of the harder schedules in the country, starts off with a tough one here at Iowa. The NIU team has a very good defense that got them eight wins in 2017 and should do them good again here this season. The defense returns most of its quality from last year and will be the backbone of this team again this year. QB Marcus Childers brought some stability to a position that has had a lot of injuries over the last few seasons. Iowa is usually a solid team, good for seven or eight wins a season. The defense lost some big playmakers from last season. This will be a tough test for Iowa against this stiff NIU defense. Too many points here today for me to lay as I take NIU plus the 10 points today. Play Northern Illinois.