|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|10-21-19||Patriots v. Jets UNDER 43.5||Top||33-0||Win||100||7 h 48 m||Show|
New England Patriots look like they are making another run at the NFL Super Bowl as their defense has just been outstanding this year. Last week the Pats beat the other New York team, the Giants, 35-14. The Pats defense held the Giants to just 213 total yards and had four takeaways. The Pats defense is ranked 1st overall in the NFL with the Jets at 19th. The last six games in this series have gone UNDER. The Patriots are 1-7 O/U as a road favorite of seven or more points their last eight games. Meanwhile, the Jets are 1-5 O/U when coming off a S/U home dog win as they did last week vs the Cowboys. I'm going to take the UNDER tonight in this one. Play UNDER.
|10-20-19||Eagles +3 v. Cowboys||10-37||Loss||-125||34 h 16 m||Show|
Dallas has lost three straight games after starting the season 3-0. Now there are accusations being thrown around about play calling and such. Bottom line is that this Dallas team is having some issues. They lost at the Jets last week, 22-24 as a touchdown favorite. Still, despite losing three straight games this game with the 3-3 Eagles is for the division lead. The Eagles lost last week at Minnesota, 20-38. That snapped a two-game win streak for Philly. Dallas has the 2nd ranked offense in the league while Philly comes in at 20th. The Cowboys are ranked 9th defensively with the Eagles being 14th. There must be some internal issues in Dallas with a team ranked as high as they are in both offense and defense, yet with just a 3-3 record and on a 3-game losing streak. I'm not going to play Dallas until I see some unity on this club. Tonight, I'll take the visitor in this one. Play Philadelphia.
|10-20-19||Saints v. Bears UNDER 37.5||36-25||Loss||-110||30 h 21 m||Show|
Reason: Two teams having to play with backup QB's meet today as The Saints clash with the Bears. The Saints will continue here with Teddy Bridgewater at QB as Drew Brees is still out with a hand injury. The Bears could see QB Mitchell Trubisky back this week as he's listed as questionable right now. The Saints also have their star RB Alvin Kamara listed as questionable with an ankle injury. With all this offensive power sidelined, this looks to be a low scoring game. The Bears have the 6th ranked overall defense but the 30th ranked offense. The Saints have the 10th ranked defense and the 22nd ranked offense. So we can see these teams have suffered offensively this year. The Bears had last week off to stew over their beating by the Raiders in London two weeks ago, 21-24. After falling behind big, the Bears came back to lead 21-17 before losing late. The game was just the club's second over in five games. In addition, it was the most points the Bears have allowed this year. The Saints offense has scored less than 14 points two times in the last three weeks, including last week's win at Jacksonville, 13-6 . The team has covered four straight though with half of their games going under. I'm taking the under here today. Both teams have good defenses and both offenses are hurting. Take the UNDER.
|10-20-19||Texans v. Colts||23-30||Win||100||60 h 11 m||Show|
Houston Texans bring their 4-2 record to Indianapolis to the play Colts on Sunday. The Texans are fresh off that win at Kansas City, 31-24. They not only dominated on the scoreboard, but dominated the ball in time of possession. The Texans had 472 total yards compared to the Chiefs 309 yards. Meanwhile, the Colts had last week off after also beating the Chiefs the prior week, 19-13. Houston has the 6th rated offense and the 18th ranked defense. The Colts rank 23rd offensively and 16th defensively. The Colts have covered the last two times they have played the Texans, winning last year at Houston 24-21. That makes four covers for the Colts against the Texans in the last five meetings. The Colts QB Jacoby Brissett has thrown 10 TD's this year with just three INT's. Marlon Mack leads all rushers on the Colts with 470 yards and two TD's. Deshaun Watson has 12 TD's for the Texans with three INT's and adds 5 more rushing TD's. This is a pretty even matchup, but I'm taking the home team here on Sunday. Play the Colts.
|10-17-19||Chiefs v. Broncos +4||30-6||Loss||-115||73 h 17 m||Show|
The Denver Broncos playing very good all of a sudden with another win on Sunday over Tennessee, 16-0. The Broncos defense held Tennessee to just 39 yards rushing and 165 yards passing. That's two games in a row with outstanding defense. They got their first win two weeks ago at the Chargers, holding them to 35 yards rushing and 211 yards passing. Meanwhile the Kansas City defense has been horrible. They can't stop anyone and proved it again Sunday losing at home to Houston, 24-31. The allowed the Texans 192 yards rushing and 280 yards passing. Their loss two weeks ago at home to the Colts they allowed 180 yards rushing and 151 yards passing. They have now allowed 180 or more yards rushing in four of their five games. That is absolutely horrendous. Add to that fact that QB Patrick Mahomes is banged-up with a ankle injury and the Chiefs look very ordinary at the moment. The Broncos could easily have four wins this season. Vic Fangio finally has this team playing the way he wants, great defense and a conservative offense. Take advantage of the Broncos at +4 or better because I feel this line will go down by gametime. Play Denver.
|10-13-19||Titans v. Broncos -2||0-16||Win||100||117 h 18 m||Show|
Denver finally got in the win column last week and they did it on the road at the Chargers. Denver jumped out to a big lead and pretty much cruised the rest of the way for a 20-13 win over the Chargers. Denver held LA to just 246 total yards while controlling the ball on the ground with 191 rushing yards. Tennessee ran into the defensive buzzsaw called Buffalo, losing to the Bills 7-14. The Titans scored just seven points against the league's second ranked defense and totaled just 252 yards. Denver's defense isn't what it used to be, but they have improved to 7th in the league now while Tennessee is 9th in the league. Both teams struggling on offense though, as Denver ranks 19th and Tennessee 27th. Titans have not done well on the road against losing teams, going 5-15-1 their last 21 vs the spread. These clubs have met just once in the last five years and that was at Tennessee where the Titans won a low scoring game, 13-10. If we look back to the last six meetings between these teams, the Broncos have covered five of those. I expect a defensive game here with two better than average defenses. But now that Denver got that first win, I like them to get another here on Sunday. Play Denver.
|10-13-19||Seahawks -1.5 v. Browns||32-28||Win||100||114 h 52 m||Show|
Trouble brewing in Cleveland after that horrible performance last Monday night at San Francisco. QB Baker Mayfield had a terrible night, getting harassed and sacked by the 49ers tough defense. Mayfield took a seat late in the game he was so ineffective. The Browns managed just 180 total yards and 78 passing yards (20 of those by Beckham). The Browns also had four turnovers to the 49ers zero. Now they have to regroup because it doesn't get any easier tonight against a very good Seattle team. Seattle has the extra rest for this one after playing last Thursday night and beating the Rams, 30-29. Seattle rushed for 167 yards and had 429 total yards.Seattle improved to 7th in the league in total offense while Cleveland dropped to 23rd. Seattle's defense is ranked 14th and Cleveland 18th. This Cleveland franchise has issues from owner James Haslem who is not a good owner, to HC Freddie Kitchens who doesn't know how to coach to Mayfield who acts like a child out of control to Odell Beckham Jr who is just a ego maniac. This is no way to run a football team and that's why I will be betting against them this week. This is a perfect situation for Seattle. They are playing great and now face a team and franchise in disarray. Play Seattle.
|10-13-19||Seahawks v. Browns UNDER 47.5||32-28||Loss||-110||98 h 23 m||Show|
Trouble brewing in Cleveland after that horrible performance last Monday night at San Francisco. QB Baker Mayfield had a terrible night, getting harassed and sacked by the 49ers tough defense. Mayfield took a seat late in the game he was so ineffective. The Browns managed just 180 total yards and 78 passing yards (20 of those by Beckham). The Browns also had four turnovers to the 49ers zero. Now they have to regroup because it doesn't get any easier tonight against a very good Seattle team. Seattle has the extra rest for this one after playing last Thursday night and beating the Rams, 30-29. Seattle rushed for 167 yards and had 429 total yards.Seattle improved to 7th in the league in total offense while Cleveland dropped to 23rd. Seattle's defense is ranked 14th and Cleveland 18th. This Cleveland franchise has issues from owner James Haslem who is not a good owner, to HC Freddie Kitchens who doesn't know how to coach to Mayfield who acts like a child out of control to Odell Beckham Jr who is just a ego maniac. There might be some higher winds in this game, which will further effect Mayfield and his inconsistency of late. But what I believe winds will really do is have Seattle continue to run the ball as they have done so well this season. Seattle will control the ball on the ground and for me that will lead this game to go under the total. Play UNDER.
|10-13-19||Panthers -1 v. Bucs||37-26||Win||100||40 h 18 m||Show|
The 3-2 Carolina Panthers travel to Florida to take on the 2-3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Carolina has been playing without QB Cam Newton, who is out with a foot injury. However, since Newton went out the Panthers have won three straight games with QB Kyle Allen. Allen has won all three of his starts for Carolina. But the star of this team is RB Christian McCaffrey who is involved in more offensive plays than anyone in the league. McCaffrey has 587 yards rushing this year and 279 yards receiving with seven total TD's. He ranks first in total yards from scrimmage. McCaffrey is the center of this offense and Allen is just the supporting cast at this point. Tampa Bay pulled the huge upset two weeks ago at the Rams, 55-40, then last week lost at New Orleans, 24-31. This team has been very inconsistent. The Bucs managed just 252 yards in the loss last week. That performance dropped the Bucs to 17th in total offense with Carolina coming in at 14th. The difference here is defense, where the Panthers continue to improve and now rank 8th in the league compared to the Bucs 25th ranking. I expect McCaffrey to give the Bucs all kinds of problems here on Sunday. I'll lay the small price with Carolina on Sunday. take the Panthers.
|10-10-19||Giants v. Patriots UNDER 43||14-35||Loss||-109||59 h 45 m||Show|
Thursday night football has the Patriots hosting the Giants from Gillette Stadium. The first thing that hits me in this game is that there could be some winds over 10 mph in this one. That's significant because at Gillette you can get those winds swirling and that effects QB's and their throwing. This could be an issue for Giants rookie QB Daniel Jones. With both Barkley and Gallman out for this game at Running back, more pressure will be on Jones shoulders to make things happen. And he'll be asked to do it with those winds and against one of the best defenses in the league in the Patriots. The Pats allowing just 78 rushing yards and 160 passing yards per game. None of the Pats five opponents have score more than 14 points and three have scored fewer than 10 points. The Pats are a perfect 5-0 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season with a over/under record of 1-4. The Giants had won two in a row under Jones, but three wasn't to be as they lost at Minnesota last week, 10-28. They have gone under in their last two games and three of their last four. The Patriots have now gone under in five of their last seven home games and 19 of their last 26 against a team with a losing record. The last five meetings between these teams at Gillette Stadium have gone UNDER. I believe the combination of any swirling winds with the Patriots stingy defense will keep this game under. Play the UNDER.
|10-07-19||Browns v. 49ers OVER 47||Top||3-31||Loss||-109||21 h 40 m||Show|
The San Francisco 49ers look to keep their perfect record in tact here on Monday night football as they host the Cleveland Browns. Cleveland pulled the upset win last week at Baltimore, 40-25. They have now covered both road games and not covered both home games. The Browns are 2-2 S/U and ATS. The entire offense was clicking last week at Baltimore with 337 yards passing and 193 yards rushing. The Browns offense now ranked 12th in the league with the defense ranked 13th. The 49ers had last week off to prepare for this game. Jimmy Garoppolo has a 9-2 record in his starts for the Niners. Shanahan is an offensive specialist and now you give him an extra week to prepare for this game? To me that means we'll be seeing plenty of points here on Monday. I'm expecting to see a high scoring contest in this one. take the OVER.
|10-06-19||Broncos +7 v. Chargers||20-13||Win||100||35 h 55 m||Show|
The Denver Broncos might be the best 0-4 team in the NFL. They could easily be 2-2 and should have won the Bears game if not for a bad call at the end. Then last week another late rally by the Jagaurs resulted in a last second loss. The Broncos brought in Joe Flacco to play QB and he hasn't played badly. They also brought in HC Vic Fangio from the Bears and he hasn't performed up to their standards yet. Could a loss here today make Fangio the first fatality of the head coaching ranks this year? We'll see. The Denver defense isn't what it used to be. That's an understatement. It's even been rumored that Von Miller is on the trading block. Star LB Bradley Chubb was injured in the Jags game and is out the rest of the year. As for the Bolts, RB Melvin Gordon returns from his holdout and should start this week. Ekeler has been very good in his place. I think one thing is for sure in Denver this year, we are going to see QB Drew Lock around week 8 when he returns from his injury. The Chargers had the week off last week, also known as playing the Miami Dolphins. The Chargers rolled to a 30-10 win over the Dolphins and evened their season record at 2-2. While I don't see the snake bitten Broncos winning, I think this line is too high for a rivalry game. I'm taking the visiting Broncos plus the points.
|10-06-19||Ravens v. Steelers +3.5||Top||26-23||Win||100||120 h 50 m||Show|
I really learned something last week, that this Baltimore Ravens team is a fraud. Everyone watched in week one as they demolished an overmatched and winless Miami Dolphins team. Then in week 2 we saw that effort get tougher as the winless Arizona Cardinals covered the 13 point dog line and almost won the game outright, 17-23. Then in week 4 when the real competition started, they lost at Kansas City, 28-33 failing to cover the 4-point dog line and then got killed at home last week by the Cleveland Browns, 25-40. This team is not nearly as good as they are now getting credit for. Meanwhile, the Steelers defense and offense both looked very good last Monday night for the win over the Bengals, 27-3. They have now covered two-straight games and now that Mason Rudolph is getting more action from the coach, he's looking like a real NFL quarterback. Let's throw out stats in this one because the Ravens are still inflated by that Miami game. Instead, lets look at who's real and who's a fraud. The Ravens are a fraud and should not be favored at Pittsburgh here in week 5. I personally will have my biggest bet of the NFL season so far on this game. Good luck and GO Steelers!
|10-06-19||Bears -5 v. Raiders||21-24||Loss||-100||32 h 51 m||Show|
If there was a game Khalil Mack had circled on his calendar, it was this one. Mack gets to face down the team that traded him, the Oakland Raiders. This will be the first of four games being played in London England this year. Chase Daniel looks to get the start at QB for the Bears here today as Mitchell Trubisky is out with his shoulder injury. But that's not a bad thing, I actually like Daniel better than Trubisky. He's a much smarter QB and I think brings a whole other dimension to an offense that Trubisky still has trouble running. The Bears defense dominated Minnesota last week in a 16-6 win. They held the Vikings to 222 yards and took two turnovers from them. The Bears have the fifth rated overall defense with Oakland coming in at 22nd. Where the Bears lack is on offense, as they are just 30th in total yards. However, I see that improving with Daniel at the helm today. Oakland is 21st in total yards and led by QB Derrick Carr. They will be without LB Vontaze Burfict who has been suspended for the rest of the year - a huge blow to this defense. Overall, I love the Chicago defense to shut down Carr and the Raiders today. Lay the 5-points with Chicago.
|10-06-19||Bills v. Titans UNDER 39.5||14-7||Win||100||11 h 9 m||Show|
Buffalo saw it's perfect season end last week, but they put up a valiant fight and kept Tom Brady and the Patriots frustrated with a very good defense. They held the very good Patriot offense to just 224 total yards and Brady to just 150 yards passing. It was turnovers that killed Buffalo with four in the game as they lost 10-16, but covered the 7-point dog line. The Bills boast the league's 2nd rated overall defense, allowing just 281 total yards per game. Tennessee had a fairly easy time last week at Atlanta, winning 24-10. They got the win despite being out-gained in total yards 365-422. Atlanta threw for 364 yards in the loss. Tennessee has just the 25th ranked offense and the 14th ranked defense this year. The Bills have gone under now in their last four road games and are 0-5 in their last five on grass. I love the defense here in this game. The Bills are the only team in the league that hasn't allowed a 2nd half point this season. And while Buffalo is 10th on offense, I don't see them getting a lot of points on the road after that tough game last week. I'm taking the UNDER here on Sunday.
|10-03-19||Rams v. Seahawks -1.5||29-30||Loss||-110||49 h 14 m||Show|
The LA Rams looked like an easy winner last week after the Bucs came to town on the heels of a 18-point come from ahead loss the week before to the Giants. But it was the Bucs that shocked the Rams, 55-40 as 9-point dogs. The Rams trailed at the half 28-17 and cut the lead to 28-20 before the Bucs built another big lead to 45-27 in the 4th. A late rally by the Rams fell short though when Goff was stripped of the ball by Shaq Barrett and returned for a TD by Ndamukong Suh for a 55-40 win. Now the Rams travel to Washington to face the Seattle Seahawks. Seattle won at Arizona last week, 27-10, holding the Cardinals to 321 total yards. Seattle has the 7th ranked defense and the 13the ranked offense. The Rams are 7th ranked on offense and 11th on defense. The last two years these clubs have met four times, with Seattle covering three of those and winning one outright. Last year Seattle lost at home to the Rams, 31-33 as a 7.5 point dog. The key here is for Seattle to control the clock and keep the ball out of the Rams hands. LA will have to do a much better job defensively, especially against arguably the best QB in the league in Russell Wilson. Seattle has performed well on Thursday's, going 7-0-2 ATS their last nine times in the early game. LA is only 1-5 ATS in their last six Thursday games. The difference for me here is that 12th man of Seattle and the home advantage. The Rams defense is struggling and I look for that to continue here on Thursday. I'm taking the Seattle Seahawks.
|09-30-19||Bengals v. Steelers UNDER 45.5||Top||3-27||Win||100||18 h 15 m||Show|
One of these teams should come away with their first win of the season here on Monday Night (barring a OT tie). Both Cincinnati and Pittsburgh are both 0-3 S/U to start the season. The Bengals looked great in their opener at Seattle, losing 20-21. The defense held Seattle to 72 yards rushing and 161 yards passing. Since the it's been downhill with a blowout loss at home to San Francisco, 17-41, and then a loss at Buffalo, 17-21. The Bengals have gone UNDER in two of their three games. Pittsburgh opened with a loss at New England, 3-33, then lost at home to Seattle, 26-28 and last week lost at San Francisco, 20-24. They have also gone under in two of their three games. Both teams rank near the bottom of the NFL in both offense and defense. Cincy has the 27th ranked defense and the 18th ranked offense. Pittsburgh is ranked 29th in defense and 30th in offense. For me, I'm looking UNDER here on Monday. The Bengals are 0-4-1 O/U in their last five road games. They are also 2-7-1 O/U the last 10 vs the AFC North. Pittsburgh is 2-5 O/U in their last seven games and now without Big Ben that should even be more magnified. The last 10 meetings between these teams in Pittsburgh has seen these teams go under eight time. Poor matchup here, so I'm sticking just with the UNDER.
|09-29-19||Cowboys v. Saints +3||10-12||Win||100||105 h 3 m||Show|
The undefeated Dallas Cowboys travel to the Big Easy to take on the New Orleans Saints on Sunday night. The Cowboys looks rather lethargic in their first half against a very overmatched Miami team. However, they exploded in the 2nd half to cover the 22.5-point line, 31-6. Dallas now has wins against the Giants, Redskins and Miami. Really, this matchup here today is their first real test as those previous three games were all against very poor teams. The Saints are 2-1 S/U and 1-2 ATS after a very nice win on the road last week at Seattle, 33-27. The offense hasn't been all that good since Drew Brees went out with a hurt thumb. The Saints had 265 total yards last week and only 244 totals yards the previous week at the Rams. Teddy Bridgewater is now the starting QB and in his two games he has 342 total yards and two TD's with no INT's. This team still has plenty of weapons with Alvin Kamara at RB and Michael Thomas at Wide Receiver. The Saints should give Dallas their best game of the young season here on Sunday night and I won't be surprised by a Saints straight-up win here. I'll take the 2.5-points with the home team. Play New Orleans.
|09-29-19||Seahawks -5 v. Cardinals||27-10||Win||100||47 h 16 m||Show|
The Seattle Seahawks are 2-1 S/U and 1-2 ATS to start the season. Seattle opened with wins over Cincinnati (21-20) and at Pittsburgh (28-26), then loss last week at home to the Saints, 27-33. The Arizona Cardinals are 0-2-1 S/U and 1-2 ATS this season. They opened with that OT tie against Detroit and then back-to-back losses to Baltimore and Carolina. Seattle lost to the Saints despite out gaining them in yards 515 to 265. Both clubs had one turnover and the Hawks had 406 yards passing by Russell Wilson. The Hawks were even down 14-33 in the 4th quarter. The Saints returned a Chris Carson fumble for a touchdown in this game and the defensive line got no sacks of Teddy Bridgewater. The Saints also got a punt return for a touchdown. It was just an ugly game all around for the Seahawks special teams and turnovers. Arizona lost at home to a Newton-less Panthers team last week, 20-38. They were outgained 413 yards to 248 yards. Arizona has the 30th ranked defense in the league allowing 443 yards per game and the 25th ranked offense with just 328 yards per game. Russell Wilson and the Hawks offense should have little trouble against this struggling Cardinals defense here on Sunday. Have to lay 5 1/2 points here with the Hawks, but I won't mind with Wilson on my side against rookie Tyler Murray. Play Seattle.
|09-29-19||Patriots v. Bills UNDER 42.5||16-10||Win||100||39 h 39 m||Show|
Two undefeated teams matchup here in Buffalo as the Bills take on the defending champion Patriots. The Patriots haven't even been tested at all yet, winning each game very easy. They opened with a 33-3 win over the Steelers, then demolished Miami 43-0 and last week beat the Jets 30-14. They failed to cover the Jets game, but were shutting out New York at the half. They have now outscored their opponents 106-17. Not surprising that the Patriots have the top ranked defense in the league. Buffalo would love to pull the upset here on Sunday and will use their 5th ranked defense to do just that. Buffalo beat the Jets in their opener, 17-16 and then the Giants 28-14 and last week over Cincinnati, 21-17. Both these clubs rank in the top 10 of the league in offense and defense. Personally, I'm going to take the under here and just enjoy this one. I think the Bills defense is good enough to keep the Pats in check here today. Take the UNDER.
|09-26-19||Eagles v. Packers UNDER 45||34-27||Loss||-100||67 h 48 m||Show|
Philadelphia looks to rebound from their home loss to the Lions on Sunday with an early turnaround here on Thursday at Green Bay. The Eagles had a chance late to win, but dropped balls played a big part in the Eagles loss. Philly takes to the road for the second time this season. Their first was a road game at Atlanta where they lost 20-24 and went under. That's what I'm looking at here on Thursday, the under. The 3-0 Green Bay Packers have been anything but an offensive juggernaut this year. They have been relying more heavily on their defense holding their three opponents to 16 points or fewer. Meanwhile, the offense has scored 10, 21 and 27 points and they are 0-2-1 O/U on the season. The Packers offense has a high of 335 yards this season, very uncharacteristic of a Aaron Rodgers led team. I'm going to stick with the UNDER here on Thursday. I look for the Packers defense to once again play a big role in this game and not ask as much from Rodgers as year's past. Play the UNDER.
|09-23-19||Bears v. Redskins UNDER 41||31-15||Loss||-100||19 h 59 m||Show|
To say the Bears were fortunate to escape Denver with a win is an understatement. After leading the entire game, Denver took a 14-13 lead late in the 4th. Chicago got one last chance with just seconds on the clock and was driving when Trubisky was sacked for what looked like the game ending play. However, a very controversial roughing the passer was called on Denver and allowed play to continue and thus a Chicago field goal with just a few seconds on the clock. The Bears defense might not be as good as last year, but they are still very good. They held Green Bay to 47 yards rushing and Denver to 90. The problem has been the offense. The Bears had just 254 yards against Green Bay and 273 against the Broncos. The Redskins are 0-2 S/U and 1-1 ATS to start the season. They looked great the first half against the Eagles, but it's been downhill since. Last week the Redskins were beaten by Dallas, 21-31. The offense hass struggled to run the ball, with just 47 yards and 28 yards respectively. The loss of RB Derrius Guice has been a big blow. Yes, they have Peterson, but he really doesn't fit into this offense that the Redskins have developed. So don't expect many yards today against this Bears defense. That means Case Keenum will feel the pressure to make things happen and again, I just don't see that. The only good news for the Redskins, they should be able to keep this anemic Bears offense in check too. I'm taking the UNDER here on Monday night.
|09-22-19||Texans +3 v. Chargers||27-20||Win||105||64 h 55 m||Show|
Both the Houston Texans and the LA Chargers come into this game 1-1 S/U and ATS. Houston lost a exciting game in the opener against the Saints, 28-30. They did cover the spread in that game. Then last week just got by the Jaguars at home, 13-12, but failing to cover the 7-point chalk line. After amassing over 400 yards vs the Saints, the Texans barely got over 250 yards in their second game vs the Jags. The Chargers opened with a win over the Colts, 30-24 and then lost last week at Detroit, 10-13. The Chargers led 10-3, but couldn't score in the 2nd half and lost. The Chargers defense lost S-Adrian Phillips to the IR last week. The injury list is growing as S-Teamer Jr, CB-Davis and CB-Williams all are hurt. This Chargers secondary is really banged-up and I expect to see the Texans take advantage of those injuries here today. I'm taking the field goal with the visitor. Play Houston.
|09-22-19||Broncos v. Packers UNDER 43.5||16-27||Win||100||88 h 4 m||Show|
The Denver Broncos were the subject of controversy last week after taking a 14-13 late in the 4th over the Bears. Chicago got the benefit of a very controversial roughing the passer call that extended their last second drive and set them up for the game winning field goal with second left in the game. Now Denver has to take its 0-2 S/U and 1-1 ATS mark on the road to undefeated Green Bay. The Packers jumped out to a 21-0 lead over the Minnesota Vikings and had to hold on for the win 21-16. The Packers scored all their points in the first half and then nothing. Both the Packers games have now gone under thanks to a decent defense. Though, the Vikings did rush for 198 yards against them last week. Is there concern for the offense? So far the Packers have scored 31 total points and less than 350 yards in both games. The Broncos Joe Flacco has looked good so far, throwing for 249 yards vs the Raiders and 282 yards against the Bears stingy defense. Today, I like this game under. Both teams have decent defenses and neither offense has shown any kind of explosiveness thus far. I'm taking UNDER.
|09-22-19||Dolphins v. Cowboys -21||Top||6-31||Win||100||88 h 4 m||Show|
The Miami Dolphins look like a team that has no desire to compete. The Dolphins have been blown out in both games, losing in the opener to the Ravens, 10-59 and then last week to the Patriots, 0-43. The offense has been horrendous, totaling 63 rushing yards combined for both games. The Passing game has 179 and 142 yards. As for defense, it's been shredded by the Ravens and Patriots. Won't get any easier today as the Cowboys and Ezekiel Elliot should just run all over this Miami team. Dallas has won and covered both games thus far, scoring 35 against the Giants and last week beating the Redskins, 31-21. This is one of the biggest lines we've seen in the NFL in ages and realistically, it should be higher. That being said, if the Cowboys want to cover this game they will. The Dolphins likely won't score again this week. I'm going to take a chance and lay the big number with Dallas
|09-22-19||Falcons v. Colts||24-27||Win||100||60 h 29 m||Show|
Both these clubs come into today's contest with 1-1 S/U records and 1-1 ATS marks. The Falcons opened with that bad loss at Minnesota, 12-28. They rebounded last week at home against the Eagles with a win, 24-20, covering the one-point line. QB Ryan has thrown for 310 and 272 yards. However, the ground game has not been good with 57 and 73 yards. The Colt opened the season with a loss at the Chargers, 24-30 and then last week at Tennessee they won 19-17. They return for their first home game in the post-Luck era. The offensive stats have not been very impressive, with 376 yards against the Chargers and 288 vs the Titans. Colts laying just one-point at home here. They have been in each game while the Falcons haven't looked all that good - especially on the road. I'm going to lay the points with the Colts today. Play Indianapolis.
|09-19-19||Titans v. Jaguars UNDER 39.5||7-20||Win||100||42 h 29 m||Show|
Two teams looking for a big win meetup here on Thursday as the 1-1 S/U Tennessee Titans take on the 0-2 Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jags opened the season with a loss to Kansas City, 26-40, and in the process lost their starting QB Nick Foles. Foles had surgery to repair his collarbone after a controversial hit in that game by Chris Jones. Gardner Minshew has taken over now at QB and played very well in that game, going 22-for-25 with 275 yards and two TD's. The timetable for Foles return could be by week 11 vs the Colts. Tennessee is 1-1 S/U & ATS and 1-1 O/U after two weeks. Marcus Mariota is probable with a quad injury. Last week the Titans lost to the Colts, 17-19 as a 3-point favorite. The game went under as both teams had under 300 totals yards of offense. These teams both playing much better defense right now then offense. Because of that, I'm taking the UNDER here on Thursday night.
|09-15-19||Eagles v. Falcons +1.5||20-24||Win||100||8 h 23 m||Show|
Sunday night action as the Falcons host the Eagles. The Eagles started last week's home game against the Redskins looking pretty bad and getting many boos from the home crowd, as they trailed at the half. But a 2nd half rally by the Eagles got them the win, but not the cover as a 10-point favorite, 32-27. Now they take to the road to play the Falcons who also struggled last week. Atlanta lost at Minnesota, 12-28 and was never in the game as they scored a TD with just seconds left to make the score more respectable. The defense was good though, holding Minnesota to just 97 yards passing, though they did give up a lot on the ground with 172 yards. I don't expect the Eagles to be able to run the ball like the Vikings did last week. Basically we just need Atlanta to win here tonight as they are a 1 or 2 point home dog. I like the Falcons to bounce back and take the win. Play Atlanta.
|09-15-19||Bears v. Broncos UNDER 40.5||16-14||Win||100||30 h 40 m||Show|
Chicago lost their opener and has had plenty of time to stew over the loss with the extra time off. The Chicago defense was outstanding, as we expected. They held the Packers to just 47 yards rushing and 166 yards passing. Still, they lost 3-10. It was the offense that seemed stagnant. The offense had just 46 yards rushing and 208 yards passing with some key turnovers in the red zone. Denver also lost last Monday night and will return on the short week here. The defense wasn't as good as expected, with 259 yards passing allowed and 98 yards rushing. The offense played from behind the entire night and that took them out of their normal rush first game. Still, they had 95 yards rushing and 249 yards passing out of Joe Flacco. For me, this game will be a defensive battle. I don't see the Broncos scoring much against this Bears defense and the the Bears offense will need major improvements. I'm taking the UNDER here on Sunday.
|09-15-19||Vikings v. Packers UNDER 45||16-21||Win||100||116 h 27 m||Show|
Both these clubs opened the season with wins, but what was really impressive was each team's defense. The Vikings beat the Falcons 28-12, but the Falcons scored on a meaningless TD with time running out. The Vikings had the Falcons shutout for a good part of the game. They held Atlanta to 73 yards rushing and 272 yards passing, with most of those passing yards coming in garbage time. The Packers looked very impressive on defense last Thursday in their win over the Bears, 10-3. The offense really only had one good quarter in the 2nd, but that's all they needed because the defense was so good. The Green Bay defense is the best improvement in this year's club. They held a good Bears rushing team to just 46 yards. Today's game, this should be two defenses that will control this game. The team that makes the offensive mistake will likely lose. For me, I'm taking the UNDER.
|09-15-19||49ers v. Bengals||41-17||Loss||-125||83 h 9 m||Show|
Both these teams looked very good in their openers, the 49ers winning at Tampa Bay and the Bengals losing at Seattle. The 49ers benifited from two, pick-six returns that ended up being the difference in a 31-17 win over Tampa Bay. The 49ers offense wasn't sharp though, rushing for 98 yards and passing for just 158 yards. They didn't need to do much though as the defense stiffened when needed. The Bucs outgained the 49ers with 121 yards rushing and 174 yards passing, but turnovers where the difference in this one. As for Cincinnati, they could have and really should have won at Seattle. The Bengals lost 20-21, but dominated the stats with 429 yards to just 233 yards for the Seahawks. The Bengals had three big fumbles though and lost the turnover battle 1-3. That was the difference in this one. Still, the Bengals looked the more complete offense and defense compared to the 49ers who really just benefited from those pick-six returns. I like the Bengals here at home today. The 49ers again make the long trip East, two weeks in a row now and that's tough on any team. Play Cincinnati.
|09-15-19||Bills v. Giants +2||28-14||Loss||-105||26 h 15 m||Show|
Buffalo has knocked off one New York team as they look to be the best so far in the state as they take on the other New Yorker here today in the Giants. Buffalo looked lost in their game vs the Jets, trailing 0-6 at the half and by 16-points in the 2nd half. But, QB Josh Allen led the Bills on a comeback and their defense stiffened up for a 17-16 win, scoring 17 unanswered points. Meanwhile, the Giants ran into the Dallas buzzsaw, losing 17-35 in Texas. The Giants had 151 yards rushing and 319 yards passing and really were also even with Dallas in total yards. But, fumbles were the difference as the Giants committed two turnovers to none for Dallas. I'm a bit surprised that Buffalo is a road favorite here, laying from 1 to 2 points. I know they had a nice comeback last week, but the Giants ran up the yards against a very good Dallas defense. I'm taking the Giants and needing nothing more than a straight up win here. Play New York Giants.
|09-12-19||Bucs v. Panthers UNDER 50||20-14||Win||100||53 h 3 m||Show|
Both these clubs opened with losses in week one. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers lost to the SF 49ers,17-31. The Bucs had issues with turnovers, allowing two pick-6 returns that ended up being the difference in the score. Defensively, the Bucs played well, holding San Fran to 98 yards rushing and 158 yards passing for 256 total yards. Meanwhile, Carolina lost to the Rams, 27-30. This game went over the total, but most of those points came in the 2nd half. Carolina held the Rams to 347 total yards, but had trouble keeping the LA ground game under control with 166 yards. Don't let last week's scores scare you off the under here tonight. Both defenses played well enough to keep the games under. I'm taking this Thursday game UNDER the total.
|09-09-19||Broncos +1 v. Raiders||16-24||Loss||-110||173 h 37 m||Show|
Monday Night football and we get an AFC divisional clash between two hated foes, the Denver Broncos and the Oakland Raiders. Both teams have high expectations for the year. First, the Broncos have lots of new faces beginning with Head Coach Vic Fangio who created that excellent Bears defense of recent years. Fangio should also stress defense and hopefully bring back the Broncos defense that was the backbone of this team. Also new is QB Joe Flacco, who comes over from the Baltimore Ravens. Right now the Broncos don't have a backup QB with Drew Lock nursing a hurt thumb and the team having releases the other two backups. They wanted to get Hoyer, but Hoyer was snatched up earlier this week. So the Broncos had to sign Brandon Allen to backup Flacco. Allen has been with the Rams and Jagaurs in recent years. Allen did play against the Broncos in the preseason and apparently impressed them enough to be signed by Denver. The Raiders have high hopes also with Jon Gruden entering his second year. They went out and got Antonio Brown to play Wide Receiver, though he didn't play a snap in the preseason. Brown was nursing injured feed and then he had the much publicized helmet issue with the league. Both of these teams should be much better this year, but I'm siding with the Broncos here. I like Flacco at the helm and the Broncos defense will be much better than Oakland's. Take Denver.
|09-09-19||Texans +7.5 v. Saints||28-30||Win||100||57 h 41 m||Show|
The Saints are arguably one of the favorites in the NFC to go to the Super Bowl as they take the field for the first time since the infamous "no-call" in the playoffs vs the Rams. Expectations are high in the Big Easy as the season begins and any thing less than a Super Bowl appearance could be a disappointment. Gone is RB Mark Ingram who departed for the starting position in Baltimore. The Houston Texans are the defending AFC South champions and hope to improve on what they did last year. Bill O'Brien has done wonders in Houston, getting the team past .500 in four of the last five years and finishing first in the division three times. DeShaun Watson is a great starter with a 14-8 record under his belt. He hopes to take advantage of a Saints secondary that was not good last year. In fact, the Saints finished 6th from the bottom of the league in passer rating allowed. The Texans play well on the road, going 5-1 in their last six away games. With JJ Watt and Jackson and I like the points here and really wouldn't be shocked by an outright Texans win. This is too many points to lay to a very good Houston team. Play the Texans.
|09-08-19||Colts +7 v. Chargers||24-30||Win||100||30 h 35 m||Show|
The post Andrew Luck season begins today after the high profile QB retired suddenly a few weeks ago. Jacoby Brissett takes over the helm as the new, regular QB for the Colts. Keeping Chargers DE Joey Bosa off Brissett will be of the utmost importance here today. Bosa looks to be healthy after missing time last year and is arguably the best defensive player on the Chargers side of the ball. The Chargers will be without RB Melvin Gordon who has been a holdout with a contract dispute. The Chargers have been trying to trade the disgruntled running back and are looking for a first round draft pick in return. The Chargers will have QB Phillip Rivers back though and that is the mainstay of this offense. His best days might be behind him, but he's still one of the best. I think the Colts will be fine without Luck. They've done it in the past and now can move forward knowing he won't be back. I think Gordon's absence is what really will hurt the Chargers here on Sunday. The Colts are getting 6.5 or 7 points and for me that's just too many. I'm taking the dog and looking for a close game that could come down to a last second field goal. Play Indianapolis.
|09-08-19||Falcons v. Vikings -4||Top||12-28||Win||100||395 h 25 m||Show|
Arizona's offense not producing much in the preseason with just 200 yards average per game thus far. That's bodes bad for them here today against a Minnesota team that is 19-4 in preseason under HC Mike Zimmer. Zimmer is 5-0 with the Vikings in week 3 of the NFL preseason. That tells me that the Vikes take this dress rehearsal game serious. I'm looking at a big mismatch here on Saturday with the Vikes holding this Arizona team to low yards and score. I'm making a big play here on Minnesota. This will be my Preseason Game of the Year. Take Minnesota.
|09-08-19||Rams v. Panthers +3||30-27||Push||0||139 h 21 m||Show|
The LA Rams would like to put that terrible Super Bowl performance out of their minds as they enter the 2019 season. We aren't sure though about the starters in this one since none of the starters played in the preseason. You have to wonder if it will take a few games to get those "game legs" under them. WR Cooper Kupp is back after suffering that ACL tear last year and that will be big for the Rams. Back also are QB Jared Goff, RB Todd Gurley, WR Brandin Cooks and Robert Woods. The defense should be even better this year with the addition of Clay Mathews at linebacker. There had been questions of Cam Newton playing today for the Panthers as he's had a foot injury. However, Newton took all the reps in practice this week and will likely be ready for today's game. The Panthers have five of the last six meetings with the Rams and Newton is 2-0 against them. Christian McCaffrey is a huge part of the Panthers offense both rushing and catching balls out of the backfield. I think the Panthers can match the Rams here point for point. Since we are getting points here at home with the Panthers, that is who I will take. Play Carolina.
|09-08-19||Ravens -6.5 v. Dolphins||59-10||Win||100||26 h 55 m||Show|
The Baltimore Ravens are the Kings of the NFL preseason. They haven't lost a preseason game since 2015 and again this year were not only undefeated but covered every game. Their only setback was a game called due to weather and they were covering that when it was called. The Ravens went out and got RB Mark Ingram from New Orleans in the offseason. They also settled on a QB, with Joe Flacco leaving for Denver in the offseason. The Dolphins are in a rebuilding mode as they enter the season. One of the biggest concerns for Miami is the offensive line, which lost tackle Lareny Tunsil and Ja'Wuan James. This to me is one of the keys here today. The Ravens lost some of their key defensive players, namely Terrell Suggs and C.J. Mosely, but they will still dominate this Miami offensive line today. The Ravens have a deep secondary and a good one, so expect them to shut down Miami's air attack today. Lamar Jackson won't be looking over his shoulder and seeing Flacco there this year. This is his team and while you can expect this team to still be a run oriented offense, Jackson will give them that double threat of pass/run. It's no surprise the Dolphins have one of the youngest and least experienced teams in the NFL. The Ravens have won seven of their last eight vs the Dolphins and that is fully what I expect again here today. Play Baltimore.
|09-05-19||Packers +3.5 v. Bears||10-3||Win||100||75 h 40 m||Show|
A key divisional matchup right out of the gate for these two powerhouse NFC teams. The Packers hoping that a now healthy Aaron Rodgers will make a big difference to their playoff hopes this season. Rodgers played most of last year with that leg injury suffered against this Bears defense. This Bear's defense won't be as good with some key departures. This will also debut new Packers' head coach Matt LeFleur, who takes over for Mike McCarthy. Matt Nagy's bears should be good again this year with Khalil Mack on defense and a more season Mitch Trubisky behind center. But I'm taking the points here tonight with a healthy Rodgers at the helm for the Pack. Play Green Bay.
|02-03-19||Patriots -131 v. Rams||13-3||Win||100||153 h 39 m||Show|
The Patriots had an exciting finish to their Championship game with the Chiefs, winning in OT on the opening touchdown drive. The Patriots blew a 14-0 first half lead and needed some more Tom Brady magic in the fourth quarter for two late drives to win over the Cheifs. The Rams, well we all know what happened there with the call at the end of the game. Either way, the Rams were good enough to win that game. It's sad when games come down to calls or missed calls by the referees. That being said, we get a great matchup here in the Super Bowl. The Rams still having a bad taste from the cheating allegations the last time these teams met in Super Bowl XXXVI. Will this be the last stand for Brady and Bellichick? I believe we'll get at least one more Super Bowl notch on their belt here in this game. You can make a case for both teams statistically, but only the Patriots have Brady and Bill at the helm. I'm taking the Patriots here in the Super Bowl.
|02-03-19||Patriots v. Rams OVER 56||13-3||Loss||-108||153 h 39 m||Show|
We're talking about four of the best offenses in the league that went into the Championship weekend. The Patriots and Chiefs had a slow first half, but exploded in the 4th quarter to go over. The Rams and Saints didn't come close to their first matchup, but they are both still great offenses. The bottom line for me is that the Patriots with Brady and Bill are 7-1 O/U in their last eight postseason games. They scores points, bottom line. The Rams should be able to stay with them and score too. Super Bowls historically are good over plays and this one maybe one of the best. Play the Super Bowl game OVER.
|01-20-19||Patriots +3 v. Chiefs||37-31||Win||100||141 h 32 m||Show|
When we first look at these two AFC teams we see two offensively explosive clubs. You have the highest scoring team in the NFL in the Chiefs and the Bill Belichick offense of the Patriots. However, what I am looking at here today is very cold weather. Right now the weather for this game on the 20th is going to be in the low teens, around 14 degrees. The winds should be too bad though, anywhere from 4 to 7 mph. Still, cold weather makes it much more challenging to score points. We have Brady and Bellichick once again in the title game. They rolled by one of the best road teams in the playoffs last week in the Chargers. Now they face rookie and likely NFL MVP Patrick Mahomes. If there is one thing the Patriots have done and done well is win these types of games. Now, you are giving Brady points? That's too much for me to pass on. I'm taking the Patriots and these points as I fully expect them to what they have been doing for years now, win big games. Play New England.
|01-20-19||Patriots v. Chiefs UNDER 56||37-31||Loss||-110||141 h 32 m||Show|
When we first look at these two AFC teams we see two offensively explosive clubs. You have the highest scoring team in the NFL in the Chiefs and the Bill Belichick offense of the Patriots. However, what I am looking at here today is very cold weather. Right now the weather for this game on the 20th is going to be in the low teens, around 14 degrees. The winds should be too bad though, anywhere from 4 to 7 mph. Still, cold weather makes it much more challenging to score points. The total in this game is 56 1/2 so I'm going UNDER with the cold weather. PLAY UNDER.
|01-13-19||Eagles v. Saints OVER 51||Top||14-20||Loss||-108||69 h 52 m||Show|
Divisional Series Game of the Year: It wasn't that long ago that these teams met and the Saints pummeled the Eagles, 48-7. So what's different this time? The Eagles are a different team this time around. The Eagles still have the third worst pass defense in the league and now have to face Drew Brees and Company. Even QB Mitchel Trubisky threw for 303 yards in the Bears loss to the Eagles last week. Last time Brees threw for 363 yards vs the Eagles and could easily eclipse that this time. But this time, the Eagles have a rejuvenated Nick Foles. Foles seems to come alive come playoff time. The Saints haven't faced Foles since 2013. Foles has won nine of 10 starts in this late season period. Plus, RB Darren Sproles is going to play this time, something the Eagles lacked last time. So for this game, I'm going to take the OVER. The total is right at 51 or 51 1/2. Last time these teams met the game went under the 56.5 total as they came up just short with 55 points. This time, I expect the Eagles to get much more points the way the team is playing with Foles. And, Brees will still put up points for the Saints with that explosive offense they have. My best play of this round is the OVER.
|01-13-19||Chargers v. Patriots -4||28-41||Win||100||71 h 46 m||Show|
This is a bad spot for the Chargers. First, another cross country trip. Last week it was to Baltimore then back home then back to New England for this week's game. That's not the only reason for the selection the weather will not be what the Chargers are used to. The high will be in the 20's and the low in the teens with a 10% chance of some snow. Meanwhile, HC Bill Belichick and team have had a week off to prepare. They have outscored opponents at home this year by 16 points a game. The reign of Bellichick and Brady will soon be coming to an end as father time creeps up on them. But in this matchup, I have to go with Belichick against head coach Anthony Lynn of the Chargers. I just think the line is too short and I might get shorter so I'm going with the New England Patriots to win this game by a touchdown or more. Take New England.
|01-12-19||Cowboys +7.5 v. Rams||22-30||Loss||-119||8 h 22 m||Show|
This game will feature the two best running backs in the league with the Cowboys Ezekiel Elliot and the Rams Todd Gurley. The Cowboys held off the Seahawks last week at home, 24-22 while the Rams had a week off to rest. Dallas QB Dak Prescot insists his health is good despite coming up limping in a TD run vs the Seahawks lasta week. Pro Bowler Jared Goff could be in the running for MVP this year with Patrick Mahomes of the Chiefs. Though Goff finished the season with a three-game slump by his standards. The Rams led the NFC in points per game and total yards this season. The Rams defense has been suspect despite some huge names on the unit. I have to give a big edge to the Rams offense here, but the Cowboys defense is better and this time of year I like defenses. I'm going to take the points with the Cowboys and see if their defense can keep them close and possibly pull the upset win.
|01-12-19||Colts +6 v. Chiefs||13-31||Loss||-115||125 h 24 m||Show|
The Colts were my biggest play in the NFL Wild Card round of the playoffs and they didn't dissapoint with a dominating performance over the Texans. I believe that this Colts team right now might be the best team in the playoffs. They have a great QB in Andrew Luck, they have a excellent rushing attack with Mack and the defense is playing excellent. As for the Chiefs, yes they were arguably the best team this year in the NFL and have maybe the MVP at QB in Patrick Mahomes. But this team has a horrible defense, one that the Colts should be able to score on easily with their balanced attack. Plus, without Hunt in the backfield, this isn't the same dynamic team we saw earlier int the season. I'm sorry, but 6 points is just many points to give what I see as the best team in the playoffs right now in the Colts. Play Indianapolis in what I believe is an outright Shocker straight-up win!
|01-06-19||Chargers +3 v. Ravens||23-17||Win||100||88 h 26 m||Show|
Baltimore survived a scare last week, barely getting by Cleveland and earning a spot in the playoffs this week. Cleveland was driving for what could have been a winning field goal, but they came up short on downs and the Ravens are in and the Steelers were out. The Ravens won their last three games, but covered just two of those. Statistically, the defense is the best in the league, but the Chargers aren't far behind at number 9. These teams have met only twice before this season in the last 10 years, with the Ravens winning in 2015, 29-26 and the Chargers winning ijn 2014, 34-33. The Chargers covering both those games. The meeting this season was just two weeks ago and resulted in a Ravens win and cover, 22-10. The Chargers had their best season since a 13-3 finish in 2009 despite opening the season 1-2. Lamar Jackson replaced Joe Flacco seven weeks ago and closed the season with a 6-1 record behind Jackson. With two good defenses and equal offenses, I expect this to be a close game. However, with Rivers experience in the playoffs that's a big edge over Jackson. I'll take the small points here with the Chargers.
|01-05-19||Seahawks +2 v. Cowboys||22-24||Push||0||72 h 37 m||Show|
The Seahawks enter today's contest at Dallas winners of six of their last seven games. They are also one of the better covering teams, going 5-2-1 ATS their last eight games and 8-3-1 ATS their last 12 games. The Hawks are also 4-1 ATS in their last five away games. The Cowboys won at the Giants on Sunday in a meaningless game, 36-35. Meanwhile, the Cowboys are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 playoff games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs a winning road team. Getting a few points here with the Hawks, but I look for an outright win vs the Cowboys. Play Seattle.
|01-05-19||Seahawks v. Cowboys OVER 42.5||22-24||Win||100||72 h 36 m||Show|
The Seahawks enter today's contest at Dallas winners of six of their last seven games. They are also one of the better covering teams, going 5-2-1 ATS their last eight games and 8-3-1 ATS their last 12 games. The Hawks are also 4-1 ATS in their last five away games. The Cowboys won at the Giants on Sunday in a meaningless game, 36-35. Meanwhile, the Cowboys are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 playoff games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs a winning road team. This one I'm looking at the OVER. The Hawks are 7-1 O/U in their last eight games; 6-1 O/U in their last seven vs the NFC. They are also 4-1 O/U in their last five playoff road games. The Cowboys have also been a good over team, 5-2 O/U in their last seven home games. These teams have only met three times in the last 10 years and only once with Dak Prescot at QB. This isn't the same defensive team we have seen out of Seattle in recent years, but they are still good. I look for this game to produce some points with the total at 42 1/2. Both teams should be able to score here and that means an OVER.
|01-05-19||Colts +2 v. Texans||Top||21-7||Win||100||68 h 57 m||Show|
Indianapolis won their big game with the Titans on Sunday night to earn their spot into today's playoff game. The Colts are playing very well, winners of four straight and nine of their last 10 games. The Colts offense has also been very good behind QB Andrew Luck, now ranked 7th in the NFL. The Colts defense is also solid at No 11 in the NFL. As for Houston, they have the no 12 defense and the No 15 offense. Houston closed out their season with an easy win on Sunday against the punchless Jaguars, 20-3. Still, the team has lost two of their last four games including at home to these Colts, 21-24 four weeks ago. The Colts are now 5-0-1 in their last six meetings in Houston and 8-2-3 overall vs the Texans the last 13 meetings. The road team is also 7-1-2 the last 10 meetings. I like the Colts here plus the points.
|12-30-18||Chargers v. Broncos UNDER 42||23-9||Win||100||49 h 28 m||Show|
The Broncos look to close out a tough season here today. Their offense hasn't been much again this season, despite adding a new QB in Case Keenum. This Broncos team hasn't scored above 24 points in any of their last eight games. The 11-4 Chargers sit second in the AFC East despite having tied for the overall best record in the East. A win here today and there are still possibilities depending upon the Chiefs and Raiders outcome. A loss and they will be the 5th seed with likely the 2nd best record. It's highly unlikely that the Raiders can pull the upset, so realistically the Bolts have to figure on that top Wild Card spot and a road game in week one of the playoffs. Don't expect a lot of output here today from either team. LA has to figure they are a Wild Card team and the Broncos, well they are making tee times. Play the UNDER
|12-30-18||Bears v. Vikings -6||24-10||Loss||-101||7 h 33 m||Show|
This game comes down to one fact, if the vikings win they are in the playoffs. If they lose, they likely won't make the playoffs unless they get some help from the Redskins. The 11-4 Bears are in the playoffs and will host a game. They can get the second seed in the NFC if they beat the Vikings and the Rams lose to the 49ers. That scenario really isn't all that likely since I don't expect the Rams to lose to San Francisco. That could mean depending on the Rams score that the second half of this game is really going to see 2nd and 3rd stringers for the Bears. I'm taking the Vikings here as I fully expect to see the Bears resting players come the 2nd half. Play Minnesota.
|12-30-18||Lions v. Packers -7.5||Top||31-0||Loss||-108||46 h 4 m||Show|
This last week of the NFL regular season you have to look past numbers and figures and look for what motivates a team in this week. Some teams have the playoffs to look forward, while others (like these two) teams are just playing out the season. So why do I like my side so much here today? Simple. Aaron Rodgers has had a tough season. He's been injured, he's been hit hard all year and he's been without at times any decent receivers. This definitely not the type of season that Rodgers is used to having. I believe that he will want to finish this season strong and put his detractors doubts to rest. The Lions have one of the worst offenses in the NFL, they haven't been covering at all and Mathew Stafford has rumors surrounding him that he will be traded. Everything points to a Packers complete blowout here today. One of my favorite games of the season right here today is on the Packers.
|12-30-18||Dolphins v. Bills -5||17-42||Win||100||3 h 7 m||Show|
Anytime the warm weather Dolphins have to go to Upstate New York in late December to play - look at the weather. The Dolphins are notorious for not playing well in bad or cold weather. So what are we looking at here on Sunday in Buffalo? It's going to be in the mid to low 30's with a slight wind. No precipitation is expected, but it will be on the cool side. Josh Allen has looked very good for the Bills this season, especially running the ball. The Bills have one of the best defenses in the league to go with their young QB. The Dolphins have lost two straight and it's another year without making the playoffs for Miami. Bills looking for some playback here today as I expect them to beat the Dolphins.
|12-23-18||Chiefs v. Seahawks +2.5||31-38||Win||100||25 h 16 m||Show|
The Seahawks continue their playoff push today at home against the Chiefs. Seattle is 8-6 and right now has the top NFC Wild card spot. That means their playoff chances are in their hands. And really, they should make it with the Chiefs here at home today and the Cardinals visiting next week. Still, they would love to beat the Chiefs today. Every since Kansas City lost RB Hunt to his off-field issues, they have not looked like the team we saw earlier in the season. The Chiefs scored 27 in a win two weeks ago at home vs the Ravens and 28 in their loss last week at home to the Chargers. A far cry from the 40's and 50's we have become accustomed to seeing them score. The Chiefs have the second worst defense in the league and now face the fourth highest rated QB in Russel Wilson. The Chiefs have failed to cover the spread in their last five games. Meanwhile, the Seahawks are 4-1-1 ATS their last six overall. The Hawks are also 23-10-1 ATS their last 34 games in December. I see these teams heading in opposite directions right now. I'm taking the Seahawks here today.
|12-23-18||Steelers v. Saints UNDER 53||28-31||Loss||-110||21 h 19 m||Show|
The Steelers looking to keep their playoff hopes alive this week. They had that big home win last week against the Patriots 17-10, doing so without starting RB James Conner. This coming after that road loss the prior week against Oakland, 21-24. With just two games left this one is important if they hope to stay ahead of the Ravens. The defense stepped it up last week, holding Tom Brady and the Pats to just 10 points. The Saints had to hold on last week to beat the Panthers, 12-9. The Saints offense continued to struggle as Drew Brees has thrown only two TD's and three INT's combined in his last three games. The Steelers are now 15-36 O/U in their last 51 road games and 1-4 O/U their last five overall. The Steelers defense has looked much better while the Saints offense seems to have lost that swagger. I'm taking the UNDER here today as the Saints will have to struggle on offense again. Take the UNDER.
|12-23-18||Rams v. Cardinals UNDER 44||31-9||Win||100||21 h 60 m||Show|
What in the world has gone wrong with the LA Rams? The Rams where cruising through the NFL for the most part until they ran into the Bears defense two weeks ago and looked all out of sync. The Rams scored a season-low six points in their loss at Chicago. Then last week at home they once again looked out of sync, losing to the Eagles 23-30. At one point they trailed 13-30 in the game. QB Jaret Goff does not look like the sharp QB we saw for most of the season. The Rams still have the second ranked offense in the league. They will face the worst offense in the league today in Arizona. The Cardinals have not scored more than 21 points in any of their last nine games and only one time this entire season have they score more than that. Their highest score of the year, a 28-18 win in week five against San Francisco. It's not hard to figure that the Cardinals have been a UNDER team. They are 7-20 O/U their last 27 at home and 6-15 O/U their last 21 vs the NFC. With the Rams offense looking out of sorts and the worst offense here in Arizona, I'm playing UNDER today.
|12-23-18||Texans v. Eagles -1.5||30-32||Win||100||18 h 56 m||Show|
The Philadelphia Eagles kept their playoff hopes alive with a huge win last week at the LA Rams, 30-23. QB Nick Foles started in place of injured Carson Wentz and just like he did last year at LA, pulled out the win. Can he do what he did last year and lead this team back into the playoffs? The Eagles have won three of their last four games and could easily be 4-0 if not for that OT loss at Dallas a few weeks ago. They play at home against Houston today and close out at Washington. Both games very winable. Baring a total collapse, the Texans should win the AFC South as they lead the Colts and Titans by two games with two to play. Houston plays at Philly today and then closes at home against Jacksonville next week. The Texans have not done very well on real grass, going 2-8 ATS their last 10. In addition, they are just 1-8-1 ATS their last 10 games in December. The Eagles are 7-2 ATS their last nine at home vs a winning road team. This game has much more meaning for the Eagles and with Foles looking much more confident behind center, I'm taking the home club here today. Play Philadelphia.
|12-23-18||Vikings -6 v. Lions||27-9||Win||100||18 h 55 m||Show|
The Vikings are still in the hunt for a NFC Wild Card spot. The Bears will take the division, but at 7-6-1 the Vikings right now hold the second Wild Card by virtue of that tie with Green Bay earlier this season. The Vikings snapped their two-game losing streak with a blowout win at home last week against the Dolphins, 41-17. The Vikings are 13-5-1 ATS their last 19 games against teams with a losing record. They are also 20-9 ATS their last 29 games in December. The Lions are in last place in the NFC North at 5-9-1. The Detroit offense has been horrible, despite one of the better QB's in Mathew Stafford. The Lions have scored 17 points or less in each of the last four weeks. In addition, they have not scored more than 22 points in any of their last eight weeks. It won't get any easier today against the fourth ranked defense in the league in Minnesota. The Lions have the 24th ranked offense. The Lions just can't seem to find the right combinations on offense and today the Vikings will keep them down as they look to put a hold on that Wild Card spot. Take Minnesota.
|12-22-18||Ravens v. Chargers UNDER 42||22-10||Win||100||30 h 25 m||Show|
Late Saturday game here on Saturday as the Baltimore Ravens make the long trip West to take on the LA Chargers. The Ravens in a fight for the AFC North with Pittsburgh. The Steelers lead the division by just a half game over the Ravens. Steelers have to play at New Orleans so there's a real chance the Ravens take over first place with a win here today. The Ravens have the top ranked NFL defense with just 290 yards allowed per game. The Chargers are known for their offense, but also have a good defense, ranked 8th allowing 329 yards per game. Baltimore held a very good Tampa Bay offense to just 12 points last week in their 20-12 win. The only team the last four weeks to score more than 17 points vs the Ravens was the Chiefs. The Chargers had that dramatic win at Kansas City last week. LA scored a last second touchdown and opted for a two-point try to win outright. They connected and stole a win at Kansas City, 29-28. Despite being tied for the best record in the AFC at 11-3, the Chargers are in 2nd place in the AFC West behind the Chiefs. That means right now they hold the top Wild Card spot. I'll be looking at the UNDER in this game. The Chargers have been a good under team. They are 1-5 O/U their last six at home; 6-15 O/U the last 21 vs the AFC; 6-19-1 O/U their last 26 in December and 3-11-1 O/U their last 15 at home vs a team with a winning record. The Ravens defense should keep them close here today. Play the UNDER.
|12-22-18||Ravens +4.5 v. Chargers||22-10||Win||100||9 h 28 m||Show|
Late Saturday game here on Saturday as the Baltimore Ravens make the long trip West to take on the LA Chargers. The Ravens in a fight for the AFC North with Pittsburgh. The Steelers lead the division by just a half game over the Ravens. Steelers have to play at New Orleans so there's a real chance the Ravens take over first place with a win here today. The Ravens have the top ranked NFL defense with just 290 yards allowed per game. The Chargers are known for their offense, but also have a good defense, ranked 8th allowing 329 yards per game. Baltimore held a very good Tampa Bay offense to just 12 points last week in their 20-12 win. The only team the last four weeks to score more than 17 points vs the Ravens was the Chiefs. The Ravens are 18-7-4 ATS in their last 29 road games when facing a home team with a winning record. They are also 7-3-1 ATS overall their last 11 road games. The Chargers are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games and 2-8 ATS their last 10 games played on Saturday. The road team has covered four of the last five in this series and the dog is also 4-1 the last five. I'm taking the road dog here today. Play Baltimore.
|12-17-18||Saints v. Panthers +7||Top||12-9||Win||100||20 h 7 m||Show|
The Saints path through the playoffs got a bit easier with the Rams losing on Sunday night. The Saints are now 11-2 while the Rams are 11-3. Plus, the Saints have already beaten the Rams. The Panthers are not out of a Wild Card yet, but can't afford a loss tonight. The Panthers are 6-7 and you have three other teams at 7-7 for that final Wild Card spot. The Saints rebounded from their loss at Dallas two weeks ago with a win last week at Tampa Bay, 28-14. New Orleans plays its third straight road game here tonight. Carolina has lost five straight games, with four of those losses on the road. They return home here tonight where they are 5-1 S/U this season. The Panthers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games. The dog has done well in this series, covering seven of the last eight between these teams. Panthers are tough at home and they will fight for that final playoff spot. I like the points here on their home field. Take Carolina.
|12-16-18||Eagles +14 v. Rams||30-23||Win||100||21 h 51 m||Show|
Big Sunday night game here today as the reeling Rams take on the Eagles. The Rams are 11-2 and still fighting with the Saints (11-2) for that all important home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. With their loss to the Saints, the Rams will need some help from someone. The Rams struggled last week against that mighty Bears defense, held to a season-low six-points. In fact, that was the first time all season the Rams have scored less than 23 points. The Rams have also covered just one of their last six games and are 2-6-1 ATS their last nine. For the Eagles, it looks like QB Carson Wentz is done for the season with a back injury. That means in comes Super Bowl hero Nick Foles who led the Eagles down the stretch last year. The Rams are now 2-8-1 ATS their last 11 home games vs a losing team. The Eagles have done very well vs the Rams, going 10-1 ATS the last 11 meetings. Too many points here for a Rams team that needs to show me they are caving in late in the season. I'm taking Foles and the Eagles here tonight.
|12-16-18||Cowboys v. Colts -3||Top||0-23||Win||100||14 h 32 m||Show|
The Dallas Cowboys hold a two-game lead in the NFC East with three games to play. The Cowboys had to go to OT last week to dispatch Philadelphia, 29-23. Now they have the Colts, Bucs and close out at the Giants. They could easily lose two of these games if not careful. The Colts bounced back from their 0-6 loss at Jacksonville two weeks ago with a big win at Houston last week, 24-21. The Colts can't catch Houston for the AFC South lead, but they are in the running for the last AFC Wildcard. Right now the Chargers have the first wildcard and four teams are tied with a 7-6 record. The Colts have been good at home against winning teams, evidenced by their 16-5-1 ATS mark their last 22 games. The favorite and the home team have each covered four of the last five in this series. I like the Colts and Andrew Luck here in today's game. Play Indianapolis.
|12-16-18||Lions v. Bills -2.5||13-14||Loss||-105||14 h 32 m||Show|
The Detroit Lions and the Buffalo Bills won't be going to the postseason this year. That doesn't mean they won't be playing this game tough. The Lions are 5-8 and in last place in the NFC North. The Lions snapped a two-game losing streak with a win at Arizona last week, 17-3. Detroit is just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games. The Buffalo Bills are playing tough after a rough start to the season. The Bills lost at home last week to the Jets, 23-27, but have won two of their last four. QB Josh Allen has this team competing well for head coach Sean McDermott. Since his return from injury, Allen has rushed 31 times for 335 yards, something that gives opposing teams fits. The Bills defense has also been amazing, as they lead the league now in total yards. They also have the best yardage differential in the NFL the last five games. The Lions are banged up these days with Stafford having back injuries and problems at running back. You have to go back eight weeks to find the last time the Lions scored more than 22 points and that was October 21st. I really like this situation for the Bills. Their defense is playing great and they face a hurt Lions team that isn't scoring anyways. Perfect spot for a big win today. Take Buffalo.
|12-16-18||Packers +5.5 v. Bears||17-24||Loss||-115||14 h 32 m||Show|
The Packers have to wonder how they will score after watching the high-octane Rams get just six points at Chicago last week. Green Bay has an outside shot at a Wildcard, but too many things have to happen for that to become reality. The Bears clinch the NFC North with a win today or a Vikings loss. But for all intents and purposes, the Bears are the division champions. Have to wonder if it's time for them to start giving some rest to starters with the postseason not far off. The Packers have historically done very well vs the Bears. Just think back to the opening week when they came from way back with an injured Aaron Rodgers to win. The Packers are now 16-5 ATS in their last 21 trips to Chicago. The Packers are also 12-4 ATS in the last 16 overall meetings. I'm going to take the points in today's game with the Packers and see if they can continue to snakebite the Bears. Play Green Bay.
|12-15-18||Browns +3 v. Broncos||17-16||Win||100||32 h 50 m||Show|
Denver looked like a team poised at a chance to run the table for the rest of the season. Then they hit the 49ers last week and lost 14-20. Now they have the Browns today and then finish up at Oakland and at home vs the Chargers. The loss last week snapped a three-game spread win streak for Denver. The Broncos have not been good at home cover spreads of late, evidenced by their 3-7-1 ATS mark in their last 11 at Mile High. They are also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 December games. The Browns pulled out another win last week, with a home victory over the Panthers, 26-20. That makes three wins in the club's last four games. Both teams ranked right about the same on offense with Denver 15th and Cleveland 16th. Neither team's defense all that good this year, Denver ranked 24th and Cleveland at 31st. I have to think Denver is deflated after losing a game they should have won last week. Cleveland just seems to be happy winning these days. I'm taking the points here today with the Browns.
|12-13-18||Chargers +3.5 v. Chiefs||Top||29-28||Win||100||8 h 26 m||Show|
For me, this game comes down to a few things. First, both teams have running back issues. The Chargers likely without Gordon and Eckler while the Chiefs have no Hunt and Ware is hurt. The Chargers get a big revenge game for that loss earlier this season and that really does make more difference in division games. The Chargers have the much better defense and pass rush. Plus, the Chiefs are coming off a very physical OT game last week vs the Ravens. The Chargers coasted last week vs the Bengals. For me, all the positives line up on the Chargers tonight. Take LA Chargers.
|12-10-18||Vikings v. Seahawks -3||Top||7-21||Win||100||140 h 55 m||Show|
Monday Night Game of the Year: The Vikings are coming off a loss at New England last week, 10-24. The Vikings are 2-2 in their last four games. The Vikings are in 2nd in the NFC North 1.5 games back of the Bears. The Vikings are still in the hunt for a WildCard spot though as they battle a host of other teams. Seattle has the unfortunate luck of being in the NFC West with the Rams.. However, right now they are 7-5 and holding onto one of the Wild Card spots. The Seahawks have won three straight after last week's win over the 49ers, 43-16. The have average over 30 points a game in their last four outings. The Vikings are just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 vs a team with a winning record and 2-9 ATS here on Monday nights. The Hawks are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six vs the NFC and 22-9-1 ATS in their last32 games in December. Seattle laying 3 or 3.5-points here on Monday night. I love the way the Seahawks are playing and the Vikings on the road again here this week. Bad spot for Minnesota. Take the Seahawks.
|12-09-18||Broncos v. 49ers +4||14-20||Win||100||39 h 47 m||Show|
The Denver Broncos are still in the hunt for a Wildcard spot at 6-6 this season and one of the easiest scheduled left in the NFL. The bad news is that Emmanuel Sanders, their star WR, was hurt in practice and is out with a leg injury. The Broncos are ranked 15th in offense and 25th on defense. In fact, the 49ers rank much better on defense, 11th, then Denver. San Francisco isn't far behind in offense either, ranked 17th. Denver hasn't been the favorite all that often, in fact, just three times in the last 10 weeks. With San Francisco, Cleveland, Oakland and the Chargers left on their schedule, a 9-7 or 10-6 season is definitely in the cards. The 49ers return home today after two tough road games where they were outscored 25-70. I really like the 49ers coach and he knows how to get the most out of his teams. I'm taking the points here at home with San Francisco.
|12-09-18||Panthers v. Browns +1.5||Top||20-26||Win||100||36 h 43 m||Show|
It's been a roller coaster season for the Browns, firing Hue Jackson earlier in the season and having to endure all those OT games. They have won two of their last three games with wins over the Falcons and Bengals. They did lose last week at Houston, 13-29. Now they return home for two of their last four games. They get the reeling Panthers here today. Remember back to week six when the Panthers trailed the Eagles 0-17 in the fourth quarter? Then they rallied to win that game 21-17. It looked like that could be the turnaround of their season. However, since that win, they are 2-4 both S/U and ATS and on a four-game losing streak. The Panthers lost last week to the Buccaneers, 17-24 as 3-point chalks. Now it looks like Carolina is out in the playoff picture with New Orleans twice on the schedule and Atlanta left. Browns have been tough at home and I'm taking them here today against this Panther team that is chasing its own tail at this point. Play Cleveland.
|12-09-18||Colts +4.5 v. Texans||24-21||Win||100||36 h 43 m||Show|
An AFC South matchup here between the division leading Houston Texans and the third place Colts. The Colts are still in the AFC Wildcard hunt at 6-6, but every game is important. After today's game, the Colts play at home against Dallas and the Giants and then finish at Tennessee. None of those will be easy wins. The Texans have the Jets, Eagles and Jaguars left - all very winable games. The Colts season is on the line here and after they were shutout last week, 0-6 at Jacksonville, I expect a much better effort today. Take the Colts.
|12-09-18||Saints v. Bucs +10.5||28-14||Loss||-130||36 h 42 m||Show|
A rematch of week one where these two teams put on a offensive explosion won by the Bucs. Now the Saints travel to Tampa and look for redemption after their worst game of the season last week. Tampa has the top ranked offense in the league with New Orleans not far behind at No 5. Problem is with defense, as the Bucs are 27th and the Saints 15th. The Saints lost last week at Dallas, 10-13, only the third time this year that the Saints have scored less than 30 points. Tampa Bay has gone back to Jameis Winston at QB. It's paid off too, with two straight wins over San Francisco and Carolina. In fact, the defense, which was once the worst in the league, has allowed just 27 points the last two weeks. I look for another high scoring game here this week, but I'm taking the home team. Play Tampa Bay.
|12-09-18||Patriots v. Dolphins +9||33-34||Win||100||36 h 42 m||Show|
It didn't seem that long ago when the Dolphins were 3-0 and went cruising into New England where they took a good old fashioned whipping, 7-38. Since that loss, it's been tough on the Dolphins, with QB Ryan Tannehill hurt and the team going 3-6. They did win last game out at home over Buffalo, 21-17. It was their second cover in a row after a 2-5 ATS string. The Patriots are cruising to another AFC East division title at 9-3. They lead the Dolphins by three games with four to play. The Pats have won two straight games after that loss at Tennessee, 10-34. They beat the Jets and then last week the Vikings, outscoring both teams 51-23. The Pats really have a easy schedule left with Miami, Pittsburgh, Buffalo and the Jets. Their only test will be that game at Pittsburgh which is next week. We might even see a bit of a look ahead spot here today with the Patriots. The home team has really been the play in this series, covering 13 of the last 16 meetings. In addition, New England is 1-5 ATS in their last five trips to Miami. I'm taking the home team here. Play Miami.
|12-06-18||Jaguars v. Titans -4||9-30||Win||100||44 h 57 m||Show|
Disappointing season for Jacksonville as they sit at 4-8 and last in the AFC South. This despite their win last week over the Colts, 6-0. The win snapped a seven game losing streak for the Jags. Jacksonville still has the 5th ranked defense, it's the offense that has been poor at 22nd. Tennessee was in the AFC South race until the last few weeks. The Titans are now 6-6 and tied for second, 3-games back of the Texans. The Titans did come back last week and beat the Jets, 26-22. That snapped a two game losing streak for Tennessee. Tennessee is now 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 home games and 6-2 ATS the last eight vs the AFC South. The Titans are 4-1-1 ATS the last six vs Jacksonville. In addition, the home team is 5-2-1 ATS the last eight in this series. Take Tennessee here on Thursday.
|12-03-18||Redskins v. Eagles UNDER 45||13-28||Win||100||8 h 32 m||Show|
The Redskins look to get back on the winning track after back-to-back losses to Houston and then last week at Dallas, 23-31. The Skins have been a good under team this year, evidenced by their 5-6 O/U mark. Washington is 1-6 O/U in their last seven against a team with a losing record and 3-9 O/U their last 12 on grass. In addition, the Resksins are 2-5 their last seven road games. Philly has gone under in its last two games, a 7-48 loss at New Orleans and then last week in a 25-22 win at home against the Giants. The Eagles are now 1-5 O/U in their last six home games. With Alex Smith gone at QB for the Redskins, I look for a more conservative approach from Washington tonight. I'm going with the UNDER here.