|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|03-18-19||Pelicans v. Mavs -4.5||Top||129-125||Loss||-105||9 h 17 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Mavs -4.5)
I'll take my chances here with Dallas staying hot and covering the small number at home against the struggling Pelicans. Mavericks snapped a 7-game losing streak with a 121-116 win over the Cavs on Saturday and shot 51.1% from the field in the victory. That was Dallas' best shooting performance since they shot 53.65 from the field in late January. New Orleans is the ideal team to keep it rolling against, as the Pelicans have allowed 116.6 ppg and 46% shooting on the road and are giving up a ridiculous 129.0 ppg and 50% shooting over their last 5 games. Give me the Mavs -4.5!
|03-17-19||Bulls +7 v. Kings||102-129||Loss||-105||7 h 15 m||Show|
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGTHER (Bulls +7)
I'll take my chances with Chicago covering as a big road dog against the Kings. This is simply too many points for Sacramento to be laying. While the Kings aren't officially out of the playoff race, they are a full 6-games back with just 14 to play. They know their chances are slim to none and they come in having lost 3 straight. Bulls have been hit or miss, but I'm expecting a big effort here after watching their coach get ejected in their last game, as he was sticking up for his players. Wouldn't surprise me at all of Chicago won this game outright. Give me the Bulls +7!
|03-17-19||76ers +6.5 v. Bucks||130-125||Win||100||5 h 43 m||Show|
40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (76ers +6.5)
I'll take my chances with the 76ers covering as a big road dog against the Bucks. Milwaukee is simply getting way too much respect in this one. Philadelphia has won 3 straight and have simply been a different team when at full strength. Milwaukee on the other hand is going to have to adjust to life without Michael Brogdon, who is expected to miss 6 to 8 weeks. That's a big blow. Brogdon is averaging 15.6 ppg and is one of the Bucks best 3-point shooters. I not only think the 76ers cover, but I like them to win outright. Give me Philadelphia +6.5!
|03-16-19||Oregon v. Washington +2||68-48||Loss||-105||12 h 9 m||Show|
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Washington +2)
I'll take my chances here with Washington as a dog against the Ducks. No way should the Huskies be getting points in this one. Sure Oregon just won on the road at Washington late in the year, but they were the team with something to play for, as the Huskies had already beat the Ducks and had the Pac-12 title on lockdown. Washington has been the best team in the conference all season and are a dominant 13-4 ATS last 17 when coming off back-to-back wins. Give me the Huskies +2!
|03-16-19||Grizzlies +2 v. Wizards||128-135||Loss||-109||8 h 28 m||Show|
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS KNOCKOUT (Grizzlies +2)
I'll take my chances here with Memphis as a small road dog against the Wizards. This is going to look like a favorable line to back Washington at home, but there's a reason this line is what it is. Wizards will be playing on no rest and for the 3rd time in 4 nights, while the Grizzlies come in off a full 2 days of rest and playing just their 2nd game in 6 days. Memphis also in a big bounce back spot after an ugly 21 point loss at Atlanta. Wizards not only figure to be fatigued, but could be without starting point guard Tomas Satoransky. Give me Memphis +2!
|03-16-19||Seton Hall v. Villanova -3.5||72-74||Loss||-116||8 h 8 m||Show|
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Villanova -3.5)
I'll take my chances here with Villanova laying a small number in the Big East title game against Seton Hall. Villanova got revenge from a late season loss to Xavier on Friday, as they took down the Musketeers 71-67. Now it's time to get their revenge from a late season loss at Seton Hall (79-75). Wildcats are a ridiculous 17-3 ATS last 20 games played on a neutral site and 14-3 ATS last 17 tournament games. Give me Villanova -3.5!
|03-16-19||Iowa State +2 v. Kansas||78-66||Win||100||8 h 38 m||Show|
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Iowa State +2)
We cashed in free picks on the Cyclones Thursday and Friday and I'm not jumping off the ISU bandwagon in the Big 12 Championship. Cyclones were my pick to win the Big 12 Tournament and nothing has changed after impressive wins over Baylor and top seeded Kansas State. Kansas is still a team I don't trust in the slightest. This is going to feel like a home game for Iowa State and the Cyclones beat up on the Jayhawks 77-60 at home during the regular-season. No way should they be an underdog here. Give me ISU +2!
|03-16-19||Tennessee v. Kentucky -1||Top||82-78||Loss||-110||5 h 54 m||Show|
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kentucky -1)
I'll take my chances with the Wildcats at a pick'em against the Vols. Kentucky was my pick to win the SEC Tournament coming into this thing and that was an easy choice given they have won the last 4. Calipari simply knows how to get his team to peak at the perfect time. Tennessee is a good team and did beat the Wildcats by 19 earlier this month, but that was on their home floor where they were nearly unbeatable and Kentucky had already won the first meeting 86-69. Wildcats also played the second meeting without one of their best players in Reid Travis. Give me Kentucky -1!
|03-15-19||Duke -2.5 v. North Carolina||Top||74-73||Loss||-110||12 h 58 m||Show|
50* DUKE/UNC IN-STATE RIVALRY GAME OF THE MONTH (Duke -2.5)
I'll gladly take my chances here with Duke at basically a pick'em agains the Tar Heels. This isn't just another game for the Blue Devils. They got routed at home by UNC in the game where Zion hurt his knee and then lost at North Carolina again without him on the floor. This time Zion is going to be in action and he looked like the best player in the country in yesterday's blowout win over Syracuse. The big key is how Zion will impact the game defensively. May and other Tar Heels won't be getting near as many easy looks. Keep in mind Duke was favored by 10 at home in the first meeting, which means they should be around a 7 or 6.5 point favorite on a neutral site. Give me the Blue Devils -2.5!
|03-15-19||Iowa v. Michigan -8||53-74||Win||100||12 h 47 m||Show|
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Michigan -8)
I'll take my chances here with the Wolverines winning by double-digits over the Hawkeyes. Iowa had one of the more impressive wins on Thursday, as they rolled Illinois 83-62 as a 4.5-point favorite. Hawkeyes shot 52% from both the field and behind the 3-point line. Thing is they did the same thing to Illinois when they played them in the regular-season. Michigan is a much better defensive team and when Iowa doesn't have easy looks they find it tough to score. Hawkeyes also playing on no rest against a Wolverines team that has been off since Saturday and Michigan is playing with revenge from an earlier loss at Iowa. Wolverines are 9-1 ATS last 10 when revenging a road loss. GIve me Michigan -8!
|03-15-19||Mississippi State v. Tennessee -5.5||76-83||Win||100||11 h 29 m||Show|
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Tennessee -5.5)
I'll take my chances here with Tennessee covering the 5.5 against the Bulldogs. No question Mississippi State is a quality team, but I just think the Volunteers are on a different level. That certainly seemed to be the case in the only meeting between the two during the regular-season, as the Vols won by 17 and in the process Mississippi State to just 54 points and 33% shooting. Bulldogs are also a bit overrated in my opinion, they didn't beat any of the top 3 teams in the SEC (LSU, Tenn, Kentucky). Give me the Vols -5.5!
|03-15-19||Seton Hall v. Marquette -4||81-79||Loss||-110||11 h 26 m||Show|
40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Marquette -4)
I'll take my chances here with the Golden Eagles covering the small number against Seton Hall. We cashed in an easy winner on Marquette yesterday as they rolled St. John's 86-54 as a similarly priced 4-point favorite. After struggling offensively down the stretch, the Golden Eagles shot 51% and I like them to carry that over to this one. No question Marquette will be motivated, as they just recently lost at Seton Hall. Golden Eagles get their revenge and I wouldn't be shocked if this turned into a blowout!
|03-15-19||Colorado v. Washington -1.5||61-66||Win||100||11 h 8 m||Show|
40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS DESTROYER (Washington -1.5)
I'll take my chances here with the Huskies at basically a pick'em against the Buffaloes. We suffered a tough loss yesterday with Washington, who blew a double-digit lead and ended up winning by just 3 as a 5-point favorite. I still think this is the best team in the Pac-12 and the only reason this line isn't more is because Colorado has been playing well. Given that, the Huskies won both regular-season meetings, beating the Buffaloes by 7 on the road and by 9 at home. I see a very similar outcome here. Give me Washington -1.5!
|03-15-19||Alabama v. Kentucky -11.5||55-73||Win||100||9 h 20 m||Show|
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Kentucky -11.5)
I'll take my chances here with the Wildcats covering the big number against Alabama. Kentucky was my pick to win this tournament before it started. Wildcats have won this thing each of the last 4 years and while teams like Tennessee and LSU are good, I still believe Kentucky is the most talented team in the conference and capable of winning the NCAA Tournament. Sure Alabama upset the Wildcats in conference play, but that was way back in early January and that's only going to have Kentucky that much more motivated for this one. Give me the Wildcats -11.5!
|03-15-19||Nebraska v. Wisconsin -7.5||Top||62-66||Loss||-109||6 h 39 m||Show|
50* NCAAB BIG TEN GAME OF THE YEAR (Wisconsin -7.5)
I'll gladly take my chances here with the Badgers covering the 7.5 against the Cornhuskers. I paid the price for going against Nebraska yesterday, as they upset Maryland 69-61. That's not going to stop me from going against them again. Nebraska is not a deep team and will be playing their 3rd game in 3 days, while Wisconsin had a double-bye and is playing their first game in the Big Ten Tournament. Nebraska basically played 6 guys against Maryland, as Heiman only played 6 minutes. Badgers are the last team you want to play on tired legs, as they are going to really grind you down. The other big key for me is Cornhuskers are pretty much a one-man show offensively with James Palmer and Wisconsin has one of the best defensive players in the country in Khalil Iverson. Look for the Badgers to take control early and cruise to a double-digit win. Give me Wisconsin -7.5!
|03-14-19||Illinois v. Iowa -4||62-83||Win||100||11 h 52 m||Show|
40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS DESTROYER (Iowa -4)
I'll take my chances with the Hawkeyes snapping out of their late season funk and covering the small number against the Fighting Illini. Illinois is 12-20 and Iowa is 21-10. Hawkeyes have lost 4 straight and have failed to cover 8 straight. 3 of the 4 losses were on the road during their 4-game skid. Iowa has a big edge playing on multiple days of rest, while Illinois had to play in-state rival Northwestern on Wednesday. Iowa won the only meeting between these two by 24 and shot 68% from the field. Give me the Hawkeyes -4!
|03-14-19||UCLA v. Arizona State -4||72-83||Win||100||10 h 11 m||Show|
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Arizona St -4)
I'l take my chances here with Sun Devils covering the small number against UCLA. Bruins had to play on Wednesday against Stanford and snuck out a 7-point win. I don't see UCLA having any shot here of keeping this close on no rest against Arizona State. Only meeting between these two was at UCLA and the Sun Devils won by 11 as a 1.5-point dog. Give me Arizona State -4!
|03-14-19||St. John's v. Marquette -2||Top||54-86||Win||100||8 h 5 m||Show|
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Marquette -2)
I'll gladly take my chances here with Marquette at basically a pick'em against St. John's I get the Golden Eagles had their struggles down the stretch, but I expect them to come out refocused and on a mission to win the Big East Tournament. It certainly helps they have the best player in the conference in Markus Howard. St. John's is a good team, but they haven't won a game on the road since early February. Red Storm are also 3-12 ATS last 15 on a neutral site and 2-10 in their last 12 tournament games. St John's did win at Marquette, but the Golden Eagles are 29-12 ATS last 41 when revenging a loss as a home favorite. Give me Marquette -2!
|03-14-19||West Virginia v. Texas Tech -12.5||79-74||Loss||-104||8 h 2 m||Show|
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Texas Tech -12.5)
I'll take my chances here with Texas Tech easily covering the big number here against the Mountaineers. West Virginia was able to pull off the big upset over Oklahoma in the opening round of the Big 12 Tournament, but lets be real, this team is a joke and are just not even close in terms of talent as the Red Raiders. Texas Tech enters on a 9-game winning streak and are motivated to win this thing to increase their chances at a top seed in the NCAA Tournament. they won by 31 last time the face West Virginia and it wouldn't shocked me if we saw a similar outcome in this one. Give me the Red Raiders -12.5!
|03-14-19||Missouri v. Auburn -8.5||71-81||Win||100||4 h 28 m||Show|
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Auburn -8.5)
I'll take my chances here with Auburn winning by double-digits over Missouri. That shouldn't be a problem seeing how Auburn won by 34 in the only meeting between the two in the regular-season. Auburn is also one of hotter teams in the country, as they have won 4 straight and are 9-3 in their last 12 with two of those losses coming on the road to LSU and Kentucky. Missouri has won 3 of their last 4, but two of those were against Georgia and they are playing on no rest in this one. Give me Auburn -8.5!
|03-14-19||Nebraska v. Maryland -5.5||69-61||Loss||-105||4 h 19 m||Show|
40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Maryland -5.5)
I'll take my chances here with the Terps covering the small number against Nebraska. Maryland has been flying under the radar all season it feels like. They had lost 2 straight before a much-needed win over Minnesota in the final game of the season and I just think they are the far superior team. These two played in early February at Nebraska and Maryland won by 15 despite shooting just 38% from the field. Terps have feasted on mediocre teams like the Cornhuskers, as they are 9-1 ATS last 10 vs a team that's won 51% to 60% of their games. Give me Maryland -5.5!
|03-14-19||USC v. Washington -5||75-78||Loss||-109||5 h 8 m||Show|
40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Washington -5)
I'll take my chances here with Washington covering what I feel is a really low number against USC. Washington didn't play their best down the stretch, going 2-2 in their final 4 after starting 13-1. I look for them to use that as motivation to play well in this tournament. Huskies were hands down the best team in the Pac-12 this year and won by 13 at home over the Trojans and really didn't play their best. I think the Huskies win here by double-digits easy. Give me Washington -5!
|03-13-19||Warriors v. Rockets -3.5||Top||106-104||Loss||-107||11 h 16 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockets -3.5)
I'll gladly take my chances here with Houston laying a short number at home against the Warriors. The Rockets have already won each of the first 3 meetings in the series this season and have a chance to really make a statement here with a full 4-game sweep of the defending champs. Not to mention Houston is rolling right now, Rockets have won 9 straight and are 24-9 at home this season. Warriors are just 4-6 in their last 10 and will be without Durant for this one. Give me the Rockets -3.5!
|03-13-19||Pittsburgh v. Syracuse -7||59-73||Win||100||11 h 11 m||Show|
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Syracuse -7)
I'll take my chances here with the Orange easily covering the 7-point spread against the Panthers. Pittsburgh in my opinion is getting way too much respect in this one. Panthers had lost 13 straight before beating a couple fellow bottom feeders in their last 2 games. They will be on no rest against a Syracuse team that will be playing desperate after losing their final 2 and 4 of their last 5. Orange are without a doubt the better team and should win here by double-digits. Give me Syracuse -7!
|03-13-19||Pistons v. Heat -1.5||74-108||Win||100||10 h 6 m||Show|
40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS ERROR (Heat -1.5)I’m a little surprised the number here is so low, but I think it has a lot to do with how overvalued the Pistons are given their recent success both SU and ATS. Detroit is both 7-3 SU and ATS in their last 10 and had covered 5 straight before a 28-point loss at Brooklyn on Monday. I also think some of value here stems from Miami coming off a disappointing loss at home to the Raptors by 21, as Toronto played that game without their best player in Khawi Leonard. I just think Miami let their guard down and more than anything the Raptors just had one of those nights shooting that there’s not a lot you can do. Toronto shot 57% from the field and were 53% from deep, tying a team record with 21-made 3-pointers. Prior to that Miami had won 4 straight and were 5-1 ATS over their previous 6. This is a team that I think is still flying under the radar. The other big thing is rest. While the Pistons won’t be playing a back-to-back, this will be their 3rd game in 4 days. The Heat on the other hand will be playing on a full 2 days of rest and only their 4th game in the last 9 days. Give me Miami -1.5!
|03-13-19||Notre Dame v. Louisville -7.5||Top||53-75||Win||100||9 h 20 m||Show|
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Louisville -7.5)
I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cardinals laying it on the Irish in the second round of the ACC Tournament. I'm not reading anything into Notre Dame's win over Georgia Tech in the opening round on Tuesday. Irish had a fluke 1st half where they scored 52 points. Note they hadn't scored more than 62 in an entire game over their final 5. Louisville is just 3-7 in their last 10, but a lot of that is because of the schedule and playing all the top teams late. What I love is the Cardinals are built on defense and with how Notre Dame struggles to score, this should get ugly in a hurry. Give me Louisville -7.5!
|03-13-19||Magic v. Wizards -2.5||90-100||Win||100||9 h 45 m||Show|
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Wizards -2.5)
I'll take my chances here with the Wizards laying the short number at home against the Magic. Washington continues to get no love from the books and that's evident by the fact that they have covered 5 straight. Magic caught the eye of a lot of people with how well they payed going into the All-Star break, but they are just 4-5 since returning and have lost 3 of 4, failing to cover in all 4 games. Washington is 11-2 ATS last 13 home games after 2 straight games with a combined scored of 215 or more, while the Magic are 0-5 ATS last 5 vs a team with a losing record and 1-4 ATS last 5 on the road. Give me the Wizards -2.5!
|03-12-19||Blazers -2 v. Clippers||125-104||Win||100||11 h 28 m||Show|
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Blazers -2)
I'll take my chances here with Portland as a small road favorite against the Clippers. This one comes down to rest. The Blazers have quietly been playing some great basketball over the last couple of months, but just don't get talked about all that much, which definitely plays into the line value. They just won 5 of 7 on their last road trip and will be playing here on a full 2 days of rest. Clippers are hot, but will be playing on no rest and 3rd in 4 days. Give me the Blazers -2!
|03-12-19||Spurs -5 v. Mavs||112-105||Win||100||9 h 5 m||Show|
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Spurs -5)
I'll take my chances here with San Antonio as a small road favorite against the Mavs. Star point guard Luka Donic has been downgraded to questionable with a knee sprain and with Dallas having little to nothing to play for, I would be shocked if they risked playing him in this one. Either way, I don't see the Mavs being able to keep this close. They have lost 5 straight and 10 of their last 11 overall. Spurs have won 5 straight and covered 4 of 5. Give me San Antonio -5!
|03-12-19||Bucks v. Pelicans +10.5||Top||130-113||Loss||-109||9 h 59 m||Show|
50* NBA UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE MONTH (Pelicans +10.5)
I'll take my chances here with New Orleans as a double-digit dog at home against the Bucks. I just think the number here is way too much for Milwaukee to be laying on the road. Bucks have not played well away from home of late (lost 3 straight). They also really don't have a ton to play for right now, as they sit 2.5-games up in the East. I also think the line here is being inflated some for the injuries to Pelicans guards E'Twaun Moore and Jrue Holiday, but Frank Jackson has been balling in Holiday's absence. I don't think it's out of the question the Pelicans win this one outright. Give me New Orleans +10.5!
|03-11-19||Celtics -2 v. Clippers||115-140||Loss||-108||10 h 23 m||Show|
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Celtics -2)
I'll take my chances here with Boston laying a short number on the road against the Clippers. This isn't just another game for the Celtics. Last time these two teams played Boston blew a 28-point lead in a 11-point loss at home. Those are the games you don't forget about and I pretty confident the Celtics lay one on the Clippers. Boston has won 3 straight, all on the road, including a blowout win at Golden State. Clippers have won 4 straight, but their only win against a current playoff team since that win over Boston is last time out against OKC, who has been playing their worst basketball of the season. Give me the Celtics -2!
|03-11-19||Kings -1 v. Wizards||Top||115-121||Loss||-105||7 h 55 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kings -1)
I'll take my chances here with Sacramento getting a road win over the Wizards. The Kings come in off a win at New York and need to get going if they want to have a realistic shot at catching the Spurs for the 8th and final spot in the Western Conference. I know Sacramento is just 3-6 in their last 9 games, but all 6 of the losses came by 7 or less and 4 of those were against the Nuggets, Warriors, Celtics and Bucks. Washington is just 5-10 in their last 15 and those 5 wins have come against the Cavs, Bulls, Nets, Wolves and Mavs. Give me the Kings -1!
|03-10-19||Bucks v. Spurs -1.5||114-121||Win||100||9 h 13 m||Show|
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Spurs -1.5)
I'll take my chances here with San Antonio at basically a pick'em at home against the Bucks. The Spurs are an elite team when playing at home. San Antonio has won 7 straight games at home and are 25-7 at home on the season. They also come in having won 4 straight and a big reason they are back on track is Derrick White is back healthy and playing well. Spurs last played on Wednesday, so they are on a full 3 days of rest. Bucks are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and have struggled on the road of late. Milwaukee did win the first meeting, but the Spurs are 8-1 ATS last 9 at home when revenging a same season loss. Give me San Antonio -1.5!
|03-10-19||Raptors v. Heat +1||Top||125-104||Loss||-102||5 h 41 m||Show|
50* NBA EASTERN CONF GAME OF TH MONTH (Heat +1)
I'll gladly take my chances here with Miami at basically a pick'em. Heat have won 4 straight and are a team that I really like to stay hot down the stretch. Miami didn't have one of their better players in Dragic until after the All-Star break and he's just rounding into form. He's only played 19 games (14 starts) and is now second on the team in scoring at 15.1 ppg. Toronto is the better team in most scenarios, but the Raptors are sitting their best player in Kawhi Leonard and are simply getting too much respect with him not available. Give me Miami +1!
|03-10-19||Houston v. Cincinnati -2||85-69||Loss||-100||1 h 13 m||Show|
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Cincinnati -2)
I'll take my chances here with the Bearcats at basically a pick'em at home against the Cougars. These two teams played a tightly contested game at Houston earlier this season. The Cougars wound up winning by 7, but there's every reason to think a change of venue will be more than enough for Cincinnati to come out on top. The Bearcats shot just 33.3% from the field in the first meeting at Houston and had the lead with just over 6 minutes to play before missing their final 11 field goals of the game. Have to think Cincinnati shoots better at home and the defensive intensity won't be as high on the road for the Cougars. Give me the Bearcats -2!
|03-09-19||Wizards +7 v. Wolves||130-135||Win||100||11 h 40 m||Show|
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Wizards +7)
I'll take my chances with the Wizards as a decently priced road dog against the Timberwolves. I think we are getting value here with Washington because they are playing the second game of a back-to-back. Nothing new, as the books have routinely undervalued this team in this spot. Wizards are 5-1 ATS last 6 playin on 0 days rest. Minnesota on the other hand, has had 2 days off and you would think would be better off, but they are 1-7 ATS last 8 when playing with 2 days of rest. Give me the Wizards +7!
|03-09-19||St. John's v. Xavier -3||68-81||Win||100||7 h 14 m||Show|
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS NO-BRAINER (Xavier -3)
I'll take my chances here with the Musketeers taking care of business at home against the Red Storm. Xavier comes in off a loss at Butler, but have been a different team down the stretch. Musketeers have won and covered 5 of their last 6 including a 11-point win on the road against St. John's I don't think them going home is going to reverse things in this one. Give me Xavier -3!
|03-09-19||West Virginia v. Oklahoma State -4.5||Top||77-85||Win||100||6 h 24 m||Show|
50* NCAAB BIG 12 GAME OF THE MONTH (Oklahoma State -4.5)
I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cowboys covering this small number at home against the Mountaineers. I just think West Virginia is getting way too much love off a 90-75 win at home against a short-handed ISU team as a 5.5-point dog. Mountaineers are 2-12 away from home with a 0-9 record in true road games. Add in this being Oklahoma State's senior day and I don't know how you pass up on a play here. Give me the Cowboys -4.5!
|03-09-19||Florida +10 v. Kentucky||57-66||Win||100||4 h 18 m||Show|
40* NCAAB ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Florida +10)
I'll take my chances here with Florida as a double-digit dog against the Wildcats. The Gators had Kentucky on the ropes in the first meeting, as they actually led by 11 in the 2nd half, only to end up losing the game by 11. Kentucky is sitting 3rd in the SEC behind Tenn and LSU and need to win and have both lose for them to earn a 3-way share of the SEC title. That's not important to this team. What's important is getting right for tournament time. Reid Travis is questionable to play, but I don't see him playing much at all if he does suit up. Florida simply needs this game more and that makes them an easy play at this price. Give me the Gators +10!
|03-09-19||NC State -3 v. Boston College||73-47||Win||100||4 h 11 m||Show|
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (NC State -3)
I'll take my chances here with the Wolfpack laying just 3-points on the road against the Eagles. Perfect spot to jump on NC State as they come in off an ugly loss at home to Georgia Tech, where they simply didn't shot up to play. Wolfpack shot 31.9% while letting the Yellow Jackets shoot 58.1%. That was a direct result of them coming off a crushing loss to FSU. They will be ready to go for this one and should win here going away. Give me NC State -3!
|03-08-19||Pistons v. Bulls +4||Top||112-104||Loss||-103||10 h 40 m||Show|
50* NBA CENTRAL DIV GAME OF THE MONTH (Bulls +4)
I'll gladly take my chances here with Chicago as a home dog against the Pistons. Bulls get no love because of their 19-47 record, but they are playing their best basketball of the season right now. Chicago just beat the 76ers 108-107 at home as a similarly priced 3.5-point dog and are 6-3 in their last 9 overall. Detroit has won and covered a bunch, but this a big flat spot for the Pistons. Detroit will host the Bulls on Sunday as these two play a home-and-home. GIve me the Bulls +4!
|03-08-19||Jazz -4.5 v. Grizzlies||104-114||Loss||-109||10 h 38 m||Show|
40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Jazz -4.5)
I'll take my chances here with Utah covering the small number on the road against the Grizzlies. I just think Memphis is getting a little too much respect here. I was on the Grizzlies in their win over the Blazers on Tuesday, but that was more of a fade of Portland than it was a play on Memphis. Even with that win they are just 6-10 in their last 16 and the other 5 wins were all against non-playoff teams. Utah will be without Rubio and Neto, but Mitchell can run the point and has done so effectively this season. I don't think this is close at all. Give me the Jazz -4.5!
|03-07-19||Thunder v. Blazers -3.5||129-121||Loss||-105||13 h 14 m||Show|
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Blazers -3.5)
I'll take my chances here with Portland covering the small number at home against the Thunder. The Blazers have really been playing well of late. Portland just went 5-2 on a 7-game road trip that includes wins at both Philadelphia and Boston, as well as a mere 2-point loss at Toronto. OKC on the other hand is trying to work out of a slump, as the Thunder are just 2-6 SU and 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games. Paul George missed a chunk of those games and while he returned against the Timberwolves on Tuesday, he didn't shoot well and figures to take a few games to get back into that MVP form. Give me the Blazers -3.5!
|03-07-19||Indiana v. Illinois -2||Top||92-74||Loss||-109||11 h 43 m||Show|
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Illinois -2)
I'll gladly take my chances with Illinois laying a short number at home against the Hoosiers. The Fighting Illini have really been a different team down the stretch and just as expected they bounced back from a 3-game losing streak to knock off Northwestern at home in their last game. They are 6-4 in their last 10 games with 3 of those losses coming on the road. Indiana comes in having won 2 straight shockers at home over Wisconsin and Michigan State by a combined 3-points. I'm expecting a big letdown on the road, where the Hoosiers are just 3-9 this season. Give me Illinois -2!
|03-07-19||Cincinnati v. UCF -2.5||55-58||Win||100||10 h 53 m||Show|
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS NO-BRAINER (UCF -2.5)
I'll take my chances here with UCF covering as a small home favorite against Cincinnati. The Bearcats are sitting tied on top the AAC standings with Houston at 14-2, who they will meet in the finale at home this weekend. Not only is this a big lookahead spot for Cincinnati, UCF is a team that is playing just as good as the top dogs in the American down the stretch. The Knights are 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games. The only loss coming by a mere 5-points at Cincinnati and that was them only scoring 18 points in the 1st half (trailed by 8). I think UCF wins this one outright, making them an easy play at basically a pick'em. Give me the Knights -2.5!
|03-06-19||Oregon State v. Washington -6||Top||76-81||Loss||-115||10 h 57 m||Show|
50* NCAAB PAC-12 GAME OF THE MONTH (Washington -6)
I'll gladly take my chances here with Washington covering the 6-point spread at home against Oregon State. The Huskies already won by double-digits on the road against the Beavers and are 14-0 at home, where they are winning by over 12 ppg. Oregon State is also trending in the wrong direction. They just lost back-to-back at home against Arizona and Arizona State. Huskies are 12-4 ATS in their 16 conference games this season and are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 at home when they come in having won 8 of 10. Give me Washington -6!
|03-06-19||Knicks v. Suns -4||96-107||Win||100||9 h 52 m||Show|
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Suns -4)
I'll take my chances here with Phoenix laying a short number at home against the Knicks. There's not many teams I wouldn't feel pretty good about laying just 4-points at home against New York. I really like it with how well the Suns have been playing. Phoenix has won 3 of their last 4 and all 3 came as underdogs of 7 points or more. The effort and energy has really been there since the All-Star break and I'm willing to bank they show up and win this one without much problem. Give me the Suns -4!
|03-06-19||Wolves v. Pistons -5||114-131||Win||100||7 h 25 m||Show|
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Pistons -5)
Just a little over a month ago the Pistons were sitting at 22-29. Starting with a blowout win over the Nuggets at home, Detroit has gone 9-2 over their last 11 to get back to .500 at 31-31. With a win over the Timberwolves, they will have a winning record for the first time since they were 13-12 way back in early December. They just beat the Raptors at home in their most recent game and their only two losses during this stretch have come on the road against the Celtics and Spurs. Not only will the be motivated to get above .500, but every game is crucial for this team down the stretch. While Detroit is sitting 6th, they are just 2.5-games ahead of both the Magic, Hornets and Heat, who are all tied for the 8th and final playoff spot.
I expect a big effort here from the Pistons, who are also going to go into this contest feeling fresh having had the last 2 days off. Speaking of rest, that’s a big part of why I’m willing to lay the 5 with Detroit. Minnesota will be playing on no rest, as the Timberwolves have to host Russell Westbrook and the Thunder on Tuesday. While they will be coming off a home game, they only had 1-day off after finishing up a 3-game road trip. This will be Minnesota’s 8th game since returning from the All-Star break and they will have had to travel for all 8 games.
Going into Tuesday’s game with the Thunder, the Timberwolves are 6-games back of the Spurs for the 8th and final spot in the West with just 19 games left on the schedule and there’s two teams they have to leapfrog before catching San Antonio. I just don’t think this team really cares about making the playoffs, so it’s going to be really easy for them to not show up in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. Minnesota is also just 9-24 on the road compared to 20-10 at home. Pistons have covered 5 straight games at home are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 when playing on 2 or more days of rest and a perfect 7-0 in the last 7 meetings with the Timberwolves. Give me the Pistons -5.
|03-06-19||Mavs +6 v. Wizards||Top||123-132||Loss||-110||7 h 1 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Mavs +6)
I'll take my chances here with the Mavs in this spot. No one is going to want anything to do with Dallas after seeing how this team played in their last two games, but I'm expecting a max effort here from the Mavs in this one. Head coach Rick Carlisle kept the locker room closed extra long after their most recent defeat at Brooklyn. I just feel whenever teams have a come together moment like this, they respond in a positive way. Washington is also a great team for them to get right against, as the Wizards don't play a whole lot of defense and offense has really been the downfall. Give me the Mavs +6!
|03-06-19||Penn State v. Rutgers +2||66-65||Win||100||7 h 18 m||Show|
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Rutgers +2)
I’ve been on this Rutgers team quite a bit this year and simply put there’s no reason they are a home dog in this matchup against Penn State. The Scarlet Knights are sitting at 7-11 in the Big Ten, which is a full 2-games ahead of the Nittany Lions, who are at 5-13. They also already beat Penn State on their home floor, winning 64-60 as a 7-point road dog back in late January.
I just think a lot of people overlook how well this team is playing right now. Rutgers comes in off back-to-back wins, the most recent being a 14-point victory at Iowa as a 8.5-point dog. They are in a position to get a 1st Round bye in the Big Ten Tournament and guaranteed to finish out of the basement of the Big Ten standings for the first time since joining the conference.
It’s not just the back-to-back wins that have impressed me. They are 6-5 in their last 11 Big Ten games and were competitive in just about everyone of those losses. I get that Penn State has also been playing well, but the Nittany Lions had their 3-game winning streak snapped last time out in a crushing 57-61 loss at Wisconsin. I just think that loss will be a difficult one for them to bounce back from, as there’s nothing left for this team to play for outside of a miracle run in the Big Ten Tournament. Penn State is also just 2-9 SU in true road games this season. It’s also worth noting that this will be the home finale/senior day for Rutgers, which is just another extra source of motivation for this team. I not only think they win the game outright, but I think this one could get ugly. Give me Rutgers +2!
|03-05-19||Kentucky -5 v. Ole Miss||80-76||Loss||-110||10 h 44 m||Show|
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Kentucky -5)
I'll take my chances here with the Wildcats bouncing back with a big win and cover on the road against the Rebels. I went against Kentucky on Saturday with Tennessee and it went just as I anticipated. Vols are an elite team and hadn't lost a game at home all season. Ole Miss has been a pleasant surprise, but are no where close to the elite teams in the SEC and I just don't see them being able to keep this one close. Give me Kentucky -5!
|03-05-19||Blazers v. Grizzlies +6.5||111-120||Win||100||9 h 37 m||Show|
40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Grizzlies +6.5)
I'll take my chances with Memphis covering the 6.5-point spread at home against the Blazers. It's been quite the road trip for Portland, who are 6-1 to start their 8 game trip that concludes with this contest. I just think it's going to be tough for the Blazers to keep their foot on the gas against a bad Memphis team, knowing that they get to finally go back home after this one is over. Grizzlies have covered 3 of their last 4 and are better than they get credit for. Give me Memphis +6.5!
|03-05-19||Virginia Tech v. Florida State -3.5||Top||64-73||Win||100||8 h 43 m||Show|
50* NCAAB ACC GAME OF THE MONTH (Florida St -3.5)
I'll gladly take my chances here with the Seminoles laying a short number at home against the Hokies. Virginia Tech comes in off an upset win over Duke at home, but the Blue Devils were once again without their star big man Zion Williamson. I just think that victory has the Hokies getting way too much love against a FSU team that has quietly been playing as well as any team in the country. The Seminoles are 10-1 in their last 11 games and with a win here can secure the No. 4 seed and a double-bye for the ACC Tournament. Not to mention this will be the finale home game for FSU, which adds that much more incentive. Give me the Seminoles -3.5!
|03-04-19||Knicks v. Kings -11.5||Top||108-115||Loss||-100||11 h 54 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kings -11.5)
I'll take my chances here with Sacramento covering as a double-digit favorite against the Knicks. Kings desperately need a win after losing 3 straight and 5 of their last 6 overall. No better team than New York to get back on track against. Knicks lost 128-107 at LAC last night. The finally score really doesn't do justice to how lopsided that game was. Knicks trailed 82-46 at the half and I just don't see them being any more interested in playing tonight than they were yesterday. Give me the Kings -11.5!
|03-03-19||Rockets v. Celtics -2||Top||115-104||Loss||-105||4 h 58 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Celtics -2)
I'll take my chances here with Boston laying a short number at home against the Rockets. The Celtics snapped their 4-game losing streak with a 11-point win and cover at home against the Wizards and I like them to carry over that momentum with a home win. Boston is 24-9 on their home floor this season, while the Rockets are just 15-16 on the road. Celtics are 8-0 ATS last 8 when they come in having lost 4 of their last 5. Give me Boston -2!
|03-02-19||Arizona v. Oregon -4.5||47-73||Win||100||14 h 13 m||Show|
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Oregon -4.5)
I'll take my chances here with the Ducks covering the small number at home against the Wildcats. I cashed in an easy winner on Oregon in their last game, as they absolutely rolled Arizona State 79-51 as a 2.5-point favorite. The Ducks had lost 3 straight prior all on the road before the blowout win against the Sun Devils. That win over Arizona State continued a trend of home blowout wins. Arizona is getting too much love for beating some bad teams here of late. Ducks roll. Give me Oregon -4.5!
|03-02-19||Nets v. Heat -4||88-117||Win||100||12 h 43 m||Show|
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Heat -4)
I'll take my chances here with Miami laying a short number here at home against the Nets. Brooklyn is in a big slump right now, as they have gone just 4-8 in their last 12. Miami comes in off a loss at Houston, but they easily covered as a near double-digit dog. They have shot 50% or better in each of their last 2. I think this team is only going to get better as they just recently got back Dragic. Miami wins here no problem. Give me the Heat -4!
|03-02-19||Kentucky v. Tennessee -2.5||Top||52-71||Win||100||6 h 10 m||Show|
50* NCAAB SEC GAME OF THE MONTH (Tennessee -2.5)
I'll take my chances here with the Vols getting revenge against the Wildcats in one of the best games of the day. I was all over Kentucky when they hosted Tennessee earlier this season and they won going away. Vols are a perfect 16-0 at home and this is simply too good a price to pass up. Tennessee is also 16-6 ATS last 22 at home when revenging a loss where they gave up 85 or more. Give me the Volunteers -2.5!
|03-01-19||Bucks -4.5 v. Lakers||Top||131-120||Win||100||13 h 28 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Bucks -4.5)
I'll take my chances here with Milwaukee going to Los Angeles and covering this relatively short number against the Lakers. I just don't trust this Lakers team at all right now. I think there's some serious problems in the lockerroom, which stem from all those trade rumors. Basically the front office said now that we have LeBron, he's the only thing that's important. These are also young guys who have grown accustomed to losing and don't have that killer mentality that James demands. I also think LeBron is playing at less than 100%. Milwaukee is too good and there's no doubt they show up for this one. Give me the Bucks -4.5!
|03-01-19||Clippers v. Kings -3||116-109||Loss||-109||13 h 54 m||Show|
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Kings -3)
I'll take my chances here with Sacramento at this price all day against a team like the Clippers. I still think LAC is a bit overvalued, as this is just not the same team without Tobias Harris. They have won 3 of their last 5, but those 3 wins are against the Mavs, Grizzlies and Suns. So while they aren't as good as their record over their last 5, the Kings are a far better team than their 1-4 mark over their last 5 would suggest. Sacramento's 4 losses during this stretch are a 2-point defeat at Denver, 2-point defeat at Golden State, 7-point loss at Minnesota and a 1-point home loss to the Bucks. This is a legit team that is still flying under the radar of the public eye. Give me the Kings -3!
|03-01-19||Hornets v. Nets -3.5||123-112||Loss||-105||10 h 24 m||Show|
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Nets -3.5)
I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn covering the small number at home against the Hornets. I know the Nets are coming off an ugly 125-116 home loss to the Wizards as a 5-point favorite, but I still really like this team and they will be getting back a big piece tonight in Spencer Dinwiddie. Not to mention, the fact that they are coming off that ugly loss, increases the likelihood we get a max effort here. On the flip side, Charlotte is a team you want to bet against as a small road favorite. The Hornets are 8-21 SU on the road this season and have covered just 2 out of their last 13 road games against a team with a winning home record. Give me Brooklyn -3.5!
|02-28-19||Arizona State v. Oregon -3||51-79||Win||100||12 h 6 m||Show|
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Oregon -3)
I'll take my chances here with the Ducks as a small home favorite as a 3-point home favorite. I think we are getting a great number with Oregon because they come in having lost 3 straight and are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6. The 3 straight losses were all on the road, where they are just 4-8 this season. Ducks are 11-4 at home, winning by 12 ppg. ASU is just 2-9 ATS last 11 after winning 5+ of their last 7 and the Ducks are 15-5 ATS last 20 homes games after 2 straight conference games. Give me Oregon -3!
|02-28-19||76ers v. Thunder -7||Top||108-104||Loss||-109||9 h 4 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Thunder -7)
I'll take my chances here with OKC covering the 7 at home against the 76ers. Philadelphia is still without Embiid and will also be without backup big man Boban Marjanovic. Even with Embiid the 76ers were not a great road team and I'm extremely confident here we get a max effort from Westbrook and Thunder, who have lost 2 straight and 3 of their lat 4. OKC is 21-8 for a reason at home and with this being on TNT, they are going to want to show out. Give me the Thunder -7!
|02-28-19||Connecticut v. Wichita State -4.5||63-65||Loss||-109||8 h 17 m||Show|
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Wichita St -4.5)
I'll take my chances here with the Shockers laying another short number at home. We failed to cash in on Wichita State in their last home game against Memphis, but I think that has created the great number we are getting here. UConn has lost 5 straight and are simply not the same team since Jalen Adams went down to injury. They have especially struggled on the road, losing by 18 at SMU and Temple. Give me Wichita State -4.5!
|02-27-19||Marquette v. Villanova -5||Top||61-67||Win||100||11 h 6 m||Show|
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Villanova -5)
I'll gladly take my chances with Villanova laying a small number at home against Marquette. The Wildcats have lost 3 straight and 4 of 5 after their perfect 10-0 start to Big East play. It has a lot of people looking to play Marquette here, who started this all with a 66-65 win.
I just think now is the time to jump on Villanova, as we know we are going to get the best they got in this one. Not just to snap the losing streak, but to get revenge. The big thing to keep in mind with the Wildcats struggles is all 4 of the losses during this stretch came on the road. They are 12-2 at home and will be playing with a chip on their shoulder after getting dropped from the Top 25. Give me Villanova -5!
|02-27-19||Florida -4 v. Vanderbilt||71-55||Win||100||11 h 4 m||Show|
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Florida -4)Florida really didn’t live up to expectations early on this season and I think a lot of people wrote them off with all the other fire-power in the SEC. Those early struggles are a distant memory right now, as Florida comes in playing arguably their best basketball of the season. The Gators have won 4 straight and are now 8-6 in SEC play and definitely in the conversation for the NCAA Tournament. I believe they are showing such great value here because of the fact that they are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games and certainly didn’t play their best last time out at Missouri, having to rally from 12-points down in the 2nd half to sneak out a 64-60 win as a 10-point favorite, but that shouldn’t really come as a surprise. They were destined for a letdown coming off that thrilling overtime win at LSU. That should work in our favor here, as that lessons the likelihood that they will overlook the Commodores. That’s really the only thing that I think could keep Florida from winning and covering the spread. Vanderbilt hasn’t won a conference game, as they are 0-14 in league play. They are 0-7 in SEC play at home and all but two of those losses have come by at least 9 points. They did just cover in a 68-61 loss as a 8.5-point dog at Alabama, but are a mere 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games overall. They have also gone just 9-23 ATS last 32 at home. Note that Florida won by 9-points in the first meeting at home between these two teams and did so despite an awful shooting night, as they were just 33.3% from the field and 23% from deep. Their defense was the difference as they stifled the Commodores offense and forced Vandy into 19 turnovers. It hasn’t gotten any better for the Commodores offensively, as they are averaging just 56.8 ppg and shooting 37% from the field in their last 5 games. Give me the Gators -4!
|02-27-19||Illinois +13 v. Purdue||56-73||Loss||-108||10 h 26 m||Show|
40* NCAAB UNDERDOG ATS MASSACRE (Illinois +13)
I'll take my chances here with the Fighting Illini as a double-digit dog against the Boilermakers. While Purdue has the better overall resume, they have not been playing great of late. They were extremely fortunate to get road wins over two struggling teams in Indiana and Nebraska in their last 2 games and a big reason for that is the struggles of Carson Edwards, who has scored just 22 points on 7 of 40 shooting in his last 2 games. That includes 1 for 20 from deep. We are talking about a guy that averages 23.4 ppg on the season. Without him putting up big numbers Purdue is average at best.
Illinois comes in off a couple of losses, but were competitive in both and have really been a different team in February. I'm not saying they pull off the upset, but I think they are primed to give the Boilermakers all they can handle. Give me the Fighting Illini +13!
|02-27-19||Pistons v. Spurs -4.5||Top||93-105||Win||100||11 h 39 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Spurs -4.5)It couldn’t have gone much worse for the Spurs on their annual Rodeo Road Trip. San Antonio went just 1-7 on the 8-game trip that was sandwiched around the All-Star break. The last two were especially embarrassing, as the Spurs lost 130-118 at the Knicks and 101-85 at the Nets. Needless to say the perception with San Antonio right now is as bad as it’s been in a while and I believe it has the Spurs showing big time value as a small home favorite. The fact that San Antonio struggled on the road shouldn’t be a huge a surprise. They were just 10-15 on the road before the Rodeo Trip. This is simply a different team at the AT&T Center . The Spurs are 22-7 at home. Only the Bucks, Raptors and Nuggets have fewer home losses on their resume. The players have come out and said how disappointed they are with how they have been playing and one thing is for sure, we can bank on a max effort here from San Antonio. Also, keep in mind that the Spurs played 6 of those 8 games on their road trip without starting point guard Derrick White. He returned late in that trip and was on a bit of minutes restriction. Expect him to play a bigger role against the Pistons. Speaking of Detroit, the Pistons come in having won 3 straight and are 7-1 over their last 8 games. A stretch in which they have gone 6-2 ATS. I think that definitely is playing into this line. I’m just not a big believer in this team and this recent run has come during a very favorable stretch of their schedule. Pistons are also not a great road team by any means. They are just 11-17 away from home and have covered just twice in their last 8 road games against a team that’s won more than 60% of their home games. Give me the Spurs -4.5
|02-27-19||Blazers v. Celtics -2.5||97-92||Loss||-108||10 h 11 m||Show|
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Celtics -2.5)
I'll take my chances here with Boston covering the small number at home against the Blazers. I think we are getting great value here not only because the Celtics got their butts kicked last night in Toronto, but the Blazers come in having won and covered 4 straight.
The good thing about the ugly loss for Boston against the Raptors is they were able to avoid anyone playing big minutes, so they should be more than ready to go for this one. I expect a big effort from the Celtics after that embarrassing performance and this is just too good a price to pass up on a team that is 23-8 on their home floor. Give me the Celtics -2.5!
|02-26-19||Thunder v. Nuggets -3||112-121||Win||100||11 h 3 m||Show|
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Nuggets -3)
I'll take my chances here with Denver laying just 3-points at home against the Thunder. I have all the respect for OKC, but this is just too good a price to pass up on the Nuggets at home. I think if healthy, which they are right now, Denver might just be the second best team in the NBA behind the Warriors. They are 26-4 SU and 21-9 ATS at home this season. Give me the Nuggets -3!
|02-26-19||Temple v. Memphis -4.5||Top||73-81||Win||100||9 h 26 m||Show|
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Memphis -4.5)
I'll gladly take my chances here with Memphis laying a short number at home against the Owls. The Tigers are just too good on their home floor to pass up at this price. Memphis is 13-2 at the FedEx Forum and outscoring opponents by nearly 15 ppg, as they average 88 on their home floor. Temple won the first meeting at home, but only by 9, despite Memphis shooting a pathetic 39.7%. Tigers dominated the glass, as they were +12 on the board (+8 offense rebounds). I'm confident they maintain that edge on the glass and shoot much better at home. Give me Memphis -4.5!
|02-26-19||Missouri v. Mississippi State -11||49-68||Win||100||8 h 34 m||Show|
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Mississippi St -11)
I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs laying one on the Tigers at home. Not only do I think Mississippi State is the far superior team, but this is a great spot to fade Missouri off a heartbreaking 64-60 loss at Florida, where the Tigers blew a 12-point 2nd half lead. Missouri took advantage of the Gators in a big letdown spot off that huge upset win at LSU. I don't see the red-hot Bulldogs looking past them in this one. Mississippi State has won 4 straight with 3 of the 4 wins coming by double-digits. While Missouri kept it close at Florida, that's a rare competitive game on the road for the Tigers, as they had lost their previous 4 road games all by double-digits. Missouri is also 1-9 ATS last 3 seasons in road games off a loss by 6 or less, losing by an average of 13.2 ppg in this spot. Give me the Bulldogs -11!
|02-25-19||Lakers -4.5 v. Grizzlies||Top||105-110||Loss||-110||9 h 35 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Lakers -4.5)
I'll gladly take my chances with the Lakers laying the small number at Memphis. LA returned from the All-Star break with an impressive win at home over the Rockets, but then laid an egg in a 13-point loss at New Orleans. I just don't see them coming out flat again and there's just not a lot the Grizzlies can do to stop LA from winning here. LeBron and Rondo have called out the young guys after that loss to the Pelicans, which I believe will have LA 100% locked in for this matchup. Give me the Lakers -4.5!
|02-25-19||Spurs v. Nets -1.5||85-101||Win||100||8 h 51 m||Show|
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Nets -1.5)
I'll gladly take my chances here with Brooklyn at basically a pick'em at home against the Spurs. San Antonio has fallen on hard times in February. The Spurs are 1-6 in their last 7 all of which have come on the road. Yesterday they got beat by 12, giving up 130 points to the Knicks, who had lost their previous 18 home games. Brooklyn is 14-4 in their last 18 at home and I wouldn't be shocked if they won this thing by double-digits. Give me the Nets -1.5!
|02-25-19||Blazers v. Cavs +9.5||123-110||Loss||-107||8 h 35 m||Show|
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Cavs +9.5)
I'll take my chances with Cleveland covering as a big home dog against the Blazers. I cashed on the Cavs as a slim 2-point home favorite last time out against the Grizzlies. That was Cleveland's 3rd win in their last 4 games. Kevin Love had 32 points and grabbed 12 boards, despite being on a minutes restriction.
This is a much better team with Love in the lineup, but because the Cavs were so bad without him and still far from a playoff-type team, it's going to take a minute for the books to make the proper adjustments. Basically as long as the public keeps fading Cleveland, we will continue to get value like we are here. Blazers just played at Brooklyn and Philly and have to go to Boston and Toronto after this. Hard seeing them laying it all on the line here, especially having won the first two on the trip. Give me the Cavs +9.5!
|02-24-19||Michigan State v. Michigan -3.5||Top||77-70||Loss||-113||5 h 10 m||Show|
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Michigan -3.5)
I'll take my chances with Michigan as a small home favorite against just about any team in the country. I get this is a rivalry game, but Michigan State is not 100%. The Spartans lost Joshua Langford to season-ending injury back in January and are without star big man Nick Ward right now. I'm sure Michigan State will play hard, but it won't be enough against this Michigan team, which is a perfect 16-0 at home this season. Give me the Wolverines -3.5!
|02-24-19||Magic +9 v. Raptors||113-98||Win||100||5 h 55 m||Show|
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Magic +9)
I'll take my chances here with Orlando getting almost 10-points on the road against the Raptors. Magic were playing as well as anyone going into the All-Star break, as they had won 5 straight and were 7-1 over their last 8. They returned from the break with a 110-109 upset loss at home to the Bulls as a 8-point favorite.
Losing to a team like Chicago doesn't look good and I think it's got the Magic showing value here. Note that they really should have won that game against the Bulls, as they shot 50.6% from the field and held Chicago to just 44.4%. Toronto comes in having won 7 straight, which is also playing in to the big number. Easy spot for the Raptors to come out flat with Boston on deck Tuesday. Give me Orlando +9!
|02-23-19||Celtics v. Bulls +10.5||116-126||Win||100||10 h 54 m||Show|
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS NO BRAINER (Bulls +10.5)
I'll take my chances here with the Bulls covering as a double-digit home dog to Boston. Chicago just upset the Magic 110-109 as a 8-point road dog last night and did so despite the Magic shooting 51% from the field. Bulls are now 3-2 since the trade for Otto Porter Jr. and I don't think it's out of the question they win here. Boston is coming off a gut-wrenching 98-97 loss at Milwaukee and I'm starting to get concerns there's some chemistry problems. Just too much talent on that team for Kyrie Irving to be jacking up 27 shots. Either way I think the Bulls at worse keep it competitive. Give me Chicago +10.5!
|02-23-19||Memphis v. Wichita State -3.5||Top||88-85||Loss||-110||10 h 55 m||Show|
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Wichita St -3.5)
I'll gladly take my chances here with the Shockers as a small home favorite against Memphis. Wichita State is just 13-12 overall, but are playing their best basketball of the season right now. The Shockers have won 5 of their last 6 and are a perfect 6-0 ATS during this stretch. They are 9-3 on their home floor and will be taking on a Memphis team that is just 3-9 SU and 4-8 ATS away from home.
Wichita St is 13-2 ATS last 15 at home off a win by 15 or more, while Memphis is 1-8 ATS last 9 on the road off a home win by 10 or more. Tigers are also 0-7 ATS last 7 off a conference win by 20 or more. Give me the Shockers -3.5!
|02-23-19||Pistons v. Heat -3.5||Top||119-96||Loss||-105||9 h 18 m||Show|
50* NBA EASTERN CONF PLAY OF THE MONTH (Heat -3.5)
I'll gladly take my chances here with Miami laying a small number at home against the Pistons. The Heat are a team that desperately needs to get going, as they are sitting 9th in the Eastern Conference standings. It just so happens the team in 8th is the Pistons, who are 1-game up. That alone makes this a massive game for Miami. On top of that, I think we get a huge effort after losing the first game out of the break.
Detroit on the other hand is a team I have zero faith, especially in this spot. Pistons are playing in the second game of a back-to-back on the road after last night's 125-122 win over Atlanta. Note that Blake Griffin was ejected early, which forced the other 4 starters to all play 32+ minutes. Pistons are just 6-20 ATS last 26 on the road when they come in having won 3 of their last 4 and 0-4-1 ATS last 5 when their starting 5 combined for 160+ minutes the previous day. Give me the Heat -3.5!
|02-23-19||Grizzlies v. Cavs -2||107-112||Win||100||9 h 48 m||Show|
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Cavs -2)
I'll take my chances here with Cleveland at basically a pick'em at home against the Grizzlies. I'll be the first to admit I didn't think I would be laying points with the Cavs any time soon, but I like what I've seen from Cleveland since Kevin Love returned from injury. They laid it on the Suns in their last game, winning 111-98 and the most impressive thing was the defense, which held Phoenix to 41.7%. Memphis is a horrible offensive team and just shot 36.7% in last night's home loss to the Clippers. The Grizzlies are on a free fall since losing Gasol and I don't see them showing up here in the second game of a back-to-back on the road. Give me Cleveland -2!
|02-23-19||Ohio State v. Maryland -5.5||62-72||Win||100||4 h 2 m||Show|
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (Maryland -5.5)
I'll take my chances here with the Terps as a 5.5-point home favorite against the Buckeyes. Maryland is so much better than they get credit for and this is just not asking a whole of them to win by 6 or more at home. The Terps are 13-2 on their home floor and already beat Ohio State 75-61 on the road. The Buckeyes come in off a blowout win at home over a struggling Northwestern team, but overall all Ohio State is on a massive slide. They are just 5-8 SU and 4-9 ATS in their last 13. Their only road wins in Big Ten play are against Nebraska and Indiana. Maryland hasn't lost a game at home in Big Ten play. Give me the Terps -5.5!
|02-22-19||Nuggets -3.5 v. Mavs||Top||114-104||Win||100||11 h 7 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nuggets -3.5)
I'll take my chances here with Denver coming out of the All-Star break and making a statement against the Mavs. I just think this is a complete mismatch. The Nuggets are as healthy as they have been since the start of the season and I just don't think people are fully aware of just how good this team is going to be if they can keep everyone healthy.
I believe the only thing keeping this line where it is, is the fact that the Mavs are 20-9 at home. The thing is, this team went from trying to win to really focusing on the future when they traded for Porzingis. Luka Donic is an incredible young player, but he's playing with a bunch of scrubs right now and I just don't see them keeping up with a team like Denver in this spot. Give me the Nuggets -3.5!
|02-22-19||Pelicans v. Pacers -5.5||111-126||Win||100||10 h 52 m||Show|
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Pacers -5.5)
I'll take my chances with the Pacers covering the 5.5-point spread at home against the Pelicans. I just don't like the mindset with New Orleans right now. They decided not to trade Anthony Davis at the deadline and now have come out and said that Davis and Jrue Holiday's minutes will be greatly reduced. I just think that a big negative for the chemistry of this team.
As for the Pacers, they might have lost their star in Oladipo, but they are going to scratch and claw their way to the finish line. Indiana won 6 of 7 going into the All_Star break with the only loss coming to Milwaukee. Pacers are 22-8 at home, while the Pelicans are 9-22 on the road. Give me Indiana -5.5!
|02-21-19||Celtics +5.5 v. Bucks||97-98||Win||100||10 h 2 m||Show|
40* NBA NO DOUBT PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Celtics +5.5)
I'll take my chances here with Boston covering the 5.5-point spread at Milwaukee. No disrespect to the Bucks, who are a great team, I just think Brad Stevens and the Celtics are a lot better than people think and we are going to see this team really take off down the stretch run. They made a statement right before the All-Star break in a 112-109 win at Philadelphia and I think they do the same thing here against Milwaukee.
One of the big reasons I like Boston is the fact that the last time these two teams played, the Bucks won 120-107 at Boston. The Celtics are 34-19 ATS over the last 2 seasons when revenging a loss and 15-5 ATS when revenging a loss of 10 or more. Give me Boston +5.5!
|02-20-19||North Carolina +9 v. Duke||88-72||Win||100||11 h 5 m||Show|
40* NCAAB UNC/DUKE PRIME TIME ATS MASSACRE (N Carolina +9)
I just think this is way too many points for the Tar Heels to be catching in arguably the best rivalry in college basketball. I don’t think there’s a more public play on the bard than Duke right now and with them moving back to No. 1 in the polls, there’s no doubt in my mind the line for this one is inflated by at least a couple points if not more.
At the same time, I don’t feel like this North Carolina team gets the respect they deserve. Sure they are No. 8 in the country, but there’s been so much hype around Duke and Virginia in the ACC people fail to realize how good UNC is. I think a lot of people would be surprised that with a win the Tar Heels would move into a tie for 1st place in the ACC.
One of the reasons that I think UNC is flying under the radar right now is they had that early 21-point loss at home to Louisville, which just isn’t something you expect to see from a elite team. I think that loss really knocked this team down a notch in a lot of people’s eye. They also had that recent home loss to Virginia by 8, but that was a game they should have won. UNC led the majority of the 2nd half and had a 7-point lead with 8 to play.
Those are the only two losses for the Tar Heels in the ACC and it’s worth noting that they later returned the favor and beat Louisville by double-digits on their home floor.
What really impressed me about North Carolina and that loss to gut-wrenching loss to Virginia, is how they responded by annihilating Wake Forest on the road 95-57. For them to show up with that kind of focus against the Demon Deacons, coming off that loss to the Cavaliers and this game against Duke on deck, really says a lot about the make-up of this team. I also think it’s worth pointing out that this is a very veteran team that really understands what the atmosphere is going to be like.
It certainly doesn’t hurt to see that UNC has covered 6 of the last 8 meetings overall and are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games played at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Give me the Tar Heels +9!
|02-20-19||Florida v. LSU -6.5||Top||82-77||Loss||-109||9 h 48 m||Show|
50* NCAAB SEC GAME OF THE YEAR (LSU -6.5)
I'll gladly take my chances here with LSU laying what I feel is a short number at home against the Gators. All the talk in the SEC is around Kentucky and Tennessee right now, yet the Tigers come into this game sitting at 11-1 in league play with their only loss in conference play coming by a single-point. Not to mention they went on the road and beat Tennessee.
Not surprised at all they failed to cover as a 7.5-point favorite at Georgia off the big upset of Kentucky. It's not like they played bad, as they shot 56% from the field on the road. LSU comes in averaging 85.8 ppg at home and I just don't see Florida being able to keep pace. The Gators shot 54% in their last game against Alabama, but prior to that had shot 36% or worse in 4 of their previous 6 and are only averaging 61.9 ppg on the road.
It just seems like every time the Gators get matched up with a top tier team in the SEC they lose by double-digit and I don't think this will be any different. Give me the Tigers -6.5!
|02-20-19||Mississippi State v. Georgia +7||68-67||Win||100||8 h 18 m||Show|
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Georgia +7)
Just a week ago I went against Georgia after head coach Tom Crean called out his team in a real negative way and they didn't disappoint, losing 73-56 at Texas A&M. I was curious to how they would respond after that game and they came out and played their hearts out against LSU at home, narrowly losing 83-79.
That's now 6 straight losses for Georgia and I just think they are sick and tired of losing and will give another big effort here against Mississippi State. Whether or not it's enough to get the win is up in the air, but I really like their chances of at least keeping it within the number. The Bulldogs have been extremely inconsistent in SEC play and are now playing short-handed with the suspension to sophomore guard Nick Weatherspoon. Only 7 players were in the rotation in Miss State's last game against Arkansas. This is a game Georgia can win outright. Give me the Bulldogs +7!
|02-19-19||Maryland v. Iowa -2||66-65||Loss||-110||10 h 42 m||Show|
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Iowa -2)
I'll take my chances here with the Hawkeyes riding that massive wave of momentum to a hoem win over the Terps. Iowa has won each of their last 2 games on a 3-pointer at the buzzer and have won 4 straight overall. They are 13-2 on their home floor and the last time they hosted a ranked team they cruised to a 74-59 win as a 5.5-point dog against Michigan.
Maryland has been better than expected, but are just 3-4 in their last 7 with the only win during this stretch on the road coming against a Nebraska team that is really struggling. The Terps are also a very young team with multiple freshmen playing big roles. I just think the grind of a college season is really starting to take it's toll on these guys and I just don't see them having the energy in their second road game in a 4 day stretch. Give me Iowa -2!
|02-19-19||Nebraska v. Penn State -3||Top||71-95||Win||100||9 h 46 m||Show|
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Penn St -3)
I'll take my chances here with the Nittany Lions laying a short number at home against the Cornhuskers. I believe we are getting a great price on Penn State due to the fact that Nebraska comes into this won off back-to-back wins. I'm not buying into the victories for the Cornhuskers, both were at home and they shot 50% from the field and only beat Minnesota by 1. In their 9-point win over Northwestern they only managed 59 points and shot 32.8% from the field.
That was the 8th time in the last 9 games for the Cornhuskers where they shot 42% or worse. Trying to take that offense on the road and win is a monumental task. Note they shot 49% from the field back in a mere 6-point win over Penn State. That was back prior to losing Isaac Copeland to a season ending injury. I just don't see Nebraska scoring enough to keep this close. Give me the Nittany Lions -3!
|02-19-19||Dayton v. Davidson -3.5||74-73||Loss||-107||8 h 40 m||Show|
40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE (Davidson -3.5)
I'll take my chances here with Davidson laying a small number at home. Dayton is a good team and have been playing well, but I think that has the Flyers getting a little too much respect on the road against the Wildcats. Davidson is a perfect 12-0 at home this season and are tied for 1st with VCU on top the Atlantic 10.
Wildcats did fail to cover at home last time out against St Joe's, winning by just 8 as a 11.5-point favorite, but have yet to fail to cover back-to-back games in conference play. It's also worth pointing out that Dayton is a team that has been overvalued quite a bit this season. The Flyers are just 4-10-2 ATS in their last 16 games. They are also 1-7 ATS last 8 vs a team with a winning record and 0-6 ATS last 6 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Give me the Wildcats -3.5!
|02-18-19||Illinois v. Wisconsin -10.5||Top||58-64||Loss||-105||10 h 51 m||Show|
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Wisconsin -10.5)
I'll gladly take my chances here with the Badgers covering the big number at home against the Fighting Illini. The betting public is all over Illinois as a double-digit dog and while it's not a guarantee by any means, I love going against the public when they are backing a big dog.
It certainly looks good for Illinois to cover, as they have won 4 straight, including a win over Michigan State at home. You can take that win over the Spartans however you want, but I'm pretty confident that had a lot more do with how unfocused Michigan State was than anything. The other 3 wins during the winning streak are nothing to get overly excited about.
Wisconsin already won by 12 at Illinois and what I love is we can bank on a max effort here from the Badgers, who have lost their last 2 with the most recent a hard fought loss at home to Michigan State. This is only the third time Wisconsin has lost back-to-back games this season. The first time they dropped two in a row they came out the next game and beat Penn State by 19 on the road. The other time saw them respond with a 10-point win at home against nationally ranked Michigan. Give me the Badgers -10.5!
|02-17-19||Arizona v. Colorado -4.5||Top||60-67||Win||100||10 h 11 m||Show|
50* NCAAB PAC-12 GAME OF THE MONTH (Colorado -4.5)
I'll gladly take my chances here with Colorado as a 4.5-point favorite at home against Arizona. The Buffaloes come into this one arguably playing their best basketball of the season. Colorado has won and covered each of their last 4 and it's not like they have been beating up on bad teams. The 4-game win straight has come against Oregon, @ UCLA, @ USC and Arizona St.
It's no secret that Arizona is way down this year. Wildcats have lost 6 straight and are just 5-7 in Pac-12 play. This team has zero confidence and nothing to play for right now, as their only hope of making the NCAA Tournament is to win the Pac-12 Tournament for an automatic bid. Not only will Colorado be out for revenge from an earlier loss at Arizona, but the Wildcats are a program you always get up to play. I think the Buffaloes win here going away. Give me Colorado -4.5!
|02-16-19||Tennessee v. Kentucky -3.5||Top||69-86||Win||100||10 h 12 m||Show|
50* TENN/KENTUCKY SEC GAME OF THE MONTH (Kentucky -3.5)
I'll gladly take my chances here with Kentucky as a small home favorite. I get that the Vols are ranked No. 1, but I'm shocked that the public is all over Tennessee on the road in this one. I for one think the Vols are overrated right now and shockingly a Wildcats team that entered the season ranked No. 1 is undervalued despite the fact that they are 10-1 in their last 11. It just seems like whenever Kentucky is doubted, especially at home, they deliver in a big way. Give me the Wildcats -3.5!
|02-16-19||West Virginia v. Kansas -14||53-78||Win||100||6 h 13 m||Show|
40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS ATS SLAUGHTER (Kansas -14)
I'll take my chances here with the Jayhawks covering the big number here at home against the Mountaineers. It's hard to believe that Kansas actually lost to this West Virginia team earlier this season, but that should work in our favor here, as it will keep the Jayhawks from looking past an inferior opponent. Things have really spiraled out of control for Bob Huggins team. It was already a rebuilding year and now they got some key guys out with injury and two other suspended. They just lost at home to Texas by 22 and prior to that by 31 at Texas Tech. That blowout loss to the Red Raiders was their 4th straight road loss by at least 17 points. Give me Kansas -14!
|02-16-19||Indiana v. Minnesota -3.5||63-84||Win||100||4 h 59 m||Show|
40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (Minnesota -3.5)
I'll take my chances here with the Golden Gophers as a slim 3.5-point home favorite against the Hoosiers. I just think Minnesota is hands down the better team in this one, yet they are showing value due to the fact that they have lost 4 straight. The thing is, 3 of the 4 losses have come on the road and the other was at home to Wisconsin. Indiana is 1-9 in their last 10 and have followed up that fluke win over Michigan State with back-to-back home losses to Iowa and Ohio State. Gophers are 12-2 at home and this is one they desperately have to have to keep their NCAA Tournament hopes alive. Give me Minnesota -3.5!
|02-14-19||Thunder -4.5 v. Pelicans||Top||122-131||Loss||-106||10 h 10 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Thunder -4.5)
I'll take my chances here with OKC laying the 4.5-points at New Orleans. The Thunder are playing arguably the best basketball of any team in the league right now. They come in having won 4 straight and are 11-1 in their last 12 games. The only loss on the road against a top tier Celtics team. Russell Westbrook has recorded a triple-double in 10 straight games and if it wasn't for James Harden putting up absurd numbers, people would be talking a lot more about Paul George as the MVP.
I know there's some concern here with this being the final game before the All-Star break, but Westbrook is one of those guys that just doesn't take nights off and I think the fact that the game will be played in front of a national audience on TNT and OKC coming in on 2 days rest, the effort will be there.
Typically you would expect a team like New Orleans to show up in this spot, but the Pelicans are a complete mess. The Anthony Davis trade rumors have taken a massive toll on this team. We saw that first-hand in their last game against Orland, where they lost 118-88 at home. Davis did next to nothing and I have to wonder if he's not a little pissed with the team not trading him. Either way, I don't think this team is going to rally for a meaningless one game before the break. Give me the Thunder -4.5!
|02-13-19||Warriors v. Blazers +4.5||107-129||Win||100||14 h 35 m||Show|
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Blazers +4.5)
I'll take my chances here with the Blazers covering the small number at home. The Warriors have been coasting into the All-Star break and that’s pretty evident by the fact that they are just 1-5 ATS in their last6 and the only cover during this stretch was against the Spurs when they rested Aldridge and DeRozan. They trailed going into the 4th quarter last night at home against the Jazz and in the two prior to that they were down 17 at Phoenix last Friday and ended winning by just 10 as a 17-point favorite. They then were down 19 in a 120-118 win at home against the Heat as a 13.5-point favorite.
The fact that they keep winning is a big reason why I think people are still flocking to bet them. With this game against Portland being their final game before the All-Star break and so many Warriors involved in that game, I think they have a really tough time bringing the energy needed to win on the road against a Blazers team that is playing well and you know will be up for a chance to host the defending champs. Portland also comes in off back-to-back losses, which will only increase the likelihood that we see them lay it all on the line.
Another thing here is it just so happens these two teams played in Portland in the final game before the All-Star break for both teams last year. The Blazers won that matchup 123-117 as a 6-point dog and took complete control of that game from the start, as they jumped out to a 40-27 1st quarter lead.
Portland has cashed in on the spread in 70% of their last 53 home games, as they have gone 37-16. They are 6-1 ATS last 7 at home vs a team that’s won more than 60% of their road games and the Warriors have failed to cover each of their last 5 when playing on 0 days rest. Give me the Blazers +4.5!
|02-13-19||Nets -6 v. Cavs||Top||148-139||Win||100||10 h 42 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nets -6)
I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn covering what I think is a really small number at Cleveland. I don't know that there's a team more ready for the All-Star break than the Cavs, who are in full on tank mode this year. I know Cleveland comes in off a win, but that was at home against the Knicks and they only won by 3. I actually think that makes it that much more likely they don't show up here.
Note that when the Cavs lose they almost always lose by double-digits, which is definitely what I'm expecting here (outscored by almost 9 ppg at home this season). The even bigger key here is this game should mean something to the Nets. Brooklyn is fighting for a playoff spot, but have lost 5 of their last 6. I think they are going to be extremely motivated to make sure they go into the break on a positive note. Give me the Nets -6!
|02-13-19||SMU v. Temple -4.5||74-82||Win||100||10 h 20 m||Show|
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Temple -4.5)
I'll take my chances here with Temple covering the 4.5-point spread at home against the Mustangs. I don’t know why the books keep giving this SMU team so much respect. The Mustangs are a mere 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games and the lone cover came with them as a double-digit underdog. In their last two games they lost outright as a home favorite to South Florida and UCF. They are now just 12-11 overall with a 4-7 mark in the AAC. Their only hope of making the NCAA Tournament is to win the AAC Tournament, so that makes these final regular-season games pretty meaningless.
I just don’t see them snapping out of their funk against a quality Temple team that will be extremely motivated to get a win after an ugly loss at Tulsa. In fact, I think that 18-point defeat to the Golden Hurricane is playing a big part in this favorable line we are getting here. I know the Owls are just 3-7-1 ATS at home this season, but they are 9-2 SU and there’s a good chance if they win this game they cover the 4.5.
Mustangs are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 games vs a team that simply has a winning record and have covered just once in their last 5 on the road. Give me Temple -4.5!