|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|05-20-19||Warriors v. Blazers +3.5||Top||119-117||Win||100||11 h 5 m||Show|
50* WARRIORS/BLAZERS GAME 4 SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Blazers +3.5)
I'll take my chances here with Portland sending this series back to Golden State and covering the 3.5 at home in Game 4. I just think this is going to be a really tough spot for the Warriors. They got the commanding 3-0 series lead without Durant and it's nearly impossible not to relax when you are up 3-0. I also don't think Portland will lay down here, especially at home against this team. I'm counting on Lillard to show up after a bad Game 3. Give me the Blazers +3.5!
|05-19-19||Bucks v. Raptors -2||112-118||Win||100||8 h 28 m||Show|
40* BUCKS/RAPTORS NBA PLAYOFFS ATS SLAUGHTER (Raptors -2)
I'll take my chances here with Toronto snapping out of their little offensive slump and securing a win in Game 3. This is a must-win for the Raptors, as we all know a 3-0 hole is too much for them to overcome. Toronto simply laid an egg in Game 2 after letting Game 1 slip through their fingers. The focus will be back for Game 3 on their home floor and I wouldn't be shocked if they won this one going away. Give me the Raptors -2!
|05-18-19||Warriors v. Blazers -2.5||110-99||Loss||-100||10 h 14 m||Show|
40* WARRIORS/BLAZERS GAME 3 ATS KNOCKOUT (Blazers -2.5)
I'll take my chances here with Portland laying a small number at home in Game 3. With the Warriors still not having the services of Durant and the Blazers season on the line with them already down 2-0, I think Portland finds a way to get the job done at home. Blazers have shown they can hang and you got to think either Curry or Thompson will have an off night. Either way I like Portland in this one. Give me the Blazers -2.5!
|05-17-19||Raptors +7 v. Bucks||103-125||Loss||-115||10 h 9 m||Show|
40* RAPTORS/BUCKS GAME 2 ATS NO-BRAINER (Raptors +7)
I'll take my chances here with Toronto covering the spread in Game 2. We took a horrible loss on the Raptors in Game 1, as they led the entire way and didn't cover by a 1.5-points as a 6.5-point dog. I really liked what I seen from the Raptors, as it took a ridiculous game from Brook Lopez to pull out the win. I'm willing to be Lopez won't be able to match that kind of production and Toronto will continue to make it really hard on the Greek Freak. Give me the Raptors +7!
|05-16-19||Blazers +7.5 v. Warriors||111-114||Win||100||12 h 18 m||Show|
40* BLAZERS/WARRIORS GAME 2 ATS NO-BRAINER (Blazers +7.5)
I'll take my chances here with Portland and the points in Game 2. We cashed an easy winner on the Warriors -7 in Game 1 and took a really bad beat in Game 1 of the Bucks/Raptors series last night. Big reason I played against the Blazers in Game 1 because of how hard it was going to be going from playing Game 7 on the road in altitude at Denver on Sunday to having to start this series on Tuesday. I expect a much more energized Portland team, especially on the defensive side of the ball. I also think it will be tough for Curry and Thompson to match their scoring output from Game 1. Give me the Blazers +7.5!
|05-15-19||Raptors +6.5 v. Bucks||Top||100-108||Loss||-103||10 h 1 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Raptors +6.5)
I played on the Warriors last night, as I just thought 1 day wasn't enough for Portland to recover, especially after playing that Game 7 in altitude. Toronto has only had 2 days off since beating the 76ers at home in Game 7, but I think they will be more than ready to go for this one. Also, I don't love teams who are coming off long layoffs in the postseason. Bucks haven't played since last Wednesday and we saw them lay an egg in Game 1 of their last series vs the Celtics. Give me the Raptors +6.5!
|05-14-19||Blazers v. Warriors -7.5||Top||94-116||Win||100||10 h 35 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Warriors -7.5)
I'll take my chances here with Golden State covering the spread at home in Game 1. I just think not having Durant has a lot of people looking to take the Warriors. I get it, but there's a ton of talent still on this Warriors team, most of them the core guys that got all this started. I can't imagine they are loving all the talk about how they got no shot without Durant. I get that Durant won't be out long, but I think it has them a little extra motivated. I also think we are going to see the best of Steph Curry in a showdown against his brother. Blazers also in a really tough spot having just played a Game 7 on the road and now having to play Game 1 on the road. Give me the Warriors -7.5!
|05-09-19||Raptors v. 76ers +2||Top||101-112||Win||100||10 h 58 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (76ers +2)
I'll take my chances here with Philadelphia as a home dog in Game 6. I got no problem with how things ended up in Game 5 with the Raptors blowing out the 76ers. In fact, I was on Toronto in that game. I just think with their backs against the wall, Philadelphia will find a way to send this thing back to Toronto for a Game 7 and I wouldn't be shocked if it's a similar type of blowout to their 116-95 win in Game 3 at home. Give me the 76ers +2!
|05-08-19||Celtics +9 v. Bucks||91-116||Loss||-108||10 h 41 m||Show|
40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS ATS MASSACRE (Celtics +9)
I'll take my chances with the Celtics at least making a game of it if tonight is their last game of the season. Boston is down 3-1 and facing elimination on the road. The media is all but sticking a fork in them and are blowing up the Kyrie drama. Public isn't going to trust this team, even at this price. I could be dead wrong here, but I like a defensive minded team with their backs against the wall, especially as a near double-digit dog. Give me the Celtics +9!
|05-07-19||76ers v. Raptors -6||Top||89-125||Win||100||10 h 13 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Raptors -6)
I'll take my chances with Toronto covering the 6-point spread at home in Game 5. The Raptors showed me a lot by winning Game 4 on the road to tie this thing up at 2-2. Everyone knows the winner of Game 5 goes on to win the majority of the time and I just don't see Toronto failing to get the job done. Outside of a Game 3, the Raptors defense has held the 76ers to 40% or less from the field and under 100 points. If Embiid isn't drastically better than he was in Game 4, this will be an even bigger blowout than the Raptors 108-95 win in Game 1. Give me Toronto -6!
|05-06-19||Bucks v. Celtics -1.5||Top||113-101||Loss||-101||8 h 30 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Celtics -1.5)
I'll take my chances here with Boston winning Game 4 at home and sending this series back to Milwaukee tied 2-2. Celtics had their chances in Game 3 at home, they just couldn't make the big play down the stretch. I also don't think the refs did them any favors with Antetokounmpo shooting a ridiculous 22 free throws. They also were in position to win with Milwaukee having a great shooting game, as they were 50% from the field and 40% from deep. I think the Bucks struggle to come anywhere close to that. Give me Boston -1.5!
|05-04-19||Warriors v. Rockets -3.5||Top||121-126||Win||100||23 h 30 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockets -3.5)
I'll take my chances with Houston as a small home favorite in basically a must-win at home in Game 3. Warriors took each of the first two games in the series, but both games came down to the wire and Houston has not looked overmatched. I just have a really hard time seeing the Rockets lose this game, as they go down 0-3 and this thing is all but over. I not only think they win, but I think they win this going away. Give me Houston -3.5!
|05-03-19||Bucks v. Celtics -2||123-116||Loss||-106||10 h 15 m||Show|
40* BUCKS/CELTICS NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Celtics -2)
I'll take my chances here with Boston as a small home favorite. The Celtics didn't look great in Game 2, but that shouldn't have been a huge surprise. Celtics got the split they wanted when they blew out the Bucks in Game 1. Hard for them to match Milwaukee's intensity in Game 2 with the Bucks basically in a must-win on their home floor. I still like Boston in the series and definitely think they will benefit greatly from playing at home. I also think the unfortunate health concerns with owner Danny Ainge (suffered a minor heart attack), could end up being a blessing for this team, as it will take out some of that individuality and have them playing more for each other. Give me the Celtics -2!
|05-02-19||Raptors v. 76ers +1.5||Top||95-116||Win||100||11 h 47 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (76ers +1.5)
I'll gladly take my chances here with Philadelphia as a small home dog against the Raptors in Game 3 of this Eastern Conference semifinals matchup. Toronto rolled in Game 1 at home, but Philly responded in a big way and won Game 2 94-89. They did so with basically Jimmy Butler being the olny starter who was worth a shit. Embiid had 12 points on 2 of 7 shooting, Simmons had a whopping 6 points, while Harris added 9 and Redick had 11. Toronto had 3 starters with 20+, including 35 from Leonard. 76ers are a whole different beast at home and there's just something about being a dog that brings out the best in the Philadelphia faithful. Give me the 76ers +1.5!
|04-27-19||Spurs v. Nuggets -6||86-90||Loss||-105||12 h 41 m||Show|
40* SPURS/NUGGETS GAME 7 NO-BRAINER (Nuggets -6)
I'll take my chances here with Denver covering the spread in Game 7 at home. Just based on what we have seen in the past, the home team doesn't just dominate Game 7, they cover the spread at a pretty strong rate. I think there were definitely some jitters early in this series for the Nuggets. They have looked a lot better and were absolutely dominant in both Games 5 and 6, which were two they absolutely needed to win. I think they step up with a similar type of performance in Game 7. Give me the Nuggets -6!
|04-24-19||Jazz v. Rockets -8||93-100||Loss||-110||10 h 19 m||Show|
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Rockets -8)
I'll take my chances here with Houston winning by double-digits at home against the Jazz. Utah was able to avoid getting swept with a win at home in Game 4, but I don't think that did anything but prolong the series a couple more days. Rockets won 122-90 in Game 1 at home and 118-98 in Game 2 at home. Without the home crowd the Jazz defense isn't the same and they simply don't have the offensive fire-power to keep up. Give me Houston -8!
|04-23-19||Spurs +5.5 v. Nuggets||Top||90-108||Loss||-100||10 h 29 m||Show|
50* NBA WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Spurs +5.5)
I'll take my chances here with San Antonio bouncing back from a ugly showing in Game 4 and at least covering the number (I think they win outright). Spurs have proven they matchup well with the Nuggets. They won Game 1 at Denver and should have won Game 2 (led by 19 points). I just think San Antonio is better equipped both in terms of experience and coaching to win a huge game like this. Give me the Spurs +5.5!
|04-23-19||Magic v. Raptors -11.5||96-115||Win||100||8 h 2 m||Show|
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Raptors -11.5)
I'll take my chances with Toronto covering the double-digit spread at home in Game 5. The only reason this series isn't over with, is because the Raptors didn't give the Magic their full respect in a Game 1 loss at home. With Toronto focused they have been able to dismantle Orlando and my money is on them making sure that this is the last game of the series.
It's all but a lock that Toronto will be facing the 76ers in the next round (both teams up 3-1). If they are able to get past Philadelphia, they would have to face the winner of the Celtics/Bucks series. Simply put, Raptors can't have this series dragging on. They are hands down the better team and will likely win by 20+ points. Give me Toronto -11.5!
|04-22-19||Rockets -2.5 v. Jazz||Top||91-107||Loss||-110||13 h 9 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockets -2.5)
I'll take my chances with Houston laying such a small number on the road in Game 4. We cashed on the Rockets in their Game 3 win at Utah and we cashed on the Celtics yesterday in a similar spot, as a small road favorite in Game 4 going for a series sweep. I like this one a little more just given the matchup and circumstances.
I think Houston is the team with the best shot to dethrone the Warriors and with Golden State their soon to be opponent in the next round, there's plenty of incentive here for the Rockets to get this series over with. I don't expect Utah to lay down at home, but I think a lot of the fight was sucked out of the Jazz in that crushing Game 3 loss, where they couldn't find a way to win with James Harden shooting 3 of 20 from the field (0-15 start). Give me the Rockets -2.5!
|04-21-19||Celtics -2.5 v. Pacers||Top||110-106||Win||100||5 h 49 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Celtics -2.5)
I'll take my chances with Boston as a small road favorite against the Pacers. Teams up 3-0 in the first round win Game 4 nearly 70% of the time and cover at close to a 62% clip. Boston has certainly turned thins up a notch in the postseason, especially on the defensive side of the ball. Indiana's 96 points in Game 3 was their highest output in the series. Pacers are shooting just 40% from the field in the series and simply don't have the offensive fire-power to keep pace. I also think the life was sucked out of this team after losing Game 3. Give me the Celtics -2.5!
|04-19-19||Raptors -4.5 v. Magic||Top||98-93||Win||100||11 h 41 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Raptors -4.5)
I'll take my chances here with Toronto taking back control of the series with an easy win and cover in Game 3 at Orlando. No question the Magic are going to be fired up, but I just don't think it will be enough to erase the gap in talent between these two teams. Toronto didn't give the Magic the respect they deserved in Game 1 and it cost them. They came to play in Game 2 and won 111-82. They might make it a little more competitive at home, but I still think the Raptors win by double-digits. Give me Toronto -4.5!
|04-18-19||Nuggets v. Spurs -3.5||Top||108-118||Win||100||10 h 59 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Spurs -3.5)
I'll take my chances here with San Antonio as a small home favorite in Game 3 against the Nuggets. Denver is lucky they aren't down 0-2, as they had to erase a 19-point deficit. Spurs have looked the better team for the majority of this series and are really really good at home. San Antonio went 32-9 at home, only the Bucks had a better record at home in the regular-season. Give me the Spurs -3.5!
|04-17-19||Jazz v. Rockets -6.5||Top||98-118||Win||100||12 h 34 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockets -6.5)
I'll gladly take my chances here with the Rockets winning by at least 7 in Game 2 against the Jazz. Houston is a team on a mission after failing to put away the Warriors in last year's postseason. Rockets looked like that same team that gave Golden State fits in Game 1, thrashing the Jazz 122-90. I just think Houston is a much better defensive team than they get credit for and that offense isn't going to be contained at home. Hard for Utah to keep it close. Give me the Rockets -6.5!
|04-16-19||Magic v. Raptors -9.5||82-111||Win||100||11 h 37 m||Show|
40* NBA PLAYOFF NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Raptors -9.5)
I'll take my chances here with Toronto bouncing from an upset loss at home in Game 1. For whatever reason the Raptors just don't play well in the first game of the first series of the playoffs. Toronto is now 1-10 in Game 1 of the opening round. The game really reminds me a lot of the 76ers/Nets series, where Brooklyn stole Game 1 and Philadelphia won going away in Game 2. Toronto is without a doubt the better team and probably didn't give Orlando the respect they deserved. It happens. We will get the best the Raptors have to offer tonight and the Magic will struggle to match the intensity of Game 1 having got the split they wanted. Give me Toronto -9.5!
|04-15-19||Nets v. 76ers -7.5||Top||123-145||Win||100||8 h 28 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (76ers -7.5)
I'll take my chances here with the 76ers laying it on the Nets and evening up this series at 1-1 before it heads to Brooklyn. Philadelphia was simply out played from a physical standpoint, which tells me they didn't bring their "A" game to Game 1. I don't see that being an issue in Game 2, as there's all the incentive in the world for them to avoid going to Brooklyn down 0-2. Nets will be motivated to win, but they got the split they came in for and will have a hard time matching the intensity of the 76ers in this one. Give me Philadelphia -7.5!
|04-14-19||Thunder +3.5 v. Blazers||Top||99-104||Loss||-109||6 h 8 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Thunder +3.5)
I'll take my chances here with Oklahoma City at +3.5, but I'm definitely expecting them to win this game outright. Not having the services of Nurkic and McCollum still working back from injury, I just don't see Portland putting up much of a fight in this series. Keep in mind last year the Blazers were swept in the first round as the No. 3 seed by the Pelicans. Thunder also swept the regular-season series against Portland this year, winning all 4 meetings. Give me Oklahoma City +3.5!
|04-13-19||Magic v. Raptors -8.5||Top||104-101||Loss||-105||7 h 19 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Raptors -8.5)
I'll take my chances here with Toronto covering the big number at home against the Magic. Orlando went 10-3 over their final 13 games to sneak in as one of the last teams in the Eastern Conference. A lot of those wins came against non-playoff teams. I just think there's a much bigger gap than people think and we just saw that in a recent meeting. These two played each other on April 1st. Toronto won at home 121-109 and it wasn't that close, as the Raptors led by 20 going into the 4th quarter. I'm also not a big fan of teams like Orlando, whose regular-season success is a result of them just playing hard. Everyone plays hard in the playoffs. I just don't see the Magic having the offensive fire-power to keep this close. Give me the Raptors -8.5!
|04-10-19||Magic v. Hornets -4||122-114||Loss||-106||8 h 8 m||Show|
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Hornets -4)
I'll take my chances here with Charlotte covering the small number at home against the Magic. Orlando just pulled off a really impressive feat. This team was double-digit games under .500 and have guaranteed at least a .500 record thanks to a 21-9 run over their last 30 games.
This team has been so locked in for so long that I think they will have a really tough time not suffering a letdown after just clinching a playoff spot. I wouldn't be shocked if they don't rest some guys to get them ready for Game 1 of their playoff series. Hornets needs to win and have the Pistons lose to overtake them for the 8th spot. Give me Charlotte -4!
|04-09-19||Celtics v. Wizards -5||Top||116-110||Loss||-105||9 h 53 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Wizards -5)
I'll gladly take my chances here with Washington. I think we get a decent effort here fro the Wizards in not only their finale home game of the season, but their final game overall. More than anything, this is just a fade of the Celtics, who have clinched the No. 4 seed and are basically resting all their key guys. Kyrie Irving, Gordon Haywayrd, Jayson Tatum, Marcus Smart, Al Horford, Aron Baynes and Marcus Morris will all be sitting this one. Give me the Wizards -5!
|04-07-19||Magic v. Celtics -4.5||116-108||Loss||-109||9 h 12 m||Show|
40* NBA VEGAS VALUE PLAY OF THE WEEK (Celtics -4.5)
While this game might appear to mean more for Orlando, who is in the heated race for the final 3 spots in the east, I think it means just as much to Boston. The Celtics can clinch the No. 4 seed and home court advantage in the first round against the Pacers with a win here. Boston has also won 5 of 6 and I think are really locked in right now, as they needed something like this to build on after really struggled to play up to their potential for most of the season. Give me the Celtics -4.5!
|04-07-19||Heat +6 v. Raptors||109-117||Loss||-109||2 h 39 m||Show|
40* NBA EARLY BIRD ATS NO-BRAINER (Heat +6)
I'll take my chances here with Miami as a 6-point dog against the Raptors. The Heat are basically in a do-or-die situation, as a loss here would all but eliminate them from the playoffs, while a win would give them a realistic shot at sneaking into one of the final spots. While Miami is playing for their playoff lives, the Raptors are just going through the motions, as they are locked into the No. 2 seed. Give me the Heat +6!
|04-05-19||Blazers v. Nuggets -6.5||Top||110-119||Win||100||13 h 28 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nuggets -6.5)
I'll gladly take my chances here with Denver laying one on the Blazers at home. This game mean a lot to Portland, who is trying to beat out the Rockets for the No. 3 seed. Blazers also come in having won 11 of their last 13 games. The last 4 wins have come against the Grizzlies, Wolves, Bulls and Hawks, so it's nothing to get excited about.
I think the easy schedule has covered up just how short-handed Portland is with both C.J. McCollum and Jusuf Nurkic both sidelined. This has to be a tired Blazers team, as this will be their 5th road game in their last 6 overall. Denver's shot at the No. 1 seed is likely gone, but they still have work to do to lock up the No. 2 seed. I expect their very best tonight. Give me the Nuggets -6.5!
|04-05-19||Raptors v. Hornets +4.5||111-113||Win||100||10 h 7 m||Show|
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Hornets +4.5)
I'll take my chances here with Charlotte as a home dog. I would argue the Hornets should be favored here. While Charlotte's playoff hopes are slim (trailing 3 teams by at least 2 games with 4 to play), they are still alive and as long as a team has a chance they tend to show up with a big effort this late in the year. With the Bucks win over the 76ers last night, Milwaukee secured the top spot in the east, making this game absolutely meaningless for the Raptors. Toronto is 7games up on Philadelphia, so they are the No. 2 seed no matter what. Raptors might play all of their games, but I could see them resting people and definitely cutting back on the minutes of their star players. Give me the Hornets +4.5!
|04-05-19||Spurs v. Wizards +6.5||129-112||Loss||-103||10 h 7 m||Show|
40* NBA BIG MONEY ATS SHOCKER (Wizards +6.5)
I'll take my chances here with Washington as a home dog against the Spurs. The Wizards burned me the other night against the Bulls, losing outright to a bunch of scrubs as a double-digit favorite. Washington gave a lot of young guys minutes against Chicago, so it should be back to the starters for this one. The fact that this game means so much to the Spurs is also key, as teams love to play spoiler. We just saw Washington win at Denver and nearly won at Utah the game before.
Spurs need to win, but are just 3-5 SU and 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8. They are also 14-25 on the road compared to 31-9 at home. I think the Wizards not only hang around to cover, but I could definitely see them winning this game. Give me Washington +6.5!
|04-03-19||Rockets -1 v. Clippers||135-103||Win||100||12 h 27 m||Show|
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Rockets -1)
I'll take my chances here with Houston at a pick'em on the road against the Clippers. I just think we are getting some value on the Rockets because they are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. Usually I'll look to fade teams on no rest, but not in this spot. None of the Rockets' starters played more than 29 minutes and Houston basically needs to win out to have a shot at the No. 3 seed (currently tied with Blazers and need to finish 1-game ahead of them). Give me the Rockets -1!
|04-03-19||Bulls v. Wizards -10.5||115-114||Loss||-110||10 h 51 m||Show|
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Wizards -10.5)Chicago’s 4 best players are out with Zach LaVIne, Lauri Markkanen, Otto Porter Jr and Kris Dunn all sidelined with injuries. The Bulls can’t just sit guys to sit them, so they basically made-up a bunch of injuries to keep them from playing. Zero incentive for Chicago to show up on the road in this one. I get there’s no real incentive for Washington to win here either, but the Wizards haven’t let them getting knocked out of the playoff race effect their effort down the stretch. Washington just beat the Nuggets on the road and prior to that game nearly upset the Jazz on the road. Sure they could look past a bad Bulls team, but I got a good feeling they come to play and that’s centered around the trade that brought Porter Jr. to Chicago. The Bulls parted with Jabari Parker and Bobby Portis in that deal. Both of which are playing big minutes for Washington right now. I think it’s personal for both. Parker is a chicago-native and expected to play a big role when he signed with what he knew was a rebuilding team, but he was relegated to the bench and barely got on the court. I’m sure he’s glad to be out of there, but he has to feel cheated. Portis felt blindsided and made it clear that he was really hurt by the move. He really wanted to be a part of this rebuild in Chicago. Given how much it’s going to mean to these two, I think the rest of the guys are going to show up and play hard for their new teammates. I’m aware that this is the second meeting since the trade, I just don’t think Portis or Parker have quite let it go yet. I could see both playing with a chip on their shoulder against the Bulls the rest of their careers. Wizards won the first meeting after the trade by double-digits and that was with all those key guys for Chicago in the lineup. Let’s also not ignore the results in recent Bulls games. Chicago has lost 5 straight and all 5 of those losses have been blowouts. This one won’t be any different. Give me the Wizards -10.5!
|04-03-19||Pacers v. Pistons -2.5||Top||108-89||Loss||-109||9 h 55 m||Show|
50* NBA CENTRAL DIV GAME OF THE MONTH (Pistons -2.5)
I'll take my chances here with Detroit laying the short number at home against the Pacers. These two just played on Monday. The Pacers won at home 111-102 as a 5.5-point favorite. Hard to beat a team back-to-back, especially when you have to go to their place for the rematch. Detroit had covered 6 straight prior that the loss and non-cover against the Pacers. Pistons are 11-0 ATS last 11 home games. Indiana is 3-12 ATS last 15 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Give me Detroit -2.5!
|04-01-19||Blazers v. Wolves +3.5||132-122||Loss||-100||9 h 15 m||Show|
40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS ERROR (Wolves +3.5)
I'll take my chances here with Minnesota as a small home dog against the Blazers on Monday. I just think Portland shouldn't be favored here. Blazers are still trying to get over the loss of Nurkic, McCollum is still out with a knee injury and Portland is playing their 4th straight on the road and 3rd in the last 4 days. Blazers are also 5-15 ATS last 20 on the road after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6. Minnesota has still shown they are still trying despite being out of the mix and these are the teams that are way undervalued right now. Give me the Wolves +3.5!
|04-01-19||Magic +7 v. Raptors||109-121||Loss||-105||9 h 6 m||Show|
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Magic +7)
I'll take my chances here with Orlando as a decently priced road dog against the Raptors. Toronto just doesn't have a ton to play for, as they are 3-games back of Milwaukee for the top spot in the east and 4.5 ahead of 3rd place Philadelphia. With only 5 games left on the schedule, they are all but locked into the spot they are in. Magic on the other hand are sitting 1/2-game back of 8th place Miami and are also just 1.5-games back of 6th place Detroit. Magic are also 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS last 8. Wouldn't shock me at all if they won this game. Give me Orlando +7!
|03-31-19||Wizards +11 v. Nuggets||95-90||Win||100||11 h 52 m||Show|
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Wizards +11)
I'll take my chances here with Washington as a double-digit dog against the Nuggets. I think the assumption is that the Wizards should throw in the towel and not try because they are out of the playoff race, but that just hasn't been the case. Washington is still playing hard and just covered as a massive 13-point dog at Utah in a mere 4-point loss. Nuggets are off a big win at OKC and have a monster game on deck at Golden State Tuesday, so this is one they could easily overlook. Give me the Wizards +11!
|03-31-19||Auburn v. Kentucky -4||Top||77-71||Loss||-113||5 h 9 m||Show|
50* KENTUCKY/AUBURN ELITE 8 SHARP TOP PLAY (Kentucky -4)
I'll take my chances here with Kentucky covering the short number against the Tigers. Wildcats already have beat Auburn twice this season, including a 80-53 thrashing of the Tigers in the most recent meeting. On top of that, Auburn suffered a huge blow with Chuma Okeke going down with a torn ACL. He was their leading scorer (20 points) against UNC and had a double-double with 11 boards. He's just one guy they couldn't afford to lose. The other thing here is Kentucky defends the 3-ball well and that's really the strength of this Auburn offense. Give me the Wildcats -4!
|03-30-19||Purdue v. Virginia -4||75-80||Win||100||11 h 42 m||Show|
40* VIRGINIA/PURDUE ELITE 8 ATS SLAUGHTER (Virginia -4)
I'll take my chances here with Virginia covering the small 4-point spread against Purdue. It's been quite a run for the Boilermakers to this point, but I just think this is going to be a really tall task for them coming off that emotional and draining 99-94 overtime win against Tennessee and having to face a Virginia team that is going to grind you from the opening tip to the final whistle. Carsen Edwards has been great, but he played 45 minutes in that game and it's unlikely they get another 27 points from Ryan Cline, who went 7 of 10 from deep against the Vols. Give me Virginia -4!
|03-30-19||Blazers v. Pistons -5||Top||90-99||Win||100||9 h 54 m||Show|
50* NBA NON-CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Pistons -5)
I'll take my chances here with Detroit covering the 5-point spread against the Blazers. I was on the wrong side of Portland's win last night at Atlanta, but that's not going to keep me from playing against them again tonight. This time the situation is even worse for the Blazers, as they will be on no rest, playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and facing a red-hot Pistons team that has been an absolute covering machine of late. Detroit has covered 5 straight and 12 of their last 15 overall. they are also 10-1 ATS last 11 at home. Blazers 0-4 ATS last 4 when playing on 0 days rest. Give me the Pistons -5!
|03-30-19||Texas Tech v. Gonzaga -4.5||75-69||Loss||-110||8 h 4 m||Show|
40* GONZAGA/TEXAS TECH ELITE 8 NO-BRAINER (Gonzaga -4.5)
I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs covering the 4.5 point spread against the Red Raiders. I was really impressed with what I saw from Gonzaga in their win over Florida State, as I really thought the Seminoles were going to win that game. I just think this is a very similar match, as both Texas Tech and FSU are built on their defense. I get the Red Raiders might be a little better on the defensive side, but I also think this Gonzaga offense is a lot to handle and I like great offense over great defense. Give me the Bulldogs -4.5!
|03-29-19||Virginia Tech v. Duke -7||73-75||Loss||-104||10 h 40 m||Show|
40* SWEET 16 NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Duke -7)
I'll take my chances here with the Blue Devils bouncing back from that near upset loss against UCF with a resounding blowout win over ACC rival Virginia Tech. I think that was the wake-up call that Duke needed. We saw it last year with Michigan, who beat Houston on a buzzer beater in the round of 32 and ended up playing in the title game. UCF was also just a bad matchup for Duke, as they had a 7'6 giant in the middle that you just can't prepare for. Va Tech beat the Blue Devils in the regular-season, but Duke was without Zion Williamson and they still shot 50% from the field. Give me the Blue Devils -7!
|03-29-19||Blazers v. Hawks +3||118-98||Loss||-109||7 h 27 m||Show|
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Hawks +3)
I'll take my chances here with Atlanta as a small home dog against the Blazers. This line is just begging you to take Portland, which makes me instantly want to be on the Hawks. Atlanta is far from tanking right now. They come in having won 3 straight and are 13-4 ATS last 17 games. Portland has won 5 straight and they just blew out the Bulls in the first game without Nurkic, but Chicago played a bunch of scrubs in that game and were essentially trying to lose. Trae Young is playing out of his mind and I think he carries the Hawks to a win. Give me Atlanta +3!
|03-28-19||Oregon +8.5 v. Virginia||49-53||Win||100||13 h 42 m||Show|
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Oregon +8.5)
I'll take my chances here with Oregon as a near double-digit dog against the Cavaliers. I think people are trying to talk themselves into Virginia, despite the fact that they have not impressed at all in the first two rounds and simply have not performed anywhere close to expectations in the NCAA Tournament under head coach Tony Bennett. I not only think they struggle to cover, but I could easily see them losing this game outright.
You can't judge Oregon by their overall record and numbers. This has simply been a different team down the stretch. Dana Altman has the Ducks playing elite level defense and that alone makes them a candidate to win, as Virginia doesn't exactly light up the scoreboard. I could Oregon jumping out to an early lead and never letting go of that advantage. Either way, I don't see a blowout here by the Cavaliers. Give me the Ducks +8.5!
|03-28-19||Florida State +8 v. Gonzaga||58-72||Loss||-108||9 h 18 m||Show|
40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS ERROR (Florida State +8)
I think Gonzaga is a bit overrated. Sure they have the win over Duke, which is definitely nothing to ignore, but they also lost to Tennessee and North Carolina. They only beat Creighton by 11, Illinois by 6 and Washington by 2. I think if they played in the ACC they wouldn’t be much better than Florida State’s mark of 13-5. At the same time I think Florida State could easily come close, if not match the 16-0 record that Gonzaga had in the WCC.
Keep in mind the Seminoles come in having gone 15-2 over their last 17 and their only two losses are to arguably the two best teams in the country in Duke and North Carolina. Simply put, I think this line should be closer to a pick’em, especially when you factor in what the Seminoles did to the Bulldogs in last year’s tournament. No. 9 seed Florida State beat No. 4 seed Gonzaga 75-60 as a 6-point dog.
There were 9 guys in that game for the Seminoles who played 14 or more minutes and 7 of those are back this year. Florida State’s defense was instrumental in the win, as they held Gonzaga to just 34% shooting. They are really strong on that side of the ball again this year. They just held Morant and Murray State to 62 points on 33% shooting. The same Murray State team that put up 83 on 54% just 2 days earlier in a win over Marquette.
There’s no doubt in my mind that the Seminoles coaches and players are aware of the line for this game. I don’t think they will have any beef with being the underdog, but this line suggests that these two teams aren’t even close in terms of talent. I love when the better team is the one playing with a chip on their shoulder. Give me Florida State +8
|03-28-19||Magic v. Pistons -3.5||Top||98-115||Win||100||9 h 58 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pistons -3.5)
I'll take my chances here with Detroit snapping their 3-game losing streak with a solid win at home against the Magic. Pistons come in having lost 3 straight but all 3 were on the road and it was against the likes of the Blazers, Warriors and Nuggets.
Not only is that 3-game skid helping the line, but Orlando is getting a ton of love right now, as they have won 6 straight and gone 5-1 ATS during this run. A lot of that success has came at home. Magic are just 16-22 on the road, while Pistons are 23-13 at home and have covered each of their last 9 home games. Give me Detroit -3.5!
|03-27-19||Pacers v. Thunder -6||Top||99-107||Win||100||9 h 53 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Thunder -6)
I’m going to take the Oklahoma City Thunder -6 at home over the Indiana Pacers. I just really like the spot here with Oklahoma City, as I think we are going to get a max effort here. Not only have the Thunder lost 5 of their last 6, but they come in off an awful 115-103 loss at Memphis, who was playing without Mike Conley. That came just one game after they pulled off a big upset win at Toronto.
I think the Thunder knew that Memphis hadn’t won a game this season without Conley and just thought they could show up and get a win. They brought zero energy from the start and it simply cost them. Not to mention Memphis has been taking great pride in playing hard against playoff teams, especially at home. Russell Westbrook by his standards was awful. He shot just 6 of 20 and was below his season averages in points, rebounds and assists.
Great players seem to always respond from bad games like this and I expect a huge game for Westbrook in this one.
I also like the revenge angle here. While revenge isn’t as big in the NBA as it is in college, it does play a role when there’s a short turnaround between games. It will be less than 2 weeks since they last played each other in Indiana and there’s zero doubt the Thunder have forgot about that loss. OKC blew a 19-point lead in a 108-106 loss. Keep in mind that’s a Pacers team that plays drastically different at home than on the road. Indiana is 28-9 at home and just 17-20 on the road.
Another thing here is I think this one means more to OKC in terms of playoff seeding. Thunder are in danger of having to play Golden State in the first round, so every win is critical down the stretch. As for Indiana, they are sitting pretty in the No. 4 spot, 2 games back of 76ers and 2 ahead of Boston. Also no danger of falling back to No. 6, so they pretty much know they are facing the Celtics in the first round.
Lastly, Pacers are just 1-7 ATS last 8 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Give me the Thunder -6!
|03-26-19||Pistons v. Nuggets -7.5||92-95||Loss||-105||11 h 49 m||Show|
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS BLOWOUT (Nuggets -7.5)
I'll take my chances here with Denver laying the big number at home. I believe the situation here sets up big time for a Nuggets blowout win. We know we are going to get a max effort here from Denver after they completely laid an egg in Sunday's 124-88 loss at Indiana. You could just see the lack of energy the Nuggets brought to that game. They are still just 1/2-game back of the Warriors for the No. 1 seed, so there's plenty of incentive to show up for this game, especially with the next two against at Houston and at OKC.
They should be able to take advantage of a worn down Pistons team that is playing the final game of a 5-game road trip. Not to mention they are in a letdown spot with the last game being against the Warriors and this being their 3rd game in 4 days and 4th in the last 6. Give me the Nuggets -7.5!
|03-26-19||Magic v. Heat -5||Top||104-99||Loss||-106||10 h 33 m||Show|
50* NBA SOUTHEAST GAME OF THE MONTH (Heat -5)
I'll take my chances here with Miami covering the short number at home against division rival Orlando. Magic come in having won 5 straight and fresh off a 119-98 blowout win over the 76ers last night. This latest run has kept Orlando alive for a playoff spot, but I think it's a bit of fools gold when you take a closer look at the schedule.
All 5 wins came at home with the first 4 all against non-playoff teams in the Cavs, Hawks, Pelicans and Grizzlies. As for the win over Philadelphia, the 76ers played without Ben Simmons. Orlando has lost their last 4 on the road all by 8 or more, which included losses to both the Grizzlies and Cavs.
Miami is that team the Magic are chasing for that 8th and final spot, so there's big time incentive for the Heat to show up and take care of business. However, the biggest key here is rest. Heat are playing on 2 days rest, while the Magic are playing on 0 days rest. Give me the Heat -5!
|03-25-19||Nets +6.5 v. Blazers||Top||144-148||Win||100||11 h 33 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nets +6.5)
I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn covering the spread at Portland. I just think the Blazers are getting a little too much respect here, especially with C.J. McCollum still sidelined. Brooklyn comes in having won their last two and are still fighting to secure a playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. Last time out they won at the Lakers. Nets are 14-4 ATS last 18 road games off a road win. It's also worth noting the Blazers won the first meeting in Brooklyn by 14 back in February, as the Nets are 14-4 ATS last 18 when revenging a home loss of 10 or more. Give me Brooklyn +6.5!
|03-24-19||Cal-Irvine v. Oregon -4.5||54-73||Win||100||11 h 18 m||Show|
40* NCAA TOURN LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Oregon -4.5)
I'll take my chances with the Ducks laying the short number against the Anteaters. UC-Irvine pulled off the upset of Kansas State in the first round, but that was a Wildcats team that lost their mojo and one of their best players late in the season. Anteaters come in having won 17 straight and that's worth noting, as teams seeded 13-16 in the NCAA Tournament, who are underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 and have won 5 or more consecutive games are just 19-48 (28%) ATS since 1997. Oregon has been playing outstanding basketball and are 100% locked in on the defensive side of the ball. While all the other Big Ten teams were advancing, the Ducks annihilated Wisconsin 72-54. Give me Oregon -4.5!
|03-24-19||Liberty v. Virginia Tech -8||Top||58-67||Win||100||9 h 37 m||Show|
50* NCAA TOURN SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Virginia Tech -8)
I'll gladly take my chances here with the Hokies blowing out the Flames. I'm just not reading too much into the Liberty upset over Mississippi State. Flames shot lights out and had a guy go off that barely averages 13 ppg on the season. This is also a much better Virginia Tech team than people realize. Hokies have multiple NBA talent level players and just got back their senior leader at point guard. Give me Virginia Tech -8.
|03-24-19||Washington +12 v. North Carolina||59-81||Loss||-105||5 h 44 m||Show|
40* NCAA TOURN VEGAS LINE MISTAKE (Washington +12)
I'll take my chances here with the Huskies covering as a double-digit dog against the Tar Heels. Washington plays a very effective zone defense and ranks 17th in the country in defensive efficiency. UNC isn't a great 3-point shooting team and I think they could have a hard time getting into a rhythm in this one. I don't think it will be enough for the Huskies to get the win, but I do like them to make a game of it and keep it within single digits. Bet Washington +12!
|03-23-19||Auburn -2 v. Kansas||89-75||Win||100||12 h 28 m||Show|
40* NCAA TOURN PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Auburn -2)
I'll take my chances here with Auburn advancing past the Jayhawks and on to the Sweet 16. Auburn won by just 1-point over New Mexico State, failing to cover as a 6-point favorite. However, they had that game in the bag and let the Aggies back in it late. I think that has Auburn undervalued here, especially with how good KU looked in their 34-point win over Northeastern. I just think Auburn is a tough team to play on short rest and the Tigers are simply the better team. Give me Auburn -2!
|03-23-19||Minnesota +10.5 v. Michigan State||Top||50-70||Loss||-111||11 h 32 m||Show|
50* NCAA TOURN VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Minnesota +10.5)
I'll gladly take my chances here with the Gophers as a double-digit dog against the Spartans. Minnesota was impressive in Thursday's drubbing of Louisville. Gophers shot lights out in Des Moines and a big reason for that is it had to feel like a home game with all the Minnesota fans that made the short drive down for the game. I expect the same thing here. While Gophers looked great, Michigan State won by 11 over Bradly, but that was a dog fight 90% of that game. I think the loss of Kyle Ahrens is bigger than people are making it out to be. Give me Minnesota +10.5!
|03-23-19||Florida v. Michigan -6||49-64||Win||100||8 h 56 m||Show|
40* NCAA TOURN BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Michigan -6)
I'll take my chances here with the Wolverines laying the 6 against the Gators. Michigan impressed in their opening round win against Montana, as that Grizzlies team is better than people think. Florida upset Nevada, but after watching that game the Gators should have never been a dog. Wolf Pack really gave that game away with their sloppy play and poor shot selection. Michigan always play their best when it matters the most and they are extremely tough to prepare for on just 1-day of prep. Give me the Wolverines -6!
|03-22-19||Liberty v. Mississippi State -6||80-76||Loss||-110||33 h 46 m||Show|
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Mississippi St -6)
I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs covering the 6-point spread against the Flames. I love No. 12 over a No. 5 upset as everyone else, but I don't think it's happening here. Mississippi State is hands down the better team and will have no problem here winning by double-digits. Liberty lost to two SEC teams in Alabama and Vanderbilt by more than this number, including a 9-point loss to a Commodores team that didn't win a single game in the SEC. Mississippi State won by 16 on the road in their only meeting against Vanderbilt. Give me Mississippi State -6!
|03-22-19||Georgia State v. Houston -12||Top||55-84||Win||100||32 h 29 m||Show|
50* NCAA TOURN VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Houston -12)
I'll gladly take my chances with Houston. While I think most people are aware of what Houston had done, but I don't think the majority understand just how good this team is. The Cougars rank 19th in offensive efficiency and 15th in defensive efficiency. Georgia State in comparison ranks 102nd in offensive efficiency and 143rd in defensive efficiency.
One thing that Georgia State does well is shoot the 3-pointer, but that's a big problem. Houston ranks 3rd in 3-point percentage D. I just think that this is going to be a blowout right from the start. Give me Houston -12!
|03-22-19||Colgate +17.5 v. Tennessee||70-77||Win||100||28 h 11 m||Show|
40* NCAAB UNDERDOG ATS SHOCKER (Colgate +17.5)
I'll take my chances here with the Raiders keeping this thing closer than expected against the Vols. Don't get me wrong, I'm not expecting a win here for Colgate, but I think they can keep this close.
That's because the Raiders can effectively score the basketball and are really good from behind the 3-point line. All five of Colgate's starters can shoot the 3. The worst of the bunch is Tucker Richardson and he shoots 36%. Tennessee only had 3 guys who play significant minutes that shoot better than Richardson. The Raiders will use the long ball to keep this close and the backdoor will be wide open if it comes to that. Give me Colgate +17.5!
|03-22-19||Northern Kentucky v. Texas Tech -12.5||57-72||Win||100||27 h 37 m||Show|
40* MARCH MADNESS ATS MASSACRE (Texas Tech -12.5)
I'll take my chances here with the Red Raiders making easy work of the Norse. Texas Tech is better than people think. The surprising loss to West Virginia in the Big 12 Tournament is the only reason they aren't getting more love.
I'm confident that was more of them just not taking that game all that seriously, as they had beat West Virginia by 31 in the most recent meeting between the two. They had also won 9 straight prior to that upset, so it's not like that was a continuation of bad play. The fact that this team stood toe-to-toe with Duke in non-conference lets me know they are for real. Give me the Red Raiders -12.5!
|03-21-19||Montana +15 v. Michigan||Top||55-74||Loss||-109||25 h 38 m||Show|
50* NCAA TOURN LATE NIGHT SHARP TOP PLAY (Montana +15)
I'll gladly take my chances here with the Grizzlies covering the 15 against the Wolverines in the opening round. It's not suppose to happen, but the NCAA Tournament made a mistake and for the second straight year the same two teams will play in the 1st round of the tournament. Michigan won the meeting last year, but only by 14 points and it was a mere 3-point game at the half.
That was also the same Wolverines team that made it all the way to the title game. I just this year's Michigan team is down a few notches from last year's squad, while Montana is a better version of themselves. Grizzlies did bring back their top 3 guys and 4 starters overall from last year's team. They also have one of the best coaches no one knowns about in Travis DeCuire.
One thing that I really like is Michigan is not a team likes to push the pace, which is really what Montana struggles with. Grizzlies would prefer it be a half-court game. That's what their offense excels against.
Another thing is Michigan offense is pretty unique and I think it's really tough on teams that haven't seen it before, which could be why they have had so much success in the Big Dance. Montana won't be caught by surprise.
Lastly, I really don't like the mental state of Michigan after they blew yet another game against in-state rival Michigan State in the Big Ten Tournament. It might not be pretty, but I think Montana keeps this thing a lot closer than expected. Give me the Grizzlies +15!
|03-21-19||St. Mary's v. Villanova -4.5||57-61||Loss||-112||54 h 8 m||Show|
40* NCAA TOURNAMENT SOUTH REGION ATS MASSACRE (Villanova -4.5)
|03-21-19||Florida v. Nevada -2||Top||70-61||Loss||-110||22 h 48 m||Show|
50* NCAA TOURN 1ST ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR (Nevada -2)
I'll gladly lay a mere 2-point with Nevada against a Florida team that I'm not so sure deserves to be in the field of 68. Florida was just 9-9 in the SEC and outside of a couple of wins over LSU, they really struggled against the top teams in the conference. They lost by 21 to FSU, were outplayed at home by Michigan State and lost to the likes of Butler and Oklahoma.
On the flip side of this, I think Nevada is one of the best kept secrets in the country. Very few have any idea that this team was ranked in the Top 25 all season long. They were No. 16 in the BPI, No. 18 in the new NET ranking and No. 23 in Kenpom, which tells me they are a lot closer to a 5-seed.
Nevada is also a team that lost out on a trip to the Elite 8 in the final seconds against Loyola-Chicago. They have an all senior lineup that consists of 5 different transfers. They are a very athletic bunch that has plenty of size (all 5 starters is 6'7 or taller). Look for Nevada to get a lot of freebies in this one. Wolf Pack rank 19th in free throw rate, while Florida has the 310th ranked free throw rate D.
Gators rely on turnovers. Ranke 11th in TO percentage D. That's really negated here, as Nevada has the 9th ranked TO percentage on offense. Only reason Nevada isn't a better seed and not a bigger favorite is the non-conference schedule wasn't overly challenging. Still they didn't lose a single game out of conference. Give me Nevada -2!
|03-21-19||Northeastern +6.5 v. Kansas||53-87||Loss||-107||19 h 14 m||Show|
40* NCAA TOURN PUBLIC ATS BLOODBATH (Northeastern +6.5)
I'll take my chances here with Northeastern covering the 6.5-points against the Jayhawks, as I really think the Huskies are capable of pulling off the upset. It's no secret that this is not the best Kansas team Bill Self has fielded in his time at Lawrence. Jayhawks failed to win the Big 12 regular-season title for the first time in forever, have lost multiple key players to injury or other reasons.
Where Kansas really struggles is on the defensive end, especially at defending the 3-point shot. They ranked 136th in 3-point percentage D. Northeastern can light you up from downtown. Huskies have 3 different guys that are shooting better than 40% from behind the line and rank 15th in the country in 3-point percentage.
This is also a veteran Northeastern team and I think that experience will really pay off big for this team against a young and short-handed KU squad. Not to mention the CAA has had it's share of teams from that conference who have played well in this thing. There's a reason why the Jayhawks aren't a bigger favorite here. Give me Northeastern +6.5!
|03-21-19||New Mexico State v. Auburn -5.5||77-78||Loss||-105||16 h 22 m||Show|
40* NCAA TOURN MIDWEST REGION NO-BRAINER (Auburn -5.5)
I'll take my chances here with Auburn at this price all day. I think people are really sleeping on this Tigers team, which is kinda shocking given they just won the SEC Tournament, taking down No. 2 seed Tennessee by 20 in the title game.
Auburn comes in having won 8 straight and there's no doubt they are playing their best basketball of the season at the perfect time. I not only think they cover the spread in route to a victory over New Mexico State, but this is a team I have picked to make the Elite 8 and wouldn't be shocked if they found their way to Minneapolis.
Auburn is a very difficult team to prepare for. They really create chaos on the court for their opposition, as they were No. 1 in the country in defensive turnover rate. They not only get a lot of steals, but they protect the rim with a ton of blocks down low. Offensively this team likes to shoot 3-pointers and ranked 27th in 3-point percentage. Offensive as a whole was 12th in offensive efficiency.
Props to New Mexico State for ending the year on a 19-game winning streak and making easy work of the WAC. I think it has the getting too much respect. Aggies lost 73-58 at home to a pretty average St. Mary's team, only beat Pac-12 bottom feeder Washington State by 6 at home. Their biggest claim to fame is a mere 3-point loss at Kansas, but Jayhawks had a big lookahead game against Villanova and had just played a good Wofford team.
Also there were 9 times during their 19-game winning streak where they won by single-digits. Auburns only non-conference losses were a 6-point neutral site defeat to Duke and a road loss at NC State. They really had their way with everyone else and I expect the same here. Give me the Tigers -5.5!
|03-20-19||Butler v. Nebraska -4.5||Top||76-80||Loss||-109||10 h 10 m||Show|
50* NIT VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nebraska -4.5)
I'll take my chances here with Nebraska laying the small number at home against the Bulldogs. I think the public perception here is that the rumors regarding Fred Hoiberg will have a negative impact on this team. I think it will have the opposite. I think they come out inspired to send out their current head coach, Tim Miles, out in fashion. This is a Nebraska team that won 3 of their final 4 games, which included two victories over NCAA Tournament teams in Iowa and Maryland, as well as a mere 4-point loss to Wisconsin and they were playing their 3rd game in 3 days vs the Badgers (Wisconsin had a double-bye). Butler lost 5 of their last 6 and were just 4-9 in their final 13 games. Give me Nebraska -4.5!
|03-20-19||Celtics v. 76ers -3||115-118||Push||0||9 h 37 m||Show|
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (76ers -3)
I'll take my chances with the 76ers covering the small number at home against the Celtics. To some this might seem like a pretty reasonable line, given these are two of the elite teams in the Eastern Conference and Philadelphia will be playing on no rest after visiting Charlotte on Tuesday. The thing is, the 76ers are resting Joel Embiid to make sure he’s full strength for the Celtics.This team is 6-1 when their newly formed starting five of Embiid, Ben Simmons, Jimmy Butler and JJ. Reddick take the floor. They just made a big time statement on the road against the Bucks and I expect that same intensity for the game against Boston, especially given that the Celtics have won each of the first 3 meetings in the series. You also have to take into account just how good Philadelphia has been at home. The 76ers are 28-9 at the Wells Fargo Center this season and the home team has covered 4 of the last 5 in the series. Boston has not impressed me a whole lot of late. Celtics are just 1-5 ATS last 6 vs a team with a winning record and are expected to be without a key piece, as Gordon Hayward is unlikely to play because of a concussion. This is simply too good a price to pass up. Bet the 76ers -3!
|03-20-19||Bucks v. Cavs +9.5||102-107||Win||100||8 h 58 m||Show|
40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Cavs +9.5)
I'll take my chances here with Cleveland as a near double-digit dog at home against the Bucks. Just feel like this is a really tough spot for Milwaukee, as I think they will have a hard time giving the Cavs their full attention. Bucks are also not nearly as potent without Brogdon, who they came out and said they missed after losing at home to the 76ers. With the Greek Freak not 100% (ankle injury) and how well the Cavs have been playing at home since the break, I would be surprised if Cleveland didn't make a game of this. Give me the Cavs +9.5!
|03-19-19||Nets v. Kings -3.5||Top||123-121||Loss||-110||12 h 25 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kings -3.5)
I'll gladly take my chances here with Sacramento laying a short number at home against the Nets. Kings are still fighting for a playoff spot and really looked impressive in their last game, whooping up on the Bulls 129-102. The record of late isn't great, but a lot of that has to do with who they have had to play. So many of their games have been against the top teams. Kings are 21-14 at home and the Nets have really fallen off in the 2nd half. Brooklyn is just 4-7 in their last 11 and the 4 wins are against the Mavs, Cavs, Hawks and Pistons. Give me the Kings -3.5!
|03-19-19||76ers v. Hornets +1.5||118-114||Loss||-110||10 h 39 m||Show|
40* NBA SITUATIONAl ATS NO-BRAINER (Hornets +1.5)
I'll take my chances here with Charlotte as a small home dog against the 76ers. This line is going to to look too good to be true for a lot of the public, as they won't be able to pass up Philadelphia at basically a pick'em. The key here is this is a massive letdown spot for the 76ers off a statement road win against the Bucks and another huge game on deck tomorrow at home against the Celtics. Embiid is also sitting this one out and they are not the same team without him on the floor. Give me Charlotte +1.5!
|03-19-19||Hofstra +9.5 v. NC State||78-84||Win||100||8 h 27 m||Show|
40* NIT VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Hofstra +9.5)
I'll take my chances here with the Pride as a near double-digit dog. The NIT has a lot of quality teams in it, but what people forget to factor in is whether or not teams actually are motivated to do well in it. Teams that were on the bubble and felt like they should have made the NCAA Tournament and ended up getting left out, often struggled to play well in this one, especially out of the gate. Hofstra is no joke of an opponent. This team only lost by 11 at Maryland and 2 at VCU in non-conference. Even if NC State was 100% locked in, I think the Pride could cover this number and given the spot I wouldn't be shocked if they won outright. Give me Hofstra +9.5!
|03-18-19||Pacers v. Blazers -4||98-106||Win||100||11 h 23 m||Show|
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Blazers -4)
I'll take my chances here with the Blazers laying a short number at home against the Pacers. I think we are getting a great price on Portland due to the injury to C.J. McCollum. No question that's a big loss, but the Blazers are pretty deep at shooting guard and should be able to make due without him for a few games, especially at home where they are 25-9 on the season. Pacers are coming off a crushing 102-100 loss at Denver and are just 6-7 in their last 13 and a .500 team on the road. Give me the Blazers -4!
|03-18-19||Pelicans v. Mavs -4.5||Top||129-125||Loss||-105||9 h 17 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Mavs -4.5)
I'll take my chances here with Dallas staying hot and covering the small number at home against the struggling Pelicans. Mavericks snapped a 7-game losing streak with a 121-116 win over the Cavs on Saturday and shot 51.1% from the field in the victory. That was Dallas' best shooting performance since they shot 53.65 from the field in late January. New Orleans is the ideal team to keep it rolling against, as the Pelicans have allowed 116.6 ppg and 46% shooting on the road and are giving up a ridiculous 129.0 ppg and 50% shooting over their last 5 games. Give me the Mavs -4.5!
|03-17-19||Bulls +7 v. Kings||102-129||Loss||-105||7 h 15 m||Show|
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGTHER (Bulls +7)
I'll take my chances with Chicago covering as a big road dog against the Kings. This is simply too many points for Sacramento to be laying. While the Kings aren't officially out of the playoff race, they are a full 6-games back with just 14 to play. They know their chances are slim to none and they come in having lost 3 straight. Bulls have been hit or miss, but I'm expecting a big effort here after watching their coach get ejected in their last game, as he was sticking up for his players. Wouldn't surprise me at all of Chicago won this game outright. Give me the Bulls +7!
|03-17-19||76ers +6.5 v. Bucks||130-125||Win||100||5 h 43 m||Show|
40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (76ers +6.5)
I'll take my chances with the 76ers covering as a big road dog against the Bucks. Milwaukee is simply getting way too much respect in this one. Philadelphia has won 3 straight and have simply been a different team when at full strength. Milwaukee on the other hand is going to have to adjust to life without Michael Brogdon, who is expected to miss 6 to 8 weeks. That's a big blow. Brogdon is averaging 15.6 ppg and is one of the Bucks best 3-point shooters. I not only think the 76ers cover, but I like them to win outright. Give me Philadelphia +6.5!
|03-16-19||Oregon v. Washington +2||68-48||Loss||-105||12 h 9 m||Show|
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Washington +2)
I'll take my chances here with Washington as a dog against the Ducks. No way should the Huskies be getting points in this one. Sure Oregon just won on the road at Washington late in the year, but they were the team with something to play for, as the Huskies had already beat the Ducks and had the Pac-12 title on lockdown. Washington has been the best team in the conference all season and are a dominant 13-4 ATS last 17 when coming off back-to-back wins. Give me the Huskies +2!
|03-16-19||Grizzlies +2 v. Wizards||128-135||Loss||-109||8 h 28 m||Show|
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS KNOCKOUT (Grizzlies +2)
I'll take my chances here with Memphis as a small road dog against the Wizards. This is going to look like a favorable line to back Washington at home, but there's a reason this line is what it is. Wizards will be playing on no rest and for the 3rd time in 4 nights, while the Grizzlies come in off a full 2 days of rest and playing just their 2nd game in 6 days. Memphis also in a big bounce back spot after an ugly 21 point loss at Atlanta. Wizards not only figure to be fatigued, but could be without starting point guard Tomas Satoransky. Give me Memphis +2!
|03-16-19||Seton Hall v. Villanova -3.5||72-74||Loss||-116||8 h 8 m||Show|
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Villanova -3.5)
I'll take my chances here with Villanova laying a small number in the Big East title game against Seton Hall. Villanova got revenge from a late season loss to Xavier on Friday, as they took down the Musketeers 71-67. Now it's time to get their revenge from a late season loss at Seton Hall (79-75). Wildcats are a ridiculous 17-3 ATS last 20 games played on a neutral site and 14-3 ATS last 17 tournament games. Give me Villanova -3.5!
|03-16-19||Iowa State +2 v. Kansas||78-66||Win||100||8 h 38 m||Show|
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Iowa State +2)
We cashed in free picks on the Cyclones Thursday and Friday and I'm not jumping off the ISU bandwagon in the Big 12 Championship. Cyclones were my pick to win the Big 12 Tournament and nothing has changed after impressive wins over Baylor and top seeded Kansas State. Kansas is still a team I don't trust in the slightest. This is going to feel like a home game for Iowa State and the Cyclones beat up on the Jayhawks 77-60 at home during the regular-season. No way should they be an underdog here. Give me ISU +2!
|03-16-19||Tennessee v. Kentucky -1||Top||82-78||Loss||-110||5 h 54 m||Show|
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kentucky -1)
I'll take my chances with the Wildcats at a pick'em against the Vols. Kentucky was my pick to win the SEC Tournament coming into this thing and that was an easy choice given they have won the last 4. Calipari simply knows how to get his team to peak at the perfect time. Tennessee is a good team and did beat the Wildcats by 19 earlier this month, but that was on their home floor where they were nearly unbeatable and Kentucky had already won the first meeting 86-69. Wildcats also played the second meeting without one of their best players in Reid Travis. Give me Kentucky -1!
|03-15-19||Duke -2.5 v. North Carolina||Top||74-73||Loss||-110||12 h 58 m||Show|
50* DUKE/UNC IN-STATE RIVALRY GAME OF THE MONTH (Duke -2.5)
I'll gladly take my chances here with Duke at basically a pick'em agains the Tar Heels. This isn't just another game for the Blue Devils. They got routed at home by UNC in the game where Zion hurt his knee and then lost at North Carolina again without him on the floor. This time Zion is going to be in action and he looked like the best player in the country in yesterday's blowout win over Syracuse. The big key is how Zion will impact the game defensively. May and other Tar Heels won't be getting near as many easy looks. Keep in mind Duke was favored by 10 at home in the first meeting, which means they should be around a 7 or 6.5 point favorite on a neutral site. Give me the Blue Devils -2.5!
|03-15-19||Iowa v. Michigan -8||53-74||Win||100||12 h 47 m||Show|
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Michigan -8)
I'll take my chances here with the Wolverines winning by double-digits over the Hawkeyes. Iowa had one of the more impressive wins on Thursday, as they rolled Illinois 83-62 as a 4.5-point favorite. Hawkeyes shot 52% from both the field and behind the 3-point line. Thing is they did the same thing to Illinois when they played them in the regular-season. Michigan is a much better defensive team and when Iowa doesn't have easy looks they find it tough to score. Hawkeyes also playing on no rest against a Wolverines team that has been off since Saturday and Michigan is playing with revenge from an earlier loss at Iowa. Wolverines are 9-1 ATS last 10 when revenging a road loss. GIve me Michigan -8!
|03-15-19||Mississippi State v. Tennessee -5.5||76-83||Win||100||11 h 29 m||Show|
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Tennessee -5.5)
I'll take my chances here with Tennessee covering the 5.5 against the Bulldogs. No question Mississippi State is a quality team, but I just think the Volunteers are on a different level. That certainly seemed to be the case in the only meeting between the two during the regular-season, as the Vols won by 17 and in the process Mississippi State to just 54 points and 33% shooting. Bulldogs are also a bit overrated in my opinion, they didn't beat any of the top 3 teams in the SEC (LSU, Tenn, Kentucky). Give me the Vols -5.5!
|03-15-19||Seton Hall v. Marquette -4||81-79||Loss||-110||11 h 26 m||Show|
40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Marquette -4)
I'll take my chances here with the Golden Eagles covering the small number against Seton Hall. We cashed in an easy winner on Marquette yesterday as they rolled St. John's 86-54 as a similarly priced 4-point favorite. After struggling offensively down the stretch, the Golden Eagles shot 51% and I like them to carry that over to this one. No question Marquette will be motivated, as they just recently lost at Seton Hall. Golden Eagles get their revenge and I wouldn't be shocked if this turned into a blowout!
|03-15-19||Colorado v. Washington -1.5||61-66||Win||100||11 h 8 m||Show|
40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS DESTROYER (Washington -1.5)
I'll take my chances here with the Huskies at basically a pick'em against the Buffaloes. We suffered a tough loss yesterday with Washington, who blew a double-digit lead and ended up winning by just 3 as a 5-point favorite. I still think this is the best team in the Pac-12 and the only reason this line isn't more is because Colorado has been playing well. Given that, the Huskies won both regular-season meetings, beating the Buffaloes by 7 on the road and by 9 at home. I see a very similar outcome here. Give me Washington -1.5!
|03-15-19||Alabama v. Kentucky -11.5||55-73||Win||100||9 h 20 m||Show|
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Kentucky -11.5)
I'll take my chances here with the Wildcats covering the big number against Alabama. Kentucky was my pick to win this tournament before it started. Wildcats have won this thing each of the last 4 years and while teams like Tennessee and LSU are good, I still believe Kentucky is the most talented team in the conference and capable of winning the NCAA Tournament. Sure Alabama upset the Wildcats in conference play, but that was way back in early January and that's only going to have Kentucky that much more motivated for this one. Give me the Wildcats -11.5!
|03-15-19||Nebraska v. Wisconsin -7.5||Top||62-66||Loss||-109||6 h 39 m||Show|
50* NCAAB BIG TEN GAME OF THE YEAR (Wisconsin -7.5)
I'll gladly take my chances here with the Badgers covering the 7.5 against the Cornhuskers. I paid the price for going against Nebraska yesterday, as they upset Maryland 69-61. That's not going to stop me from going against them again. Nebraska is not a deep team and will be playing their 3rd game in 3 days, while Wisconsin had a double-bye and is playing their first game in the Big Ten Tournament. Nebraska basically played 6 guys against Maryland, as Heiman only played 6 minutes. Badgers are the last team you want to play on tired legs, as they are going to really grind you down. The other big key for me is Cornhuskers are pretty much a one-man show offensively with James Palmer and Wisconsin has one of the best defensive players in the country in Khalil Iverson. Look for the Badgers to take control early and cruise to a double-digit win. Give me Wisconsin -7.5!
|03-14-19||Illinois v. Iowa -4||62-83||Win||100||11 h 52 m||Show|
40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS DESTROYER (Iowa -4)
I'll take my chances with the Hawkeyes snapping out of their late season funk and covering the small number against the Fighting Illini. Illinois is 12-20 and Iowa is 21-10. Hawkeyes have lost 4 straight and have failed to cover 8 straight. 3 of the 4 losses were on the road during their 4-game skid. Iowa has a big edge playing on multiple days of rest, while Illinois had to play in-state rival Northwestern on Wednesday. Iowa won the only meeting between these two by 24 and shot 68% from the field. Give me the Hawkeyes -4!
|03-14-19||UCLA v. Arizona State -4||72-83||Win||100||10 h 11 m||Show|
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Arizona St -4)
I'l take my chances here with Sun Devils covering the small number against UCLA. Bruins had to play on Wednesday against Stanford and snuck out a 7-point win. I don't see UCLA having any shot here of keeping this close on no rest against Arizona State. Only meeting between these two was at UCLA and the Sun Devils won by 11 as a 1.5-point dog. Give me Arizona State -4!
|03-14-19||St. John's v. Marquette -2||Top||54-86||Win||100||8 h 5 m||Show|
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Marquette -2)
I'll gladly take my chances here with Marquette at basically a pick'em against St. John's I get the Golden Eagles had their struggles down the stretch, but I expect them to come out refocused and on a mission to win the Big East Tournament. It certainly helps they have the best player in the conference in Markus Howard. St. John's is a good team, but they haven't won a game on the road since early February. Red Storm are also 3-12 ATS last 15 on a neutral site and 2-10 in their last 12 tournament games. St John's did win at Marquette, but the Golden Eagles are 29-12 ATS last 41 when revenging a loss as a home favorite. Give me Marquette -2!
|03-14-19||West Virginia v. Texas Tech -12.5||79-74||Loss||-104||8 h 2 m||Show|
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Texas Tech -12.5)
I'll take my chances here with Texas Tech easily covering the big number here against the Mountaineers. West Virginia was able to pull off the big upset over Oklahoma in the opening round of the Big 12 Tournament, but lets be real, this team is a joke and are just not even close in terms of talent as the Red Raiders. Texas Tech enters on a 9-game winning streak and are motivated to win this thing to increase their chances at a top seed in the NCAA Tournament. they won by 31 last time the face West Virginia and it wouldn't shocked me if we saw a similar outcome in this one. Give me the Red Raiders -12.5!
|03-14-19||Missouri v. Auburn -8.5||71-81||Win||100||4 h 28 m||Show|
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Auburn -8.5)
I'll take my chances here with Auburn winning by double-digits over Missouri. That shouldn't be a problem seeing how Auburn won by 34 in the only meeting between the two in the regular-season. Auburn is also one of hotter teams in the country, as they have won 4 straight and are 9-3 in their last 12 with two of those losses coming on the road to LSU and Kentucky. Missouri has won 3 of their last 4, but two of those were against Georgia and they are playing on no rest in this one. Give me Auburn -8.5!
|03-14-19||Nebraska v. Maryland -5.5||69-61||Loss||-105||4 h 19 m||Show|
40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Maryland -5.5)
I'll take my chances here with the Terps covering the small number against Nebraska. Maryland has been flying under the radar all season it feels like. They had lost 2 straight before a much-needed win over Minnesota in the final game of the season and I just think they are the far superior team. These two played in early February at Nebraska and Maryland won by 15 despite shooting just 38% from the field. Terps have feasted on mediocre teams like the Cornhuskers, as they are 9-1 ATS last 10 vs a team that's won 51% to 60% of their games. Give me Maryland -5.5!
|03-14-19||USC v. Washington -5||75-78||Loss||-109||5 h 8 m||Show|
40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Washington -5)
I'll take my chances here with Washington covering what I feel is a really low number against USC. Washington didn't play their best down the stretch, going 2-2 in their final 4 after starting 13-1. I look for them to use that as motivation to play well in this tournament. Huskies were hands down the best team in the Pac-12 this year and won by 13 at home over the Trojans and really didn't play their best. I think the Huskies win here by double-digits easy. Give me Washington -5!
|03-13-19||Warriors v. Rockets -3.5||Top||106-104||Loss||-107||11 h 16 m||Show|
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockets -3.5)
I'll gladly take my chances here with Houston laying a short number at home against the Warriors. The Rockets have already won each of the first 3 meetings in the series this season and have a chance to really make a statement here with a full 4-game sweep of the defending champs. Not to mention Houston is rolling right now, Rockets have won 9 straight and are 24-9 at home this season. Warriors are just 4-6 in their last 10 and will be without Durant for this one. Give me the Rockets -3.5!
|03-13-19||Pittsburgh v. Syracuse -7||59-73||Win||100||11 h 11 m||Show|
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Syracuse -7)
I'll take my chances here with the Orange easily covering the 7-point spread against the Panthers. Pittsburgh in my opinion is getting way too much respect in this one. Panthers had lost 13 straight before beating a couple fellow bottom feeders in their last 2 games. They will be on no rest against a Syracuse team that will be playing desperate after losing their final 2 and 4 of their last 5. Orange are without a doubt the better team and should win here by double-digits. Give me Syracuse -7!
|03-13-19||Pistons v. Heat -1.5||74-108||Win||100||10 h 6 m||Show|
40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS ERROR (Heat -1.5)I’m a little surprised the number here is so low, but I think it has a lot to do with how overvalued the Pistons are given their recent success both SU and ATS. Detroit is both 7-3 SU and ATS in their last 10 and had covered 5 straight before a 28-point loss at Brooklyn on Monday. I also think some of value here stems from Miami coming off a disappointing loss at home to the Raptors by 21, as Toronto played that game without their best player in Khawi Leonard. I just think Miami let their guard down and more than anything the Raptors just had one of those nights shooting that there’s not a lot you can do. Toronto shot 57% from the field and were 53% from deep, tying a team record with 21-made 3-pointers. Prior to that Miami had won 4 straight and were 5-1 ATS over their previous 6. This is a team that I think is still flying under the radar. The other big thing is rest. While the Pistons won’t be playing a back-to-back, this will be their 3rd game in 4 days. The Heat on the other hand will be playing on a full 2 days of rest and only their 4th game in the last 9 days. Give me Miami -1.5!