|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|10-20-16||Miami (Fla) v. Virginia Tech -6||16-37||Win||100||33 h 5 m||Show|
This is an average Miami team coming off back-to-back losses, and Im sure their egos are little damaged as well . I know alot has been made the Canes, and how good a team they have become. In my opinion their over hyped to an extent, and out of their league tonight vs a Vtech side on the rise. I know you would never know it by last weeks loss at Syracuse, but , previous to that brain fart, the Hokies were dominant and here this week I expect them to return to form.
Virginia Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection
|10-19-16||Maple Leafs v. Jets OVER 5.5||4-5||Win||100||5 h 4 m||Show|
|10-18-16||Sabres v. Flames -145||3-4||Win||100||11 h 45 m||Show|
Im of the belief that Calgary will be a very good team this season, and tonight, Im betting they , notch a win vs a well coached but very average Buffalo Sabres side trying to find their way after seeing 2015 No. 2 overall pick Jack Eichel suffer a high ankle sprain and Evander Kane sustain three cracked ribs in the season opener. Note: Calgary G Robin Lehner, has allowed 11 goals in three starts versus Calgary, will be in net.Sabres are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings in Calgary. and the home team has only lost 4 o the L/23 meetings.
Play on the Calgary Flames to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection
|10-18-16||Indians +111 v. Blue Jays||1-5||Loss||-100||6 h 39 m||Show|
Indians RH Corey Kluber (2-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Blue Jays RH Aaron Sanchez (0-0, 9.53)
Cleveland turns to its ace Tuesday as it attempts to remain perfect in the postseason and complete a sweep of the AL Championship Series against the Blue Jays in Toronto.He shut the Jays down in game 1 of this series and is capable of turing the trick again. The Indians are 5-0 in Klubers last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Indians are 6-0 in their last 6 playoff games.Indians are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Play on Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection
|10-17-16||Jets +7.5 v. Cardinals||3-28||Loss||-110||155 h 19 m||Show|
With the Cards QB Carson Palmer at less than 100% suffering with a few nagging injuries, the no long er look as potent and with two starting offensive lineman Evan Mathis/Mike Iupati this week, things become more problematic for the desert dwellers. The Cards are going to want to run the ball, but that wont be easy, vs a Jets D that have allowed the fourth-fewest rushing yards in the NFL(342). Meanwhile, I know the Jets don;t strike fear or passion in many of us gridiron watchers of late, but they are a desperate team, that is more talented than many think, and more than capable of covering this number. ARIZONA is 1-13 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points and is 0-6 ATS in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse and is 2-10 ATS L/12 in home games against AFC East division opponents. The Jets are a perfect 5-0 SU L/5 meeetings in this series and 2-0 SU in Arizona.
|10-16-16||Minnesota Lynx v. LA Sparks OVER 160||85-79||Win||100||12 h 15 m||Show|
Play over 1 unit regarding selection
|10-16-16||Falcons v. Seahawks -6||24-26||Loss||-105||127 h 2 m||Show|
Atlanta is fortunate to have the record they have right now, considering their defensive defeciencies. It must be noted that Seattle has covered 17 of their 23 games winning SU by an average of 11.3 points per game against sides that allow 375 or more yards of offense per game. NFL Road teams like the Falcons - off 2 or more cosecutive upset wins as an underdog, with a winning record on the season are just 32-62 ATS for a go against win % of 66%+ for bettors. Seattle with HC Carroll at the helm is 10-1 ATS L/ 10 as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points as the coach of the Seahawks.
|10-16-16||Chiefs -1 v. Raiders||26-10||Win||100||56 h 2 m||Show|
Last season, the Chiefs swept and owned the Raiders, winning by 14 points in Oakland and six points in Kansas City. HC Reid's record against the Raiders is 5-1 SU with the Cheifs.Where Reid's record looks like Gold is after a bye week. In 17 seasons with the Eagles and Chiefs, his teams are 15-2 SU post-bye for a .882 winning clip. Meanwhile, Oakland's young Raiders are a team on the rise, but they have shown way to many defensive defeciencies, and are lucky in many ways to have a solid winning record on the season so far. Hey I know Derek Carr is a stud QB, but this is a two way game, and the Raiders D, has not caught up with the offense yet, which will be their demise today in the blackhole.
Oaklands Jack Del Rio is 1-14 ATS L/15 in home games after a win by 6 or less points in all games, which happened last week against the SD Chargers.HC Reid of KC is 7-0 ATS after scoring 14 points or less last game as the coach .Oakland is 0-6 ATS L/6 in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5 over the last 3 seasons. The Raiders are 3-16 ATS L/19 in home games after allowing 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games.
Play on the Kansas City Cheifs to cover 1 unit reg selection
|10-16-16||Rams v. Lions UNDER 44||28-31||Loss||-114||125 h 33 m||Show|
I am betting the Rams after having the Bils put 30 points up against them last week in a home loss now come back with a concerted Defensive effort. The Rams will also I am betting continue to struggle offensively
(16.4 ppg on the season) and for this contest to stay on the low side of the number vs a wildly inconsistent Lions side.
LA RAMS is 6-0 UNDER L/6 in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 yards per return with combined 37 ppg going scoreboard. LA RAMS is 9-2 UNDER in road games over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 38.4 ppg and are 6-0 UNDER after a loss by 10 or more points which happened last week vs the Bills. ( Average score in those following games has seen just 25.7 ppg go on the scoreboard.The Rams are 0-22 OU on the road when they are off a game in which they rushed for a TD and held their opponent to ten or fewer rushing first downs. (only one game saw 44 total combined points scored, with on eclipsing that number...the combined average was 31.6 ppg.
Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection
|10-16-16||Ravens +3 v. Giants||23-27||Loss||-110||124 h 38 m||Show|
Baltimore shot out to a 3-0 start before losing their L/2 games, in hardfought fashionOakland (28-27) and Washington (16-10) in Weeks 4 and 5, respectively..( All their games have been competetive, and I am betting on themstaying close or pulling off the upset here this week against a injury ravaged Giants lineup that has been bad in pass protection and on the flipside in their own secondary. The Ravens are 5-1 ATS L/6 on the road dating back to last season.The Ravens are 4-1 in their lL5 SU/ATS in this series.
NY GIANTS have failed to cover 19 of their L/24 in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. .510 to .600)
Baltimore to cover 1 unit reg selection
|10-16-16||Jaguars v. Bears -2.5||17-16||Loss||-113||123 h 24 m||Show|
The Bears feature an aggressive front seven and they can get past offensive lines with speed and power and that has been a problem for the Jaguars. What Im betting happens is that the Bears defensive front will use multiple looks to confuse the Jaguars offensive line and create mismatches and big head aches for Jags QB Bortles who has been acked 12 times already this season and will have a problem staying upright again. Hey guys just because the Jags got a win in England their last time out, or that their rested of a bye week, gives them confidence or an edge, is something I am no long er buying into the headlines with the Jags. Their wildly inconsistent and consistent under achievers. I know the Bears dont inspire many of us, but like the old saying goes, (On any given Sunday.)
JACKSONVILLE is 1-8 ATS L/9 in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons losing SU by an averge of 11.1 ppg and are 1-12 ATS L/13 overall in non conference road games.
Play on the Chicago Bears to cover 1 unit reg selection
|10-15-16||UNLV +9 v. Hawaii||41-38||Win||100||79 h 17 m||Show|
Nick Rolovich and Hawaii Warriors are suddenly 2-0 SU & ATS in 2 underdog roles, but are just 10-20 ATS L/30 as home chalk after two SU wins. Now however, the Rainblow paradise island crew are being installed as favorites, something that has yet to happen yet this season. UNLV is improving and will be prepared to play here after, going against a tough San Diego State program last week. The visitor is a perfect 5-0 ATS in this series and Im betting on tourists grabbing the cash again in this spot.
|10-15-16||Nevada v. San Jose State -2.5||10-14||Win||100||39 h 9 m||Show|
|10-15-16||Temple +3.5 v. Central Florida||26-25||Win||100||128 h 36 m||Show|
|10-15-16||Stanford v. Notre Dame -2.5||17-10||Loss||-118||82 h 15 m||Show|
|10-15-16||Southern Miss +25 v. LSU||10-45||Loss||-106||76 h 6 m||Show|
Temples D, is phsyical and capable of slowing the UCF attack down, especially with a uncertain QB situation to deal with. On the flipside the Knights have struggled with their D and against the pass , ranking No. 81 in the nation by allowing 238 yards per game, which is not a good omen going up against talented Temple QB in Phillip Walker who passed for 445 yards last time out.
Southern Miss to cover 1 unit reg selection
|10-15-16||Canadiens v. Senators UNDER 5.5||3-4||Loss||-110||8 h 18 m||Show|
Ottawa played lazy defensive hockey in their first game of the season. They came back for a 5-4 OT , win vs the Leafs. Now here against the Habs tonight, Im betting on a more physical effort. Meanwhile, the Canadians system, will adjust in conservative fashion here on the road, in a game that will remain on the low side of the number. ( The L./5 meetings overall have gone under in this series including 5 straight here in Ottawa!.
|10-15-16||Texas-San Antonio v. Rice +3.5||14-13||Win||100||127 h 5 m||Show|
|10-15-16||South Alabama +5 v. Arkansas State||7-17||Loss||-106||127 h 34 m||Show|
|10-15-16||Tulsa v. Houston -21||31-38||Loss||-110||36 h 41 m||Show|
|10-15-16||Iowa State +17 v. Texas||6-27||Loss||-109||6 h 12 m||Show|
Projected score: Texas 38 Iowa State 33
Iowa State to cover 1 unit reg selection
|10-15-16||Florida International v. Charlotte +5.5||27-26||Win||100||78 h 47 m||Show|
|10-15-16||Blue Jays v. Indians UNDER 8.5||1-2||Win||100||6 h 52 m||Show|
Blue Jays LH J.A. Happ (1-0, 1.80 ERA) vs. Indians RH Josh Tomlin (1-0, 3.60)
|10-15-16||Missouri +13.5 v. Florida||14-40||Loss||-107||56 h 43 m||Show|
Florida won a 13-6 physical slugfest vs Vanderbilt last week, and should feel the effects of it here vs Missouri. It must be noted the Gators are 2-12 ATS in home games after scoring 14 points or less last game and is 1-8 ATS L/9 in home games after allowing 14 points or less.Missouri got clobbered by LSU last time out but as a football program have proven a strong threat going 10-0 ATS after allowing 375 or more rushing yards last game.
|10-15-16||Utah -7 v. Oregon State||19-14||Loss||-106||3 h 14 m||Show|
Projected score: Utah 27 Oregon State 13
Utah to cover 1 unit reg selection
|10-15-16||Virginia Tech v. Syracuse +20||17-31||Win||100||56 h 56 m||Show|
Home underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points like Syracuse- in conference games, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are a long term profitable wager going 156-90 for a 63%+ conversion rate ATS. Syracuse is 5-1 aTS L/6 in this series and have enough offense to keep pace here or jack up a back door cover.
|10-15-16||Nebraska v. Indiana +3.5||27-22||Loss||-110||76 h 36 m||Show|
Indiana according to my own power rankings is one of the most under rated teams in the nation, and are looking stronger and more confident with each game. Watching them perform well against Ohio State las tweek solidified my belief in them as a team on the rise in the Big 10 . With Nebraskas current injury problems Indiana very much looks like a solid bet today.
Indiana to cover 1 unit reg selection
|10-15-16||Northwestern v. Michigan State -4.5||54-40||Loss||-110||123 h 6 m||Show|
|10-15-16||Central Michigan v. Northern Illinois +2.5||34-28||Loss||-110||123 h 2 m||Show|
This is a revenge game for Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan. With CMU looking ahead to Toledo next week, Im betting NIll who own a 8-1-1 ATS mark as conference home dogs has the edge.
|10-15-16||North Carolina +9 v. Miami (Fla)||20-13||Win||100||76 h 42 m||Show|
North Carolina and Miami according to my own power rankings are very close to each other from statistical matchup perspective. Both are off losses and both are desperate to get back to their winning ways. Im expecting an all out war in tilt that taking points in makes for a solid wager.
Play on North Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection
|10-15-16||Wake Forest +21 v. Florida State||6-17||Win||100||70 h 7 m||Show|
Wake Forest 5-1 SU has a tough D, that is allowing just 18 ppg and will go against a Seminoles team off a big win and also in a look ahead situation against Clemson next week. Im betting when the Seminoles get up by a comfortable margin , the starters will get rested , in preparation for their next big game, which will help Wake get close enough to cover. The Seminoles are 1-10 ATS off a underdog win and 0-8 ATS as a favorite and 0-7 ATS at home.
Play on Wake forest to cover 1 unit reg selection
|10-15-16||Ball State v. Buffalo +11||31-21||Win||100||3 h 18 m||Show|
|10-15-16||Western Kentucky +1.5 v. Middle Tennessee State||44-43||Win||100||123 h 34 m||Show|
Western Kentucky remains high on my power ranking charts despite of some inconsistencies so far this season. It must be noted that the explosive Hilltoppers are 19-2 ATS L/21 in tilts as a conference pup, including a perfect 10-0 ATS off a loss of 3 points or more which happened last week in a heart breaking 55-52 loss to LA Tech. I expect the explosive Toppers bounce back here vs Middle Tennesee State this week and grab the cover as underdogs.
|10-15-16||Pittsburgh v. Virginia +3||45-31||Loss||-112||75 h 43 m||Show|
The Virginia Cavs have won 2 straight after opening the season 0-3, and look to be in an upward projectory. Meanwhile, the U Pittsburgh Panthers continue to be involved in back and forth affairs, and never seem to be solid bets to cover against an opponent with a offensive heartbeat which, the Cavs certainly have. Considering the Cavs are home coming dogs, and Pittsburgh could be looking ahead to VTech in their next tilt, Im betting we have value with the home coming/home dog off a bye. It must be noted HC Mendenhall is 8-1 ATS L/9 as a conference underdog of 3 points or more.
Play on the Virginia Cavaliers to cover 1 unit reg selection
|10-15-16||Georgia Southern v. Georgia Tech -10.5||24-35||Win||100||29 h 13 m||Show|
|10-15-16||West Virginia v. Texas Tech +1||48-17||Loss||-105||72 h 53 m||Show|
Texas Tech is explosive offensively and have score 50 points or more in their L/9 home games. I know West Virginia is undefeated this season, but keeping up with this gridiron crew is going to be difficult. It must be noted that West Virginia is 0-8 ATS off a bye vs conference opposition.
Texas Tech to cover 1 unit reg seleciton
|10-15-16||Kansas State +11 v. Oklahoma||17-38||Loss||-110||52 h 17 m||Show|
KState has covered 5 straight as DD conference dogs. After last seasons 55-0 home embarrassement to Okalhoma some pay back is on the agenda today. The Wildcats have held all 6 of their opponents to season low yards, and Im betting a repeat is on board here today.
KANSAS ST is 10-1 ATS L/11 vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return. KState is 7-1 ATS L/8 in this seires including 3 straight on the road.
Play on the KState Wildcats to cover 1 unit reg selection
|10-14-16||Mississippi State v. BYU -7||21-28||Push||0||107 h 35 m||Show|
|10-14-16||San Diego State -16.5 v. Fresno State||17-3||Loss||-110||52 h 48 m||Show|
Dating back to last season Fresno State has lost 14 of their L/18 games. Meanwhile, SD State's super star running back Pumphrey’s is a gridiron god and will explode on the Bulldogs empty defense this week for huge numbers. Long is a fine head coach, and he’s got his team on track to defend its Mountain West Conference title.
Projected score: SD State 47 Fresno State 17
|10-14-16||Minnesota Lynx +3 v. LA Sparks||75-92||Loss||-115||31 h 17 m||Show|
|10-14-16||Blue Jays v. Indians -127||0-2||Win||100||34 h 27 m||Show|
GAME: Toronto Blue Jays (93-73) at Cleveland Indians (97-67)
Starting pitchers : Tor- Estrada vs Cleveland -Kluber
Both the Jays and the Indians are off sweeps of their divisonal AL series. I was not surprised by either of these outcomes , but was one of the few that had this contrarian line of thought. Now my betting opinion, supports the Indians in game 1 of this series. I watched some Indians games this season, and really like what I saw. I truely believe this is a top tier team. Meanwhile, Toronto has shown themselves to be wildly inconsistent this season, and nearly missed the play offs. I expect the now healthy Kluber and the Tribes strong bullpen get the game 1 victory.
Indians are 43-16 in their last 59 home games. Jays are 2-9 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Indians are 20-8 in their last 28 games vs. a right-handed starter.ndians are 40-19 in Klubers last 59 home starts.
Play on the Cleveland Indians ( Game 1) on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection
|10-14-16||Memphis -11.5 v. Tulane||24-14||Loss||-106||84 h 19 m||Show|
Tigers are 31st in the nation in passing, putting up 281.6 ypg through the air so far, while ranking 42nd in total offense and 11th in scoring, putting up 43.4 ppg so far, and despite os struggling a bit last week va strng Temple D, will now find the going alot easier vs Tulane . On offense Tulane is the 2nd worst passing team in the nation. The Green Wave run the ball well, but the Tigers are 37th in the nation against the run, allowing just 134.2 ypg so far, so Tulane is at a disadvantage here .TULANE is 10-25 ATS L/35 vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game losing SU by ana verage of 18 ppg and is 3-14 ATS vs. excellent teams - outscoring opponents by 17+ PPG on the season , losing Su by an average of 23.4 ppg. Memphis has covered 7 of their L/8 trips to Tulane. Memphis won last year’s meeting 41-13.
Play on Memphis to cover 1 unit reg selection
|10-14-16||Duke +34.5 v. Louisville||14-24||Win||100||11 h 17 m||Show|
Duke is being understimated here by the linesmakers, in this tilt vs the Lousiville. The Cardinal After losing to Clemson last time out, will I am betting feels the ffcts of letdown scenario, which will also be in play. Duke has enough offense, to help them stay within the number for the cover.
Play on Duke to cover 1 unit reg selection
|10-13-16||Broncos -150 v. Chargers||13-21||Loss||-150||81 h 45 m||Show|
After looking unlike defending champs through their worst performance of the season on Sunday against the Falcons, the Broncos offense should be ready to roll this week, as Tevor Seimian is expected back under center.With Siemian at quarterback, the Broncos rocketed out to a 3-0 start this season with wins over the Panthers, Colts and Bengals. Because of the time off he has had time to study a Chargers D, that has been sliced and diced of late, the Broncos offense has a solid edge. SAN DIEGO is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better.
Broncos to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection
|10-13-16||Hurricanes +125 v. Jets||4-5||Loss||-100||11 h 9 m||Show|
Carolina is a team on the rise behind a fine core of young players, including stud forward Jeff Skinner. Meanwhile, Winnipeg continues to be on the edge looking in, and just not getting over the hump. The Jets have not faired well against the eastern conference in the past losing 14 of their L/16 overall and 6 straight to Metro division sides like Carolina. The road team has won 20 of the L/28 meetings and Im betting on the visitor cashing again on the moneyline.
Carolina to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection
|10-13-16||Red Wings v. Lightning -165||4-6||Win||100||11 h 40 m||Show|
Detroit no longer puts fear into the hearts of their NHL opponents, and this season, I will not be surprised if they fail to make the play offs for the first time in a couple of decades. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay remains a solid play off contender and have done well against the Wings in the past especially here in Florida where they have cashed 6 straight times on the moneyline. Note: The home side has won 9 of the L/10 meetings.( Red Wings are 5-16 in their last 21 road games.)
Play on Tampa Bay to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection
|10-13-16||Islanders +125 v. Rangers||3-5||Loss||-100||10 h 10 m||Show|
The Rangers showed major signs of regression last season, and lost all 4 games to their cross town rivals the Islanders. Tonight the Isles go for their 5th straight win at MSG and I am betting they get it. Note: NYI Tavares has 13 goals and 33 points in 35 games versus the Rangers.
Play on the NY Islanders to win on the moneyline
|10-12-16||Appalachian State -9.5 v. UL-Lafayette||24-0||Win||100||36 h 6 m||Show|
Projected score: App State 28 UL Laffayette 17
App St to cover 1 unit reg selection
|10-12-16||Maple Leafs v. Senators -135||4-5||Win||100||6 h 22 m||Show|
The youthful Maple Leafs are a team with a promising future. But tonight in Ottawa growing pains are to be center stage.
Toronto is 5-25 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
Projected score: Ottawa 4 Toronto 1
|10-11-16||LA Sparks v. Minnesota Lynx -5||60-79||Win||100||26 h 0 m||Show|
|10-11-16||LA Sparks v. Minnesota Lynx UNDER 160||60-79||Win||100||26 h 60 m||Show|
|10-11-16||Nationals v. Dodgers UNDER 6.5||5-6||Loss||-100||4 h 55 m||Show|
Nationals RH Joe Ross (7-5, 3.43 ERA) or RH Reynaldo Lopez (5-3, 4.91) vs. Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (12-4, 1.69) or LH Julio Urias (5-2, 3.39)
With the Dodgers trailing the Nationals 2-1 in the best-of-five National League Division Series, manager Dave Roberts has elected to start left-hander Clayton Kershaw in today's must-win Game 4.In his three postseason opportunities pitching on short rest, Kershaw has recorded a 1.89 ERA. He completed seven innings of one-run ball against the New York Mets in Game 4 of the 2015 NLDS. Im betting this game plays out in conservative fashion, and ends up on the low side of the number. Under is 5-0 in Kershaws last 5 home starts vs. Nationals.Under is 21-6 in Nationals last 27 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 9-1 in Kershaws last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 21-6-1 in Kershaws last 28 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection
|10-10-16||Cubs v. Giants -125||5-6||Win||100||12 h 10 m||Show|
Cubs RH Jake Arrieta (18-8, 3.10 ERA) vs. Giants LH Madison Bumgarner (2016 playoffs: 1-0, 0.00)
San Francisco Giants ace Madison Bumgarner, is the one pitcher in baseball that can be depended on in a win-or-die environment. That's something no pitcher of this generation does any better and I am on him and the Giants tonight. In his last three games in which San Francisco had to win or go home, Bumgarner has worked 23 scoreless innings, including Wednesday night's 3-0 shutout at the New York Mets in the NL Wild Card Game.Bumgarner vs the Cubs is 8-2 with a 2.25 earned run average in 12 starts, going 2-0 this year with a 1.32 ERA and 16 strikeouts in 13 2/3 innings. Considering the Cubs struggles against LHP, ( .248 Team BA) Bumgarner and company look like solid bets. Meanwhile, Arrietta the Cubs big time starter, despite of top tier numbers, has not faired all that well of late going 1-2 with a bloated 5.00 ERA in his L/3 starts.
Note: The Giants have won nine straight elimination games, the longest such streak in major-league baseball history.
MLB underdogs like the Cubs with a money line of +100 or higher - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, a top-level team with a .620 win % or better playing a team with a winning record have failed to cash 90 of 128 times on the moneyline, betting this league wide trend is a 70% moneymker. The Giants are also 9-1 against the money line in home games vs. teams like the Cubs whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game dating back to last season.
Play on the SF Giants to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection
|10-09-16||Giants v. Packers -7||16-23||Push||0||81 h 39 m||Show|
Green Bay are fresh as they come off a bye week ready to fire on all cylinders.Green Bay has won 10 in a row at Lambeau Field in October, last dropping a home game in the 10th month on the calendar in 2010. Thats not good news for injury ravaged Giants team, this is on a short week of rest. GREEN BAY is 11-2 ATS L/13 off a division game losing SU by an average of 13.1 ppg are 12-1 ATS with HC McCarthy at the helm, winning SU by an average 14.5 ppg.
Play on the Green Bay Packers to cover 1 unit reg selection .
|10-09-16||Bills +1 v. Rams||30-19||Win||100||29 h 49 m||Show|
LA is off a huge underdog win last time out vs Arizona, and now will be in a letdown scenario this week, vs a under rated Buffalo team that is built to beat a side like the Rams.
The Rams run game, is almost at a stand still behind RB Gurley, and thats not a good omen as last week in a 16-0 win Buffalo stuffed New England running back LeGarrette Blount, who came into the Week 4 game as the NFL's leading rusher, to only 54 yards and slowed Arizonas high octane offense down, allowing them just 14 points in a lopsided win .
On the flipside, The Bills are seventh in rushing in the NFL with 123.2 yards a game, and pound away here for what I am betting will be a win.
NFL teams like the Rams - off a win over a division rival as an underdog of 6 or more point are 6-25 ATS in their follow up game.
Play on the Buffalo Bills to cover1 unit reg selection
|10-09-16||Chargers +3.5 v. Raiders||31-34||Win||100||74 h 23 m||Show|
Two long time rivals the San Diego Chargers and the Oakland Raiders go head to head in a game that favors the underdog taking the points. The Chargers are off a hard fought loss to the Saints last week, but have bounced back well off a loss covering 6 of their L/7. Meanwhile, the Raiders are off a 1 point skin of their teeth road win vs the Ravens, but are just 8-23 off a ATS loss and have failed to cover 17 of their L/22 off a SU loss. The Chargers are 13-3 ATS L/16 at Oakland and the road team have covered 8 of the L/11 in this series, and that is what I am betting on here. Note: Oakland has been unable to take advantage of lower tier Ds, like the Chargers own at home as is evident, by a s 2-12 ATS mark in home games vs. ugly defensive teams who give up 27 or more points per game.
|10-09-16||Bengals -1 v. Cowboys||14-28||Loss||-110||74 h 13 m||Show|
The hungry Cincinnati Bengals go against the injury riddled Dallas Cowboys this Sunday. One of the keys to what I am betting will be a Benglas victory comes via the expected return of Pro Bowl tight end Tyler Eifert to play for the first time this season on Sunday.Cincinnati has struggled in the red zone too many red-zone this season, where offenses make their brew. Eifert had 13 TD catches last season, and will be a big time addition here.
Bengals are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games.Cowboys are 16-34-1 ATS in their last 51 home games.Cowboys are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 5.
Play on the Cincinnati Bengals 1 unit reg selection
|10-09-16||Falcons v. Broncos UNDER 47||23-16||Win||100||74 h 5 m||Show|
Denver's top tier D, is well aware of the high flying explosive Falcons attack, and will be well prepared to shut them down in the Mile High City this week. The Broncos methodical smash and run game plan at this high altitude site, will see this game slow down to a crawl and remain on the low side of the number. - Any team like the Falcons where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points - after going over the total by more than 14 points in two consecutive games, after the first month of the season have seen 31 of 38 games stay on the low side of the number. ATLANTA is 11-1 L/12 UNDER vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the last 3 seasons. ATLANTA is 12-0 UNDER after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average 38.8 ppg going on the scoreboard. DENVER is 6-0 UNDER L/6 in non-conference games dating back to last season.
|10-09-16||LA Sparks v. Minnesota Lynx UNDER 161.5||78-76||Win||100||80 h 3 m||Show|
|10-09-16||Charlotte v. Florida Atlantic -13.5||28-23||Loss||-106||98 h 60 m||Show|
Charlotte after allowing 52 points to Old Dominion, last week, is a tell tale sign of things to come this week, vs a hungry and under rated Florida Atlantic side that will be ready to romp after losing last week, in a game they should have won vs instate rival FIU. Charlotte has numerous problems, on both sides of the ball.Charlotte ranks 126th in points allowed per game (44.2ppg), 123rd in passing yards allowed (313.8ypg) and 115th in total yards per game (485.ypg)
Florida Atlantic to cover 1 unit reg selection
|10-08-16||Washington State v. Stanford -7||42-16||Loss||-107||84 h 14 m||Show|
After surprisingly getting crushed by a 44-6 score at Washington on Friday night, Stanford has an extra day to regroup and prepare for Washington State. Recent history suggests the Cardinal will rebound.Since 2010, Stanford has lost consecutive games only once. That occurred in 2014, when the Cardinal fell to Oregon and Utah, the latter in double-overtime.Last year, Stanford dropped its opener at Northwestern, and then stormed back for eight straight victories. In 2013, the Cardinal bounced back from defeats to Utah and USC to win three in a row. And in 2012, Stanford rallied from a tough loss at Washington .Stanford has beaten Washington State eight straight times, and I am betting one more win and cover comes this week.
Play on Stanford to cover 1 unit reg selection
|10-08-16||California -13 v. Oregon State||44-47||Loss||-118||73 h 32 m||Show|
California is even more explosive offensively than many expected this season. The D remains suspect , but Oregon State has shown very little in the way of scoring ability this season, and could easily end up as road kill for the nasty Bears here tonight.There is a long term trend here at work tonight as Home underdogs like Oregon St have lost 33 of their 34 SU - after being outgained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game against opponent after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 3 consecutive games. These teams have lost by an average of 20 points per game.
|10-08-16||Florida International v. UTEP -5||35-21||Loss||-109||79 h 15 m||Show|
UTEP started their season with a 38-22 win vs NM State and than played 4 superior sides, Texas , Army, Southern Miss , LA Tech and now will feel like this is a walk in the park, vs a Florida International team that is wildly inconsistent. UTEP is 4-16 ATS L/20 in home games after having lost 4 out of their last 5 games .
UTEP is 6-0 ATS L/6 in home games after playing a conference game winning by an average of 8.3 ppg.
Play on UTEP to cover 1 unit reg selection
|10-08-16||Northern Illinois +20 v. Western Michigan||30-45||Win||100||48 h 26 m||Show|
Western Michigan is off a big win last week, vs Central Michigan and N.Illinois looked like they have finally woken up from a early season slumber by beating Ball State as visitors last week. N.Illinois because of their slow start and Western Michigan because of an impressive start , are now huge home favs at home, in a game I am betting will be much closer than the linesmakers estimate. N ILLINOIS is 13-0 ATS L/13 off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog . From a league wide perspective: Home favorites like W.Michigan - after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game against opponent after outrushing opponent by 200 or more yards are a bankroll depleting 9-35 ATS for a lowly 20.5% conversion rate!
Play on the Northern Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection
|10-08-16||BYU +6 v. Michigan State||31-14||Win||100||102 h 9 m||Show|
|10-08-16||Virginia Tech +1.5 v. North Carolina||34-3||Win||100||52 h 39 m||Show|
North Carolina is in a perfect emotional letdown spot. The Heels are coming off a huge last-second victory against Florida State. Meanwhile, Virginia Tech had a bye week and two weeks to prepare for North Carolina.HC Fedora is in his career at NC is 0-8 ATS after allowing 325 or more passing yards in their last game .
|10-08-16||Texas State +10 v. Georgia State||21-41||Loss||-106||4 h 43 m||Show|
The Panthers are playing very good D, but their issues are on offense where they rank 11th in the Sun Belt in total offense, passing efficiency and rushing. And their rushing average, 56.2 yards per game, ranks last in the country. Georgia State was dealt a big blow this week, learning that sophomore receiver Penny Hart, whose 1,099 yards led the Sun Belt last year, has been lost for the season with a broken foot.Meanwhile, Texas State quarterback Tyler Jones leads the Sun Belt in passing percentage, is second in passing touchdowns (nine) and is fourth in passing yards (1,076) and has the ability to torch stiff defenses.
Texas State to cover 1 unit reg selection
|10-08-16||Maryland -1 v. Penn State||14-38||Loss||-110||71 h 14 m||Show|
My own power ranking and numbers suggest that Maryland is the superior side. After a grueling game last week vs Minnesota that Penn State won in OT, which followed a physical beat down at the hands of Michigan in the prior week, Penn State will be in a letdown mode and ready for catastrophic failure .
Play on the Maryland Terps to cover 1 unit reg selection
|10-08-16||Southern Miss -16.5 v. Texas-San Antonio||32-55||Loss||-110||64 h 17 m||Show|
Southern Miss is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games when playing against a team with a losing record.UTSA is 0-6 ATS L/6 when they allow 6 to 6.5 total yards per play which my own projections predict will happen.
|10-08-16||Cincinnati -2.5 v. Connecticut||9-20||Loss||-110||75 h 47 m||Show|
Cincinnati’s rushing attack is a two-headed monster consisting of senior Tion Green and junior Mike Boone. They have rushed for 345 and 247 yards, respectively. Both have accounted for two touchdowns and both will be instrumental in what I am betting will be a Bearcats win in cover vs UConn. It must be noted that HC Tubberville and company now have chips on their shoulders after the media and their own fans have been vocal about the Bearcats losses to USF and Houston, two potent sides. UConn does not offer that kind of competition.
Play on the Cincinnati Bearcats to cover 1 unit reg selection
|10-07-16||Boise State v. New Mexico OVER 61||49-21||Win||100||60 h 26 m||Show|
|10-07-16||Clemson v. Boston College +17||56-10||Loss||-110||55 h 9 m||Show|
The Tigers are coming off their best performance of the year in rallying to beat Louisville. After jumping out 28-10, they saw the Cardinals storm back with 26 consecutive points and win 42-36 freak show and will now be in a letdown scenario on the road against a solid Boston College D, that can put the best of teams to sleep.It must be noted that Home underdogs of 14.5 or more points like Boston college - after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins, with a winning record on the season are 35-9 ATS.Addazio is 6-0 ATS L/6 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct of 75% or more ) as the coach of BC.
Play on Boston College to cover 1 unit reg selection
|10-07-16||Blue Jays +118 v. Rangers||5-3||Win||118||3 h 54 m||Show|
Blue Jays LH J.A. Happ (20-4, 3.18 ERA) vs. Rangers RH Yu Darvish (7-5, 3.41)
After getting clobbered yesterday by a 10-1 count Texas enters this game, with a ugly 1-10 all-time at home in the ALDS. With the Jays starter today AJ Happ coming off the best season of his career, finishing as one of the major league's three 20-game winners the Rangers look like their miseries will continue .Happ won his only start against Texas this year, limiting the Rangers to one run and six hits over a top tier stretch of seven innings on May 5.Blue Jays are 4-0 in Happs last 4 road starts.Blue Jays are 21-6 in Happs last 27 starts.Rangers are 1-4 in Darvishs last 5 starts vs. Blue Jays. Happ is 13-2 against the money line in day games this season. The Rangers are just 19-34 L/53 against the money line with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games.
Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection
|10-06-16||Western Kentucky -2.5 v. Louisiana Tech||52-55||Loss||-104||35 h 27 m||Show|
|10-06-16||Blue Jays +129 v. Rangers||10-1||Win||129||8 h 56 m||Show|
Blue Jays RH Marco Estrada (9-9, 3.48 ERA) vs. Rangers LH Cole Hamels (15-5, 3.32 ERA)
|10-05-16||Giants -102 v. Mets||3-0||Win||100||33 h 53 m||Show|
PROBABLE: MADISON BUMGARNER (L)PROBABLE: NOAH SYNDERGAARD (R)
|10-04-16||Orioles v. Blue Jays -145||2-5||Win||100||24 h 32 m||Show|
Orioles RH Chris Tillman (16-6, 3.77 ERA) vs. Blue Jays RH Marcus Stroman (9-10, 4.37)
Blue Jays are 11-5 in Stromans last 16 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Blue Jays are 5-2 in Stromans last 7 home starts.
From a league wide perspective Road teams like the Orioles have lost 40 of 56 times when the money line is +125 to -125 - poor hitting team (AVG
|10-04-16||LA Sparks v. Chicago Sky UNDER 168||95-75||Loss||-112||32 h 40 m||Show|
|10-04-16||LA Sparks v. Chicago Sky +6||95-75||Loss||-105||32 h 39 m||Show|
|10-03-16||Giants v. Vikings -4.5||10-24||Win||100||127 h 4 m||Show|
The Vikings lead the league in quarterback sacks with 15. Minnesota’s defense is first in the league in yards allowed per play at 4.40 and is third in the league in points allowed per game at 13.3.Minnesota sacked Cam Newton eight times and intercepted three of his passes Sunday in a 22-10 victory over the Carolina Panthers. NYG Eli Manning Im betting will have problems staying upright tonight.
|10-02-16||Rams +8 v. Cardinals||17-13||Win||100||80 h 20 m||Show|
The Cardinals' explosive offense from a year ago, has been a impotent so far. It ranks 14th in total yards, 16th in third-down conversion percentage and the defense last week against Buffalo in a lopsided loss looked ugly as well. Putting points on the board against the Rams' defense, which is anchored by explosive defensive tackle Aaron Donald will prove difficult.Road teams like the Rams - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog, with an above .500 record on the season are cash friendly 61-30 ats for a 67% conversion rate! ARIZONA is 1-12 ATS L/12 as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points.
|10-02-16||Cowboys -118 v. 49ers||24-17||Win||100||79 h 32 m||Show|
San Francisco enters this contest on a two-game losing streak and issues at the quarterback position. The 49ers are 30th in passing yards per game (175.3) and only 16 of 46 on third downs, which equates to 34.8 percent conversion rate. Home teams like the 49ers - off 2 consecutive road losses, and are below .500 on the season are 13-37 ATS. Dallas is 10-2 ATS L/12 on a natural surface.
|10-02-16||Cowboys v. 49ers OVER 45.5||24-17||Loss||-105||78 h 30 m||Show|
Play OVER 1 unit reg selection
|10-02-16||Pirates v. Cardinals -200||4-10||Win||100||5 h 47 m||Show|
Pirates RH Ryan Vogelsong (3-7, 5.00 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Adam Wainwright (13-9, 4.67)
Vogelsong is 0-4 with an 8.78 mark in his last six outings. The righty hurler is just 3-7 with a 6.02 ERA in 23 games (12 starts) versus the Cardinals. St.Louis needs to win this game to go to have a chance at making the play offs and I am betting they get it.
Pirates are 4-18 in Vogelsongs last 22 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Cardinals are 38-13 in Wainwrights last 51 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Cardinals are 11-1 in Wainwrights last 12 home starts vs. Pirates.Pirates are 0-5 in Vogelsongs last 5 starts vs. Cardinals.
Play on the Cardinals 1 unit reg selection
|10-02-16||Orioles v. Yankees UNDER 8.5||5-2||Win||100||5 h 36 m||Show|
Orioles RH Kevin Gausman (8-12, 3.66 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Luis Cessa (4-3, 4.18)
Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection
|10-02-16||LA Sparks v. Chicago Sky +6.5||66-70||Win||100||6 h 21 m||Show|
|10-02-16||Raiders +3.5 v. Ravens||28-27||Win||100||123 h 52 m||Show|
The Ravens are one of just five NFL teams that are still undefeated despite failing to fire on all cylinders on both sides of the ball in 2016. Meanwhile, the Raiders, are a team on the rise, and Im betting Oakland’s explosive offensive line to dominate in the trenches and for the Raiders running game to be key to a cover here. OAKLAND is a perfect 6-0 ATS L/6 as a road underdog over the last couple of seasons and perfect 7-0 ATS against conference opponents on the road. Harbaugh is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins as the coach of the Ravens.
|10-02-16||Browns +9 v. Redskins||20-31||Loss||-125||96 h 31 m||Show|
Cleveland nearly shocked the Dolphins last week with rookie quarterback Cody Kessler starting, and I was impressed by the kid. This week I wont be surprised if they give the Skins more than they bargain for.Favorites like the Skins of 3.5 to 10 points - off an extremely close win by 3 points or less over a division rival, with a losing record have failed to cover 24 of the L/28 times. ( Skins beat the Gmen 29-27 last week).
|10-02-16||Titans v. Texans -4.5||20-27||Win||100||77 h 54 m||Show|
Tennessee is every bit as inconsistent as they have looked so far this season. Houston is not an easy place to visit. TENNESSEE is 1-10 ATS L/11 versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.TENNESSEE is 0-11 ATS l/11 after gaining 6 or more yards/play in their previous game, which amazing happened. Favorites like Houston- off a road loss, a, winning side with a .600 to .750 win % or more are 42-17 ATS . Houston has covered and won 4 straight in this series and one more win is now on the way.
|10-02-16||Colts -2.5 v. Jaguars||27-30||Loss||-110||74 h 15 m||Show|
The NFL returns to London on Sunday as the winless Jacksonville Jaguars take on the Indianapolis Colts in a Week 4 battle between AFC South rivals at Wembley Stadium. Im betting the Jags disappointing season continues here today. Note:HC Pagano is 6-0 ATS L/6 when playing against a lower tier team with a below .500 Win Pct.
Play on the Colts to cover 1 unit reg selection
|10-01-16||Arizona +13.5 v. UCLA||24-45||Loss||-106||84 h 8 m||Show|
The game last week against for UCLA was heart breaking vs Stanford as they lost a close game that the team as a whole played their hearts out in. Now in a emotional letdown followup against Arizona , Im betting covering this number vs a under rated group will prove more difficult than the linesmakers and pundits expect .UCLA is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games when playing on a Saturday are 1-11 ATS in games played on a natural surface.
Arizona to cover 1 unit reg selection
|10-01-16||Astros -105 v. Angels||3-0||Win||100||12 h 35 m||Show|
Astros RH Collin McHugh (12-10, 4.53 ERA) vs. Angels LH Tyler Skaggs (3-3, 4.13)
McHugh has allowed two runs or fewer in five of his past six starts and has not lost a decision since Aug. 13 against Toronto. He has has seen his team win his L/7 starts vs the Halos and Im betting on another win tonight for the Astros.
Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection
|10-01-16||Padres +121 v. Diamondbacks||5-9||Loss||-100||11 h 41 m||Show|
Padres LH Clayton Richard (3-3, 2.98 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Archie Bradley (7-9, 5.15)
Richard owns a solid record vs the Diamondbacks and is 8-2 with a 3.72 ERA in 12 career starts.Padres are 4-0 in Richards last 4 road starts vs. Diamondbacks.Padres are 6-0 in Richards last 6 starts overall. The DBacks are 0-9 against the money line in home games after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no runs this season (which just happened).
Play on the SD Padres to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection
|10-01-16||Michigan State -5 v. Indiana||21-24||Loss||-110||4 h 42 m||Show|
Dantonio is on of the top coaches in football, and will have his team ready to operate in top form this week after last weeks embarrassing loss to a very physical Wisconsin team. Meanwhile, Indiana side has shown some inconsistencies this season, so far losing a 33-28 decision to Wake Forest last week despite of out gaining the Deacons. It must be noted that HC Wilson is 0-10 ATS L/10 after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game as the coach of the Hoosies losing SU by an average of 10.3 ppg.
Michigan State to cover 1 unit reg selection
|10-01-16||Florida Atlantic v. Florida International +7||31-33||Win||100||96 h 56 m||Show|
|10-01-16||UTEP v. Louisiana Tech -18.5||7-28||Win||100||80 h 29 m||Show|
LA TECH is 8-1 ATS L/9 versus poor rushing defenses - allowing >=200 rushing yards/game with the average victory coming by 24.3 ppg, which is where I believe the chalk line should be. LATech is also 11-2 ATS L/13 at home vs a sub .500 side outscored by +17 ppg, like UTEP, winning SU by an average of 24 ppg. Note: UTEPS HC Kugler is 0-7 ATS L/7 in road games after a loss by 17 or more points in all games, losing SU by an average of 33.7 ppg. Utep lost to S.Miss last time out 34-7.
LA Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection
|10-01-16||Kentucky +35.5 v. Alabama||6-34||Win||100||59 h 36 m||Show|
Kentucky is not a bad a team as many pundits might think, and Alabama despite of being a power house national championship contender , will usually do just enough to get wins, vs lower tier programs especially at home. Having great coaching, the Tide know when to preserve their energy and use it optimally, and the Cats are not a team that they will rev up their proverbial engines for. Alabama is 0-10 ATS L/10 in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 250 or more passing yards/game like Kentucky.
Kentucky to cover 1 unit reg selection
|10-01-16||Utah +2.5 v. California||23-28||Loss||-115||106 h 42 m||Show|
|10-01-16||Indians -120 v. Royals||6-3||Win||100||7 h 48 m||Show|
Indians RH Trevor Bauer (12-8, 4.26 ERA) vs. Royals RH Edinson Vólquez (10-11, 5.37)
Royals feeling down after being eliminated from post season play, and now start Edinson Volquez on Saturday. He is 0-1 with a 7.77 ERA and opponents are hitting .324 off him in five September starts. He gave up 12 doubles and four home runs among 33 hits in 24 1/3 innings. Royals are 1-5 in Volquezs last 6 home starts.Royals are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Indians are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings. The Indians are 13-1 L/14 against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game like KC.
Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection
|10-01-16||San Jose State +9.5 v. New Mexico||41-48||Win||100||104 h 36 m||Show|