|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|03-15-19||Xavier +6.5 v. Villanova||67-71||Win||100||10 h 48 m||Show|
Big East Conference Tournament - Semifinals - New York, NY
Xavier entered this tournament playing their best basketball of the season, winning 6 of their L/7 games, and then won game 1 of the big East tournament with 63-61 win vs Creighton. On Feb 23rd of this season Xavier proved they matchup well vs Villanova winning by a 66-54 count so they have confidence entering this tilt with their abilities to not only compete but to upset the Wildcats. Meanwhile, Villanova lost 5 of their L/8 games tilts entering the tourney, and despite of taking out Providence in their big East opener, just don't look as explosive as they did last season, mostly because of their youth and inexperience as compared to last years national championship team. It must also be noted Villanova has had a hell of time in game 2s of this tourney, going just 1-10 ATS L/11 opportunities. With that said, Im betting that if Villy wins here and advances it wont come easily, thus taking points will be golden.
A potential NCAA Tournament berth hangs in the balance for the Musketeers. Xavier's currently No. 70 in the NCAA NET rankings and Creighton's up to No. 54 after winning five in a row. So from a motivational factor alone we have a desperate team to back.
Play on Xavier to cover
|03-15-19||Nebraska v. Wisconsin UNDER 127||62-66||Loss||-110||4 h 38 m||Show|
Big Ten Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Chicago, IL
Im expecting a very physical Big 10 affair that stays on the low side of the Total.
WISCONSIN is 9-2 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games this season with a combined average odf123 pig scored.
CBB Neutral court teams against the total (WISCONSIN) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in three consecutive games, on Friday games are 32-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.
Wisconsin/ Nebraska UNDER
|03-15-19||George Mason +3.5 v. St Bonaventure||57-68||Loss||-105||6 h 36 m||Show|
Atlantic Ten Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Brooklyn, NY
This line signifies a close game, which in effect makes my decision to take the points here valid considering that since the start of 2017-18, Mason is 13-3 in A-10 games decided by five points or less. That includes an 11-3 mark in the regular season and 2-0 record in the A-10 Tournament. Meanwhile, the Bonnies are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.and are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games are also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
CBB Neutral court teams as an underdog (GEORGE MASON) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 131-78 ATS L/22 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.
Play on George Mason to cover
|03-15-19||Connecticut +10.5 v. Houston||45-84||Loss||-115||4 h 55 m||Show|
AAC Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Memphis, TN
UConn men's basketball used a balanced attack and hot-shooting from the field to earn an 80-73 win over the USF Bulls and enter this game with momentum. The Huskies have covered 4 straight in this series and must be respected as underdogs in this spot vs Houston.
CBB Neutral court teams (CONNECTICUT) - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog are 38-22 SU L/22 seasons for a 63% conversion rate.
Play on UConn to cover
|03-14-19||Mavs v. Nuggets -11||99-100||Loss||-107||10 h 28 m||Show|
Dallas has lost six straight and 11 of 12 and I personally dont like their current form.Dallas had more adversity Wednesday when its flight to Denver was delayed by a snowstorm, dubbed the "bomb cyclone" blew through Colorado and will now be completely exhausted entering this game and could easily end up on the wrong end of a ugly DD beatdown. Also star euro Doncics is also hobbled and if he plays could be hobbled. With that said, Im going to lay DDs here in a contest that does not favor visiting Dallas in the the thin air of the Mile High City tonight.
DENVER is 17-4 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins this season with the average point diff clicking in at 11.7 ppg.
NBA Road underdogs of +375 or higher vs. the money line (DALLAS) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, in March games are 1-82 SU L/22 seasons for a99%conversion rate with the average score diff clicking in at 13.5 ppg.
Play on Denver to cover
|03-14-19||UCLA v. Arizona State -4.5||72-83||Win||100||8 h 6 m||Show|
Pac 12 Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Las Vegas, NV
Even though the grabbed a season-finale victory against the Arizona Wildcats this past Saturday, there is still a chance ASU misses the NCAA Tournament. Needless to say they need s wins and will come out here against UCLA like gang busters.
Arizona State is Second in the Pac-12 in scoring (77.7)
UCLA is 2-9 ATS as an underdog this season. ARIZONA ST is 6-0 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.
No.2 seeds are 11-2 ATS since 2014 when they are 6 pointer less favs.
Play on Arizona State to cover
|03-14-19||New Mexico v. Utah State -13||83-91||Loss||-104||2 h 57 m||Show|
Utah State enters this game on fire having on 7 straight games and 14 of their L/15 overall and must be respected even as DD favs here vs an over matched New Mexico side. During its recent seven-game winning streak, Utah State is shooting 46.2 percent from the floor, 33.1 percent from behind the 3-point line and 74.2 percent at the free throw line. Utah is well rested after conference play, whihc is a good omen as they are UTAH ST is 10-1 ATS L/11 when playing with 7 or more days rest with the average point diff clicking in at 13.9 ppg.
NEW MEXICO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. with the average point diff clicking in at 17.9 ppg.
CBB Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (UTAH ST) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG or more ) against a good offensive team (74-76 PPG) are 51-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Utah State to cover
|03-14-19||Lakers +10.5 v. Raptors||98-111||Loss||-110||8 h 36 m||Show|
The Raptors,are off getting manhandled by the Cleveland last time out by a 126-101 count and lost Serge Ibaka to a three-game suspension for a fight during the game. He is a key cog in this teams flow and Im betting it will directly effect their ability to cover the number vs a Lakers squad looking for positives despite of having LeBron James healthy and in the lineup. The Raps Kyle Lowry will play, despite of some nagging injuries , but overall he has looked distracted lately and has constantly been arguing with referees.Im betting his negative mood will have a direct effect on his teammates.
The Lakers are 12-1 ATS L/12 off a 10+ win facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws.LA LAKERS are 9-1 ATS n road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons
The Raptors are 0-10 ATS at home with rest off a road game in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes. TORONTO is 12-23 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season.
Play on the LA Lakers to cover
|03-14-19||Cavs v. Magic OVER 211.5||91-120||Loss||-108||7 h 16 m||Show|
The Magic played a defensive minded game last night and ended up on the short end of a 100-90 defeat at the hands of the Washington Wizards. The Magic now even more desperate for wins as they pursue a play off spot should be ready to let loose here and leave nothing to chance while, the now capable Cavs behind Kevin Love should fire back in unison. This Im betting leads to a higher scoring tilt than the lines makers have projected.
The Magic are 9-0 OVER with no rest facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average score of 233.5 ppg scored.
The Cavaliers are 14-1 OVER off a road game in which they scored 10 or more points in the fourth than the first quarter with a combined average of 222.5 ppg scored.
CLEVELAND is 13-4 OVER off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 223.3 ppg scored. The Cavaliers are 27-7-1 OVER L/35 with rest after playing as a road dog facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average of 224.2 ppg scored.
NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (ORLANDO) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 39-14 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.
|03-14-19||Virginia Tech v. Florida State +1.5||63-65||Win||100||7 h 25 m||Show|
Florida State, the tournament’s No. 4 seed, takes on fifth-seeded Virginia Tech – which they beat in Tallahassee last week – at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, N.C. and have the advantage again despite of the Hokies desperation factor.
The Seminoles have a spot in the Big Dance guaranteed, having won 11 of their last 12 games and finishing fourth in the nation’s staunchest basketball conference. But despite of this they still are very motivated to get wins. QUOTE: “We want to make it as far as we can and then just use that as momentum going into the (NCAA) tournament,” junior guard Trent Forrest said. “So I would say we just want to stay locked in and continue to win games.” END QUOTE. Also the Seminoles will be very motivated for the rematch, regardless of any big-picture implications as when they played last week, they were taken to the brink by VTech and had to win in OT.
The difference maker Im betting tonight will come via a very deep bench, while the Hokies’ rotation only goes about seven deep. Considering their starters played at least 28 minutes against Miami last time out – and now playing again today after playing yesterday will be on tired legs giving the Seminoles the edge.
Hokies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Hokies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Seminoles are 6-1-2 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games.
Play on Florida State to cover
|03-14-19||NC State +11.5 v. Virginia||56-76||Loss||-115||4 h 59 m||Show|
NC State used a strong second-half surge to come back and defeat Clemson on Wednesday and have momentum entering this tilt vs No.1 seed Virginia and defending ACC champion . Note:defending champion in the ACC tournament is 4-13-1 ATS as a favorite in its first round game the following season since 2001 campaign.UVA posted a 66-65 overtime win at NC State this season, in a tilt that proved to me that the Wolfpack's style gave the Cavaliers alot of problems and Im betting they will irritate Virginia again today.
NC State defeated Virginia 75-56 in the last meeting between the teams at the ACC Tournament in 2013.
Take the points with the NC State to cover
|03-14-19||La Salle v. Rhode Island UNDER 137.5||57-76||Win||100||5 h 39 m||Show|
Atlantic Ten Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Brooklyn, NY
Both these teams have averaged under 70 points in offensive output this season, and both exhibit long stretches of below average FG conversion rates. With that being an early start game, Im betting those outputs will be exasperated and exaggerated in a physical low energy environment that will see this game stay under the set total.
CBB Neutral court teams against the total (RHODE ISLAND) - after 3 or more consecutive overs, an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG differential) against a poor team (-3.5 to -8 PPG differential) are 30-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 129.1 ppg scored.
|03-13-19||DePaul +5.5 v. St. John's||74-82||Loss||-111||13 h 7 m||Show|
Big East Conference Tournament - First Round - New York, NY
The Blue Demons enter the 2019 tournament with six total games of BIG EAST Tournament experience on the active roster and must be respected as underdogs vs St.Johns.
DePaul has outrebounded the opponent in 21 of 29 games and Im betting they have an edge again as they have won 15 of those 21 games SU. DePaul won both regular season meetings, three of the last four and get the nod to be competitive again and even pull off the SU upset.
ST JOHNS is 1-8 ATS in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
CBB team (ST JOHNS) - after 3 or more consecutive overs, an excellent offensive team (76 PPG or more) against a poor defensive team (74-76 PPG) after 15+ games are 43-76 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.
Play on DePaul to cover
|03-13-19||Pistons v. Heat -1||74-108||Win||100||13 h 15 m||Show|
The Heat are off a down effort last time out against vs the Raptors which ended a 4 game win streak. Tonight vs the visiting crew from Motown Im betting the Heat bounce back in what is a more favourable matchup, behind a third ranked D and an offence that is virtually equal with that of the Pistons. MIAMI is 21-8 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons and are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record like the Pistons.
The Heat are 12-0-1 ATS /13-0 SU as a favorite off a loss in a home game in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers.
The Pistons are 3-21 ATS and 0-24 SU L/24 as a road dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss as a dog in which they scored fewer than 85 point
DETROIT is 3-11 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season. DETROIT is 8-22 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 21-9 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.
NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MIAMI) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a home favorite are 27-6 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Miami Heat to cover
|03-13-19||Grizzlies -1 v. Hawks||111-132||Loss||-110||7 h 60 m||Show|
Memphis turned over a lot of its roster at the deadline, it has gone 5-4 since the All-Star Game and has won four of its last five and deserves our attention here vs the young Atlanta Hawks. With key Grizzlies Cog Conley having performed well in the past vs the Hawks averaging 15.6 points and 7.1 assists in 17 career games against the Hawks I look for him to be the catalyst for a Memphis win and cover here tonight.Memphis won the first meeting 131-117 in October and get the nod again. Hey I know perceptions and sometimes be powerful, and alot like the way the young Hawks have played, but they are still highly inconsistent and not a viable bet in spots like this as they are coming off a home win vs a New Orelans team that has given up on their season. Note: ATLANTA is 1-8 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins this seasonATLANTA is 4-16 ATS in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons and is 9-23 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.
The Grizzlies are 12-0 ATS /SUwith rest off a win as a favorite in which they had at least 25% of their points from free throws.
NBA Home teams (ATLANTA) - an explosive offensive team (102 or more PPG) against a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games are 20-50 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover
|03-13-19||Bucknell +4 v. Colgate||80-94||Loss||-110||11 h 27 m||Show|
Bucknell goes for their third straight Patriot League Championship tonight vs Colgate as underdogs. Bucknell has won 8 straight Patriot League tournament games, and must be respected here as underdogs because of their pedigree and top tier coaching. Yes, this game is Colgate, and I know that Bucknell has lost 3 straight road games, but despite of this there is just to much value to pass up here with this type of team.
Play on Bucknell to cover
|03-13-19||Notre Dame +7.5 v. Louisville||53-75||Loss||-105||3 h 19 m||Show|
ACC Conference Tournament - Second Round - Charlotte, NC
Bringing their depleted roster to Charlotte and entering the tournament on the heels of a seven-game losing streak, not much was expected of Mike Brey’s squad , but thye found a way to get by Georgia Tech and advance to this tilt vs Louisville. Meanwhile, the Cardinal despite fo a decent record this season, struggled down the stretch, losing 6 of their L/8 and have not been very consistent on the road this season and have won just five of 11 games. Im betting on the luck of the Irish to be prevalent today and for them to somehow find a way to be competetive.
CBB Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (LOUISVILLE) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against a terrible shooting team (40%or less) are 16-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion for bettors on the blind.
Play on Notre Dame to cover
|03-13-19||California v. Colorado UNDER 139||51-56||Win||100||1 h 22 m||Show|
California enters this game playing possibly their best hoops of the season, and have held their last two opponents 69, and 59 point outputs. In a surprising road victory vs the Buffs back in January the former Bad News Bears sprung the 68-59 upset and now have a success-full defensive blue print that should see this game played similarly to the first one and a total score that is also similar.
COLORADO is 8-0 UNDER after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite this season with a combined average of 135 ppg scored.
CALIFORNIA is 12-1 UNDER revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 season with a combined average of 131.8 ppg going on the board.
642 Colorado/ California UNDER
|03-13-19||Fordham v. Richmond -4||50-52||Loss||-110||7 h 47 m||Show|
Richmond is averaging 70.8 points per game on 47.7% shooting from the field, 35.1% from behind the arc and 66.6% from the foul line this season. Fordham averaging just 56.2 ppg in their L/5.
Neubauer is 0-7 ATS in all neutral court games as the coach of FORDHAM.
FORDHAM is 8-20 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.
FORDHAM is 4-14 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.
Richmond to cover
|03-13-19||Arizona v. USC +2||65-78||Win||100||2 h 12 m||Show|
Pac 12 Conference Tournament - First Round - Las Vegas, NV
My own projections make the wrong team the favorite here today. Defensively, the Trojans often use a 2-3 zone often, and held UA to under 30 percent shooting on Jan. 24. Rinse and repeat.
ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season.ARIZONA is 0-7 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 36-19 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1997.USC is 6-0 ATS as a neutral court favorite or pick over the last 2 seasons.
Play on USC
|03-13-19||Clemson v. NC State +2||58-59||Win||100||4 h 16 m||Show|
ACC Conference Tournament - Second Round - Charlotte, NC
NC State closed the regular season in top tier fashion, going on the road to defeat Boston College, 73-47, and now have momentum entering this tilt against Clemson. The Pack's bench is averaging 30.6 points per game and has outscored the opponent's bench by 448 points this season and that will be the difference maker here today.
Note: In ACC games, NC St shot better on the road than at home. NC State converted on 43.7% from the field and 38% from three-point range in conference road games this season.
CLEMSON is 4-14 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997
NC STATE is 6-0 ATS in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season and is 7-1 AT in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less this season and also 8-2 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season.
NC STATE is 6-0 ATS in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season.
622 North Carolina State to cover
|03-12-19||Spurs v. Mavs +5||112-105||Loss||-110||10 h 23 m||Show|
Dallas has lost 5 straight and San Antonio has won 5 straight. But current form usually goes out the window when these instate NBA rivals go to head. In recent meetings the Spurs have failed to cover 8 straight meetings vs the Mavs when they are not getting points like tonight. With Dallas out looking for same season double revenge in this series Im betting they will be highly motivated . Note:Dallas’14-3 ATS as a underdog in this series when playing with same- season double revenge.
The Mavericks are 23-3 ATS/22-4 SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range.
The Spurs are 2-16 ATS with rest when they won 2 straight vs current opponent and are 0-10 ATS when they won 3 straight vs current opponent.
Play on Dallas to cover
|03-12-19||Knicks v. Pacers -11.5||98-103||Loss||-115||11 h 1 m||Show|
From what Ive seen from the Knicks of late tells me a story of a team that is in tank mode and has no fight left in them at all. It looks very much like the famous swan dive for draft picks is on. With that said, Im going to do something that I do on the rare occasion and that is to lay DDs with the more motivated team the Indiana Pacers. Note: INDIANA is 8-0 ATS in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or less - 2nd half of the season this season with the average victory coming by 15.8 ppg.
Indiana took out the Knicks on Jan 11 at MSG by a 121 -106 count and a similar score is not out of the question in the rematch.
The Knicks are 0-13 ATS/SU as a 8+ dog with less than two days rest off a loss as a road dog in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws with every loss coming by more than this asking price
The Knicks are 0-13 ATS/SU on the road after a game as a road dog in which they had less than 10% of their points from free throws with the average point diff clicking in at -13.5 ppg.
The Knicks are 0-12 ATS/SU with less than two days rest off a loss as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebound with the average point diff clicking in at -16.1 ppg.
NBA Road underdogs of +375 or higher vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, in March games are 1-80 SU L/22 seasons with the combined average point diff clicking in at -13.9 ppg.
Play on Indiana to cover
|03-12-19||Northern Kentucky v. Wright State||77-66||Win||100||2 h 10 m||Show|
The N.Kentucky Norse are a team that can beat you with an explosive offense or a stingy D, while Wright State is more a defensive type team. The Norse averaged 80 points per game in the regular season, and was showcased in the quarterfinals in a 99-88 victory . They followed that with physical battle in a 64-63 win over Oakland in the semifinal and once again Im betting they have the edge here. Both teams split the seasons series, both winning on home court but on a neutral court my projections favor N.Kentucky by 3 thus according to my estimates we have value on a pickem line.
Norse are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games.
Play on N.Kentucky to cover
|03-12-19||Pittsburgh -1 v. Boston College||80-70||Win||100||2 h 5 m||Show|
Pitt had a horrendous game and shot just 29.0 percent (20-of-69) from the field in a nine-point loss at Boston College earlier this season, but this Pittsburgh team has shown alot of grit of late, and beat Notre Dame last time out, and now have the confidence to make two in row here against a side that is just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
. Panthers lead the ACC with 16.4 made free throws per game and Im betting that will be the difference maker here today against Boston College.
Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.PITTSBURGH is 15-3 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE since 1997.
Play on Pittsburgh to cover
|03-12-19||Fairleigh Dickinson +4.5 v. St Francis PA||85-76||Win||100||2 h 38 m||Show|
The Knights captured a share of the NEC regular season title for the first time since 2006 and are set to take on SFU in a battle of the conference's top teams. The Red Flash and Knights were also picked No.1 and No. 2 in the conference preseason poll. With a championship title and a trip the NCAA tourney on the line Im betting on these teams fighting tooth to nail, and for the points to end being golden.The Knights are the top team in the NEC in field goal percentage (47.3%), three-point field goal percentage (40.0%), scoring margin (4.0), assist/turnover ratio (1.1), steals (7.8) and turnover margin (1.3). The Knights 40 percent conversion rate from behind the arc is fifth in the nation and their 47.1 percent field-goal percentage is 43rd. Look for their proficient shooting to the difference maker here tonight for the cover.
Play on Fairleigh Dickinson to cover
|03-12-19||Hartford -1 v. Maryland-Baltimore County||85-90||Loss||-110||1 h 30 m||Show|
Going 11-5 in America East play this season, UMBC's lone home loss came against Hartford and they lost the season series and Im betting they lose here again tonight. The difference maker will behind one of the schools all time greatLynch who has been red of late, as he enters the conference semifinals riding Hartford's longest active double-figure scoring streak at 13 gamesHe has been the catalyst for Hartford in his last seven games — a stretch that has seen the team go 7-2 — by averaging 19.4 ppg Lynch is shooting 55 percent shooting over his last nine, including a 26-for-49 clip (53%) from three. Maryland Baltimore has no answers for this top tier player. Hartford to cover
|03-12-19||Northeastern v. Hofstra OVER 145||82-74||Win||100||1 h 8 m||Show|
Colonial Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Charleston, SC
Hofstra is a prolific offensive teams averaging more than 83 ppg and wont be stopped here as Northeastern will have to open up something they are capable of doing as they average 78.3 ppg in conference action this season.
HOFSTRA 8 games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season a combined average of 152.1 ppg scored.HOFSTRA is 12-2 OVER (+9.8 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 165.5 ppg scored .
|03-12-19||Notre Dame v. Georgia Tech OVER 126.5||78-71||Win||100||7 h 53 m||Show|
ACC Conference Tournament - First Round - Charlotte, NC
Georgia Tech enters todays game against Notre Dame off two consecutive wins vs Boston College (81-78 in overtime at home) and NC State (63-61 on the road) . In an attempt to make of offense more productive, Georgia Tech returned to a one-post starting alignment for its last seven games, with James Banks III starting in the middle with four perimeter players. It has invigorated and buoyed the Yellow Jackets’ to their four highest point totals since Jan. 12 and three of its best shooting efforts since Jan. 22. Tech has averaged 64.0 points, hit 43.7 percent of hits field goals and 34.3 percent of its three-point shots in its last seven games, compared to 53.9 points, 38.2 percent from the floor and 23.8 percent on threes in the previous eight games and I expect them to push the pace again and make Notre Dame come out of their shell and put points on the board as well.
Over is 4-1 in Yellow Jackets last 5 neutral site games.
GEORGIA TECH is 6-0 OVER L/6 in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 142.7 ppg.
GEORGIA TECH L/19 games when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 3 seasons . as seen a combined average score of 133.6 ppg scored.
CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (NOTRE DAME) - cold team - having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 40-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.
CBBNeutral court teams where the total is 129.5 or less (GEORGIA TECH) - after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers are 36-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a for 79% conversion rate for bettors.
|03-11-19||Celtics -1 v. Clippers||115-140||Loss||-107||17 h 33 m||Show|
Boston after a slump looks to be back in gear as the season winds and down and are currently a very dangerous opponent for all comers and especially vs a inconsistent Clippers team that they will be out to beat on here in revenge mode.Note: Boston lost to the Clippers 123-112 in Boston as 11.5-point chalk in February when they were slumping and now have pay back on board.
LA is just 2-8 ATSL/10 at home vs Atlantic Division sides.
BOSTON is 8-1 ATS in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. BOSTON is 37-21 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
The Celtics are 12-0 ATS with rest off a 10+ win as a favorite in which they had 30+ assists.
Rivers is 18-34 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season as the coach of LA CLIPPERS.
NBA team vs the money line (BOSTON) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite, off 3 or more consecutive road wins are 56-21 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.
NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (LA CLIPPERS) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 6-26 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.
NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 19-45 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Boston Celtics to cover
|03-11-19||Celtics v. Clippers UNDER 226||115-140||Loss||-110||14 h 50 m||Show|
After struggling in February the Boston Celtics are back to playing a top tier brand of hoops, that centers around playing a strong brand of defensive basketball . The Celtics currently 4th in ppg allowed and defensive efficiency in the NBA. Tonight against a Clippers team that they have revenge on board against the Clippers for uncharacteristically ugly loss at home by a 123-112 count in feb when they were slumping, Im now betting on them playing a lock down style of defense that will directly effect the overall offensive ouptut of this tilt.
BOSTON is 11-2 UNDER in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 201.1 ppg scored.
BOSTON is 13-2 UNDER in road games versus lower tier defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 213.5 ppg scored.BOSTON is 8-1 UNDER in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this seasonwith a combined average of 215.6 ppg going on the board.The Celtics are 7-34-2 OU UNDER on the road with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points with a combined average score of 185.7 ppg going on the scoreboard.
The Clippers are 0-12 UNDER with more than one day of rest off a win as a favorite in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers with a combined average of 195.2 ppg going on the board.
LA CLIPPERS are 15-4 UNDER L/19 in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 221.5 ppg scored.
NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (BOSTON) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more against opponent off a home win are 36-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettor with a combined average score of 204.7 ppg scored.
|03-11-19||Oakland +5 v. Northern Kentucky||63-64||Win||100||11 h 27 m||Show|
Horizon Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Detroit, MI - Detroit, MI
The Golden Grizzlies head into the semifinals after defeating No. 6 seed Youngstown State, 88-84 in the quarterfinals at the Blacktop at the O'rena.Oakland after a sub par year compared to their usual standards are currently on fire entering this tilt vs N.Kentucky with 5 straight wins. I know on paper N.Kentucky looks like the superior side, but in a tourney game like this the obvious stats are off the table, and instead pedigree and coaching must be respected. Oakland has that in spades, and gets my support here plus the points.
N KENTUCKY is 7-14 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.N KENTUCKY is 1-10 ATS off 3 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 11-3 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Kampe is 21-7 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games as the coach of OAKLAND.
Play on OAKLAND to cover
|03-11-19||Thunder v. Jazz -3||98-89||Loss||-113||13 h 4 m||Show|
Utah is off a loss vs a up trending Memphis team last time out, as they probably made the mistake of over looking them. Note :The Jazz are 13-0 ATS/SU as a favorite off a loss with each game coming in convincing fashion with the average point differential clicking in at 20 ppg. Now in rebound mode, and ready for redemption the Jazz look like good bets at home as short chalk to take out a struggling Oklahoma City. Thunder team that has failed to cover 9 of their L/10 . Yes, the Thunder had 3 wins during this ATS nightmare run, with one win coming in OT vs. the Blazers, one against Memphis in a late ferocious comeback and a 1 point OT win that the Jazz blew numerous opportunities in. So with the Jazz looking fro revenge and redemption right here on their own floor where they are 21-11 SU this season they look very much like viable short favs.
NBA Home teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite are 83-32 SU L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors with the average point diff clicking in at +6.8 ppg.
Play on Utah to cover
|03-11-19||Hornets v. Rockets UNDER 224||106-118||Push||0||11 h 41 m||Show|
As Houston starts gearing up for the play offs, they are beginning to play lock down defence, which has been evident in their L/3 recent wins where they held Toronto, Dallas, and Philadelphia all under 95 points or less. Charlotte in their current form are alos a team the Rockets can easily shut down, and after playing last night wont be in the mood to run and gun anyway, which Im betting aids this game in staying under the set total.
The Rockets are 0-10 L/10 UNDER at home with no rest after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game with a combine average of 193.5 ppg scored.
|03-11-19||Pistons v. Nets -2||75-103||Win||100||13 h 18 m||Show|
Detroit played yesterday in a win vs Chicago and will now play their 6th game in 9 days and 3rd in 4 days , and fatigue could easily play a factor in their ability to extend a 4 game win streak tonight vs the Brooklyn Nets. Meanwhile, Brooklyn has also won 3 straight but are much fresher after a couple days off, and Im betting they will have the extra needed energy on their own home floor to come out of this battle on top.
DETROIT is 11-22 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons.DETROIT is 8-21 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
The Pistons are 0-12 ATS/SU as a road dog off a 10+ win as a home favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end.The Pistons are 0-11 ATS /SU with no rest off a win as a favorite in which they had at least a 10 percent higher BAP than their opponent.
The Nets are 19-3 ATS/21-1 SU as a home favorite with rest off a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.The Nets are 9-0 ATS/SU as a home favorite with rest off a road game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5.
NBA Underdogs vs the money line (DETROIT) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 43-172 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.
Play on Brooklyn to cover
|03-11-19||Pistons v. Nets UNDER 221.5||75-103||Win||100||10 h 49 m||Show|
Detroit won 103-100 win in its season opener on Oct. 17, and Brooklyn claimed a 120-119 overtime victory on Oct. 31. Note: DETROIT is 10-2 UNDER in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points this season with a combined average of 207.7 ppg scored.
These teams current form is different than it was back then, and according to my new projections this game should be played closer to the way the first game was played. With Detroit on tired legs having played yesterday, and this their 3rd game in 4 nights Im betting this Motown crew wont have enough energy to run and gun with the sometimes explosive Nets, and instead will rely on a more conservative defensive brand of basketball, something HC Casey has been unhappy with lately despite of getting victories. DETROIT is 12-3 UNDER in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season and is 8-1 UNDER when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season and 11-1 UNDER after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher over the last 3 seasons.
Recently Brooklyn has seen 4 straight games stay under the total, so their trending to the low side, and are 13-4 UNDER after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games this season which just happened.
Under is 28-10-1 in Pistons last 39 games playing on 0 days rest.Under is 11-4 in Pistons last 15 road games.Under is 27-12-1 in Pistons last 40 Monday games.Under is 32-15-4 in Pistons last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 4-0 in Nets last 4 overall.Under is 8-1 in Nets last 9 Monday games.Under is 4-1 in Nets last 5 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-1 in Nets last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BROOKLYN) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in March games are 49-13 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.
|03-11-19||Ball State v. Eastern Michigan -2||61-43||Loss||-109||11 h 12 m||Show|
Mid American Conference Tournament - First Round
Earlier this season, EMU came away with a thrilling 84-82 victory in double overtime in Muncie and overall thye matchup well vs Ball State. Eastern has held a firm advantage against Ball State in its MAC Tournament history, having won five straight post season meetings. E.Michigan at the Convocation Center in the MAC championship round are 6-2 lifetime .
s versus poor passing teams, averaging 12 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.BALL ST is 1-9 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season.
Road teams as an underdog or pick (BALL ST) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after 3 straight games where both teams score 70 points or less are 2-26 L/22 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.
Play on Eastern Michigan to cover
|03-11-19||Western Michigan +9 v. Central Michigan||67-81||Loss||-109||2 h 8 m||Show|
Mid American Conference Tournament - First Round
Central Michigan won both regular-season matchups against Western Michigan this year by 21 and seven points in the W Michigan finale, and from a records perspective it might seem that there is an obvious edge here laying the points with the Chippewas. However, from a key power ranking post season system I consistently use, Im betting their is value with the under valued underdog. They played the Chips tough just the other day, in a strong 2nd half surge and had a 14-1 run at one point, and they now have confidence and the ability to be a headache for the Central Michigan again.Underdog is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings.
Play on Western Michigan to cover
|03-10-19||Bucks +1.5 v. Spurs||114-121||Loss||-113||6 h 9 m||Show|
San Antonio (37-29) welcomes the league-leading Milwaukee Bucks (50-16) to its home court. Unfortunately for the Spurs they will be playing what has been a lousy guest for most of this season, as is evident by the Bucks 23-11 SU road record. On a pickem line the Bucks get my support in this spot. I know the Spurs are fresher than the Bucks , but Milwaukee has been resilient and shown how well conditioned they are in the past as is evident by 14-3 ATS record in road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons. The Bucks are 12-1 ATS /12-1 SU as a road favorite with no rest off a home game.
The Bucks are 19-2 ATS /20-1 SU as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a home game in which they scored a least 18 fast break points.
The Spurs are 0-11 ATS/SU when the line is within 3 of pick with more than one day of rest off a win as a favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end.
MILWAUKEE is 7-0 ATS in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season and is 12-4 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
Milwaukee to cover
|03-10-19||Rockets v. Mavs +8.5||94-93||Win||100||10 h 32 m||Show|
Im not accusing Mark Cuban of anything other than being a highly intelligent and devious business man, when I say, that they're is a possibility and not a conspiracy theory of him wanting his team to tank down the stretch for a higher draft pick, and maybe just maybe in closed door circumstances making his wishes known to the coaching staff. Just look at the Mavericks current run , and you get the feeling that this is what's going on. Also knowing that Cuban is a big time hoops fan, Im betting, if my crazy theory were right, that tanking would be put on the shelf for this one game against instate NBA rivals Houston coming to town. Ok all tongue and cheek conspiracy theories aside, my projections say this number is a little bloated and we have value with the home dog with revenge on board to cover.
Note: DALLAS is 21-12 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points this season. (Rockets beat Cavs 120-104 at home earlier this season)
D'Antoni is 15-30 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season as the coach of HOUSTON.
The Rockets are 0-11 ATS /SU on the road with rest off a win in a home game after allowing 15+ points less than Vegas projected.The Rockets are 0-13 ATS as a 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a win facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game .The Rockets are 3-19 ATS L/22 with rest off a 10+ win when they are off two games in which they had double-digit steals and have failed to cover 11 straight under those perimeters.
The Mavericks are 13-0 ATS as a home dog after playing as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game.
NBA team (HOUSTON) - after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 13-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Dallas to cover
|03-10-19||Magic v. Grizzlies +1.5||97-105||Win||100||8 h 55 m||Show|
Memphis, has won three of its past four games, including an impressive 114-104 victory over the visiting Utah Jazz last time out and must not be underestimated as short home chalk or dogs vs the Orlando Magic here today in the spoilers role. Orlando has won 8 of their L/13 and is after a play off birth. However like Mick Jagger and the Rolling Stones state, You don't; always get what you want."
The Magic are 0-9 ATS/SU L/9 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest after playing as a home favorite.
ORLANDO is 17-32 ATS after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 season and s 18-34 ATS as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NBA team vs the money line (MEMPHIS) - off an upset win by 10 points or more as a home underdog, on Sunday games are 30-11 SU L/5 seasons and 5-0 SU this season.
The Grizzlies are 11-0-1 ATS L/12 at home off a 10+ win as a dog in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers.The Grizzlies are 10-0 ATS /9-1 SU at home off a 10+ win as a dog in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers with the one loss coming on the last possession. The Grizzlies are 13-1 ATS L/14 at home off a 10+ win as a dog.
NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ORLANDO) - average shooting team (43.5-45.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 27-53 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Memphis to cover
|03-10-19||Pelicans v. Hawks -1||116-128||Win||100||4 h 49 m||Show|
Atlanta is coming off a 114-112 loss to Brooklyn on Saturday night. The Hawks have dropped three straight but they are a young team with alot of promise. With Jrue Holiday out, and Anthony Davis missing form the lineup because of injuries the Pelicans are fade material here in this spot vs a hungry side, that like some other non play off teams in the league are still playing hard as was evident yesterday. The Hawks are 16-3 ATSnwith no rest after they shot worse than 25% from beyond the arc with at least 20 attempts.
The Hawks are 8-0 ATS/SU off a loss in a home game when they shot worse than 40 percent from the field their last two.
ATLANTA is 28-16 ATS off a home loss over the last 2 seasons.Gentry is 10-25 ATS against Southeast division opponents as the coach of NEW ORLEANS.The Pelicans are 0-9 ATS /SU when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game.
Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover
|03-10-19||East Tennessee State +6.5 v. Wofford||72-81||Loss||-110||5 h 58 m||Show|
Southern Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Asheville, NCWofford is a great team and could even be a NCAA dark horse candidate, but today Im betting they will be tested by a sleeper pick in Eastern Tenn St .East Tennessee State lost 79-62 at Wofford on Dec. 1, then gave the Terriers at 78-76 overtime scare in the rematch Feb. 7 in Johnson City, Tenn and now on a neutral court environment have an edge getting generous points. E TENN ST is 6-0 ATS in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.E TENN ST is 21-9 ATS in road games in conference tournament games since 1997.Terriers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.Terriers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games.Play on E Tenn State to cover
|03-10-19||Northern Iowa v. Bradley -1.5||54-57||Win||100||3 h 2 m||Show|
Missouri Valley Conference Tournament - Championship Game - ST Louis, MO
In this tourney environment D, is of the most utmost importance and Bradely according to my cross reference rankings stands up well to a N.Iowa offense that has average just a little more than 63 ppg on the road this season.
N IOWA is 11-28 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better over the last 3 seasons.N IOWA is 9-21 ATS after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 season.
BRADLEY is 13-3 ATS after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons. BRADLEY is 8-1 ATS after allowing 55 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
CBB favorite (N IOWA) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after a win by 6 points or less are 14-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.
Bradley to cover
|03-10-19||Bulls +8 v. Pistons||108-131||Loss||-104||2 h 36 m||Show|
The Detroit Pistons took their biggest comeback of the season against the Chicago Bulls on Friday. The Bulls will now have revenge and redemption on board for that embarrassing collapse and will play hard today and Im betting get is the cover.
The Pistons are 0-11 ATS failing to cover by more than 13 ppg as a favorite with less than two days rest after a game as a road favorite in which they scored 10 or more points in the fourth than the first quarter.
The Bulls are 15-1 ATS on the road off a home game after allowing 50-plus points in the paint.
NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) - tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 56-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.CHICAGO is 21-7 ATS in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 3 seasons.
Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover
|03-10-19||Houston v. Cincinnati -2||85-69||Loss||-107||3 h 49 m||Show|
No. 12 Houston visits 20th-ranked Cincinnati on Sunday afternoon bidding to capture its first outright league championship, but Bearcats will not go easily here on Seniors day, because if they win they get a share of the conference title. When these teams played last month the Cougars came up with a 65-58 win in bizarre game, that saw the Bearcats fail to score in the final 6 minutes of the game. Now Kevin Sampson and company travel to the Fifth Street Arena to face a hoops program that is 6-0 in their L/6 home games and 9-0 SU L/9 at home in this series. Also Mick Cronins group is 6-1 SU/ATS in same season home revenge tilts . With that said, Im betting home court advantage will be a key factor here today in the Bearcats delivering the cash to their backers.
CBB home team (CINCINNATI) - after failing to cover the spread in 7 or more consecutive games are 45-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Cincinnati to cover
|03-09-19||Suns v. Blazers UNDER 228.5||120-127||Loss||-110||9 h 29 m||Show|
Im betting the Suns a team on a 3 game win streak, and off allowing their last opponent to score under 100 points will try to keep the blueprint of playing a tighter brand of defensive ball continue to take its course. Meanwhile, Portland off a run and gun gruelling OT game vs the Thunder last time out will have a bit of a reversion, which Im betting helps this combined score say under the Total.
PHOENIX in 37 games when playing against a team with a winning record this season has seen a combined average score of 221.1 ppg. PHOENIX in 44 games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season have seen a combined average score of 223.2 ppg scored.
The Trailblazers are 0-14-1 UNDER as a home favorite after a game as a home favorite in which they had an assist percentage at least 10 worse than their season-to-date average of 193.7 ppg going on the board. The Suns are 0-11-1 UNDER L/12 as a dog off a 10+ win as a favorite when the line is at least 12 points higher than their last game.
None of the 5 most recent games in this series dating back to last season have eclipsed this totals number that is being offered.
|03-09-19||Oregon +4.5 v. Washington||55-47||Win||100||12 h 13 m||Show|
Washington has the No.1 seed in the upcoming PAC 12 tourney locked up, and could find themselves less motivated than usual vs Oregon Ducks teams fighting for tourney seeding and currently playing their best basketball of the season as they enter this game on a 3 game winning streak. I know its not easy playing against the Huskies 2-3 zone D, but after already seeing it once this season, should be much more prepared then they were the first time they played back in Oregon losing by a 61-56 count. Note: Oregon has won and covered its last two visits here.
OREGON is 17-4 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival over the last 3 seasons, which was the case against Wash State last time out.
Altman is 41-20 ATS in March games as the coach of OREGON.
Play on Oregon to cover
|03-09-19||Tulsa v. Memphis -7.5||63-66||Loss||-110||14 h 45 m||Show|
Penney Hardaway and company have some big time pay back on board here on Seniors night, for a DD loss they suffered to Tulsa on the road back in late January, and will now be ready to hand out a similar merciless effort in this their home finale. It must be noted that Tulsa is just 1-12 ATS the last 13 in a loss vs a avenging side.
TULSA is 0-6 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 10-1 ATS after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons and is 31-10 ATS in home games in March games since 1997.
Play on Memphis to cover
|03-09-19||Wichita State -9.5 v. Tulane||82-79||Loss||-110||9 h 12 m||Show|
Wichita State in its regular season finale enters this tilt in top form having won 8 of their L/10 games, and 3 of their L/4 on the road and Tulane is not as they endure a 17 game losing streak and playing with little to no inspiration and will just want their pain to end here today. The Shockers will have no problem putting them out of their misery. Note: WSU is rebuilding this year behind 10 newcomers but has faced one of the nation's toughest schedules and is now reaping the benefits of tough schedule.
WICHITA ST is 8-0 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games this season.WICHITA ST is 6-0 ATS after 3 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers this season
CBB Road teams as favorite or pick (WICHITA ST) - playing only their 3rd game in a week, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a terrible team (20% or less) are 47-13 ATS L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Wichita State
|03-09-19||Michigan +3.5 v. Michigan State||63-75||Loss||-109||11 h 6 m||Show|
Michigan enters this game vs Big 10 and instate rival Michigan State with revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Spartys a couple of weeks ago at home. The Wolverines HC Jim Beilein teams was uncharacteristically out of position alot that night , becasue Izzo changed up his D completely. However don't worry about old Jimmy as he is one of the best minds in the game and will adjust accordingly this time out. It must also be noted that the Spartys Cassisus Winston played a tremendous game in that above mentioned tilt, but is now dealing with wobbly knee issues that will hamper him. He's not the only injured Spartan, as their a few guys in the walking wounded lost, and this will hamper the home side tonight vs a physical top tier Defensive side ranked 3rd in the nation in adjusted D efficiency, out looking to get even.
Note: Michigan States been shooting the lights out of late, but teams like the Spartys hitting at 50% or better in 3 or more straight games in March dating back 6 seasons are just 8-17-1 ATS at home.
MICHIGAN is 19-7 ATS (versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or less over the last 2 seasons.
CBB home team (MICHIGAN ST) - excellent FT shooting team (73% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better are just 25-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.
Play on Michigan to cover
|03-09-19||UC Riverside +9 v. UC-Davis||71-70||Win||100||10 h 56 m||Show|
Both these teams are struggling as we come down to the finish line, and Cal Davis in their current form should not be this big a favorite , and my projections from a mathematical perspective is a edge and a must play for advantage players.
US Davis has failed to cover 7 of their 10 home games this season.
UC-RIVERSIDE is 6-0 ATS in road games versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season after 15+games over the last 3 seasons.UC-RIVERSIDE is 10-1 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CAL DAVIS) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a home favorite, in a game involving two bad teams (20% to 40%) are just 35-68 ATS L/22 seasons for a long term 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.
Play on UC riverside to cover
|03-09-19||UCLA v. Utah -5||81-92||Win||100||6 h 40 m||Show|
Utah is an explosive offensive team averaging 83.4 ppf and rank first in the conference in effective field goal percentage , and have an advantage over a very average version of the UCLA Bruins. UCLA has lost 3 of their L/4 with their only win coming against lowly Cal in OT. This is not a good place to be playing sub par road ball making the Bruins fade material in this spot.
UCLA is 7-15 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
UCLA is 1-8 ATS as an underdog this season.
CBB team (UCLA) - after 3 or more consecutive overs, an excellent offensive team (76 PPG or better) against a poor defensive team (74-76 PPG) after 15+ game are 42-75 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 64% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Utah to cover
|03-09-19||Nets -3.5 v. Hawks||114-112||Loss||-115||7 h 17 m||Show|
The Nets have dominated the Hawks in both their meetings this season, both of which were at home. Brooklyn won those tilts by a total of 33 points, averaging 130 points in the process.Im betting they dominate again and cover as short road chalk, vs a young team that is starting to struggle again after trending upward for a while. The Nets have won four in a row overall against the Hawks and have won three straight at Atlanta dating back to March of 2017.
The Hawks are 0-9 ATS /SU as a dog with more than one day of rest off a loss as a dog when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.The Hawks are 6-21-1 ATS L/27 at home off a game as a dog facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end.
The Nets are 34-4-1 ATS L39 on the road with rest facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range.
NBA Road favorites (BROOKLYN) - poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) against a horrible defensive team (47.5% or worse), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 61-26 ATS L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Brooklyn to cover
|03-09-19||UCF v. Temple -1.5||62-67||Win||100||3 h 36 m||Show|
The game also will mark the home coaching finale of Temple's Fran Dunphy, a Philadelphia legend who is stepping down after this season. Dunphy, 70, has gone 269-160 with the Owls and is 579-323 in his career. Im betting his team will be primed to give the old guy a top tier send off, and get him the win while at the same time bolstering their NCAA tournament qualifications. I know UCF is a very strong team, but Temple proved they could hang with them and lost a close one on the road to the Knights earlier this season, and have an edge as UCF is off two very hard fought emotional affairs and could easily be gassed entering this game.
Play on Temple to cover
|03-09-19||Texas State v. Texas-Arlington -1||73-81||Win||100||7 h 44 m||Show|
Seeding On The Line When UTA Hosts Texas State In Regular-Season Finale and Im betitng the home team holds the edge.The Mavs have posted season highs in field goal percentage (56 & 52.7) and 3-point percentage (57.7 & 54.5) each of the last two games and are in red hot form at the perfect time.The Mavs currenty rank 22nd in the nation in 3-point percentage defense (30.4) and 57th in free-throw percentage (74.2). When these teams mets a month ago UTA playing on the road and, facing a team picking up votes in the national polls looked like the better overall side as, UTA knocked off Texas State in double overtime, 84-77 and actually matchup well vs this squad because of their ability to conquer good shooting sides like Texas State . TX-ARLINGTON is 10-1 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games this season.
CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (TEXAS ST) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after scoring 65 points or less 4 straight games are 12-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Texas Arlington to cover
|03-09-19||Texas Tech v. Iowa State +2.5||80-73||Loss||-105||7 h 33 m||Show|
ISU owns a top-10 offense nationally, and Im betting will give the visiting top tier Texas Red Raiders defence alot more than they can handle. Yes, I know that the Cyclones have struggled of late, but here on Seniors day their ability to play hard behind their boisterous crowd will lift them back up . Iowa Stat program has won 24 of their L/34 SU at home vs teams with better records and today Im betting they add to that number.
ISU has won the last seven meetings in Ames, with Tech's last win at Hilton Coliseum coming in 2011.
Texas Tech is 2-19 SU and 3-18 ATS against opposition playing Last Home Games. Iowa State is 21-7 L/28 home finales.
IOWA ST is 21-9 ATS L/20 in home games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or better after 15+ games.
Play on Iowa State to cover
|03-09-19||Long Island +5 v. St Francis PA||64-72||Loss||-110||1 h 49 m||Show|
LIU does not deserve this big of a home court advantage vs Long Island as their home court advantage is listed at 304th in the nation according to kenpom. St.Francis has a inconsistent offense, while LIU shoots at a decent clip from beyond the arc, and has averaged 107 points per 100 possessions during a recent run , which is something I look for in a dog.
Take the points with Long Island to cover
|03-09-19||Kings v. Knicks +6||102-94||Loss||-105||1 h 21 m||Show|
After playing the fist part other season in balls to the walls fashion, the run and gun Sacramento Kings look like they have not paced them selves well and have run out of gas at the worst possible time as they have lost 6 of their L/8 . Today after having travelled from the West coast to the East coast, their biological clocks combined with jet lag and exhaustion Im betting factors into what will be a much closer game then many anticipate vs a lowly side, trying to play for their jobs in the NBA after some ugly embarrassing efforts. Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 36-9. ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.
he Knicks are 19-3-1 ATS L/23 at home when they are off two games in which less than half their field goals were assisted. The Kings are 0-8 ATS/SU L/8 with more than one day of rest after playing as a home dog facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game.The Kings are 3-18 ATS L/21 as a favorite with more than one day of rest off a loss as a home dog.
Play on NY Knicks to cover
Play NY Knicks to cover
|03-09-19||Tennessee v. Auburn +3||80-84||Win||100||4 h 58 m||Show|
Auburn is alot better than their record would indicate and must not be underestimated here vs Tennessee. Outside of ugly DD losses to the Kentucky Wildcats and Ole Miss Rebels, they onlylost to the Duke Blue Devils by five points, the LSU Tigers by five points, the Wildcats by two points.
The Tigers are also 35th in the country when it comes to three-point percentage at 37.5 percent per game and that what the Vols struggle against. With Auburn 14-2 at home they deserve our respect as dogs.
The Vols haven’t faced Auburn since Jan. 2, 2018, when the Tigers lit up UT in a 94-84 win. I dont think history will repeat itself but Im betting we have enough value here with the home underdog to consider this an advantage play.
Barnes is 13-30 ATS in road games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread in all games he has coached since 1997.
Play on Auburn to cover
|03-08-19||Thunder v. Clippers -2||110-118||Win||100||14 h 55 m||Show|
The Thunder had lost five of six before winning 129-121 in char fought overtime at Portland on Thursday night. However, now on tired legs in a back to back situation the Thunder are at a disadvantage. Note: OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-10 ATS after a division game this season. Meanwhile, the Clippers are on a 3 game win streak and have captured victories in 4 of their L/5 overall, and have momentum coming into this game with revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Thunder back on Dec. 15th of this season.
The Clippers are 14-0 ATS/SU as a favorite off a win as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 12 offensive rebounds.
Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points against opponent off an upset win as a road underdog are 91-46 L/5 seasons SU for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on LA Clippers to cover
|03-08-19||Pistons v. Bulls +4||112-104||Loss||-103||12 h 45 m||Show|
Detroit has won 10 of its last 12 games and are in good form but from a matchup power ranking system vs system ranking algorithm I use I m betting they're getting to much love here tonight from the lines makers. Meanwhile, Motowns home dog opponent Chicago is a team that is playing alot better of late as was evident in a win vs Philadelphia 76ers 108-107 on Wednesday and now deserve respect getting points as they go for their 7th win in 10 games . Heres what HC Lavine said of his young Bulls team. QUOTE: When you are rebuilding, you have to take your bumps and understand you have to build your way up," LaVine said. "We're a young, exciting team. We have elite firepower. We have some of the best players in the NBA on this team, I feel like. And we're going to change it around really fast." END QUOTE.
Chicago has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings here in Illinois.
CHICAGO is 7-0 ATS L/7 when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. ( Their young legs buoy them)
DETROIT is 8-21 ATS in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons.DETROIT is 5-15 ATS in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The Pistons are 0-16 ATS/SU on the road off a 10+ win as a home favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end.
The Bulls are 6-0 ATS/SU with less than two days rest off a game as a dog after out scoring their opponent in the paint by double digits.
NBA Road teams vs. the money line (DETROIT) - after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 21-55 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate and 2-14 SU this season.
Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover
|03-08-19||Raptors v. Pelicans +7||127-104||Loss||-103||11 h 60 m||Show|
The Raptors are coming off a 107-95 home loss to Houston on Tuesday and are currently in their worst form of the season as they embark on a 3 game road trip. Thats not a good omen for Dino supporters here tonight, as in the past the the Raptors are 0-10 ATS/SU L/10 with rest off a loss when they are at the start of a three game road trip. Hey I know New Orleans is not a side that will inspire many bettors but from a mathematical standpoint Im betting we have value and an advantage with the home side here tonight. Also believe it or not the Pelicans are a more cohesive group without Anthony Davis in the lineup. It just so happens Davis will probably be side lined from now until the end of the year (injury) , which will lift this team up instead of demoralize them. because of his refusal to want anything to do with this group going forward. NO is off a home loss last time out to Utah snapping a 3 game win streak. From a trends perspective that is also good news as NEW ORLEANS is 12-0 ATS off a home loss this season. Bounce back time.
TORONTO is 11-23 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season. TORONTO is 10-19 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.
Take the points with New Orleans to cover
|03-08-19||Miami-OH v. Ohio -1.5||57-66||Win||100||9 h 58 m||Show|
Ohio (13-16, 5-12 MAC) play their final game of the season tonight at Convocation Center one final t when the Bobcats host Mid-American Conference East foe Miami (15-15, 7-10 MAC) for the second edition of the 'Battle of the Bricks.Friday night's game will serve as Ohio's Senior Night, and I expect the Bobcats to be in top form. Ohio has registered an impressive 508-167 (.756) all-time record at the Convocation Center, which opened in 1968 and n four-plus seasons under HC Phillips, Ohio has gone 56-25 (.708) at home and get the nod again in revenge mode for the lopsided 79-59 loss they suffered earlier in MAC play on the road to the Redhawks. Note: OHIO U is 37-17 ATS in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points.
Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Mid-American.
MIAMI OHIO is 0-6 ATS after playing a game as a home favorite this season.(Miami coming off of a 75-66 loss at home against Kent State on March 5 as chalk)
home team vs. the money line (OHIO U) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival are 40-30 SU 5 seasons for a 57%+ conversion rate last 5 seasons.
Play on Ohio to cover
|03-08-19||Yale +1 v. Pennsylvania||66-77||Loss||-110||6 h 7 m||Show|
Yale despite of already clinching an Ivy League spot in the play off tourney is very much in the hunt for the Ivy League championship and the No. 1 seed in the four-team tournament. The Bulldogs, are guaranteed at least a share of the Ivy League championship with a pair of victories this weekend. The winner of the Ivy Tournament receives the league's automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament. The league champion is determined by the final regular season standings. so needless to say Yale is playing for something big here. Penn are no pushovers, but it must be noted that YALE is 6-0 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season.
Tenacious rebounding is the Bulldogs, calling card and tonight Im betting that will be the difference maker in this key road game. Note: Yale also is second in the country in defensive rebounds per game (30.64), 29th in field goal percentage defense (40.6 percent) and 31st in rebounding margin (+5.3).
The Bulldogs are 18-1 when they outrebound their opponents
YALE is 8-0 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons
PENNSYLVANIA is 0-6 ATS (versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or better over the last 2 seasons.
Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Bulldogs are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 Friday games.Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games following three or more consecutive home games.Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Bulldogs are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 vs. Ivy League.
Quakers are 15-35-2 ATS in their last 52 Friday games.Quakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.Quakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Quakers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs. Ivy League.Quakers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Quakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Quakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Quakers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Play on Yale to cover
|03-08-19||Brown +3.5 v. Princeton||67-63||Win||100||7 h 32 m||Show|
Brown comes into the Ivy League's final weekend with the ability to control its own destiny in earning a berth in the four team Ivy League Tournament if they can notch two victories this weekend starting with the Tigers. With Princeton already in the tourney they are far from in desperation mode, and might be saving their best for tomorrows senior night finale and the conference championship round thus giving us value with a Bears side that needs and wants to win badly. Brown, who leads the Ivy League scoring defense (68.7 ppg) and 3-point FG defense (.302), and ranks second in the Ivy League in and field goal defense (.417) must not be underestimated here getting points in this type of situation.
Tigers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Road team is 6-2 ATS L/8 in this series.
Play on Brown to cover
|03-07-19||Thunder v. Blazers -3.5||129-121||Loss||-109||16 h 19 m||Show|
Oklahoma City enters this game on a 0-8 ATS run with the 2 wins during that streak coming by 4 points and 1 point respectively. All 8 games however, saw the Thunder struggle, and they are in struggling form, against a team playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, as Portland comes homes off a 6-2 SU road trip and have been money in the bank for their backers for a while now cashing tickets 7 of their L/8 trips to the hardwood. I know Oklahoma City has won all three games in this series this season, but now with triple revenge on board Im betting on a big effort from the home team and subsequent cover.
The Thunder are 0-9 ATS/SU as a road dog with rest off a game as a dog when they won 2 straight vs current opponent.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 1-10 ATS after a division game this season. PORTLAND is 21-11 ATS in home games this season.Thunder are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Portland.
PORTLAND is 10-1 ATS versus lower tier defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.PORTLAND is 8-1 ATS versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or worse - 2nd half of the season this season
NBA Road underdogs (OKLAHOMA CITY) - vs. division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite are 4-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Portland to cover
|03-07-19||Grand Canyon +2.5 v. Utah Valley||70-82||Loss||-110||12 h 27 m||Show|
The Lopes (18-10, 10-4 WAC) can finish alone in second place for the first time in their six-year WAC history if they sweep this week's road trip and will be playing hard tonight in the first of those two games against a tough team to beat at home in the Wolverines (27-2 L/29 at home) . However, if there is a team other than New Mexico State that matches up well vs Utah Valley its the Lopes. They get my money here tonight to cover in a game that should be a pickem.
Grand Canyon to cover
|03-07-19||Pacific +1.5 v. Pepperdine||53-61||Loss||-100||9 h 12 m||Show|
West Coast Conference Tournament - First Round - Las Vegas, NV
Pacific enters this tourney game with momentum from last week's 73-72 win at Pepperdine. That game was an indicator of how well the Tigers matchup against the Wave, thus getting my support in this the their opener in this conference tourney.
PACIFIC is 12-4 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
PEPPERDINE is 4-12 ATS versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45% or better over the last 2 seasons.
Pacific has won 6 of the L/7 in this series and get the nod again.
Play on Pacific to cover
|03-07-19||Pacers v. Bucks -10||98-117||Win||100||13 h 51 m||Show|
The Milwaukee Bucks after a 7 game win streak have endured 2 straight losses including a shocking one to the Phoenix Suns last time out and will now be ready to bounce back here in a big way at home after 3 days rest.The Bucks are 13-2 ATS /14-1 SU with rest off a loss. The Bucks are 12-0 ATS at home when their last four games are WWLL.MILWAUKEE is 10-2 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite this season. Bucks are also 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Central and are 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.
Meanwhile, the Pacers are off a hard fought win vs Chicago last time out but are 0-12 ATS as a road dog with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite after a game that was tied 5+ times. Back in February the Bucks went into Indiana and beat the Pacers by a 106-97 count and proved they matchup well vs Indiana, and get the nod again laying DDs here. Note: The Pacers are 0-10 ATS/SU on the road with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home.
Pacers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Pacers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games.
NBA Favorites (MILWAUKEE) - off an upset loss as a favorite of 10 points or more, a top-level team (75% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 30-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.
Play on Milwaukee to romp
|03-07-19||Pacers v. Bucks UNDER 221.5||98-117||Win||100||13 h 35 m||Show|
Indiana has one chance to stay competitive vs an explosive Milwaukee team here on the road and that is via a conservative style of defensive play. Thats what Im betting they try to implement , which will result in a lower scoring tilt than the linesmakers are expecting. ( More analysis to come thank you for your patience)
INDIANA is 25-9 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 201.3 ppg scored.INDIANA is 17-5 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season with a combined average of 211,2 ppg scored. INDIANA is 13-4 UNDER in March games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 200.8 ppg. McMillan is 40-19 UNDER versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game as the coach of INDIANA with a combined average score of 210.9 ppg scored. The Pacers are 1-13 UNDER L/13 as a road dog after they had at least 30% of their points from threes with a combined average of 195.6 ppg scored.
The Bucks are 1-13 UNDER L/14 as a favorite off a game as a favorite in which they shot under 40% from the field with a combined average of 184.8 ppg going on the board.The Bucks are 2-15-1 UNDER at home with more than one day of rest off a game as a favorite after a game that was tied 5+ times ( which happened vs Phoenix last time out) with the combined average score of those games clicking in at 189.8 ppg.
|03-07-19||Fairfield v. Manhattan UNDER 121||53-57||Win||100||8 h 37 m||Show|
|03-07-19||Cincinnati v. UCF UNDER 126.5||55-58||Win||100||10 h 3 m||Show|
These teams have. along history of playing low scoring defensive affairs with 10 of the L/11 games going under the set total with the L/5 here in Central Florida all going under the set Total. Considering both teams have shut down defences there is no reason to believe that this game will also be fairly low scoring and stay under the number.
UCF is 8-1 UNDER versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 111.3 ppg scored.UCF is 15-4 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 124.1 ppg scored.
CINCINNATI is 15-4 UNDER in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. CINCINNATI is 13-3 UNDER (+9.7 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 120.3 ppg scored.
CBB Road teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (CINCINNATI) - after a game - attempting 20+ more free throws than opponent are 34-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.
610 Central Florida /Cincinnati UNDER
|03-07-19||North Florida +10.5 v. Liberty||63-71||Win||100||7 h 3 m||Show|
In Liberty's first visit to UNF Arena, North Florida shot 60 percent from the field and rallied from 13 points down in the second half to earn the 75-70 victory against the ASUN leading Flames. while there is a high probability of a reversion to the mean, they are still more than capable of hanging tough here as they look for their fourth straight road victory.North Florida comes into Thursday's clash having won seven straight including handing the Flames their lone loss of the last nine games. This semi final conference tourney game is all about momentum, and the Ospreys have all kinds of positive mojo happening at the moment and Im betting wont go down without a big time fight and subsequent cover. Look for the Ospreys explosive 3 point shooting to keep us in this game.
Play on North Florida to cover
|03-06-19||Fresno State +2.5 v. San Diego State||76-74||Win||100||15 h 30 m||Show|
Fresno State and San Diego State are likely playing for the No. 3 seed in next week’s Mountain West Conference men’s basketball tournament when they meet Wednesday night in San Diego.
The last time these teams met San Diego State led by 20 points in the first half of the January meeting at the Save Mart Center and as the teams went into a timeout an Aztecs player walking past the Bulldogs bench loudly said, ‘‘This game is in the bag.” Well that ignited the Bulldogs, and they came back for a 66-62 win.
The Aztecs have won 14 consecutive Mountain West home games. The last loss: Jan. 17, 2018, to Fresno State and I wont be surprised if this streak ends tonight against a very tough confident Fresno State group that has won its last four conference games and five of the last six when coming off a bye.
FRESNO ST is 7-0 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.FRESNO ST is 7-1 ATS as an underdog this season.FRESNO ST is 17-4 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons.
Fresno State has won and covered the last two meetings here vs San Diego State.
819 Fresno State to cover
|03-06-19||Wyoming -2 v. San Jose State||81-71||Win||100||10 h 15 m||Show|
Both these teams have struggled this season, but the Pokes matchup well vs the Spartans and took the first meeting of the season 59-46 in Laramie on Jan. 23. The Pokes have won seven-straight in the series vs San Jose dating back to March 2, 2016 and Im betting nothing changes tonight.
|03-06-19||Knicks v. Suns OVER 226||96-107||Loss||-109||9 h 10 m||Show|
These teams have absolutely nothing to play for other than stacking up personal stats, and Im betting it will be played wide open and loose as a result of this games lack of importance. When these played back in December of this season they combined for 238 points and a similar type output is not out of the question in this spot according to my projections.
NYK ranks 27th in the league in defensive rating, while Phoenix ranks 29th in defensive rating.
The Knicks are 13-0-1 OU as a dog with rest off a loss in a road game when they are off two games in which they allowed 110+ points with the combined average score of those tilts clicking in at 239.1 ppg. ( NYK has allowed 125,115,128 points in their L3 games)
|03-06-19||Jazz -4 v. Pelicans||114-104||Win||100||8 h 53 m||Show|
The Jazz, one of the hottest teams won the first meeting this season in New Orleans vs the Pelicans 132-111 on Oct. 27 and get the nod again here in this spot. I know Utah lost late time out ending a 4 game losing streak, but they have proven themselves proficient in the bounce back roll going 17-8 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season.
UTAH is 11-2 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The Utah Jazz are 20-0 ATS/SU as a road favorite of two-plus points with less than two days rest when they are off a game as a favorite in which they had a baskets-assisted-percentage at least 10 points higher than their opponent and do not play tomorrow with every win coming by 4 point or more. The L/19 games under these peremiters have all come by 5 points or more.
Play on Utah to cover
|03-06-19||Spurs v. Hawks +6||111-104||Loss||-105||3 h 2 m||Show|
San Antonio is playing much better ball of late winning 3 straight, but Atlanta are no pushovers, and are up-trending especially for bettors as is evident by cashing 6 of their L/7 for their supporters. Im betting on the home dog Hawks to keep the money train rolling for their backers again tonight.
SAN ANTONIO is 17-30 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 7-18 ATS in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons and is 30-43 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons.
The Hawks are 18-4-1 ATS L/23 as a dog after they allowed their opponent to exceed their season-to-date shooting percentage by 10 points.The Spurs are 1-11-1 ATS ( on the road off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 7 refereed turnovers per game.
Play on Atlanta to cover
|03-06-19||Wolves v. Pistons -5||114-131||Win||100||12 h 36 m||Show|
Detroit enters this game having won 9 of their L/11 games and are up trending and still in the hunt for. play off spot. Tonight against a Minnesota team on tired legs playing their 4th road game in their L/5 trips to the hardwood and off playing last night at home win to the Thunder Im betting the Pistons have an advantage. Note: The Timberwolves are 0-14-2 ATS L/16 on the road off a game as a favorite in which they shot over 50% from the field which was the case last night.
MINNESOTA is 17-31 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons. DETROIT is 14-4 ATS in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.
The Pistons are 22-5 ATS /23-4 SU as a favorite off a game as a dog after a game that was tied 5+ times which was the case in an impressive win vs Toronto last time out.The Pistons are 7-0 ATS/SU L/7 as a home favorite with more than one day of rest off a win.
Detroit is 7-0 SU/ATS in the last seven meetings against Minnesota.
Play on Detroit to cover
|03-06-19||Heat v. Hornets -3||91-84||Loss||-105||10 h 29 m||Show|
The Hornets won both meetings vs visiting Miami this season, back in October. They won 113-112 in Miami and 125-113 at home and matchup well from a system vs system players vs players system I use at this point in the season.
MIAMI is 2-10 ATS vs. division opponents this season. CHARLOTTE is 16-5 ATS in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The Hornets are 11-0 ATS /SU as a home favorite with rest off a loss as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game.
NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after a close win by 3 points or less are 60-114 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate on the blind for bettors.
Play . on Charlotte to cover
|03-06-19||St Bonaventure +6 v. Davidson||46-64||Loss||-108||13 h 36 m||Show|
St. Bonaventure enters this game on a red hot 6 game win streak against Davidson in a matchup of the second (Davidson) and third place teams in the Atlantic 10. The Bonnies remain in the hunt for a double bye in the A-10 Tournament and Im betting they hang in there with their powerful opponent Davidson tonight. Note: The Bonnies have also been hot on the road winning their L/6 road games and Im betting wont be easily disposed in this away tilt. Defence will be key to us grabbing the cheese .
**The Bonnies held seven of their last eight opponents under 61 points and 38 percent shooting. .
Schmidt is 61-48 ATS as a road underdog or pick as the coach of ST BONAVENTURE.
Play on St.Bonaventure to cover
|03-06-19||Florida International v. Marshall -6||78-94||Win||100||9 h 49 m||Show|
Marshall enters this game playing some very strong hoops at the moment, after three straight wins, and matchup well vs FIU as was evident when they beat them here at home 105-97 back in January . Both teams are run and gun specialists, and play similar aggressive offensive hoops, but Im betting home court advantage will be the difference maker.
MARSHALL is 36-20 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
Play on Marshall to cover
|03-06-19||Marquette -2 v. Seton Hall||64-73||Loss||-108||8 h 32 m||Show|
The Golden Eagles were on the verge of a regular-season conference title until losing last week at Villanova and at home to Creighton and will be out looking to bounce back vs a desperate bubble team on a 3 game losing streak Seton Hall here tonight.Marquette held off Seton Hall 70-66 on Jan. 12 in Milwaukee and Im betting will get it done again here on the road. Marquette has now won three straight against the Pirates, and four of the last five.
SETON HALL is 0-6 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season.MARQUETTE is 8-2 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season.
MARQUETTE is 7-1 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season.SETON HALL is 1-7 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games this season.
Play on Marquette to cover
|03-05-19||Rockets v. Raptors -3||107-95||Loss||-109||4 h 58 m||Show|
The Raptors enter this game at 2-2 in their L/4, but tonight at full strength with Kawhi Leonard playing Im betting they have an edge, and with newly acquired will Marc Gasol getting back into form after having to adjust to a new team I expect the young men from TO will be cohesive and explosive. Since Gasol arrived the Raptors have smashed opposing starting lineups by an average +36.9 point diff. This is important since Houstons bench is even weaker than then the 20th ranked bench of the Raps, as the Rockets depend solely on their starting 5 and in particularly James Harden the one man band. With that said , lets lay the points with the home team.
TORONTO is 17-4 ATS after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.
NBAHome favorites vs. the money line (TORONTO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 115-30 SU L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Toronto Raptors to cover
|03-05-19||Blazers v. Grizzlies +6||111-120||Win||100||4 h 35 m||Show|
The Portland Blazers will play their 7th straight road game tonight against the Memphis Grizzlies on tired legs. Meanwhile, Memphis embarrassed after blowing a 13 point lead vs Oklahoma City last time out with 6 and 1/2 minutes left in the game, and losing 99-95 will be out hell bent on getting redemption and will be ready to play. Believe me pros don' t like to be embarrassed and considering the Grizzlies have looked competitive of late its not a stretch , to bet them getting points tonight in a advantageous situation.
The Grizzlies are 22-2 ATS L/24 as a dog with less than two days rest after they held their opponent under their season-to-date shooting percentage by 10 points.
The Trailblazers are 0-6 ATS L/6 as a favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end.
Play on Memphis to cover
|03-05-19||Purdue v. Minnesota +5.5||69-73||Win||100||2 h 21 m||Show|
Purdue despite of an incredible season are just 4-2 conference road games with 2 OT wins , a blowout loss at Michigan State , a DD beatdown at Maryland and a 2 point win at Nebraska, and 2 point win at Indiana. Now we get a decent home dog line with Minnesota at home , which has underestimated value attached to it, because of how well they played the Boilermakers in West Lafayette earlier this season, staying close until the last part of the game (73-63). Look for Purdues inability to play disciplined ball to give Minnesota a chance at covering as they are one of the best teams in the conference for getting chances at the charity stripe. The Gophers surprised the Northwestern Wildcats last time out as underdogs and have momentum entering this home game. Note: MINNESOTA is 9-1 ATS in home games off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog .
PURDUE is 8-18 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.PURDUE is 3-11 ATS in road games after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games over the last 2 seasons.
Play on Minnesota to cover
|03-05-19||Bulls +7.5 v. Pacers||96-105||Loss||-109||11 h 32 m||Show|
Indiana has won its first three meetings this season against the Bulls, however, each of those contests were hard fought affairs with the games being decided by single digits. Meanwhile, In a recent hard-fought back and forth loss to the Orlando Magic by a 117-112 count the Pacers their 3rd loss in 4 games they looked out of sorts and were constantly arguing with the officials. Their lack of concentration got them in trouble and could easily see them humbled here again tonight .Note: The Pacers are 1-14 ATS L/15 as a home favorite with rest after a game as a home favorite in which a game that was tied 5+ times which qualifies after the battle they had with the Magic in their last home game. I know the Bulls might not inspire bettors, but they are playing alot better of late winning 5 of their L/7 overall and in revenge mode and will be motivated here to upend their opponents. The Bulls are 9-0 ATS as a road dog after playing as a home favorite when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home.
Indiana is 1-9 ATS L/10 as a fav of 5 points or more vs a side with triple revenge.
CHICAGO is 22-10 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons.
NBA Favorites (INDIANA) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, on Tuesday nights are 20-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Chicago to cover
|03-05-19||Bulls v. Pacers UNDER 219||96-105||Win||100||8 h 59 m||Show|
Indiana enters this game ranked 2nd in both ppg allowed and defensive efficiency and 24th in pace. On offence they rank 22nd , which makes it obvious to me that they base all their successes and failures on their ability to play a strong transitional game that focuses on top tier defensive play. The Pacers have gotten away from that lately and have coincindetly lost 3 of their L/4, and Im betting a more concerted defensive effort here in an attempt to right tehir ship. Meanwhile, the visiting Chicago Bulls rank 28th in offense , behind the 21st ranked pace, and despite of back to back freewheeling affairs against a no defense allowed Atlanta team in their last two outings, should now revert back to their norm here in a division game I have pegged to be competitive .
The Pacers are 2-20-1 UNDER as a home 8+ favorite with rest off a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game and have gone under12 straight times overall under these perimeters with the average combined score of the 23 games clicking in at 181.5 ppg .
The Bulls are 3-21-1 L/25 UNDER as a dog with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range with the combined average of 187 ppg scored.
INDIANA is 16-3 UNDER in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season and is 15-2 UNDER in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 199 ppg going on the score board.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (INDIANA) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better) against an average shooting team (43.5-45.5%), after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 27-6 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors on the bind.
|03-05-19||Kent State v. Miami-OH -4||75-66||Loss||-107||11 h 28 m||Show|
Kent State visits Miami O in a key Mid-American Conference tilt this Tuesday night. Kent State enters this game with the No. 3 seed and the RedHawks are in fourth and looking for a bye. Thus losing this game is not an option and they the Hawks will be primed to perform here tonight. Note: Miami O is 10-1 ATS L/11 in this series and 5-0 ATS L/5 as hosts. The Redhawks are also 15-2 SU L/17 season in home game finales and get the nod to get us the victory and cover here tonight.
Senderoff is 0-6 ATS after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 6 or more as the coach of KENT ST .KENT ST is 1-8 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons.MIAMI OHIO is 8-1 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog this season.
Play on Miami (O) to cover
|03-05-19||Rhode Island +2 v. St. Joe's||86-85||Win||100||7 h 6 m||Show|
Both these teams have struggled this season at times, but both are current 2 game win streaks, and in a game that should be closer to a pickem getting points with a one possession spread makes for a value situation. Rhode Island has recorded 24 steals over its last two games, getting nine at Dayton Friday night and a season-high 15 steals in its win over George Washington nd Im betting their ability to disrupt the Hawks play will be the difference maker.Rhody has won two of its last three visits to Hagan Arena, including a 68-49 victory on March 1, 2017.
ST JOSEPHS is 0-7 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season and s 0-6 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 2 seasons.
Play on Rhode Island to cover
|03-04-19||Knicks v. Kings UNDER 230||108-115||Win||100||9 h 10 m||Show|
NYK HC Fizdale is 13-3 UNDER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached since 1996. Im betting he once again implement a more methodical game plan here against a Kings side that loves to run and gun!
SACRAMENTO is 24-10 UNDER as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 207.9 ppg. SACRAMENTO is 54-30 UNDER when the total is 220 to 230 with a combined average of 219.1 ppg.
NYK HC Fizdale is 13-3 UNDER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 15-6 UNDER in non-conference games this season with a combined avrage fo 223.3 ppg going on the board.
NEW YORK is 11-3 UNDER versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or less assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season with . combined average of 211.4 ppg going on the board .
The Kings are 0-14 on the UNDER as a rested favorite when they are facing a team with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.50 with a combined average of 203.6 ppg scored.
The Knicks are 0-10-1 OU on the road with less than two days rest off a loss in which their opponent shot 50% or better from beyond the arc with at least 10 attempts with a combined average of 189 ppg scored.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SACRAMENTO) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, in March game are 183-111 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.
|03-04-19||Kansas State v. TCU +2||64-52||Loss||-109||13 h 52 m||Show|
The Horned Frogs after starting their season 12 -1 really struggled down the stretch and now will be playing for their NCAA Tournament lives against K-State . This TCU team when playing their best can compete with ay team in this conference including KState, as wins vs. Texas, Baylor, and a sweep of Iowa State would indicate. Im betting on the Frogs leaving everything on the floor here tonight and getting us the cover.
TCU is 7-1 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game this season.
CBB teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (TCU) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games are 32-8 straight up L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.
CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TCU) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games are also 32-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on TCU to cover
|03-04-19||Nuggets v. Spurs +1||103-104||Win||100||14 h 12 m||Show|
The Spurs have won 2 straight and Denver has lost two straight at home as they enter this game in Texas tonight. With the Spurs up trending and in revenge mode for a loss to the Nuggets back on Nov 28 in Mile High City Im betting the Spurs will be reved up for revenge . Note: The Spurs The San Antonio Spurs are 17-0 SUATS at home with conference revenge.
The Spurs are 15-0-1 ATS /16-0 SU with rest off a 10+ win in a home game when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road.
DENVER is 2-10 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46%or more of their shots this season.
Spurs have won 5 straight at home in this series over the L/3 seasons.
Play on San Antonio to cover
|03-04-19||Kennesaw State v. Lipscomb UNDER 147.5||71-86||Loss||-110||8 h 25 m||Show|
All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness.
The Owls are last in the ASUN averaging 63.2 PPG, with my projections estimating a near 10 point drop off vs Lipscomb. The Owls dont have any chance here of competing against this explosive opponent unless they slow this tilt down to a crawl which Im betting effects the combined score to the low side of he offered number.
Play on the UNDER
|03-04-19||Mavs v. Nets OVER 226.5||88-127||Loss||-106||9 h 51 m||Show|
The host team Brooklyn in this matchup is struggling overall and are allowing 121.7 points and 49.3 percent shooting during a recent 3 game run. Meanwhile, the visiting Mavericks' are allowing 114.9 points on 47.2 percent shooting in the last seven games overall. Both sides are exhibiting poor defensive abilities, and Im betting on this trend continuing here this evening.
The Mavericks are 9-0 OVER L/9 on the road off a loss in which they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half with the combined average score of 228.1 ppg scored.
The Nets are 9-0 OVER L/9 with rest after they had less than 40% of the total rebounds with the combined score of 234.3 ppg.
|03-04-19||Virginia v. Syracuse +7||79-53||Loss||-115||11 h 13 m||Show|
Jim Boehims 5 returning starters will primed to go out on a high note tonight in their final regular season home game vs the Cavaliers . I know Virginia is a behemoth opponent, but this Orange hoops program has been tough in their final home games of the campaign in the recent past cashing 12 of their L/15 opportunities, and are bankroll expanding 13-6 ATS this season vs conference opposition and must not be underestimated as home underdogs.
SYRACUSE is 8-1 ATS in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.SYRACUSE is 9-1 ATS in home games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.SYRACUSE is 7-0 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season.
Play on Syracuse to cover
|03-04-19||North Alabama v. North Florida -8||66-76||Win||100||2 h 0 m||Show|
North Florida has alot of experience, with all the starters averaging DD point outputs. As group the Ospreys have also played alot of minutes together this season, and are currently entering this tournament on a 6 games winning streak, and once again look like a viable team to back vs a North Alabama team that they manhandled in two meetings. With that said, look for a Ospreys side that ranks top 20 nationally in attempted treys, to come out here and lay down beatdown in their tourney opener .
|03-03-19||Magic v. Cavs OVER 214.5||93-107||Loss||-113||8 h 29 m||Show|
I expect a young athletic Magic frontline that includes Aaron Gordon (25), Jonathan Isaac (21) and Nikola Vucevic (28) to come at the last place ranked D in the league ,Cleveland with both barrels loaded as they continue to push behind the momentum of a big road win last night in Indiana as underdogs. I expect for Cleveland to fire back with some explosive fireworks of their own in chase mode and give a score that eclipses this number.
Note: Orlando has 18 underdog wins this season, and the average combined score of their followup tilt clicks in at 225.1 ppg.
The Magic are 11-0 OVER off a win as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average of 230 ppg going on the board which was the case last night in their wn vs Indiana.The Magic are 13-1 OVER off a win as a dog with a combined average of 228.3 ppg scored.
NBA team (CLEVELAND) - off a blowout loss by 20 points or more to a division rival, a struggling team (25% or less wins) playing a team with a losing record are 45-19 OVER L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.
|03-03-19||Boston College v. Georgia Tech -1||78-81||Win||100||9 h 27 m||Show|
The Yellow Jackets, despite of struggling have been decent at home going 10-7 SU as hosts this season , and actually matchup well vs visiting Boston College side that is 1-7 on the road this season in conference play. The Ramblinwreck rank No. 14 in the nation in Defensive Field Goal Percentage at 39.3% while the Golden Eagles rank 81st ranked Defensive Field Goal Percentage at 41.9 %. Look for the home team to finally capture a win in their home finale this Sunday night in a tilt that will mark the final regular-season home game for three Georgia Tech seniors – Brandon Alston, Abdoulaye Gueye and Sylvester Ogbonda.
Note: GTs HC Pastner is 11-2 ATS in home games in March games in all games he has coached since 1997.
TECH is 8-0 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
TECH is 6-2 L/8 at home in this series.
Play on Georgia Tech to cover