|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|11-20-19||Belmont v. Lipscomb +10||73-67||Win||100||7 h 33 m||Show|
The 145th instalment of the “Battle of the Boulevard” as Belmont comes to Allen Arena.The Lipscomb-Belmont rivalry is the closest basketball rivalry in NCAA Division I as the two schools are separated by just two miles. Cincinnati/Xavier and Rice/Houston each sit three miles apart. Recdnt meetings between these teams have been spirited and closely contested and Im betting on more of the same tonight as Lipscomb covers.
Belmont knocked off the Bisons 87-83 at Allen Arena in the first meeting of 2018, despite 27 points from Garrison Mathews.In the second meeting last season, the Bruins hit a go-ahead shot with 4.9 seconds on the clock and the Bisons rimmed out a game-winning three to allow Belmont to escape with a 76-74 victory at the Curb.
LIPSCOMB is 7-0 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.LIPSCOMB is 8-1 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons.
Lipscomb to cover
|11-20-19||Spurs v. Wizards UNDER 237||132-138||Loss||-105||11 h 46 m||Show|
Both these teams have shown to have some very porous defences, and both sides know they need to fix that situation, and are working hard to get stops . Wizards star guard Bradley Beal told reporters. QUOTE:We compete hard enough to win every game. We are top five in offense. We know that is not the problem. We just have to get stops." END QUOTE: Im betting tonight San Antonio trys to reverse a ugly 6 game win streak, by paying more attention to defence vs an explosive offensive side, which in turn will see a slighter slower pace than the Wizards would like to see.
NBA Teams like the Spurs are 1-17 UNDER as a road favorite when they are off two games in which they allowed 110+ points with the combined average score of 216.8 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 18-8 UNDER after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 215.4 ppg going on the board.
NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (WASHINGTON) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 26-4 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 110 points or more 3 straight games are 60-26 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.
|11-20-19||Northern Kentucky +8 v. Ball State||59-57||Win||100||7 h 21 m||Show|
Northern Kentucky is an experienced side that was in the NCAA tournament last season, and Im betting they will be wide awake and ready to upset a Ball State side that I personally believe is operating above all expectations.
BALL ST is 3-11 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.BALL ST is 2-10 ATS in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
Play on N.Kentucky to cover
|11-19-19||Suns v. Kings -1.5||116-120||Win||100||14 h 31 m||Show|
Sacramento continues to uptrend in my power rankings and showed their toughness when they ended the 10-game winning streak of the Boston Celtics via a 100-99 victory on Sunday. Now with plenty of momentum on their sides, I like their chances of the Kings winning tonight on home court vs a Suns team that could be without key component the injured Ricky Rubio .If the two way star does play he will be less than 100% which will effect his teams cohesiveness.
SACRAMENTO is 7-0 ATS in November games this season.SACRAMENTO is 20-9 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons and is is 12-3 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
Home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings and the Kings have won 3 of the L/4 meetings here at home SU in this series.
NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (PHOENIX) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games are just 3-26 SU L/23 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors.
NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 3 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 7-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors.
NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games are 4-23 ATS L/23 seasons for a 85% go against conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover
|11-19-19||Suns v. Kings UNDER 217.5||116-120||Loss||-109||10 h 56 m||Show|
Sacramento has gone under in 3 straight games and have not allowed more than 99 points in any of those tilts . The Kings own the 29th ranked pace, and 28th ranked offensive output. Look for more methodical action tonight, as they look to slow down the high flying Phoenix Suns!
Walton is 21-8 UNDER in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average of 210 ppg scored.
The Suns are 0-14 UNDER L/14 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick off a game as a favorite facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio less than 1.5 with the verage combined score clicking in at 193.8 ppg. The Suns are 0-13 UNDER off a loss as a favorite when they are off two games in which their opponent had double-digit steals with a combined average of 193.1 ppg scored.
NBA Teams are 8-40-2 UNDER when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a win as a home dog facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average score of 207 ppg scored.
NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 31-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.
|11-19-19||Detroit v. Wyoming||49-76||Loss||-109||10 h 18 m||Show|
The Titans have done a good job of rebounding in their first two games against two ACC opponents in NC State and Clemson, owning a +3 margin on the glass.Detroit Mercy outrebounded the Wolfpack, 40-33, and led for much of the game against the Tigers, where the Titans were edged, 39-38.This is a Titans side that must not be underestimated after playing power 5 competetion. Meanwhile,Wyoming is 1-3 on the year, beating Idaho State at home and dropping games to South Carolina, Cal State Fullerton and Oregon State, and according to my power rankings do not matchup well here.
WYOMING is 3-13 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
Davis is 7-0 ATS after 2 straight losses by 15 points or more in all games he has coached since 1997
Play on Detroit Mercy to cover
|11-19-19||Radford +6 v. Northwestern||67-56||Win||100||10 h 33 m||Show|
Radfords being under rated here by the linesmakers,. Offensively, Radford's 74.7 points per game ranks fifth in the Big South. On the other end of the court the Highlander defense is a tough as nails group allowing only allowing 60.7 points per game, which ranks first in the league. Radford is also winning on the glass with a +11.0 rebounding margin against opponents and averaging 41.3 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, Opponents are outscoring Northwestern 67.0 to 66.5 and their offense Im betting wont get much room again tonight.
|11-19-19||Southern Illinois v. Murray State -9.5||66-79||Win||100||9 h 11 m||Show|
One of the top regional rivalries in college basketball finds the Southern Illinois Salukis traveling to Murray, Kentucky, Tuesday to meet the Murray State Racers. The last time the Racers lost a game home was last January to the Belmont Bruins. Last season, the Racers were 3-0 against Evansville, SIU and Missouri State. The Racers are 262-44 (.853) SU all-time at home as they play the 22nd season in the arena and 108-17 (.850) against non-OVC opponents. Advantage Murray State.
Murray State to cover
|11-19-19||North Alabama v. South Dakota State -9||73-78||Loss||-109||9 h 4 m||Show|
The Jackrabbits, under the direction of first-year head coach Eric Henderson, are back in Brookings after a three-game and week-long road trip. The Jacks are 3-2 on the season and have won both home games in 2019-20 and get my support here on home court again for their 11th straight victory as a host. The Jacks own a 105-6 record at Frost Arena over the last seven seasons dating back to 2011-12, which includes perfect home records in five of the last seven years. This is not a good environment for a team like North Alabama.
CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (S DAKOTA ST) - good 3 point shooting team from last season - made 37% of their attempts, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 38-13 ATS L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on south Dakota State to cover
|11-19-19||Texas Southern v. Arkansas OVER 149||51-82||Loss||-115||4 h 57 m||Show|
Arkansas put 91 plus points on the board vs Rice in their first game of the season, and are more than capable of repeating that performance here on their own home floor tonight in a game I have pegged to eclipse the total.
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 6-0 OVER versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 163.4 ppg scored.TEXAS SOUTHERN is 9-2 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 169 ppg scored.
|11-19-19||New Hampshire -5 v. Central Connecticut State||77-63||Win||100||7 h 35 m||Show|
This one is strictly mathematical as I have made New Hampshire a 7 or more point favorite which gives us value on this line.
C CONN ST is 2-10 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.C CONN ST is 0-8 ATS after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.C CONN ST is 1-9 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
Play on New Hampshire to cover
|11-18-19||Thunder v. Clippers -9.5||88-90||Loss||-110||10 h 9 m||Show|
The key super star duo of George and Leonard are both supposed to be on the floor tonight against the Thunder, which makes for a over powering situation that favors the Clippers to come out of this with a convincing victory.
LA CLIPPERS are 21-10 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 ATS in home games in November games over the last 2 seasons
Donovan is 1-10 ATS (in road games after 3 consecutive non-conference games as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY.
Play on the LA Clippers to cover
|11-18-19||Blazers v. Rockets -7||108-132||Win||100||11 h 56 m||Show|
Houston owns a run and gun offence that averages more than 118.5 ppg ranking 2nd in the NBA in output. The Rockets recently have also picked up their defensive play which makes them dangerous, as is evident by their current 7 game win streak. Meanwhile, Portland their opponents tonight have been highly inconsistent and has lost 6 of their L/8 overall and fade material in their current form.
|11-18-19||Bucks v. Bulls +8.5||115-101||Loss||-105||7 h 7 m||Show|
The Milwaukee Bucks will go for their fourth win in a row when they visit the Chicago Bulls on Monday night but Im betting that will not come that easily. The early market looks inefficient despite of the discrepancies in both teams current performance levels. However recency bias, is at play here giving us value on as slightly bloated line.
The Bucks are 0-12 ATS /SU on the road off a game as a favorite in which they held their opponent to fewer than 85 points.
NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 32-67 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.MILWAUKEE is 70-115 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover
|11-18-19||Hawaii +16 v. Illinois||53-66||Win||100||1 h 45 m||Show|
The Rainbow Warriors heading into Monday night, are 3-1 so far this season.The Rainbow Warriors possess good guard scoring and rare height for a mid-major program and should provide the Illini with a viable challenge.
HAWAII is 3-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1997.
Play on Hawaii to cover
|11-18-19||Hornets v. Raptors UNDER 214.5||96-132||Loss||-110||3 h 46 m||Show|
The Raptors were showing signs of fatigue Saturday and Pascal Siakam had an off night with 15 points on 6-for-24 shooting with five turnovers and with only one day rest in between games, I sure their still a bit exhausted. Also being without injured Kyle Lowry and Serge Ibaka. defence and a slower pace has been key for the Raptors and that will once again be the case tonight here on home court as they get reacclimatized to being on home court after an extensive 5 game road trip. Tonight Im betting the Raps will hold the Hornets to under their season ppg offensive average of 106 ppg, and for they themselves to have a limited out put because of being short handed.
Under is 3-1-1 in Hornets last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 vs. NBA Southeast.Under is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 Monday games.Under is 5-0 in Raptors last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (TORONTO) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning record on the season are 475-337 UNDER L/23 seasons for a long term 59% conversion rate for bettors.
|11-18-19||Hornets +9 v. Raptors||96-132||Loss||-110||2 h 57 m||Show|
Toronto is short handed with injured Kyle Lowry and Serge Ibaka on the sidelines. Im betting the Raptors offensive flow will be curtailed as well as they ability to cover in a game that I also have pegged at being fairly low scoring.
The Hornets are 9-1 ATS L/10 on the road.
NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more are 28-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Charlotte Hornets to cover
|11-18-19||Cavs v. Knicks OVER 209.5||105-123||Win||100||3 h 26 m||Show|
Both the Cleveland Cavaliers and the NY Knicks are struggling, and both are looking at this like a winnable game, and both Im betting will be primed to be aggressive here in transition which Im betting helps this combined score get over this total. Yes, I know both sides have been creating unders of late, but that wont be the case here tonight. Note: NYK L/47 home games have seen a combined average of 217.8 ppg scored.CLEVELAND in their L/44 games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 218.1 ppg scored.
Over is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
|11-18-19||Presbyterian v. Notre Dame -24.5||53-63||Loss||-124||9 h 21 m||Show|
Presbyterian was picked this preseason to finish 10th in the 11-team Big South and are completely out gunned vs a Notre Dame hoops group that has a stead fast philosophy in place and has won its first three by an average of 24.6 points.
Notre Dame is at home tonight and Im betting they dont take their foot of the peddle until the end, making them viable DD chalk favs.
CBB team (NOTRE DAME) - off 2 no-covers where the team won straight up as a favorite, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season are 27-8 . L/23 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Notre Dame to cover
|11-18-19||Middle Tennessee v. Coastal Carolina -3||72-93||Win||100||7 h 40 m||Show|
My power rankings make Coastal Carolina a -4 or better favorite which gives us a solid buffer on this line which makes this a solid wagering opportunity.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-10 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-9 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 season.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIDDLE TENN ST) - poor shooting team from last season - made 42% or less of their shot attempts, in a non-conference game between two teams from mid-major division 1-A conferences are 5-24 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Coastal Carolina to cover
|11-18-19||Fairleigh Dickinson +1 v. Army||65-81||Loss||-110||6 h 12 m||Show|
Army is off a loss to Air force last time out, and will now be in an emotional letdown spot after that spirited by fall short effort. Fairleigh Dickinson beat Army last year by DDs at home, and now will once again take the advantage on a short lined rod tilt.
FARLEIGH DICKINSON is 9-2 ATS versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots over the last 2 seasons. FARLEIGH DICKINSON is 9-2 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.FARLEIGH DICKINSON is 7-0 ATS L/7 a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5.
Play on Fairleigh Dickinson to cover
|11-18-19||Bryant v. Niagara +4.5||73-62||Loss||-109||2 h 60 m||Show|
The Purple Eagles ushered in a new era with first-year head coach Greg Paulus taking over the program , and have started out with three straight losses, and now here at home will be primed to bounce back. ( Hopemism- Niagara had season-highs in points (80), 3-pointers (8), free throws (22), rebounds (29), assists (16), and steals (6) against Stephen F. Austin. The Purple Eagles shot over 55 percent (55.6 %) from the field for the first time since February 23, 2018.
BRYANT is 0-7 ATS in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5.
NIAGARA is 12-2 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
CBB Home teams as an underdog or pick (NIAGARA) - in a non-conference game between two teams from mid-major division 1-A conferences, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 24-5 ATS L/23 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Niagara to cover
|11-18-19||Hartford v. Oakland UNDER 131.5||50-60||Win||100||2 h 31 m||Show|
After scoring only 50 points in a loss to Maryland last time out, Im betting the home team comes out here ready to get back into a offensive groove vs a Hartford side that they can light up. After playing the Terps this will seem like a walk in the park metaphorically speaking. Hartford will also have to open up offensively with some fireworks of their own or be blown of the court which Im betting leads to a fairly high scoring affair that eclipses this total.
OAKLAND is 62-38 OVER in all home games since 1997 with a combined average of 155.3 ppg.
|11-17-19||Texas-Arlington +16.5 v. Oregon||47-67||Loss||-105||8 h 12 m||Show|
The Texas Arlington Mavericks didn't shoot well against Nevada in a loss last time but had leads during the game which they couldn't hold. They started the game slowly on offense before picking things up and have the guns to stay close enough for a cover vs a PAC 12 team in Oregon that is off a potential letdown spot after a big win vs the Memphis Tigers last time out. Also being off for 5 days will not be a cohesive situation for the Ducks vs a pesky opponent.
TX-ARLINGTON is 38-19 ATS off a road loss since 1997 and is 15-6 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.
Play on Tx Arlington to cover
|11-17-19||Georgia State v. Georgetown OVER 151.5||83-91||Win||100||7 h 18 m||Show|
My owns projections make this Totals closer to 155 thus giving us value with a over wager.
GEORGETOWN is 12-3 OVER after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 165.9 ppg scored.
CBB Road teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (GEORGIA ST) - after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 15 or more are 174-106 OVER L/23 seasons for a long term 62% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the OVER
|11-17-19||Wizards v. Magic OVER 223||121-125||Win||100||4 h 6 m||Show|
Washington has the 3rd best offence in the league the 28th worst D ppg allowed, and 8th fastest pace. This is almost always recipe for a high scoring back and forth tilt. Meanwhile, Orlanso has seen an uptick in their offensive outputs of late, and Im betting they will need that extra offence against a team that plays wide open run and gun ball.
The Wizards are 19-0 OVER with less than two days rest off a road game in which they shot over 50% from the field with a combined average of 232.2 ppg going on the scoreboard.
WASHINGTON is 10-1 OVER off a road win over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238 ppg scored.
NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (ORLANDO) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 83-49 OVER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.
|11-17-19||Wake Forest v. Charlotte +4||65-67||Win||100||8 h 21 m||Show|
Ron Sanchez's system is beginning to really be working as the 49ers (1-1). are getting balanced scoring as four players are averaging between 11.5 and 13.5 points. From my matchup power rankings they look like viable underdogs vs a 2-0 Wake Forest team that has not won 3 games in row since the 2017 season.
The 49ers' cohesiveness was on full display in a 71-58 victory Tuesday night over a Davidson team many pegged as an Atlantic 10 title contender.
WAKE FOREST is 23-38 ATS in all games over the last 3 seasons.
Manning is 4-14 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite as the coach of WAKE FOREST.Manning is 7-16 ATS after a win by 10 points or more as the coach of WAKE FOREST.
FOREST is 5-14 ATS in road games when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 3 seasons.WAKE FOREST is 7-20 ATS after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons.
Charlotte to cover
|11-17-19||UT-Rio Grande Valley v. Texas A&M Corpus Christi -1.5||55-63||Win||100||7 h 25 m||Show|
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi the hosts of this tournament has an edge here on home floor. My power rankings also suggest we have value . I know .the Islanders (0-4), and have lost five straight games dating to last season, but this makes them all the more desperate vs a side they matchup well against.
Play on Texas A&M CC to cover
|11-17-19||Ball State -2 v. Indiana State||69-55||Win||100||8 h 30 m||Show|
This instate battle of Indiana actually features 16 players from Indiana combined from both the Ball State and Indiana State rosters. This long standing rivalry will be played on a neutral court today for the first time , in the history of their meetings.QUOTE: "It's kind of like a conference game because we play them every year," Tahjai Teague said. "I know most of the guys from AAU, high school and now college. I've been playing them all my life." END QUOTE
Play on Ball State to cover
|11-17-19||CS-Northridge v. Richmond -14||62-90||Win||100||7 h 51 m||Show|
CS Northridge has proven itself to be defensively challenged early on this season, allowing a whopping 100 ppg in 3 road tilts this season. Meanwhile, Richmond is showing that they love the run and gun game, with a offensive output of 96.5 ppg in two games so far with one of those wins coming against Vanderbilt of the SEC. Im betting on more of the same fireworks from Richmond today, and for CS Northridge not to have enough ammunition to keep track in what should be a easy DD margin of victory for the Spiders.
Note: Chris Mooney’s offense has evolved into a system that embodies the concept of “basketball without positions.” While short- er players will begin most possessions further away from the basket and taller players will begin most possessions on the wing or in the paint, they will rare- ly end up anywhere near where they started. On each possession, every player on the court is equally as likely to handle the ball, shoot a three, cut back door, or set up on the low block. The Spiders offense places a premium on passing, cutting, and outside shooting, and Richmond’s coaches focus on developing those skills in each Spider. Richmond’s offense often results in a high team field goal percentage, a ton of opportunities for assists, and relatively few turnovers. Over the previous five seasons (2014-15 through 2018-19), Richmond ranks 26th in D-I in field goal percentage (46.9), 17th in assists per game (15.6), 10th in fewest turnovers per game (10.2), and sixth in assist-turnover ratio (1.52).
Richmond has won 4 straight games vs a non-conference opponent dating back to last season,
Play on Richmond to cover
|11-17-19||Celtics v. Kings +3.5||99-100||Win||100||5 h 51 m||Show|
The Kings are a team that must not to be overlooked, having won four of six since an 0-5 start. I know the Celtics are a public favorite but because of this we have value line with the home underdog to bet into.
Meanwhile, the Celtics narrowly closed out a 105-100 win over the Western Conference's worst team, the Golden State Warriors, on Friday night, and looked less offensively cohesive without Gordon Hayward who is out indefinitely.
Boston has won seven of its past eight meetings with Sacramento, but the three most recent victories have been by single digits.
The Kings are 6-0 ATS L/6 covering more than 7 ppg.
NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 3 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 7-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.
Play Sacramento to cover
|11-17-19||Dartmouth -2 v. UMass Lowell||80-75||Win||100||4 h 16 m||Show|
Dartmouth went into Buffalo in their first game of the season and abruptly ended a long time home winning streak for the Bulls, and have overall looked impressive this season so far and deserve our support on a short line here. UMASS-LOWELL is 2-9 ATS versus poor passing teams, averaging 12 or less assists/game over the last 2 seasons.UMASS-LOWELL is 3-12 ATS after playing a home game over the last 3 seasons.
Play on Dartmouth cover
|11-17-19||Detroit +15.5 v. Clemson||65-87||Loss||-110||4 h 32 m||Show|
Clemson has scored only 100.4 points per 100 possessions (124th in the NCAA) despite turning the ball over on just 15.2 percent of their offensive possessions (31st in the NCAA). Clemson charity stripe conversion rate of only 19.4 percent (328th in the NCAA), and when they get their FTs, they are converting at 67.6 percent as a team (208th in the NCAA). To me that flashes reg flags when trying to cover a mid range DD spread vs a Detroit team with a player like Antoine Davis that can take over a game offensively and control the offensive flow of a game.
Davis is 102-64 ATS after playing a game as an underdog in all games he has coached since 1997.
Play on Detroit to cover
|11-17-19||Arkansas-Little Rock v. Central Arkansas +3.5||76-56||Loss||-109||2 h 44 m||Show|
UCA (1-3) and Little Rock (1-1) have met a total of seven times since the 2015-16 season. The Bears have won the last three matchups against the Trojans. Last season, UCA swept the two-game series, winning 78-65 in Conway and 85-82 in Little Rock and have the edge again getting points.
C ARKANSAS is 2-0 straight up at home against ARK-LITTLE ROCK over the last 3 seasons.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 3-17 ATS L/20 versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or worse .ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 0-6 ATS in road games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
Play on Central Arkansas to cover
|11-17-19||Yale v. Oklahoma State UNDER 143.5||57-64||Win||100||4 h 2 m||Show|
Oklahoma State in their usual methodical ways will pound the glass with their big bodies in what Im betting they will force into a a very physical affair.
OKLAHOMA ST is 18-8 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. OKLAHOMA ST is 8-1 UNDER versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA ST is 11-3 UNDER in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. OKLAHOMA ST is 13-2 UNDER after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.OKLAHOMA ST is 23-6 UNDER in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
YALE is 10-2 UNDER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last 3 seasons.
|11-17-19||Jacksonville State +15.5 v. VCU||65-93||Loss||-110||2 h 6 m||Show|
The Jacksonville State men's basketball team travels to Richmond, Va., Sunday, Nov. 17 to take on VCU in the opening game of the Emerald Coast Classic.
VCU is they stay healthy will be a national contender this season in my humble opinion, but this line is bloated to an extent based on what the college basketball community believes is a top tier team. The public will blast this chalk , but the true value is with the underdog . Note:
The Gamecocks' last outing was a 125-55 victory over Brescia in their home opener Nov. 5 at Pete Mathews Coliseum. All 12 Gamecocks that saw the floor in the game scored at least one basket, leading to a program-most points scored in a single game and single-game high of 46 field goals.
This team can light it up in hurry and are viable underdogs here whether it be in a competitive manner or in a back door situation.
Play on Jacksonville State to cover
|11-17-19||Montana State -6.5 v. Tennessee Tech||52-39||Win||100||2 h 50 m||Show|
Spartan Invitational - Final Round - Fleming Gym - Greensboro, NC
My power rankings suggest Montana state is the superior side both defensively and have a viable edge here on anything under 8 point chalk or less.
CBB Neutral court teams (MONTANA ST) - team who 8 or more 3 point shots/game last season, after a game where a team made 50% of their 3 point shots or better and 70-34 ATS for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Montana State to cover
|11-17-19||UC-Davis v. VMI +3||84-89||Win||100||2 h 46 m||Show|
Red Wolves Classic - 1st National Bank Arena - Jonesboro, AR
VMI has lost 5 games in a row but 3 of the losses have come by 2,3,1 point respectively. This is another matchup Im betting that will see getting points to be a viable betting opportunity.
CAL DAVIS is 3-11 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CAL DAVIS is 3-12 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 season.
Les is 16-30 ATS in road games when playing only their 3rd game in a week in all games he has coached since 1997.
Play on VMI to cover
|11-16-19||Hawks v. Clippers UNDER 223||101-150||Loss||-110||9 h 49 m||Show|
Kawhi Leonard and Amir Coffey are expected to miss tonight for the Clippers which will effect their flow. Meanwhile, Atlanta is also short handed with a boat load full of injuries, something that will also effect their flow, especially since they will be on tired legs playing their their 4th straight road game in west coast road trip in less than a week.
The Clippers are 0-5 UNDER L/5 as a home favorite with a combined average of 199 ppg going on the board.
Under is 6-1 in Clippers last 7 home games.Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 games following a straight up loss.Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Clippers last 9 overall.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 23-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.
|11-16-19||Bucks v. Pacers +7||102-83||Loss||-101||8 h 45 m||Show|
Indiana played last night in Houston so they should be on tired legs, but what impresses me about this team is their never say die attitude. I mean these guys are like energizer bunnies and must never be underestimated , even against a top tier team like Milwaukee. Last night the Pacers limited the sharp shooting Rockets to 14 of 46 (30.4 percent) from long distance and just 40.4 percent shooting overall and Im betting that can replicate those numbers again here on their own home floor in a key divisional matchup vs another strong downtown shooting team.
Indiana is 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 meetings in this series at home.
Bucks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.Bucks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Pacers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.Pacers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.
NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, on Saturday games are just 30-77 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Indiana to cover
|11-16-19||James Madison +6.5 v. George Mason||70-83||Loss||-110||10 h 58 m||Show|
The George Mason Patriots will be going for their fourth consecutive win when they take on the James Madison Dukes in a rivalry game on Saturday night but Im betting that wont come easily vs a side that matches up well against them according to tiered powered rankings.
GEORGE MASON is 2-15 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons.
Play on James Madison to cover
|11-16-19||Nets v. Bulls -2||117-111||Loss||-110||7 h 11 m||Show|
Brooklyn is 1-3 on the trip and is coming off three straight losses to the Phoenix Suns, Utah Jazz and Denver Nuggets and in their current form fade material vs the Chicago Bulls.
Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.
Nets are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 Saturday games.Nets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Nets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.Nets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.Nets are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Nets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.Nets are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Nets are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games overall.Nets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Nets are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.
The Nets are 77-238 ATS since 1995 as a road dog after playing as a road dog.
Favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover
|11-16-19||Montana State +15 v. NC-Greensboro||67-66||Win||100||8 h 8 m||Show|
Spartan Invitational - 2nd Rd - Greensboro Coliseum - Greensboro, NC
MONTANA ST is 11-2 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 11-25 L/36 ATS versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or less.
|11-16-19||Harvard v. Buffalo -1||76-88||Win||100||5 h 17 m||Show|
at Scotiabank Arena - Toronto, ON
UB is looking to do something no MAC program has ever done before and thats win a third straight MAC Title. They have the ability and the talent, and must never be underestimated via a balanced group that has five different players averaging double figures in scoring through the first two games this season, led by Graves, who is averaging 16.0 points per game.UB features one of the more veteran teams with an average age of just under 21-years old and have an edge vs Harvard in this Tournament game here this afternoon.
CBB Neutral court teams (HARVARD) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, good team from last season who won 60% to 80% of their games are 8-31 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Buffalo to cover
|11-16-19||Northwestern State v. Tulane -10.5||52-79||Win||100||4 h 29 m||Show|
Tulane looks to start the season 3-0 for the second time in the last three seasons and build on its +15.0 scoring margin against opponents following its first two wins over Southeastern Louisiana and Jackson State. My power rankings and matchup stats say they can do it and convincingly.
CBB favorite (TULANE) - off a home win scoring 85 or more points, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 7+ losses in last 8 games are 60-33 ATS L/23 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Tulane to cover
|11-16-19||Belmont +1.5 v. Boston College||100-85||Win||100||4 h 58 m||Show|
The Bruins are entering the 2019-2020 season following some of their most historic seasons ever. Fans saw coach Rick Byrd’s 800th win, the program’s first ever at-large bid into the NCAA Tournament and even its first ever win in the tournament and with with young superstars like Nick Muszynski, Grayson Murphy and Mitch Listau, this team remains capable of huge things, and matchup well here vs BC today.
BELMONT is 9-0 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.BELMONT is 15-4 ATS after a game where they made 13 or more 3 point shots over the last 3 seasons.Alexander is 8-0 ATS in road games after scoring 45 points or more in the first half last game in all games he has coached since 1997.Alexander is 18-4 ATS as a road underdog or pick in all games he has coached since 1997.
Play on Belmont to cover
|11-16-19||Columbia v. Virginia -23||42-60||Loss||-110||3 h 21 m||Show|
Im betting Tony Bennetts pack line D, is going to over power Columbia here this afternoon . Virginia has already held Syracuse and James Madison to 34 point outputs, and already this season ranks No.1 in the country in defence. Meanwhile, Columbia with a 0-2 record already this season on the road and ranking 181st in the nation and offence, will find the sledding very tough here today, in what Im betting will be a vast DD margin of victory for the Cavaliers on their own home court for their 8th straight cover dating back to last season.
VIRGINIA is 15-4 ATS after allowing 60 points or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.VIRGINIA is 21-9 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +24.7.
Play on Virginia to cover
|11-16-19||Portland State v. Hawaii -5.5||75-83||Win||100||8 h 39 m||Show|
Hawaii squares off against Portland State in an early season matchup. Hawaii beat Pacific by five points at home on Monday, while Portland State came up short in an 85-74 game at Indiana on Saturday. Although it’s a small sample size with just three games played into the season, acting head coach Chris Gerlufsen believes the team has extreme potential. QUOTE:"I think we’re tough,' said Gerlufsen. “I was super proud of our group, we showed resolve and grit and really as a coach that’s all you can ask for, that a team is bought in and will play a full 40 minutes.” END QUOTE: I tend to agree with him. END QUOTE
PORTLAND ST is 0-8 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons.
Ganot is 10-2 ATS in home games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers as the coach of HAWAII.
Play on Hawaii to cover
|11-15-19||Celtics v. Warriors +7.5||105-100||Win||100||8 h 32 m||Show|
Im betting the flow of the Celtics will be tested here tonight in Golden State as they play with out .high-scoring guard Gordon Hayward who has a broken left hand. I know the Golden State Warriors look to be a shambles right now, but Im betting they gather up some pride and make a game of this here tonight on their own home floor.
GOLDEN STATE is 23-7 ATS L/30 in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game.
NBA Road teams (BOSTON) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a top-level team (75% or better) playing a terrible team (25% . or less) are 6-25 ATS L/23 seasons for go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Golden State Warriors
|11-15-19||Celtics v. Warriors UNDER 222.5||105-100||Win||100||7 h 4 m||Show|
The Celtics won't be at full strength for the trip out west, and for at least a month after that, with the loss of high-scoring guard Gordon Hayward to a broken left hand earlier in the week. Im betting this will hamper the offensive flow of the Celtics and they will take a more defensive, stance for a while to compensate for their offensive loss. Tonight because of this Im betting this Total is slightly bloated with the value towards the under. BOSTON i in 13 road games after 6 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined score of 216.1 ppg.
These teams have gone under in the L/4 meetings.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BOSTON) - a very good team (7 or better PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential), after a combined score of 215 points or more are 33-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (BOSTON) - a very good team (7 or better PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential), after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games are 23-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.
|11-15-19||Gonzaga -7 v. Texas A&M||79-49||Win||100||7 h 48 m||Show|
HC Williams of Texas A&M has this to say about his battle with the Gonzaga Bulldogs. He says many of his players are not aware of what awaits. END QUOTE:
"A portion of our team is unaware of what Gonzaga is," Williams said Wednesday. "They don't know they played in the Elite Eight last season. They don't know they played in the Final Four in 2015. They don't know they've been to the NCAA Tournament 21 straight years. END QUOTE.
I feel sorry for Williams if this is true, and not some lame story he's telling his young group to illustrate to them that you cant fear what you don't know . Anyway my projections make Gonzaga closer to 10 point power ranking favs here, thus giving us value laying the lumber on the current line.
TEXAS A&M is 0-7 ATS in home games in November games over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.4 ppg.
NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GONZAGA) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game, after 2 straight blowout wins by 20 points or more are 88-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.
Gonzaga to cover
|11-15-19||Minnesota +5 v. Utah||69-73||Win||100||2 h 42 m||Show|
no stone is left uncovered in making a advantageous calculation on the outcome of the sporting event,. The process includes using trends, injury reports , weather , and situational factors. The entire process of bringing winning long term selections to clients guarantees long term profitable results.
Minnesota to cover
|11-15-19||UC-Davis +4 v. Arkansas State||67-80||Loss||-108||1 h 13 m||Show|
No stone is left uncovered in making a advantageous calculation on the outcome of this sporting event,. The process includes using trends, injury reports , weather , and situational factors. The entire process of bringing winning long term selections to clients guarantees long term profitable results.
Play on UCDavis to cover
|11-15-19||Wizards v. Wolves OVER 237.5||137-116||Win||100||12 h 13 m||Show|
Washington enters this game ranked 8th in pace in the league 8th in ppg(115.6) , and 28th in ppg allowed(120). Meanwhile, Minnesota is ranked 5th in pace, 4th in offensive output (117.2), and 25th in ppg allowed(116.2). Its obvious both sides run and gun with reckless abandon, while exhibiting an inability or disinterest in playing D. It is what it is. A far is this total is concerned, and how high it might seem, you have to remember this is the new NBA , and totals like this will show up more and more often as the league continues its quest to entertain the public. There can be under value with bloated totals, but this one not one of them.
WASHINGTON is 9-1 OVER versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 27 or more free throws/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 244.6 ppg scored.
MINNESOTA is 11-2 OVER against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons. Wolves average 119.2 ppg and opposition average 114.7 ppg. Based on a aggregate output system I use, 3-6 . points per team is projected above these numbers making this a viable over situation based on past performance trends and current form.
|11-15-19||Pacers v. Rockets -5.5||102-111||Win||100||5 h 22 m||Show|
After an impressive win by 102-93 win against the Los Angeles Clippers , Im now sold on the Rockets as a two team. My power rankings make the Rockets a 7 point fav here so we have value on this line. HOUSTON is 14-2 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (INDIANA) - hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or better of their shots against opponent after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 19-79 L/ 5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in -9.2 ppg.
NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 8-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Houston to cover
|11-15-19||Oral Roberts +12.5 v. Iowa||74-87||Loss||-110||1 h 31 m||Show|
No stone is left uncovered in making a advantageous calculation on the outcome of the sporting event,. The process includes using trends, injury reports , weather , and situational factors. The entire process of bringing winning long term selections to clients guarantees long term profitable results.
Oral Roberts to cover
|11-15-19||Alabama v. Rhode Island||79-93||Win||100||11 h 55 m||Show|
This is the second time in three seasons Rhode Island and Alabama will meet. Rhody played at Alabama two seasons ago, falling 68-64 in a closely contested tilt and now pay back is on the agenda.The only other meeting in the series came as part of the 1992 Cable Car Classic in Santa Clara, Calif. Alabama won 79-78.Friday night will mark the first time the Rams have hosted an SEC program in the Ryan Center and Im betting this place is going to rocking giving the home side the edge. Look for the physical take no prisoners play of RI senior Cyril Langevine who is leading the nation with 16.0 rebounds per game to be the catalyst for a Rhode Island victory.
Crimson Tide are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Atlantic 10.
Play on Rhode Island to cover
|11-15-19||Pistons v. Hornets +3.5||106-109||Win||103||7 h 53 m||Show|
Charlotte is on a four-game losing streak, while the Pistons have dropped three games in a row. Both are obviously not performing optimally and both are desperate for wins. With that said, Im betting on a hard fought game here tonight thus getting points with the home dog is viable wagering opportunity.CHARLOTTE is 17-5 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
Charlotte has won 6 of the L/7 meetings in this series SU.
NBA team (DETROIT) - after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are just 32-73 U L/23 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Charlotte to cover
|11-15-19||Spurs v. Magic UNDER 211||109-111||Loss||-110||4 h 45 m||Show|
Orlando are No.1 in ppg allowed in the NBA behind the 30th ranked pace. San Antonio is currently struggling and Im sure the Magic game plan will be to further take them out of their game with a suffocating physical effort which Im betting will contribute to a lower scoring affair.
ORLANDO is 27-15 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 209.1 ppg scored.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SAN ANTONIO) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season ARE 39-14 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the UNDER
|11-15-19||Cleveland State v. South Carolina UNDER 137.5||63-90||Loss||-110||11 h 40 m||Show|
South Carolina improved to 2-0 on the young season when it posted a 66-32 victory over Wyoming at Colonial Life Arena on Sunday behind a top tier D, which Im betting will once again play a smothering style of basketball. The Gamecock defense is holding opponents to just 24.0 percent from the field thus far, which leads the SEC and ranks third nationally. Needless to say, I expect Cleveland will not do much offensive damage here and only put up 50 points vs Minnesota on the road in their opener and just 53 points on the board vs Missouri state as visitors. Clevelands output and Carolina D and pace make this an under wager.
Under is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 non-conference games.
Under is 5-0 in Gamecocks last 5 overall.Under is 5-0 in Gamecocks last 5 games following a straight up win.Under is 6-0 in Gamecocks last 6 home games.Under is 5-0 in Gamecocks last 5 games following a ATS win.Under is 7-1 in Gamecocks last 8 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Gamecocks last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 9-3 in Gamecocks last 12 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.Under is 14-5 in Gamecocks last 19 Friday games.
|11-15-19||CS-Northridge v. Auburn -23||70-116||Win||100||5 h 22 m||Show|
Cal State Northridge is going to play this game without the reigning Big West Player of the Year, Lamine Diane. That is a monumental task for a team that is ranked 311th in adjusted defensive efficiency and are allowing a 92.7 pp. Meanwhile, Auburn always seems to play their best at home where they have covered 6 straight times, and considering the mammoth divide in their D, vs the Matadors D, it becomes obvious that this has blow out written all over it. Auburn owns the 45th-ranked adjusted defensive efficiency.
Play on Auburn to cover
|11-14-19||Hawks v. Suns OVER 227||112-128||Win||100||13 h 30 m||Show|
Phoenix is 8th in pace in the NBA and 6th in offensive output,(116.6) and will push all comers into speeding up their game, and opening up or be blown off the court. That is exactly the situation we have here tonight as Atlanta visits in their 3rd western road game in 5 nights. Run and gun until the clock tips in at zero. The two most recent meetings between these teams last season saw 230 and 232 combined points cored.
Atlanta has gone over in 3 straight games with the combined score of 237.7 ppg scored. Suns have gone over in 4 straight with a combined average of 235.8 ppg scored.
ATLANTA is 12-2 OVER after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 249.3 ppg going on the board.
PHOENIX is 15-4 OVER after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 232.9 ppg scored.
NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHOENIX) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 25-3 OVER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.
|11-14-19||Michigan State v. Seton Hall UNDER 140.5||76-73||Loss||-108||8 h 41 m||Show|
Seton Hall will play without star guard Myles Powell and that will adversely effect their offensive flow of a team that is defensive minded in nature. Meanwhile, Michigan State is expected play without senior guard Joshua Langford which will also effect the Spartans offence as he compliments star guard Cassius Winston. With that said, Im taking the under here in a game that should be grinding and physical in nature.
MICHIGAN ST is 7-0 UNDER after game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less over the last 2 seasons which was the case in a 100-47 beatdown of Binghamton last time out.
|11-14-19||Mavs -7 v. Knicks||103-106||Loss||-109||12 h 28 m||Show|
Dallas has revenge on board for a 106-102 loss at home back in November, and Im betting we see them at their best here in the rematch vs a NYK side that ha lost 6 of their L/7 SU overall and 9 of their L/11.
NEW YORK is 9-23 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.9 ppg.
Carlisle is 21-9 ATS as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points as the coach of DALLAS with the average ppg diff registering at +11.9 ppg.The Mavericks are 12-2 ATS L/14 on the road.
NBA Road teams (DALLAS) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 PPG or less differential), after a combined score of 205 points or more 4 straight games are 39-9 ATS L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Dallas to cover
|11-14-19||Heat v. Cavs +5||108-97||Loss||-110||11 h 49 m||Show|
Cleveland after a slow start to their season have won 2 of their L/3 with the one loss coming to the 76ers by just 1 points. In their current form they are viable underdogs on their own floor here against a Miami team that maybe flashing slightly bloated recency bias favorite status.
Cavs are 7-2-1 ATS L/10 overall.
NBA Road teams (MIAMI) - after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 10-41 SU L/5 seasons for a less than 20% win ratio.
NBA favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 30-66 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Cleveland Cavs to cover
|11-13-19||Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 220.5||94-120||Win||100||10 h 49 m||Show|
The Lakers played a aggressive game vs the Suns last night in a big win, that saw the team spread the ball around . Note: The Lakers are 0-14 L/14 UNDER at home after a game as a road favorite in which they had 6+ double digit scorers with a combined average of 193.3 ppg going on the board. Now on tired legs I look for a regression tonight, and for this contest vs the Golden State Warriors to end up on the lower side of the total.
LA LAKERS are 10-1 UNDER in home games vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.5 ppg scored and are are 11-2 UNDER in home games versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 208.1 ppg scored.
NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA LAKERS) - a top-level team ( 75% or better) playing a terrible team (25% or worse ) are 24-5 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the UNDER
|11-13-19||Grand Canyon +12 v. San Diego State||61-86||Loss||-110||9 h 23 m||Show|
San Diego State took out BYU 76-71 for their first win in 33 times on the road in that series , and now will be in a monumental letdown spot vs a Grand Canyon hoops program that has beaten all three times they have faced them.There are only six Division I programs that the Aztecs have played at least three times in men’s basketball and never defeated: Duke, Villanova, Tennessee, Stanford, Washington State and last but not least Grand Canyon. I know that Lopes HC Dan Majerle is down to a six-man rotation while awaiting the semester eligibility of three key players, but its going to be very hard for the Aztecs to muster a complete game here vs a side that they just might be over looking, no matter how prepared they say they are.
Play on Grand Canyon to cover
|11-13-19||Southern Utah +12 v. BYU||63-68||Win||100||4 h 44 m||Show|
Brigham Young goes up against Southern Utah in an early season matchup. Both teams last saw action this past Saturday. Southern Utah won 79-78 in overtime at Nebraska, while Brigham Young fell to San Diego State at home, 76-71.
Southern Utah is ranked first in Division I with an average of 90.1 possessions per game and must be underestimated in their ability to cover in this spot.
SOUTHERN UTAH is 9-0 ATS in November games over the last 3 seasons.BYU is 4-12 ATS when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 2 seasons.Simon is 18-9 ATS in non-conference games as the coach of SOUTHERN UTAH.
Southern Utah to cover
|11-13-19||Spurs +2 v. Wolves||114-129||Loss||-110||8 h 15 m||Show|
San Antonio looked asleep at the wheel last time out vs Memphis and lost as DD chalk. Now after that embarrassing effort Im betting on this talented but inconsistent team to step up their game against a Minnesota team that is playing at a high level, but due for regression after some hard fought affairs over a short period of time.
SAN ANTONIO is 21-8 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite of 10 points or more
San Antonio owns an 89-30 all-time series lead on the Timberwolves. The Spurs have won the season series against Minnesota 22 times in 30 seasons, including the last six.
SAN ANTONIO is 22-10 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
NBA Road teams (SAN ANTONIO) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, in November games are 49-20 ATS L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on San Antonio to cover
|11-13-19||Eastern Washington v. St. Louis -7.5||60-82||Win||100||8 h 22 m||Show|
The Billikens, who are in the midst of a season-opening six-game home stand, enter Wednesday's game 2-0 after wins against Florida Gulf Coast (89-67) and Valparaiso (81-70). The Billikens have scored 80 or more points in the first two games of the season for just the second time since the 1990s and despite it still being early on the season, look like a very viable group and one of the better ones the program has put o the floor in a while and get my support here on their own home floor.
Ford is 30-19 ATS in all home games as the coach of SAINT LOUIS.SAINT LOUIS is 9-2 ATS in a home game where the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
E WASHINGTON is 2-9 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
Play on St.Louis to cover
|11-13-19||CS Bakersfield +10 v. Northern Iowa||55-67||Loss||-108||7 h 1 m||Show|
CSUB (1-1) is coming off a solid start to the season after earning a 50-point win in its regular-season opener and playing a thrilling matchup against South Dakota State. While Bakersfield fell against the Jackrabbits in double overtime, the `Runners put up a strong showing, especially on the offensive end and definitely have earned my respect on a DD dog line.Through the first week of the season, CSUB ranks 11th among all NCAA Division I schools with an average of 97.0 points per game . When looking at underdogs like this you have to feel confident that they have the ability to be competitive and if all else fails have the capability to give us a back door cover. Bakersfield passes with flying colors.
N IOWA is 5-14 ATS after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
Barnes is 20-8 ATS after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ more shots than opponent in all games he has coached since 1997.
Take the points with CS Bakersfield
|11-13-19||76ers v. Magic -1||97-112||Win||100||7 h 59 m||Show|
This will be a back to back for the Sixers and their 3rd game and 4 nights and they will now be on tired legs vs a up trending Orlando team that is slowly getting back into a culture of winning. Advantage Orlando.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-25 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off 2 no-covers where the team won straight up as a favorite against opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite are just 7-24 L/23 seasons for a 75% SU conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Orlando Magic to cover
|11-13-19||Quinnipiac +6 v. Brown||68-70||Win||100||6 h 48 m||Show|
Quinnipiac went 11-7 in MAAC play during the regular season, earning the No. 3 seed in the league's postseason tournament at the Times Union Center in Albany, N.Y. and Im betting they are improved this season, and matchup well vs Brown on the road here tonight.Brown was picked No. 5 in the Ivy League Preseason Men's Basketball Poll.
QUINNIPIAC is 17-7 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons and is 10-2 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons.
BROWN is 4-14 ATS L/18 in a home game where the total is 140 to 144.5.
Play on Quinnipiac to cover
|11-13-19||La Salle +8.5 v. Pennsylvania||59-75||Loss||-109||2 h 46 m||Show|
These teams are not performing at an optimal level right now and I dont believe that Pennsylvania should be this be a favorite in a rivalry game . La Salle despite of still being in a rebuilding mode has the athletes to keep this close . The visitor is 9-1-2 ATS last 12 in this series and Im betting on LaSalle to cover.
Play on LaSalle to cover
|11-13-19||Villanova v. Ohio State -1||51-76||Win||100||2 h 31 m||Show|
Villanova (1-0) Im betting are going to have their hands full with a balanced Ohio State(2-0) attack that is extremely under rated. Both these teams have looked good but both have shown some early seasons inefficiencies, but tonight I expect home court advantage to buoy the Buckeyes.
Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Play on Ohio State to cover
|11-12-19||Blazers v. Kings +2||99-107||Win||100||10 h 24 m||Show|
Sacramento is playing pretty good ball of late, and are well rested, but an injury to starting point guard, De'Aaron Fox has caused what Im betting is an over reaction on the line giving us value with the home dog. Im betting veteran backup Cory Joseph will do just fine filling in tonight and give the Kings an opportunity for a win and more importantly cover for the 4th time in their L/5 games.
SACRAMENTO is 20-9 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
Note: NBA Teams are 0-12 ATS /SU as a road dog off a win as a favorite in which they had overtime (Portland ended a 4 game losing streak with a OT win vs Atlanta last time out)
The Kings are 18-1 ATS when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win as a favorite when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.
Play on the Sacramento Kings
|11-12-19||Pepperdine -5 v. CS-Northridge||94-82||Win||100||10 h 30 m||Show|
CS Northrdige has given up 87-plus points in consecutive tilts , and look ripe to get ravaged by the Pepperdine Waves.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 1-8 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.Matadors are 21-44-3 ATS in their last 68 non-conference games.Matadors are 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Matadors are 7-20-3 ATS in their last 30 Tuesday games.Matadors are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. West Coast.Matadors are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game.
Pepperdine to cover
|11-12-19||Nets +7 v. Jazz||114-119||Win||100||9 h 10 m||Show|
The Nets enter this road game against the Jazz having covered at a 15-6 ATS rate in their last 21 vs. Western Conference and are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Jazz on tired legs after playing last night and are vulnerable here vs this type of uptempo side.
BROOKLYN is 27-12 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 3 seasons
The Nets are 23-3-1 ATS L/27 on the road with less than two days rest off a game as a dog when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.
NBA Teams like the Jazz are 0-14 ATS L/14 with less than two days rest off a win in which they had at least 5 turnovers less than their season-to-date average.
NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - in non-conference games, off a road win by 10 points or more are 44-85 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover
|11-12-19||Long Beach State +13 v. Stanford||58-86||Loss||-109||8 h 16 m||Show|
After Long Beach State won its home opener for the ninth straight season, the Beach will now return to the road to take on PAC 12 opponent Stanford. This is a very young Long Beach State team, but they have enough pure talent to stay competitive here tonight.49ers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.49ers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.49ers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games.49ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Pacific-12.49ers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.49ers are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.49ers are 9-1-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win.49ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Long Beach State to cover
|11-12-19||Memphis v. Oregon -3.5||74-82||Win||100||3 h 25 m||Show|
at Moda Center - Portland, OR
Memphis’ No. 1 recruiting class will have their hands full with an experienced Oregon backcourt . Lots of talent but a lack of experience will be the Tigers demise in this spot.
OREGON is 8-1 ATS in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.Altman is 9-1 ATS in road games after a game with 24 or more assists in all games he has coached which was the case in a DD beat down of Boise State last time out.
CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OREGON) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 4 or more points/game, after a combined score of 165 points or more are 54-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Oregon to cover
|11-12-19||North Texas +13.5 v. Arkansas||43-66||Loss||-109||7 h 16 m||Show|
North Texas Mean Green returns three under rated starters: Gibson, Roosevelt and Zachary Simmons. Coach McCasland and must be respected here as underdogs vs a SEC group from Arkansas. Despite of the discrepancies on paper this program must not be underestimated in their ability to cover. Note: Rebounding has been a key point of emphasis for the Mean Green this season who during the offseason added considerable size. In a hostile environment , UNT matched the nationally ranked Rams last time out on the boards as each team grabbed 31.UNT turned its 12 offensive rebounds into 16 points while VCU who also grabbed 12 offensive rebounds could only muster up seven second-chance points. Arkansas is going to have their hands full here tonight.
N TEXAS is 8-1 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
N.Texas to cover
|11-12-19||Thunder v. Pacers OVER 213.5||85-111||Loss||-110||7 h 55 m||Show|
Oklahoma City is thundering into top form offensively of late, and as result of their decent Fg conversion rate and uptick in pace have scored 112, 1114, and 119 respectively, with all three going over as their D gets looser allowing 121, 108 , and 121 points. Tonight Im betting on that current form to continue which will force a capable Indiana side that is in top form to push forward offensively and upping their pace and gaining on a recent output of 120, 121, 112, 109 points in their L/4 with 3 of those 4 games eclipsing the total.
NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 40-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.
|11-12-19||Thunder +2 v. Pacers||85-111||Loss||-109||4 h 32 m||Show|
Indiana has been playing some very good basketball of late, winning, 6 of their L/7 games, but are now on tired legs and prepare to play their 5th game in 8 days. With Oklahoma City beginning to score on a more consistent rate of late, are viable opponents here on this line.
NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 13-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.
NBA Teams like the Pacers are 1-18-1 ATS L/20 (2-18 SU) with less than two days rest off a win as a dog facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end.
NBA Teams are 1-14 ATS /SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick off a win in a road game in which they had 30+ assists.
Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder to cover
|11-12-19||Davidson v. Charlotte +10.5||58-71||Win||100||6 h 17 m||Show|
Davidson last at Auburn last time out, failing to live up their early season, hype. After watching parts of that game Im betting there is work be done in Wildcat land and living on reputation alone will not get done. I know Charlotte does not inspire bettors , but getting 10 plus points here on home court according to my projections makes for a viable underdog call.
DAVIDSON is 15-30 ATS L/45 in road games after playing a game as a road underdog.
Charlotte to cover
|11-12-19||Hartford v. Marist -1||62-51||Loss||-105||3 h 15 m||Show|
The home team has won every game in the all-time series and Im betting Marist here on their own home floor gets the job done again.
Marist won their first game on the road as underdogs last time out, and have been good bets in the past under these perimeters going 18-7 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog .
Play on Marist to cover
|11-12-19||American +3.5 v. George Washington||67-65||Win||100||3 h 5 m||Show|
American was picked third in the Patriot League Preseason Coaches Poll and are a up trending under rated team getting points. AU is off to a 0-2 start after losses at Siena and against William & Mary, but according to my early season head to head matchup power rankings matchup well vs George Washington.
Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Play on American to cover
|11-12-19||Missouri v. Xavier -5||58-63||Push||0||2 h 32 m||Show|
Xavier lost 71-56 in Columbia, Mo. last season, and now have revenge on board. Both teams are 2-0 but home court advantage and pay back with a motivated group will be key to a cover for us here today behind what I bet is an improved interior D. XAVIER is 13-3 ATS L/16 in home games off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more.
Play on Xavier to cover
|11-12-19||Northeastern v. Massachusetts +2.5||71-80||Win||100||1 h 2 m||Show|
|11-12-19||Pittsburgh v. Robert Morris +10.5||71-57||Loss||-103||5 h 18 m||Show|
When Pitt plays Robert Morris on Tuesday night, serving as the first guest in the Colonials’ new home, Jeff Capel knows what to expect.
“The place will be jumping,” Pitt’s coach said.
This is the grand opening of the new 45 million dollar facility for Robert Morris so Im betting on them stepping up their game and getting us the cover .
Pittsburgh is off a loss to Nicholls State, 75-70, on Saturday, and showed me their a long way from prime time.
PITTSBURGH is 2-9 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 0-6 ATS in road games off a home loss over the last 2 seasons.
Robert Morris to cover
|11-12-19||Pacific +4.5 v. Hawaii||67-72||Loss||-110||12 h 22 m||Show|
Pacific faces Hawaii in an early season matchup. Pacific blew out Florida A&M by 22 in its last outing. Hawaii lost 81-75 loss at home against South Dakota in its most recent game. Pacifc had a much easier time than Hawaii and will be fresher, after Hawaii worked hard in loss to South Dakota. Advantage Pacific.
Warriors are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 vs. West Coast.Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Stoudamire is 10-2 ATS in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5 as the coach of PACIFIC.
Play on Pacific to cover
|11-11-19||Jazz v. Warriors UNDER 213||122-108||Loss||-109||14 h 39 m||Show|
The Jazz are off a hard fought battle vs Milwaukee last time out(103-100), and subsequent win, and will be in a bit of an emotional letdown state here in Golden State , which Im betting sees them set an even slower pace than usual ( Utah ranks 1st in pace in the NBA). The Jazz are 0-11-1 UNDER L/12 since Apr 20, 2019 going under by more than 17 ppg, with the average combined score clicking in at 198.1 ppg, with none of the games, eclipsing this current listed total. Also The Jazz are 0-5 L/5 UNDER on the road with a combined average of 193.4 ppg going on the board.
Meanwhile Golden State prepares to play their 4th game in 6 nights, which includes 3 straight road games, and will now also be on tired legs and happy to also set a slower pace.
UTAH is 16-4 UNDER after a win by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 209.4 ppg.
NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - cold team - having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games, struggling team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 45-19 UNDER L/5seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.
NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 4 straight games are 36-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the UNDER
|11-11-19||Jazz v. Warriors +9||122-108||Loss||-109||13 h 51 m||Show|
The Utah Jazz enter this game off a big home win vs the Milwaukee Bucks last time out, and Im betting they will now be in a letdown situation. I know Golden State is also in a funk, and on tired legs , but in a game that will be fairly slow paced and quite probably lower scoring, a 9 point spread for advantage players looks like a viable investment option.The Jazz are 0-4 ATS /1-3 SU L/4 on the road.the lone win came by a 1 point margin vs the Suns.
NBA Road teams (UTAH) - very good defensive team - shooting pct defense of 41% or less on the season, after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less are 38-83 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover
|11-11-19||Mavs v. Celtics -3.5||106-116||Win||100||25 h 32 m||Show|
Boston enters this game of an upset underdog win on the road vs the San Antonio Spurs last time out by a 135-115 count for their 7th straight win. They are currently in top form and a tough opponent for any team whether it is at home or on the road . Note: BOSTON is 13-2 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.
NBA Home favorites (BOSTON) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games are 31-1 SU L/23 seasons with a + 13.7 ppg diff.
Play on the Boston Celtics to cover
|11-11-19||Wolves v. Pistons -2.5||120-114||Loss||-110||6 h 25 m||Show|
Minnesota lost in a hard fought OT game last night to Denver and will now be on tired legs and a letdown spot. Advantage Detroit Pistons with two days rest.Pistons are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Northwest.Pistons are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Western Conference.Pistons are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 2 days rest.
Favorite is 10-3-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings.Timberwolves are 0-8 ATS in the last 8 meetings.Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Detroit.
The Pistons are 11-0 ATS /SU when they won 4+ straight meetings vs current opponent.
The Timberwolves are 0-10 ATS SU as a dog after they scored fewer than 10 fast break points last game.
Play on Detroit to cover
|11-11-19||Kent State v. Towson -2||84-80||Loss||-110||7 h 3 m||Show|
Towson looks to have a special group this season, and leads the Colonial Athletic Association (CAA) in scoring defense (44.5), field goal percentage defense (31.6), 3-point field goal percentage defense (21.1), rebounding (26.0), blocked shots (4.5), steals (13.0), scoring margin (+41.5), rebounding margin (+15.0) and turnover margin (+11.0).Towson is 2-0 for the first time since 2016 and get my support here vs Kent State.Towson is averaging 16 assists in its two games.The Tigers have scored 40 points in three consecutive halves.The Tigers averaged 1.351 points per possession against Bryn Athyn. Gibson has scored 24.2 percent of Towson's 95 bench points.
Golden Flashes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Golden Flashes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game.
KENT ST is 0-7 ATS at road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
Play on Towson to cover
|11-10-19||Raptors v. Lakers UNDER 215.5||113-104||Loss||-109||11 h 19 m||Show|
The defending champion Toronto Raptors take on the Lakers in Los Angeles on Sunday short handed with injuries. Two of their top performers went down with injuries in the club's win over the New Orleans Pelicans on Friday.Guard Kyle Lowry, the Raptors' second-leading scorer at 21.8 points per game, sustained a fracture in his left thumb in the first quarter, and forward Serge Ibaka went down with a severe right ankle sprain in the second quarter. Considering this , Im betting their flow will be disrupted, and knowing that they cant run and gun with the explosive Lakers tonight, a more defensive physical posture will be implemented by the coaching staff which will help keep this tilt on the lower side of this total.
NBA team (LA LAKERS/TORONTO) - in a game involving two top-level teams ( 75% or better), on Sunday games are 40-14 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.
|11-10-19||Nuggets -2.5 v. Wolves||100-98||Loss||-114||5 h 56 m||Show|
The Nuggets' looked impressive last time out vs a top tier Philadelphia 76ers club. They came back in spectacular fashion as they erased a 21-point fourth-quarter deficit to take a 100-97 victory and improve to 6-2 for the season.This is a top quality team that matches up very well vs a up trending but not quite ready prime time Minnesota side.
Nuggets are 23-10-1 ATS in their last 34 vs. NBA Northwest. Nuggets are 23-10-1 ATS in their last 34 vs. NBA Northwest. Nuggets are 21-5-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings in Minnesota.
Timberwolves are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Timberwolves are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Timberwolves are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Timberwolves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Timberwolves are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Timberwolves are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Timberwolves are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games.Timberwolves are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.Timberwolves are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover
|11-10-19||Mississippi Valley State v. Central Michigan -24||78-134||Win||100||5 h 45 m||Show|
Central Michigan has 3 returning starters while Miss Valley State has no returning starters. MVS lost their first two games, by landslide scores to Iowa State (110-74) and Utah (143-49). MISS VALLEY ST is 1-9 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half . Meanwhile,Central Michigan smashed MICHIGAN-DEARBORN by a 102-62 count in their opener. Davis is 16-3 ATS after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half as the coach of C MICHIGAN. Bottom line: While I do not expect a record setting 94 point margin of victory like the Utes layed down on the Delta Devils, but I do like Central Michigan to dominate behind a very well balanced offense that ranks 31st in offensive efficiency and a defence that works hard to get better. Mississippi Valley State ranks 346th in defensive efficiency since last season and rank 274th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.208). The Chippewas rank 45th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.190). Advantage Central Michigan.
CBB Road underdogs of 20 or more points (MISS VALLEY ST) - poor team from last season - outscored by opponents by 4 or more points/game, after a combined score of 175 points or more are 7-29 ATS L/22 seasons for go against conversion rate of 81% with the average ppg diff clicking in at 34.8 ppg.
Play on Central Michigan to cover
|11-09-19||Boise State +12 v. Oregon||75-106||Loss||-109||13 h 42 m||Show|
Coming off a 71-57 win over Fresno State in their season opener, No. 15 Oregon draws another Mountain West Conference opponent at home on Saturday when it faces the Boise State Broncos in Eugene, Ore. This time around Im betting Oregon will have a much tougher time getting a win and more importantly a cover vs a Boise State team that is coming off a 126-49 win over NAIA Life Pacific on Tuesday. The 126 points represent a single-game school record, as is the 77-point margin of victory. Rice is 46-22 ATS after allowing 60 points or less as the coach of BOISE ST.
The Broncos are 2-8 all-time against the Ducks, but have won two of the last five meetings.
Play on Boise State to cover
|11-09-19||Oklahoma -4.5 v. Minnesota||71-62||Win||100||8 h 25 m||Show|
at Sanford Pentagon - Sioux Falls, SDOklahoma has been dominant in non-conference play in recent seasons, boasting a combined 23-3 record in its last 26 non-league regular-season games. In non-conference play since 2017-18, Oklahoma is 9-3 against major conference schools (ACC, Big East, Big Ten, Pac-12, SEC) and 12-3 in games played away from Norman.
Golden Gophers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games.Golden Gophers are 3-16 ATS in their last 19 vs. Big 12.Oklahoma is 16-5-1 ATS L/21 vs non conference oppositon.
Play on Oklahoma Sooners to cover