|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|01-19-19||Flames -125 v. Oilers||5-2||Win||100||10 h 53 m||Show|
Long time in province rivals the Flames and Oilers go head to tonight in Edmonton. The Flames are riding a 6-0-1 run and their special teams are rocking and rolling . The Flames are 8-for-14 with the man-advantage in the past six games, and they netted their league-leading 15th short-handed goal Friday night. Look for those units to be a difference maker tonight. Note: I know the Flames have lost their L/5 visits to Edmonton but all good and bad runs must come to an end.
NHL Road Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (CALGARY) - after 5 or more consecutive overs, good team (+0.4 or more goals/G diff.) vs an avg. team (-0.4 to +0.4 goal/G diff.) - 2nd half of the year are 29-3 L/22 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Calgary to win
|01-15-19||Lightning -145 v. Stars||2-0||Win||100||10 h 51 m||Show|
The Stars have scored just six goals in their last four games and have scored two or fewer goals in 10 of their last 13 games. Here against the leagues most explosive team the Tampa Bay Bolts Im betting their in trouble. What gives even more credence to his selection is the fact that Tampa Bay (35-9-2, 72 points) is coming off a 5-1 loss to the New York Islanders on Sunday, which snapped a three-game winning streak and will be hell bent on bounce back after a rare embarrassing effort. Note: I know the Bolts have played alot lately with this being their 3rd game in 4 nights, but this is the leagues best conditioned team, and after taking a night off vs the Isles will be fresher then some might think.Lightning are 20-7 in their last 27 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation
Lightning are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. Western ConferenceTAMPA BAY is 9-1 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season and is 12-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this seasonPlay on the TB Lightning to win on the moneyline
|01-14-19||Wild -115 v. Flyers||4-7||Loss||-115||7 h 39 m||Show|
The Flyers have lost 9 of their L/10 games, and are exhausted after continual hard fought affairs, during that 10 game span and are due for a complete crash which could easily happen tonight. Note: The Flyers have scored a total of 14 goals in their L/9 games.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-20 ATS against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or more pp this season.
Meanwhile, visiting Minnesota a team that is looking to bounce back from an embarrassing home loss to a rebuilding Detroit team (5-2) that was also 1-9 SU in their L/10 overall and will be out looking for redemption. The Wild didn't show up for that above motioned game, and the media has dumped all over them back in the Land O Lakes for their ugly display, and the Wild will now be more wide awake entering this tilt and ready to play top tier hockey. Pros don't like to be embarrassed and will work hard to save face. Note: Minnesota won both meetings last season vs the Flyers home and away via shutouts. MINNESOTA is 20-6 ATS after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons
Play on Minnesota to win on the money line
|01-11-19||Panthers v. Flames -1.5||3-4||Loss||-100||8 h 37 m||Show|
The Panthers who are currently on a 4 game losing streak and have not performed well vs above .500 teams, going 0-6 L/6 are fade material here tonight as they are also exhausted as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights vs a strong opponent in Calgary that has won 9 of their L/13 home games. Whats also interesting is that Calgary's practice on Thursday was extremely intense as head coach Bill Peters let it be known he wasn't impressed with his club's three-game winning streak and 6-1-1 run. He wants more from his team, and is expecting here tonight in a 100% effort. Making me feel comfortable with taking them on the value puckline here.
Road underdogs of +200 or higher against the money line (FLORIDA) - after allowing 4 goals or more 4 straight games against opponent after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games are 0-25 L/25 SU but have lost by an average of 2.2 goals per game which makes this a viable wager on the value puckline.
Play on the Calgary Flames to cover -1.5 puckline
|01-10-19||Islanders -123 v. Rangers||4-3||Win||100||8 h 42 m||Show|
The Isles had a five game win streak vs the Rangers abruptly ended at MSG by a 5-0 count back in late November and will have revenge on board here tonight. These teams are currently playing at the opposite ends of the proverbial performance spectrum . The Rangers have lost 4 straight allowing 22 goals in those tilts and have only been able to muster 7 goals in their L/5 games overall, while the Isles have won 5 of their L/6 and 9 of their L/11 . Im betting on Stanley Cup winning coach Barry Trotz to have the Isles ready to reap revenge here.
NHL favorite against the money line (NY ISLANDERS) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 4 goals or more, off a loss against a division rival are 43-8 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the NY Islanders on the moneyline
|01-08-19||Devils +120 v. Sabres||1-5||Loss||-100||11 h 43 m||Show|
The Buffalo Sabres are slumping having lost 4 of their L/5 and may have to endure this game vs the NJ Devils without their injured captainJack Eichel . If he does play he is expected to be less than 100% and see limited ice time, which automatically puts the Sabres at a disadvantage. With that said, Im betting on the Devils getting the win on the moneyline behind expected starting goalie KinKaid who has won all three career starts against the Sabres while stopping 80 of 83 shots.
Sabres are 22-46 in their last 68 vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Sabres are 5-14 in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Sabres are 12-39 in their last 51 vs. Metropolitan.
Devils are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Buffalo.Devils are 10-2 in the last 12 meetings.
NJ Devils to win on the moneyline
|01-07-19||Wild +111 v. Canadiens||1-0||Win||111||12 h 57 m||Show|
The Minnesota Wild are getting back to playing a more stable brand of hockey and bring momentum into this road game against Montreal Canadiens on Monday night. The Wild have notched three victories in their last four tilts overall , including the first two of a four-game road trip, and have a history of owning the Habs in the recent past as they have won 8 straight meetings in this series.The Wild have outscored Montreal 23-5 in their last four meetings . Meanwhile, Les Canadiens , are off a loss to Nashville last time out 4-1, and despite of wanting to bounce back, will not find the Wild so accommodating. Note:. Montreal G Carey Price is just 4-6-0 with a 3.14 goals against average and .887 save percentage in his career against the Wild and is fade material again tonight according to my power chart ratings.
Canadiens are 16-35 in their last 51 vs. Central. Wild are 29-11 in their last 40 vs. Atlantic.
Play on the Minnesota Wild to win on the moneyline
|01-06-19||Blackhawks +1.5 v. Penguins||5-3||Win||100||9 h 2 m||Show|
|01-05-19||Flames -137 v. Flyers||3-2||Win||100||2 h 41 m||Show|
The Flyers, have lost five in a row and not in good form going against a top tier Calgary team that despite of coming off a loss are (25-13-4, 54 points) still lead the Western Conference and are second only to the Tampa Bay Lightning (66 points) in the league standings.
CALGARY is 6-0 ATS in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season which happened in their 6-4 loss at Boston last time out.
NHL Road Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (CALGARY) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after allowing 5 goals or more are 31-6 L/5 seasons for a84% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Calgary to won the money line
|01-04-19||Jets v. Penguins -130||0-4||Win||100||7 h 8 m||Show|
The Penguins are off a three-game sweep of its road trip and extended its overall streak to seven straight wins and are a team on fire. Meanwhile, Winnipeg a team that has lost 2 of their L/3 overall and 26 of their L/30 visits here to Pittsburgh are not in the same form as the Pens and fade material against a home team that looks to be a viable option in a hunt for the Stanley Cup.Penguins are 20-6 in their last 26 vs. Western Conference.
PITTSBURGH is 65-22 ATS in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 3 seasons.
Play on the Pittsburgh Penguins to win on the moneyline
|12-31-18||Sharks v. Flames UNDER 6||5-8||Loss||-100||11 h 1 m||Show|
CALGARY is 12-4 UNDER in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons and Im betting they play a tight transitional game here again tonight vs visiting San Jose. The Flames still smarting from a 3-2 loss to Vancouver last time out, will even be more stringent in their own end. Note: CALGARY is 6-0 UNDER in home games off a close home loss by 1 goal over the last 2 seasons.
Under is 4-0 in Flames last 4 vs. Western Conference. Four of the L/5 meetings between these teams have not seen more than 5 goals scored.
NHL Road teams against the total (SAN JOSE) - off a road win against a division rival, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) in the first half of the seasons are 25-4 L/22 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.
|12-23-18||Bruins v. Hurricanes UNDER 6||3-5||Loss||-125||7 h 44 m||Show|
The Boston Bruins are off a hard fought physical affair vs the rough and tumble Nashville Predators last night by a 5-2 count and will be on tired legs entering this game vs Carolina and in a conservative mode. Note: BOSTON is 7-0 UNDER when playing on back-to-back days this season with a combined average of 4.1 gog scored. Tonight the Bs are going against a Carolina team they beat 3-2 earlier this season in their only meetings. It must be noted that CAROLINA is 10-1 UNDER revenging a close loss vs opponent of 1 goal or less this season with a combined average score of 5 gpg scored. Meanwhile, Carolina contines to struggle with their offensive efficiency despite of taking 78 shots on goal in their L/2 games and producing just 1 goal. Last time out they lost 3-0 to division rival Pittsburgh at home . Note: CAROLINA is 5-0 UNDER off a loss against a division rival this season and is 11-3 UNDER in home games off a home loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.
Road teams where the total is 6 or more (BOSTON) - after one or more consecutive overs, average scoring team (score 2.5-2.9 goals/G) vs a poor defensive team (allow 2.9 or more goals/G) are 232-154 UNDER L/22 seasons for a long term 60% conversion rate for bettors.
|12-22-18||Panthers v. Red Wings OVER 6||2-1||Loss||-105||1 h 13 m||Show|
Florida for the most part has struggled with their defence of late and have allowed 5 goals or more in 5 of their L/9 games. The Panthers have seen a combined average of 7.1 gpg scored in their division games this season. Meanwhile, Detroit in 12 division games this season have allowed an average of 4.1 ggp with an average of 7 gpg scored. When these teams played back on Oct 10, 7 combined goals were scored in a 4 Motown win. Im betting a similar combined score here today and for this game to eclipse the total.
FLORIDA is 11-4 OVER after allowing 4 goals or more this season with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. FLORIDA is 11-3 OVER against struggling defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 7.9 gpg scored.
|12-20-18||Wild v. Penguins UNDER 6.5||1-2||Win||100||9 h 16 m||Show|
Going into a game Thursday against the Pittsburgh Penguins at PPG Paints Arena, Minnesota has just one goal over its past two games, including a 4-0 loss Tuesday against San Jose. Meanwhile, the Penguins are off a gruelling 2-1 victory vs the Capitals and then traveled home last night from Washington and will now be on tired legs in this spot. The combination of the Pens exhaustion and the Wilds lack of scoring of late, will Im betting lead to a score that stays on the low side of the number in this spot.Under is 4-1-2 in Wild last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 4-1-1 in Wild last 6 road games.Under is 6-2-1 in Penguins last 9 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.Under is 8-3-1 in Penguins last 12 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game
NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (PITTSBURGH) - off a road win against a division rival are 225-154 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.
|12-19-18||Penguins v. Capitals UNDER 6.5||2-1||Win||113||11 h 28 m||Show|
These are two of the Eastern Conference long standing elite teams, and tonightIm expecting a hard fought physical defensive affair when they meet. That Im betting results in a combined score that remains on the low side the total. WASHINGTON is 13-3 UNDER after winning 2 consecutive games in overtime with a combined average score of 5.1 gpg scored which ash just happened.Under is 5-1-2 in Penguins last 8 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Washington.
NHL Home teams against the total (WASHINGTON) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games are 80-47 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.
NHL team against the total (PITTSBURGH) - revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 93-60 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.
|12-17-18||Islanders v. Avalanche UNDER 6||4-1||Win||113||10 h 39 m||Show|
The Islanders average 2.9 goals per game but only 2.3 in the last seven, and are playing more conservative style of defensive hockey as this season progresses .With that said, tonight against e a offensively explosive Colorado team, Im expecting more of the same methodical transitional hockey from the Isles in a game that Im betting will fall under the set total.
NY ISLANDERS are 12-5 UNDER against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or better pp this season. COLORADO is 5-0 UNDER in home games after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game this season which happened last time out in a 6-4 win vs Dallas.
NHL Home teams against the total (COLORADO) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the first half of the season are 29-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.
|12-15-18||Red Wings v. Islanders UNDER 6||3-4||Loss||-108||6 h 55 m||Show|
These two teams the visiting Detroit Red Wing and the their hosts the NY Islanders will square off for the second straight Saturday at the Nassau Coliseum. When these teams met last week , the Isles won 3-2. The Islanders behind HC Barry Trotz have taken a conservative approach using transition for their scoring chances for much of this season and have recently gone under 8 of their L/9 games. I expect more of the same conservative and disciplined hockey tonight vs a Detroit team that is in a bit of a offensive funk of late scoring 3 goals or less in their L/4 games and a score that remains on the low side of the total.
NY ISLANDERS are 10-3 UNDER in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season.DETROIT is 28-16 UNDER (+9.3 Units) in road games against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% or more of shots like the Isles Greiss against over the last 2 seasons.
NHL Road teams against the total (DETROIT) - off a loss against a division rival, extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days are 60-26 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.
|12-14-18||Senators v. Red Wings OVER 6||4-2||Push||0||4 h 2 m||Show|
The Ottawa Senators and the Detroit Red Wings do battle in a division game tonight. The Sens have taken part in some very high scoring division tilts with the combined average of 7.2 gpg scored this season . Meanwhile, Motown has seen an average of 7.1 gpg in their 11 divison games this season . Im expecting more of the same high scoring action in this division tilt.
Ottawa has allowed an average of 4.9 gpg on the road this season, and Im betting that average stays intact tonight, and for them to do enough damage in response, and get us over the total.
OTTAWA is 7-1 OVER in road games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal this season with a combined average of 8.8 gpg scoredOTTAWA is 9-2 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season with a combined average of 7.6 gpg scored.OTTAWA is 10-3 OVER in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season with a combined average with a combined average of 8 gpg.
Play on the OVER
|12-13-18||Oilers v. Jets UNDER 6||4-5||Loss||-100||11 h 26 m||Show|
Both these teams have notable offensive weapons, but both Edmonton and Winnipeg can play a top tier brand of shutdown defence. With both teams knowing the other scoring potential,Im betting on both sides to look for scoring chances in transition, and be methodical in their approach , which will Im betting result in a lower scoring affair. The Jets have allowed an average of 1.8 gpg in their L/5 trips to the rink, and the Oilers have allowed an average of 2.4 gpg over the same span.
Edmonton is off a high scoring game last time out when they won a 6-4 battle vs the Colorado Avalanche , but in the past have focused on tightening up their defence after games like that as is evident by a 9-1 UNDER record after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored this season , with a combined average score of 4.3 gpg scored.
WINNIPEG is 7-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average score of 5.1 gpg going on the board.
NHL Road teams against the total (EDMONTON) - after allowing 2 goals or more in the third period last game against opponent after 2 straight blowout wins by 3 goals or more are 29-9 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.
|12-11-18||Maple Leafs -125 v. Hurricanes||4-1||Win||100||6 h 18 m||Show|
The Maple Leafs were humbled last time out as they are coming off the 6-3 loss at Boston.Meanwhile, The Hurricanes have been lacking on offensive production despite usually posting more shots than their opponents ."I'm betting the Canes don't have the finishing power to take this tilt vs a side out looking for redemption and revenge on board vs a C around team that beat them last time they played.
TORONTO is 9-2 ATS (revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite this season.TORONTO is 10-1 ATS off a loss by 2 goals or more to a division rival over the last 2 seasons.
NHL Road Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (TORONTO) - after 6 or more consecutive overs, good team (+0.4 or more goals/game diff.) vs an average team (-0.4 to +0.4 goal/game diff.) are 25-2 L/21 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Toronto Maple Leafs to win
|12-10-18||Kings +105 v. Red Wings||1-3||Loss||-100||9 h 49 m||Show|
Detroit has taken part in a vicious part of their schedule and are on tired legs.
DETROIT is 7-18 ATS in home games when playing their 4th game in 7 days over the last 2 seasons
Red Wings are 8-21 in their last 29 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.Red Wings are 2-7 in their last 9 vs. Pacific.Red Wings are 4-14 in their last 18 vs. Western Conference.Red Wings are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Red Wings are 1-5 in their last 6 home games.Red Wings are 0-6 in their last 6 Monday games.
NHL Home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (DETROIT) - tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 9-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.
Meanwhile, the Kings have momentum, and are off a 5-1 win vs Vegas last time out.
Kings are 7-1 in their last 8 Monday games.Kings are 16-7 in their last 23 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Kings are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.Play on the LA Kings to win on the moneyline
|12-09-18||Devils v. Ducks -113||5-6||Win||100||11 h 27 m||Show|
The Devils have been struggling of late losing 6 of their L/7 despite notching a win last Time out and do not travel well as they are just 5-17 in their last 22 road games.Devils are also 1-4 in their last 5 vs. Western Conference and are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win. Meanwhile, Anaheim despite of a boatload full of injuries are overall performing quite well, despite of a loss last time out Carolina 4-1 that halted a 5 game win streak. Note:Anaheim is 20-7 ATS after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons and Im betting they bounce back here tonight.
NEW JERSEY is 4-13 ATS against poor defensive teams 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or more pp this season.
ANAHEIM is 17-4 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
NHL favorite against the money line (ANAHEIM) - after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game against opponent after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game are 52-11 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.
Play on Anaheim to win on the money line
|12-08-18||Islanders v. Red Wings UNDER 6||3-2||Win||100||7 h 10 m||Show|
New York is struggling offensively.The Islanders in their past five games have only scored eight goals which is not a good omen for them tonight for snapping out of a drought, against a Detroit team, that has allowed 9 of their L/12 opponents to score 3 goals or less and are off playing four explosive teamsB oston, Colorado, Tampa Bay and Toronto. that will have them prepared for this pedestrian Isles attack. Note: DETROIT is 19-9 UNDER in home games when they allow 3 goals over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 24-11 UNDER in home games against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% or more of shots against over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 5.1 gpg scored.
|12-06-18||Avalanche v. Panthers UNDER 6||5-2||Loss||-100||10 h 2 m||Show|
Colorado is a strong team with probably the most explosive offensive line in the league , center Nathan MacKinnon and wingers Gabriel Landeskog and Mikko Rantanen, but their on tired legs with this being their 3rd game in 5 nights, and Im betting will be more muted than usual. Meanwhile, Florida, a team that posted a shutout last time out and has allowed 3 goals or less in 4 of their L/5 games will be prepared to play shut down D, at home vs a dangerous offensive side.
Under is 9-2-1 in Panthers last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 8-2-1 in Panthers last 11 Thursday games.Under is 4-1-2 in Panthers last 7 vs. Western Conference.Under is 16-5-5 in Panthers last 26 vs. a team with a winning record
NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (COLORADO) - tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the first half of the season are 28-6 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.
Play on the UNDER
|12-04-18||Capitals v. Golden Knights -140||3-5||Win||100||14 h 54 m||Show|
The Vegas Golden Knights return to T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Tuesday for a Stanley Cup Finals rematch with the Washington Capitals after producing four points on a recent three-game road trip. With revenge on tap, the Knights have the edge vs a Washington team, that lost 6-5 to the Anaheim Ducks last timeout after allowing them to score five unanswered goals in the last 26 minutes of the game . Now downtrodden and taken on a team that will show them very little mercy the Caps are at a disadvantage.
Note: Vegas is rolling averaging 4.3 goals per game in winning six of their last seven games. Im betting on their momentum to keep on trucking into this tilt.
WASHINGTON is 10-22 ATS in road games after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games.VEGAS is 16-4 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
NHL favorite against the money line (VEGAS) - after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 33-4 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Vegas Knights to win
|12-03-18||Sabres v. Predators UNDER 5.5||1-2||Win||100||12 h 42 m||Show|
Buffalo is having a tremendous season so far, and despite of losing 2 straight previous to that had won 10 straight tilts, allowing 2 goals or less in 7 of those 10 games and will be ready to once again play solid D vs a strong Predators side. With that said, Im betting on Nashville respecting their current opponents up-trending achievements and responding with a solid brand of defensive hockey themselves that has seen visiting opponents score an average of just 2.3 gpg this season.
Nashville G Pekka Rinne has collected three shutouts in six career meetings with Buffalo.
Under is 5-1 in Sabres last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Sabres last 5 overall.Under is 4-1 in Sabres last 5 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Sabres last 5 vs. Western Conference.
Under is 5-0 in Sabres last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 3-0-1 in Predators last 4 Monday games.Under is 5-0-1 in Predators last 6 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Predators last 5 vs. Atlantic.Under is 4-1 in Predators last 5 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 4-1 in Predators last 5 games following a win.
NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (BUFFALO) - off a loss against a division rival, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season are 31-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.
|12-02-18||Jets -145 v. Rangers||4-3||Win||100||6 h 2 m||Show|
The Winnipeg Jets will be the road team on Sunday night, but will still be better-rested than their hosts the New York Rangers and with momentum as they come off a 4-3 OT win in NJ yesterday. But because the Jets did not travel very far for todays game should be fresher, than a Montreal team that flew home from Quebec last night after getting blasted by the Habs in Montreal 5-2 out. Advantage Jets.
QUOTE: "We're not in the greatest mindset right now," Rangers rookie coach David Quinn told reporters after Saturday's game. "We're not playing with a lot of confidence, and for good reason." END QUOTE
WINNIPEG is 11-2 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NHL Road Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (WINNIPEG) - after 6 or more consecutive overs, good team (+0.4 or more goals/game diff.) vs an average team (-0.4 to +0.4 goal/game diff.) are 23-2 L/22 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Winnipeg Jets to win
|12-01-18||Jets v. Devils OVER 6||4-3||Win||100||9 h 9 m||Show|
The Jets enter this game with a top their offence, scoring ana average of 4.4 gpg in their L/5 , but its their defensive efforts that are alarming, as is evident by having allowed 23 goals in their last five games, never fewer than four in any one single contest in that stretch. Meanwhile the Devils their hosts have surrendered 19 goals in the last four games. What Im betting happens tonight, is that Jets will come at the Devils with their usual fast paced attack mentality and for New Jersey to have no choice but to respond in kind, and for the final score of this game eclipsing the total.
Note: NJ has lost three straight on the road and now coming home where they are 7-1-3 this season where they have scored an average of 3.6 gpg. , NEW JERSEY is 7-0 OVER L/7 off 3 or more consecutive road losses over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored.
WINNIPEG is 10-1 OVER when playing against a team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 8.4 gpg scored.NEW JERSEY is 8-2 OVER against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or better pp this season with a combined average of 7 gpg scored.
|11-30-18||Devils v. Capitals -150||3-6||Win||100||7 h 56 m||Show|
The Washington Capitals go for their seventh straight win when they host the New Jersey Devils on Friday night at Capital One Arena.
New Jersey is playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum having dropped three in a row (0-1-2).
The Capitals have outscored teams 24-13 during their winning streak and have huge momentum entering this game and are a solid monryline proposition tonight.
Goalie matchup: NJ expected starter Kincaid is 3-3 with a 3.24 goals-against average (GAA) and .882 save percentage against the Capitals, while Holtby is 15-3-3 with a 1.98 GAA and a .925 save percentage versus the Devils.
Play on the Washington capitals to win on the moneyline
|11-28-18||Blues -115 v. Red Wings||3-4||Loss||-115||9 h 7 m||Show|
Previously hot Detroit is now on a three-game skid (0-2-1) after losing just once in the previous seven games.The Blues are not much better and have lost four of five and six of eight and were booed off the ice by their own fans for their ugly performance on Saturday. Pros don't like to be embarrassed and Im betting on a big time effort from the Blues here in a bounce back redemption situation.
DETROIT is 8-20 ATS in home games against decent offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.DETROIT is 1-9 ATS after a home game where both teams score 3 or more goals over the last 2 seasons and is 7-23 ATS off a home loss over the last 2 seasons.
NHL Road Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (ST LOUIS) - poor closing team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period, after allowing 6 goals or more are 39-11 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on St.Louis Blues to win on the moneyline
|11-27-18||Golden Knights -120 v. Blackhawks||8-3||Win||100||12 h 46 m||Show|
Vegas after experiencing their Stanley cup finals hangover earlier on this season are now playing much better hockey and have won 3 straight and 4 of their L/5 overall. Meanwhile, the once mighty Black Hawks are in disarray and despite of winning last time out, are just 3-9 in their L/12 games and have not faired well in the followup off a victory. Im betting on up-trending Vegas to grab the cash for us tonight in Illinois.
CHICAGO is 4-11 ATS after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game over the last 2 seasons and is 4-14 ATS off a road win over the last 2 seasons.
Golden Knights are 52-25 in their last 77 vs. Western Conference.Blackhawks are 6-16 in their last 22 vs. a team with a losing record.Blackhawks are 6-20 in their last 26 games following a win.Blackhawks are 6-21 in their last 27 vs. Pacific.Blackhawks are 2-9 in their last 11 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Blackhawks are 0-6 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.Blackhawks are 0-5 in their last 5 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.
NHL Road Favorites against the money line (VEGAS) - extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team in the first half of the season are 28-4 L/21 seasons for a 88% conversion rate fro bettors.
Play on Vegas to win on the moneyline
|11-27-18||Penguins v. Jets UNDER 6.5||4-3||Loss||-125||10 h 50 m||Show|
The Penguins enter this game playing some solid defence over their L/3 games and have allowed a total of 5 goals in this those tilts ( 1.66 gpg). I expect the Pens will wait for their chances in transition and be methodical and cautious in their approach vs an explosive Winnipeg team , that can light their opposition quickly, as was evident when they scored 8 goals last time out. Im also betting that a combination of the Pens ability to be stoppers, and a natural regression in offensive output for the Jets to highlight a tilt that remains under the total.
WINNIPEG is 7-1 UNDER in non-conference games this season and is 20-8 UNDER after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game .
|11-26-18||Senators v. Rangers -145||2-4||Win||100||9 h 59 m||Show|
The Senators enter on a three-game losing streak that has seen them allow 19 goals. With the way their defence is struggling their bad bet in their current form.
OTTAWA is 0-11 ATS in road games off a road blowout loss by 3 goals or more over the last 2 seasons and is 0-12 ATS in road games after allowing 4 goals or more 2 straight games over the last 2 season.
NY RANGERS are 7-1 ATS in home games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal this season.
The Rangers struggled last time out, losing 5-3 to the Capitals. But they have been good bounce back bets in this situation, as they are 6-1 ATS L/7 after allowing 3 goals or more 2 straight games this season.
Play on the The NY Rangers
|11-26-18||Capitals v. Islanders -103||4-1||Loss||-103||7 h 46 m||Show|
Barry Trotz the former Stanley cup winning coach of the Washington Capitals, knows his old team well as there have only been a few new players added to their lineup since last season. He gives the hungry Islanders an edge here at home in their own home building.The Islanders are 9-1-0 against Metropolitan Division opponents this season. The Islanders are the only team with nine divisional wins this season.
Play on the NY Islanders to win
|11-23-18||Flames v. Golden Knights -120||0-2||Win||100||8 h 34 m||Show|
Vegas has revenge on board for suffering a 7-2 loss to Calgary this past week on the road, and look to return the favour here at home in Vegas. The Knights have been sporadic and inconsistent this season, and still adjusting to some new cogs in their lineup. One new player Max Pacioretty who was picked up from the Habs before the season began has scored in 3 straight games , and Im betting will lead the charge vs the Flames this Friday night.
VEGAS is 6-0 ATS in home games after winning their previous game in overtime over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out in a 3-2 win at Arizona. There is something about Friday nights with the Flames as they are just 2-9 ATS on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.VEGAS is 32-13 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. VEGAS is 41-17 ATS against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% or better of shots against over the last 2 seasons.
Play on the Golden Knights to win on the moneyline
|11-21-18||Blues v. Predators UNDER 5.5||1-4||Win||100||10 h 58 m||Show|
The Preds are solid defensive team with a top tier goalie in their lineup. Rinne (8-2-1, 1.69 goals-against average, .942 save percentage) Im betting will make life difficult for this young St.Louis group tonight. The Preds have allowed 2 goals or less in 7 of their L/10 games and against a Blues team that has been shutout n 3 of their L/4 games, more the same stopping action must be expected. The Blues saving grace and ability tom stay fairly competitive has been solid goaltending and D, that has allowed an average of 1.71 gpg in their L/7 tilts all of which stayed on the low side of the number . Tonight took for the above combinations of form to result in a score that stays on the low side of the total.
ST LOUIS is 8-1 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive unders this season with a combined average of 4.4 gpg scored.
NASHVILLE is 10-1 UNDER when they allow 2 or less goals this season ( my projections estimate the Blues will score no more than 2 goes tonight.
|11-19-18||Kings +135 v. Blues||2-0||Win||135||8 h 7 m||Show|
|11-17-18||Bruins -106 v. Coyotes||2-1||Win||100||24 h 4 m||Show|
Arizona is off a huge win vs the Nashville Preds on Thursday night but will now suffer what Im betting will be an emotional let down situation. ARIZONA is 1-9 ATS off a close home win by 1 goal over the last 2 seasons. I know the Bruins played last night in Dallas but are one of the NHLs best conditioned teams and have also had a great deal of success here in the desert in the past as the Bruins are 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Phoenix.
ARIZONA is 27-80 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%).
Play on the Boston Bruins to win on the moneyline
|11-14-18||Bruins v. Avalanche -110||3-6||Win||100||12 h 26 m||Show|
The Bruins take on a under rated Colorado Avs team that just ended a nasty five-game losing streak on Sunday vs the Edmonton Oilers. Three of those losses ere hard luck defeats that could have gone either way. With Colorado getting healthy again with key players returning including,Tyson Jost,Matt Nieto, they are formidable opponents on their own home ice.
Avalanche are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. Atlantic.Avalanche are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Avalanche are 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Avalanche are 22-10 in their last 32 home games.Bruins are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. Western Conference.Bruins are 5-13 in their last 18 road games.Bruins are 2-6 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Bruins are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.
COLORADO is 7-1 ATS after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 2 season
COLORADO is 11-4 ATS in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons and are 21-12 ATS in home games against excellent power play teams- scoring on 17.5% or more of their chances over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO is 20-9 ATS in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
Play on the Colorado Avs to win on the moneyline
|11-13-18||Lightning -140 v. Sabres||1-2||Loss||-140||9 h 16 m||Show|
The Sabres are playing decent hockey and deserve some respect, but TB is a Stanley Cup contender in top form that is not over looking tonights opposition. This is what the Lightning players are thinking as they enter this game. QUOTE:" "Anytime you're on road trips like this, you try to get wins early, especially that Buffalo game," Lightning right winger Ryan Callahan said. "Try to get points. Stack them up. As the road trip goes on, it definitely gets harder and harder to win some of those games." END QUOTE: The Bolts are rested and know the importance of getting out of the gate fast on what is the beginning of a key 4 game road trip. Im betting on them being motivated behind superior overall talent levels in all three phases of the game.
TAMPA BAY is 23-5 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.TAMPA BAY is 10-1 ATS in road games after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games over the last 2 seasons, which has just occurred. BUFFALO is 0-8 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.
Play on the TB Bolts to win on the moneyline
|11-12-18||Canucks v. Rangers -130||1-2||Win||100||6 h 37 m||Show|
The Rangers (8-7-2) have won five of their last six (5-0-1) and are playing solid fundamental hockey and deserve their favorite status here tonight vs a Canucks team that is 1-0-2 in their L/3 road games. The Rangers are off a couple of road games and have good bets in this situation this seasonNY RANGERS are 4-0 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games this season.
NY Rangers are 3-1 L/4 meetings overall in this series.Rangers are 44-18 in their last 62 vs. Pacific.Play on the NY Rangers to win on the moneyline
|11-09-18||Rangers -110 v. Red Wings||2-3||Loss||-110||8 h 46 m||Show|
The Rangers (7-7-1) have won four straight and the Red Wings (5-8-2) have four victories in their past five games. Both teams are playing well, but the Rangers matchup well against this Motown team according to my power rankings, and get my support here tonight.
NY Rangers to win on the moneyline
|11-08-18||Hurricanes -110 v. Blackhawks||4-3||Win||100||8 h 30 m||Show|
Chicago Blackhawks host the Carolina Canes at the United Center riding a five-game losing streak and are playing disheartened hockey after long time Stanley Cup winning coach Joel Quenneville was fired. A few of the veterans were disheartened by the move. With a AHL HC Colliton now in place , the Hawks might have even more problems as they adjust to a new system under a 33 year old coach that might not get a lot of respect from his team right out of the gate. Carolina has also lost 5 straight, and might not inspire bettors , but they are the more cohesive of the two teams right now overall, and won't be making a major adjustments in their system like the Hawks are expected to do.
Play on Carolina to win on the moneyline
|11-08-18||Oilers v. Panthers -135||1-4||Win||100||8 h 10 m||Show|
The Panthers haven't played since beating the Winnipeg Jets 4-2 last Friday in Finland and should be on fresh legs going against a tired Edmonton team that is playing their 4th straight road game in a 8 day stretch.
FLORIDA is 22-8 ATS in home games against good offensive teams -29 shots on goal, convert 17% or more pp over the last 2 seasons.
Play on Florida to win on the moneyline
|11-08-18||Coyotes +120 v. Flyers||4-5||Loss||-100||6 h 20 m||Show|
The Coyotes had their 5 game win streak end last time out to the hands of this same Philadelphia team back in Arizona a couple of nights ago by a 5-2 count. Now the Coyotes will be out to reap some revenge for that loss knowing that the road team has cashed 4 straight times in this series. Phoenix has really turned. a proverbial corner and is up trending and despite of losing to the Flyers in that above mentioned game my power rankings suggest the host is fade material here in this spot as they are still on tired legs after a 4 game road trip.
Flyers are 1-5 in their last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Flyers are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win. Flyers are 0-9 in their last 9 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Play on the Arizona Coyotes to win
|11-06-18||Oilers v. Lightning UNDER 6||2-5||Loss||-108||4 h 35 m||Show|
The Oilers might have a big name super star in their lineup McDavid, but they still dont do alot of scoring consistently as their 17th ranking in goals scored indicates. Their defence is actually the corner stone of their ability to compete in the NHL and they rank 14th overall. Meanwhile, TB despite of alot offensive talent , predicate their successes and failures on their ability to play solid D, and rank 8th in in goals allowed in the league. Tonight I expect a tired Oilers team playing their 3rd game in 4 nights to try to be conservative in their approach , and for TB to center its abilities on slowing McDavid, which Im betting results in a low scoring affair that fails to eclipse the number.
|11-03-18||Hurricanes +120 v. Golden Knights||0-3||Loss||-100||12 h 51 m||Show|
The Vegas Knights are finally starting to play like an expansion team, after surprising the hockey world with a run to the Stanley cup Finals last season. But after tweeking their lineup the same chemistry and magic they had has somehow vanished, especially of late, as is evident by losing 4 of their L/5 games. Tonight I expect things won't get much better vs a Carolina team, that despite of not playing very well themselves are a hard working group that matchup well against the Knights according to my power rankings and cross reference system vs system matchup analysis. Note: Vegas key cogs Max Pacioretty and Paul Stastny have been out with injuries and Nate Schmidt has been unavailable due to a suspension.
CAROLINA is 12-1 ATS against struggling teams - outscored by opponents by 0.5+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons and is 13-2 ATS when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.
NHL Road teams against the money line (CAROLINA) - cold team - having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a struggling team (25-40%) are 27-8 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.
NHL team against the money line (CAROLINA) - after 3 straight close losses by 1 goal against opponent after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored are 26-8 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Carolina to win on the moneyline
|11-02-18||Avalanche -130 v. Canucks||6-7||Loss||-130||11 h 46 m||Show|
Colorado despite of a current tow game losing streak will be primed to end their drought behind the top line of Mikko Rantanen, Nathan MacKinnon and Gabriel Landeskog a dangerous group that the Canucks will have a hard time dealing with tonight. All three rank among the NHL's top scorers and the Avs are contending for first place in the Central Division. With that said, Im betting on the Avs to hand the injury riddled /rebuilding Vancouver Canucks a loss tonight on the road. Yes, I know the Canucks have won two straight and pulled off some impressive upsets playing strict disciplined systemic hockey but that ends in this spot vs a side that is both fundamentally sound , more talented and healthier and currently much hungrier.Canucks are 23-48 in their last 71 vs. a team with a winning record.Canucks are 16-34 in their last 50 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.Canucks are 8-17 in their last 25 games following a win.Canucks are 16-35 in their last 51 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game.Canucks are 3-10 in their last 13 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game
NHL teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (COLORADO) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period, after allowing 5 goals or more are 53-19 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.
Play on the Colorado Avs to win on the moneyline
|11-01-18||Stars v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6||2-1||Win||101||13 h 47 m||Show|
Star forward Austin Mathews is expected to miss 4 to 6 weeks with a shoulder injury, and was apparent the scoring sensations absence effected the chemistry of the attack, as Toronto’s first full game without Matthews saw the Buds lose 3-1 at home to Calgary Flames on Oct. 29. Toronto produced just 25 shots in that game. Im betting that will continue tonight vs visiting Dallas. Meanwhile, Dallas enters this game on tired legs as this will be their 3rd game in 4 nights, and the will be in no hurry to open things up and instead depend on their transition game . This combination of situations will result in a lower scoring game than the Total line indicates.
In 7 home games the Leafs and their opponents have averaged 5 gpg. Dallas in their 4 games vs on the road have seen a combined average of 4.7 gpg scored and they themselves have averaged just 1.7 gpg in those tilts.
TORONTO is 5-0 UNDER against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game this season and is 5-0 UNDER against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game this season.TORONTO is 7-1 UNDER against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal this season.TORONTO is 13-4 UNDER in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (DALLAS) - tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the first half of the season are 60-17 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.
|10-30-18||Golden Knights v. Predators -155||1-4||Win||100||10 h 52 m||Show|
The Vegas Knights are exhibiting classic Stanley Cup finals hangover symptoms and are starting to play alot more like a expansion team. Opponents are now well prepared to take on the the Golden Knights' system as the Knights now rank 28thin the league in scoring. Big offseason acquisitions such as Max Pacioretty and Paul Stastny have yet to pay off as the chemistry of late seasons team seem to have been disturbed. Meanwhile, the Preds 8-3 on the season, despite of a couple of inconsistent efforts of late remain a contender for Lord Stanleys Cup and must be respected . Also if star Goalie Pekka Rhine does not play tonight because of injury his backup, Saros has been above expectations and has garnered a solid 5-2-0 record along with a solid 2.73 GAA and .912 save percentage.
NASHVILLE is 14-4 ATS against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp over the last 2 seasons.NASHVILLE is 10-0 ATS after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons
NHL Road underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line (VEGAS) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team in the first half of the season are 8-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.
Play on the Nashville Preds to win on the moneylline
|10-29-18||Wild -140 v. Canucks||2-5||Loss||-140||15 h 38 m||Show|
After starting their season slowly the Minnesota Wild are now rolling as is evident by winning 5 straight games. Meanwhile, rebuilding Vancouver started off surprisingly strong and are now fading and playing the type of mediocre hockey many of the pundits expected before this season began. The Canucks have lost 2 straight and 3 of their L/4 and were smashed 5-0 by the Penguins last time out. Injuries are also starting to pile up for the young men from Vancouver, and they look to be at a disadvantage vs a side that is currently in top form.
Canucks are 3-12 in their last 15 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game. are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Vancouver.Road team is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Play on the Minnesota Wild to win
|10-28-18||Sharks -135 v. Ducks||4-3||Win||100||11 h 5 m||Show|
Anaheim currently allows the most shots on goal per game in the NHL at 38.2 while taking the fewest (24) ad are really struggling to get in a rhythm and have now lost four straight games. Meanwhile, the San Jose Sharks had a 3 game win streak end last time out, after blowing a 2-0 lead, and will now be primed to bounce back, and also get a revenge for a opening night 5-2 home loss suffered to this same Ducks team. Key words here tonight for the Sharks are redemption and revenge.
Sharks are 23-8 in their last 31 vs. Pacific.Sharks are 20-8 in their last 28 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.Sharks are 41-18 in their last 59 vs. a team with a losing record.Ducks are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. Pacific.Ducks are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.Ducks are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.Ducks are 0-5 in their last 5 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Sharks are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Anaheim.
Play on the San Jose Sharks to win on the moneyline
|10-27-18||Blackhawks v. Blues -130||3-7||Win||100||9 h 4 m||Show|
The Blues are off having blown their second straight two-goal lead in a ugly 7-4 loss to the Columbus Blue jackets , drawing cat calls and boos from what was left of the 17,068 in attendance at Enterprise Center. It was not a good seen, and some key players actually apologized to the fans afterwards. QUOTE:"It (stinks)," Tarasenko said. "If I had more English words I would explain this, but not much. It feels (bad) to be doing this in front of our fans. This is not the most fun time in our life and in my life personally. I don't know if you can (stink) more and then you get out of it. END QUOTE:The locker room was closed for 23 minutes after Thursday's game, and obviously some things were said, that should ignite the Blues to much better performance against long time original six rivals the Chicago Blackhawks tonight. Meanwhile, Chicago has been playing well but their on tired legs with this being their 3rd game in 5 nights, and will be at a disadvantage against a very motivated team out looking for redemption.CHICAGO is 19-31 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons.
NHL Road teams against the money line (CHICAGO) - after 2 straight wins by 2 goals or more against opponent after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game are 36-73 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.
NHL Home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (ST LOUIS) - poor closing team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period, after allowing 5 goals or more 2 straight games are 53-18 L/21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.
Play on the St.Louis Blues to win on the moneyline
|10-26-18||Jets -1.5 v. Red Wings||2-1||Loss||-100||12 h 3 m||Show|
The very physical Winnipeg Jets will be a little cranky after a 4-2 home loss to the Toronto Maple Leafs at home the other night, and will now be ready to take their frustrations out a rebuilding Red Wings team. The Red Wings have not enjoyed home ice advantage this season and are 0-2-1 at Little Caesar’s Arena . From a ATS perspective they have also been ugly bets failing to cash 8 of 9 times including 0-3 ATS as hosts. This is not a good opportunity for this young team to try to break out of their funk, and instead a lesson in NHL hockey analytics could well be at hand.
Play on the Winnipeg Jets on the -1.5 puck -line
|10-25-18||Rangers v. Blackhawks -145||1-4||Win||100||8 h 17 m||Show|
Both these teams are off wins, but I like the Blackhawks at home tonight as the Hawks seem to reserve their best efforts for lower tier teams as is evident by 16-2 ATS L/18 record when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.The Blackhawks cashed both meetings last season and another winning ticket Im betting is just a few hours aways vs the current rebuilding version of the NY Rangers.
Play on the Chicago Blackhawks to win on the moneyline
|10-24-18||Lightning -123 v. Avalanche||1-0||Win||100||12 h 5 m||Show|
Colorado has been playing well and are on a 3 game win streak, but after coming home tonight off a gruelling 4 game road trip, they could be find themselves in a letdown spot vs a a top tier Stanley Cup contender, who seems to bring their A game when playing up trending teams like this.
TAMPA BAY is 8-0 ATS against good defensive teams - allowing 2.55 or less goals/game over the last 2seasons .TAMPA BAY is 11-2 ATS against excellent starting goalies - saving 93% or more of shots against over the last 2 seasons . TAMPA BAY is 18-4 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Play on the Tampa Bay Lightning to win
|10-23-18||Sharks v. Predators -125||5-4||Loss||-125||9 h 17 m||Show|
Pekka Rhinne the Predators star goalie is out, and thats why their is value on this line, but Im betting his replacement and back up goalie Saros, who has not lost a game yet this season is solid backstop to back. He has a 1.54 GAA and .945 save percentage and looks to be every bit the goalie Rhinne is and maybe even better.
The Predators have won five straight, outscoring their opponents 20-7. They presently have the best record and goal differential (+12) in the NHL and must be respected on their own home ice . San Jose has lost 12 of their L/13 visits to this Arena, and are fade material this type of talented team that matches up very well against them.
Play on the Nashville Predators to win on the moneyline
|10-21-18||Flames v. Rangers +127||4-1||Loss||-100||10 h 56 m||Show|
The Rangers might be in a rebuilding year, but their proving themselves a pretty feisty group, and their four losses have been by two goals or fewer. They also upset the Avs at home last week, and lost 3-2 to the defending Stanley cup champs in their followup. New HC Dave Quinn has the Rangers playing a strict system, and it looks very much like he has the team buying into it, making them a dangerous opponent for a Calgary team, playing on tired legs after traveling from West to East after a hard fought loss to the Predators on Friday night 5-3.
NYR Lundqvist is 8-3-0 in 11 career games against the Flames. Calgary starting backstop Smith is 5-12-2 in 20 career appearances against the Rangers.
Rangers are 6-0 L/6 at home in this series.
Play on the NY Rangers to win on the moneyline
|10-21-18||Lightning -140 v. Blackhawks||6-3||Win||100||9 h 9 m||Show|
The Bolts lost in OT last time out in Minnesota to the Wild after blowing. 3-1 lead and will now be primed for redemption in their followup game. That defeat had broken a 3 game win streak. Meanwhile, the Blackhawks also played last night, and took 4-1 victory vs the Columbus Blue Jackets. But are not of the same talent level as the Bolts, and are at a disadvantage vs a side that does not taking losing lightly especially in the manner they lost last nights tilt.
|10-20-18||Bruins -154 v. Canucks||1-2||Loss||-154||9 h 29 m||Show|
The Bruins despite of two straight losses are a strong veteran team that deserves a lot of respect,.Meanwhile, the Canucks despite of playing strong hockey early this season are systems team, that also deserves respect for their hard work but are just out talented here by a two way team that is desperate for a win . With that said, take this boatload full of top tier veteran group to backup their redemption process.
Play on the Boston Bruins to win
|10-20-18||Predators -125 v. Oilers||3-0||Win||100||10 h 34 m||Show|
The powerful Predators played last night, and took a 5-3 win vs Calgary, so scheduling does not give them an edge on that front, but its early in the season, and they will be fresher than many might think as their talent and conditioning is superior to the Oilers. Yes , the Oilers do have the league best player in McDavid, but in the past that has not been a guarantee for anything. With that said, look for the Preds to find a way to get a win, and make it 11 straight wins in this series vs the Oilers.
Play on the Nashville Preds to win
|10-20-18||Canadiens -120 v. Senators||3-4||Loss||-120||7 h 44 m||Show|
Montreal is on a 3 game winning streak, and looking pretty good in their current form behind a now healthy Carey Price who owns a 2-1-1 record with a 2.24 goals against average and .912 save percentage, giving the Canadiens (4-1-1) record on the season. Meanwhile, Ottawa despite of some upsets and a current 2 game win streak and playing well early this season, are turning the puck over a little bit to much for my liking and are showing some negative characteristics . I also feel they don't have the talent to continue at this rate, and when looking at individual matchups the Habs actually have better over all talent and with their goalie Price in good form I like them in this spot.
OTTAWA is 2-10 ATS in home games after a blowout win by 3 goals or more over the last 3 seasons. They beat Dallas 4-1 last time out.
Play on Montreal to win on the moneyline
|10-20-18||Devils v. Flyers OVER 6||2-5||Win||100||2 h 33 m||Show|
Philadelphia can score but their defence is horrendous, and Im betting that trend continues here this afternoon against the NJ Devils. Philadelphia (3-4) has allowed 11 goals in its last two games and the Devils are more than capable of burying some goals here today. It must be noted that NEW JERSEY is 32-0 OVER when both teams score 3 or more goals over the last 2 seasons and thats what Im projecting them do here this afternoon.PHILADELPHIA is 35-0 OVER when both teams score 3 or more goals over the last 2 seasons.Philadelphia has given up 31 goals in its first seven games.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-9 OVER vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 6.9 gpg.
Play on the OVER
|10-18-18||Coyotes v. Blackhawks -140||4-1||Loss||-140||25 h 6 m||Show|
Coyotes are getting more competitive but despite of that are fade material here tonight according to my current power rankings vs a Chicago team that Im betting is better than advertised. The Blackhawks showed their speed and fortitude in a 7-6 loss to the explosive Leafs and have won 3 of their first 5 games and have the edge here on home ice again vs a Coyotes side that has lost 4 of their first 5 games and scored just 4 goals in total.
Blackhawks are 66-22 in their last 88 vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Blackhawks are 73-32 in their last 105 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Coyotes are 43-106 in their last 149 vs. a team with a winning record.Coyotes are 43-106 in their last 149 vs. a team with a winning record.
ARIZONA is 0-9 ATS against terrible power play teams - scoring on 13% or less of their chances over the last 3 seasons.ARIZONA is 2-17 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the first half of the season since 1996.
NHL Home teams against the money line (CHICAGO) - after 4 or more consecutive overs, average team (-0.4 to +0.4 goal/game diff.) vs a poor team (-0.4 goal/game diff. or less ) are 32-3 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Chicago Blackhawks to win on the moneyline
|10-17-18||Islanders v. Ducks UNDER 5.5||1-4||Win||100||13 h 20 m||Show|
The Islanders under new HC Barry Trotz now play a defence style style of hockey and I expect thats what we will see from them tonight here in their first game of a West Coast road trip. The Isles have averaged 2.8 gpg this season in offence, and have allowed 2.4 gpg on D, and have already recorded 1 shutout behind tonights expected starting goalie Lehner.
The Ducks a team with a boatload full of injures are averaging just 2.7 goals per game but allowing just 2.2 gpg. With leading scorer Jakob Silfverberg experiencing a nagging injury, and less than 100% the Ducks Im betting will continue their defensive mind set behind a top tier goalie Gibson who owns a a 2.07 GAA and .944 save percentage this season.
Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Anaheim.
|10-16-18||Coyotes v. Wild -140||1-2||Win||100||11 h 25 m||Show|
I know the Minnesota Wild have not played top tier hockey out of the gate this season, but they are a talented enough group to take out the Arizona Coyotes that lacks true snipers here at home tonight behind star goalie Devan Dubnyk. who has posted a top tier .934 save percentage, along with a 2.64 goals-against average. Yes he is only 1-1-2 on the season, but that is because of his teams inconsistencies on the attack. That's something Im betting they correct tonight in Minnesota. Note: MINNESOTA is 15-1 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
Wild are 40-13 in their last 53 vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (MINNESOTA) - after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, in a game involving two terrible teams (30% or less) in the first half of the season are 28-3 L/21 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.
Play on the Minnesota Wild to win on the moneyline
|10-16-18||Hurricanes v. Lightning -145||2-4||Win||100||12 h 34 m||Show|
When your as talented as the TB Lightning it sometimes takes a little bit of motivation to reach your optimal performance levels. Thats what we have tonight , as the Bolts off a 8-2 pounding of Columbus host a Carolina team playing above average out of the gate this season, from a W/L perspective (4-1-0-1). However their are some obvious discrepancies between their record and some key stats, as their special teams, rank 25th on the power play and 28th on the penalty kill and their at a disadvantage vs a side that has yet to allow a power play goal this season and went 4 for 7 on the PP in their last game. Also Carolina is now playing their 3rd game in 4 nights, which is never a good thing, and even worse when it comes to taking on this type of opponent. Note:
Hurricanes are 2-12 in their last 14 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation.Hurricanes are 7-20 in their last 27 vs. a team with a winning record.
With thats said, I expect the home side to come out here on fire and show their up trending opponents what its like to play against an established contender. Tampa Bay has won 7 straight at home in this series and notching another victory Im betting is a high probability occurrence again.
Tonights starting goalie for TB Andrei Vasilevskiy was 2-0-0 with a 2.50 goals-against average and .922 save percentage in his two starts vs the Canes last season.
Play on the TB Lightning to win on the moneyline
|10-16-18||Avalanche -135 v. Rangers||2-3||Loss||-135||11 h 39 m||Show|
The Rangers are in a complete rebuilding mode, and no longer a steady threat to opposing teams, even here at home in MSG as their 1-4 record would already indicate . They still have veteran star goalie Lindquist in the lineup , but he no longer regularly snatches victory from the jaws of defeat. Meanwhile, the Avalanche 3-1-1 are a team on the rise, and must be respected here as short road chalk.
Last season, the Avalanche were 2-0-0 against the Rangers, outscoring them 7-3 and another victory Im betting is on tonights agenda in the Big Apple.
Avs Starting Goalie Seymon Varmalov is 3-0-0-1 with a 1.75 GAA and .946 save percentage this season and last season turned in a 37-save performance in a 4-2 victory here in Madison Square Garden.
Avalanche are 11-4 in the last 15 meetings in New York.Avalanche are 18-8 in the last 26 meetings.Road team is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline
|10-15-18||Wild v. Predators UNDER 6||2-4||Push||0||8 h 37 m||Show|
Two top tier goalies go head to head Monday night in Nashville, as Pekka Rinne and the Predators host Devan Dubnyk and the Minnesota Wild in a Central Division battle.
The Wild Goalie Dubnyk owns. a 2.64 GAA and .934 save percentage this season. He recorded a a 1.96 GAA and .934 save percentage against the Predators last season.
The Preds starting goalie Rinne has registered a stingy 1.67 GAA and .946 save percentage this season and recorded 2.98 GAA and .903 save percentage against Minnesota last season.
Considering the goalie matchup and we all ready have a strong case for a lower scoring game, but current circumstances suggest that Minnesota will play a conservative transistional style of hockey tonight against a explosive opponent playing on their own home ice, thus making the under a viable betting opportunity.
Under is 4-0 in Wild last 4 road games.Under is 6-1 in Wild last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 4-1 in Wild last 5 vs. Western Conference
Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Nashville.
Play on the UNDER
|10-14-18||Hurricanes v. Jets -170||1-3||Win||100||8 h 15 m||Show|
The Winnipeg Jets are off a hard fought 3-0 loss vs the Nashville Preds last time out. It was like a Hanson Brothers Hockey movie with the Jets taking 8 minor penalties and fighting galore. Old school hockey at its best. Now coming home Im betting they will be motivated to take out their frustrations in front of their home town fans here this evening vs a Carolina team playing some very good hockey at the moment as is evident by their 4-0-0-1 record. Their 3 most recent victories have ben wide open affairs, but getting room to play free wheeling hockey will be difficult for the Canes against a very physical Jets team that takes pride in their top tier ability to play a tough defensive system. With this also being a back back situation for the Canes Im betting their at a disadvantage vs a Winnipeg team on two days rest.
Hurricanes are 4-9 in their last 13 games playing on with no rest.
Jets are 6-0 in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.
WINNIPEG is 12-0 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons and s 11-1 ATS in home games off a road loss over the last 2 seasons and also is 18-3 ATS in home games after playing a road game over the last couple of seasons.
Jets are 14-3 in their last 17 vs. Eastern Conference.Jets are 44-13 in their last 57 home games.
NHL favorite against the money line (WINNIPEG) - after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 28-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Winnipeg Jets to win on the moneyline
|10-13-18||Maple Leafs v. Capitals -115||4-2||Loss||-115||10 h 26 m||Show|
The Leafs have an explosive team with John Tavares Auston Mathews and an array of other top tier offensive talent on their team, but their Achilles heel is their defence which looks below average at 4.00 GAA per game with top goalie Andersen with a sub par ..892 SV% . At this point in the season the Leafs just try to overpower their opponents with an all out take no prisoners attack, but that won't come easily tonight as they are on tired legs and playing their 4th straight road vs the defending Stanley Cup Champion Washington Capitals.
Capitals are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Maple Leafs are 18-45 in their last 63 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Leafs are just 1-5 L/6 meetings.
NHL favorite against the money line (WASHINGTON) - after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 27-3L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Washington Capitals to win on the moneyline
|10-13-18||Blue Jackets v. Lightning -161||2-8||Win||100||8 h 22 m||Show|
The Tampa Lightning looked lackadaisical last time out in a 4-1 loss to the Vancouver Canucks. I personally believe that they lulled themselves to sleep in a defensive mode that carried over from their opening 2-1 win vs instate rivals the Florida Panthers in game 1. I don't think the Bolts respected their opponents enough and were not as motivated as their opponent and they paid the price, and Im now sure their more awake and ready for what they perceive to be a much stronger team the Columbus Blue Jackets who are 3-1 on the season. It is also way to early to worry about the best offense in the NHL from last season/ QUOTE: TB Steven Stamkos was quoted. as saying;
"We led the league in goals last year, so it's just a matter of time," he said. "That's the least of our worries is scoring. That is going to come. It's not cheating because it's not coming; it's playing the right way and continuing to improve. END QUOTE:
COLUMBUS is 9-35 ATS in road games after a game where both teams scored 4 goals or more since 1996.(Columbus beat Florida 5-4 last time out)
NHL favorite against the money line (TAMPA BAY) - after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 27-3 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.
Play on Tampa Bay to win on the moneyline
|10-13-18||Golden Knights v. Flyers -115||1-0||Loss||-115||4 h 17 m||Show|
Vegas is finally starting to play like an expansion team, and are also experiencing a Stanley Cup finals hangover. Philadelphia handled the Knights in their first meetings this season back in Nevada by a 5-2 count as road dogs and matchup well against this group, and deserve their home favorite status here this evening. The Golden Knights have now lost three straight and are on tired legs and now playing the finale of a exhausting 5 game road trip are . With that said the visitors are at a disadvantage and fade material in this spot vs a Flyers (2-2-0) team coming of a 7-4 road win against the Ottawa Senators
NHL Home teams against the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - slow starting team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period, after playing 2 straight games where 8 or more total goals were scored are 21-4 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.
Play on the Philadelphia Flyers to win on the moneyline
|10-11-18||Blackhawks v. Wild -155||3-4||Win||100||8 h 53 m||Show|
Chicago's offense can light up a scoreboard but its their its defense has struggled. Goalie Cam Ward, playing in place of Corey Crawford owns a hefty a 4.62 goals-against average and .843 save percentage. Meanwhile, Minnesota has started a little slowly but they can light it up and have the advantage in goal with Devan Dubnyk. who has stopped 77 of 80 shots (.963 save percentage) and 1.45 GAA. Home ice advantage the better D, and goalie get the nod here.
NHL favorite against the money line (MINNESOTA) - after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 26-3 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Minnesota Wild to cover
|10-11-18||Canucks v. Lightning OVER 6||4-1||Loss||-109||7 h 15 m||Show|
Canucks head coach Travis Green has been moving the lines around to try to find the right mix of offense -- which has not been a problem in the early going as the Canucks are showing a lot of explosiveness-- however the D is a problem allowing 14 goals in the opening three games. Meanwhile, TB is off a 2-1 defensive style win, and on 3 days rest will be ready to let loose here with a super fast and cohesive offensive lineup, and put a bunch of goals on the board vs a side that will have issues dealing with their attack.
Over is 6-0 in Canucks last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 6-1 in Canucks last 7 overall.Over is 4-1 in Canucks last 5 vs. Atlantic.Over is 8-1-2 in Lightning last 11 Thursday games.Under is 4-1-2 in Lightning last 7 home games. Over is 15-6 in Lightning last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Over is 5-2 in Lightning last 7 vs. Pacific.Over is 17-5-3 in the last 25 meetings.Over is 8-3-2 in the last 13 meetings in Tampa Bay.
|10-11-18||Maple Leafs v. Red Wings OVER 6.5||5-3||Win||109||8 h 42 m||Show|
The Leafs are an explosive offensive team and have put 7 goals on the board in their L/2 games, with their only issue remaining on defence as is evident by having allowed 5,6,4 goals in their L/3 tilts. Meanwhile, the Wings are a young team in a rebuilding mode, and will have difficulties hanging with the Buds. It won't matter who starts for the Leafs as Garret Sparks is 1-0-0 with a 6.00 GAA and .806 save percentage and Anderson owns just .892 SV %. and could easily allow the Motown crew a few goals. The way Toronto plays the Wings will have no choice to open up which will result in a higher scoring game than the line indicates. Considering these above mentioned situations and facts and over bet here looks like a viable option.
Over is 3-0-1 in Maple Leafs last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 4-0 in Maple Leafs last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Over is 13-3-1 in Maple Leafs last 17 road games. Over is 21-8-2 in Maple Leafs last 31 overall.Over is 18-7-2 in Maple Leafs last 27 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 17-7-2 in Maple Leafs last 26 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 7-3-2 in Maple Leafs last 12 vs. Atlantic.Over is 15-7-1 in Maple Leafs last 23 games following a win.
Over is 4-0 in Red Wings last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Over is 7-1-1 in Red Wings last 9 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.Over is 5-1 in Red Wings last 6 vs. Atlantic.Over is 4-1 in Red Wings last 5 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.Over is 7-2 in Red Wings last 9 vs. Eastern Conference.
|10-10-18||Coyotes v. Ducks -155||3-2||Loss||-155||13 h 51 m||Show|
GOALTENDERS: ARIZONA - ANTTI RAANTA, ANAHEIM - JOHN GIBSON
The Ducks enter this game banged up with a boatload full of injuries something that is not uncommon for this team over the last few seasons. Meanwhile, visiting Arizona can't find the back of the net and have been shutout in their first two games of the season. The difference maker comes via the Ducks ability to find ways to win as is evident by their 3-0 record , while Arizona at 0-2 despite of their upgrades still have a culture of losing hanging over the team, and until they can stop the bleeding with some consistency ,especially on offence, Ill go with the side that has a track record of winning even when they look incapable of doing so because of their injury list.
Note: Arizona was the second lowest scoring team in the NHL last season at 2.51 goals per game.
ARIZONA is 42-115 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
ARIZONA is 1-13 ATS in road games after playing a game where 3 or fewer total goals were scored over the last 3 seasons. Arizona 1.8 Opponent 3.3.
Ducks are 20-7 in their last 27 home games.Ducks are 7-1 in their last 8 games following a win.
Ducks are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Ducks are 5-1 in their last 6 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.
These clubs played Saturday in Phoenix and the Ducks won by a 1-0 count as John Gibson stopped 41 shots. Im expecting a better effort from the Ducks here on home ice in the rematch and for Anaheim to make is 6 wins in a row here on their home ice vs the Coyotes.
Play on Anaheim to win on the moneyline
|10-09-18||Maple Leafs v. Stars OVER 6||7-4||Win||100||24 h 22 m||Show|
The Toronto Maple Leafs are loaded with offensive talent but their defence still looks wobbly. There is not doubt that this team has the potential to lead the lead in scoring this year. To beat the Leafs you have to score in bunches. So the Dallas Stars whether they want to or not will have to open up or be blown off the ice. With that said, Im betting on a fairly high scoring affair that eclipses the total.
Over is 8-0-1 in Maple Leafs last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 10-1 in Maple Leafs last 11 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Over is 6-1 in Maple Leafs last 7 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Maple Leafs last 7 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation.Over is 5-1 in Maple Leafs last 6 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.Over is 12-3-1 in Maple Leafs last 16 road games. Over is 16-5-1 in Maple Leafs last 22 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 16-5-1 in Maple Leafs last 22 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 20-8-2 in Maple Leafs last 30 overall.
Over is 3-1-1 in Stars last 5 overall.Over is 9-3-2 in Stars last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Over is 19-7-2 in Stars last 28 games following a win.Over is 32-15-4 in Stars last 51 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.
|10-09-18||Sharks -108 v. Flyers||8-2||Win||100||12 h 51 m||Show|
The Sharks were shutout yesterday by the NY Islanders by a 4-0 count, as the bumped into a hot goalie and are now hungry for redemption here tonight vs a Philadelphia side, that will be in a difficult situation without star off season free agent acquisition Van Riemsdyk expected to miss this game with an injury. It is still early in the season, so Im betting the Sharks will not feel any fatigue despite of this being a back to back situation. Meanwhile, the Flyers are well rested entering this tilt with 2 days off, but in the recent past this has not been a recipe for success, as the Flyers are 3-11 ATS when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons including 5 straight losses on the moneyline . The Sharks have won 9 of their L/10 meetings here in the City of Brotherly Love and Im betting on another win tonight.
Sharks are 11-4 in their last 15 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.Sharks are 10-4 in their last 14 games following a loss of 3 or more goals.
Play on the San Jose Sharks to win on the moneyline
|10-08-18||Golden Knights -130 v. Sabres||2-4||Loss||-130||6 h 39 m||Show|
Everyone keeps on waiting on the Vegas Knights to start acting like a expansion team and go through some growing pains. After losing their opener , that thought crossed my mind, but after bouncing back form their 5-2 opening loss to Philadelphia and than going into Minnesota and taking a 2-1 OT win , they still look hungry and capable of making another run at play off appearance this season, behind some newly acquired seasoned veterans like Max Pacioretty and Paul Statsny. The Golden Knights won both meetings in this series last season, and Im betting they will keep their winning ways alive here this afternoon in Buffalo.
BUFFALO is 3-19 ATS after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out.VEGAS is 10-3 ATS after winning their previous game in overtime over the last 2 seasons.VEGAS is 21-8 ATS after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
Sabres are 16-36 in their last 52 home games.Sabres are 27-63 in their last 90 overall.Sabres are 3-7 in their last 10 Monday games.Sabres are 15-36 in their last 51 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Sabres are 11-27 in their last 38 vs. Western Conference.Sabres are 17-44 in their last 61 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.Sabres are 14-38 in their last 52 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.Sabres are 7-19 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Sabres are 13-38 in their last 51 games following a win.Sabres are 4-13 in their last 17 games playing on 1 days rest.Sabres are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. Pacific.
Play on Vegas to win on the moneyline
|10-08-18||Senators v. Bruins -1.5||3-6||Win||110||4 h 54 m||Show|
The Senators after a tumultuous off season that saw their super star defence man traded, Erik Karlsson , have surprisingly started their season on a winning note. But Im betting this surge will come to an abrupt end today as Im backing the Bruins inconsistent goal keeper Rask to come up big here, after a slow start to his season that saw him allow 5 goals before being pulled in a 7-0 opening night loss to the Washington Capitals . Look for redemption minded Rask to be at his best this afternoon in the Bruins home opener. He has owned the Sens of late going 3-0-0-0 against last season and owns a 2.17 GAA and .925 save percentage lifetime against them. The Bruins won all 4 games vs Ottawa last season with the two home wins coming by 5-2 and 5-1 counts and another similar outcome is not out of the question, and viable wagering option on a -1.5 puckline.
|10-06-18||Predators -150 v. Islanders||4-3||Win||100||25 h 51 m||Show|
The Isles wont be as bad as the pundits think now that pyjama boy John Tavares left town for the Leafs of Toronto. But running on adrenalin and a need to prove the experts wrong Im betting won't be enough to get them past the explosive Nashville Predators tonight. I know the Isles won their first game of the season vs the Canes but they still allowed 40 plus shots and if it were not for their goalie Griese would have lost . Note: HC Barry Trotz is tinkering with the Isles offencive line combinations, and until they get sorted will have trouble scoring against teams like this.
Predators are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. Metropolitan.Predators are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Predators are 12-4 in their last 16 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Predators are 19-7 in their last 26 road games.
Islanders are 3-8 in their last 11 home games.Islanders are 7-19 in their last 26 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Islanders are 4-11 in their last 15 games playing on 1 days rest.Islanders are 3-9 in their last 12 games following a win.Islanders are 1-4 in their last 5 Saturday games.Islanders are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. Central.Islanders are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. Western Conference.
Play on the Nashville Preds to win on the moneyline
|10-06-18||Jets +100 v. Stars||1-5||Loss||-100||25 h 47 m||Show|
The Jets won their first game of the season against the St.Louis Blues in convincing fashion 5-1, and are a team loaded and ready to make a run to the Stanley Cup Finals this season. Dallas continues to rebuild but still is not in the same league as Winnipeg and have had horrid luck vs the Jets in the recent past losing 8 straight meetings. Jets grab the cheese again.
Stars are 3-12 in their last 15 games playing on 1 days rest.Stars are 1-8 in their last 9 games following a win.Jets are 4-0 in their last 4 Saturday games.Jets are 11-3 in their last 14 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Jets are 12-4 in their last 16 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.Jets are 6-2 in their last 8 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.Jets are 13-5 in their last 18 vs. Central.
Play on the Winnipeg Jets to win on the moneyline
|10-06-18||Panthers v. Lightning -165||1-2||Win||100||10 h 25 m||Show|
Play on TB Lightning to win on the moneyline
|10-05-18||Sharks v. Kings UNDER 5.5||3-2||Win||100||12 h 13 m||Show|
These teams have a history of playing very hard fought physical gruelling low scoring defensive play off style affairs, even during the regular season. Yes, these teams have plenty of offensive firepower but Im still expecting a lower scoring tilt. San Jose started their season allowing 5 goals in just 14 shots and in a loss to Anaheim, and Im betting their goaltending and D, will be even more diligent here, as they look for redemption. This will also be the Kings first game of their year so getting into cohesive high gear might take some time even with former 50 goal scorer Illya Kovolchuk in the lineup. These teams have only gone over 1 time in their L/13 meetings and another low scoring tilt is on tonights agenda.
SJ goalies Jones was 3-1-0 with a 1.69 GAA and .950 SVP including a shutout. Jones in 14 career games vs LA owns a 2.06 GAA and .931 save percentage.
The Kings' Jonathan Quick was 1-2-0 with a 1.70 GAA and .944 save percentage against the Sharks last season. In 31 career games vs the Sharks he has garnered a 2.52 GAA and .910 save percentage.
Play on the UNDER
|10-04-18||Jets +100 v. Blues||5-1||Win||100||8 h 0 m||Show|
The Blues are going with a youth movement as prospects Robert Thomas, Jordan Kyrou and Sammy Blais all made the roster. Blais is the old man of the group at age 22. Thomas, regarded as one of the Blues' top prospects, is 19 and Kyrou is 20 and their will be growing pains for this team , especially against sides like Winnipeg that are built to win now.
.Blues are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Blues are 2-9 in their last 11 vs. Central.Blues are 1-5 in their last 6 overall dating back to last season.Jets are 12-5 in their last 17 vs. Central.
Play on the Winnipeg Jets to win on the moneyline
|10-04-18||Predators -151 v. Rangers||3-2||Win||100||7 h 19 m||Show|
The Preds are a behemoth team ready to make a run for the Stanley Cup. The Rangers in a rebuilding mode are in trouble here tonight, at MSG. I know Nashville has lost 4 straight here, but that is just an anomaly and the get the nod in this spot.
|10-04-18||Bruins -128 v. Sabres||4-0||Win||100||7 h 56 m||Show|
Boston got clobbered last night by the defending Stanley Cup Champs by a 7-0 count and will now primed to bounce back off that embarrassing loss. Look for Patrice Bergeron and the Bruins roll behind what is arguably the best two-way first line group in the NHL with Brad Marchand and David Pastrnak on the wings. Buffalo might be improved but tonight they will be on the wrong side of this score.
|10-03-18||Ducks v. Sharks -165||5-2||Loss||-165||26 h 55 m||Show|
The San Jose Sharks start their season vs a Ducks team they matchup very well against. Anaheim and San Jose played went head to head in the 2018 playoffs, with the Sharks dominating from start to finish and a 4-0 sweep. I know the Ducks want revenge, but that won't come easily vs a supped up lineup featuring all star defensemen Erik Karlasson. The Ducks are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings and just 4-12 in its past 16 visits to San Jose.
SJ Goalie Martin Jones was 2-0-1 with a 1.55 goals-against average and .940 save percentage vs the Ducks.Three Anaheim goalies, went 0-1-1 with a 3.59 GAA and .885 SV. vs the Sharks last season and Gibson who saw the most time during the regular season and was then 0-4 in the playoffs with a 3.60 GAA and .889 SV.Ducks are 3-7 in their last 10 road games.Ducks are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. Pacific.Ducks are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.Ducks are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. Western ConferenceSharks are 22-7 in their last 29 vs. Pacific.Play on San Jose Sharks to win on the moneyline
|06-04-18||Golden Knights v. Capitals UNDER 5.5||2-6||Loss||-120||13 h 49 m||Show|
Stanley Cup Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - WAS leads 2-1
|05-30-18||Capitals +139 v. Golden Knights||3-2||Win||139||13 h 51 m||Show|
Stanley Cup Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - VGS Leads 1-0
There was a lot exuberance being displayed by the Vegas Knights as they made it to the Stanley Cup play offs as an expansion team at 500-1 early season odds. Truly an amazing achievement. You could see the excitement on the players faces, and the anticipation of hoisting the cup over their heads. The Knights played with a great deal of energy, and now I'm betting a emotional letdown scenario to be at hand here today, in game 2, because of the amount of energy they exerted in game 1 victory (6-4). Meanwhile, the Caps a veteran group, will I'm betting regroup and push the Knights both with physical and aggressive two way action, and eventually notch the win this evening and take advantage of the irrational exuberance being displayed by the Knights . This is an atmosphere where Caps super star Alex Ovechkin will shine. Note: WASHINGTON is 8-3 ATS in road games as a # 1 seed in the playoffs this season
Capitals are 13-3 in their last 16 road games.Capitals are 12-3 in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
WASHINGTON is 18-10 ATS L/18 in road games against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% pp or more.WASHINGTON is 9-2 ATS in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more this season and is 17-6 ATS revenging a road loss versus opponent this season.
Play on the Washington Capitals to win on the moneyline
|05-23-18||Capitals +135 v. Lightning||4-0||Win||135||33 h 49 m||Show|
Eastern Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3
The Bolts are lucky to still be in this series. Why this series is tied 3-3 and game 7 now being played is because the Caps have lapsed in some key spots, but have been the overall superior team in this series, as is evident by the Capitals winning the Corsi For percentage battle during 5 on 5 in all six games . What I'm betting here is that the Capitals do not lose concentration and finish off this series as deserved winners.
Capitals are 14-3 in their last 17 road games.Capitals are 11-2 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Capitals are 21-9 in their last 30 vs. Eastern Conference.Road team is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Play Washington Capitals to win on the moneyline
|05-19-18||Capitals +150 v. Lightning||2-3||Loss||-100||10 h 55 m||Show|
Eastern Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2
The road team has won all 4 games in this series, and I'm betting on the visitor cashing again in this spot. In game 4 the Caps looked to be in control, but somehow lost focus and succumbed to the Bolts. I really believe that very little separates these teams, except for the caps superior grit, and tonight, their physicality will be the difference maker. Note: Evgeny Kuznetsov and Alex Ovechkin both have 10 goals to pace the Capitals, who now have the confidence that comes with playing on the road. Overall in the playoffs, road teams are 40-34, on pace to challenge the NHL record for most postseason wins by a road team -- 47 in 2012.
WASHINGTON is 9-4 ATS in road games against good starting goalies - (saving 91.5% or better of shots against) in the 2nd half of the season this season.WASHINGTON is 5-0 ATS in road games in the conference finals since 1996.WASHINGTON is 9-1 ATS in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more this season. WASHINGTON is 5-0 ATS after 2 straight losses by 2 goals or more this season.
Play on the Washington Capitals to win on the moneyline
|05-18-18||Jets v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5||2-3||Win||100||11 h 52 m||Show|
Western Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - VGS Leads 2-1
During these play offs the Vegas Knights have rarely been taken out of their comfort zone as evident by storming back from 1 game down to take a 2-1 lead in this series.. Their aggressive and methodical robot like demeanour and defensive prowess are to be respected. Look for nothing to change tonight.
Knowing the importance of this pivotal tilt, I'm betting we will see both teams take part in a very physical , and conservative game plan that bases scoring chances on transitional hockey. This will limit goal scoring and will help keep this combined score on the low side of the total.
VEGAS is 14-5 UNDER against good starting goalies - (saving 91.5% or more of their shots against) in the 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 4.5 gpg scored.VEGAS is 14-5 UNDER against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 4.5 gpg scored.
WINNIPEG is 8-1 UNDER in road games revenging 2 consecutive losses to opponent as a favorite this season with a combined average of 3.7 gpg scored.
|05-13-18||Capitals v. Lightning OVER 6||6-2||Win||100||9 h 20 m||Show|
Eastern Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - WAS Leads 1-0
The Capitals came at the Lightning in game 1, and took them out of their flow with aggressive fore-checking for a 4-2 win . I'm betting the Bolts will be more prepared to play in transition tonight, and for this to be a fast paced offensive style game with a take no prisoners mentality attached to it.
TAMPA BAY is 10-2 OVER in home games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7 gpg scored.
NHL team against the total (TAMPA BAY/WASH) - in the conference finals, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 55-22 OVER L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.
|05-12-18||Golden Knights v. Jets UNDER 6||2-4||Push||0||9 h 35 m||Show|
The Vegas Knights are the most successful first-year franchise in the history of professional sports with the key to their success being an ability to play a hard core structured defensive system that scores a lot in transition. Its pretty obvious to anyone that watches them in action, that you cant intimidate them, and or take out of their system. Winnipeg was able to take Nashville out of their comfort zone, and won their last series, but I'm betting a more difficult task awaits the Jets here. Vegas is also fresh after being off for a week, after quickly disposing of San Jose .Meanwhile, Winnipeg might be a little let down, after their grueling 7 game series vs Nashville and will be out to make sure mistakes are not made here in game 1 that will put them immediately behind the eight ball. With that said, I'm expecting these two big punchers to take part in a respectful hard hitting conservative affair that stays on the low side of the Total.
VEGAS is 13-4 UNDER against good starting goalies - (saving 91.5% or more of shots against) in the 2nd half of the season this season. WINNIPEG is 7-1 UNDER in home games after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games this season.
NHL team against the total (WINNIPEG) - off a win by 3 goals or more over a division rival against opponent off a road win where they shut out their opponent are 46-22 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.
|05-11-18||Capitals v. Lightning OVER 6||4-2||Push||0||12 h 16 m||Show|
Eastern Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1
These two explosive offenses are well rested and ready to run and gun tonight in the opening game of their best of 7 eastern conference finals series. With that said, I expect this total to be eclipsed.
WASHINGTON is 9-1 OVER when playing with 3 or more days rest this season with a combined average of 6.5 gpg scored. WASHINGTON is 7-0 OVER L/7 in road games after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game this season with an average of 7.3 gpg scored. ( The caps wrapped up their last series vs the Pens with a 2-1 road win)Over is 21-7-1 in Capitals last 29 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.
TAMPA BAY is 42-24 OVER against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or better of their pp this season with a combined average of 6.6 gpg scored. Anomaly or not its still interesting to note that TAMPA BAY is 10-2 OVER in home games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons, with a combined average of 7.9 gpg scored.
Over is 21-8-1 in Lightning last 30 vs. Metropolitan.
Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Tampa Bay.
|05-05-18||Penguins v. Capitals -114||3-6||Win||100||35 h 30 m||Show|
The Capitals are a mature team that has obviously learned a lot from past play off experiences. Their tough as nails, and some are calling them down right dirty, but what they are playing is gritty take no prisoners hockey, and that makes them dangerous here at home tonight in DC. The defending Stanley cup champion Pens look wobbly, despite of tying this series, with a 3-1 win Thursday night, and a upset alert sign should be hung on this series .
Penguins are 2-6 in their last 8 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.Capitals are 92-39 in their last 131 home games.Capitals are 37-16 in their last 53 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Washington Capitals have an active four-Game 5 winning streak.
Play on the Washington Capitals to win on the moneyline
|04-23-18||Capitals v. Blue Jackets +100||6-3||Loss||-100||25 h 47 m||Show|
GOALTENDERS: WASHINGTON - BRADEN HOLTBY, COLUMBUS - SERGEI BOBROVSKY
The Capitals have won 3 straight games in this series after losing the first 2 games of this series , but I'm betting the Blue Jackets don't bow out of these play offs without one last grasp of air. Look for and expect a game 7. Note these game historically in no way guarantee the team with momentum wins this game. Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team leading LLWWW irrespective of site order (Washington) has the following best-of-7 playoff series: the Washington Capitals have a Game 6 record of 7-8.
WASHINGTON is 9-18 ATS when attempting to close out a playoff series since 1996.
NHL Home teams against the money line (COLUMBUS) - after allowing 4 goals or more in a loss to a division rival against opponent after a home game where both teams score 3 or more goals are 32-9 L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.
NHL Road Favorites of -200 or less against the money line (WASHINGTON) - off 3 consecutive wins against division rivals, with a winning record in the second half of the season are 12-30 L/22 seasons for a 72% go against conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Columbus Blue Jackets to win on the moneyline
|04-14-18||Avalanche v. Predators UNDER 5.5||4-5||Loss||-100||5 h 35 m||Show|
Western Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - NAS Leads 1-0