|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|08-03-19||Edmonton v. Calgary OVER 46.5||Top||18-24||Loss||-111||10 h 52 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on the OVER
The first of three meetings this year between rivals Edmonton and Calgary goes down Saturday with both teams at 4-2. Whomever wins this game will be tied with Winnipeg for first place in the Western Division as all of a sudden the Blue Bombers have dropped two in a row. While we have no opinion on the side of this game, we do think the total is too low. While these are two of the better defensive teams in the league and each side has seen its last four games go Under, you normally don't see totals this low in the CFL. At least not this year where scoring continues to rise. Edmonton has scored 32 or more points in half of their games and only twice have they been held to below 26 points. Even though they won last week in Ottawa, Calgary didn't score a touchdown in a 17-16 win. But don't be fooled by that as they moved the ball at will, racking up a season-high 474 total yards. Both teams faced weak offenses last week and will be challenged more here. Look for this game to go Over the total. Play OVER Edmonton-Calgary
|07-27-19||Saskatchewan v. BC UNDER 52.5||Top||45-18||Loss||-108||25 h 21 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on the UNDER
These Western Division rivals just met last week with Saskatchewan beating British Columbia 30-23. The rematch, set to take place in BC, won't be as high scoring. The Rough Riders got to 30 points in spite of pretty pedestrian yardage. This time they won't have the luxury of coming off a bye. The week before the bye saw them get held to 10 points and 234 yards. As for the Lions, they've topped 25 points in a game only one time this season. In two home games, they've scored a TOTAL of only 29 points. They had just 179 total yards in an ugly home loss to Edmonton two weeks ago. In spite of last week, the Under is still 41-19-1 the previous 61 meetings between these long time foes. It's also 7-3-1 in the Lions last 11 home games. Last week's total was bet down several points. This week's has not been (yet) ... Play UNDER Saskatchewan-British Columbia
|07-19-19||Ottawa v. Winnipeg OVER 51.5||Top||1-31||Loss||-105||13 h 58 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on OVER
Scoring is up this year in the CFL to about 55.3 points/game. That's a 9% increase from last season. But don't tell this to Ottawa as their last two games have resulted in only 33 points scored - total - and now they're saddled with a backup QB (Jonathon Jennings). But if you recall, the last time we played an Over with the Redblacks, things turned into a real "shootout" as they beat Saskatchewan 44-41. They actually went Over the total themselves. That isn't going to happen here, but once again they figure to give up a lot as they face the unbeaten Blue Bombers, who are 4-0 and averaging 34.5 points/game. Winnipeg scored a season-high 48 points last week vs. Toronto as QB Matt Nichols continues to play well. He's thrown for 10 touchdowns already. One key with Jennings is that while this is his first time starting for Ottawa, it's not his first "rodeo" in the CFL. He's actually gone 5-1 against Nichols as a starter, throwing for more yards and touchdowns in those head to head battles. Play OVER Ottawa-Winnipeg
|07-13-19||Montreal v. Ottawa UNDER 51||Top||36-19||Loss||-108||8 h 24 m||Show|
This is a 10* play UNDER Montreal-Ottawa
Montreal stunned the CFL community last week with a 36-29 upset of Hamilton. The Als were 12.5-point home underdogs in the contest and somehow beat an undefeated team that had looked unstoppable its previous two games. One of those two games was a 41-10 win over the Als. That was in Hamilton and the Als are back on the road this week to face Ottawa, who suffered their first loss of the season last week as well. It was not an impressive showing from the Redblacks as they managed just 14 points at home against the unbeaten Blue Bombers. This game figures to be another low-scoring affair as we just can't see Montreal duplicating its surprising offensive success from last week. After all, they scored just 35 points the first two games combined. William Stanback had a huge game rushing the ball last week, but the Redblacks' front seven should be up to the challenge. We're not sold on either QB in this matchup either. The Under has hit in the last nine meetings between these East Division rivals. Play UNDER Montreal-Ottawa
|06-20-19||Saskatchewan v. Ottawa OVER 44||Top||41-44||Win||100||55 h 48 m||Show|
This is an 8* play on the OVER
Saskatchewan and Ottawa experienced very different starts to their respective seasons. The Rough Riders lost 23-17 out in Hamilton while Ottawa pulled a nice upset of Calgary in a Grey Cup rematch. The Redblacks were nine-point underdogs in their 32-23 win over the Stampeders, a very impressive way to begin 2019. It was a bit of a wild game as there were seven total turnovers. Four were interceptions from Dominique Davis, the first time starter at QB for Ottawa. But Davis also scored the go-ahead TD with just over a minute left for the win. We think the Redblacks will again find plenty of ways to score this week against a Saskatchewan team that is hurting - literally. QB Zach Collaros was just placed on the six-week injury list, a big blow to start the season. But no matter who ends up starting this week - either Cody Fajardo or Isaac Harker - will likely perform better than in Week 1 when they were each called into surprise duty (Fajardo also left wiith an injury). The Over is 6-2 the last 8 times these teams have played. With the number dropping so much (Riders QB situation), there's now plenty of value in playing this game that way. Play OVER Saskatchewan-Ottawa
|06-15-19||Winnipeg v. BC UNDER 51.5||Top||33-23||Loss||-105||58 h 18 m||Show|
|06-13-19||Saskatchewan v. Hamilton OVER 48||Top||17-23||Loss||-105||32 h 16 m||Show|
This is a 10* play OVER SAS-HAM
It's time to kick off the CFL season with a cross-division matchup between Saskatchewan and Hamilton. The Ti-Cats (Hamilton) went just 8-10 last season, but fortunately for them they're in the East Division and that record was good enough to make the playoffs. The Roughriders were a solid 12-6, good for second in the West, but they didn't make it as far in the playoffs as Hamilton. The Ti-Cats made it one step further, winning their first playoff game while Saskatchewan was "one and done." For this first game of 2019, we like things to be a little higher scoring than expected. Both teams have first year head coaches. Roughriders QB Zach Collaros is returning to Hamilton to face his former team, so look for an inspired performance there. The Over has hit in 15 of Saskatchewan's last 22 season openers. Hamilton closed last season by going Over in five of its last six games. Play OVER Saskatchewan-Hamilton
|08-11-18||Montreal v. Ottawa OVER 50.5||Top||17-24||Loss||-105||32 h 55 m||Show|
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER between the Als/Redblacks.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense. The UNDER has hit five straight times in this series, but we’re banking on that trend ending here. The Als got smoked 50-11 against the Ti-Cats last week, as rookie QB Johnny Manziel struggled. It wasn’t entirely his fault though and with a week between to prepare and re-focus, we’re expecting a much better effort from the former College star this time around. Ottawa could clearly care less about Montreal’s problems and it’ll be out to bounce back after last week’s 42-41 setback to Toronto. Note that Montreal has seen the total go OVER the total in seven of its last 11 off a loss against a division rival, while Ottawa has seen the total go OVER in three of four already this year when playing the role of favorite. Play the OVER.
|07-28-18||Ottawa v. Hamilton UNDER 56||21-15||Win||100||31 h 8 m||Show|
This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Redblacks and Ti-Cats.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics: as note that Ottawa has seen the total go UNDER the number in 12 of its last 17 against division foes, while Hamilton has seen the total go UNDER in its last two as a home favorite in the 3.5 to 7 points range. This number is a little high, play the UNDER.
|06-28-18||Ottawa v. Calgary UNDER 57||Top||14-24||Win||100||35 h 40 m||Show|
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the UNDER between Ottawa/Calgary.
This can still be a higher-scoring affair and fall UNDER this sky-high number, and that’s exactly what we expect to see happen. Not surprisingly, this is the highest total on the CFL board in Week 3. While the total has gone OVER in six of their last seven in the series, we are finally expecting more of a defensive battle (both match ups, in Weeks 1 and 2 went well above the number.) Ottawa looked impressive on both sides of the ball in its season opener at home to Saskatchewan, pulling away for the convincing 40-17 victory. The Stamps are 2-0 to open the season, but could be caught a little complacent here after going to Toronto in a rematch of last year’s Grey Cup upset and coming away with the big 41-7 blowout victory. Both teams have league-leading QB’s leading the way offensively, but the overall situation lends itself to more of a defensive affair in our opinion. Further note that Ottawa has seen the total go UNDER the number in 13 of its last 20 when playing with six or less days of rest, while Calgary has seen the total go UNDER in 14 of its last 25 after two or more consecutive SU victories. This number is a little high, play the UNDER.
|06-14-18||Edmonton v. Winnipeg UNDER 50||Top||33-30||Loss||-107||48 h 6 m||Show|
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the UNDER between the Esks/Blue Bombers.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is primarily based on common sense. Edmonton lost both regular season games to Winnipeg last year, but then got its revenge in the West Semi Finals in a high-scoring affair. But with Blue Bomber’ starting QB Matt Nichols lost for at least six weeks after going down with injury in practice two weeks ago, we believe that Winnipeg will be forced to run while on offense early and often. Edmonton’s QB Mike Reilly has been one of the most prolific in the league the last two years, but the Bombers’ defense is stout. When you add it all up, this total is indeed a little high. Play the UNDER.
|07-24-17||Ottawa v. Toronto UNDER 55||Top||24-27||Win||100||31 h 31 m||Show|
This is a 10* TOTAL BLOOD-BATH on the UNDER between the Ottawa Redblacks and the Toronto Argonauts.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
As note that Ottawa has seen the total go UNDER the number in both games already this year against the division, while Toronto has seen the total go UNDER in both games against the division as well.
The bottom line: At 2-2, Toronto currently leads the East. Ottawa is 1-3, looking up at Montreal as well. The Argos have been surprisingly good on defense this year and we’re expecting that unit to once again make a major impact on this rare Monday night contest. All signs point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.
|07-13-17||Toronto v. Winnipeg OVER 52||Top||25-33||Win||100||77 h 55 m||Show|
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER between the Toronto Argonauts and the Winnipeg Blue Bombers.
Toronto is 2-1, but has seen the total go UNDER the number in all three games so far. We think that changes in Week 4. QB Ricky Ray has been phenomenal to this point, throwing for 1,200 yards, four TD’s to just one INT. Ray’s main weapn has been SJ Green, who has 19 passes for 367 yards and a TD. You’ll also want to keep your eyes on Toronto newcomer DeVier Posey, who has 19 receptions for 280 yards and two TD’s. The Blue Bombers opened the year with a 43-40 win over Saskatchewan, only to then fall 29-10 to Calgary. Winnipeg is led by QB Matt Nichols, who has five TD passes and three INT’s so far. Nichols favorite target is Weston Dressler, who so far has 12 catches for 200 yards. Andrew Harris is rated as one of the league’s top backs, but so far has just 89 carries on 23 yards. Note though that Toronto has seen the total go OVER the number in three of its last four after playing to three or more consecutive UNDERs, while Winnipeg has seen the total go OVER the number in four of its last five after scoring ten points or less in its previous contest. When these teams last played in 2016, Winnipeg came away with the 46-29 victory. All signs point to another high-scoring affair, play the OVER.
|06-24-17||Edmonton v. BC UNDER 60||Top||30-27||Win||100||32 h 26 m||Show|
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER between the Edmonton Eskimos and the BC Lions.
We think this number is just a little high. Edmonton finished 10-8 last year. QB Mike Reilly threw for over 5,500 yards and 28 TD’s. Reilly’s favorite target was Adarius Bowman, who caught 120 passes for 1,761 yards and nine major scores. RB John White was also a standout for the Eskimos. The Lions finished 12-6 with QB Jon Jennings throwing for 5,200 yards. WR Chris Williams has come over from Ottawa and is expected to be a standout this year. RB Jeremiah Johnson rounds out a strong offensive unit. Note though that Edmonton has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last 11 as an underdog, while BC has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of its last four games played in the month of June. These are two explosive offenses, but we’re expecting each to come out a little “flat footed” in the season opener and we look for this total to sneak UNDER this sky-high number once it’s all said and done.
|06-23-17||Calgary v. Ottawa OVER 55.5||Top||31-31||Win||100||23 h 55 m||Show|
This is a 10* SCORPION on the OVER between the Calgary Stampeders and the Ottawa RedBlacks.
Calgary returns most of its offensive talent which saw it go 15-2-1 last year, ending up with a loss in the Grey Cup. Despite the setback, the Stamps are still favored to win the Grey Cup in 2017. Bo Levi Mitchell remains the No. 1 QB in the league, last year he threw for over 5,300 yards and 32 TD’s. Mitchell has plenty of weapons to utilize, including Marquay McDaiel, DaVaris Daniels and Jerome Messam. The defense will also be a strong point for Calgary, keep your eyes on top sacker Charleston Hughes and INT leader Jamar Wall. Ottawa finished the regular season at 8-9-1, but wound up upsetting Calgary in the Grey Cup. Trevor Harris has been named the No. 1 QB this year, he threw for 3,300 yards and 16 TD’s last season, splitting time with Henry Burris. Brad Sinopoli and Greg Ellingson combined for more than 2,200 receiving yards last season. Ottawa went through some changes on the defensive side of the ball though, so regression is expected to open 2017. We think these teams open up the playbook and we look for this one to go OVER the number once it’s all said and done.
|06-22-17||Saskatchewan v. Montreal UNDER 50.5||16-17||Win||100||34 h 47 m||Show|
This is an 8* TOP TOTAL on the UNDER between the Roughriders and the Alouettes.
Darian Durant threw for over 3,800 yards with the Roughriders last year. Durant comes to Montreal with plenty of weapons surrounding him, but we think it’ll take some time for the QB to “gel” with his new teammates. The Alouettes defense remains pretty much the same though, a bonus for the team coming into this season. Saskatchewan has three QB’s that will be competing for the No. 1 job, so each player is expected to see some time tonight. This doesn’t bode well for Saskatchewan’s offense either in our opinion, as rhythm will disrupted. The Roughriders defense though will be playing with a chip on its shoulder as it tries to get the better of Durant. It’s a perfect storm of situational factors that all point to a lower-scoring affair to open the 2017 campaign. But also note, the Roughriders have seen the total go UNDER the number in six of their last ten road games when the total in the contest is set between 49.5 and 52 points, while Montreal has seen the total go UNDER the number in 12 of its last 17 in front of the home town crowd. Play the UNDER.