|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|12-15-18||Arizona State v. Fresno State UNDER 53.5||Top||20-31||Win||100||102 h 23 m||Show|
GAME OF THE WEEK (CFB): MIKE'S BEST VEGAS BOWL BET
The Fresno State Bulldogs have allowed just 13.7 ppg on the season and limited Boise State to 350 yards of total offense and 16 points last time out. Under is 13-3 in Bulldogs last 16 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
The Bulldogs managed just 19 points on 288 yards of total offense themselves against the Broncos though and I expect this to be a low-scoring game.
The Arizona State Sun Devils are coming off a 41-40 win over Arizona and have played several high-scoring contests lately, but note that they'll' be without No. 1 receiver N'Keal Harry for this contest.
10* play on UNDER.
|12-01-18||Northwestern v. Ohio State OVER 61||24-45||Win||100||62 h 35 m||Show|
The No. 6 Ohio State Buckeyes put a 62-39 beating on seventh-ranked Michigan last week. I think they'll win in a rout again when taking on Northwestern Wildcats in the Big Ten Championship game at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis Saturday night.
Northwestern defeated Illinois last week but failed to cover the spread and gave up 435 yards of total offense while generating only 371 yards of offense themselves.
Here they'll face an Ohio team which averages 544.6 yards on the season and toyed with Michigan's top ranked defense. Buckeyes QB Dwayne Haskins completed 20-of-31 passes for 396 yards and six touchdowns and the Buckeyes racked up 567 total yards in the victory.
Ohio State coach Urban Meyer is determined to have his players ready for this one too. "I'm going to be very hard on everybody this week, and we cannot see anything other than the same effort we did last week," Meyer said, later adding, "When you win and you win the way you did, now that's the time to cut it loose and be very, over-the-top demanding of them."
Over is 8-3 in Buckeyes last 11 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game and I expect to see this game go over the total.
8* play on OVER.
|12-01-18||Fresno State v. Boise State UNDER 53||Top||19-16||Win||100||61 h 57 m||Show|
GAME OF THE MONTH (CFB) TOTAL
The Fresno State Bulldogs are giving up only 13.5 ppg on the season and all but one of their last nine games have gone under the total. The Boise State Broncos are holding teams to 22.3 ppg overall which drops to 18.5 ppg at home and six of their last eight have gone under the total.
This will be the fourth meeting in just over a year and the second straight time Fresno State and Boise State will compete in the Mountain West championship game. BSU won last year's title game 17-14 and none of the last three meetings have been even close to go over the total posted for this matchup.
10* play on UNDER.
|11-24-18||Auburn v. Alabama UNDER 53||21-52||Loss||-105||16 h 33 m||Show|
AUBURN @ ALABAMA IRON BOWL BOOKIE BREAKER
The top ranked Alabama Crimson Tide have been destroying their competition all season long, and they're a massive favorite here against Auburn Tigers in the Iron Bowl. Bama will be seeking to avenge a 26-14 loss to Auburn last season, and I think it all starts on defense.
I really wouldn't make too much of the 17 points the Tide allowed the Citadel to score last week; on the season, Bama has held opponent to an average of just 13.1 ppg so there's no doubt the defense can step it up a notch when fully focused, and the concentration should be .
Auburn has also been one of the better teams on the defensive side of the ball, conceding only 16.6 ppg and it shut out Liberty last week. On offense, Auburn has been less than convincing and put up just 10 points in a loss to Georgia and nine against Mississippi State earlier in the season.
Under is 7-2 in the last nine meetings and Auburn is 12-3 to the under their last 15 games overall.
8* play on UNDER.
|11-24-18||Syracuse v. Boston College OVER 57.5||Top||42-21||Win||100||14 h 12 m||Show|
GAME OF THE WEEK (CFB) TOTAL
The Boston College Eagles host the Syracuse Orange Saturday afternoon, and I expect to see an entertaining shootout. The visitors are 10th in the nation in scoring, averaging 40.6 ppg on the season despite putting up just three in a loss at Notre Dame last time out. Syracuse quarterback Eric Dungey missed most of that game with an upper-body injury and is questionable here, but backup QB Tommy DeVito should be able to put up decent numbers against a BC defense which has allowed more than 600 passing yards through its last two games.
Defensively, the Orange have struggled on the road all season allowing an average of 34.6 ppg and they gave up 463 yards against the Irish last time out, including 171 yards on the ground. The Eagles running game ranks 46th in the nation and RB A.J. Dillon ran a season-high 37 times for 116 yards and two touchdowns against FSU last week.
10* play on OVER.
|11-17-18||Cincinnati v. Central Florida OVER 60.5||Top||13-38||Loss||-108||35 h 55 m||Show|
GAME OF THE WEEK (CFB) TOTAL
Two red hot teams with explosive offenses will clash at Spectrum Stadium in Orlando Saturday night, and I expect to see plenty of fireworks on both ends of the field.
UCF Knights are perfect 9-0 on the season and amassed 500 yards of total offense in a 35-24 triumph over Navy last week. They rank third in the nation in total offense at 543 yards per game and put a 51-23 beating on the Bearcats last year.
Cincinnati is 9-1 on the season and can lean on one of the best defenses in the country, but this will without a doubt be the biggest test yet, and in front of a national television audience at that.
Keep in mind that the Bearcats allowed three touchdown passes in a 35-23 win over South Florida last week and over is 7-1 in Knights last eight home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
10* play on OVER.
|11-10-18||Mississippi State v. Alabama UNDER 53||0-24||Win||100||15 h 42 m||Show|
MISSISSIPPI STATE @ ALABAMA BOOKIE BREAKER
The Alabama Crimson Tide lead the nation in scoring averaging 51.3 points per game and have routed teams relentlessly pretty much all season, but points didn't come quite as easy against LSU last week (29-0 win) and here they'll run into the best defense they've faced all year.
The Mississippi State Bulldogs have allowed an average of only 12.3 ppg and O/U is 1-7 in games involving them on the season. Alabama is not just an offensive powerhouse, it's defense is also one of the best in the nation with opponents averaging just 295.4 yards and 14.1 points versus the Tide.
8* play on UNDER.
|11-09-18||Louisville v. Syracuse OVER 68.5||Top||23-54||Win||100||34 h 11 m||Show|
GAME OF THE WEEK (CFB): MIKE'S BEST WEEK 11 FRIDAY NIGHT TOTAL
The Louisville Cardinals took a 77-16 beating at Clemson last week. I think they'll give up plenty of points again when visiting Syracuse Friday night. The Cardinals gave up 661 total yards to the Tigers and here it'll face a deadly offense that ranks No. 15 nationally with 478.2 yards per game.
Syracuse is averaging 43.3 points per game on the season and senior dual-threat quarterback Eric Dungey has recorded 23 touchdowns, 13 via the pass and 10 by the run. Louisville's defense ranks dead last in the ACC and 115th nationally allowing 462.8 yards per game.
The Orange have lost the last two meetings by a combined score of 118-38, so I expect them to look for revenge and keep pressing the pedal to the metal and keep scoring points to the very end pushing this game over the total.
10* play on LOU @ SYR OVER.
|11-03-18||Louisville v. Clemson OVER 59.5||Top||16-77||Win||100||48 h 34 m||Show|
GAME OF THE WEEK (CFB TOTAL)
The No. 2 Clemson Tigers are perfect 8-0 SU on the season and amassed 524 total yards in a 59-10 triumph at FSU last week.
Here they'll face a Louisville Cardinals side which has allowed 160 points in its last three contests and got lit up for 56 points and 591 yards in a 21-point loss to Wake Forest last week.
On a positive note, Louisville piled up a season-high 532 total yards of offense and I would not be surprised to see Clemson go easy on them on the defensive side of the ball here as they're likely to rout their opponent anyway.
Clemson won last season's meeting 47-21, and I expect a similar score this time around.
10* play on OVER.
|10-27-18||Army v. Eastern Michigan OVER 47.5||Top||37-22||Win||100||72 h 14 m||Show|
GAME OF THE MONTH (CFB TOTAL) - MIKE'S TOP RATED *BEST BET* FOR OCTOBER!
The Army Black Knights will pay a visit to Eastern Michigan Eagles Saturday afternoon. I think the bookmakers have set the total way too low for this contest.
Army beat the Miami RedHawks 31-30 in double overtime its last time out, and as usual it did most of its damage on the ground with 347 rushing yards. On the season, the Black Knights own the 2nd best running offense in the country and we can note that Eastern Michigan gave up 227 rushing yards to Ball State last week. The Eagles still won the game 42-20 and scored three touchdowns through the air, and Eastern Michigan QB Tyler Wiegers should have decent success here as well against a vulnerable Army secondary.
Eastern Michigan averages a decent 29.5 ppg on the season while Army averages 32.3 ppg.
10* play on OVER.
|10-12-18||Air Force v. San Diego State OVER 43.5||Top||17-21||Loss||-108||9 h 48 m||Show|
GAME OF THE WEEK (CFB): MIKE'S FRIDAY NIGHT TOP RATED TOTAL
The Air Force Falcons visit the San Diego State Aztecs Friday night, and I expect to see this game go over the total.
Air Force is coming off an impressive 35-7 win over Navy. It rolled up a 399 yards of total offense in that contest and ranks 15th in the nation in rushing by putting up 255.2 yards per contest. The Aztecs boast a stingy D, but I think Air Force can find openings on the ground. Offensively San Diego State is very balanced, entering this contest ranked 115th in the nation in passing offense and 55th in rushing. Note that Air Force was torched for 436 yards of total offense in a 28-25 loss to Nevada two weeks ago so don't be surprised if San Diego State does the same.
Air Force is giving up only 22.0 ppg on the season and San Diego State 19.8 ppg. With the over/under 1-4 for both teams on the season the publice expecting a low-scoring contest, the total has been set way too low. We take the contrarian rout here and back the over.
10* play on OVER.
|09-29-18||Michigan v. Northwestern OVER 46.5||Top||20-17||Loss||-117||76 h 26 m||Show|
CFB GAME OF THE MONTH (10* TOTAL)
The Northwestern Wildcats host the Michigan Wolverines Saturday afternoon. While we may not see a massive shootout, I'm very confident we'll see this game fly over the total we're offered.
Michigan ran for 285 yards and accumulated 491 yards of total offense in a 56-10 triumph over Nebraska last week. QB Shea Patterson has recorded seven touchdowns and just one interception over his last three games. Over is 19-8-1 in Wolverines last 28 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game and 9-3 in their last 12 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Northwestern is coming off its bye week and blew a 21-3 halftime lead to take a 39-34 home loss to Akron its last game. QB Clayton Thorson completed 33-of-52 passes for 383 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions against the Zips and the Wildcats average a solid 424 yards per game of total offense. Over is 4-0 in Wildcats last four games following a bye week and I think they can put up decent numbers against Michigan.
10* CFB TOTAL OF THE MONTH: OVER
|09-15-18||Fresno State v. UCLA OVER 49.5||Top||38-14||Win||100||14 h 16 m||Show|
CFB GAME OF THE WEEK (10* TOTAL) ~ LATE KICK OFF!
The UCLA Bruins didn’t play well defensively in their last game as they gave up 485 yards in a 49-21 loss at Oklahoma. Here they'll come up against a balanced Fresno State team which opened the season with a 79-13 rout of Idaho followed by a 21-14 loss at Minnesota.
The Bulldogs lead the nation with eight takeaways (5 interceptions, 3 fumbles) and that could spell big trouble for UCLA and its coach Chip Kelly who is still undecided on a starting quarterback for this contest. I think Fresno State will get plenty good opportunities in good field position leading to fast scores, but UCLA should be able to put up its fair share of points on the board as well.
Over is 14-6-1 in Bulldogs last 21 non-conference games and 21-10 in their last 31 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Over is 5-2 in Bruins last seven games in September.
10* CFB TOTAL OF THE WEEK: OVER
|09-01-18||Cincinnati v. UCLA OVER 63||Top||26-17||Loss||-110||20 h 42 m||Show|
SATURDAY NIGHT CFB BOOKIE BREAKER TOTAL *TOP PLAY*
New UCLA Bruins head coach Chip Kelly has been forced to deal with serious internal distractions ahead of the season opener with Cincinnati Bearcats Saturday night. Several players have been suspended for violating unspecified athletic department policies, and it has hit their defense the worst. They'll face a Cincinnati team which will return 13 starters, including its leading passer, rusher and receiver, and I expect to see the scoreboard light up plenty here at Rose Bowl tonight.
10* play on OVER.
|09-09-17||South Carolina v. Missouri UNDER 73||31-13||Win||100||56 h 41 m||Show|
CFB SATURDAY NIGHT TOTAL
The Missouri Tigers mauled Missouri State 72-43 in their season opener, but I think they're in much lower scoring contest when they host the South Carolina Gamecocks Saturday night.
South Carolina opened the season with a 35-28 win at NC State. It was however out-gained 504-246 despite the victory and scored 14 of its points off turnovers.
I don't think the Gamecocks offense will be much of a threat to the total and Missouri could be in for a let down game offensively after last week's explosion. They accumulated a total of 815 yards in the game but note that under is 13-4 in the Tigers last 17 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game and 6-1 in their last seven games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Under is 9-1 in Gamecocks last 10 conference games and 4-1 in Tigers last five conference games.
My selection is an 8* play on Under.
|09-02-17||Miami-OH v. Marshall OVER 46||26-31||Win||100||19 h 32 m||Show|
COLLEGE FOOTBALL TOTAL OF THE DAY
The Marshall Thundering Herd will get the season underway with a matchup against Miami (Ohio) Redhawks on Saturday. The posted total for this game is about as low as you'll see for a college football game, and I think this game will fly over the total.
The Redhawks are not a very good offensive side, but they have the benefit of returning most starters on the offensive side of the ball. We can also note that they improved vastly with Gus Ragland under center in the second half of last season, winning each of their last six games. Here they'll face a Marshall defense that gave up more than 35 points per game on average.
Marshall scored just 26.4 points per game on average last season but will return QB Chase Litton, 231-of-371 for 2612 yards and 24 TDs / 9 INTs. He's is gearing up for his third season as the starter and his experience should prove valuable with few returning receivers on the team.
My selection is an 8* play on Over.
|01-09-17||Clemson v. Alabama UNDER 51||Top||35-31||Loss||-105||19 h 57 m||Show|
Top Rated 10* NCAAF Championship Total
The Clemson Tigers handed Urban Meyer his first shutout of his career when they defeated the Buckeyes 31-0 in the semifinals. This is a defense that has held opponents to an average of 306.9 yards and 17.1 points per game throughout the season. The Tigers will take on an Alabama offense that has averaged 39.4 points per game, but the Tide will have a new offensive coordinator in Steve Sarkisian calling the shots and they did not look all that dangerous on offense in their 24-7 win against Washington. They did however impress defensively once again, and Alabama has held opponents to 244.4 yards and 11.4 points per game this season. Defense will rule this game, and I'm going with a BIG BET on the under.
|12-17-16||Texas-San Antonio v. New Mexico UNDER 58.5||20-23||Win||100||13 h 24 m||Show|
New Mexico Bowl
We will see New Mexico Lobos take on the Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners in the New Mexico Bowl Saturday afternoon, and I think we'll see a relatively low-scoring affair. The Lobos are all about the run, but while it's true that they feature the number one ranked running game in the nation, keep in mind that they'll face a solid rush defense that has held opponents to an average of 157 rushing yards per game on the season. Texas San Antonio defeated Charlotte 33-14 in its most recent game on Nov. 26 and put up a terrific performance in a 23-10 loss as a 27-point underdog at Texas A&M the previous week.
The over is 10-2 in games featuring New Mexico this season, but considering how one-dimensional the Lobos are on the ball I think the total is set too high here considering it's a Bowl game where no yard will come for free.
|11-26-16||Georgia Tech v. Georgia UNDER 49||Top||28-27||Loss||-110||25 h 46 m||Show|
Top Rated 10* College Football *TOTAL OF THE YEAR*
The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets will visit the Georgia Bulldogs at Sanford Stadium in Athens Saturday afternoon. My money is on a low-scoring contest.
Georgia Tech came from behind to beat Virgia 31-17 last week. Under is 4-0-1 in the Yellow Jackets last five games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game and 3-1-1 in their last five vs. SEC. Under is 11-2 in the Bulldogs last 13 home games and 6-1 in their last seven non-conference games.
Both teams prefer to run the ball, and while neither side is particularly good at the defending the rush it will take a lot of valuable time off the clock. Georgia Tech can't do much damage through the air, so Georgia can focus completely on stopping the run.
Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these two programs, and Georgia won last season's clash by a 13-7 scoreline. I predict another low-scoring affair, and I'm firing a BIG BET on the under.
|11-05-16||Texas v. Texas Tech OVER 81||45-37||Win||100||35 h 57 m||Show|
College Football Total *PIGSKIN PUNISHER*
The Texas Tech Red Raiders take on the Texas Longhorns Saturday afternoon, and this looks it will be a high-scoring contest.
Texas Tech's D is simply ... not good. It ranks 123rd nationally while giving up 41.4 points per game and eight yards per rush attempt. Texas is coming off an impressive 35-34 win against No. 8 Baylor in Austin last week as D'Onta Foreman rushed for 250 yards. The Longhorns were however outgained 624 to 548 in total yardage, and here they'll take on a talented Texas Tech offense that leads the nation in passing at 500 yards per game. The Longhorns have allowed an average of 42 points through their four games on the road this season and over is 12-3 in Red Raiders last 15 home games.
This is a pretty high total, but with Texas Tech's five home games this season seeing an average of 90.8 points per game with the average number set at 83.3 points I don't think it's inconceivable that we'll see this contest fly over the total.
|10-15-16||Utah v. Oregon State UNDER 41.5||19-14||Win||100||9 h 41 m||Show|
|10-15-16||Virginia Tech v. Syracuse UNDER 68.5||17-31||Win||100||17 h 2 m||Show|
The Virginia Tech Hokies are coming off a 34-3 routing of reigning ACC Coastal Division champion North Carolina. Their pass defense ranks second in the nation in yards allowed per game at 132.2, and its defense has allowed a point in only three of the last 12 quarters. The Syracuse Orange have dropped four of their last five and will be looking to rebound from a sleepy display in a 28-9 defeat to Wake Forest. I don't think we'll have much to worry about Syracuse putting up a ton of points on the board, but the line for the spread looks pretty spot on. Instead I like the under, as we can note that VT has played nine straight unders against conference opponents on the road.
|10-15-16||Georgia Southern v. Georgia Tech OVER 47.5||24-35||Win||100||1 h 10 m||Show|
|09-17-16||Colorado v. Michigan OVER 57||28-45||Win||100||51 h 9 m||Show|
CFB *TOTAL AFTERNOON ANNIHILATOR*
Both Michigan Wolverines and Colorado Buffaloes have started the season with a pair of victories. The over is 2-0 in Michigan's games and its 114 total points in its opening two games is the fourth-most in program history. Colorado has put up a total of 100 points in back-to-back blowout wins against Colorado State and Idaho State. There will be plenty of offensive talent on display in this contest, and I expect this to fly over the total by a wide margin.
|09-03-16||Georgia Tech v. Boston College UNDER 44||17-14||Win||100||30 h 54 m||Show|
Super Early CFB in Dublin - Georgia Tech/Boston College
The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets will take on the Boston College Eagles at Aviva Stadium in Dublin, Ireland on Saturday, and sadly for the Irish I think they'll see a low-scoring game.
The Eagles' defensive unit topped the nation in yards allowed last season and 17 of the top 21 tacklers will return this year. Under is 4-1 in the Eagles last five games in September and they'll face a Georgia Tech team that really struggled with its passing game last year. It was the 8th in the nation in rushing, but that takes time off the clock and I think the Yellow Jackets will run into trouble with this sturdy Eagles D. Boston College will turn to a new QB in Patrick Towles who transferred in from Kentucky. While he might be an upgrade eventually, it could take time for him to settle into the team.
|10-03-15||Notre Dame v. Clemson UNDER 53||22-24||Win||100||33 h 13 m||Show|
8* NCAAF *TOTAL SLAUGHTER*
The under is 8-2 in the Notre Dame Fighting Irish last 10 games in October and 7-1 in the Clemson Tigers last eight home games. The Tigers led the nation in total defense last season and are once again in the Top 10 this season. The weather won't allow many points for either side here and I expect a low-scoring contest.