|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|01-07-19||Alabama -5 v. Clemson||16-44||Loss||-110||81 h 36 m||Show|
With this number dropping I have to take Bama. I think people are quick to forget since Bama didn’t cover vs Oklahoma that they were up 28-0 and went very conservative as they had the game in wraps early. Clemson hasn’t seen a team like this Bama squad.
|01-01-19||Washington v. Ohio State -5.5||Top||23-28||Loss||-113||655 h 47 m||Show|
Grabbed this one and really like Ohio St. First, Washington hasn't live up to expectations this year and the PAC 12 was really a down conference this season. The main factor here though is all motivation. Ohio St will want to win this one for Meyer as he is stepping down after this game. I think Ohio St gets on them early never lets up.
|01-01-19||Kentucky v. Penn State -6||27-24||Loss||-101||3 h 22 m||Show|
I just think Kentucky was a fraud all season long. This team can seriously only run the ball and with a lot of time to prepare for it I think Penn St can shut it down. Penn St has the better athletes and coach. I actually think they will be motivated here for this game. I will gladly lay this number
|01-01-19||Iowa v. Mississippi State -6.5||27-22||Loss||-112||2 h 27 m||Show|
I dont think Iowa has a chance in this game. When you look back at Iowa you realize they beat zero good teams. This is a total mis match IMO and Miss St will be able to shut down the very one dimensional Iowa team. Also Iowa is without their best offensive player who happens to play TE. I think Miss St puts a number on them
|12-31-18||NC State v. Texas A&M -7||13-52||Win||100||146 h 27 m||Show|
I like the Aggies here for the sure fact that they have a ton more talent here. The Aggies finished the season by beating LSU and I think under first year head coach Jimbo Fisher they will be excited here. NC ST had a pretty easy schedule and I dont think Finley their QB is anything special at all. This could get ugly
|12-31-18||Northwestern +7 v. Utah||31-20||Win||100||8 h 58 m||Show|
This is just too many points for a NW team who will be fired up for this game. They had a great year making to the Big Ten Championship. Utah is getting their QB back here for this game but these teams are so very similar that I dont see a blowout happening.
|12-31-18||Michigan State v. Oregon -1.5||6-7||Loss||-104||4 h 46 m||Show|
All I have heard is how good MSU is in the dog role. I just think that this Oregon will be ultra motivated here with their stud QB Herbert coming back next season. Michigan St has some major issues on offense as they had scored 24,6,6,14 to finish the season. Oregon is a lot better than people actually think and with this low spread they take care of business.
|12-29-18||Oklahoma +14 v. Alabama||34-45||Win||100||11 h 20 m||Show|
This is just a ton of points of here. I know Bama is the real deal but I also know how they looked without a healthy Tua. Clearly Bama has more talent and is better coached no denying that, but for them to cover two touchdowns. I just think Oklahoma can get a few stops and Oklahoma with Murray will give them all they want on defense. Murray is just a special player you dont see come around often and I trust him to keep this close
|12-29-18||Florida +6 v. Michigan||41-15||Win||100||3 h 27 m||Show|
I like Florida here today playing in their home state. This is just a pure motivation game. Michigan had their dreams crushed when they were blown out vs Ohio St. They had hopes of playing for a National Title, but that isn't the case now. They are missing several key starters here who are sitting out. Florida does have a defense and with some guys out on Michigan's defense I think Florida can do just enough to get bye
|12-28-18||Iowa State +3 v. Washington State||26-28||Win||100||10 h 23 m||Show|
This game just simply means more to Iowa St who some would say this is their best bowl game ever. This program has taken a turn for the better under Campbell. Washington St on the other hand had their dreams crushed as they were alive for the Playoffs and lost to their rival Washington and now are playing here. Good bowl yes, but not what they had hoped for. Also Iowas St has faced teams like them all year long in the Big 12 with the pass happy offenses.
|12-28-18||Syracuse -1 v. West Virginia||34-18||Win||100||53 h 17 m||Show|
I really like Cuse here and all the motivation clearly lies with them. They are looking to finish their on a very high note while WVU has simply no motivation as their leader and starting QB Will Grier has decided to skip the game and go pro. WVU will fold here.
|12-27-18||Miami-FL v. Wisconsin +3||3-35||Win||100||29 h 18 m||Show|
So I think the wrong team is favored here in this game. The Badgers had a down year there is no taking that away from them, but does Miami have the motivation edge for a a bowl game played in New York? I sure dont think so at all. The fact that Hornibrook is out I actually think is better as he really hurt them based on his health. The Badgers will win this game on the ground and I wouldn't be surprised if it got ugly.
|12-27-18||Duke +3.5 v. Temple||56-27||Win||100||26 h 33 m||Show|
Not much crazy in depth here, but I just trust Duke here coming from the ACC. The talent gap is on their side here as well. They have the better coach and will also have a lot bigger fan base traveling to Louisiana for this game.
|12-22-18||Buffalo v. Troy +1.5||32-42||Win||100||9 h 37 m||Show|
|12-18-18||Northern Illinois v. UAB -1.5||13-37||Win||100||321 h 47 m||Show|
To me all the motivation here sides with UAB. Remember this was a school a few years ago that took their program away. They really want this game IMO as this would be a school record 11 wins. Also I think Northern Illinois already had their Super Bowl by coming back and beating Buffalo to win the MAC. I also just think that UAB has the better athletes, played a lot tougher schedule and will have no problem scoring
|12-15-18||Middle Tennessee State +7 v. Appalachian State||13-45||Loss||-110||32 h 46 m||Show|
The rare combo of a father-son coach QB duo. Well we have that here with Mid Tenn St and while they may not win the game you for sure know the effort will be there given that fact alone. Mid Tenn also played a lot tougher schedule which helps them a ton in this spot. Also App St lost their coach which sets up for a tough situation
|12-15-18||Arizona State v. Fresno State -4||20-31||Win||100||26 h 16 m||Show|
We have a Mountain West school vs Pac 12 in a good match up. I just think Fresno is much better despite being from the so called lesser conference since they are non power 5. I know people are going to make the case that ASU had a lot of close losses, but the PAC 12 was down big time this year and they had a miracle come back to beat their rival Arizona. Fresno St is no joke with their two losses being on the road @ Minnesota which they should have won and @ Boise, but they got that revenge in the MWC Title game. ASU will miss their stud WR here as well
|12-15-18||North Texas +8.5 v. Utah State||13-52||Loss||-105||25 h 46 m||Show|
This play here is pretty simple for reasoning. Utah St had a good year but ended up coming short in making the Mountain West Conference Championship game which they had their sites on. Now with what has taken place with all the coaching changes I just dont see it working out in a positive way.
|12-01-18||Northwestern v. Ohio State -14||24-45||Win||100||86 h 31 m||Show|
I think its safe to say Ohio St played a lot of this season pretty much not interested simply because of their schedule. Well last week the sleeping giant woke up and I had them in an easy winner over their rival Michigan. The talent gap here is huge and the fact this this is played indoor on turf only benefits Ohio St. Also they really need to impress the committee and I think they just put it in Northwestern
|12-01-18||Memphis +3 v. Central Florida||41-56||Loss||-100||18 h 16 m||Show|
I'm going with Memphis here in this game. We all are aware of what took place with UCF stud QB Milton. That is just a devastating loss for a team like UCF who was looking to make it back to back years without losing a game. Memphis let the first game slip by this year losing by 1 despite being up by 13 at half. I think they get their revenge here
|12-01-18||Texas v. Oklahoma -8||27-39||Win||100||77 h 23 m||Show|
I will take Oklahoma in the ultimate revenge game here. Yes, I know their defense isn't great everyone knows that, but I think they can create a couple key turnovers and get a lead which will be hard for Texas to comeback on. Texas QB isn't 100% healthy either. The most important thing here though is that Oklahoma wants to make a statement to be in the playoffs and I think they do exactly that.
|11-30-18||Utah v. Washington -5||3-10||Win||100||55 h 27 m||Show|
I really like this game tonight for Washington. The Huskies have been a terrible team ATS this season going just 3-9. The thing here though is that these teams already met and Utah was in a good spot and failed to show up at home vs Washington. They lost that game 21-7. So yes, the line has been adjusted some here but now Utah is without their QB and RB for this game. I want no part of Utah and Washington rolls
|11-24-18||Utah State v. Boise State -2.5||24-33||Win||100||60 h 16 m||Show|
Utah St is a good story this season losing the first game of the season and now winning 10 straight. The last few weeks their competition has been suspect at best. While they should have lost last week on the hail mary if it wasn't for the guy stepping out of bounds. I think Boise is a very tough place to go on the road and win. They havent been talked about much this season but I think they get the job done
|11-24-18||LSU v. Texas A&M -3||Top||72-74||Loss||-115||58 h 32 m||Show|
This game means more to one team here and that is the Aggies. I say that because under first year head coach Jimbo Fisher he wants to have a big signature win and he knows what this game does for a fan base. LSU I dont trust in this tough environment facing a good Aggies defense.
|11-24-18||Pittsburgh v. Miami-FL -4||3-24||Win||100||53 h 13 m||Show|
This is pure a motivation spot here. After losing 4 straight heading into last week Miami didnt give up on their season blowing out Va Tech on the road. I think that is a huge play on sign here against a Pitt team with zero motivation. They have already locked up their spot in ACC title game vs Clemson next regardless of what happens here. That is a huge angle here and Miami has played its best ball at home with a 4-1 record
|11-24-18||Stanford -6.5 v. UCLA||49-42||Win||100||17 h 25 m||Show|
I had UCLA last week in a winner over their rival in USC. That game was clearly circled which now they are getting respect from odds makers but this is a let down spot as well. The key here is that Stanford really had a bye week because of the wildfires their game with Cal was cancelled. They got healthier with that and should be able to really wear down this poor UCLA defense
|11-24-18||Michigan v. Ohio State +5||39-62||Win||100||14 h 15 m||Show|
I just think there is too much value to pass up on here now with Ohio St. Yes, the Buckeyes have looked like crap we all know that. I just think Meyer will have his guys ready here and with it cross some key numbers I had to take them. Harbaugh is trying to do something he hasnt done yet which is win a huge game especially a big road game. Maybe Michigan does win but I doubt its a blowout
|11-23-18||Washington v. Washington State -2.5||28-15||Loss||-110||55 h 34 m||Show|
This Washington St team has been disrespected by odds makers all year long. I know most aren't giving them a shot in the playoffs but I think these players feel that way and throw in the fact this is a big time rivalry game where Washington has beat them, the Cougars will pour it on this underachieving Husky team this year.
|11-23-18||Oklahoma v. West Virginia +2.5||59-56||Loss||-100||54 h 4 m||Show|
I think the wrong team is favored here. West Virginia had a heart breaking loss last week @ Oklahoma St, but this team is so much better at home. I cant back a team in the Sooners that has been torched all year long. Their defense is awful. Also worth mentioning that WVU can still make the Big 12 title game. Give me WVU
|11-23-18||Nebraska +10 v. Iowa||28-31||Win||100||46 h 3 m||Show|
I will take Nebraska here as believe it or not they do have a small chance to make a bowl game with a win to get to 5 wins. I think we are seeing teams heading in different directions and this is an overreaction to Iowa blowing out Illinois last week. Frost knows the importance here of this rivalry going forward and ending the season on a positive note. If Nebraska didnt win that game last week I wouldn't have liked them but the momentum they have I like this number
|11-17-18||Wisconsin v. Purdue -5||47-44||Loss||-109||114 h 56 m||Show|
Purdue has went through some things this week with their coach leaving for his alma mater, but I still think he gets them to play hard here. Wisconsin has big time QB issues here and after last weeks performance I think they have shown their season is over. With this being Brohm's last home game and also the seniors I think the effort will be there.
|11-17-18||Missouri v. Tennessee +7||50-17||Loss||-120||18 h 43 m||Show|
I was on Tennessee last week in an easy winner as they beat Kentucky straight up. I think they do the same here on their final home game to become bowl eligible which is a big thing for this team and also their coach. Missouri is getting a lot of respect because of their high powered offense but with what the Vols have shown here recently on defense I thin they can control them
|11-17-18||Texas Tech v. Kansas State +7||6-21||Win||100||18 h 34 m||Show|
I think Kansas St puts forth a pretty big effort here which could be Snyder's last home game. Texas Tech has to be deflated here coming off 3 straight losses but they are more importantly coming off back to back rival games against Oklahoma and Texas both at home where they put forth big effort. I doubt they have much interest here. Throw in the fact they are starting a backup QB as well.
|11-17-18||USC v. UCLA +3||27-34||Win||100||17 h 29 m||Show|
It really seems like USC has mailed it in for the season now. I think the players know Coach Helton is on his way out after the season and possibly before. UCLA this is a crucial game fore first year coach Chip Kelly for recruiting purposes and also just so save some face for a down year. UCLA rises up and knocks off their rival
|11-17-18||Northwestern v. Minnesota +3||24-14||Loss||-120||111 h 31 m||Show|
I really love the Gophers here in this spot. They have everything to play for here trying to become bowl eligible and that was evident last week as they drummed Purdue. Northwestern is in a terrible spot here with nothing to play for as they have locked up the Big Ten West race. Coach Fleck will have his guys ready and they win this game SU
|11-17-18||Michigan State v. Nebraska +2||6-9||Win||100||110 h 8 m||Show|
The wrong team is favored here as Nebraska has played a lot better than their record shows. I also love the fact that this team despite having a bad record has really turned it on and not given up on the season. They have covered 5 straight games and I expect them to beat a Sparty team that is struggling at QB right now which is leading to their offensive struggles
|11-17-18||Middle Tennessee State +16.5 v. Kentucky||23-34||Win||100||14 h 55 m||Show|
I think we continue to see the meltdown here from Kentucky off that Georgia loss 2 weeks ago. I faded Kentucky last week and they were terrible in defeat to Tennessee. Mid Tenn will want this game and they are playing their best football right now. I still think Kentucky is deflated and quite frankly there is nothing for them to play for. Throw that in with their offense that struggles big time. This is too many points
|11-10-18||LSU v. Arkansas +14||24-17||Win||100||48 h 20 m||Show|
This is an ugly one I know but I will take Arkansas here at home in the night game. This is jsut a terrible spot for LSU as their dreams were crushed last week getting shut out against Bama and knocked them out of the playoff picture. I highly doubt they care at all about playing a 2 win Arkansas team. While the Razorbacks wont be going to a bowl I see them laying everything on the line here to salvage the season.
|11-10-18||South Florida v. Cincinnati -14||23-35||Loss||-108||69 h 35 m||Show|
Cincy is one of the most improved teams in the country and I will back them here. Now, I realize they do have a huge game on deck against UCF, but I dont think they over look USF here who brings in such a bad defense. USF has only covered the number once in their last 7. They have seemed to throw in the towel after dropping that game at Houston following a 41-17 loss to Tulane at home which is a bad sign. Cincy in the night game with a very good defense wins this one easy
|11-10-18||Miami-FL v. Georgia Tech -3||21-27||Win||100||48 h 8 m||Show|
I believe we are seeing two teams here heading in the opposite direction. It's seems pretty clear that Miami has thrown in the towel after beating their rival Florida St. They have lost 3 straight since that game and the most they have scored in the last 3 weeks is 14 points. This team seems pretty disinterested.
Ga Tech on the other hand is playing their best football of the season winning 4 of their last 5 games and scoring over 35 points in 4 of them as well. I also believe Tech has had this one circled after letting one slip away last year @ Miami losing by 1.
|11-10-18||Kentucky v. Tennessee +6.5||7-24||Win||100||65 h 1 m||Show|
This is strictly a spot play here and I look for Tennessee to be up while Kentucky to be down. Kentucky had their dreams crushed last week at home against Georgia as they would have had a chance to play for the SEC title now they really have nothing to play for here at all. Tennessee on other hand I feel this team is looking to finish their season strong and make a bowl and would love nothing more to play spoiler here to Kentucky. This is one of those games based on the spot you kinda throw the stats and everything out the window.
|11-10-18||Baylor +14.5 v. Iowa State||14-28||Win||100||44 h 13 m||Show|
I have backed this Iowa St team several times now since they lost their 2nd string and now Purdy who was their 3rd string has now taken over and really changed the whole season. I just think now the price is getting a little out of hand. Iowa St went from small dogs to small favorites and since they covered a big number last week they are getting a lot of love. Baylor is coming off a nice win last week vs Oklahoma St as a home dog. The weather I think will impact this game as well as it will be played more on the ground. I also think Iowa St will be looking ahead to the match with Texas next week as it could put them in the Big 12 title game
|11-10-18||North Texas v. Old Dominion +14.5||31-34||Win||100||43 h 56 m||Show|
This game is a very odd line after looking at it. So last week Old Dominion was a 4.5 point dog to at home to Mid Tenn St who is leading the other side of the conference and now they are over 2 touchdown dog? Old Dominion out gained them last week putting up over 500 yards of offense, but they had 5 turnovers that really did them in. North Texas is actually eliminated from playing for the conference title as UAB pretty much has it wrapped up. ODU still is fighting for a bowl game and I think the effort will be there and this is an overreaction to last weeks game
|11-10-18||Ole Miss v. Texas A&M -11.5||24-38||Win||100||62 h 1 m||Show|
I really don't think this game will be close at all. Texas AM returns home where they are 4-1 ATS and will be hungry here coming off back to back losses. Last week the Aggies lost to Aubrun by 4 as 3.5 point dogs, but they actually dominated the stats having over 400 total yards compared to 270. Ole Miss is just flat out terrible on the road giving up 500 yards a game. I think the Aggies can take some frustration out here and blow them out
|11-03-18||Stanford v. Washington -10||23-27||Loss||-105||104 h 34 m||Show|
I simply trust Chris Peterson here to get the Huskies back on track after last week. Believe it or not Washington still controls their own destiny in the PAC 12 North as they still play Washington St at the end of the year. Stanford really gave that game away up 14 which I think this is a tough spot to bounce back from. Stanford's numbers they really struggle on the road. I know they won @ ASU recently but that game was extremely misleading as ASU out played them. The Huskies D will shut this offense or lack thereof down
|11-03-18||Louisiana Tech +24 v. Mississippi State||3-45||Loss||-109||71 h 48 m||Show|
This line really does surprise me here as I thought it would come done. La Tech is easily one of the better teams outside the Power 5. I was on this team earlier in the year when they played at LSU as a 18.5 point dog and lost by 17 but it was actually closer than that. Now they are getting 24 to a lesser opponent. Miss St is coming off a big win over ranked Texas AM but the other key here is that they have Bama on deck next week. Will take the points all day in this spot
|11-03-18||Missouri v. Florida -5.5||38-17||Loss||-116||99 h 33 m||Show|
I was on Florida last week in a loser against Georgia, and that final score didnt really indicate how close it was. It was clearly the turnovers and where they happened that turned the game. If you watched this you know what I am talking about.
I just think here we are going to see Missouri throw in the towel especially after last week. Missouri let one slip away against highly ranked Kentucky in the 4th where they lead all game. That is such a tough one here with going on the road next. Drew Lock has also struggled big time against better competition and this will be the best defense he has faced. Florida will create turnovers and Missouri wont be able to play catch up
|11-03-18||Penn State v. Michigan -10||7-42||Win||100||98 h 23 m||Show|
I really like this Michigan and you know somehow they aren't really being talked about much considering how good they are. This defense wont have an issue here at all shutting down Penn St who relies so much McSorley. I think people are forgetting Michigan's only loss was to Notre Dame in week 1 who isn't a bad loss by any means. Michigan is coming off their bye week as well and will want revenge from an ugly loss last year. Also dont think that isn't in the back of Harbaugh's mind as he will run this score up no doubt about it
|11-03-18||Iowa v. Purdue -3||36-38||Loss||-100||98 h 4 m||Show|
I like Purdue here for several reason. 2 weeks ago they had one of their biggest wins in program history in beating Ohio St so it's no surprise that they lost to Michigan St. I just think the spot here will be very hard for Iowa to bounce back from after they had a late turnover 1st and goal which could have grabbed them a win @ Penn St. Those losses are tough for anyone. Purdue also plays a style that Iowa generally struggles with. Purdue bounces back here
|11-03-18||Georgia Southern v. UL-Monroe +7.5||25-44||Win||100||66 h 18 m||Show|
This spot is just sooooo good I cant pass it up. Georgia Southern is coming off a huge win in destroying App St as 11 point dogs winning that game by 20. Now they travel to LA Monroe who is off their bye week which you need to prepare for the option and they are playing a lot betting winning straight. Also Ga Southern has a huge game on deck with Troy.
|11-03-18||Michigan State v. Maryland +1.5||24-3||Loss||-110||95 h 34 m||Show|
I will say little upset I didn't get the best of the number on Maryland but I do think this line drops and wouldn't be surprised to see the Terps go off favored here. Michigan St was in a great spot last week as they were catching Purdue coming off their biggest win in years. I know Sparty can stop the run but I'm more worries about their offense and their backup QB who was very shaky last week and now on the road I simply wont trust. This Maryland team has athletes and are bowl hungry. They also just fired their coach which I think actually helps this team as he hasn't been around this season
|10-27-18||Washington State v. Stanford -3||41-38||Loss||-106||80 h 2 m||Show|
No choice here IMO but to take Stanford. I was on Washington St last week and I believe it's fair to say that that could be their biggest win ever given the circumstances since game day was there. Washington St has covered every game and we all know the betting public loves that especially now given what we saw last week vs Oregon. Stanford has had extra time to prepare here as well which is huge. I also like the revenge angle with Stanford will swallow the Field Goal
|10-27-18||Texas A&M +2.5 v. Mississippi State||13-28||Loss||-105||80 h 51 m||Show|
Maybe I am way off on this game but the wrong team is favored here. Texas AM has two losses on the season oh and they are too Clemson and Bama are those two teams any good? Miss St has struggled big time especially Fitzgerald at QB. Miss St has scored over 10 points just once in the last 4 games. The Aggies defense will have no problem here eating them up. This one seems so easy it is scary, but no opting but to take the Aggies who are all around better in every category
|10-27-18||Kentucky v. Missouri -7||15-14||Loss||-105||75 h 17 m||Show|
I like Missouri in this spot against Kentucky. Missouri had a rough patch but they played Georgia and Bama during that stretch. I just think they can outscore Kentucky here and the Wildcats just dont have the QB to play catch up. Their offense really struggles even though they have a good running game. Lock is trying to showcase is stuff for the next level and I believe Missouri wins in a route
|10-27-18||Georgia v. Florida +7||36-17||Loss||-115||76 h 17 m||Show|
So Georgia is still being given a lot of respect because of their ranking. Maybe they just haven't shown it yet, but from what we have seen there is no way I wanna lay it. Georgia has played one hard team so far and they were beaten badly against a LSU team who struggles at the QB position. Well I think Florida has just as good of defense oh and they beat that LSU team SU. Both teams coming off the bye this game clearly means everything in the SEC East plus the revenge angle is well in play here with Florida. I think we see a very close game and wouldn't be surprised to see Florida win out right
|10-27-18||South Florida v. Houston -7||36-57||Win||100||65 h 32 m||Show|
This game here is one where we have an undefeated team on the road catching a full TD. I just think USF has been very lucky. Look last week they beat an awful UConn team by just 8 as 33.5 point favorites. Let's look at a couple games these teams have in common. Houston won @ East Carolina 42-20 and USF beat them at home by just 7. Houston also demolished Tulsa while USF beat them by 1. Houston is by far the better team and the line is telling the story.
|10-27-18||Texas Tech v. Iowa State -3||31-40||Win||100||73 h 56 m||Show|
This line is really of to me. Iowa St might be just 3-3 but they are playing like a top 25 team if you have watched their last 2 games. They found their qb in stud freshman Purdy who last time out just tore about a top 10 team in West Virginia. Thought this line would be closer to 7. Iowa St is coming off a bye as well. People will argue that Texh will want revenge well should have wanted it last year as well after giving up over 60 two years but failed to do so. Iowa St wins easily
|10-27-18||Purdue v. Michigan State -1||13-23||Win||100||73 h 34 m||Show|
There is some Purdue money here coming in which doesn't surprise me a whole lot. But, we have another team coming off one of if not their biggest win ever in thumping Ohio St on national TV last week. I think Sparty responds with a strong effort here after laying an egg last week to their rival in Michigan. This is a great bounce back spot for them and a huge let down spot for Purdue.
|10-26-18||Indiana v. Minnesota +2||31-38||Win||100||4 h 21 m||Show|
This is a late add, but I do like the gophers here tonight. I was against them last week in a winner as Nebraska destroyed them. The thing is though even if it was Nebraska's first win they have played a lot better than their record indicates. I look for the Gophers to bounce back here as I believe Coach Fleck knows the importance of the situation here tonight. I also dont trust Indiana as a favorite and especially on the road given the fact they are coming off a very hard fought game in Penn St
|10-25-18||Appalachian State v. Georgia Southern +10||14-34||Win||100||10 h 20 m||Show|
This is a big game in the Sun Belt here as both of these teams are undefeated in conference play. I look for Ga Southern to be able to keep it within the 10 here. I think since App St is the house hold name for the average bettor that they tend to get inflated lines. The numbers on both of these teams pretty similar and with that I will side with the home dog on a week day and we all know how profitable they have been over the years.
|10-20-18||USC v. Utah -7||28-41||Win||100||34 h 59 m||Show|
I had USC last week as they were laying 7 against a ranked team in Colorado and won that game. I just dont trust them on the road here in a tough environment. Utah has had an extra day here but more importantly they haven't forgot about that 1 point loss last year @ USC in a game they lead 21-7 at half. We have already seen USC struggle on the road against teams like Stanford and Texas and they also barely beat a bad Arizona team.
|10-20-18||Oregon v. Washington State -2.5||20-34||Win||100||34 h 33 m||Show|
I think one could make the case this is the biggest game in Washington St history for the fact this is the first time that College Gameday is here. The Cougars have really surprised everyone and since they have covered every game that does worry me, but I think the spot is worse for Oregon coming off a huge win over Washington, but were very lucky to do so. Oregon has quite faced an offense like this one yet and throw in the fact that Washington St is coming off a bye I really like them here
|10-20-18||Alabama v. Tennessee +29||58-21||Loss||-115||30 h 46 m||Show|
I know it's always a bold task to go against Bama especially this year, but there are several things here why I like Tennessee. First, Tua is clearly hurt and isn't 100% which is a big factor. Also they have their bye week next before hosting playing @ LSU which I think they are looking ahead to especially given how good LSU has been so far. I really like what I saw from Tennessee last week coming off their bye week @ Auburn and winning SU as a double touchdown favorite.
|10-20-18||Minnesota v. Nebraska -4||28-53||Win||100||30 h 43 m||Show|
This is the game where the Cornhuskers get their first win. I'm not quite sure how they let last week slip away from them but they did. I also think they haven't forgotten the beat down that Minnesota gave them last year. The Gophers also have some big injuries including cluster ones now at the RB position. Nebraska is hungry and motivated to get their first win which I think they get and can cover this small number
|10-20-18||Cincinnati v. Temple -3||17-24||Win||100||26 h 9 m||Show|
So we have an undefeated Cincy team at 6-0 who is now ranked on the road facing a 4-3 Temple team and they are underdogs? Cincy has been a nice surprise not taking that away from them, but they have also benefited from an easy schedule. Temple has played a lot tougher schedule and I think they get the job done and aren't over looking Cincy here.
|10-13-18||Colorado v. USC -7||20-31||Win||100||83 h 45 m||Show|
So the classic situation again with the ranked undefeated team catching a full TD? Colorado has played no one. Should we be impressed with them barely escaping @ Nebraska or beating ASU last week after ASU couldnt punch it in from the 1 yard line? USC is coming off their bye week setting up for a major rally the troops game. The talent level belongs to the Trojans and Coach Helton knows his job is on the line.
|10-13-18||Miami-FL v. Virginia +7||13-16||Win||100||68 h 28 m||Show|
Miami is one of the most overrated teams in the country and love fading them here in this spot. They are coming off a huge win over their in state rival in Florida St who is down. They only won by 1 point as 2 touchdown favorites. If you have watched this Miami this season they dont pass the eye test and I think Virginia will want some big time revenge here in this night game. Virginia is also coming of their bye here with this one circled. I wouldn't be shocked if Virginia won outright
|10-13-18||West Virginia v. Iowa State +7||14-30||Win||100||68 h 17 m||Show|
West Virginia has played one of the easiest schedules so far and I think they lose this game. Iowa St last weekend impressed me a ton as they went on the road and made a switch to their 3rd string QB Purdy who wasn't afraid of the moment and was the best player on the field. Iowa St will be up for this game here and they won't be scared as they have played a brutal tough schedule so far. They gave Oklahoma fits and that was the first week with their back up who was no good especially compared to this freshman. The team rallies around Purdy and they win outright
|10-13-18||UCLA v. California -7||37-7||Loss||-100||57 h 32 m||Show|
I like Cal in this game as last week was very misleading against Arizona. Cal dominated the stats against them but ended up losing. The price is right now as they want to take it out on UCLA as Cal needs win to get to a bowl game. UCLA is a bad team and they gave all they had last week vs Washington as they made a big come back but came up short losing by 7. Cal is the better team and the number is too good to pas up.
|10-13-18||Washington v. Oregon +3.5||27-30||Win||100||76 h 38 m||Show|
People all said that Oregon isn't impressive because they had played no one. While that may have been so I think they want to win that big one. A few weeks back they let that Stanford game slip away as they completely dominated it but ended up blowing a big lead in a weird change in that game. Oregon is coming off the bye as well which is huge.
Also how good is exactly Washington? So the week 1 Auburn game looks terrible now. They just won @ UCLA by only 7 and beat ASU by 7. This will be their toughest test by far and they simply dont deserve to be favored based on their performances this year
|10-13-18||Kent State v. Miami-OH -10.5||6-31||Win||100||52 h 54 m||Show|
Despite both thsese team have bad records I think Miami Oh is clearly the better team here. They have played a much tougher slate. They played a tough Marshall team, a surprisingly good Cincy team and @ Minnesota to start the year. I like last weeks performance blowing out Akron as an underdog. Kent St is just pathetic especially on defense allowing 6.7 yards per play. I also think Miami Oh is bowl hungry and they have this one circled as they let it slip away on the road losing by 3 as an 8.5 point favorite.
|10-13-18||Toledo v. Eastern Michigan +1||26-28||Win||100||72 h 12 m||Show|
Eastern Michigan is a team no one is looking to back right now. They have lost 4 straight since upsetting Purdue as a double digit dog. EMU has lost 3 straight games by each 3 points which clearly they could have won have them undervalued here. EMU will also want revenge from a close loss last year. They won't have a problem moving on a terrible Toledo defense who give up 6.2 yards per play.
Another huge factor here is just look at the strength of schedule. The only two tough teams Toledo has played they were blown out. EMU has played 5 straight teams who will be going to bowl games this season. Wrong Team is favored here because of record
|10-06-18||Vanderbilt +27 v. Georgia||13-41||Loss||-110||70 h 58 m||Show|
This is just too many points for me to pass up here. The only negative for me here is the fact this is played at night. I do think Vandy is a sneaky good team though with a very good defense. This Vandy team hung right in there on the road @ Notre Dame. This is a lot like last week where I dont see Georgia scoring 40 therefore if they dont then I need Vandy to get to 10 basically which I easily see happening. Georgia has a huge on deck game with LSU as well
|10-06-18||Kentucky v. Texas A&M -5||14-20||Win||100||117 h 55 m||Show|
I jumped on this one early as we have a highly ranked undefeated Kentucky team catching points? HMM... This is a night game in College Station in which they won't be over looking. The Aggies have two losses but were to Bama and Clemson to playoff teams. This is one of those that Kentucky gets behind early and simply cant play catch up. I trust Jimbo a lot more here and this is a big game for him now
|10-06-18||Arizona State +3 v. Colorado||21-28||Loss||-110||66 h 15 m||Show|
So Colorado gets ranked this week because they are 4-0 and they have played such a terrible schedule. The wrong to me is favored here. Colorado has played Nebraska and UCLA as their toughest games and that isn't a joke.
ASU to me right now is the best PAC 12 south team. They have beat Michigan St lost by 7 @ SDSU and @ Washington. I think ASU knows the importance of this game right now to control the south. I think the Buffs stats are misleading due to the fact that their schedule has been so easy.
|10-06-18||LSU v. Florida +3||19-27||Win||100||113 h 24 m||Show|
LSU is by far the most overrated team in the country. They are outside of my top 10 and therefore I will play Florida. Everyone knows both teams have a solid defense. LSU was extremely out played @ Auburn and that win actually doesn't look that great now. I trust Mullen here the head coach at Florida coming off back to back road conference wins which is very impressive. This is one of those statements games for a new coach to make his imprint and I believe they win this outright
|10-06-18||Iowa State v. Oklahoma State -10||48-42||Loss||-109||66 h 30 m||Show|
Iowa St is in a world of trouble here this game I think. They failed to reach 200 total yards despite forcing 3 turnovers against TCU last week. Give them credit they hung tough but that score was misleading a bit. I also think this is the game where Oklahoma St scores a ton and the back up QB for Iowa isn't capable of putting up those type of points. Oklahoma St jumps on them early here and keeps the pedal down
|10-06-18||Boston College v. NC State -4.5||23-28||Win||100||63 h 17 m||Show|
NC St isn't getting a lot of love here, but I do think they have the better talent here. They are lead by stud QB Finley who is one of the top QB prospects this year. He is airing it out right now and averaging 8.9 yards per attempt. The similar style BC faced to this team would have been @ Purdue and Purdue blew them out that game.
Last week BC had a misleading final against Temple as the Owls outgained them. They also struggled against a bad Wake Forest and team and as I mentioned were blown out by Purdue. This will be by far their toughest test and I think the Wolfpack destroys them
|10-06-18||Oklahoma v. Texas +7.5||45-48||Win||100||62 h 12 m||Show|
I will take Texas here as we have seen this same song and dance again in this game. Texas is coming in underrated and I think because they let the gas off the pedal last week @ Kansas St. The public now has a love affair with Murray the QB for OU but this will by far be his toughest test. I trust Herman here and we have seen the improvements as the season has gone along with Texas and their defense. OU has a pathetic defense that won't be able to stop Texas at all.
|09-29-18||Oregon v. California +3||42-24||Loss||-120||62 h 42 m||Show|
Well another great situational play here. Oregon is coming off a just a brutal loss to Stanford last week as they were dominating that game and let it slip away which is extremely hard to bounce back from. Throw in fact we have a much improved Cal team this season and they are coming off a bye I think the wrong team is favored here. Cal wins this game SU
|09-29-18||Toledo v. Fresno State -7.5||27-49||Win||100||62 h 33 m||Show|
I think Toledo is in over their heads here. This team is legit and they have play makers as we have already witnessed. They are also coming off a bye after a dominating win @ UCLA. Some other key factors here is that this will be Toledo's first road game and throw in the fact that this will be a super super late kick compared to east coast time for these kids which is a factor that goes under looked IMO. I think Fresno has their way with them from the start.
|09-29-18||Oregon State v. Arizona State -21.5||24-52||Win||100||36 h 39 m||Show|
I look for the Sun Devils to be hungry here and blow out a bad Oregon St team. ASU is coming off two close losses but both of those were on the road. Herm has changed the culture down their and this team can still win the south. I think Oregon St is really deflated after last week because they probably thought that was their one chance to get a win.
|09-29-18||Stanford v. Notre Dame -5.5||17-38||Win||100||59 h 37 m||Show|
Little upset I missed an earlier and better line but Notre Dame found a QB in Book and I dont think odds makers are making a big enough adjustment for him. Throw in the fact ND has dropped the past 2 games against Stanford I believe they have this one circled. Also Stanford is in a tough spot coming off a crazy win @ Oregon a game they shouldn't have been in at all and they used a ton of energy in that monster come back. I think Notre Dame wins easily
|09-29-18||Iowa State v. TCU -10.5||14-17||Loss||-106||58 h 0 m||Show|
I think Iowa St is in a world of trouble here against TCU. The Horned Frogs will be extremely pissed after losing two in a row to Ohio St and @ Texas. Some will argue that this is a let down spot but I don't think it will be as they can still win conference. They also will want revenge as they had a game slip away from them @ Ames last season in one they should have won.
|09-29-18||Utah -1.5 v. Washington State||24-28||Loss||-115||57 h 4 m||Show|
So a lot of people including myself may have pegged Washington St wrong as I though they would be the 2nd worst team in the conference. I think they are now getting too much respect because they have covered every game so far. I also love that Utah is coming off their bye week and will be more than motivated here as they want revenge from last year
|09-29-18||West Virginia v. Texas Tech +4||42-34||Loss||-115||51 h 60 m||Show|
I like Texas Tech here who seems to have figured out things out especially on defense. Texas Tech went into Oklahoma St last week as a two touchdown underdog and just throttled them. The most important thing is that they held them to 17 points. I love backing teams who won as a road dog and then return home as a home dog. They seem to ride the momentum when this happens and I believe Tech wins out right
|09-22-18||Eastern Michigan +12 v. San Diego State||20-23||Win||100||59 h 23 m||Show|
With this line going up so much I have to take Eastern Michigan here. I was on the Aztecs last week in a SU winner as an underdog vs Arizona St. Now the spot and situation has flipped here.
SDSU as mentioned coming off that big win in a let down spot but more importantly have a big rivalry game with Boise St up next. EMU is no team to sleep on as they went into Purdue and won SU. I think Purdue is a better team and SDSU and with the lines nearly being the same I will take the points with a live dog here.
|09-22-18||Louisiana Tech +22 v. LSU||21-38||Win||100||56 h 7 m||Show|
My only loss last week in college was going against LSU. I will go against them again here as I believe the motivation won't be there and this is a huge let down spot following a late second FG win over highly ranked Auburn on the road.
LA Tech is coming off a bye week so that is a big key as well. This team isn't a easy push over and they can move the ball averaging 6.9 yards per play. LSU also right now has some injuries on their defense and I don't expect them to be full strength and probably even sit a couple to get ready for all SEC play coming up. LA TECH is the right side here
|09-22-18||UNLV +7.5 v. Arkansas State||20-27||Win||100||56 h 58 m||Show|
UNLV is a much improved team here and I have already back them twice winning both times. This team will have no problem moving the ball on Arkansas St. I would also argue the talent level is better on the UNLV side of the ball. UNLV with nip and tuck with USC week 1 going into the 4th quarter. I know USC is down but still they have the athletes. Arkansas St was pretty fortunate to have a win last week as they were +2 in turnovers which was the difference in the game
|09-22-18||Texas A&M +27.5 v. Alabama||23-45||Win||100||78 h 3 m||Show|
I have to take Texas AM here who I believe is the 3rd best team in the SEC behind Georgia, but I think it's close. With that, it's clear the Bama is now being way over valued. Clearly yet again they are the best team again in the country and have had no problems so far.
I dont expect Bama to have any problems here more or less, but at least the Aggies have proven themselves to compete with the best as they took Clemson down to the wire. Bama was favored less playing against Louisville and Ole Miss who are both a lot worse than Texas AM.
Bottom line this is simply way too many points and with what we have seen from Texas AM you have to take all the points
|09-22-18||Tulane +38 v. Ohio State||6-49||Loss||-110||52 h 57 m||Show|
How interested will the Buckeyes be in this game after having a very hard fought battle against TCU where they were on the ropes? I'm guessing not very interested at all.
Ohio St doesn't face teams that run the option all that often so that is different for them to prepare for. Also Bosa their best defensive player is sitting out this game which does help Tulane a lot. This game similar to Clemson and GA Southern last week will be played on the ground and a fast clock. Ohio St classic sandwich spot with Penn St on deck.
|09-22-18||Western Kentucky v. Ball State -2.5||28-20||Loss||-119||77 h 21 m||Show|
I think we are getting a nice discount on Ball St here. I back this team two weeks ago @ Notre Dame as a 33.5 point dog and they only lost by 8. I will give WKU a little credit here as they should have won against Louisville as it was a misleading final.
The main thing here for me is that WKU is without their starting QB here. I also like the fact that Ball St lost to WKU last year so revenge is for sure on their mind. WKU already has their struggles on offense only averaging 16 ppg. Ball St is averaging 450 yards per game and I dont see them having any issues here.
|09-22-18||Louisville v. Virginia -4.5||3-27||Win||100||74 h 20 m||Show|
I will bite here and take Virginia who I think is vastly improved especially on offense. They are averaging nearly 450 yards per game and 6.7 yards per play. Virginia is still be underrated by the odds makers here as they have covered every game so far.
Louisville I think most are giving a pass too because they have played Bama and got blown out like everyone else has. Well they haven't covered a spread yet this season and should have lost last week as they were completely out played by Western Kentucky.
I think Ohio who is one of the better teams in the MAC is similar to Louisville they handled them easily winning by 14.
|09-15-18||Arizona State v. San Diego State +5||21-28||Win||100||63 h 36 m||Show|
Here is a weird line and an over reaction. I had Arizona St last week and they pulled the upset over Michigan St. Well, after seeing Sparty struggle week 1 vs Utah St and now @ ASU you have to wonder how overrated they are. Also, ASU was projected by Vegas with a 4.5 win total this season, which means they were underdogs in this game at the start of the season. Now just after 2 games they are favored on the road? Maybe they are just this much better but this is a huge overreaction IMO and I will take the live dog
|09-15-18||USC v. Texas -3||14-37||Win||100||57 h 4 m||Show|
This is a much bigger game for Texas here now after laying an egg to Maryland in week 1 and just edging by Tulsa last week. Herman knows the importance of this game as simply he was brought into this position to compete and win these types and he has underachieved so far. USC is clearly rebuilding after they struggled week 1 vs UNLV and last week @ Stanford. Texas has revenge on their minds and they get it done this weekend
|09-15-18||Eastern Michigan v. Buffalo -4.5||28-35||Win||100||80 h 9 m||Show|
I think this Buffalo team is being underrated in the MAC this season. They have returned a good nucleus from last season and the spot here is what really intrigues me.
EMU is getting way too much credit for beating Purdue last as that was misleading because Purdue out gained them but EMU won the turnover battle. It is also worth noting that game was played in some bad weather as well.
More or less I think Buffalo is a play on team here as they will be under valued for several weeks.
|09-15-18||LSU v. Auburn -9||22-21||Loss||-112||78 h 27 m||Show|
I truly believe the line tells the story here. I'm not buying that LSU win over Miami at all in the first week. First, it was a little misleading as Miami actually out gained them in the game and LSU won the turnover battle 2-0.
The next thing is, how good do we truly believe Miami is? Well I don't think they are that good this season but since they were ranked high LSU gets all the credit here.
I was very impressed with Auburn week 1 vs a very good Washington team. Their defense will get after the one dimensional LSU offense here. Auburn was a 6 point favorite on the road last year and lost now the revenge will play a factor. I think Auburn destroys them.
|09-15-18||Vanderbilt +14 v. Notre Dame||17-22||Win||100||76 h 12 m||Show|
I was against Notre Dame last weekend in a win as they struggled with Ball St. Granted they werent that interested in the game, but this week they better show up. Vandy looks improved big time so far this season and the main reason is because of their offense. Midd Tenn and Nevada are smaller schools, but they aren't exactly dumpster fires and Vandy really put it to them. I dont think Vandy gets blown out and their defense alone will keep them with a great chance to pull the upset IMO
|09-15-18||Florida State v. Syracuse +3.5||7-30||Win||100||52 h 7 m||Show|
Is there anything good to say so far about this Florida St team? I sure dont think so. They just gave up 475 yards in the air to Samford and only won by 10. Cuse has revenge on their minds from last season blowing a game @ FSU. Cuse will have no problem here putting up the points and they should be favored IMO.
|09-15-18||Georgia Southern +33.5 v. Clemson||7-38||Win||100||52 h 7 m||Show|
This was on I had circled coming into the week. GA Southern isn't world beaters everyone knows that, but they have played well so far covering both games. They run the option and that is the reason I like them here because they are going to be having the hurricane weather roll through. With the weather I expect this game to be played a lot on the ground.
Also throw in the fact that Clemson just came off a thrilling win @ Texas AM last week. This isn't the most ideal spot for them. The motivation won't be there to blow them out as well. I expect this number to drop as we go along